HDR1012000130080329951500Wool and Mohair HDR2012000130080329951500Wool and Mohair Narrative Released March 29, 1995, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Production estimates refer to 1994 and stocks estimates to January 1, 1995. 1994 Wool Production Down 11 Percent Shorn wool production in the United States during 1994 was 68.6 million pounds, down 11 percent from 1993. Sheep and lambs shorn totaled 8.88 million head, also a decrease of 11 percent from 1993. The average price paid for wool sold in 1994 was $0.78 per pound for a total value of $52.4 million, up 34 percent from $39.1 million in 1993. There were 51.9 million pounds of domestic and foreign apparel and carpet scoured raw wool stored in the United States on January 1, 1995. Wool: Production, Price, and Value, United States, 1992-94 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sheep : Weight : Shorn : Price : Year : Shorn : per : Wool : per : Value : 1/ : Fleece : Production : Pound 2/ : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Dollars 1,000 : Head Pounds Dollars : 1992 : 10,521 7.88 82,943 .74 60,162 1993 : *9,976 *7.77 *77,535 .51 *39,077 1994 : 8,882 7.73 68,643 .78 52,419 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Includes shearing at commercial feeding yards. 2/ Weighted by sales. Wool Stocks: Apparel and Carpet Wool, Scoured Basis, United States, January 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Apparel : Year : Grand :--------------------------------------: Carpet : Total 2/ : Total 2/ : Domestic : Foreign : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Million Pounds : 1995 : 51.9 48.6 22.3 26.2 3.4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Including washed wool, stocks held on consignment, stocks in custom bonded warehouses and stocks in the process of manufacture up to the carding operation. Data does not include pulled wool and stocks held for the account of domestic growers except that held on consignment for growers. Data not included for companies with stocks of less than 10,000 pounds. 2/ Total may not add due to rounding. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For information call Linda Simpson at (202) 720-3578. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. Lv Gn 2 (3-95) Mohair production in the five major producing States (Arizona, Michigan, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) during 1994 was 12.6 million pounds, down 15 percent from 1993. Goats and kids clipped, at 1.77 million head, were down 17 percent from 1993. Average weight per head clipped was 7.1 pounds compared with 6.9 pounds a year earlier. Value of mohair production was $32.2 million, up 167 percent from 1993. HDR2012000130080329951500Production, Price, and Value Mohair: Production, Price, and Value, 5-State Total, 1992-94 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Average : : Price : Year : Goats : Clip per : Production : per : Value 2/ : Clipped : Goat : : Pound 1/ : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Dollars 1,000 : Head Pounds Dollars : 1992 : 2,254 6.9 15,582 .86 13,389 1993 : 2,145 6.9 *14,847 .82 *12,066 1994 : 1,774 7.1 12,608 2.56 32,247 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Weighted by sales. 2/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price for individual States. 5- St value is summation of State values. Mohair: Production, Price, and Value by Selected States and 5-State Total, 1993-94 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Average : : : : Goats : Clip : : Price : : Clipped : per : Production : per : Value 2/ State : : Goat : : Pound 1/ : :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Dollars 1,000 : Head Pounds Dollars : AZ : 70 49 4.4 4.1 310 200 .32 .74 99 148 MI : 8 7 *10.6 10.0 *85 70 .94 2.67 *80 187 NM : 110 85 4.5 4.5 495 383 .63 1.61 312 617 OK : 57 33 8.2 8.3 467 275 .81 2.52 378 693 TX :1,900 1,600 7.1 7.3 13,490 11,680 .83 2.62 11,197 30,602 : 5 Sts :2,145 1,774 6.9 7.1 *14,847 12,608 .82 2.56 *12,066 32,247 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Weighted by sales. 2/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price for individual states; 5- St value is summation of State values. HDR2012000130080329951500Wool Wool: Number of Sheep and Lambs Shorn, Weight per Fleece, and Production by State and United States, 1993-94 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sheep Shorn : Weight per Fleece : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- ---- Pounds ---- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : AL : 9.0 8.0 5.6 5.8 50 46 AK : .9 1.2 7.8 6.7 7 8 AZ : *185.0 160.0 *7.0 6.9 *1,300 1,100 CA : 800.0 695.0 7.6 7.7 6,044 5,318 CO : 725.0 635.0 7.2 7.3 5,199 4,607 CT : *6.5 4.5 7.5 7.3 *49 33 ID : 245.0 234.0 10.0 9.6 2,454 2,254 IL : 99.0 96.0 6.9 6.7 681 639 IN : *86.0 75.8 *6.5 7.2 *562 548 IA : 396.0 276.0 6.2 5.9 2,443 1,637 KS : 169.0 130.0 7.3 7.0 1,228 908 KY : *27.0 18.5 *6.1 7.0 *165 130 LA : 11.5 10.8 6.1 6.0 70 65 ME : *13.0 10.0 7.6 7.6 *99 76 MD : 28.0 26.0 6.5 6.9 181 180 MA : *10.0 8.0 7.5 7.3 *75 58 MI : *81.0 79.0 *7.6 7.6 *612 599 MN : 210.0 175.0 7.1 6.7 1,484 1,175 MO : 99.0 105.0 7.1 6.5 700 686 MT : *570.0 533.0 9.7 9.6 *5,542 5,092 NE : 121.0 95.0 7.5 7.1 902 673 NV : 70.0 74.0 8.9 9.8 620 722 NH : *6.0 4.5 7.7 7.3 *46 33 NJ : 11.4 11.4 7.0 7.5 80 85 NM : 419.0 371.0 9.0 8.9 3,774 3,297 NY : 61.0 63.0 6.9 7.1 419 448 NC : 14.4 12.8 6.9 6.7 99 86 ND : *159.0 135.0 9.4 9.3 *1,496 1,260 OH : *197.0 170.0 7.2 7.1 *1,411 1,200 OK : *71.0 63.0 *7.2 6.2 *510 390 OR : 381.0 342.0 6.3 6.6 2,396 2,266 PA : *88.0 81.0 7.0 6.9 *615 562 SD : 580.0 520.0 8.6 8.6 5,003 4,465 TN : 10.9 9.6 6.4 6.7 70 64 TX : 2,340.0 2,120.0 7.3 7.0 17,000 14,840 UT : 405.0 384.0 9.7 10.0 3,930 3,843 VT : *15.0 16.0 8.1 6.9 *122 110 VA : 76.0 69.1 6.2 5.9 470 409 WA : 62.0 47.0 9.3 8.8 575 415 WV : 69.0 60.0 5.8 6.0 400 360 WI : *87.0 64.0 *7.5 7.6 *649 488 WY : *920.0 870.0 *8.4 8.4 *7,749 7,343 : Oth Sts 1/ : 41.4 19.2 6.1 6.5 254 125 : US : *9,976.0 8,882.4 *7.77 7.73 *77,535 68,643 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Includes AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, MS, RI, and SC. Wool: Price and Value by State and United States, 1993-94 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per Pound 1/ : Value 2/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1993 : 1994 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Dollars ----- ---- 1,000 Dollars --- : AL : .32 .83 16 38 AK : .95 1.20 7 10 AZ : .41 .47 *533 517 CA : .46 .65 2,780 3,457 CO : .50 .72 2,600 3,317 CT : .51 .62 *25 20 ID : .49 .68 1,202 1,533 IL : .24 .38 163 243 IN : .23 .34 *129 186 IA : .27 .39 660 638 KS : .40 .63 491 572 KY : .34 .53 *56 69 LA : .29 .53 20 34 ME : .69 .80 *68 61 MD : .39 .54 71 97 MA : .59 .79 *44 46 MI : .34 .52 *208 311 MN : .28 .42 416 494 MO : .28 .42 196 288 MT : .54 .86 *2,993 4,379 NE : .36 .50 325 337 NV : .51 .73 316 527 NH : .61 .81 *28 27 NJ : .50 .66 40 56 NM : .57 .83 2,151 2,737 NY : .41 .65 172 291 NC : .45 .61 45 52 ND : .40 .61 *598 769 OH : .31 .48 *437 576 OK : .39 .64 *199 250 OR : .36 .55 863 1,246 PA : .36 .58 *221 326 SD : .51 .75 2,552 3,349 TN : .38 .65 27 42 TX : .65 1.05 11,050 15,582 UT : .57 .70 2,240 2,690 VT : .81 .81 *99 89 VA : .37 .63 174 258 WA : .47 .60 270 249 WV : .35 .56 140 202 WI : .28 .44 *182 215 WY : .54 .84 *4,184 6,168 : Oth Sts 3/ : .34 .57 86 71 : US : .51 .78 *39,077 52,419 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Weighted by sales. 2/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price for individual States; US value is summation of State values. 3/ Includes AR, DE, FL, GA, MS, RI, and SC. HDR2012000130080329951500Raw Carpet and Apparel Wool Raw Carpet and Apparel Wool: Commercial Stocks, Domestic and Foreign, by Grade, United States, January 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Shorn Greasy Wool : : Total :-------------------------------: Scoured Product : Equivalent : : Estimated : Wool : Scoured : Greasy : Scoured : Weight : Weight 3/ : Weight : Weight : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : Carpet Wool : 3,363 3,079 2,378 986 (incl. rugs, etc.) : : Apparel Wool : (incl. blankets, : felt, etc.) : : Domestic : : 60's and Finer : 14,660 22,061 11,766 2,894 : Coarser that 60 : 7,671 8,725 5,545 2,127 : Total Domestic 3/ : 22,331 30,785 17,310 5,021 : Foreign : : 60's and Finer : 2/ 22,269 2/ 2/ : Coarser than 60 : 2/ 7,190 2/ 2/ : Total Foreign 3/ : 26,245 29,459 18,044 8,201 : Total Apparel 3/ : 48,576 60,244 35,354 13,222 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Including washed wool, stocks held on consignment, stocks in Custom bonded warehouses and stocks in the process of manufacture up to the carding operation. Data does not include pulled wool and stocks held for the account of domestic growers except that held on consignment for growers. Data not included for companies with stocks of less than 10,000 pounds. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 3/ Totals may not add due to rounding. HDR2012000130080329951500Stocks by Product, United States Mohair: Stocks by Product, United States, January 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Shorn Greasy Wool : : Total :-----------------------------: Scoured Product : Equivalent : : Estimated : Wool : Scoured : Greasy : Scoured : Weight : Weight : Weight : Weight : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : Adult Hair : (34.0 and coarser : 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ Microns) : : Young Goat Hair : (29.1 - 33.9 : 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ Microns) : : Kid Hair : 1,039 1,305 1,020 19 (29.0 and finer : Microns) : : Total : 3,638 5,778 3,164 474 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes stocks held on consignment and stocks in process of manufacture up to the carding operation. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. Wool and Mohair: Stocks of Tops and Noils, United States, January 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Product : Tops : Noils : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds : Wool : 11,289 10,119 : Mohair : 1/ 10,226 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. HDR2012000130080329951500Reliability Reliability of Wool and Mohair Production and Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of U. S. producers was surveyed to provide data for the number of sheep shorn and production estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all sheep and goat producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 70,000 operators during the first half of January by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. For the stocks of raw wool and mohair estimates, approximately 400 wool pools, warehouses, buyers, ranchers and processors were contacted. About 150 responded that they had raw wool and/or mohair as of January 1, 1995, and are included in the estimate. Estimation Procedures: These sheep shorn, wool, and mohair production estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years. Consolidated Farm Service Agency's (CFSA) record of pounds of wool and mohair from producers filing for incentive payments was used as check data. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve the current estimate. Previous year estimates are subject to revision when current estimates are made. Inventory estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Commerce's five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising sheep and goats are not included in the sample for the inventory and production estimates, survey data are subject to sampling variability. Survey results for inventory, production and stocks estimates are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for sheep shorn estimates over the past 9 years is 0.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 8.9 million head by more than 0.5 percent, or about 44,400 head. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.0 percent, or about 88,800 head (the 90 percent confidence level). Also shown in the table is a 9-year record showing the range between the first estimate and the latest estimate. Using estimates for Sheep and Lambs Shorn as an example, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 9 years have averaged 46,200 head, ranging from 4,400 to 104,800 head. The inventory estimate of Sheep and Lambs Shorn has been below the latest estimate 6 times and above 3 times in the last 9 years. Reliability of U.S. Sheep and Lambs Shorn and Wool Production Estimates 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : : Root : : First and Latest : Number of : Mean : 90% : Estimates : Years Item :Square: Confidence :----------------------------------------------- : Error: Level : : : : First : First : : : Average : Smallest : Largest : Above : Below : : : : : : Latest: Latest ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : - Percent - ----------- 1,000 Head ------------ Number : Sheep : Shorn : 0.5 1.0 88.8 46.2 4.4 104.8 3 6 : : ------------ 1,000 Pounds ----------- Wool : Prod. : 0.7 1.4 1,085.5 378.4 16.0 1,307.0 3 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on data from 1985 through 1993. The next "Wool and Mohair" report will be released in March 1996. 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