Pou 3-2 (1-03) Turkeys Raised National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released January 9, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Turkeys Raised" call John Lange at (202) 720-0585, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Turkeys Raised in 2002 Up Slightly from 2001 Turkeys raised in the United States during 2002 totaled 272 million birds, up fractionally from the 272 million raised in 2001. North Carolina ranked first in the number raised with 45.5 million, followed by Minnesota with 44.0 million, Arkansas with 29.5 million, Missouri with 25.5 million, Virginia with 20.0 million, California with 17.7 million, and Indiana with 13.0 million. These States accounted for 72 percent of the turkeys produced in the United States during 2002. Turkey Growers Plan 2 Percent Decrease in 2003 Turkey growers in 23 States intend to decrease the number of birds raised by 2 percent in 2003. These states produced over 99% of the turkeys raised in 2002. Intentions for the top seven producing States compared with 2002 are as follows: Minnesota up 2 percent, North Carolina down 3 percent, Arkansas and Missouri down 2 percent, Virginia down 5 percent, California down 10 percent, and Indiana unchanged. The number of turkeys actually raised in 2003 may vary from growers' intentions shown in this report depending on feed costs, supply of hatching eggs, cost of poults, and prices growers receive for turkeys during the next few months. Turkeys: Number Raised in 2001 and 2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2002 State :-------------------------------------------------: as % of : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- 1,000 Head ---------- Percent : AR : 27,000 29,500 109 CA : 18,700 17,700 95 CT : 5 7 140 DE : 4 3 75 IL : 2,900 2,900 100 IN : 14,000 13,000 93 IA : 7,100 6,800 96 MD : 460 435 95 MA : 74 68 92 MI : 4,500 4,800 107 MN : 44,000 44,000 100 MO : 24,000 25,500 106 NH : 6 5 83 NJ : 44 34 77 NY : 510 520 102 NC : 43,000 45,500 106 ND : 1,600 1,900 119 OH : 4,800 5,400 113 PA : 9,500 9,900 104 SC : 9,200 9,900 108 SD : 4,900 4,800 98 VT : 45 46 102 VA : 24,000 20,000 83 WV : 4,100 3,600 88 : Oth Sts 2/ : 27,611 26,111 95 : US : 272,059 272,429 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ CO, KS, NE, OK, OR, TX, UT, and WI combined to avoid disclosing individual operations. Turkeys: Death Loss by Geographic Region and United States, 2000-02 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Young Turkeys Lost as a Percent of Geographic : Total Poults Placed Region :----------------------------------------------------- : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : East North Central : 10.5 11.1 11.6 West North Central : 12.2 12.3 11.5 North & South Atlantic : 9.6 9.4 10.9 South Central : 10.1 12.1 10.8 West : 11.0 13.4 15.1 : US : 10.8 11.3 11.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Regional Listing: North Atlantic: CT, ME, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT. East North Central: IL, IN, MI, OH, WI. West North Central: IA, KS, MN, MO, NE, ND, SD. South Atlantic: DE, FL, GA, MD, NC, SC, VA, WV. South Central: AL, AR, KY, LA, MS, OK, TN, TX. West: AZ, CA, CO, ID, MT, NM, NV, OR, UT, WA, WY. Turkeys: Number Raised in 2002 and Intentions for 2003, Selected States and 23 State Total -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2003 State :-------------------------------------------------: as % of : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- 1,000 Head ---------- Percent : AR : 29,500 29,000 98 CA : 17,700 16,000 90 IL : 2,900 2,900 100 IN : 13,000 13,000 100 IA : 6,800 7,000 103 MI : 4,800 4,800 100 MN : 44,000 45,000 102 MO : 25,500 25,000 98 NC : 45,500 44,000 97 ND : 1,900 2,100 111 OH : 5,400 5,300 98 PA : 9,900 9,900 100 SC : 9,900 9,700 98 SD : 4,800 5,200 108 VA : 20,000 19,000 95 WV : 3,600 3,600 100 : Oth Sts 1/ : 26,100 23,950 92 : 23 State Total: 271,300 265,450 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ CO, KS, NE, OK, TX, UT, and WI combined to avoid disclosing individual operations. Turkeys Hatchery Production: Monthly Poult Placements, United States, 2000-02 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Total All : Percent : Cumulative : Percent : Breeds : of : Total : of Month :--------------------: Previous :---------------------: Previous : 2000-01 : 2001-02 : Year : 2000-01 : 2001-02 : Year -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- 1,000 ----- Percent ------ 1,000 ----- Percent : Sep : 23,016 22,414 97 23,016 22,414 97 Oct : 23,672 24,128 102 46,688 46,542 100 Nov : 23,357 24,226 104 70,045 70,768 101 Dec : 23,297 24,499 105 93,342 95,267 102 Jan : 25,612 25,880 101 118,954 121,147 102 Feb : 23,775 24,266 102 142,729 145,413 102 Mar : 26,148 25,746 98 168,877 171,159 101 Apr : 25,858 26,184 101 194,735 197,343 101 May : 26,682 25,551 96 221,417 222,894 101 Jun : 26,121 24,409 93 247,538 247,303 100 Jul : 27,064 25,646 95 274,602 272,949 99 Aug : 25,032 24,924 100 299,634 297,873 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes exported poults. Turkeys Raised Estimates Survey Procedures: Survey data for the turkeys raised estimate are collected from a list of contractors and independent growers during December. States use all known sources of producer names to ensure that the list is as complete as possible. Turkey producers are then contacted either by mail, telephone, or in person. Diligent effort is made to ensure that all operations are accounted for in the estimate. Estimation Procedures: Turkeys raised estimates include young turkeys intended for meat production, as well as breeder turkeys which reached maturity during the calendar year. These estimates exclude turkeys lost to disease or those destroyed. Placements of turkey poults from the Monthly Turkey Hatchery Survey provide the basis for the preliminary estimates published in August. Final estimates, published in January, use indications from the December Growers Survey in addition to updated hatchery data. Other indications for the final estimates are obtained from monthly slaughter totals and check-off data provided by individual State turkey or poultry associations. Generally, individual State data are not published if there are less than three operations in a State, or if any one operation has 60 percent or more of the total turkeys in the State. These data are combined into the "Other States" category. Reliability: Turkeys raised estimates are based on a census of known active producers and, therefore, have no sampling variability. However, estimates may be subject to errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing of the data. These errors are minimized through strict quality controls in the edit and summarization process, and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Revision Policy: Estimates for the previous year are subject to revision when preliminary raised estimates are made in August. Revisions are primarily based on updated hatchery and slaughter data, and at the U.S. level, are usually less than one-half of one percent of the final estimate published in January. Estimates are also reviewed after data from the Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions are made after that date. The next "Turkeys Raised" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on August 22, 2003. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). 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