Pou 3-2 (8-02) Turkeys Raised National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released August 23, 2002, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Turkeys Raised" call John Lange at (202) 720-0585, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Turkeys Raised Down 1 Percent from 2001 The preliminary estimate of turkeys raised in the United States during 2002 is 270 million, down 1 percent from the number raised during 2001. The following six States are expected to account for about two-thirds of the turkeys produced in the United States during 2002: North Carolina, at 44.5 million birds, is expected to raise the largest number of any state, and shows a 3 percent increase from last year. Minnesota ranks second with 44.0 million birds, the same as 2001. Arkansas is in third place by producing 29.0 million birds, 7 percent more than a year ago. Missouri growers expect to produce 24.0 million birds in 2002, unchanged from the previous year. Virginia, at 20.0 million birds is down 17 percent from 2001. California expects to raise 17.7 million turkeys, 5 percent less than a year earlier. Turkeys: Number Raised by State and United States, 2001-2002 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 2002 State :-------------------------------------------------: as % of : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- 1,000 Head ---------- Percent : AR : 27,000 29,000 107 CA : 18,700 17,700 95 CT : 5 5 100 DE : 4 3 75 IL : 2,900 2,900 100 IN : 14,000 13,000 93 IA : 7,100 6,800 96 MD : 460 435 95 MA : 74 60 81 MI : 4,500 4,600 102 MN : 44,000 44,000 100 MO : 24,000 24,000 100 NH : 6 6 100 NJ : 44 32 73 NY : 510 520 102 NC : 43,000 44,500 103 ND : 1,600 1,900 119 OH : 4,800 5,300 110 PA : 9,500 9,600 101 SC : 9,200 10,000 109 SD : 4,900 4,600 94 VT : 45 45 100 VA : 24,000 20,000 83 WV : 4,100 3,600 88 : Oth Sts 2/ : 27,611 27,311 99 : US : 272,059 269,917 99 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. 2/ CO, KS, NE, OK, OR, TX, UT, and WI combined to avoid disclosing individual operations. Turkeys Raised Estimates Data Sources: The Turkey Hatchery Survey provides the basis for the preliminary Turkeys Raised estimate published in August. Turkey hatchery estimates are made in 20 States each month and provide the number of eggs in incubators and poults placed in production. Data on poults placed into the United States from Canadian hatcheries are also included in the preliminary estimate. Estimation Procedures: Turkeys Raised preliminary estimates include young turkeys intended for meat production, as well as breeder turkeys which reached maturity during the calendar year. These estimates exclude turkeys lost to disease or those destroyed. Placement of turkey poults from the monthly "Turkey Hatchery" survey provides the basis for the preliminary estimates published in August. Final estimates, published in January, use indications from the December Growers Survey in addition to updated hatchery data. Other indications for the final estimates are obtained from monthly slaughter totals and check-off data provided by individual State turkey or poultry associations. Generally, individual State data are not published if there are less than three operations in a State, or if any one operation has 60 percent or more of the total turkeys in the State. These data are combined into the "Other States" category. Reliability: Turkeys raised preliminary estimates are based on a census of known active hatcheries and, therefore, have no sampling variability. However, estimates may be subject to errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing of the data. These errors are minimized through strict quality controls in the edit and summarization process, and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Revision Policy: Estimates for the previous year are subject to revision when preliminary raised estimates are made in August. Revisions are primarily based on updated hatchery and slaughter data, and at the U.S. level, are usually less than one-half of one percent of the final estimate published in January. Estimates are also reviewed after data from the five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions are made after that date. The next "Turkeys Raised" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on January 9, 2003. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). 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