HDR1012000130080326971500Wool and Mohair Released March 26, 1997, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Wool and Mohair" call James Hand at (202) 690-3236, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. 1996 Wool Production Down 11 Percent Shorn wool production in the United States during 1996 was 56.7 million pounds, down 11 percent from 1995. Sheep and lambs shorn totaled 7.28 million head, a decrease of 11 percent from 1995. The average price paid for wool sold in 1996 was $0.70 per pound for a total value of $39.7 million, down 38 percent from $64.3 million in 1995. Mohair production in the four major producing states (Arizona, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) during 1996 was 8.05 million pounds, down 33 percent from 1995. Goats and kids clipped, at 1.20 million head, was down 26 percent from 1995. Average weight per clip was 6.7 pounds compared with 7.4 pounds a year earlier. Value of mohair production was $15.5 million, down 30 percent from 1995. Wool: Production, Price, and Value, United States, 1994-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sheep : Weight : Shorn : Price : Year : Shorn : per : Wool : per : Value : 1/ : Fleece : Production : Pound : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Dollars 1,000 : Head Pounds Dollars : 1994 : 8,877 7.73 68,577 .78 52,377 1995 : *8,138 7.80 63,513 1.04 *64,277 1996 : 7,279 7.79 56,669 .70 39,659 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Includes shearing at commercial feeding yards. Lv Gn 2 (3-97) Mohair: Production, Price, and Value, 4-State Total, 1994-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Average : : Price : Year : Goats : Clip per : Production : per : Value : Clipped : Goat : : Pound : 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Dollars 1,000 : Head Pounds Dollars : 1994 : 1,774 7.1 12,608 2.56 32,247 1995 : 1,618 7.4 *12,019 1.84 *22,089 1996 : 1,198 6.7 8,045 1.92 15,486 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mohair: Production, Price, and Value by Selected States and 4-State Total, 1995-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Average : : : : Goats : Clip : : Price : : Clipped : per : Production : per : Value 1/ State : : Goat : : Pound : :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Dollars 1,000 :--- Head --- --- Pounds -- --- Dollars -- : AZ : 40 38 *4.5 4.2 *180 160 1.52 1.47 *274 235 NM : 85 80 4.0 4.0 340 320 1.66 1.61 564 515 OK : 23 10 7.8 7.5 180 75 1.73 1.73 311 130 TX :1,470 1,070 7.7 7.0 11,319 7,490 1.85 1.95 20,940 14,606 : 4 Sts :1,618 1,198 7.4 6.7 *12,019 8,045 1.84 1.92 *22,089 15,486 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price for individual States; 4-State value is summation of State values. Wool: Number of Sheep and Lambs Shorn, Weight per Fleece, and Production by State and United States, 1995-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sheep Shorn : Weight per Fleece : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- --- Pounds --- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : AL : 7.0 5.0 6.0 6.0 42 30 AK : .9 1.0 *7.8 7.0 *7 7 AZ : 140.0 125.0 6.8 6.0 950 750 CA : 690.0 640.0 7.6 7.6 5,250 4,860 CO : 540.0 605.0 7.3 7.1 3,960 4,318 CT : 4.5 5.4 7.6 6.5 34 35 ID : 233.0 239.0 9.3 9.3 2,164 2,228 IL : 86.0 85.0 6.9 6.7 590 570 IN : 70.0 67.0 6.8 6.4 475 430 IA : 345.0 335.0 6.0 6.0 2,070 2,000 KS : 144.0 111.0 7.0 7.0 1,010 780 KY : 18.0 15.5 6.8 6.5 123 100 LA : 10.0 9.0 5.5 6.1 55 55 ME : 7.5 8.0 7.9 7.0 59 56 MD : 21.0 24.0 8.7 6.7 182 161 MA : 6.0 9.0 7.3 7.0 44 63 MI : 85.0 81.0 7.7 7.6 658 615 MN : 170.0 170.0 6.8 6.6 1,150 1,120 MO : 90.0 77.0 *6.4 6.7 *572 513 MT : 468.0 434.0 9.4 9.6 4,413 4,150 NE : 90.0 97.0 7.6 7.4 680 720 NV : 74.0 70.0 9.2 9.6 680 669 NH : *5.1 5.1 *7.1 7.1 *36 36 NJ : 10.0 14.0 9.3 6.9 93 96 NM : 340.0 305.0 8.8 9.0 3,000 2,753 NY : 54.0 53.0 7.0 7.1 380 377 NC : 10.5 10.6 6.9 6.7 72 71 ND : *115.0 110.0 9.1 8.8 *1,045 965 OH : *156.0 133.0 *7.1 6.8 *1,100 910 OK : 52.0 36.0 6.3 6.4 330 230 OR : 360.0 340.0 6.7 6.6 2,412 2,245 PA : 81.0 72.0 6.9 6.9 560 500 SD : 460.0 420.0 8.6 8.5 3,967 3,580 TN : 10.0 10.0 7.5 6.0 75 60 TX : 1,820.0 1,320.0 7.4 7.5 13,468 9,900 UT : *364.0 336.0 *9.6 9.2 3,500 3,090 VT : *12.5 14.5 *7.2 7.2 *90 105 VA : 58.0 56.0 6.2 6.2 358 346 WA : 44.0 48.0 8.5 8.9 375 426 WV : 54.0 45.0 6.3 6.0 340 270 WI : 67.0 63.0 7.8 7.5 525 470 WY : 730.0 640.0 8.8 9.1 6,411 5,811 : Oth Sts 1/ : 35.1 34.7 5.9 5.7 208 198 : US : *8,138.1 7,278.8 7.8 7.8 *63,513 56,669 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, MS, RI, and SC. Wool: Price and Value by State and United States, 1995-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per Pound : Value 1/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 1995 : 1996 : 1995 : 1996 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Dollars ----- ---- 1,000 Dollars --- : AL : 1.15 .38 48 11 AK : 1.25 .90 *9 6 AZ : .62 .61 589 458 CA : 1.02 .67 5,355 3,256 CO : 1.09 .73 4,316 3,152 CT : .78 .40 27 14 ID : .88 .62 1,904 1,381 IL : .55 .34 325 194 IN : .55 .31 261 133 IA : .60 .39 1,242 780 KS : .83 .51 838 398 KY : .70 .33 86 33 LA : .68 .33 37 18 ME : .76 .45 45 25 MD : .81 .49 147 79 MA : .80 .40 35 25 MI : .68 .36 447 221 MN : .64 .43 736 482 MO : .64 .36 *366 185 MT : 1.23 .94 5,428 3,901 NE : .65 .49 442 353 NV : 1.08 .69 734 462 NH : .98 .60 *35 22 NJ : .76 .78 71 75 NM : 1.17 .85 3,510 2,340 NY : .84 .55 319 207 NC : .85 .62 61 44 ND : .94 .70 *982 676 OH : .65 .39 *715 355 OK : .79 .50 261 115 OR : .80 .45 1,930 1,010 PA : .78 .49 437 245 SD : 1.08 .77 4,284 2,757 TN : .82 .42 62 25 TX : 1.15 .84 15,488 8,316 UT : 1.01 .65 3,535 2,009 VT : .84 .60 *76 63 VA : .88 .48 315 166 WA : .84 .60 315 256 WV : .88 .51 299 138 WI : .62 .42 326 197 WY : 1.20 .86 7,693 4,997 : Oth Sts 2/ : .70 .40 146 79 : US : 1.04 .70 *64,277 39,659 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price. U.S. value is summation of State values. 2/ AR, DE, FL, GA, MS, RI, SC. Reliability of Wool and Mohair Production Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of U. S. producers was surveyed to provide data for the number of sheep shorn and production estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all sheep and goat producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 16,000 operators during the first half of January by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Estimation Procedures: These sheep shorn, wool and mohair production estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve the current estimate. Previous year estimates are subject to revision when current estimates are made. Inventory estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Commerce's five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising sheep and goats are not included in the sample for the inventory and production estimates, survey data are subject to sampling variability. Survey results for inventory and production estimates are also subject to non-sampling errors, such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for sheep shorn estimates over the past 10 years is 0.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 7.3 million head by more than 0.5 percent, or about 36,500 head. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.0 percent, or about 72,800 head (the 90 percent confidence level). Also shown in the table is a 10-year record showing the range between the first estimate and the latest estimate. Using estimates for Sheep and Lambs Shorn as an example, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 44,100 head, ranging from 4,400 to 104,000 head. The inventory estimate of Sheep and Lambs Shorn has been below the latest estimate 6 times and above 4 times in the last 10 years. Reliability of U.S. Sheep Shorn and Wool Production Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : : Root : : First and Latest : Number of : Mean : 90% : Estimates : Years Item :Square : Confidence :--------------------------------------------------- : Error : Level : : : : First : First : : : Average : Smallest : Largest : Above : Below : : : : : : Latest : Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Percent ---- -------- 1,000 Head ------- Number : Sheep : Shorn: : .5 1.0 72.8 44.1 4.4 104.8 4 6 : 1,000 Pounds : Wool : Prod : .6 1.2 680.0 359.3 16.0 1,307.0 4 6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on data from 1996 through 1995. The next "Wool and Mohair" report will be released in March 1998. 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