HDR1012000130080327961500Wool and Mohair Released March 27, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Wool and Mohair" call Linda Simpson at (202) 720-3578, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV. 1995 Wool Production Down 8 Percent Shorn wool production in the United States during 1995 was 63.3 million pounds, down 8 percent from 1994. Sheep and lambs shorn totaled 8.11 million head, a decrease of 9 percent from 1994. The average price paid for wool sold in 1995 was $1.04 per pound for a total value of $64.1 million, up 22 percent from $52.4 million in 1994. Mohair production in the five major producing states (Arizona, Michigan, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) during 1995 was 12.1 million pounds, down 4 percent from 1994. Goats and kids clipped, at 1.62 million head, was down 8 percent from 1994. Average weight per clip was 7.4 pounds compared with 7.1 pounds a year earlier. Value of mohair production was $22.2 million, down 32 percent from 1994. Wool: Production, Price, and Value, United States, 1993-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sheep : Weight : Shorn : Price : Year : Shorn : per : Wool : per : Value 3/ : 1/ : Fleece : Production : Pound 2/ : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Dollars 1,000 : Head Pounds Dollars : 1993 : 9,976 7.77 77,535 .51 39,077 1994 : *8,877 7.73 *68,577 .78 *52,377 1995 : 8,108 7.81 63,303 1.04 64,124 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Includes shearing at commercial feeding yards. 2/ Average local market price for wool sold; does not include incentive payment. 3/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price for individual States; US value is summation of State values. Lv Gn 2 (3-96) Mohair: Production, Price, and Value, 5-State Total, 1993-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Average : : Price : Year : Goats : Clip per : Production : per : Value 2/ : Clipped : Goat : : Pound 1/ : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Dollars 1,000 : Head Pounds Dollars : 1993 : 2,145 6.9 14,847 .82 12,066 1994 : 1,774 7.1 12,608 2.56 32,247 1995 : 1,624 7.4 12,059 1.84 22,160 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mohair: Production, Price, and Value by Selected States and 5-State Total, 1994-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Average : : : : Goats : Clip : : Price : : Clipped : per : Production : per : Value 2/ State : : Goat : : Pound 1/ : :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Dollars 1,000 :--- Head --- --- Pounds -- --- Dollars -- : AZ : 49 40 4.1 4.0 200 160 .74 1.52 148 243 MI : 7 6 10.0 10.0 70 60 2.67 1.70 187 102 NM : 85 85 4.5 4.0 383 340 1.61 1.66 617 564 OK : 33 23 8.3 7.8 275 180 2.52 1.73 693 311 TX :1,600 1,470 7.3 7.7 11,680 11,319 2.62 1.85 30,602 20,940 : 5 Sts :1,774 1,624 7.1 7.4 12,608 12,059 2.56 1.84 32,247 22,160 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Average local market price for mohair sold; does not include incentive payment. 2/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price for individual States; 5-State value is summation of State values. Wool: Number of Sheep and Lambs Shorn, Weight per Fleece, and Production by State and United States, 1994-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Sheep Shorn : Weight per Fleece : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- 1,000 Head --- --- Pounds --- -- 1,000 Pounds -- : AL : 8.0 7.0 5.8 6.0 46 42 AK : 1.2 .9 6.7 5.6 8 5 AZ : 160.0 140.0 6.9 6.8 1,100 950 CA : 695.0 690.0 7.7 7.6 5,318 5,250 CO : 635.0 540.0 7.3 7.3 4,607 3,960 CT : 4.5 4.5 7.3 7.6 33 34 ID : 234.0 233.0 9.6 9.3 2,254 2,164 IL : 96.0 86.0 6.7 6.9 639 590 IN : 75.8 70.0 7.2 6.8 548 475 IA : 276.0 345.0 5.9 6.0 1,637 2,070 KS : 130.0 144.0 7.0 7.0 908 1,010 KY : 18.5 18.0 7.0 6.8 130 123 LA : 10.8 10.0 6.0 5.5 65 55 ME : *9.5 7.5 7.6 7.9 *72 59 MD : 26.0 21.0 6.9 8.7 180 182 MA : 8.0 6.0 *7.0 7.3 *56 44 MI : 79.0 85.0 7.6 7.7 599 658 MN : 175.0 170.0 6.7 6.8 1,175 1,150 MO : 105.0 90.0 6.5 6.3 686 570 MT : 533.0 468.0 9.6 9.4 5,092 4,413 NE : 95.0 90.0 7.1 7.6 673 680 NV : 74.0 74.0 9.8 9.2 722 680 NH : 4.5 5.0 7.3 7.4 33 37 NJ : 11.4 10.0 7.5 9.3 85 93 NM : 371.0 340.0 8.9 8.8 3,297 3,000 NY : 63.0 54.0 7.1 7.0 448 380 NC : 12.8 10.5 6.7 6.9 86 72 ND : *130.0 109.0 *9.2 9.1 *1,200 990 OH : 170.0 136.0 7.1 7.0 1,200 950 OK : 63.0 52.0 6.2 6.3 390 330 OR : 342.0 360.0 6.6 6.7 2,266 2,412 PA : 81.0 81.0 6.9 6.9 562 560 SD : 520.0 460.0 8.6 8.6 4,465 3,967 TN : 9.6 10.0 6.7 7.5 64 75 TX : 2,120.0 1,820.0 7.0 7.4 14,840 13,468 UT : 384.0 360.0 10.0 9.7 3,843 3,500 VT : 16.0 12.0 6.9 7.3 110 88 VA : 69.1 58.0 5.9 6.2 409 358 WA : 47.0 44.0 8.8 8.5 415 375 WV : 60.0 54.0 6.0 6.3 360 340 WI : 64.0 67.0 7.6 7.8 488 525 WY : 870.0 730.0 8.4 8.8 7,343 6,411 : Oth Sts 1/ : 19.2 35.1 6.5 5.9 125 208 : US : *8,876.9 8,107.5 7.73 7.81 *68,577 63,303 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ AR, DE, FL, GA, HI, MS, RI, and SC. Wool: Price and Value by State and United States, 1994-95 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Price per Pound 1/ : Value 2/ State :--------------------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ Dollars ----- ---- 1,000 Dollars --- : AL : .83 1.15 38 48 AK : 1.20 1.25 10 6 AZ : .47 .62 517 589 CA : .65 1.02 3,457 5,355 CO : .72 1.09 3,317 4,316 CT : .62 .78 20 27 ID : .68 .88 1,533 1,904 IL : .38 .55 243 325 IN : .34 .55 186 261 IA : .39 .60 638 1,242 KS : .63 .83 572 838 KY : .53 .70 69 86 LA : .53 .68 34 37 ME : .80 .76 *58 45 MD : .54 .81 97 147 MA : .79 .80 *44 35 MI : .52 .68 311 447 MN : .42 .64 494 736 MO : .42 .64 288 365 MT : .86 1.23 4,379 5,428 NE : .50 .65 337 442 NV : .73 1.08 527 734 NH : .81 .98 27 36 NJ : .66 .76 56 71 NM : .83 1.17 2,737 3,510 NY : .65 .84 291 319 NC : .61 .85 52 61 ND : .61 .94 *732 931 OH : .48 .65 576 618 OK : .64 .79 250 261 OR : .55 .80 1,246 1,930 PA : .58 .78 326 437 SD : .75 1.08 3,349 4,284 TN : .65 .82 42 62 TX : 1.05 1.15 15,582 15,488 UT : .70 1.01 2,690 3,535 VT : .81 .84 89 74 VA : .63 .88 258 315 WA : .60 .84 249 315 WV : .56 .88 202 299 WI : .44 .62 215 326 WY : .84 1.20 6,168 7,693 : Oth Sts 3/ : .57 .70 71 146 : US : .78 1.04 *52,377 64,124 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. 1/ Average local market price for wool sold; does not include incentive payment. 2/ Production multiplied by marketing year average price for individual States, US value is summation of State values. 3/ AR, DE, FL, GA, MS, RI, and SC. Reliability of Wool and Mohair Production Estimates Survey Procedures: A random sample of U. S. producers was surveyed to provide data for the number of sheep shorn and production estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all sheep and goat producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 18,000 operators during the first half of January by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Estimation Procedures: These sheep shorn, wool and mohair production estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years. Farm Service Agency's (FSA) record of pounds of wool and mohair from producers filing for incentive payments was used as check data. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve the current estimate. Previous year estimates are subject to revision when current estimates are made. Inventory estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Commerce's five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising sheep and goats are not included in the sample for the inventory and production estimates, survey data are subject to sampling variability. Survey results for inventory and production estimates are also subject to non-sampling errors, such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table below. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for sheep shorn estimates over the past 10 years is 0.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 7.7 million head by more than 0.5 percent, or about 38,800 head. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.0 percent, or about 77,600 head (the 90 percent confidence level). Also shown in the table is a 10-year record showing the range between the first estimate and the latest estimate. Using estimates for Sheep and Lambs Shorn as an example, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 42,200 head, ranging from 4,400 to 104,800 head. The inventory estimate of Sheep and Lambs Shorn has been below the latest estimate 6 times and above 4 times in the last 10 years. Reliability of U.S. Sheep Shorn and Wool Production Estimates 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference Between : : Root : : First and Latest : Number of : Mean : 90% : Estimates : Years Item :Square : Confidence :--------------------------------------------------- : Error : Level : : : : First : First : : : Average : Smallest : Largest : Above : Below : : : : : : Latest : Latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----- Percent ---- ------- 1,000 Head ------ Number : Sheep : Shorn: : 0.5 1.0 77.6 42.2 4.4 104.8 4 6 : : 1,000 Pounds : Wool : Prod : 0.6 1.2 759.6 347.2 16.0 1,307.0 4 6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on data from 1985 through 1995. The next "Wool and Mohair" report will be released in March 1997. 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