ISSN: 1554-9089 WASDE - 485 August 12, 2010 WHEAT: U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2010/11 are lowered this month as higher expected exports more than offset an increase in forecast production and lower projected feed and residual use. Production is forecast 49 million bushels higher mostly reflecting higher yields for durum and other spring wheat, especially in the Northern Plains. Winter wheat production is also raised slightly as higher yields in the Northern Plains and Pacific Northwest more than offset reductions in the eastern Corn Belt. Feed and residual use is lowered 10 million bushels as rising values have priced wheat out of feed rations. Exports are projected 200 million bushels higher with declines in foreign production, particularly in the FSU-12, reducing global supplies and making U.S. wheat competitive in key Middle East and North Africa markets. U.S. ending stocks are projected 141 million bushels lower from last month, and down 21 million from 2009/10. The 2010/11 season-average farm price is projected at $4.70 to $5.50 per bushel, up 50 cents on both ends of the range. Several changes are made to U.S. supply and use estimates for 2009/10 based on the latest U.S. Bureau of Census trade and mill grind data and revisions. Exports are raised 16 million bushels and imports are raised 4 million bushels. Food use is lowered 3 million bushels. Thus, feed and residual is estimated 10 million bushels lower. Global wheat supplies for 2010/11 are reduced sharply with world production lowered 15.3 million tons, mostly on reductions for FSU-12 and EU-27 countries. Production for Russia is lowered 8.0 million tons as continued extreme drought and record heat during July and early August have further reduced summer crop prospects. Kazakhstan production is lowered 2.5 million tons reflecting the same adverse weather conditions as in Russia. Ukraine production is lowered 3.0 million tons as heavy summer rains damaged maturing crops and hampered harvesting in western and southern growing areas. Harvest results also support indications that producers reduced input use in response to limits on available capital. EU-27 production is lowered 4.3 million tons with yields reduced for northwestern Europe on untimely heat and dryness. Yields are lowered for southeastern Europe as heavy rains from the same weather pattern that affected Ukraine reduced output. Production is also lowered for Algeria, Brazil, Uruguay, Belarus, and Croatia. Partially offsetting are increases for India, the United States, Australia, and Uzbekistan. World wheat imports and exports are reduced sharply as tighter supplies and higher prices reduce projected global consumption. Imports are projected 5.7 million tons lower as higher prices reduce demand in a number of countries. Exports are lowered 12.0 million tons for Russia partly reflecting the recent announcement banning exports through December. Also limiting Russia export prospects is higher expected wheat feeding with drought-reduced forage and coarse grain crops and policy goals aimed at increasing domestic meat production. Exports for Kazakhstan and Ukraine are lowered 2.0 million tons each with sharply lower production. Higher exports from other countries partly offset FSU-12 declines. Exports are raised 1.2 million tons for China, 1.0 million tons each for Australia and EU- 27, and 0.9 million tons for Turkey. The 5.4-million-ton increase projected for U.S. exports is expected to offset the largest share of the decline from FSU-12. Global ending stocks are projected 12.3 million tons lower. At 174.8 million tons, world stocks are projected 49.9 million tons higher than in 2007/08 when prices soared to record levels. COARSE GRAINS: Projected U.S. feed grain supplies for 2010/11 are raised this month as higher forecast production for corn and sorghum more than offset lower corn carryin. Beginning stocks for corn are projected 52 million bushels lower reflecting higher expected exports, corn use for sweeteners and starch, and a small reduction in projected imports for 2009/10. Corn production for 2010/11 is forecast 120 million bushels higher. The survey-based yield forecast of 165.0 bushels per acre is up 1.5 bushels from last month’s projection and 0.3 bushels above last year’s record. Domestic corn use for 2010/11 is raised 30 million bushels reflecting higher expected corn use for sweeteners and starch. Exports are projected 100 million bushels higher as tighter foreign supplies of wheat and coarse grains raise prospects for U.S. corn shipments. Despite higher production, ending stocks are projected down 61 million bushels at 1.3 billion, the lowest in 4 years. The season-average farm price is raised 5 cents on each end of the range to $3.50 to $4.10 per bushel. Similar price increases are projected for the other feed grains. Other 2010/11 feed grains changes include higher sorghum and barley production with higher forecast yields. Sorghum feed and residual use is projected 15 million bushels higher with larger supplies. Sorghum exports are raised 10 million bushels with higher expected demand from Mexico. Global coarse grain supplies for 2010/11 are projected 10.6 million tons lower with reduced foreign production more than offsetting higher U.S. output. More than half of the reduction in foreign coarse grain production is for barley. Barley production is lowered 3.0 million tons for Russia as extended drought and extreme heat sharply reduce yield potential for spring barley. EU-27 barley production is lowered 1.5 million tons on untimely dryness and heat in northwest Europe and excessive rains in eastern Europe. Barley production is lowered 1.5 million tons for Ukraine, 0.6 million tons for Algeria, and 0.5 million tons for Kazakhstan. Global corn production is lowered 0.8 million tons with Russia and Ukraine each lowered 1.5 million tons and EU- 27 lowered 1.0 million tons. These reductions more than offset higher production in the United States. Global rye and oats production are lowered 1.3 million tons and 0.7 million tons, respectively, on reductions for Russia, EU-27, and Ukraine. Global coarse grain imports are raised this month with increases for corn in China, EU-27, South Korea, and Israel, supporting higher expected corn feeding in each country. In EU-27, South Korea, and Israel, corn is expected to replace higher priced wheat in feed rations. Barley feeding is also raised for EU-27 replacing wheat. By contrast, coarse grain feeding is lowered 3.7 million tons for Russia with wheat expected to partly replace barley, corn, oats, and rye in livestock and poultry feeding. Offsetting reduced coarse grain exports from Ukraine and Russia are higher barley exports from EU-27 and Australia and higher corn exports from the United States. Global coarse grain ending stocks are lowered 8.1 million tons with corn ending stocks down 1.9 million. EU-27 barley ending stocks are down 4.0 million tons accounting for most of the rest. Coarse grain and corn ending stocks are both expected to remain well above their recent lows in 2006/07. RICE: U.S. total rice supplies for 2010/11 are projected at a record 299.8 million cwt, down 9.6 million from last month, but up 29.9 million from the previous year. Beginning stocks, imports, and production are lowered from a month ago. U.S. beginning stocks for 2010/11 are lowered 4.5 million cwt to 33.9 million because of changes made to the 2009/10 supply and use balance. USDA's first survey-based forecast of the 2010/11 U.S. rice crop is a record 245.9 million cwt, down 4.1 million from last month's projection, but up 26.0 million from 2009/10. Average yield is forecast at 7,039 pounds per acre, down 118 pounds per acre from last month’s trend-based projection, and a decrease of 46 pounds per acre from last year. Area harvested at 3.5 million acres is unchanged from a month ago. Long-grain production is forecast at a record 187.2 million cwt, down 2.8 million from last month, while combined medium- and short- grain production is forecast at 58.6 million, down 1.4 million from a month ago. The import projection is lowered 1.0 million cwt to 20.0 million based mostly on the revised estimate for 2009/10, indicating slower growth. U.S. total rice use for 2010/11 is projected at a record 243.0 million cwt, up 1.0 million cwt from last month, and an increase of 7.0 million from 2009/10. Domestic and residual use is unchanged from last month. The export projection is raised 1.0 million cwt from last month to 114.0 million based mostly on large food aid announcements for shipment early in the marketing year. The makeup of the export projection is changed from last month, as the combined milled- and brown-rice export projection is raised 5.0 million cwt, and the rough rice export projection is lowered 4.0 million cwt. The long-grain export projection is raised 1.0 million cwt to 80.0 million, and the combined medium- and short-grain estimate is unchanged from a month ago. U.S. rice ending stocks for 2010/11 are estimated at 56.8 million cwt, down 10.6 million from last month, but up 22.9 million from the previous year, and the highest stocks since 1985/86. The all rice and by-class prices for 2010/11 are unchanged from a month ago. The U.S. 2009/10 export estimate is raised 4.0 million cwt to 109.0 million based on U.S. Census data through June and U.S. Export Sales data through July 29. Long-grain exports are raised 2.5 million cwt to 74.5 million, and combined medium- and short-grain exports are raised 1.5 million to a record 34.5 million. Additionally, the 2009/10 import estimate is lowered 0.5 million cwt to 19.5 million, based on Census data through June. The changes in 2009/10 trade led to a corresponding reduction in 2009/10 ending stocks. Projected global 2010/11 total supplies are raised from a month ago primarily due to an increase in beginning stocks, while production and imports are nearly the same as last month. The increase in beginning stocks of 5.5 million tons is due primarily to an increase in India’s 2009/10 rice crop combined with a reduction in estimated domestic and residual use—both estimates are based on a recently received report from the Agricultural Counselor’s office in New Delhi. India’s 2009/10 rice crop is estimated at 89.1 million tons, up 1.6 million from last month, and domestic consumption and residual is estimated at 85.4 million, down 3.9 million from the July estimate. Global rice production for 2010/11 is projected at a record 459.2 million tons, nearly the same as a month ago. Global consumption is raised from a month ago largely due to an increase for India. World ending stocks for 2010/11 are projected at 97.5 million tons, up 0.9 million from last month, largely the result of upward revisions for Bangladesh, Burma, India, and Turkey. OILSEEDS: U.S. oilseed production for 2010/11 is projected at 103.3 million tons, up 2.6 million from last month as higher soybean and cottonseed production are only partly offset by lower peanut production. Soybean yields are forecast at 44.0 bushels per acre, 1.1 bushels above last month=s trend yield projection, and equal to last year=s record yield. The first survey-based forecast of U.S. soybean production is a record 3.4 billion bushels, 88 million above the July projection, and 74 million above last year=s crop. Projected soybean exports are raised 65 million bushels to 1.435 billion. The sharp increase in exports reflects strong export sales, especially to China, stronger projected import demand for China, and reduced soybean stocks in South America at the beginning of the 2010/11 marketing year. China soybean imports are raised to 49.5 and 52 million tons, respectively for 2009/10 and 2010/11. Soybean crush is raised 5 million bushels to 1.65 billion reflecting a small increase in domestic soybean meal demand. Soybean ending stocks are projected at 360 million bushels, unchanged from July. Soybean and product prices all increased this month. The U.S. season-average soybean price for 2010/11 is projected at $8.50 to $10.00, up 40 cents on both ends of the range. Soybean meal prices are projected at $250 to $290 per short ton, up $10.00 on both ends of the range. Soybean oil prices are projected at 36.5 to 40.5 cents per pound, up 2.5 cents on both ends of the range. Global oilseed production for 2010/11 is projected at 439.7 million tons, down 1 million from last month. Reductions for sunflowerseed and rapeseed are mostly offset by higher soybean production. Sunflowerseed production is reduced by 1 million tons each for Russia and Ukraine. Persistent drought and excessive heat in July and early August sharply reduced yield potential for both countries. Rapeseed production is reduced for EU-27, Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus. Higher global soybean production reflects the larger U.S. crop. Other changes include higher rapeseed production for Australia, lower sunflowerseed production in EU-27, lower cottonseed production for Pakistan, and increased cottonseed production for India. U.S. changes for 2009/10 include increased soybean crush and exports and lower ending stocks. Crush is raised 5 million bushels to 1.75 billion reflecting increased domestic soybean meal disappearance. Soybean exports are increased 10 million to a record 1.47 billion bushels. Soybean ending stocks are projected at 160 million bushels, down 15 million from last month. Soybean oil ending stocks are raised to 3.18 billion pounds reflecting sharply lower projected use for methyl ester production. SUGAR: Projected U.S. sugar supply for fiscal year 2010/11 is increased 506,000 short tons, raw value, from last month, due to higher beginning stocks, production, and imports. Production is increased 100,000 tons due to higher than expected forecast U.S. sugarbeet yields. Imports are increased 185,000 tons to reflect lower tariff rate quota (TRQ) shortfall and the announced refined specialty sugar quota. Sugar use is increased 200,000 tons in line with the increase for 2009/10. For 2009/10, U.S. supplies are increased 341,000 tons, due to higher beginning stocks, production, and imports. Beginning stocks are increased 35,000 tons due to revisions in Sweetener Market Data. Cane sugar production is increased 6,000 tons based on processor reports. Imports are increased 300,000 tons: 50,000 tons less TRQ shortfall, 50,000 tons more re-export imports, and 200,000 tons from Mexico and high-tier imports. These import increases are driven by tight U.S. supplies. Total use is increased 120,000 tons, reflecting revised estimates in Sweetener Market Data. Ending stocks are increased 221,000 tons. For Mexico, 2010/11 ending stocks are lowered 95,000 metric tons, raw value, due to lower beginning stocks. Mexico=s 2009/10 production is decreased slightly while exports are increased 90,000 tons; sugar use is unchanged. LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY: Total U.S. meat production forecasts for 2010 and 2011 are reduced slightly from last month. Beef production for 2010 is reduced on slightly lower estimated second quarter output and forecast lighter average carcass weights in the third quarter that more than offset slightly higher slaughter. For 2011, beef production is unchanged but is shifted between quarters as more cattle are expected to be marketed in the first part of the year. Pork production in late 2010 and 2011 is reduced on lower expected imports of live swine from Canada. Broiler meat and turkey production for 2010 reflects slightly higher estimated second quarter production. Forecast poultry meat production for the remainder of 2010 and 2011 is unchanged. Cattle, hog, and poultry prices are little changed from last month. Beef imports are raised for 2010 based on the current pace of imports and weakening domestic cow slaughter. Export forecasts for beef, pork, and broilers are raised, partly reflecting strong recent shipments. Stronger demand from a number of markets is expected to support higher exports through the remainder of this year and into next year. Forecast milk production for 2010 and 2011 is raised from last month. Producers continue to add cows to the herd and the rate of growth in milk per cow has increased. Exports for 2010 and 2011 are raised sharply as June exports were strong, global supplies remain relatively tight, and demand in a number of markets is expected to support higher than previously forecast sales. However, sales in 2011 will be dampened by increased competition. Strong demand for butter and cheese resulted in higher forecast prices for 2010 but the prices for nonfat dry milk (NDM) and whey are lowered from last month. The Class III price forecast for 2010 is raised as the higher cheese price more than offsets the lower whey price, but the Class IV price forecast is reduced as the lower NDM price more than offsets the higher butter price. For 2011, cheese, NDM, and whey price forecasts are reduced but butter is raised. For 2011, the Class III and Class IV price forecasts are lowered. The all milk price is forecast to average $15.90 to $16.10 per cwt for 2010 and $15.55 to $16.55 per cwt for 2011. COTTON: The 2010/11 U.S. cotton forecast shows higher production and exports compared with last month, resulting in lower ending stocks. Production is raised 234,000 bales, as the first survey-based forecast indicates lower abandonment, more than offsetting a reduction in yield. Exports are raised 700,000 bales to 15.0 million based on larger supplies and higher foreign import demand. The projected range for the marketing-year average price received by producers is raised 1 cent on each end of the range to 61 to 75 cents per pound. With largely offsetting increases in world production and consumption, a reduction in world 2010/11 beginning stocks is reflected in ending stocks. World beginning stocks are lowered 3.4 million bales from last month, including reductions for China, India, Pakistan, Brazil, and Australia, partially offset by an increase for the United States. Production is raised for India, the United States, Turkey, and Australia, but is reduced 7 percent for Pakistan due to estimated losses from floods. World consumption is raised to nearly 121 million bales, 2.7 percent above last season, with increases from last month mainly in China and Turkey. With lower beginning stocks and higher consumption, this month’s China imports are raised 850,000 bales, accounting for about three-fourths of the 1.2 million-bale increase in world imports. Exports are higher mainly in India and the United States. World ending stocks are now projected at 45.6 million bales. If realized, the stocks-to-use ratio of 38 percent would be the smallest since 1994/95. This month’s estimates include historical adjustments in supply and use for India and Pakistan. China’s 2009/10 consumption is raised 1.0 million bales based on recent indications of higher offtake. Approved by the Secretary of Agriculture and the Chairperson of the World Agricultural Outlook Board, Gerald A. Bange, (202) 720-6030. This report was prepared by the Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees. APPROVED BY: THOMAS J. VILSACK SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE WASDE-485-6 Electronic Access and Subscriptions 40 WASDE-485-8 August 2010 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Total grains 3/ : 2008/09 : 2,240.91 2,610.13 285.37 2,159.92 450.21 2009/10 (Est.) : 2,226.48 2,676.69 278.28 2,199.90 476.79 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 2,237.90 2,709.13 276.57 2,245.29 463.84 August : 2,212.81 2,689.60 271.15 2,245.28 444.32 Wheat : 2008/09 : 683.26 808.13 143.41 642.62 165.51 2009/10 (Est.) : 680.30 845.80 132.23 651.84 193.97 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 661.07 854.08 131.28 667.04 187.05 August : 645.73 839.70 124.67 664.94 174.76 Coarse grains 4/ : 2008/09 : 1,109.62 1,273.36 112.99 1,079.53 193.84 2009/10 (Est.) : 1,103.57 1,297.41 115.93 1,109.55 187.86 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 1,117.55 1,306.33 113.81 1,126.15 180.18 August : 1,107.91 1,295.77 114.97 1,123.72 172.04 Rice, milled : 2008/09 : 448.03 528.64 28.97 437.77 90.86 2009/10 (Est.) : 442.61 533.48 30.12 438.51 94.97 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 459.28 548.72 31.48 452.11 96.61 August : 459.17 554.13 31.51 456.62 97.52 : : United States Total grains 3/ : 2008/09 : 400.28 461.70 81.58 314.23 65.89 2009/10 (Est.) : 416.45 488.49 82.05 338.25 68.19 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 418.85 494.14 84.10 339.62 70.42 August : 424.00 497.79 92.37 340.49 64.94 Wheat : 2008/09 : 68.02 79.80 27.64 34.29 17.87 2009/10 (Est.) : 60.31 81.41 23.98 30.94 26.49 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 60.30 89.52 27.22 32.55 29.75 August : 61.64 90.85 32.66 32.28 25.92 Coarse grains 4/ : 2008/09 : 325.87 373.98 50.94 275.98 47.06 2009/10 (Est.) : 349.22 398.58 54.64 303.31 40.63 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 350.74 394.94 53.36 303.02 38.57 August : 354.68 397.56 56.15 304.16 37.25 Rice, milled : 2008/09 : 6.40 7.93 3.00 3.96 0.96 2009/10 (Est.) : 6.92 8.50 3.43 4.00 1.07 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 7.81 9.68 3.53 4.05 2.11 August : 7.68 9.38 3.56 4.05 1.77 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 4/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). WASDE-485-9 August 2010 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : Foreign 3/ Total grains 4/ : 2008/09 : 1,840.63 2,148.42 203.79 1,845.68 384.32 2009/10 (Est.) : 1,810.03 2,188.20 196.23 1,861.65 408.60 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 1,819.05 2,214.99 192.47 1,905.67 393.42 August : 1,788.82 2,191.81 178.78 1,904.79 379.39 Wheat : 2008/09 : 615.24 728.33 115.78 608.33 147.64 2009/10 (Est.) : 619.98 764.39 108.25 620.89 167.48 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 600.76 764.57 104.06 634.49 157.30 August : 584.09 748.85 92.01 632.66 148.85 Coarse grains 5/ : 2008/09 : 783.76 899.38 62.05 803.55 146.78 2009/10 (Est.) : 754.35 898.82 61.28 806.24 147.22 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 766.81 911.39 60.45 823.13 141.62 August : 753.23 898.21 58.83 819.56 134.80 Rice, milled : 2008/09 : 441.63 520.71 25.96 433.81 89.91 2009/10 (Est.) : 435.70 524.98 26.69 434.51 93.90 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 451.47 539.03 27.95 448.06 94.51 August : 451.49 544.75 27.94 452.57 95.74 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. 4/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains. World and U.S. Supply and Use for Cotton 1/ Million 480-lb. bales =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World 2008/09 : 107.16 167.84 30.11 109.94 60.53 2009/10 (Est.) : 102.15 162.68 35.65 117.71 47.58 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 116.02 167.00 37.02 119.70 49.91 August : 116.85 164.43 38.24 120.87 45.61 : United States 2008/09 : 12.82 22.87 13.28 3.59 6.34 2009/10 (Est.) : 12.19 18.53 12.00 3.40 3.10 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 18.30 21.20 14.30 3.40 3.50 August : 18.53 21.64 15.00 3.40 3.20 : Foreign 3/ 2008/09 : 94.34 144.98 16.83 106.35 54.20 2009/10 (Est.) : 89.96 144.16 23.65 114.31 44.48 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 97.72 145.80 22.72 116.30 46.41 August : 98.32 142.79 23.24 117.47 42.41 =============================================================================== 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Based on export estimate. 3/ Total Foreign is equal to world minus United States. See global cotton tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. WASDE-485-10 August 2010 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade : Use 2/ : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Oilseeds : 2008/09 : 396.37 458.03 94.48 338.32 56.34 2009/10 (Est.) : 441.20 497.54 104.97 355.50 74.28 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 440.74 516.67 103.78 370.03 77.32 August : 439.74 514.02 104.92 371.00 73.83 Oilmeals : 2008/09 : 228.59 236.37 69.27 227.95 5.93 2009/10 (Est.) : 242.31 248.25 72.59 238.21 6.17 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 251.76 258.23 74.47 247.80 6.83 August : 253.27 259.44 74.83 249.48 6.46 Vegetable Oils : 2008/09 : 133.38 144.66 55.81 130.45 12.61 2009/10 (Est.) : 139.06 151.67 57.75 137.61 11.45 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 146.48 157.84 60.58 144.44 11.94 August : 146.14 157.59 60.18 144.19 11.46 : : United States Oilseeds : 2008/09 : 89.20 97.41 35.69 49.34 5.62 2009/10 (Est.) : 98.90 105.60 40.93 51.40 5.82 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 100.78 107.91 38.53 49.02 11.32 August : 103.34 110.04 40.31 49.28 11.32 Oilmeals : 2008/09 : 37.71 39.86 7.95 31.67 0.25 2009/10 (Est.) : 39.87 41.37 10.64 30.39 0.33 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 37.90 40.04 8.33 31.38 0.33 August : 38.03 40.18 8.33 31.51 0.33 Vegetable Oils : 2008/09 : 9.67 14.36 1.46 11.17 1.74 2009/10 (Est.) : 10.00 14.98 1.87 11.32 1.79 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 9.70 14.63 1.30 11.86 1.47 August : 9.75 14.81 1.30 11.94 1.56 : : Foreign 3/ Oilseeds : 2008/09 : 307.17 360.63 58.78 288.98 50.72 2009/10 (Est.) : 342.30 391.94 64.04 304.11 68.46 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 339.96 408.77 65.24 321.00 66.00 August : 336.40 403.98 64.61 321.72 62.52 Oilmeals : 2008/09 : 190.87 196.52 61.32 196.28 5.69 2009/10 (Est.) : 202.45 206.88 61.95 207.82 5.84 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 213.86 218.19 66.14 216.42 6.50 August : 215.24 219.26 66.50 217.97 6.12 Vegetable Oils : 2008/09 : 123.72 130.30 54.35 119.28 10.87 2009/10 (Est.) : 129.06 136.70 55.88 126.30 9.66 2010/11 (Proj.) : July : 136.78 143.21 59.28 132.58 10.47 August : 136.39 142.79 58.88 132.25 9.90 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an Oct.-Sept. year. 2/ Crush only for oilseeds. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. WASDE-485-11 August 2010 U.S. Wheat Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== Area : Million acres Planted : 63.2 59.1 54.3 54.3 Harvested : 55.7 49.9 48.3 48.3 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 44.9 44.4 45.9 46.9 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 306 657 973 973 Production : 2,499 2,216 2,216 2,265 Imports : 127 119 100 100 Supply, total : 2,932 2,991 3,289 3,338 Food : 927 917 940 940 Seed : 78 70 76 76 Feed and residual : 255 149 180 170 Domestic, total : 1,260 1,137 1,196 1,186 Exports : 1,015 881 1,000 1,200 Use, total : 2,275 2,018 2,196 2,386 Ending stocks : 657 973 1,093 952 CCC inventory : 0 0 Free stocks : 657 973 Outstanding loans : 27 51 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 6.78 4.87 4.20- 5.00 4.70- 5.50 =============================================================================== U.S. Wheat by Class: Supply and Use =============================================================================== Year beginning : Hard : Hard : Soft : : : June 1 : Winter : Spring : Red : White : Durum : Total =============================================================================== 2009/10 (estimated) : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 254 142 171 64 25 657 Production : 919 548 404 237 109 2,216 Supply, total 3/ : 1,175 731 607 310 169 2,991 Domestic use : 420 282 256 88 90 1,137 Exports : 370 214 109 143 44 881 Use, total : 790 497 366 231 134 2,018 Ending stocks, total : 385 234 241 79 35 973 : 2010/11 (projected) : Beginning stocks : 385 234 241 79 35 973 Production : 1,029 593 260 274 109 2,265 Supply, total 3/ : 1,415 862 521 362 178 3,338 Domestic use : 491 263 242 106 84 1,186 Exports : 545 340 100 160 55 1,200 Use, total : 1,036 603 342 266 139 2,386 Ending stocks, total : August : 379 259 179 96 39 952 July : 476 333 162 88 34 1,093 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning June 1. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 3/ Includes imports. WASDE-485-12 August 2010 U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== FEED GRAINS : Area : Million acres Planted : 101.8 100.1 100.0 * 100.0 Harvested : 91.0 89.6 90.0 * 90.0 Yield per harvested : Metric tons acre : 3.58 3.90 3.89 3.94 : Million metric tons Beginning stocks : 45.1 47.0 41.9 40.6 Production : 325.7 349.0 350.6 354.5 Imports : 3.0 2.2 2.1 2.1 Supply, total : 373.7 398.3 394.6 397.2 Feed and residual : 140.9 146.9 141.6 141.9 Food, seed & industrial : 134.8 156.2 161.2 161.9 Domestic, total : 275.7 303.0 302.7 303.9 Exports : 50.9 54.6 53.4 56.1 Use, total : 326.6 357.7 356.1 360.0 Ending stocks, total : 47.0 40.6 38.5 37.2 CCC inventory : 0.0 0.0 Free stocks : 47.0 40.6 Outstanding loans : 4.4 4.6 : CORN : Area : Million acres Planted : 86.0 86.5 87.9 * 87.9 Harvested : 78.6 79.6 81.0 * 81.0 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 153.9 164.7 163.5 * 165.0 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 1,624 1,673 1,478 1,426 Production : 12,092 13,110 13,245 13,365 Imports : 14 8 10 10 Supply, total : 13,729 14,791 14,733 14,802 Feed and residual : 5,182 5,525 5,350 5,350 Food, seed & industrial : 5,025 5,865 6,060 6,090 Ethanol for fuel 2/ : 3,709 4,500 4,700 4,700 Domestic, total : 10,207 11,390 11,410 11,440 Exports : 1,849 1,975 1,950 2,050 Use, total : 12,056 13,365 13,360 13,490 Ending stocks, total : 1,673 1,426 1,373 1,312 CCC inventory : 0 0 Free stocks : 1,673 1,426 Outstanding loans : 171 175 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 3/ : 4.06 3.50- 3.60 3.45- 4.05 3.50- 4.10 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ For a further breakout of FSI corn uses including ethanol, see the ERS Feed Outlook table 5, or Feed Grains Database at "www.ers.usda.gov/db/feedgrains." 3/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. * For July: Area planted and harvested of corn as reported in June 30, 2010, "Acreage" report. Projected corn yield based on the simple linear trend of the national average yield for 1990-2009 adjusted for 2010 planting progress. WASDE-485-13 August 2010 U.S. Sorghum, Barley and Oats Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== : Million bushels SORGHUM : Area planted (mil. acres) : 8.3 6.6 6.0 * 6.0 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 7.3 5.5 5.2 * 5.2 Yield (bushels/acre) : 65.0 69.4 67.6 * 74.1 Beginning stocks : 53 55 28 28 Production : 472 383 350 383 Imports : 0 0 0 0 Supply, total : 525 438 378 411 Feed and residual : 233 140 105 120 Food, seed & industrial : 95 100 100 100 Total domestic : 328 240 205 220 Exports : 143 170 140 150 Use, total : 471 410 345 370 Ending stocks, total : 55 28 33 41 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 3.20 3.10- 3.20 3.15- 3.75 3.20- 3.80 : BARLEY : Area planted (mil. acres) : 4.2 3.6 3.0 * 3.0 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 3.8 3.1 2.5 * 2.5 Yield (bushels/acre) : 63.6 73.0 71.6 * 72.3 Beginning stocks : 68 89 115 115 Production : 240 227 182 184 Imports : 29 17 15 15 Supply, total : 337 333 312 314 Feed and residual : 67 48 50 50 Food, seed & industrial : 169 164 165 165 Total domestic : 236 212 215 215 Exports : 13 6 10 10 Use, total : 249 218 225 225 Ending stocks, total : 89 115 87 89 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 5.37 4.66 3.50- 4.10 3.55- 4.15 : OATS : Area planted (mil. acres) : 3.2 3.4 3.2 * 3.2 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 1.4 1.4 1.3 * 1.3 Yield (bushels/acre) : 63.7 67.5 66.7 * 66.3 Beginning stocks : 67 84 80 80 Production : 89 93 88 87 Imports : 115 95 90 90 Supply, total : 270 272 258 258 Feed and residual : 108 115 115 115 Food, seed & industrial : 75 75 76 76 Total domestic : 183 190 191 191 Exports : 3 2 3 3 Use, total : 186 192 194 194 Ending stocks, total : 84 80 64 64 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 3.15 2.02 2.10- 2.70 2.15- 2.75 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for sorghum, June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. * For July: Sorghum area planted and area harvested as reported in the June 30, 2010, "Acreage" report. Sorghum projected yield derived from the 2000-2009 average yield, excluding 2002 and 2003, adjusted to reflect adequate to abundant soil moisture in the southern and central Plains. Barley and oats area planted, area harvested, yield, and production as reported in the July 9, 2010, "Crop Production" report. WASDE-485-14 August 2010 U.S. Rice Supply and Use 1/ (Rough Equivalent of Rough and Milled Rice) =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== TOTAL : Area : Million acres Planted : 3.00 3.14 3.51 * 3.51 Harvested : 2.98 3.10 3.49 * 3.49 Yield per harvested : Pounds acre : 6,846 7,085 7,157 * 7,039 : : Million hundredweight Beginning stocks 2/ : 29.6 30.6 38.4 33.9 Production : 203.7 219.9 250.0 245.9 Imports : 19.2 19.5 21.0 20.0 Supply, total : 252.6 269.9 309.4 299.8 Domestic & residual 3/ : 126.4 127.0 129.0 129.0 Exports, total 4/ : 95.6 109.0 113.0 114.0 Rough : 31.6 40.0 47.0 43.0 Milled (rough equiv.) : 64.0 69.0 66.0 71.0 Use, total : 222.0 236.0 242.0 243.0 Ending stocks : 30.6 33.9 67.4 56.8 Avg. milling yield (%) 5/ : 69.25 69.36 68.86 68.86 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 16.80 14.00 10.75-11.75 10.75-11.75 : LONG GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 2.35 2.27 Yield (pounds/acre) : 6,522 6,743 Beginning stocks : 19.1 20.1 24.3 21.3 Production : 153.3 152.7 190.0 187.2 Supply, total 7/ : 188.2 189.8 232.3 226.1 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 99.4 94.0 99.0 99.0 Exports 8/ : 68.8 74.5 79.0 80.0 Use, total : 168.1 168.5 178.0 179.0 Ending stocks : 20.1 21.3 54.3 47.1 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 14.90 12.80 9.00-10.00 9.00-10.00 : MEDIUM & SHORT GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 0.63 0.84 Yield (pounds/acre) : 8,063 8,010 Beginning stocks : 9.1 8.0 11.7 10.2 Production : 50.5 67.1 60.0 58.6 Supply, total 7/ : 61.9 77.7 74.7 71.3 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 27.0 33.0 30.0 30.0 Exports 8/ : 26.9 34.5 34.0 34.0 Use, total : 53.9 67.5 64.0 64.0 Ending stocks : 8.0 10.2 10.7 7.3 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 24.80 17.80 17.00-18.00 17.00-18.00 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice (type undetermined) not included in estimates of beginning stocks by type (in mil. cwt): 2008/09-1.4; 2009/10-2.4; 2010/11-2.4. 3/ Residual includes unreported use, processing losses, and estimating errors. Use by type may not add to total rice use because of the difference in brokens between beginning and ending stocks. 4/ Includes rough rice and milled rice exports. Milled rice exports are converted to an equivalent rough basis. 5/ Expressed as a percent-- the national average milling yield calculated by the Farm Service Agency (FSA) from warehouse stored loan data. The 2010/11 milling yield is calculated using the previous five-year average. 6/ Includes imports. 7/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 8/ Exports by type of rice are estimated. * For July: Area planted and area harvested as reported in June 30, 2010, "Acreage" report. Projected yield is derived from the trend yields by rice class for the period, 1990-2009. WASDE-485-15 August 2010 U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :=============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== SOYBEANS: : Million acres Area : Planted : 75.7 77.5 78.9* 78.9 Harvested : 74.7 76.4 78.0* 78.0 : : Bushels Yield per harvested : acre : 39.7 44.0 42.9* 44.0 : : Million bushels : Beginning stocks : 205 138 175 160 Production : 2,967 3,359 3,345 3,433 Imports : 13 15 10 10 Supply, total : 3,185 3,512 3,530 3,603 Crushings : 1,662 1,750 1,645 1,650 Exports : 1,279 1,470 1,370 1,435 Seed : 90 92 88 88 Residual : 16 41 67 70 Use, total : 3,047 3,353 3,170 3,243 Ending stocks : 138 160 360 360 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 9.97 9.60 8.10- 9.60 8.50 -10.00 : : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL: : Beginning stocks : 2,485 2,861 2,916 3,176 Production : 18,745 19,555 3/ 18,755 18,810 Imports : 90 110 115 115 Supply, total : 21,319 22,526 21,786 22,101 Domestic : 16,265 16,100 17,300 17,400 For methyl ester : 2,013 1,800 2,900 2,900 Exports : 2,193 3,250 2,100 2,100 Use, total : 18,459 19,350 19,400 19,500 Ending stocks : 2,861 3,176 2,386 2,601 Average price (c/lb) 2/ : 32.16 35.50 34.00- 36.50- : 38.00 40.50 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL: : Beginning stocks : 294 235 300 300 Production : 39,102 41,525 3/ 39,135 39,235 Imports : 88 140 165 165 Supply, total : 39,484 41,900 39,600 39,700 Domestic : 30,752 30,100 30,400 30,500 Exports : 8,497 11,500 8,900 8,900 Use, total : 39,249 41,600 39,300 39,400 Ending stocks : 235 300 300 300 Average price ($/s.t.) 2/ : 331.17 310.00 240.00- 250.00- : 280.00 290.00 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for soybeans; October 1 for soybean oil and meal. 2/ Prices: soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers; soybean oil, simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; soybean meal, simple average of 48 percent, Decatur. 3/ Based on October year crush of 1,760 million bushels. *Planted and harvested acres from the June 30 Acreage report; projected yield based on 1989-2009 trend analysis. WASDE-485-16 August 2010 U.S. Sugar Supply and Use 1/ ====================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projection Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :====================== : : Est. : July August ====================================================================== : 1,000 short tons, raw value : Beginning stocks : 1,664 1,534 1,268 1,489 Production 2/ : 7,532 7,811 8,235 8,335 Beet sugar : 4,214 4,450 4,710 4,810 Cane sugar : 3,318 3,361 3,525 3,525 Florida : 1,577 1,638 1,785 1,785 Hawaii : 192 147 135 135 Louisiana : 1,397 1,465 1,465 1,465 Texas : 152 111 140 140 Imports : 3,082 3,029 2,084 2,269 TRQ 3/ : 1,370 1,874 1,224 1,409 Other program 4/ : 308 450 300 300 Other 5/ : 1,404 705 560 560 Mexico : 1,402 530 550 550 Total supply : 12,278 12,374 11,587 12,093 : Exports : 136 200 150 150 Deliveries : 10,608 10,685 10,485 10,685 Food 6/ : 10,442 10,475 10,300 10,500 Other 7/ : 166 210 185 185 Miscellaneous : 0 0 0 0 Total use : 10,744 10,885 10,635 10,835 Ending stocks : 1,534 1,489 952 1,258 : Stocks to use ratio : 14.3 13.7 9.0 11.6 ====================================================================== 1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1. Includes Puerto Rico. Historical data are from FSA, "Sweetener Market Data" except imports (U.S. Customs Service, Census Bureau). 2/ Production projections for 2010/11 are based on Crop Production, trend recovery rates, and processor projections where appropriate. 3/ For 2010/11, includes shortfall of 60,000 tons. 4/ Includes sugar under the re-export and polyhydric alcohol programs. 5/ For 2008/09, other high-tier (0) and other (0). For 2009/10, other high-tier (175) and other (0). For 2010/11, other high-tier (10) and other (0). 6/Combines SMD deliveries for domestic human food use, SMD miscellaneous uses, and the difference between SMD imports and WASDE imports. 7/ Transfers to sugar-containing products for reexport, and for nonedible alcohol and feed. Mexico Sugar Supply and Use and High Fructose Corn Syrup Imports 1/ ========================================================================== : Supply : Use : Fiscal :====================================================: Ending year : Beginning : Production: Imports : Domestic :Exports: stocks : stocks : : : 2/ : : ========================================================================== 1,000 metric tons, raw value Sugar 2009/10 est. Jul 488 5,120 820 5,170 390 868 Aug 488 5,115 820 5,170 480 773 2010/11 proj. Jul 868 5,450 150 4,950 500 1,018 Aug 773 5,450 150 4,950 500 923 ========================================================================== 1/ U.S. HFCS exports to Mexico (metric tons, dry-weight basis): Oct-Sep 2008/09 = 302,844; Oct-Jun 2008/09 = 192,608; Oct-Jun 2009/10 = 672,357. Footnote source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2/Includes domestic consumption and Mexico's products export program (IMMEX). WASDE-485-17 August 2010 U. S. Cotton Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :=============================== : : Est. : July August =============================================================================== : Million acres Area : Planted : 9.47 9.15 10.91 * 10.91 Harvested : 7.57 7.53 10.40 * 10.63 : : Pounds Yield per harvested : acre : 813 777 845 * 837 : : Million 480 pound bales : Beginning stocks 2/ : 10.05 6.34 2.90 3.10 Production : 12.82 12.19 18.30 18.53 Imports : 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Supply, total : 22.87 18.53 21.20 21.64 Domestic use : 3.59 3.40 3.40 3.40 Exports : 13.28 12.00 14.30 15.00 Use, total : 16.86 15.40 17.70 18.40 Unaccounted 3/ : -0.33 0.03 0.00 0.04 Ending stocks : 6.34 3.10 3.50 3.20 : Avg. farm price 4/ : 47.8 62.5 60.0-74.0 61.0-75.0 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add due to rounding. 2/ Based on Bureau of Census data. 3/ Reflects the difference between the previous season's supply less total use and ending stocks based on Bureau of Census data. 4/ Cents per pound for upland cotton. *For July, planted area reported in June 30 "Acreage." Projected harvested area and yield per harvested area adjusted from historical averages to reflect favorable crop conditions in the Southwest. WASDE-485-18 August 2010 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 : World 3/ : 124.87 683.26 136.86 118.43 642.62 143.41 165.51 United States : 8.32 68.02 3.46 6.95 34.29 27.64 17.87 Total foreign : 116.54 615.24 133.40 111.48 608.33 115.78 147.64 Major exporters 4/ : 22.75 211.24 8.26 68.07 147.70 65.64 28.91 Argentina : 2.35 10.10 0.03 0.03 5.33 6.77 0.39 Australia : 3.65 21.42 0.11 3.75 6.85 14.75 3.59 Canada : 4.41 28.61 0.38 3.30 8.03 18.81 6.56 EU-27 5/ : 12.34 151.11 7.74 61.00 127.50 25.32 18.38 Major importers 6/ : 63.35 171.94 74.39 14.97 231.35 6.44 71.89 Brazil : 0.34 5.88 6.40 0.20 10.70 0.40 1.53 China : 38.96 112.46 0.48 8.00 105.50 0.72 45.69 Select. Mideast 7/ : 6.53 13.40 20.45 1.85 31.10 0.87 8.41 N. Africa 8/ : 9.48 14.35 23.48 2.70 37.56 0.25 9.50 Pakistan : 3.48 20.96 3.13 0.40 22.80 2.10 2.66 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.66 0.00 11.96 1.32 11.74 0.42 2.46 Selected other : India : 5.80 78.57 0.01 0.10 70.92 0.02 13.43 FSU-12 : 12.88 115.45 6.54 24.65 76.32 37.76 20.80 Russia : 3.87 63.70 0.20 16.20 38.90 18.39 10.48 Kazakhstan : 2.45 12.55 0.11 2.70 7.53 5.70 1.88 Ukraine : 2.07 25.90 0.07 2.90 11.90 13.04 3.11 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 165.51 680.30 130.94 117.51 651.84 132.23 193.97 United States : 17.87 60.31 3.23 4.06 30.94 23.98 26.49 Total foreign : 147.64 619.98 127.71 113.46 620.89 108.25 167.48 Major exporters 4/ : 28.91 196.79 6.01 65.73 146.12 59.00 26.58 Argentina : 0.39 9.60 0.01 0.03 4.93 4.50 0.57 Australia : 3.59 22.50 0.10 4.00 7.10 14.50 4.59 Canada : 6.56 26.50 0.40 3.70 8.60 18.50 6.36 EU-27 5/ : 18.38 138.20 5.50 58.00 125.50 21.50 15.07 Major importers 6/ : 71.89 184.02 68.75 15.44 234.45 4.92 85.29 Brazil : 1.53 4.94 6.50 0.20 10.80 1.20 0.97 China : 45.69 115.00 1.39 8.00 105.00 0.89 56.19 Select. Mideast 7/ : 8.41 14.84 17.65 1.70 31.64 0.79 8.47 N. Africa 8/ : 9.50 20.23 20.95 2.95 39.33 0.24 11.13 Pakistan : 2.66 24.03 0.20 0.40 23.20 0.30 3.40 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.46 0.00 13.45 1.64 12.44 0.41 3.07 Selected other : India : 13.43 80.68 0.30 0.10 78.21 0.10 16.10 FSU-12 : 20.80 113.84 5.30 27.73 80.41 36.65 22.87 Russia : 10.48 61.70 0.15 19.00 42.00 18.50 11.83 Kazakhstan : 1.88 17.00 0.08 2.70 7.55 7.80 3.61 Ukraine : 3.11 20.90 0.05 3.30 12.30 9.30 2.46 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-485-19 August 2010 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 3/ : July : 193.02 661.07 127.58 121.80 667.04 131.28 187.05 August : 193.97 645.73 121.93 120.23 664.94 124.67 174.76 United States : July : 26.49 60.30 2.72 4.90 32.55 27.22 29.75 August : 26.49 61.64 2.72 4.63 32.28 32.66 25.92 Total foreign : July : 166.53 600.76 124.86 116.90 634.49 104.06 157.30 August : 167.48 584.09 119.21 115.60 632.66 92.01 148.85 Major exporters 4/ : July : 27.58 196.32 6.51 63.20 145.95 61.00 23.46 August : 26.58 193.01 6.51 61.20 143.95 63.00 19.14 Argentina Jul : 1.07 12.00 0.01 0.10 5.10 7.00 0.97 Aug : 0.57 12.00 0.01 0.10 5.10 7.00 0.47 Australia Jul : 4.59 22.00 0.10 4.10 7.25 15.50 3.94 Aug : 4.59 23.00 0.10 4.10 7.25 16.50 3.94 Canada Jul : 6.36 20.50 0.40 2.00 7.10 15.50 4.66 Aug : 6.36 20.50 0.40 2.00 7.10 15.50 4.66 EU-27 5/ Jul : 15.57 141.82 6.00 57.00 126.50 23.00 13.90 Aug : 15.07 137.51 6.00 55.00 124.50 24.00 10.08 Major importers 6/ : July : 82.83 183.39 65.73 16.81 237.94 4.62 89.39 August : 85.29 182.39 63.03 16.31 237.33 5.97 87.39 Brazil Jul : 0.67 5.50 6.30 0.20 10.90 0.60 0.97 Aug : 0.97 5.00 6.50 0.20 10.80 0.60 1.07 China Jul : 56.14 114.50 0.90 9.00 105.80 0.85 64.89 Aug : 56.19 114.50 0.50 9.00 105.80 2.00 63.39 Sel. Mideast 7/Jul : 8.22 17.55 14.98 2.10 32.85 0.71 7.18 Aug : 8.47 17.55 14.08 1.75 32.45 0.71 6.93 N. Africa 8/ Jul : 10.38 18.05 21.50 2.85 39.85 0.24 9.84 Aug : 11.13 17.55 20.90 2.95 40.25 0.24 9.09 Pakistan Jul : 3.40 22.60 0.30 0.40 23.60 0.30 2.40 Aug : 3.40 22.60 0.30 0.40 23.60 0.30 2.40 SE Asia 9/ Jul : 2.37 0.00 13.45 1.71 12.94 0.43 2.46 Aug : 3.07 0.00 12.45 1.46 12.44 0.43 2.66 Selected other : India Jul : 16.10 79.00 0.30 0.10 80.01 0.40 14.99 Aug : 16.10 80.71 0.30 0.10 82.44 0.20 14.48 FSU-12 Jul : 23.77 100.62 6.23 32.48 85.86 31.65 13.11 Aug : 22.87 87.21 5.88 34.18 87.17 15.85 12.94 Russia Jul : 12.83 53.00 0.15 24.00 47.20 15.00 3.78 Aug : 11.83 45.00 0.65 26.00 49.20 3.00 5.28 Kazakhstan Jul : 3.91 14.00 0.08 2.70 7.65 8.00 2.33 Aug : 3.61 11.50 0.08 2.70 7.65 6.00 1.53 Ukraine Jul : 2.26 20.00 0.05 3.10 12.10 8.00 2.21 Aug : 2.46 17.00 0.05 2.80 11.60 6.00 1.91 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-485-20 August 2010 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 : World 3/ : 163.74 1109.62 110.40 645.80 1079.53 112.99 193.84 United States : 45.06 325.87 3.05 140.92 275.98 50.94 47.06 Total foreign : 118.68 783.76 107.35 504.88 803.55 62.05 146.78 Major exporters 4/ : 13.21 71.67 2.10 32.66 49.33 22.45 15.20 Argentina : 3.27 19.13 0.04 5.79 8.75 12.45 1.24 Australia : 2.67 12.27 0.00 5.89 7.25 4.41 3.29 Canada : 4.01 27.18 1.90 16.63 22.87 3.87 6.36 Major importers 5/ : 35.05 243.91 82.52 234.41 311.37 6.72 43.39 EU-27 6/ : 12.77 161.43 3.41 114.05 151.80 5.55 20.25 Japan : 1.71 0.22 19.61 15.05 19.97 0.00 1.57 Mexico : 4.74 32.25 10.47 25.24 42.06 0.16 5.24 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 6.97 24.70 23.22 39.59 46.92 0.23 7.75 Saudi Arabia : 2.81 0.27 8.69 9.13 9.35 0.01 2.41 Southeast Asia 8/ : 3.19 24.63 5.21 20.36 28.27 0.77 4.00 South Korea : 2.12 0.36 7.25 6.41 8.21 0.00 1.52 Selected other : Brazil : 12.87 53.62 1.60 40.75 48.53 7.15 12.41 China : 40.43 172.66 1.65 107.83 160.32 0.22 54.19 FSU-12 : 4.45 78.56 0.65 41.30 57.94 17.10 8.62 Russia : 1.59 40.70 0.11 21.90 32.80 4.79 4.80 Ukraine : 1.59 26.22 0.02 10.33 13.70 11.88 2.25 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 193.84 1103.57 110.50 653.09 1109.55 115.93 187.86 United States : 47.06 349.22 2.31 146.91 303.31 54.64 40.63 Total foreign : 146.78 754.35 108.19 506.18 806.24 61.28 147.22 Major exporters 4/ : 15.20 76.42 2.45 33.94 51.26 26.06 16.75 Argentina : 1.24 27.95 0.03 7.63 10.66 15.81 2.75 Australia : 3.29 11.57 0.00 5.64 7.11 4.69 3.06 Canada : 6.36 22.37 2.27 16.21 22.77 3.03 5.20 Major importers 5/ : 43.39 235.15 81.89 232.21 309.91 5.62 44.90 EU-27 6/ : 20.25 151.76 2.67 110.58 148.53 2.98 23.17 Japan : 1.57 0.18 19.59 14.87 19.78 0.00 1.56 Mexico : 5.24 27.80 10.75 24.53 41.30 0.25 2.24 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 7.75 31.98 20.79 41.38 49.07 1.13 10.32 Saudi Arabia : 2.41 0.27 9.51 9.23 9.43 0.00 2.76 Southeast Asia 8/ : 4.00 22.78 5.61 20.44 28.35 1.26 2.78 South Korea : 1.52 0.34 8.24 6.54 8.59 0.00 1.50 Selected other : Brazil : 12.41 56.86 0.91 42.28 50.00 8.53 11.64 China : 54.19 161.35 2.98 109.75 164.55 0.22 53.75 FSU-12 : 8.62 67.94 0.52 39.37 55.41 14.93 6.74 Russia : 4.80 31.82 0.20 20.52 30.99 3.02 2.81 Ukraine : 2.25 24.12 0.02 9.70 12.87 11.46 2.06 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-485-21 August 2010 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 3/ : July : 188.78 1117.55 110.62 656.21 1126.15 113.81 180.18 August : 187.86 1107.91 112.82 654.95 1123.72 114.97 172.04 United States : July : 41.95 350.74 2.25 141.62 303.02 53.36 38.57 August : 40.63 354.68 2.25 142.00 304.16 56.15 37.25 Total foreign : July : 146.82 766.81 108.38 514.59 823.13 60.45 141.62 August : 147.22 753.23 110.58 512.96 819.56 58.83 134.80 Major exporters 4/ : July : 16.97 73.18 2.73 35.04 52.89 26.08 13.90 August : 16.75 73.18 2.73 34.54 52.39 26.58 13.68 Argentina Jul : 3.77 27.08 0.03 8.02 11.18 16.21 3.49 Aug : 2.75 27.08 0.03 8.02 11.18 16.21 2.47 Australia Jul : 3.36 10.97 0.00 5.64 7.17 4.46 2.70 Aug : 3.06 10.97 0.00 5.54 7.07 4.96 2.00 Canada Jul : 5.10 22.11 2.57 16.32 22.90 2.88 3.99 Aug : 5.20 22.11 2.57 16.32 23.10 2.88 3.89 Major importers 5/ : July : 44.82 234.98 83.22 237.77 316.75 6.96 39.31 August : 44.90 231.28 83.97 240.12 319.00 7.81 33.34 EU-27 6/ Jul : 23.17 146.35 2.72 111.75 150.25 5.26 16.72 Aug : 23.17 143.16 3.22 113.65 152.16 6.11 11.28 Japan Jul : 1.56 0.18 19.38 14.66 19.58 0.00 1.54 Aug : 1.56 0.18 19.38 14.66 19.58 0.00 1.54 Mexico Jul : 2.49 31.93 11.75 25.43 42.40 0.15 3.62 Aug : 2.24 32.03 11.95 25.43 42.40 0.15 3.67 N Afr/M.East 7/Jul : 9.82 31.06 20.68 42.98 50.87 0.77 9.92 Aug : 10.32 30.46 20.73 43.23 51.12 0.77 9.62 Saudi Arabia Jul : 2.76 0.27 9.21 9.33 9.53 0.00 2.71 Aug : 2.76 0.27 8.71 9.33 9.53 0.00 2.21 S.-east Asia 8/Jul : 2.95 24.77 6.01 22.04 30.14 0.79 2.80 Aug : 2.78 24.77 6.01 21.74 29.74 0.79 3.02 South Korea Jul : 1.50 0.34 8.64 6.84 9.02 0.00 1.46 Aug : 1.50 0.34 9.14 7.34 9.52 0.00 1.46 Selected other : Brazil Jul : 11.29 53.73 1.41 43.58 51.30 7.03 8.09 Aug : 11.64 53.73 1.41 43.58 51.30 7.03 8.44 China Jul : 53.75 173.00 2.08 110.81 167.80 0.27 60.75 Aug : 53.75 173.00 2.98 111.81 168.80 0.27 60.65 FSU-12 Jul : 6.78 62.80 0.46 36.84 52.04 12.86 5.15 Aug : 6.74 53.16 1.01 32.15 46.55 9.83 4.54 Russia Jul : 2.81 26.80 0.15 17.20 26.90 1.22 1.65 Aug : 2.81 20.90 0.70 13.50 22.40 0.44 1.57 Ukraine Jul : 2.10 24.95 0.02 10.93 14.00 11.21 1.86 Aug : 2.06 21.75 0.02 10.43 13.50 9.01 1.32 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-485-22 August 2010 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 : World 3/ : 131.32 797.83 82.45 478.84 781.64 84.42 147.51 United States : 41.26 307.14 0.34 131.62 259.27 46.97 42.50 Total foreign : 90.06 490.69 82.10 347.22 522.37 37.45 105.00 Major exporters 4/ : 5.27 27.57 0.06 8.80 16.30 11.99 4.61 Argentina : 2.18 15.00 0.03 4.50 6.40 10.32 0.49 South Africa : 3.09 12.57 0.03 4.30 9.90 1.67 4.11 Major importers 5/ : 16.51 117.89 48.99 115.87 162.94 2.67 17.77 Egypt : 0.85 6.65 5.03 8.70 11.10 0.01 1.41 EU-27 6/ : 4.36 62.32 2.74 47.50 62.00 1.74 5.68 Japan : 1.16 0.00 16.53 12.10 16.70 0.00 1.00 Mexico : 4.13 24.23 7.76 16.40 32.40 0.16 3.56 Southeast Asia 7/ : 3.19 24.57 5.20 20.30 28.20 0.76 4.00 South Korea : 2.08 0.09 7.19 6.37 7.89 0.00 1.47 Selected other : Brazil : 12.58 51.00 1.14 38.50 45.50 7.14 12.08 Canada : 1.46 10.59 1.84 7.53 11.66 0.37 1.86 China : 39.39 165.90 0.05 107.00 152.00 0.17 53.17 FSU-12 : 1.14 21.67 0.42 12.92 14.76 6.89 1.58 Ukraine : 0.67 11.40 0.01 5.10 5.85 5.50 0.73 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 147.51 808.45 85.20 486.93 816.93 89.82 139.03 United States : 42.50 333.01 0.20 140.34 289.32 50.17 36.23 Total foreign : 105.00 475.44 85.00 346.58 527.61 39.65 102.80 Major exporters 4/ : 4.61 36.50 0.05 9.60 17.20 16.50 7.46 Argentina : 0.49 22.50 0.03 5.20 7.10 14.00 1.92 South Africa : 4.11 14.00 0.03 4.40 10.10 2.50 5.54 Major importers 5/ : 17.77 106.72 50.20 110.95 158.80 2.74 13.15 Egypt : 1.41 6.82 5.00 9.50 11.90 0.00 1.34 EU-27 6/ : 5.68 55.77 2.50 43.50 58.50 1.25 4.21 Japan : 1.00 0.00 16.30 11.70 16.30 0.00 1.00 Mexico : 3.56 21.30 8.00 14.80 30.80 0.25 1.81 Southeast Asia 7/ : 4.00 22.72 5.60 20.40 28.30 1.24 2.78 South Korea : 1.47 0.08 8.20 6.50 8.30 0.00 1.45 Selected other : Brazil : 12.08 54.35 0.50 40.00 47.00 8.50 11.43 Canada : 1.86 9.56 2.20 7.40 11.90 0.15 1.57 China : 53.17 155.00 1.00 109.00 156.00 0.15 53.02 FSU-12 : 1.58 17.85 0.33 11.27 12.87 5.68 1.21 Ukraine : 0.73 10.50 0.01 4.80 5.50 5.20 0.54 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-485-23 August 2010 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 3/ : July : 139.59 832.38 86.72 492.90 830.89 89.16 141.08 August : 139.03 831.59 89.17 493.65 831.42 90.42 139.20 United States : July : 37.55 336.44 0.25 135.90 289.83 49.53 34.89 August : 36.23 339.49 0.25 135.90 290.59 52.07 33.32 Total foreign : July : 102.04 495.94 86.47 357.00 541.06 39.63 106.19 August : 102.80 492.10 88.92 357.75 540.83 38.35 105.88 Major exporters 4/ : July : 7.46 33.50 0.05 10.50 18.50 16.50 6.01 August : 7.46 33.50 0.05 10.10 17.90 16.50 6.61 Argentina Jul : 2.92 21.00 0.03 5.50 7.50 14.00 2.44 Aug : 1.92 21.00 0.03 5.50 7.50 14.00 1.44 South Africa Jul : 4.54 12.50 0.03 5.00 11.00 2.50 3.56 Aug : 5.54 12.50 0.03 4.60 10.40 2.50 5.16 Major importers 5/ : July : 13.33 112.83 52.60 113.85 162.30 2.11 14.35 August : 13.15 111.79 53.60 114.55 162.90 1.91 13.74 Egypt Jul : 1.34 7.00 5.40 10.10 12.60 0.00 1.14 Aug : 1.34 7.00 5.40 10.10 12.60 0.00 1.14 EU-27 6/ Jul : 4.21 56.99 2.50 43.00 58.00 1.20 4.50 Aug : 4.21 55.95 3.00 43.50 58.50 1.00 3.66 Japan Jul : 1.00 0.00 16.30 11.70 16.30 0.00 1.00 Aug : 1.00 0.00 16.30 11.70 16.30 0.00 1.00 Mexico Jul : 1.81 24.00 9.10 15.60 31.80 0.15 2.96 Aug : 1.81 24.00 9.10 15.60 31.80 0.15 2.96 S.-east Asia 7/Jul : 2.95 24.71 6.00 22.00 30.10 0.76 2.80 Aug : 2.78 24.71 6.00 21.70 29.70 0.76 3.02 South Korea Jul : 1.45 0.08 8.60 6.80 8.70 0.00 1.43 Aug : 1.45 0.08 9.10 7.30 9.20 0.00 1.43 Selected other : Brazil Jul : 11.08 51.00 1.00 41.30 48.30 7.00 7.78 Aug : 11.43 51.00 1.00 41.30 48.30 7.00 8.13 Canada Jul : 1.47 10.50 2.50 8.00 12.50 0.30 1.67 Aug : 1.57 10.50 2.50 8.00 12.70 0.30 1.57 China Jul : 53.02 166.00 0.10 110.00 159.00 0.20 59.92 Aug : 53.02 166.00 1.00 111.00 160.00 0.20 59.82 FSU-12 Jul : 1.21 21.37 0.28 13.16 14.86 6.26 1.75 Aug : 1.21 18.37 0.48 12.16 13.86 5.08 1.12 Ukraine Jul : 0.54 13.00 0.01 5.90 6.60 6.00 0.95 Aug : 0.54 11.50 0.01 5.80 6.50 5.00 0.55 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-485-24 August 2010 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 World 3/ : 80.61 448.03 27.09 437.77 28.97 90.86 United States : 0.92 6.40 0.61 3.96 3.00 0.96 Total foreign : 79.69 441.63 26.48 433.81 25.96 89.91 Major exporters 4/ : 18.43 150.12 0.80 123.08 19.52 26.75 India : 13.00 99.18 0.00 91.09 2.09 19.00 Pakistan : 0.70 6.70 0.00 3.49 2.91 1.00 Thailand : 2.71 19.85 0.30 9.50 8.57 4.79 Vietnam : 2.02 24.39 0.50 19.00 5.95 1.96 Major importers 5/ : 14.43 64.48 11.53 74.63 0.74 15.07 Brazil : 0.97 8.57 0.68 8.53 0.57 1.12 EU-27 6/ : 1.13 1.62 1.34 2.93 0.14 1.02 Indonesia : 5.61 38.30 0.25 37.09 0.01 7.06 Nigeria : 0.77 3.20 1.75 5.15 0.00 0.57 Philippines : 4.42 10.75 2.60 13.65 0.00 4.12 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.43 1.67 3.73 5.67 0.02 1.13 Selected other : Burma : 0.59 10.15 0.00 9.65 1.05 0.04 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.39 1.51 1.31 2.93 0.00 0.29 China : 38.02 134.33 0.34 133.00 0.78 38.90 Egypt : 0.69 4.40 0.02 4.00 0.55 0.56 Japan : 2.56 8.03 0.66 8.33 0.20 2.72 Mexico : 0.19 0.16 0.59 0.76 0.01 0.17 South Korea : 0.69 4.84 0.25 4.79 0.00 1.00 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) World 3/ : 90.86 442.61 27.43 438.51 30.12 94.97 United States : 0.96 6.92 0.62 4.00 3.43 1.07 Total foreign : 89.91 435.70 26.81 434.51 26.69 93.90 Major exporters 4/ : 26.75 140.31 0.80 117.08 21.20 29.58 India : 19.00 89.13 0.00 85.43 2.20 20.50 Pakistan : 1.00 6.50 0.00 2.90 3.75 0.85 Thailand : 4.79 20.30 0.30 9.60 9.50 6.29 Vietnam : 1.96 24.38 0.50 19.15 5.75 1.94 Major importers 5/ : 15.07 64.09 11.31 76.04 0.48 13.94 Brazil : 1.12 7.64 0.95 8.55 0.30 0.86 EU-27 6/ : 1.02 1.98 1.35 3.10 0.14 1.11 Indonesia : 7.06 38.80 0.25 38.10 0.02 7.99 Nigeria : 0.57 3.40 1.80 5.30 0.00 0.47 Philippines : 4.12 9.76 2.20 13.61 0.00 2.46 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.13 2.07 3.50 5.69 0.02 0.99 Selected other : Burma : 0.04 10.60 0.00 10.00 0.30 0.34 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.29 1.62 1.50 3.08 0.00 0.33 China : 38.90 137.00 0.30 134.50 0.85 40.85 Egypt : 0.56 4.30 0.04 4.00 0.60 0.29 Japan : 2.72 7.71 0.70 8.20 0.20 2.73 Mexico : 0.17 0.18 0.60 0.77 0.01 0.17 South Korea : 1.00 4.92 0.30 4.75 0.00 1.46 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, and the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-485-25 August 2010 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 3/ : July : 89.44 459.28 28.67 452.11 31.48 96.61 August : 94.97 459.17 28.90 456.62 31.51 97.52 United States : July : 1.21 7.81 0.67 4.05 3.53 2.11 August : 1.07 7.68 0.64 4.05 3.56 1.77 Total foreign : July : 88.23 451.47 28.00 448.06 27.95 94.51 August : 93.90 451.49 28.26 452.57 27.94 95.74 Major exporters 4/ : July : 24.43 150.85 0.85 125.80 21.90 28.43 August : 29.58 150.85 0.85 130.30 21.90 29.08 India Jul : 15.00 99.00 0.00 93.50 2.50 18.00 Aug : 20.50 99.00 0.00 98.00 2.50 19.00 Pakistan Jul : 1.20 6.50 0.00 3.00 3.60 1.10 Aug : 0.85 6.50 0.00 3.00 3.60 0.75 Thailand Jul : 6.29 20.60 0.35 9.80 10.00 7.44 Aug : 6.29 20.60 0.35 9.80 10.00 7.44 Vietnam Jul : 1.94 24.75 0.50 19.50 5.80 1.89 Aug : 1.94 24.75 0.50 19.50 5.80 1.89 Major importers 5/ : July : 14.06 67.38 11.71 78.03 0.66 14.46 August : 13.94 67.38 11.71 77.98 0.66 14.39 Brazil Jul : 0.99 8.40 0.65 8.65 0.50 0.89 Aug : 0.86 8.40 0.65 8.60 0.50 0.81 EU-27 6/ Jul : 1.11 2.01 1.35 3.15 0.14 1.18 Aug : 1.11 2.01 1.35 3.15 0.14 1.18 Indonesia Jul : 7.99 40.00 0.25 39.50 0.00 8.74 Aug : 7.99 40.00 0.25 39.50 0.00 8.74 Nigeria Jul : 0.47 3.60 1.90 5.50 0.00 0.47 Aug : 0.47 3.60 1.90 5.50 0.00 0.47 Philippines Jul : 2.46 10.80 2.50 13.70 0.00 2.06 Aug : 2.46 10.80 2.50 13.70 0.00 2.06 Sel. Mideast 7/Jul : 0.99 2.13 3.75 5.80 0.02 1.05 Aug : 0.99 2.13 3.75 5.80 0.02 1.05 Selected other : Burma Jul : 0.04 11.00 0.00 10.10 0.70 0.24 Aug : 0.34 11.00 0.00 10.10 0.70 0.54 C. Am & Car. 8/Jul : 0.32 1.56 1.50 3.09 0.00 0.29 Aug : 0.33 1.62 1.45 3.11 0.00 0.29 China Jul : 40.85 137.50 0.33 135.50 0.90 42.28 Aug : 40.85 137.50 0.33 135.50 0.90 42.28 Egypt Jul : 0.29 3.90 0.15 3.85 0.30 0.19 Aug : 0.29 3.90 0.15 3.85 0.30 0.19 Japan Jul : 2.73 7.85 0.70 8.13 0.20 2.95 Aug : 2.73 7.85 0.70 8.13 0.20 2.95 Mexico Jul : 0.17 0.16 0.65 0.82 0.01 0.16 Aug : 0.17 0.16 0.65 0.82 0.01 0.16 South Korea Jul : 1.46 4.60 0.33 4.74 0.01 1.64 Aug : 1.46 4.60 0.33 4.74 0.01 1.64 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-485-26 August 2010 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) ================================================================================ : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss : Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ : stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : ================================================================================ : : 2008/09 : World : 60.69 107.16 30.07 109.94 30.11 -2.67 60.53 United States : 10.05 12.82 3/ 3.59 13.28 -0.33 6.34 Total foreign : 50.64 94.34 30.07 106.35 16.83 -2.33 54.20 Major exporters 4/ : 17.80 42.34 1.54 26.83 13.88 -0.19 21.17 Central Asia 5/ : 2.42 7.10 0.01 1.60 4.45 0.00 3.47 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 0.67 2.41 3/ 0.19 2.15 0.00 0.75 S. Hemis. 7/ : 8.30 8.68 0.31 5.52 4.60 -0.20 7.38 Australia : 0.60 1.50 3/ 0.05 1.20 -0.07 0.93 Brazil : 6.25 5.48 0.05 4.20 2.74 -0.15 4.99 India : 5.63 22.60 0.80 17.75 2.36 0.00 8.92 Major importers 8/ : 30.99 49.21 26.06 75.24 1.88 -2.15 31.29 Mexico : 0.93 0.57 1.32 1.85 0.18 0.03 0.76 China : 20.50 36.70 7.00 44.00 0.08 -2.25 22.37 EU-27 9/ : 0.67 1.23 0.96 1.14 1.01 0.05 0.65 Turkey : 1.95 1.93 2.92 5.10 0.14 -0.09 1.65 Pakistan : 4.47 8.70 1.95 11.25 0.38 0.03 3.47 Indonesia : 0.39 0.03 2.00 2.00 0.02 0.05 0.35 Thailand : 0.32 3/ 1.60 1.60 0.00 0.03 0.29 Bangladesh : 0.62 0.04 3.80 3.75 0.00 0.01 0.70 Vietnam : 0.25 0.01 1.25 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.26 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) : World : 60.53 102.15 36.21 117.71 35.65 -2.05 47.58 United States : 6.34 12.19 3/ 3.40 12.00 0.03 3.10 Total foreign : 54.20 89.96 36.21 114.31 23.65 -2.08 44.48 Major exporters 4/ : 21.17 41.98 1.56 28.84 20.10 -0.19 15.95 Central Asia 5/ : 3.47 6.12 0.01 1.69 5.91 0.00 2.01 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 0.75 2.16 3/ 0.18 2.22 0.00 0.51 S. Hemis. 7/ : 7.38 8.77 0.40 5.70 4.91 -0.20 6.15 Australia : 0.93 1.60 3/ 0.04 2.10 -0.07 0.46 Brazil : 4.99 5.35 0.16 4.40 1.99 -0.15 4.26 India : 8.92 23.50 0.60 19.60 6.55 0.00 6.87 Major importers 8/ : 31.29 45.38 31.98 81.27 2.33 -1.89 26.95 Mexico : 0.76 0.42 1.40 1.90 0.10 0.03 0.56 China : 22.37 32.50 10.94 48.50 0.03 -2.00 19.28 EU-27 9/ : 0.65 1.01 0.89 0.98 1.06 0.05 0.46 Turkey : 1.65 1.75 4.30 5.80 0.15 -0.08 1.83 Pakistan : 3.47 9.60 1.50 11.50 0.75 0.03 2.30 Indonesia : 0.35 0.03 2.10 2.05 0.02 0.05 0.36 Thailand : 0.29 3/ 1.80 1.78 0.01 0.03 0.29 Bangladesh : 0.70 0.05 4.00 4.00 0.00 0.01 0.74 Vietnam : 0.26 0.02 1.70 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.38 ================================================================================ 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, China, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-485-27 August 2010 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) ================================================================================ : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss : Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ : stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : ================================================================================ : : 2010/11 (Projected) World : July : 50.99 116.02 37.05 119.70 37.02 -2.58 49.91 August : 47.58 116.85 38.25 120.87 38.24 -2.04 45.61 United States : July : 2.90 18.30 3/ 3.40 14.30 0.00 3.50 August : 3.10 18.53 0.01 3.40 15.00 0.04 3.20 Total foreign : July : 48.09 97.72 37.05 116.30 22.72 -2.58 46.41 August : 44.48 98.32 38.24 117.47 23.24 -2.08 42.41 Major exporters 4/ : July : 17.75 47.44 1.64 29.94 19.27 -0.19 17.81 August : 15.95 48.54 1.94 29.93 19.85 -0.19 16.84 Central Asia 5/Jul : 2.01 6.97 0.01 1.73 5.60 0.00 1.65 Aug : 2.01 6.97 0.01 1.73 5.72 0.00 1.53 Afr. Fr. Zn. 6/Jul : 0.51 2.66 3/ 0.18 2.45 0.00 0.53 Aug : 0.51 2.66 3/ 0.18 2.45 0.00 0.53 S. Hemis 7/ Jul : 6.79 11.22 0.51 5.95 4.88 -0.20 7.89 Aug : 6.15 11.32 0.81 5.95 4.73 -0.20 7.80 Australia Jul : 0.74 2.20 3/ 0.04 1.85 -0.07 1.12 Aug : 0.46 2.30 3/ 0.04 2.00 -0.07 0.80 Brazil Jul : 4.63 7.00 0.30 4.60 2.20 -0.15 5.28 Aug : 4.26 7.00 0.60 4.60 1.90 -0.15 5.51 India Jul : 8.02 25.00 0.63 20.40 5.90 0.00 7.35 Aug : 6.87 26.00 0.63 20.40 6.50 0.00 6.59 Major importers 8/ : July : 28.75 47.42 32.81 82.15 2.24 -2.39 26.99 August : 26.95 46.92 33.62 83.33 2.09 -1.89 23.96 Mexico Jul : 0.56 0.64 1.50 1.90 0.20 0.03 0.58 Aug : 0.56 0.64 1.40 1.90 0.15 0.03 0.53 China Jul : 20.49 33.00 11.65 49.00 0.03 -2.50 18.62 Aug : 19.28 33.00 12.50 50.00 0.03 -2.00 16.76 EU-27 9/ Jul : 0.46 1.38 0.84 0.93 1.26 0.05 0.44 Aug : 0.46 1.38 0.82 0.91 1.26 0.05 0.44 Turkey Jul : 1.83 2.10 3.30 5.70 0.15 -0.08 1.46 Aug : 1.83 2.30 3.40 6.00 0.15 -0.08 1.46 Pakistan Jul : 2.91 10.20 2.30 11.60 0.40 0.03 3.39 Aug : 2.30 9.50 2.30 11.50 0.30 0.03 2.27 Indonesia Jul : 0.36 0.03 2.20 2.10 0.02 0.05 0.42 Aug : 0.36 0.03 2.20 2.10 0.02 0.05 0.42 Thailand Jul : 0.29 3/ 1.80 1.78 0.01 0.03 0.28 Aug : 0.29 3/ 1.80 1.78 0.01 0.03 0.28 Bangladesh Jul : 0.74 0.05 4.25 4.25 0.00 0.01 0.78 Aug : 0.74 0.05 4.25 4.25 0.00 0.01 0.78 Vietnam Jul : 0.36 0.02 1.78 1.80 0.00 0.00 0.35 Aug : 0.38 0.02 1.75 1.80 0.00 0.00 0.35 ================================================================================ 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-485-28 August 2010 World Soybean Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Domestic : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Crush : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 World 2/ : 52.89 211.96 77.17 192.71 220.79 77.25 43.97 United States : 5.58 80.75 0.36 45.23 48.11 34.82 3.76 Total foreign : 47.31 131.22 76.81 147.48 172.68 42.44 40.21 Major exporters 3/ : 40.85 93.80 1.30 64.61 69.09 38.21 28.65 Argentina : 21.76 32.00 1.24 31.24 32.82 5.59 16.59 Brazil : 18.90 57.80 0.04 31.87 34.72 29.99 12.04 Major importers 4/ : 5.61 17.58 64.50 61.66 77.19 0.45 10.05 China : 4.25 15.54 41.10 41.04 51.44 0.40 9.05 EU-27 : 0.81 0.64 13.21 12.86 14.09 0.02 0.56 Japan : 0.27 0.26 3.40 2.50 3.75 0.00 0.18 Mexico : 0.06 0.15 3.33 3.47 3.50 0.00 0.04 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) World 2/ : 43.97 259.90 86.66 207.65 237.44 89.58 63.52 United States : 3.76 91.42 0.41 47.63 51.24 40.01 4.34 Total foreign : 40.21 168.48 86.25 160.02 186.20 49.57 59.18 Major exporters 3/ : 28.65 130.70 0.20 68.36 72.97 44.75 41.82 Argentina : 16.59 54.50 0.00 33.53 35.12 11.00 24.97 Brazil : 12.04 69.00 0.19 33.28 36.18 28.35 16.70 Major importers 4/ : 10.05 16.87 73.27 68.89 84.89 0.32 14.97 China : 9.05 14.70 49.50 48.48 59.08 0.25 13.92 EU-27 : 0.56 0.86 13.00 12.50 13.77 0.04 0.61 Japan : 0.18 0.23 3.60 2.53 3.83 0.00 0.18 Mexico : 0.04 0.11 3.45 3.51 3.55 0.00 0.05 : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 2/ : July : 65.35 251.29 87.54 216.30 247.57 88.84 67.76 August : 63.52 253.69 89.54 219.75 250.92 91.11 64.73 United States : July : 4.75 91.04 0.27 44.77 48.98 37.29 9.80 August : 4.34 93.44 0.27 44.91 49.21 39.05 9.80 Total foreign : July : 60.59 160.25 87.27 171.53 198.60 51.55 57.96 August : 59.18 160.25 89.27 174.85 201.71 52.05 54.93 Major exporters 3/ : July : 43.55 121.50 0.19 73.00 77.80 46.24 41.20 August : 41.82 121.50 0.19 73.81 78.59 46.74 38.19 Argentina Jul : 25.47 50.00 0.00 38.65 40.32 12.50 22.65 Aug : 24.97 50.00 0.00 39.26 40.91 12.50 21.56 Brazil Jul : 17.92 65.00 0.18 32.80 35.80 28.90 18.40 Aug : 16.70 65.00 0.18 33.00 36.00 29.40 16.47 Major importers 4/ : July : 14.68 16.91 73.97 74.10 90.43 0.52 14.62 August : 14.97 16.91 75.95 76.49 92.82 0.52 14.50 China Jul : 13.62 14.60 50.00 53.40 64.22 0.45 13.55 Aug : 13.92 14.60 52.00 55.80 66.62 0.45 13.45 EU-27 Jul : 0.61 1.00 12.60 12.40 13.62 0.03 0.56 Aug : 0.61 1.00 12.60 12.40 13.62 0.03 0.56 Japan Jul : 0.18 0.23 3.66 2.59 3.89 0.00 0.17 Aug : 0.18 0.23 3.66 2.59 3.89 0.00 0.17 Mexico Jul : 0.05 0.11 3.60 3.67 3.71 0.00 0.05 Aug : 0.05 0.11 3.60 3.67 3.71 0.00 0.05 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay. 4/ Japan, China, and EU, Mexico, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-485-29 August 2010 World Soybean Meal Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 World 2/ : 6.36 151.43 51.18 151.94 52.82 4.23 United States : 0.27 35.47 0.08 27.90 7.71 0.21 Total foreign : 6.10 115.96 51.10 124.04 45.11 4.01 Major exporters 3/ : 3.83 54.81 0.10 15.00 40.94 2.79 Argentina : 1.14 24.36 0.00 0.63 24.03 0.85 Brazil : 2.59 24.70 0.08 12.42 13.11 1.84 India : 0.11 5.75 0.01 1.95 3.81 0.10 Major importers 4/ : 1.27 44.10 28.19 71.70 1.53 0.33 EU-27 : 1.07 10.13 20.98 31.58 0.47 0.13 China : 0.00 32.48 0.22 31.67 1.02 0.00 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) World 2/ : 4.23 163.55 53.13 160.26 55.77 4.88 United States : 0.21 37.67 0.13 27.31 10.43 0.27 Total foreign : 4.01 125.88 53.00 132.95 45.34 4.61 Major exporters 3/ : 2.79 57.25 0.11 16.12 40.73 3.30 Argentina : 0.85 26.15 0.00 0.67 25.38 0.94 Brazil : 1.84 25.79 0.10 12.80 12.75 2.18 India : 0.10 5.31 0.01 2.65 2.60 0.17 Major importers 4/ : 0.33 49.75 29.33 76.86 2.05 0.50 EU-27 : 0.13 9.85 21.80 31.09 0.45 0.23 China : 0.00 38.37 0.07 36.88 1.55 0.00 : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 2/ : July : 5.23 170.40 54.81 168.08 56.93 5.43 August : 4.88 173.12 55.38 170.55 57.74 5.09 United States : July : 0.27 35.50 0.15 27.58 8.07 0.27 August : 0.27 35.59 0.15 27.67 8.07 0.27 Total foreign : July : 4.96 134.90 54.66 140.50 48.85 5.16 August : 4.61 137.53 55.23 142.89 49.67 4.82 Major exporters 3/ : July : 3.69 61.45 0.13 17.16 44.35 3.75 August : 3.30 62.16 0.13 17.04 45.16 3.39 Argentina Jul : 1.52 29.95 0.00 0.70 29.42 1.36 Aug : 0.94 30.43 0.00 0.70 29.55 1.13 Brazil Jul : 1.60 25.42 0.12 13.38 11.83 1.93 Aug : 2.18 25.58 0.12 13.38 12.41 2.09 India Jul : 0.56 6.08 0.01 3.08 3.10 0.47 Aug : 0.17 6.15 0.01 2.96 3.20 0.17 Major importers 4/ : July : 0.50 53.70 30.22 81.84 2.00 0.59 August : 0.50 55.60 30.80 84.31 2.00 0.59 EU-27 Jul : 0.23 9.77 22.60 31.85 0.45 0.30 Aug : 0.23 9.77 23.05 32.30 0.45 0.30 China Jul : 0.00 42.26 0.05 40.81 1.50 0.00 Aug : 0.00 44.16 0.05 42.71 1.50 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil, and India. 4/ Eastern Europe, China, EU, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-485-30 August 2010 World Soybean Oil Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 World 2/ : 3.11 35.70 8.96 35.91 9.12 2.73 United States : 1.13 8.50 0.04 7.38 1.00 1.30 Total foreign : 1.99 27.19 8.92 28.53 8.13 1.43 Major exporters 3/ : 0.94 14.35 0.80 8.48 7.01 0.59 Argentina : 0.30 5.91 0.00 1.43 4.70 0.08 Brazil : 0.43 6.12 0.01 4.27 1.91 0.37 EU-27 : 0.21 2.31 0.79 2.78 0.40 0.14 Major importers 4/ : 0.29 8.60 3.60 11.83 0.09 0.57 China : 0.23 7.31 2.49 9.49 0.08 0.47 India : 0.06 1.29 1.06 2.30 0.00 0.10 Pakistan : 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.05 0.00 0.00 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) World 2/ : 2.73 38.40 8.60 38.07 8.92 2.75 United States : 1.30 8.87 0.05 7.30 1.47 1.44 Total foreign : 1.43 29.53 8.55 30.76 7.45 1.31 Major exporters 3/ : 0.59 15.03 0.50 9.24 6.22 0.67 Argentina : 0.08 6.39 0.00 1.91 4.40 0.16 Brazil : 0.37 6.39 0.05 5.05 1.42 0.35 EU-27 : 0.14 2.25 0.45 2.28 0.40 0.16 Major importers 4/ : 0.57 9.83 3.14 13.13 0.08 0.33 China : 0.47 8.64 1.60 10.42 0.08 0.20 India : 0.10 1.19 1.50 2.67 0.00 0.12 Pakistan : 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 2/ : July : 2.65 40.15 8.98 40.32 9.02 2.43 August : 2.75 40.82 8.84 40.97 8.99 2.45 United States : July : 1.32 8.51 0.05 7.85 0.95 1.08 August : 1.44 8.53 0.05 7.89 0.95 1.18 Total foreign : July : 1.32 31.64 8.92 32.47 8.07 1.35 August : 1.31 32.29 8.79 33.08 8.03 1.27 Major exporters 3/ : July : 0.69 15.92 0.45 9.56 6.79 0.71 August : 0.67 16.08 0.45 9.84 6.72 0.64 Argentina Jul : 0.21 7.40 0.00 2.13 5.20 0.27 Aug : 0.16 7.52 0.00 2.23 5.20 0.25 Brazil Jul : 0.33 6.29 0.05 5.10 1.29 0.28 Aug : 0.35 6.33 0.05 5.25 1.22 0.26 EU-27 Jul : 0.16 2.23 0.40 2.33 0.30 0.16 Aug : 0.16 2.23 0.40 2.36 0.30 0.13 Major importers 4/ : July : 0.36 10.88 3.38 14.21 0.07 0.32 August : 0.33 11.33 3.37 14.65 0.07 0.31 China Jul : 0.20 9.52 2.15 11.58 0.07 0.22 Aug : 0.20 9.95 2.15 12.01 0.07 0.22 India Jul : 0.15 1.36 1.19 2.60 0.00 0.10 Aug : 0.12 1.39 1.18 2.60 0.00 0.08 Pakistan Jul : 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 Aug : 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and EU. 4/ India, China and Pakistan. WASDE-485-31 August 2010 U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production 1/ =============================================================================== Year : : : Red : : : Total: Red : : : and : : : meat : : :poultry: meat & : : : quarter : Beef : Pork : 2/ :Broiler:Turkey: 3/ : poultry: Egg : Milk : =============================================================================== : Million pounds Mil doz Bil lbs 2009 : III : 6690 5700 12464 9172 1417 10725 23189 1880 46.8 IV : 6426 5996 12504 8827 1441 10385 22889 1924 46.3 Annual : 25965 22999 49274 35511 5663 41674 90947 7534 189.3 : 2010 : I : 6251 5607 11936 8732 1340 10188 22124 1867 47.4 II : 6549 5301 11922 9184 1383 10692 22614 1890 49.7 III* : 6605 5435 12113 9450 1400 10975 23088 1905 47.7 IV* : 6240 5895 12212 9125 1425 10675 22887 1940 47.2 Annual : Jul Proj : 25666 22247 48209 36482 5540 42513 90722 7582 191.2 Aug Proj : 25645 22238 48183 36491 5548 42530 90713 7602 192.0 : 2011 : I* : 5990 5615 11680 9075 1375 10565 22245 1890 48.3 II* : 6380 5415 11866 9400 1390 10915 22781 1900 50.0 Annual : Jul Proj : 25135 22685 48112 37575 5645 43720 91832 7620 193.5 Aug Proj : 25135 22655 48082 37575 5645 43720 91802 7660 194.6 =============================================================================== * Projection. 1/ Commercial production for red meats; federally inspected for poultry meats. 2/ Beef, pork, veal and lamb & mutton. 3/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products 1/ =============================================================================== Year : Barrows : : : : : and : Steers :and gilts : Broilers : Turkeys : Eggs : Milk : quarter : 2/ : 3/ : 4/ : 5/ : 6/ : 7/ : =============================================================================== : Dol./cwt Dol./cwt Cents/lb. Cents/lb. Cents/doz. Dol./cwt 2009 : III : 83.05 38.90 76.8 78.1 94.8 12.13 IV : 83.29 41.20 72.1 81.4 117.7 15.40 Annual : 83.25 41.24 77.6 76.5 103.0 12.84 : 2010 : I : 89.44 50.41 82.2 75.6 126.0 15.60 II : 96.33 59.60 85.0 84.4 82.8 15.07 III* : 94-96 57-59 83-85 95-97 84-86 16.30-16.60 IV* : 92-98 49-53 80-84 95-101 102-108 16.65-17.25 Annual : Jul Proj : 92-95 54-56 83-85 86-88 98-101 15.80-16.10 Aug Proj : 93-95 54-55 82-84 88-89 99-101 15.90-16.10 : 2011 : I* : 93-101 54-58 81-87 74-80 107-115 15.60-16.50 II* : 96-104 54-58 82-88 81-87 101-109 15.05-16.05 Annual : Jul Proj : 95-102 53-57 81-88 83-89 103-112 15.90-16.90 Aug Proj : 95-102 53-57 81-88 83-89 103-112 15.55-16.55 =============================================================================== *Projection. 1/ Simple average of months. 2/ 5-Area, Direct, Total all grades 3/ National Base, Live equiv 51-52% lean. 4/ Wholesale, 12-city average. 5/ 8-16 lbs, hens National. 6/ Grade A large, New York, volume buyers. 7/ Prices received by farmers for all milk. WASDE-485-32 August 2010 U.S. Meats Supply and Use =============================================================================== : Supply : Use :----------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : Disappearance : : Pro- : : : : :-------------- : Beg- : duc- : : : : End- : : Per Item :inning: tion : Im- : Total : Ex- : ing : :capita :stocks: 1/ :ports: supply: ports:stocks:Total : 2/ 3/ =============================================================================== : Million pounds 4/ BEEF : 2009 : 642 26068 2626 29336 1935 565 26836 61.1 2010 Proj. Jul : 565 25768 2508 28841 2088 535 26218 59.2 Aug : 565 25747 2603 28915 2193 535 26187 59.1 2011 Proj. Jul : 535 25237 2785 28557 2000 515 26042 58.3 Aug : 535 25237 2785 28557 2070 515 25972 58.1 : PORK : 2009 : 635 23020 834 24489 4095 525 19870 50.1 2010 Proj. Jul : 525 22269 844 23638 4327 500 18811 47.1 Aug : 525 22260 848 23633 4468 500 18665 46.7 2011 Proj. Jul : 500 22706 885 24091 4550 500 19041 47.3 Aug : 500 22676 875 24051 4675 500 18876 46.8 : TOTAL RED MEAT 5/ : 2009 : 1307 49412 3631 54350 6046 1114 47191 112.6 2010 Proj. Jul : 1114 48348 3521 52983 6437 1062 45484 107.5 Aug : 1114 48322 3628 53064 6682 1062 45320 107.1 2011 Proj. Jul : 1062 48251 3856 53169 6570 1042 45557 106.9 Aug : 1062 48221 3846 53129 6765 1042 45322 106.3 : BROILERS : 2009 : 745 35131 86 35961 6818 616 28527 79.7 2010 Proj. Jul : 616 36092 96 36804 5863 670 30271 83.9 Aug : 616 36101 83 36800 6471 670 29659 82.2 2011 Proj. Jul : 670 37173 96 37939 6150 660 31129 85.5 Aug : 670 37173 96 37939 6650 660 30629 84.1 : TURKEYS : 2009 : 396 5588 13 5997 534 262 5201 16.9 2010 Proj. Jul : 262 5467 12 5741 514 250 4977 16.1 Aug : 262 5475 12 5749 540 250 4959 16.0 2011 Proj. Jul : 250 5571 12 5833 530 275 5028 16.1 Aug : 250 5571 12 5833 550 275 5008 16.0 : TOTAL POULTRY 6/ : 2009 : 1144 41219 104 42467 7452 880 34135 97.9 2010 Proj. Jul : 880 42050 112 43042 6477 923 35642 101.2 Aug : 880 42066 99 43045 7109 923 35013 99.4 2011 Proj. Jul : 923 43243 112 44278 6790 938 36550 102.9 Aug : 923 43243 112 44278 7310 938 36030 101.4 : RED MEAT & POULTRY : 2009 : 2451 90631 3735 96818 13498 1994 81326 210.6 2010 Proj. Jul : 1994 90397 3633 96024 12914 1985 81125 208.7 Aug : 1994 90388 3727 96109 13791 1985 80333 206.6 2011 Proj. Jul : 1985 91494 3968 97447 13360 1980 82107 209.7 Aug : 1985 91464 3958 97407 14075 1980 81352 207.7 =============================================================================== 1/ Total including farm production for red meats and, for poultry, federally inspected plus non-federally inspected, less condemnations. 2/ Pounds, retail-weight basis. 3/ Population source: Dept. of Commerce, Census Bureau. 4/ Carcass weight for red meats and certified ready-to-cook weight for poultry. 5/ Beef, pork, veal, lamb and mutton. 6/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. WASDE-485-33 August 2010 U.S. Egg Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2010 Projected : 2011 Projected : : :-----------------:----------------- Commodity : 2008 : 2009 : Jul : Aug : Jul : Aug =============================================================================== EGGS : Million dozen Supply : Beginning stocks : 11.1 17.2 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 Production : 7501.0 7534.0 7582.0 7602.0 7620.0 7660.0 Imports : 14.6 11.0 12.0 12.4 12.0 12.0 Total supply : 7526.7 7562.2 7612.0 7632.4 7650.0 7690.0 : Use : Exports : 206.3 242.2 237.2 249.3 237.0 237.0 Hatching use : 996.3 955.1 986.6 985.4 1010.0 1010.0 Ending stocks : 17.2 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 Disappearance : Total : 6306.9 6346.9 6370.2 6379.7 6385.0 6425.0 Per capita (number) : 248.3 247.7 246.5 246.9 245.0 246.6 =============================================================================== U.S. Milk Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2010 Projected : 2011 Projected Commodity : : :-----------------:----------------- : 2008 : 2009 : Jul : Aug : Jul : Aug =============================================================================== : Billion pounds Milk : Production : 190.0 189.3 191.2 192.0 193.5 194.6 Farm use : 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 : Fat Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 10.4 10.1 11.3 11.3 10.5 10.5 Marketings : 188.9 188.3 190.2 191.0 192.5 193.6 Imports : 5.3 5.6 4.5 4.2 4.7 4.3 Total cml. supply : 204.6 204.0 206.1 206.6 207.7 208.4 : Fat Basis Use : Commercial Exports : 8.7 4.1 5.3 6.3 5.1 5.6 Ending commercial stks : 10.1 11.3 10.5 10.5 9.8 9.9 CCC net removals 1/ : 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 Commercial use 2/ : 185.7 187.7 190.0 189.5 192.8 192.9 : Skim-solids Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 10.0 10.9 11.3 11.3 11.3 11.4 Marketings : 188.9 188.3 190.2 191.0 192.5 193.6 Imports : 7.0 5.5 4.6 4.6 4.8 4.7 Total cml. supply : 205.9 204.7 206.1 207.0 208.6 209.6 : Skim-solids Basis Use : Commercial Exports : 26.6 22.5 26.3 28.8 27.3 28.0 Ending commercial stks : 10.9 11.3 11.3 11.4 10.9 11.0 CCC net removals 1/ : 1.3 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Commercial use 2/ : 167.1 168.6 168.8 167.1 170.4 170.6 : : Million pounds CCC product net removals 1/: Butter : 0 30 8 8 0 0 Cheese : 0 2 2 2 0 0 Nonfat dry milk : 111 247 2 2 0 0 Dry whole milk : 0 0 0 0 0 0 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Includes products exported under the Dairy Export Incentive Program. 2/ Domestic commercial use only. 2009 and 2010 adjusted for the Barter Program WASDE-485-34 August 2010 U.S. Dairy Prices =========================================================================== : : : 2010 Projected : 2011 Projected : : :-----------------:----------------- Commodity : 2008 : 2009 : Jul : Aug : Jul : Aug =========================================================================== : Dollars per pound : Product Prices 1/ : Cheese : 1.8958 1.2963 1.465- 1.500- 1.520- 1.505- : 1.495 1.520 1.620 1.605 : Butter : 1.4352 1.2094 1.530- 1.610- 1.400- 1.435- : 1.590 1.650 1.530 1.565 : Nonfat dry milk : 1.2257 0.9222 1.195- 1.145- 1.235- 1.175- : 1.225 1.165 1.305 1.245 : Dry whey : 0.2500 0.2584 0.365- 0.360- 0.375- 0.355- : 0.385 0.380 0.405 0.385 : : Dollars per cwt Milk Prices 2/ : Class III : 17.44 11.36 13.80- 14.15- 14.40- 14.15- : 14.10 14.35 15.40 15.15 : Class IV : 14.65 10.89 14.65- 14.50- 14.40- 14.00- : 15.05 14.80 15.50 15.10 : All milk 3/ : 18.34 12.84 15.80- 15.90- 15.90- 15.55- : 16.10 16.10 16.90 16.55 : =========================================================================== 1/ Simple average of monthly prices calculated by AMS from NASS weekly average dairy product prices for class price computations. 2/ Annual Class III and Class IV prices are the simple averages of monthly minimum Federal order milk prices paid by regulated plants for milk used in the respective classes. All milk price is the simple average of monthly prices received by farmers for milk at average test. 3/ Does not reflect any deductions from producers as authorized by legislation. WASDE-485-35 August 2010 Note: Tables on pages 35-37 present a 29-year record of the differences between the August projection and the final estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, changes between the August projection and the final estimate have averaged 11.2 million tons (2.0%) ranging from -32.1 to 19.5 million tons. The August projection has been below the estimate 18 times and above 11 times. Reliability of August Projections =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2009/10 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== WHEAT :Percent Million metric tons Number of years Production : World : 2.0 11.2 -32.1 19.5 18 11 U.S. : 1.9 1.2 -3.4 4.2 12 17 Foreign : 2.2 10.8 -31.1 17.8 18 11 Exports : World : 4.6 5.3 -15.1 10.2 20 9 U.S. : 8.4 2.7 -10.0 7.8 14 14 Foreign : 5.6 4.9 -14.7 7.2 19 10 Domestic use : World : 1.5 8.3 -23.4 15.4 16 13 U.S. : 6.0 1.8 -3.7 3.6 11 18 Foreign : 1.5 7.7 -21.1 14.5 18 11 Ending stocks : World : 8.0 10.8 -31.2 23.7 21 8 U.S. : 14.2 3.2 -11.1 12.6 16 13 Foreign : 8.7 9.4 -28.7 11.2 21 8 : COARSE GRAINS 2/ : Production : World : 2.0 17.3 -51.0 32.7 22 7 U.S. : 4.5 10.3 -22.1 31.4 20 9 Foreign : 2.0 12.4 -28.8 20.0 19 10 Exports : World : 5.6 6.0 -14.7 17.4 19 10 U.S. : 13.5 7.2 -19.7 14.9 12 17 Foreign : 12.9 6.7 -18.1 14.2 18 11 Domestic use : World : 1.4 12.3 -29.4 24.3 15 14 U.S. : 3.8 7.5 -15.9 17.0 19 10 Foreign : 1.4 9.5 -20.2 23.3 17 12 Ending stocks : World : 13.6 19.1 -53.5 30.5 23 6 U.S. : 23.3 11.3 -43.5 22.1 15 14 Foreign : 13.9 12.3 -28.7 17.2 24 5 : RICE, milled : Production : World : 1.9 6.8 -24.4 4.1 20 9 U.S. : 4.4 0.2 -0.6 0.5 17 12 Foreign : 1.9 6.8 -24.7 4.2 21 8 Exports : World : 7.5 1.5 -6.8 0.9 20 9 U.S. : 8.1 0.2 -1.0 0.9 16 11 Foreign : 8.5 1.5 -6.7 0.8 19 10 Domestic use : World : 1.3 4.4 -23.5 3.5 22 7 U.S. : 6.4 0.2 -0.4 0.5 13 16 Foreign : 1.3 4.4 -24.0 3.7 21 8 Ending stocks : World : 10.5 5.0 -14.5 7.9 23 6 U.S. : 23.1 0.3 -0.6 1.0 17 11 Foreign : 11.0 5.0 -15.5 7.5 23 6 =============================================================================== 1/ Footnotes at end of table. CONTINUED WASDE-485-36 August 2010 Reliability of August Projections (Continued) =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2009/10 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== SOYBEANS :Percent Million metric tons Number of years Production : World : 3.8 6.2 -18.3 26.7 17 12 U.S. : 5.3 3.5 -7.4 11.1 15 14 Foreign : 6.9 6.1 -13.3 26.4 15 14 Exports : World : 6.3 2.8 -11.6 9.1 18 11 U.S. : 10.7 2.6 -7.1 5.5 16 12 Foreign : 17.1 2.6 -9.4 9.0 14 15 Domestic use : World : 3.3 4.8 -8.8 15.9 18 11 U.S. : 4.4 1.8 -3.9 4.6 19 10 Foreign : 4.0 4.1 -7.4 11.3 18 11 Ending stocks : World : 13.1 3.7 -15.0 8.2 16 13 U.S. : 37.4 2.6 -7.3 6.9 9 20 Foreign : 17.7 3.8 -16.0 7.8 18 11 : COTTON : Million 480-pound bales Production : World : 3.6 3.3 -13.2 10.5 16 13 U.S. : 6.6 1.1 -3.1 3.9 17 11 Foreign : 3.8 2.8 -10.7 10.2 15 13 Exports : World : 7.0 2.1 -7.1 10.2 13 16 U.S. : 16.5 1.3 -3.0 3.2 16 13 Foreign : 8.1 1.5 -4.1 8.5 14 15 Mill use : World : 3.0 2.8 -7.5 14.2 13 16 U.S. : 7.0 0.5 -1.2 1.3 15 12 Foreign : 3.1 2.7 -7.1 13.4 14 15 Ending stocks : World : 13.4 5.3 -12.5 14.2 20 9 U.S. : 34.1 1.6 -5.1 3.1 12 17 Foreign : 13.0 4.5 -13.0 12.3 22 7 =============================================================================== 1/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2008/09 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2009/10 last month's estimate. 2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain. WASDE-485-37 August 2010 Reliability of United States August Projections 1/ =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2009/10 2/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== CORN :Percent Million bushels Number of years Production : 4.9 382 -889 1079 19 10 Exports : 14.2 259 -750 546 11 18 Domestic use : 4.3 298 -590 575 19 10 Ending stocks : 26.9 410 -1674 740 15 14 : SORGHUM : Production : 6.5 38 -82 108 16 13 Exports : 16.1 37 -115 97 15 14 Domestic use : 10.8 40 -114 81 13 15 Ending stocks : 39.5 45 -201 133 10 19 : BARLEY : Production : 5.0 18 -63 67 11 18 Exports : 35.3 16 -82 38 14 13 Domestic use : 8.3 27 -47 82 12 16 Ending stocks : 16.2 25 -61 94 13 16 : OATS : Production : 7.5 16 -26 57 6 23 Exports : 58.4 1 -5 8 8 10 Domestic use : 4.4 14 -39 35 9 20 Ending stocks : 15.4 17 -40 37 13 16 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL : Production : 4.1 1334 -2858 3669 19 10 Exports : 13.4 927 -2550 1800 16 13 Domestic use : 3.4 859 -1550 3800 16 13 Ending stocks : 26.7 63 -204 428 10 14 : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL : Production : 4.0 626 -1583 1790 17 12 Exports : 23.5 387 -1575 1219 12 15 Domestic use : 3.2 451 -1085 2200 18 11 Ending stocks : 30.7 514 -1472 1078 14 15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ANIMAL PROD. 3/ : Million pounds Beef : 3.6 905 -803 2536 18 9 Pork : 2.2 391 -1315 1372 15 12 Broilers : 2.0 534 -1337 1338 16 11 Turkeys : 2.6 125 -444 372 18 9 : : Million dozen Eggs : 1.4 88 -184 188 17 10 : : Billion pounds Milk : 1.3 2.1 -7.0 6.8 14 13 =============================================================================== 1/ See pages 35 and 36 for record of reliability for U.S. wheat, rice, soybeans, and cotton. 2/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2008/09 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2009/10 last month's estimate. 3/ Calendar years 1983 thru 2009 for meats, eggs, and milk. Final for animal products is defined as latest annual production estimate published by NASS. ----- End of File -----