Mt An 5-2 (1-00) Sheep and Goats National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released January 28, 2000, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Sheep and Goats" call Steve Anderson at 202-690-3236, office hours 7:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. Total Sheep and Lamb Inventory Down 3 Percent All sheep and lamb inventory in the United States on January 1, 2000, totaled 7.03 million head, down 3 percent from 1999 and 10 percent below two years ago. Inventory has declined since 1942 when it reached a peak of 56.2 million head. Breeding sheep inventory declined to 5.16 million head on January 1, 2000, down 3 percent from 5.30 million head on January 1, 1999. Ewes one year old and older, at 4.23 million head, were 2 percent below last year. Market sheep and lambs on January 1, 2000, totaled 1.86 million head, down 3 percent from January 1, 1999. Market lambs comprised 96 percent of the total. Twenty-four percent were lambs under 65 pounds, 17 percent were 65 - 84 pounds, 26 percent 85 - 105 pounds, 29 percent were over 105 pounds, and 4 percent were market sheep. The 1999 lamb crop of 4.72 million head was down 6 percent from 1998 to a new record low. The 1999 lambing rate was 109 per 100 ewes one year old and older on January 1, 1999, compared with 110 in 1998. The number of operations with sheep during 1999 totaled 66,800, down 3 percent from 1998 and 8 percent from 1997. Sheep and Lambs: Number, by Class, United States January 1, 1998-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : :2000 as % Class : 1998 : 1999 : 2000 : of 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- 1,000 head ---------- Percent : All Sheep and Lambs : 7,825 7,215 7,026 97 Market : 2,214 1,916 1,863 97 Breeding Sheep and Lambs : 5,611 5,299 5,163 97 Replacement Lambs - : Under One Year Old : 839 774 730 94 Ewes - One Year Old : and Older : 4,570 4,322 4,228 98 Rams - One Year Old : and Older : 203 203 206 101 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ May not add due to rounding. Lamb Crop: Per 100 Ewes 1+, Number and Percent of Previous Year, by State and United States, 1998-1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Breeding Ewes 1 Year : Lambs per 100 : : & Older Jan 1 : Ewes 1+ Jan 1 : Lamb Crop 1/ State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : :1999 as % : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : of 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- -- Percent -- --- 1,000 Head -- Percent : AZ : 63.0 58.0 75 78 47.0 45.0 96 CA : 345.0 330.0 90 88 310.0 290.0 94 CO : 200.0 185.0 110 114 220.0 210.0 95 ID : 194.0 185.0 124 138 240.0 255.0 106 IL : 56.0 52.0 130 133 73.0 69.0 95 IN : 32.0 35.0 156 151 50.0 53.0 106 IA : 138.0 133.0 152 158 210.0 210.0 100 KS : 66.0 57.0 106 111 70.0 63.0 90 MI : 38.0 34.0 121 132 46.0 45.0 98 MN : 85.0 90.0 182 161 155.0 145.0 94 MO : 54.0 58.0 148 129 80.0 75.0 94 MT : 315.0 270.0 113 126 355.0 340.0 96 NE : 71.0 73.0 135 134 96.0 98.0 102 NV : 56.0 53.0 102 109 57.0 58.0 102 N ENG 2/: 30.6 34.0 127 118 39.0 40.0 103 NM : 190.0 180.0 87 89 165.0 160.0 97 NY : 38.0 36.0 124 133 47.0 48.0 102 ND : 78.0 79.0 135 139 105.0 110.0 105 OH : 85.0 85.0 145 142 123.0 121.0 98 OK : 44.0 34.0 91 103 40.0 35.0 88 OR : 150.0 120.0 109 117 163.0 140.0 86 PA : 57.0 55.0 126 127 72.0 70.0 97 SD : 300.0 270.0 115 119 345.0 320.0 93 TX : 880.0 880.0 91 80 800.0 700.0 88 UT : 320.0 305.0 109 108 350.0 330.0 94 VA : 46.0 41.0 120 122 55.0 50.0 91 WA : 35.0 35.0 160 154 56.0 54.0 96 WV : 30.0 30.0 127 120 38.0 36.0 95 WI : 51.0 52.0 137 140 70.0 73.0 104 WY : 430.0 385.0 102 101 440.0 390.0 89 : Sts 3/ : 91.9 88.0 98 98 90.0 86.0 96 : US : 4,569.5 4,322.0 110 109 5,007.0 4,719.0 94 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Lamb crop is defined as lambs born in the Eastern States and lambs docked or branded in the Western States. 2/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 3/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. All Sheep and Lambs: Number, by Class, State, and United States, January 1, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : All Sheep and Lambs : Total Breeding : Total Market State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : : :2000 as %: : : : : 1999 : 2000 : of 1999 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- Percent ------------- 1,000 Head ------------ : AZ : 140.0 155.0 111 68.0 66.0 72.0 89.0 CA : 810.0 800.0 99 390.0 380.0 420.0 420.0 CO : 440.0 440.0 100 220.0 210.0 220.0 230.0 ID : 265.0 275.0 104 231.0 245.0 34.0 30.0 IL : 74.0 74.0 100 64.0 63.0 10.0 11.0 IN : 57.0 59.0 104 47.0 50.0 10.0 9.0 IA : 260.0 265.0 102 170.0 170.0 90.0 95.0 KS : 100.0 100.0 100 70.0 65.0 30.0 35.0 MI : 62.0 68.0 110 44.0 51.0 18.0 17.0 MN : 175.0 165.0 94 110.0 105.0 65.0 60.0 MO : 85.0 80.0 94 71.0 66.0 14.0 14.0 MT : 380.0 370.0 97 345.0 340.0 35.0 30.0 NE : 105.0 102.0 97 88.0 88.0 17.0 14.0 NV : 85.0 90.0 106 75.0 78.0 10.0 12.0 N ENG 1/: 50.0 50.0 100 44.0 45.0 6.0 5.0 NM : 275.0 290.0 105 225.0 230.0 50.0 60.0 NY : 55.0 58.0 105 46.0 50.0 9.0 8.0 ND : 134.0 135.0 101 98.0 103.0 36.0 32.0 OH : 125.0 134.0 107 103.0 102.0 22.0 32.0 OK : 55.0 55.0 100 41.0 40.0 14.0 15.0 OR : 215.0 210.0 98 150.0 151.0 65.0 59.0 PA : 83.0 80.0 96 71.0 68.0 12.0 12.0 SD : 420.0 420.0 100 325.0 320.0 95.0 100.0 TX : 1,350.0 1,200.0 89 1,050.0 950.0 300.0 250.0 UT : 400.0 400.0 100 360.0 360.0 40.0 40.0 VA : 65.0 61.0 94 51.0 48.0 14.0 13.0 WA : 50.0 50.0 100 44.0 43.0 6.0 7.0 WV : 40.0 37.0 93 35.0 31.0 5.0 6.0 WI : 83.0 83.0 100 66.0 65.0 17.0 18.0 WY : 630.0 570.0 90 480.0 460.0 150.0 110.0 : Sts 2/ : 147.0 150.0 102 117.0 120.0 30.0 30.0 : US : 7,215.0 7,026.0 97 5,299.0 5,163.0 1,916.0 1,863.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Breeding Sheep and Lambs: Number, by Class, State, and United States, January 1, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :Breeding Sheep-One Year Old & Older: : Total Breeding :-----------------------------------: Replacement : Sheep and State : Ewes : Rams : Lambs : Lambs :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 58.0 58.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 5.0 68.0 66.0 CA : 330.0 320.0 15.0 15.0 45.0 45.0 390.0 380.0 CO : 185.0 175.0 6.0 6.0 29.0 29.0 220.0 210.0 ID : 185.0 205.0 5.0 5.0 41.0 35.0 231.0 245.0 IL : 52.0 50.0 4.0 4.0 8.0 9.0 64.0 63.0 IN : 35.0 38.0 3.0 3.0 9.0 9.0 47.0 50.0 IA : 133.0 139.0 7.0 7.0 30.0 24.0 170.0 170.0 KS : 57.0 52.0 4.0 4.0 9.0 9.0 70.0 65.0 MI : 34.0 38.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 10.0 44.0 51.0 MN : 90.0 85.0 5.0 5.0 15.0 15.0 110.0 105.0 MO : 58.0 52.0 4.0 4.0 9.0 10.0 71.0 66.0 MT : 270.0 274.0 9.0 9.0 66.0 57.0 345.0 340.0 NE : 73.0 72.0 4.0 4.0 11.0 12.0 88.0 88.0 NV : 53.0 58.0 2.0 2.0 20.0 18.0 75.0 78.0 N ENG 1/: 34.0 34.0 2.8 3.0 7.2 8.0 44.0 45.0 NM : 180.0 190.0 10.0 10.0 35.0 30.0 225.0 230.0 NY : 36.0 38.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 9.0 46.0 50.0 ND : 79.0 86.0 3.0 3.0 16.0 14.0 98.0 103.0 OH : 85.0 81.0 5.0 6.0 13.0 15.0 103.0 102.0 OK : 34.0 33.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 41.0 40.0 OR : 120.0 121.0 6.0 6.0 24.0 24.0 150.0 151.0 PA : 55.0 53.0 5.0 5.0 11.0 10.0 71.0 68.0 SD : 270.0 270.0 9.0 9.0 46.0 41.0 325.0 320.0 TX : 880.0 790.0 40.0 40.0 130.0 120.0 1,050.0 950.0 UT : 305.0 310.0 10.0 11.0 45.0 39.0 360.0 360.0 VA : 41.0 39.0 2.5 2.5 7.5 6.5 51.0 48.0 WA : 35.0 34.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 7.0 44.0 43.0 WV : 30.0 26.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 35.0 31.0 WI : 52.0 52.0 3.0 3.0 11.0 10.0 66.0 65.0 WY : 385.0 365.0 13.0 13.0 82.0 82.0 480.0 460.0 : Sts 2/ : 88.0 90.0 12.0 12.0 17.0 18.0 117.0 120.0 : US :4,322.0 4,228.0 203.3 205.5 773.7 729.5 5,299.0 5,163.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Market Sheep and Lambs: Number, by Weight Group, State, and United States, January 1, 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Market Lambs : : :-------------------------------------------------: : Total State : Under : 65 to : 85 to : Over : : Market : Market : 65 : 84 : 105 : 105 : Total : Sheep :Sheep and : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : : : Lambs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 14.0 15.0 13.0 29.0 71.0 1.0 72.0 CA : 205.0 85.0 75.0 35.0 400.0 20.0 420.0 CO : 7.0 5.0 52.0 155.0 219.0 1.0 220.0 ID : 5.0 1.0 8.0 15.0 29.0 5.0 34.0 IL : 3.0 1.5 3.0 1.5 9.0 1.0 10.0 IN : 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 1.0 10.0 IA : 8.0 13.0 30.0 38.0 89.0 1.0 90.0 KS : 15.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 27.0 3.0 30.0 MI : 2.5 2.0 5.5 7.5 17.5 0.5 18.0 MN : 17.0 13.0 17.0 17.0 64.0 1.0 65.0 MO : 2.0 5.0 4.5 2.0 13.5 0.5 14.0 MT : 2.0 6.0 20.0 6.0 34.0 1.0 35.0 NE : 3.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 16.0 1.0 17.0 NV : 4.0 5.0 9.0 1.0 10.0 N ENG 1/: 2.4 1.1 1.0 0.5 5.0 1.0 6.0 NM : 15.0 12.0 9.0 10.0 46.0 4.0 50.0 NY : 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 1.0 9.0 ND : 1.5 8.0 19.0 6.5 35.0 1.0 36.0 OH : 7.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 21.0 1.0 22.0 OK : 5.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 13.0 1.0 14.0 OR : 14.0 6.0 36.0 4.0 60.0 5.0 65.0 PA : 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 10.0 2.0 12.0 SD : 4.0 22.0 27.0 40.0 93.0 2.0 95.0 TX : 120.0 70.0 60.0 40.0 290.0 10.0 300.0 UT : 1.0 3.0 10.0 19.0 33.0 7.0 40.0 VA : 4.5 3.5 3.5 2.0 13.5 0.5 14.0 WA : 1.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 6.0 WV : 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 WI : 3.5 3.5 6.0 3.0 16.0 1.0 17.0 WY : 2.0 19.0 80.0 47.0 148.0 2.0 150.0 : Sts 2/ : 12.0 6.5 3.5 2.0 24.0 6.0 30.0 : US : 490.4 328.1 513.0 502.0 1,833.5 82.5 1,916.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Market Sheep and Lambs: Number, by Weight Group, State, and United States, January 1, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Market Lambs : : :-------------------------------------------------: : Total State : Under : 65 to : 85 to : Over : : Market : Market : 65 : 84 : 105 : 105 : Total : Sheep :Sheep and : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : Pounds : : : Lambs -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 12.0 22.0 26.0 28.0 88.0 1.0 89.0 CA : 195.0 80.0 80.0 50.0 405.0 15.0 420.0 CO : 4.0 6.0 47.0 172.0 229.0 1.0 230.0 ID : 3.0 1.0 6.0 19.0 29.0 1.0 30.0 IL : 3.5 2.0 2.0 3.0 10.5 0.5 11.0 IN : 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.0 8.5 0.5 9.0 IA : 10.0 13.0 33.0 37.0 93.0 2.0 95.0 KS : 12.0 5.0 10.0 5.0 32.0 3.0 35.0 MI : 2.0 3.0 4.0 7.0 16.0 1.0 17.0 MN : 14.0 12.0 16.0 17.0 59.0 1.0 60.0 MO : 2.5 3.0 4.0 4.0 13.5 0.5 14.0 MT : 2.0 4.0 15.0 7.0 28.0 2.0 30.0 NE : 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 13.0 1.0 14.0 NV : 2.0 4.0 5.0 11.0 1.0 12.0 N ENG 1/: 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.4 4.0 1.0 5.0 NM : 10.0 15.0 20.0 10.0 55.0 5.0 60.0 NY : 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 8.0 ND : 2.0 8.0 13.0 8.0 31.0 1.0 32.0 OH : 10.0 7.0 8.0 3.0 28.0 4.0 32.0 OK : 6.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 14.0 1.0 15.0 OR : 10.0 7.0 27.0 12.0 56.0 3.0 59.0 PA : 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 10.0 2.0 12.0 SD : 6.0 27.0 29.0 36.0 98.0 2.0 100.0 TX : 100.0 50.0 45.0 40.0 235.0 15.0 250.0 UT : 3.0 2.0 10.0 20.0 35.0 5.0 40.0 VA : 4.5 3.5 3.0 1.5 12.5 0.5 13.0 WA : 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 7.0 WV : 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 WI : 3.5 4.5 6.0 3.0 17.0 1.0 18.0 WY : 2.0 13.0 52.0 41.0 108.0 2.0 110.0 : Sts 2/ : 13.0 5.5 3.0 2.5 24.0 6.0 30.0 : US : 450.6 313.0 477.0 542.4 1,783.0 80.0 1,863.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Sheep and Lambs: January 1, 1998-1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Operations with Sheep State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 : 1999 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : AZ : 300 300 CA : 3,300 3,100 CO : 1,700 1,500 ID : 1,100 1,100 IL : 2,600 2,400 IN : 2,200 2,200 IA : 4,900 4,700 KS : 1,600 1,500 MI : 1,600 1,700 MN : 2,600 2,700 MO : 2,000 1,900 MT : 2,000 1,900 NE : 1,700 1,700 NV : 300 300 N ENG 1/: 2,100 2,100 NM : 900 900 NY : 1,600 1,400 ND : 1,150 1,200 OH : 3,600 3,700 OK : 1,600 1,500 OR : 3,100 3,000 PA : 2,600 2,500 SD : 2,500 2,500 TX : 7,000 7,000 UT : 1,500 1,500 VA : 1,500 1,300 WA : 1,200 1,200 WV : 1,100 1,000 WI : 2,100 2,200 WY : 1,100 1,000 : Sts 2/ : 6,000 5,800 : US : 68,550 66,800 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ N ENG includes CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, and VT. 2/ Other States include AL, AK, AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, KY, LA, MD, MS, NJ, NC, SC, and TN. Breeding Sheep: Survey Percent by Size Group, United States, 1999-2000 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1-99 Head : 100-499 Head : 500-4999 Head : 5000+ Head Item :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : Operations : 90.6 91.2 7.3 7.2 2.0 1.6 0.1 0.1 : Inventory : 25.9 27.9 20.4 22.0 39.0 35.2 14.7 14.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Percents reflect distributions of end of year survey. Goats: Inventory, Selected States, and Total, January 1, 1999-2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Angora : All Goats State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1999 : 2000 : 1999 : 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Head : AZ : 38 36 NA NA NM : 38 30 NA NA TX : 550 370 1,350 1,300 : Total : 626 436 1,350 1,300 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Reliability of January 1 Sheep and Goat Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of U.S. producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all sheep producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. About 13,800 operators were contacted during the first half of January by mail, telephone and face-to-face personal interview. Regardless of when operators responded, they were asked to report inventories as of January 1. Estimation Procedures: These sheep estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness and with estimates from past years. A projected balance sheet for calendar year 1999 was also used. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds estimates of births and imports, and subtracts estimates of slaughter, exports and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared with the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve the current estimate. Previous year estimates are subject to revision when current estimates are made. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture's five-year census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising sheep and goats are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors, such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating reliability of the estimates in this report, the"Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected sheep items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between the first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for sheep and lamb inventory estimates over the past 10 years is 1.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 7.0 million head by more than 1.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.9 percent. Also shown in the table is a 10-year record showing the range between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate. Using estimates for All Sheep and Lambs as an example, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 64,000 head, ranging from 100 to 209,000 head. The initial inventory estimate of All Sheep and Lambs has been below the latest estimate 6 times and above the latest estimate 4 times in the last 10 years. Reliability of U.S. January 1 Sheep and Lamb Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : 90% : Difference Between : : : Confidence : First and Final : Number of : Root : Level : Estimates 1/ : Quarters Item : Mean :--------------------------------------------------------- : Square : : : : : : First : First : Error :Percent: (000) :Average:Smallest:Largest: Above : Below : : : Head : : : : Final : Final -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent ---------- 1,000 Head --------- Number : All Sheep & : 1.1 1.9 133.5 64.0 8.0 209.0 4 6 Lambs : : Breeding : 0.8 1.4 72.3 41.0 2.0 78.0 5 5 Sheep : : Lamb : Crop : 1.0 1.8 84.9 25.0 4.0 112.0 4 6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on data for the past 10 years. Index Page All Goats, Inventory, Texas 1999-2000 . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 All Sheep and Lambs: Number by Class, U.S.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 Number by Class, by State and U.S. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Operations with Sheep. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Angora Goats, Inventory, Selected States . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Breeding Sheep: Operations and Inventory, Survey Percent by Size Group, U.S. .9 Breeding Sheep and Lambs, Number by Class, by State and U.S. . . .5 Lamb Crop per 100 Ewes 1+, Number and Percent of Previous Year, by State and U.S. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 Market Sheep and Lambs, Number by Weight Group, State and U.S. January 1, 1999. .6 Market Sheep and Lambs, Number by Weight Group, State and U.S. January 1, 2000. .7 Reliability of U.S. January 1 Sheep and Lamb Estimates (RMSE). . 11 The next "Sheep and Goats" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on July 21, 2000. 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