ISSN: 1554-9089 WASDE - 486 September 10, 2010 Note: On October 8, 2010, USDA’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report will discontinue issuing online the TXT file version. For further information, please contact Brenda Chapin at 202- 720-5447 (bchapin@oce.usda.gov). WHEAT: U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2010/11 are projected lower this month with higher expected world demand for U.S. wheat. Strong early season sales and reduced supplies in EU-27, particularly of higher quality wheat, support an improved outlook for U.S. exports. Wheat exports are projected 50 million bushels higher with larger expected shipments of Hard Red Winter, Hard Red Spring, and White wheat. Projected ending stocks are lowered by the same amount to 902 million bushels. At the projected level, stocks would remain the second highest in more than a decade. The 2010/11 season-average farm price is projected at $4.95 to $5.65 per bushel, compared with $4.70 to $5.50 last month. Global wheat supplies for 2010/11 are projected down 0.7 million tons as higher carryin mostly offsets a 2.7-million-ton reduction in world output. Much of the offset is explained by Canada, where beginning stocks are increased 1.5 million tons, as reported by Statistics Canada, and production is increased by 2.0 million tons. These changes mostly offset lower production in Russia and EU- 27. Production for Russia is lowered 2.5 million tons based on the latest harvest results for the drought-affected central growing areas in the Volga and Urals Federal Districts. EU-27 production is lowered 2.4 million tons with the largest reductions for Hungary and Romania where heavy summer rains reduced yields. Smaller reductions in a number of other member countries also reduce EU- 27 production. Although the reduction for Germany is small, persistent and heavy August rains have reduced supplies of high quality milling wheat. Other production changes include a 0.3- million-ton reduction for Belarus and a 0.4-million-ton increase for Morocco. World wheat trade for 2010/11 is raised with global exports projected 1.4 million tons higher. Export shifts among countries largely reflect availability of supplies and increased competition from North America. Exports are raised 2.0 million tons for Canada and 1.4 million tons for the United States. Exports are also raised 0.5 million tons each for Iran and Kazakhstan. A 0.5-million-ton increase in Russia exports reflects larger-than-expected shipments during early August, before implementation of the export ban on August 15. These increases more than offset a 3.0-million-ton reduction for EU-27 and a 0.5-million-ton reduction for Australia. EU-27 exports are lowered with reduced supplies and increased competition from Canada. Logistical constraints are expected to limit exports from Australia. World wheat imports for 2010/11 are raised with increases for Russia and Nigeria. Imports for Russia are raised 1.4 million tons as imports from regional suppliers support domestic usage, particularly for feeding. World wheat consumption is lowered 3.8 million tons with lower consumption in EU-27, Russia, and Kazakhstan outweighing increases for Pakistan, Canada, and Nigeria. Wheat feeding is lowered 2.0 million tons for EU-27 with imported coarse grains expected to partly replace wheat in livestock and poultry rations. Global ending stocks are projected 3.0 million tons higher with increases for EU-27, Canada, and Australia. Ending stocks are lowered for Pakistan and Russia. COARSE GRAINS: Projected U.S. feed grain supplies for 2010/11 are lower this month with lower carryin and reduced production for corn and sorghum. Beginning stocks for corn are projected 40 million bushels lower with higher 2009/10 corn use for ethanol and a small increase in exports. Corn production for 2010/11 is forecast at 13,160 million bushels, down 205 million, but still the largest crop on record. The national average yield is forecast at 162.5 bushels per acre, down 2.5 bushels. The largest reductions in forecast yields are for the eastern Corn Belt, which account for more than half of the reduction in total output. Domestic corn use for 2010/11 is lowered 100 million bushels with lower expected feed and residual use as higher prices trim feeding demand and the smaller crop reduces residual disappearance. Projected exports are raised 50 million bushels with rising world demand for coarse grains, particularly corn. U.S. corn ending stocks are expected to decline to 1.1 billion bushels, down 196 million bushels. At this level, 2010/11 carryout would be the lowest since 2003/04. Stocks as a percentage of total use would be the lowest since 1995/96. The season-average farm price is projected at $4.00 to $4.80 per bushel, compared with $3.50 to $4.10 last month. Other 2010/11 feed grains changes include lower projected ending stocks for sorghum and oats. Sorghum production is forecast 7 million bushels lower. Sorghum exports are raised 10 million bushels with stronger world demand for coarse grains. Sorghum feed and residual use is lowered 10 million bushels. Oats imports are lowered 10 million bushels with lower expected production in Canada. Global coarse grain supplies for 2010/11 are projected down 8.7 million tons with reduced foreign and U.S. production. Most of the foreign reductions this month are in EU-27 and FSU-12 countries. A 10.3-million-ton reduction in world coarse grain production for 2010/11 is partly offset by larger corn beginning stocks for Brazil with a 1.8-million-ton increase in 2009/10 corn production. Lower U.S. and EU-27 corn production account for more than half of the reduction in 2010/11 global coarse grain output. EU-27 corn production is reduced 1.2 million tons with lower reported area and yields for France and Germany and lower reported yields for Italy, Austria, and Spain. World barley production is lowered 2.0 million tons with reductions for Russia, EU-27, Belarus, and Morocco. World oats production is reduced 0.9 million tons with lower production for EU-27, Canada, and Belarus. Lower rye production in EU-27 and Belarus lowers world output 1.0 million tons. Global coarse grain trade is increased this month with U.S. corn exports raised 1.3 million tons. A 0.5-million-ton reduction for EU- 27 corn exports is offset by a 0.5-million-ton increase for Ukraine. Corn imports are raised 2.0 million tons for EU-27 as corn partly replaces wheat in feeding. Russia corn imports are raised 0.7 million tons helping to offset reduced supplies of feed barley. Global corn consumption is lowered as reduced prospects for corn feeding in the United States and Ukraine more than offset higher expected corn feeding in EU-27, Russia, Mexico, and Canada. Global corn ending stocks are projected 3.6 million tons lower. RICE: U.S. rice production in 2010/11 is forecast at a record 255.3 million cwt, up 9.4 million from last month due to both an increase in area harvested and yield. Harvested area is estimated at 3.62 million acres, up 130,000 acres from last month and the second highest on record. The average yield is estimated at 7,047 pounds per acre, up 8 pounds per acre. Long-grain production is estimated at a record 191.8 million cwt, up 4.6 million from last month, while combined medium- and short-grain production is estimated at 63.5 million, an increase of 4.9 million. All rice beginning stocks for 2010/11 are raised 2.8 million cwt from last month to 36.7 million based on USDA’s Rice Stocks report released on August 27. The import projection is reduced slightly based in part on the revised 2009/10 estimate and the recent trend of little to no growth in imports. Domestic and residual use for 2010/11 is lowered 2.0 million cwt to 127.0 million based mostly on a reduction in the 2009/10 estimate. Exports for 2010/11 are projected at 119.0 million cwt, up 5.0 million cwt from last month, and up 8.8 million from the revised 2009/10 estimate. Long-grain exports are raised 3.0 million cwt to 83.0 million, and combined medium- and short-grain exports are up 2.0 million to 36.0 million. Larger exports are expected to the Middle East and the Western Hemisphere. Ending stocks for 2010/11 are projected at 65.5 million cwt, up 8.7 million from last month, up 28.8 million from 2009/10, and the largest stocks since 1985/86. The 2010/11 all rice season-average farm price is forecast at $10.30 to $11.30 per cwt, down 45 cents per cwt on each end of the range from last month compared to $14.00 per cwt for 2009/10. The long-grain season-average farm price range is projected at $8.50 to $9.50 per cwt, down 50 cents per cwt from last month compared to $12.80 per cwt for 2009/10. The combined medium- and short-grain farm price range is projected at $16.00 to $17.00 per cwt, down $1.00 per cwt on each end of the range from last month compared to a revised $17.70 per cwt for 2009/10. Projected global 2010/11 rice supplies and use are both lowered from last month. Global rice production is projected at a record 454.6 million tons, down 4.6 million tons from last month's estimate, mainly due to large declines for several countries including China, Indonesia, and Pakistan. China’s 2010/11 rice crop is reduced 1.5 million tons to 136.0 million, due mainly to a decrease in the early rice crop. Both area and yield are reduced by early season drought in some areas combined with late-season flooding in other areas. Indonesia’s 2010/11 rice crop is reduced 2.0 million tons to 38.0 million, based in part on a report from the U.S. Agricultural Counselor in Jakarta. Indonesia’s 2009/10 rice crop is also reduced—a reduction of 1.7 million tons to 37.1 million. Indonesia’s yield growth has stagnated due to weather, pests, and disease problems. Pakistan’s 2010/11 rice crop is reduced by 1.2 million tons or 18 percent to 5.3 million as severe flooding lowered both area and average yield. Global 2010/11 exports are reduced by 0.6 million tons to 31.0 million, mainly due to a reduction for Pakistan. Global consumption is lowered by nearly 2.3 million tons, mainly due to decreases for China (-0.5 million) and Indonesia (-1.35 million). Global ending stocks for 2010/11 are projected at 94.6 million tons, down 3.0 million from last month, but up slightly from 2009/10. Stocks are lowered for China, Indonesia, Vietnam, and Iran, and raised for the United States. OILSEEDS: U.S. oilseed production for 2010/11 is projected at 104.8 million tons, up 1.5 million from last month. Soybean production is forecast at a record 3.483 billion bushels, up 50 million from last month based on an increase in the projected yield to a record 44.7 bushels per acre. Production of peanuts and cottonseed are also raised this month. Soybean exports for 2010/11 are increased 50 million bushels to 1.485 billion reflecting strong early season sales and a projected increase in global import demand, especially for China. Soybean ending stocks are projected at 350 million bushels, down 10 million from last month as higher export demand more than offsets the increased supply. Soybean exports for 2009/10 are projected at a record 1.495 billion bushels, up 25 million from last month reflecting strong shipments in the final weeks of the marketing year. The increase is partly offset with a lower residual, leaving ending stocks projected at 150 million bushels, down 10 million. Other changes for 2009/10 include reduced use of soybean oil for biodiesel and increased soybean oil exports. Season ending soybean oil stocks are projected record high at 3.21 billion pounds. Prices for soybeans and products are all raised this month, supported by strong prices for corn and wheat. The U.S. season- average soybean price range for 2010/11 is projected at $9.15 to $10.65 per bushel, up 65 cents on both ends of the range. The soybean meal price is projected at $270 to $310 per short ton, up $20 on both ends of the range. The soybean oil price range is projected at 37.5 to 41.5 cents per pound, up 1 cent on both ends of the range. Global oilseed production for 2010/11 is projected at 440.6 million tons, up 0.9 million from last month. Global soybean production is projected at 254.9 million tons, up 1.2 million mainly due to a higher production forecast for the United States. China soybean production is reduced 0.2 million tons to 14.4 million based on lower yields. Global rapeseed production is projected higher as increased production for Canada more than offsets reduced crops for Russia and Ukraine. Other changes include reduced peanut and cottonseed production for China, reduced cottonseed production for Pakistan, increased cottonseed production for Australia, and reduced palm oil and palm kernel production for Indonesia. Global oilseed trade for 2010/11 is raised 3.8 million tons to 108.7 million. China soybean imports are raised 3 million tons to 55 million, up from a revised 50 million in 2009/10. Imports are raised to reflect increased protein meal consumption and higher soybean stocks, now projected to reach 15.5 million tons. Global oilseed stocks are projected lower mainly due to reduced soybean stocks in the United States and South America. SUGAR: Projected U.S. sugar supply for fiscal year 2010/11 is increased 101,000 short tons, raw value, from last month, due to higher beginning stocks and production. Beet sugar production is increased 80,000 tons based on higher forecast U.S. sugarbeet production. Forecast U.S. sugarcane production is little changed from last month. Sugar use is increased 275,000 tons in line with the increase for 2009/10. For 2009/10, U.S. supplies are increased 141,000 tons, due to higher production and imports. Louisiana cane sugar production is increased 35,000 tons based on expectations of an early start to the 2010-crop harvest in September. Imports are increased 105,000 tons, with 135,000 tons more from Mexico and high-tier imports more than offsetting increased shortfall under the tariff rate quota. Total use is increased 120,000 tons to reflect the stronger- than-expected pace of deliveries in recent months. Ending stocks are increased 21,000 tons. For Mexico, 2010/11 ending stocks are lowered 64,000 metric tons, raw value, due to higher domestic use more than offsetting slightly higher beginning stocks. Mexico=s 2009/10 beginning stocks are increased to reflect recently released government data, while increased domestic use and exports are nearly offsetting. LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY: Total U.S. meat production forecasts for 2010 and 2011 are reduced slightly from last month. The forecast for 2010 is reduced as lower pork and broiler production more than offset an increase in beef production. The 2011 forecast is reduced as higher feed prices encourage cattle producers to keep cattle on forage longer and tempers pork, broiler, and turkey production gains. USDA’s Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report will be released on September 24 and will provide an indication of sow farrowing intentions into early 2011. Egg production forecasts for 2010 are adjusted to reflect a revision in second-quarter production but the 2011 forecast is unchanged. Beef imports are reduced for 2010 and 2011 as imports have been lower than expected. Export forecasts for beef are raised on continuing strong sales to a number of markets. Pork and poultry trade forecasts are unchanged from last month. Livestock and poultry prices for 2010 are raised but forecasts for 2011 cattle and hog prices are unchanged. The broiler and turkey price forecasts for 2011 are raised slightly on expected tightness in supplies. Egg prices for 2010 are forecast higher due to the recent spike in third-quarter prices, but the forecast for 2011 is unchanged. Forecast milk production for 2010 and 2011 is raised from last month. Producers continue to add cows to the herd and inventories are forecast to increase into mid-2011. The rate of growth in milk per cow is also increased from last month. Fat basis export forecasts for 2010 are raised on strong sales of butterfat and cheese, but 2011 exports are lowered. Skim-solids exports for 2010 and 2011 are forecast higher than last month. Imports are reduced from last month due to higher U.S. production and strong demand in other importing countries. Ending stocks for 2011 are increased as U.S. production is forecast higher. Strong demand for cheese and tight supplies of butter support higher forecast prices for 2010 and 2011. Stronger demand is forecast to absorb most of the increased production although prices are expected to be tempered during the latter part of 2011. Price forecasts for nonfat dry milk (NDM) are raised for 2010, but the 2011 forecast is unchanged from last month as increased supplies limit price gains. The whey price forecast is unchanged. Both Class III and Class IV price forecasts for 2010 and 2011 are raised due to the higher product prices. The all milk price is forecast to average $16.25 to $16.45 per cwt for 2010 and $15.85 to $16.85 per cwt for 2011. COTTON: The 2010/11 U.S. cotton forecasts include higher production, domestic mill use, and exports relative to last month. Production of 18.8 million bales is nearly 2 percent above last month, based on increases across all regions of the cotton belt. Domestic mill use is raised to 3.6 million bales, reflecting recent increases in consumption rates and prospects for additional spinning capacity. Exports are raised 500,000 bales to 15.5 million due to continued very tight foreign supplies. U.S. ending stocks are now forecast at 2.7 million bales, 500,000 bales below last month. If realized, both the stocks level and the stocks-to-use ratio of 14 percent would be the smallest since 1995/96. The average price received by producers is forecast at 63 to 77 cents per pound, 2 cents above last month. The midpoint of the interval, 70 cents per pound, would also be the highest price since 1995/96. The aggregate world cotton 2010/11 forecasts are adjusted slightly from last month. World production is raised marginally, as reductions for China, Pakistan, and Tanzania are more than offset by increases for Australia and the United States. Consumption is reduced for Pakistan and others but is raised for India and the United States, resulting in a slight net reduction. World trade is reduced, due mainly to a 1.5-million-bale reduction in exports by India resulting from the recent restrictions imposed by the government. Lower exports by India are mostly offset by higher exports from Australia, the United States, and Brazil. World ending stocks are about unchanged from last month. The projected world stocks-to-use ratio of 38 percent is the lowest since 1994/95. Approved by the Secretary of Agriculture and the Chairperson of the World Agricultural Outlook Board, Gerald A. Bange, (202) 720-6030. This report was prepared by the Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees. APPROVED BY: JOSEPH W. GLAUBER ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE WASDE-486-8 September 2010 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Total grains 3/ : 2008/09 : 2,241.18 2,609.85 285.72 2,159.28 450.57 2009/10 (Est.) : 2,228.19 2,678.76 280.52 2,199.09 479.66 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 2,212.81 2,689.60 271.15 2,245.28 444.32 September : 2,195.27 2,674.93 273.54 2,235.83 439.11 Wheat : 2008/09 : 683.26 807.58 143.76 642.50 165.07 2009/10 (Est.) : 680.43 845.50 133.75 649.53 195.97 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 645.73 839.70 124.67 664.94 174.76 September : 643.01 838.98 126.03 661.19 177.79 Coarse grains 4/ : 2008/09 : 1,109.69 1,273.43 112.99 1,079.03 194.40 2009/10 (Est.) : 1,106.61 1,301.01 116.68 1,111.64 189.36 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 1,107.91 1,295.77 114.97 1,123.72 172.04 September : 1,097.66 1,287.03 116.57 1,120.27 166.76 Rice, milled : 2008/09 : 448.23 528.84 28.97 437.75 91.09 2009/10 (Est.) : 441.15 532.24 30.09 437.92 94.32 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 459.17 554.13 31.51 456.62 97.52 September : 454.60 548.92 30.95 454.37 94.56 : : United States Total grains 3/ : 2008/09 : 400.28 461.70 81.58 314.23 65.89 2009/10 (Est.) : 416.45 488.48 82.14 339.00 67.34 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 424.00 497.79 92.37 340.49 64.94 September : 418.90 491.65 95.41 337.60 58.64 Wheat : 2008/09 : 68.02 79.80 27.64 34.29 17.87 2009/10 (Est.) : 60.31 81.41 23.98 30.94 26.49 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 61.64 90.85 32.66 32.28 25.92 September : 61.64 90.85 34.02 32.28 24.56 Coarse grains 4/ : 2008/09 : 325.87 373.98 50.94 275.98 47.06 2009/10 (Est.) : 349.22 398.58 54.69 304.20 39.69 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 354.68 397.56 56.15 304.16 37.25 September : 349.28 391.05 57.67 301.34 32.03 Rice, milled : 2008/09 : 6.40 7.93 3.00 3.96 0.96 2009/10 (Est.) : 6.92 8.48 3.47 3.86 1.15 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 7.68 9.38 3.56 4.05 1.77 September : 7.98 9.75 3.72 3.99 2.05 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 4/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). WASDE-486-9 September 2010 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : Foreign 3/ Total grains 4/ : 2008/09 : 1,840.90 2,148.15 204.14 1,845.05 384.68 2009/10 (Est.) : 1,811.74 2,190.28 198.38 1,860.09 412.32 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 1,788.82 2,191.81 178.78 1,904.79 379.39 September : 1,776.38 2,183.28 178.13 1,898.22 380.47 Wheat : 2008/09 : 615.24 727.78 116.12 608.21 147.21 2009/10 (Est.) : 620.11 764.09 109.77 618.59 169.48 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 584.09 748.85 92.01 632.66 148.85 September : 581.37 748.13 92.01 628.91 153.24 Coarse grains 5/ : 2008/09 : 783.82 899.45 62.05 803.05 147.34 2009/10 (Est.) : 757.39 902.42 61.98 807.44 149.67 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 753.23 898.21 58.83 819.56 134.80 September : 748.38 895.98 58.90 818.93 134.73 Rice, milled : 2008/09 : 441.83 520.91 25.96 433.78 90.13 2009/10 (Est.) : 434.23 523.76 26.62 434.06 93.17 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 451.49 544.75 27.94 452.57 95.74 September : 446.62 539.18 27.23 450.38 92.51 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. 4/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains. World and U.S. Supply and Use for Cotton 1/ Million 480-lb. bales =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World 2008/09 : 107.14 167.75 30.09 109.94 60.44 2009/10 (Est.) : 101.15 161.59 35.59 117.20 46.98 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 116.85 164.43 38.24 120.87 45.61 September : 116.95 163.93 37.96 120.53 45.44 : United States 2008/09 : 12.82 22.87 13.26 3.59 6.34 2009/10 (Est.) : 12.19 18.53 12.04 3.45 3.00 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 18.53 21.64 15.00 3.40 3.20 September : 18.84 21.84 15.50 3.60 2.70 : Foreign 3/ 2008/09 : 94.32 144.88 16.83 106.35 54.10 2009/10 (Est.) : 88.96 143.06 23.55 113.75 43.98 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 98.32 142.79 23.24 117.47 42.41 September : 98.11 142.09 22.46 116.93 42.74 =============================================================================== 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Based on export estimate. 3/ Total Foreign is equal to world minus United States. See global cotton tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. WASDE-486-10 September 2010 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade : Use 2/ : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Oilseeds : 2008/09 : 396.44 458.10 94.48 338.25 56.48 2009/10 (Est.) : 440.38 496.86 106.29 355.55 73.80 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 439.74 514.02 104.92 371.00 73.83 September : 440.62 514.42 108.68 372.17 73.12 Oilmeals : 2008/09 : 228.55 236.36 69.27 227.95 5.92 2009/10 (Est.) : 242.14 248.05 71.76 239.17 6.13 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 253.27 259.44 74.83 249.48 6.46 September : 254.51 260.64 75.06 251.27 6.41 Vegetable Oils : 2008/09 : 133.36 144.64 55.81 130.02 13.02 2009/10 (Est.) : 138.47 151.49 57.72 137.75 11.37 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 146.14 157.59 60.18 144.19 11.46 September : 144.76 156.13 59.63 144.13 10.31 : : United States Oilseeds : 2008/09 : 89.20 97.41 35.69 49.34 5.62 2009/10 (Est.) : 98.90 105.60 41.61 51.41 5.50 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 103.34 110.04 40.31 49.28 11.32 September : 104.81 111.18 41.57 49.44 11.02 Oilmeals : 2008/09 : 37.71 39.86 7.95 31.67 0.25 2009/10 (Est.) : 39.90 41.40 10.55 30.51 0.33 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 38.03 40.18 8.33 31.51 0.33 September : 38.09 40.24 8.51 31.40 0.33 Vegetable Oils : 2008/09 : 9.67 14.36 1.46 11.17 1.74 2009/10 (Est.) : 10.01 14.98 1.91 11.26 1.81 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 9.75 14.81 1.30 11.94 1.56 September : 9.79 14.89 1.31 12.00 1.58 : : Foreign 3/ Oilseeds : 2008/09 : 307.24 360.70 58.78 288.90 50.86 2009/10 (Est.) : 341.48 391.26 64.68 304.14 68.30 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 336.40 403.98 64.61 321.72 62.52 September : 335.82 403.24 67.11 322.73 62.11 Oilmeals : 2008/09 : 190.83 196.50 61.32 196.29 5.67 2009/10 (Est.) : 202.24 206.66 61.21 208.66 5.79 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 215.24 219.26 66.50 217.97 6.12 September : 216.42 220.40 66.55 219.87 6.08 Vegetable Oils : 2008/09 : 123.70 130.28 54.35 118.85 11.28 2009/10 (Est.) : 128.46 136.51 55.80 126.49 9.56 2010/11 (Proj.) : August : 136.39 142.79 58.88 132.25 9.90 September : 134.98 141.24 58.32 132.13 8.73 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an Oct.-Sept. year. 2/ Crush only for oilseeds. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. WASDE-486-11 September 2010 U.S. Wheat Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== Area : Million acres Planted : 63.2 59.1 54.3 54.3 Harvested : 55.7 49.9 48.3 48.3 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 44.9 44.4 46.9 46.9 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 306 657 973 973 Production : 2,499 2,216 2,265 2,265 Imports : 127 119 100 100 Supply, total : 2,932 2,991 3,338 3,338 Food : 927 917 940 940 Seed : 78 70 76 76 Feed and residual : 255 149 170 170 Domestic, total : 1,260 1,137 1,186 1,186 Exports : 1,015 881 1,200 1,250 Use, total : 2,275 2,018 2,386 2,436 Ending stocks : 657 973 952 902 CCC inventory : 0 0 0 Free stocks : 657 973 902 Outstanding loans : 27 51 15 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 6.78 4.87 4.70- 5.50 4.95- 5.65 =============================================================================== U.S. Wheat by Class: Supply and Use =============================================================================== Year beginning : Hard : Hard : Soft : : : June 1 : Winter : Spring : Red : White : Durum : Total =============================================================================== 2009/10 (estimated) : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 254 142 171 64 25 657 Production : 919 548 404 237 109 2,216 Supply, total 3/ : 1,175 731 607 310 169 2,991 Domestic use : 420 282 256 88 90 1,137 Exports : 370 214 109 143 44 881 Use, total : 790 497 366 231 134 2,018 Ending stocks, total : 385 234 241 79 35 973 : 2010/11 (projected) : Beginning stocks : 385 234 241 79 35 973 Production : 1,029 593 260 274 109 2,265 Supply, total 3/ : 1,415 862 521 362 178 3,338 Domestic use : 491 263 242 106 84 1,186 Exports : 575 350 100 170 55 1,250 Use, total : 1,066 613 342 276 139 2,436 Ending stocks, total : September : 349 249 179 86 39 902 August : 379 259 179 96 39 952 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning June 1. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 3/ Includes imports. WASDE-486-12 September 2010 U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== FEED GRAINS : Area : Million acres Planted : 101.8 100.1 100.0 100.0 Harvested : 91.0 89.6 90.0 90.0 Yield per harvested : Metric tons acre : 3.58 3.90 3.94 3.88 : Million metric tons Beginning stocks : 45.1 47.0 40.6 39.7 Production : 325.7 349.0 354.5 349.1 Imports : 3.0 2.2 2.1 2.0 Supply, total : 373.7 398.3 397.2 390.7 Feed and residual : 140.9 146.9 141.9 139.1 Food, seed & industrial : 134.8 157.1 161.9 161.9 Domestic, total : 275.7 303.9 303.9 301.1 Exports : 50.9 54.7 56.1 57.7 Use, total : 326.6 358.6 360.0 358.7 Ending stocks, total : 47.0 39.7 37.2 32.0 CCC inventory : 0.0 0.0 Free stocks : 47.0 39.7 Outstanding loans : 4.4 3.9 : CORN : Area : Million acres Planted : 86.0 86.5 87.9 87.9 Harvested : 78.6 79.6 81.0 81.0 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 153.9 164.7 165.0 162.5 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 1,624 1,673 1,426 1,386 Production : 12,092 13,110 13,365 13,160 Imports : 14 8 10 10 Supply, total : 13,729 14,791 14,802 14,556 Feed and residual : 5,182 5,525 5,350 5,250 Food, seed & industrial : 5,025 5,900 6,090 6,090 Ethanol for fuel 2/ : 3,709 4,535 4,700 4,700 Domestic, total : 10,207 11,425 11,440 11,340 Exports : 1,849 1,980 2,050 2,100 Use, total : 12,056 13,405 13,490 13,440 Ending stocks, total : 1,673 1,386 1,312 1,116 CCC inventory : 0 0 Free stocks : 1,673 1,386 Outstanding loans : 171 147 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 3/ : 4.06 3.55 3.50- 4.10 4.00- 4.80 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ For a further breakout of FSI corn uses including ethanol, see the ERS Feed Outlook table 5, or Feed Grains Database at "www.ers.usda.gov/db/feedgrains." 3/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. WASDE-486-13 September 2010 U.S. Sorghum, Barley and Oats Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== : Million bushels SORGHUM : Area planted (mil. acres) : 8.3 6.6 6.0 6.0 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 7.3 5.5 5.2 5.2 Yield (bushels/acre) : 65.0 69.4 74.1 72.7 Beginning stocks : 53 55 28 31 Production : 472 383 383 376 Imports : 0 0 0 0 Supply, total : 525 438 411 407 Feed and residual : 233 140 120 110 Food, seed & industrial : 95 100 100 100 Total domestic : 328 240 220 210 Exports : 143 167 150 160 Use, total : 471 407 370 370 Ending stocks, total : 55 31 41 37 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 3.20 3.20 3.20- 3.80 3.70- 4.40 : BARLEY : Area planted (mil. acres) : 4.2 3.6 3.0 3.0 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 3.8 3.1 2.5 2.5 Yield (bushels/acre) : 63.6 73.0 72.3 72.3 Beginning stocks : 68 89 115 115 Production : 240 227 184 184 Imports : 29 17 15 15 Supply, total : 337 333 314 314 Feed and residual : 67 48 50 50 Food, seed & industrial : 169 164 165 165 Total domestic : 236 212 215 215 Exports : 13 6 10 10 Use, total : 249 218 225 225 Ending stocks, total : 89 115 89 89 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 5.37 4.66 3.55- 4.15 3.70- 4.30 : OATS : Area planted (mil. acres) : 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.2 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 Yield (bushels/acre) : 63.7 67.5 66.3 66.3 Beginning stocks : 67 84 80 80 Production : 89 93 87 87 Imports : 115 95 90 80 Supply, total : 270 272 258 248 Feed and residual : 108 115 115 115 Food, seed & industrial : 75 75 76 76 Total domestic : 183 190 191 191 Exports : 3 2 3 3 Use, total : 186 192 194 194 Ending stocks, total : 84 80 64 54 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 3.15 2.02 2.15- 2.75 2.20- 2.70 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for sorghum, June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. WASDE-486-14 September 2010 U.S. Rice Supply and Use 1/ (Rough Equivalent of Rough and Milled Rice) =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== TOTAL : Area : Million acres Planted : 3.00 3.14 3.51 3.64 Harvested : 2.98 3.10 3.49 3.62 Yield per harvested : Pounds acre : 6,846 7,085 7,039 7,047 : : Million hundredweight Beginning stocks 2/ : 29.6 30.6 33.9 36.7 Production : 203.7 219.9 245.9 255.3 Imports : 19.2 19.0 20.0 19.5 Supply, total : 252.6 269.4 299.8 311.5 Domestic & residual 3/ : 126.4 122.6 129.0 127.0 Exports, total 4/ : 95.6 110.2 114.0 119.0 Rough : 31.6 40.8 43.0 44.0 Milled (rough equiv.) : 64.0 69.4 71.0 75.0 Use, total : 222.0 232.7 243.0 246.0 Ending stocks : 30.6 36.7 56.8 65.5 Avg. milling yield (%) 5/ : 69.25 69.36 68.86 68.86 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 16.80 14.00 10.75-11.75 10.30-11.30 : LONG GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 2.35 2.27 Yield (pounds/acre) : 6,522 6,743 Beginning stocks : 19.1 20.1 21.3 23.2 Production : 153.3 152.7 187.2 191.8 Supply, total 7/ : 188.2 189.3 226.1 231.9 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 99.4 90.8 99.0 98.0 Exports 8/ : 68.8 75.4 80.0 83.0 Use, total : 168.1 166.2 179.0 181.0 Ending stocks : 20.1 23.2 47.1 50.9 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 14.90 12.80 9.00-10.00 8.50- 9.50 : MEDIUM & SHORT GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 0.63 0.84 Yield (pounds/acre) : 8,063 8,010 Beginning stocks : 9.1 8.0 10.2 12.1 Production : 50.5 67.1 58.6 63.5 Supply, total 7/ : 61.9 78.7 71.3 78.1 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 27.0 31.8 30.0 29.0 Exports 8/ : 26.9 34.8 34.0 36.0 Use, total : 53.9 66.6 64.0 65.0 Ending stocks : 8.0 12.1 7.3 13.1 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 24.80 17.70 17.00-18.00 16.00-17.00 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice (type undetermined) not included in estimates of beginning stocks by type (in mil. cwt): 2008/09-1.4; 2009/10-2.4; 2010/11-1.5. 3/ Residual includes unreported use, processing losses, and estimating errors. Use by type may not add to total rice use because of the difference in brokens between beginning and ending stocks. 4/ Includes rough rice and milled rice exports. Milled rice exports are converted to an equivalent rough basis. 5/ Expressed as a percent-- the national average milling yield calculated by the Farm Service Agency (FSA) from warehouse stored loan data. The 2010/11 milling yield is calculated using the previous five-year average. 6/ Includes imports. 7/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 8/ Exports by type of rice are estimated. WASDE-486-15 September 2010 U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :=============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== SOYBEANS: : Million acres Area : Planted : 75.7 77.5 78.9 78.9 Harvested : 74.7 76.4 78.0 78.0 : : Bushels Yield per harvested : acre : 39.7 44.0 44.0 44.7 : : Million bushels : Beginning stocks : 205 138 160 150 Production : 2,967 3,359 3,433 3,483 Imports : 13 15 10 10 Supply, total : 3,185 3,512 3,603 3,643 Crushings : 1,662 1,750 1,650 1,650 Exports : 1,279 1,495 1,435 1,485 Seed : 90 92 88 88 Residual : 16 26 70 70 Use, total : 3,047 3,363 3,243 3,293 Ending stocks : 138 150 360 350 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 9.97 9.60 8.50-10.00 9.15 -10.65 : : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL: : Beginning stocks : 2,485 2,861 3,176 3,206 Production : 18,745 19,535 3/ 18,810 18,810 Imports : 90 110 115 115 Supply, total : 21,319 22,506 22,101 22,131 Domestic : 16,265 15,950 17,400 17,400 For methyl ester : 2,013 1,700 2,900 2,900 Exports : 2,193 3,350 2,100 2,100 Use, total : 18,459 19,300 19,500 19,500 Ending stocks : 2,861 3,206 2,601 2,631 Average price (c/lb) 2/ : 32.16 35.75 36.50- 37.50- : 40.50 41.50 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL: : Beginning stocks : 294 235 300 300 Production : 39,102 41,525 3/ 39,235 39,235 Imports : 88 140 165 165 Supply, total : 39,484 41,900 39,700 39,700 Domestic : 30,752 30,200 30,500 30,300 Exports : 8,497 11,400 8,900 9,100 Use, total : 39,249 41,600 39,400 39,400 Ending stocks : 235 300 300 300 Average price ($/s.t.) 2/ : 331.17 310.00 250.00- 270.00- : 290.00 310.00 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for soybeans; October 1 for soybean oil and meal. 2/ Prices: soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers; for oil, simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; for meal, simple average of 48 percent, Decatur. 3/ Based on October year crush of 1,760 million bushels. WASDE-486-16 September 2010 U.S. Sugar Supply and Use 1/ ====================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projection Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :====================== : : Est. : August September ====================================================================== : 1,000 short tons, raw value : Beginning stocks : 1,664 1,534 1,489 1,510 Production 2/ : 7,532 7,847 8,335 8,415 Beet sugar : 4,214 4,450 4,810 4,890 Cane sugar : 3,318 3,397 3,525 3,525 Florida : 1,577 1,639 1,785 1,785 Hawaii : 192 147 135 135 Louisiana : 1,397 1,500 1,465 1,465 Texas : 152 111 140 140 Imports : 3,082 3,134 2,269 2,269 TRQ 3/ : 1,370 1,844 1,409 1,409 Other program 4/ : 308 450 300 300 Other 5/ : 1,404 840 560 560 Mexico : 1,402 630 550 550 Total supply : 12,278 12,515 12,093 12,194 : Exports : 136 200 150 150 Deliveries : 10,608 10,805 10,685 10,960 Food 6/ : 10,442 10,575 10,500 10,775 Other 7/ : 166 230 185 185 Miscellaneous : 0 0 0 0 Total use : 10,744 11,005 10,835 11,110 Ending stocks : 1,534 1,510 1,258 1,084 : Stocks to use ratio : 14.3 13.7 11.6 9.8 ====================================================================== 1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1. Includes Puerto Rico. Historical data are from FSA, "Sweetener Market Data" except imports (U.S. Customs Service, Census Bureau). 2/ Production projections for 2010/11 are based on Crop Production, trend recovery rates, and processor projections where appropriate. 3/ For 2010/11, includes shortfall of 60,000 tons. 4/ Includes sugar under the re-export and polyhydric alcohol programs. 5/ For 2008/09, other high-tier (0) and other (0). For 2009/10, other high-tier (210) and other (0). For 2010/11, other high-tier (10) and other (0). 6/Combines SMD deliveries for domestic human food use, SMD miscellaneous uses, and the difference between SMD imports and WASDE imports. 7/ Transfers to sugar-containing products for reexport, and for nonedible alcohol and feed. Mexico Sugar Supply and Use and High Fructose Corn Syrup Imports 1/ ========================================================================== : Supply : Use : Fiscal :====================================================: Ending year : Beginning : Production: Imports : Domestic :Exports: stocks : stocks : : : 2/ : : ========================================================================== 1,000 metric tons, raw value Sugar 2009/10 est. Aug 488 5,115 820 5,170 480 773 Sep 624 5,115 820 5,212 570 777 2010/11 proj. Aug 773 5,450 150 4,950 500 923 Sep 777 5,450 150 5,018 500 859 ========================================================================== 1/ U.S. HFCS exports to Mexico (metric tons, dry-weight basis): Oct-Sep 2008/09 = 302,844; Oct-Jul 2008/09 = 230,426; Oct-Jul 2009/10 = 778,448. Footnote source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2/Includes domestic consumption, Mexico's products export program (IMMEX), and any residual statistical discrepancies. WASDE-486-17 September 2010 U. S. Cotton Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2010/11 Projections Item : 2008/09 : 2009/10 :=============================== : : Est. : August September =============================================================================== : Million acres Area : Planted : 9.47 9.15 10.91 11.04 Harvested : 7.57 7.53 10.63 10.77 : : Pounds Yield per harvested : acre : 813 777 837 839 : : Million 480 pound bales : Beginning stocks 2/ : 10.05 6.34 3.10 3.00 Production : 12.82 12.19 18.53 18.84 Imports : 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Supply, total : 22.87 18.53 21.64 21.84 Domestic use : 3.59 3.45 3.40 3.60 Exports : 13.26 12.04 15.00 15.50 Use, total : 16.85 15.49 18.40 19.10 Unaccounted 3/ : -0.32 0.04 0.04 0.04 Ending stocks : 6.34 3.00 3.20 2.70 : Avg. farm price 4/ : 47.8 62.5 61.0-75.0 63.0-77.0 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add due to rounding. 2/ Based on Bureau of Census data. 3/ Reflects the difference between the previous season's supply less total use and ending stocks based on Bureau of Census data. 4/ Cents per pound for upland cotton. =============================================================================== WASDE-486-18 September 2010 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 : World 3/ : 124.32 683.26 136.93 118.44 642.50 143.76 165.07 United States : 8.32 68.02 3.46 6.95 34.29 27.64 17.87 Total foreign : 116.00 615.24 133.48 111.49 608.21 116.12 147.21 Major exporters 4/ : 22.84 211.24 8.26 68.08 147.71 65.65 28.98 Argentina : 2.35 10.10 0.03 0.03 5.33 6.77 0.39 Australia : 3.65 21.42 0.11 3.75 6.85 14.75 3.59 Canada : 4.41 28.61 0.38 3.30 8.04 18.81 6.55 EU-27 5/ : 12.43 151.11 7.74 61.00 127.50 25.32 18.46 Major importers 6/ : 63.52 171.94 74.26 14.97 230.88 6.68 72.15 Brazil : 0.34 5.88 6.40 0.20 10.70 0.40 1.53 China : 38.97 112.46 0.48 8.00 105.50 0.72 45.69 Select. Mideast 7/ : 6.57 13.40 20.43 1.85 30.83 1.02 8.54 N. Africa 8/ : 9.48 14.35 23.47 2.70 37.56 0.34 9.40 Pakistan : 3.48 20.96 3.13 0.40 22.80 2.10 2.66 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.78 0.00 11.86 1.32 11.54 0.42 2.69 Selected other : India : 5.80 78.57 0.01 0.10 70.92 0.02 13.43 FSU-12 : 12.92 115.45 6.50 24.65 76.32 37.75 20.81 Russia : 3.95 63.70 0.20 16.20 38.90 18.39 10.56 Kazakhstan : 2.46 12.55 0.12 2.70 7.53 5.70 1.90 Ukraine : 2.08 25.90 0.07 2.90 11.90 13.04 3.11 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 165.07 680.43 132.82 115.37 649.53 133.75 195.97 United States : 17.87 60.31 3.23 4.06 30.94 23.98 26.49 Total foreign : 147.21 620.11 129.59 111.32 618.59 109.77 169.48 Major exporters 4/ : 28.98 196.93 6.01 63.49 144.17 59.50 28.25 Argentina : 0.39 9.60 0.01 0.03 4.93 4.50 0.57 Australia : 3.59 22.50 0.10 4.00 7.10 14.50 4.59 Canada : 6.55 26.52 0.40 1.46 6.64 19.00 7.82 EU-27 5/ : 18.46 138.31 5.50 58.00 125.50 21.50 15.27 Major importers 6/ : 72.15 184.02 70.23 15.54 234.66 5.45 86.29 Brazil : 1.53 4.94 6.50 0.20 10.80 1.20 0.97 China : 45.69 115.00 1.39 8.00 105.00 0.89 56.19 Select. Mideast 7/ : 8.54 14.84 18.88 1.75 31.74 1.19 9.33 N. Africa 8/ : 9.40 20.23 21.28 2.95 39.48 0.21 11.22 Pakistan : 2.66 24.03 0.20 0.40 23.20 0.30 3.40 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.69 0.00 13.28 1.69 12.34 0.47 3.16 Selected other : India : 13.43 80.68 0.30 0.10 78.21 0.10 16.10 FSU-12 : 20.81 113.84 5.53 27.73 80.48 36.81 22.90 Russia : 10.56 61.70 0.15 19.00 42.00 18.56 11.86 Kazakhstan : 1.90 17.00 0.08 2.70 7.55 7.87 3.56 Ukraine : 3.11 20.90 0.05 3.30 12.30 9.34 2.43 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-486-19 September 2010 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 3/ : August : 193.97 645.73 121.93 120.23 664.94 124.67 174.76 September : 195.97 643.01 122.83 118.78 661.19 126.03 177.79 United States : August : 26.49 61.64 2.72 4.63 32.28 32.66 25.92 September : 26.49 61.64 2.72 4.63 32.28 34.02 24.56 Total foreign : August : 167.48 584.09 119.21 115.60 632.66 92.01 148.85 September : 169.48 581.37 120.11 114.15 628.91 92.01 153.24 Major exporters 4/ : August : 26.58 193.01 6.51 61.20 143.95 63.00 19.14 September : 28.25 192.63 6.51 59.70 141.95 61.50 23.93 Argentina Aug : 0.57 12.00 0.01 0.10 5.10 7.00 0.47 Sep : 0.57 12.00 0.01 0.10 5.10 7.00 0.47 Australia Aug : 4.59 23.00 0.10 4.10 7.25 16.50 3.94 Sep : 4.59 23.00 0.10 4.10 7.25 16.00 4.44 Canada Aug : 6.36 20.50 0.40 2.00 7.10 15.50 4.66 Sep : 7.82 22.50 0.40 2.50 7.60 17.50 5.62 EU-27 5/ Aug : 15.07 137.51 6.00 55.00 124.50 24.00 10.08 Sep : 15.27 135.13 6.00 53.00 122.00 21.00 13.40 Major importers 6/ : August : 85.29 182.39 63.03 16.31 237.33 5.97 87.39 September : 86.29 182.79 62.73 16.66 237.44 6.57 87.79 Brazil Aug : 0.97 5.00 6.50 0.20 10.80 0.60 1.07 Sep : 0.97 5.00 6.50 0.20 10.80 0.60 1.07 China Aug : 56.19 114.50 0.50 9.00 105.80 2.00 63.39 Sep : 56.19 114.50 0.50 9.00 105.80 2.00 63.39 Sel. Mideast 7/Aug : 8.47 17.55 14.08 1.75 32.45 0.71 6.93 Sep : 9.33 17.55 14.03 1.75 32.13 1.36 7.41 N. Africa 8/ Aug : 11.13 17.55 20.90 2.95 40.25 0.24 9.09 Sep : 11.22 17.95 20.90 2.95 40.35 0.19 9.54 Pakistan Aug : 3.40 22.60 0.30 0.40 23.60 0.30 2.40 Sep : 3.40 22.60 0.30 1.00 24.20 0.30 1.80 SE Asia 9/ Aug : 3.07 0.00 12.45 1.46 12.44 0.43 2.66 Sep : 3.16 0.00 12.20 1.21 12.06 0.43 2.87 Selected other : India Aug : 16.10 80.71 0.30 0.10 82.44 0.20 14.48 Sep : 16.10 80.71 0.30 0.10 82.44 0.20 14.48 FSU-12 Aug : 22.87 87.21 5.88 34.18 87.17 15.85 12.94 Sep : 22.90 84.56 7.15 33.88 84.98 16.70 12.93 Russia Aug : 11.83 45.00 0.65 26.00 49.20 3.00 5.28 Sep : 11.86 42.50 2.00 26.00 48.00 3.50 4.86 Kazakhstan Aug : 3.61 11.50 0.08 2.70 7.65 6.00 1.53 Sep : 3.56 11.50 0.08 2.40 6.90 6.50 1.73 Ukraine Aug : 2.46 17.00 0.05 2.80 11.60 6.00 1.91 Sep : 2.43 17.00 0.05 2.80 11.60 6.00 1.88 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-486-20 September 2010 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 : World 3/ : 163.74 1109.69 110.40 645.30 1079.03 112.99 194.40 United States : 45.06 325.87 3.05 140.92 275.98 50.94 47.06 Total foreign : 118.68 783.82 107.35 504.38 803.05 62.05 147.34 Major exporters 4/ : 13.21 71.67 2.10 32.66 49.34 22.45 15.19 Argentina : 3.27 19.13 0.04 5.79 8.75 12.45 1.24 Australia : 2.67 12.27 0.00 5.89 7.25 4.41 3.29 Canada : 4.01 27.18 1.90 16.63 22.87 3.87 6.35 Major importers 5/ : 35.05 243.97 82.52 233.91 310.87 6.72 43.96 EU-27 6/ : 12.77 161.49 3.41 113.55 151.30 5.55 20.81 Japan : 1.71 0.22 19.61 15.05 19.97 0.00 1.57 Mexico : 4.74 32.25 10.47 25.24 42.06 0.16 5.24 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 6.97 24.70 23.22 39.59 46.92 0.23 7.75 Saudi Arabia : 2.81 0.27 8.69 9.13 9.35 0.01 2.41 Southeast Asia 8/ : 3.19 24.64 5.21 20.36 28.27 0.77 4.01 South Korea : 2.12 0.36 7.25 6.41 8.21 0.00 1.52 Selected other : Brazil : 12.87 53.62 1.60 40.75 48.53 7.15 12.41 China : 40.43 172.66 1.65 107.83 160.32 0.22 54.19 FSU-12 : 4.45 78.56 0.65 41.30 57.94 17.10 8.62 Russia : 1.59 40.70 0.11 21.90 32.80 4.79 4.80 Ukraine : 1.59 26.22 0.02 10.33 13.70 11.88 2.25 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 194.40 1106.61 111.42 654.72 1111.64 116.68 189.36 United States : 47.06 349.22 2.31 146.91 304.20 54.69 39.69 Total foreign : 147.34 757.39 109.11 507.81 807.44 61.98 149.67 Major exporters 4/ : 15.19 76.41 2.44 33.57 50.78 26.15 17.11 Argentina : 1.24 27.95 0.03 7.63 10.66 16.01 2.55 Australia : 3.29 11.57 0.00 5.54 7.01 4.49 3.36 Canada : 6.35 22.37 2.26 15.94 22.39 3.12 5.46 Major importers 5/ : 43.96 236.44 82.59 234.36 312.16 5.77 45.06 EU-27 6/ : 20.81 153.05 2.67 112.23 150.18 3.13 23.22 Japan : 1.57 0.18 19.29 14.57 19.48 0.00 1.56 Mexico : 5.24 27.80 11.15 24.93 41.70 0.25 2.24 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 7.75 31.98 21.19 41.68 49.37 1.13 10.42 Saudi Arabia : 2.41 0.27 9.51 9.23 9.43 0.00 2.76 Southeast Asia 8/ : 4.01 22.77 5.81 20.54 28.55 1.26 2.78 South Korea : 1.52 0.34 8.24 6.54 8.59 0.00 1.50 Selected other : Brazil : 12.41 58.61 0.91 42.28 50.00 9.03 12.89 China : 54.19 161.35 3.28 109.75 164.55 0.22 54.05 FSU-12 : 8.62 67.94 0.49 39.22 55.06 14.88 7.12 Russia : 4.80 31.82 0.18 20.52 30.79 3.07 2.93 Ukraine : 2.25 24.12 0.02 9.65 12.82 11.29 2.28 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-486-21 September 2010 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 3/ : August : 187.86 1107.91 112.82 654.95 1123.72 114.97 172.04 September : 189.36 1097.66 115.30 652.26 1120.27 116.57 166.76 United States : August : 40.63 354.68 2.25 142.00 304.16 56.15 37.25 September : 39.69 349.28 2.07 139.18 301.34 57.67 32.03 Total foreign : August : 147.22 753.23 110.58 512.96 819.56 58.83 134.80 September : 149.67 748.38 113.23 513.08 818.93 58.90 134.73 Major exporters 4/ : August : 16.75 73.18 2.73 34.54 52.39 26.58 13.68 September : 17.11 73.42 2.43 34.64 52.49 26.83 13.64 Argentina Aug : 2.75 27.08 0.03 8.02 11.18 16.21 2.47 Sep : 2.55 27.08 0.03 8.02 11.18 16.21 2.27 Australia Aug : 3.06 10.97 0.00 5.54 7.07 4.96 2.00 Sep : 3.36 10.97 0.00 5.54 7.07 4.96 2.30 Canada Aug : 5.20 22.11 2.57 16.32 23.10 2.88 3.89 Sep : 5.46 22.35 2.27 16.42 23.20 3.13 3.74 Major importers 5/ : August : 44.90 231.28 83.97 240.12 319.00 7.81 33.34 September : 45.06 228.04 85.92 241.22 320.10 7.01 31.91 EU-27 6/ Aug : 23.17 143.16 3.22 113.65 152.16 6.11 11.28 Sep : 23.22 139.62 5.37 114.55 153.05 5.31 9.84 Japan Aug : 1.56 0.18 19.38 14.66 19.58 0.00 1.54 Sep : 1.56 0.18 19.18 14.46 19.38 0.00 1.54 Mexico Aug : 2.24 32.03 11.95 25.43 42.40 0.15 3.67 Sep : 2.24 32.53 11.95 25.73 42.70 0.15 3.87 N Afr/M.East 7/Aug : 10.32 30.46 20.73 43.23 51.12 0.77 9.62 Sep : 10.42 30.26 20.73 43.23 51.12 0.77 9.52 Saudi Arabia Aug : 2.76 0.27 8.71 9.33 9.53 0.00 2.21 Sep : 2.76 0.27 8.71 9.33 9.53 0.00 2.21 S.-east Asia 8/Aug : 2.78 24.77 6.01 21.74 29.74 0.79 3.02 Sep : 2.78 24.77 6.01 21.84 29.84 0.79 2.93 South Korea Aug : 1.50 0.34 9.14 7.34 9.52 0.00 1.46 Sep : 1.50 0.34 9.14 7.34 9.52 0.00 1.46 Selected other : Brazil Aug : 11.64 53.73 1.41 43.58 51.30 7.03 8.44 Sep : 12.89 53.73 1.41 43.58 51.30 7.03 9.69 China Aug : 53.75 173.00 2.98 111.81 168.80 0.27 60.65 Sep : 54.05 173.00 2.98 111.81 168.80 0.27 60.95 FSU-12 Aug : 6.74 53.16 1.01 32.15 46.55 9.83 4.54 Sep : 7.12 51.36 2.01 31.08 45.65 10.45 4.39 Russia Aug : 2.81 20.90 0.70 13.50 22.40 0.44 1.57 Sep : 2.93 19.70 1.70 13.43 22.50 0.29 1.54 Ukraine Aug : 2.06 21.75 0.02 10.43 13.50 9.01 1.32 Sep : 2.28 21.75 0.02 9.93 13.00 9.63 1.41 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-486-22 September 2010 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 : World 3/ : 131.32 797.84 82.45 478.34 781.14 84.42 148.01 United States : 41.26 307.14 0.34 131.62 259.27 46.97 42.50 Total foreign : 90.06 490.70 82.10 346.72 521.87 37.45 105.51 Major exporters 4/ : 5.27 27.57 0.06 8.80 16.30 11.99 4.61 Argentina : 2.18 15.00 0.03 4.50 6.40 10.32 0.49 South Africa : 3.09 12.57 0.03 4.30 9.90 1.67 4.11 Major importers 5/ : 16.51 117.90 48.99 115.37 162.44 2.67 18.28 Egypt : 0.85 6.65 5.03 8.70 11.10 0.01 1.41 EU-27 6/ : 4.36 62.32 2.74 47.00 61.50 1.74 6.18 Japan : 1.16 0.00 16.53 12.10 16.70 0.00 1.00 Mexico : 4.13 24.23 7.76 16.40 32.40 0.16 3.56 Southeast Asia 7/ : 3.19 24.58 5.20 20.30 28.20 0.76 4.00 South Korea : 2.08 0.09 7.19 6.37 7.89 0.00 1.47 Selected other : Brazil : 12.58 51.00 1.14 38.50 45.50 7.14 12.08 Canada : 1.46 10.59 1.84 7.53 11.66 0.37 1.86 China : 39.39 165.90 0.05 107.00 152.00 0.17 53.17 FSU-12 : 1.14 21.67 0.42 12.92 14.76 6.89 1.58 Ukraine : 0.67 11.40 0.01 5.10 5.85 5.50 0.73 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 148.01 810.97 86.05 489.33 820.00 90.39 138.99 United States : 42.50 333.01 0.20 140.34 290.21 50.29 35.22 Total foreign : 105.51 477.96 85.85 348.98 529.79 40.10 103.77 Major exporters 4/ : 4.61 36.50 0.05 9.60 17.20 16.50 7.46 Argentina : 0.49 22.50 0.03 5.20 7.10 14.00 1.92 South Africa : 4.11 14.00 0.03 4.40 10.10 2.50 5.54 Major importers 5/ : 18.28 107.49 50.80 113.35 161.30 2.89 12.38 Egypt : 1.41 6.82 5.30 9.70 12.10 0.00 1.44 EU-27 6/ : 6.18 56.55 2.50 45.50 60.50 1.40 3.33 Japan : 1.00 0.00 16.00 11.40 16.00 0.00 1.00 Mexico : 3.56 21.30 8.40 15.20 31.20 0.25 1.81 Southeast Asia 7/ : 4.00 22.71 5.80 20.50 28.50 1.24 2.78 South Korea : 1.47 0.08 8.20 6.50 8.30 0.00 1.45 Selected other : Brazil : 12.08 56.10 0.50 40.00 47.00 9.00 12.68 Canada : 1.86 9.56 2.20 7.40 11.90 0.15 1.57 China : 53.17 155.00 1.30 109.00 156.00 0.15 53.32 FSU-12 : 1.58 17.85 0.33 11.27 12.87 5.48 1.41 Ukraine : 0.73 10.50 0.01 4.80 5.50 5.00 0.74 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-486-23 September 2010 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 3/ : August : 139.03 831.59 89.17 493.65 831.42 90.42 139.20 September : 138.99 826.07 91.37 492.81 829.50 91.69 135.56 United States : August : 36.23 339.49 0.25 135.90 290.59 52.07 33.32 September : 35.22 334.27 0.25 133.36 288.05 53.34 28.35 Total foreign : August : 102.80 492.10 88.92 357.75 540.83 38.35 105.88 September : 103.77 491.80 91.12 359.45 541.45 38.35 107.21 Major exporters 4/ : August : 7.46 33.50 0.05 10.10 17.90 16.50 6.61 September : 7.46 33.50 0.05 10.10 17.90 16.50 6.61 Argentina Aug : 1.92 21.00 0.03 5.50 7.50 14.00 1.44 Sep : 1.92 21.00 0.03 5.50 7.50 14.00 1.44 South Africa Aug : 5.54 12.50 0.03 4.60 10.40 2.50 5.16 Sep : 5.54 12.50 0.03 4.60 10.40 2.50 5.16 Major importers 5/ : August : 13.15 111.79 53.60 114.55 162.90 1.91 13.74 September : 12.38 111.04 55.40 115.75 164.10 1.41 13.32 Egypt Aug : 1.34 7.00 5.40 10.10 12.60 0.00 1.14 Sep : 1.44 7.00 5.40 10.10 12.60 0.00 1.24 EU-27 6/ Aug : 4.21 55.95 3.00 43.50 58.50 1.00 3.66 Sep : 3.33 54.71 5.00 44.50 59.50 0.50 3.04 Japan Aug : 1.00 0.00 16.30 11.70 16.30 0.00 1.00 Sep : 1.00 0.00 16.10 11.50 16.10 0.00 1.00 Mexico Aug : 1.81 24.00 9.10 15.60 31.80 0.15 2.96 Sep : 1.81 24.50 9.10 15.90 32.10 0.15 3.16 S.-east Asia 7/Aug : 2.78 24.71 6.00 21.70 29.70 0.76 3.02 Sep : 2.78 24.71 6.00 21.80 29.80 0.76 2.93 South Korea Aug : 1.45 0.08 9.10 7.30 9.20 0.00 1.43 Sep : 1.45 0.08 9.10 7.30 9.20 0.00 1.43 Selected other : Brazil Aug : 11.43 51.00 1.00 41.30 48.30 7.00 8.13 Sep : 12.68 51.00 1.00 41.30 48.30 7.00 9.38 Canada Aug : 1.57 10.50 2.50 8.00 12.70 0.30 1.57 Sep : 1.57 11.00 2.20 8.20 12.90 0.30 1.57 China Aug : 53.02 166.00 1.00 111.00 160.00 0.20 59.82 Sep : 53.32 166.00 1.00 111.00 160.00 0.20 60.12 FSU-12 Aug : 1.21 18.37 0.48 12.16 13.86 5.08 1.12 Sep : 1.41 18.37 1.18 12.46 14.06 5.58 1.32 Ukraine Aug : 0.54 11.50 0.01 5.80 6.50 5.00 0.55 Sep : 0.74 11.50 0.01 5.30 6.00 5.50 0.75 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-486-24 September 2010 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 World 3/ : 80.61 448.23 27.09 437.75 28.97 91.09 United States : 0.92 6.40 0.61 3.96 3.00 0.96 Total foreign : 79.69 441.83 26.48 433.78 25.96 90.13 Major exporters 4/ : 18.43 150.32 0.80 123.08 19.52 26.95 India : 13.00 99.18 0.00 91.09 2.09 19.00 Pakistan : 0.70 6.90 0.00 3.49 2.91 1.20 Thailand : 2.71 19.85 0.30 9.50 8.57 4.79 Vietnam : 2.02 24.39 0.50 19.00 5.95 1.96 Major importers 5/ : 14.43 64.48 11.53 74.61 0.74 15.10 Brazil : 0.97 8.57 0.68 8.53 0.57 1.12 EU-27 6/ : 1.13 1.62 1.34 2.93 0.14 1.02 Indonesia : 5.61 38.30 0.25 37.09 0.01 7.06 Nigeria : 0.77 3.20 1.75 5.15 0.00 0.57 Philippines : 4.42 10.76 2.60 13.65 0.00 4.12 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.43 1.67 3.73 5.65 0.02 1.16 Selected other : Burma : 0.59 10.15 0.00 9.65 1.05 0.04 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.39 1.51 1.31 2.93 0.00 0.29 China : 38.02 134.33 0.34 133.00 0.78 38.90 Egypt : 0.69 4.40 0.02 4.00 0.55 0.56 Japan : 2.56 8.03 0.66 8.33 0.20 2.72 Mexico : 0.19 0.16 0.59 0.76 0.01 0.17 South Korea : 0.69 4.84 0.25 4.79 0.00 1.00 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) World 3/ : 91.09 441.15 27.25 437.92 30.09 94.32 United States : 0.96 6.92 0.60 3.86 3.47 1.15 Total foreign : 90.13 434.23 26.65 434.06 26.62 93.17 Major exporters 4/ : 26.95 140.59 0.70 117.18 21.20 29.86 India : 19.00 89.13 0.00 85.43 2.20 20.50 Pakistan : 1.20 6.80 0.00 2.90 3.80 1.30 Thailand : 4.79 20.26 0.30 9.70 9.00 6.65 Vietnam : 1.96 24.40 0.40 19.15 6.20 1.41 Major importers 5/ : 15.10 62.40 11.31 75.42 0.46 12.92 Brazil : 1.12 7.64 0.95 8.55 0.30 0.86 EU-27 6/ : 1.02 1.98 1.35 3.10 0.14 1.11 Indonesia : 7.06 37.10 0.50 37.60 0.00 7.06 Nigeria : 0.57 3.40 1.70 5.20 0.00 0.47 Philippines : 4.12 9.77 2.20 13.64 0.00 2.46 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.16 2.07 3.35 5.64 0.02 0.92 Selected other : Burma : 0.04 10.60 0.00 10.00 0.30 0.34 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.29 1.62 1.42 3.01 0.00 0.33 China : 38.90 137.00 0.30 134.50 0.85 40.85 Egypt : 0.56 4.30 0.04 4.00 0.60 0.29 Japan : 2.72 7.71 0.70 8.20 0.20 2.73 Mexico : 0.17 0.18 0.60 0.77 0.01 0.17 South Korea : 1.00 4.92 0.30 4.75 0.00 1.46 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, and the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-486-25 September 2010 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 3/ : August : 94.97 459.17 28.90 456.62 31.51 97.52 September : 94.32 454.60 28.62 454.37 30.95 94.56 United States : August : 1.07 7.68 0.64 4.05 3.56 1.77 September : 1.15 7.98 0.62 3.99 3.72 2.05 Total foreign : August : 93.90 451.49 28.26 452.57 27.94 95.74 September : 93.17 446.62 28.00 450.38 27.23 92.51 Major exporters 4/ : August : 29.58 150.85 0.85 130.30 21.90 29.08 September : 29.86 149.45 0.85 130.40 21.15 28.61 India Aug : 20.50 99.00 0.00 98.00 2.50 19.00 Sep : 20.50 99.00 0.00 98.00 2.50 19.00 Pakistan Aug : 0.85 6.50 0.00 3.00 3.60 0.75 Sep : 1.30 5.30 0.00 3.00 2.85 0.75 Thailand Aug : 6.29 20.60 0.35 9.80 10.00 7.44 Sep : 6.65 20.40 0.35 9.90 10.00 7.50 Vietnam Aug : 1.94 24.75 0.50 19.50 5.80 1.89 Sep : 1.41 24.75 0.50 19.50 5.80 1.36 Major importers 5/ : August : 13.94 67.38 11.71 77.98 0.66 14.39 September : 12.92 65.38 11.41 76.48 0.66 12.57 Brazil Aug : 0.86 8.40 0.65 8.60 0.50 0.81 Sep : 0.86 8.40 0.65 8.60 0.50 0.81 EU-27 6/ Aug : 1.11 2.01 1.35 3.15 0.14 1.18 Sep : 1.11 2.01 1.35 3.15 0.14 1.18 Indonesia Aug : 7.99 40.00 0.25 39.50 0.00 8.74 Sep : 7.06 38.00 0.25 38.15 0.00 7.16 Nigeria Aug : 0.47 3.60 1.90 5.50 0.00 0.47 Sep : 0.47 3.60 1.90 5.50 0.00 0.47 Philippines Aug : 2.46 10.80 2.50 13.70 0.00 2.06 Sep : 2.46 10.80 2.50 13.70 0.00 2.06 Sel. Mideast 7/Aug : 0.99 2.13 3.75 5.80 0.02 1.05 Sep : 0.92 2.13 3.45 5.65 0.02 0.83 Selected other : Burma Aug : 0.34 11.00 0.00 10.10 0.70 0.54 Sep : 0.34 11.00 0.00 10.10 0.70 0.54 C. Am & Car. 8/Aug : 0.33 1.62 1.45 3.11 0.00 0.29 Sep : 0.33 1.63 1.45 3.10 0.00 0.31 China Aug : 40.85 137.50 0.33 135.50 0.90 42.28 Sep : 40.85 136.00 0.33 135.00 0.90 41.28 Egypt Aug : 0.29 3.90 0.15 3.85 0.30 0.19 Sep : 0.29 3.90 0.15 3.85 0.30 0.19 Japan Aug : 2.73 7.85 0.70 8.13 0.20 2.95 Sep : 2.73 7.85 0.70 8.13 0.20 2.95 Mexico Aug : 0.17 0.16 0.65 0.82 0.01 0.16 Sep : 0.17 0.16 0.65 0.82 0.01 0.16 South Korea Aug : 1.46 4.60 0.33 4.74 0.01 1.64 Sep : 1.46 4.71 0.33 4.80 0.01 1.69 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. Total domestic includes both domestic use and unreported disappearance. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-486-26 September 2010 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) ================================================================================ : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss : Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ : stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : ================================================================================ : : 2008/09 : World : 60.61 107.14 30.07 109.94 30.09 -2.65 60.44 United States : 10.05 12.82 3/ 3.59 13.26 -0.32 6.34 Total foreign : 50.56 94.32 30.07 106.35 16.83 -2.33 54.10 Major exporters 4/ : 17.73 42.32 1.54 26.83 13.88 -0.19 21.08 Central Asia 5/ : 2.34 7.08 0.01 1.60 4.45 0.00 3.38 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 0.67 2.41 3/ 0.19 2.15 0.00 0.75 S. Hemis. 7/ : 8.30 8.68 0.31 5.52 4.60 -0.20 7.38 Australia : 0.60 1.50 3/ 0.05 1.20 -0.07 0.93 Brazil : 6.25 5.48 0.05 4.20 2.74 -0.15 4.99 India : 5.63 22.60 0.80 17.75 2.36 0.00 8.92 Major importers 8/ : 30.99 49.21 26.06 75.24 1.88 -2.15 31.29 Mexico : 0.93 0.57 1.32 1.85 0.18 0.03 0.76 China : 20.50 36.70 7.00 44.00 0.08 -2.25 22.37 EU-27 9/ : 0.67 1.23 0.96 1.14 1.01 0.05 0.65 Turkey : 1.95 1.93 2.92 5.10 0.14 -0.09 1.65 Pakistan : 4.47 8.70 1.95 11.25 0.38 0.03 3.47 Indonesia : 0.39 0.03 2.00 2.00 0.02 0.05 0.35 Thailand : 0.32 3/ 1.60 1.60 0.00 0.03 0.29 Bangladesh : 0.62 0.04 3.80 3.75 0.00 0.01 0.70 Vietnam : 0.25 0.01 1.25 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.26 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) : World : 60.44 101.15 36.14 117.20 35.59 -2.04 46.98 United States : 6.34 12.19 3/ 3.45 12.04 0.04 3.00 Total foreign : 54.10 88.96 36.14 113.75 23.55 -2.08 43.98 Major exporters 4/ : 21.08 41.58 1.54 28.74 20.06 -0.19 15.59 Central Asia 5/ : 3.38 5.99 3/ 1.69 5.84 0.00 1.84 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 0.75 2.16 3/ 0.18 2.22 0.00 0.51 S. Hemis. 7/ : 7.38 8.80 0.39 5.70 4.93 -0.20 6.14 Australia : 0.93 1.60 3/ 0.04 2.10 -0.07 0.46 Brazil : 4.99 5.35 0.15 4.40 1.99 -0.15 4.25 India : 8.92 23.20 0.60 19.50 6.55 0.00 6.67 Major importers 8/ : 31.29 44.88 31.92 80.81 2.32 -1.89 26.86 Mexico : 0.76 0.42 1.40 1.90 0.10 0.03 0.56 China : 22.37 32.00 10.94 48.50 0.03 -2.00 18.78 EU-27 9/ : 0.65 1.01 0.91 0.99 1.06 0.05 0.47 Turkey : 1.65 1.75 4.30 5.80 0.15 -0.08 1.83 Pakistan : 3.47 9.60 1.40 11.00 0.75 0.03 2.70 Indonesia : 0.35 0.03 2.10 2.05 0.02 0.05 0.36 Thailand : 0.29 3/ 1.81 1.78 0.01 0.03 0.30 Bangladesh : 0.70 0.05 4.00 4.00 0.00 0.01 0.74 Vietnam : 0.26 0.02 1.70 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.38 ================================================================================ 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, China, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-486-27 September 2010 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) ================================================================================ : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss : Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ : stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : ================================================================================ : : 2010/11 (Projected) World : August : 47.58 116.85 38.25 120.87 38.24 -2.04 45.61 September : 46.98 116.95 37.96 120.53 37.96 -2.04 45.44 United States : August : 3.10 18.53 0.01 3.40 15.00 0.04 3.20 September : 3.00 18.84 3/ 3.60 15.50 0.04 2.70 Total foreign : August : 44.48 98.32 38.24 117.47 23.24 -2.08 42.41 September : 43.98 98.11 37.96 116.93 22.46 -2.08 42.74 Major exporters 4/ : August : 15.95 48.54 1.94 29.93 19.85 -0.19 16.84 September : 15.59 49.17 2.12 30.03 19.12 -0.19 17.90 Central Asia 5/Aug : 2.01 6.97 0.01 1.73 5.72 0.00 1.53 Sep : 1.84 6.97 0.01 1.73 5.66 0.00 1.43 Afr. Fr. Zn. 6/Aug : 0.51 2.66 3/ 0.18 2.45 0.00 0.53 Sep : 0.51 2.76 3/ 0.18 2.57 0.00 0.52 S. Hemis 7/ Aug : 6.15 11.32 0.81 5.95 4.73 -0.20 7.80 Sep : 6.14 11.84 1.11 5.95 5.45 -0.20 7.90 Australia Aug : 0.46 2.30 3/ 0.04 2.00 -0.07 0.80 Sep : 0.46 3.00 3/ 0.04 2.50 -0.07 1.00 Brazil Aug : 4.26 7.00 0.60 4.60 1.90 -0.15 5.51 Sep : 4.25 7.00 0.90 4.60 2.20 -0.15 5.50 India Aug : 6.87 26.00 0.63 20.40 6.50 0.00 6.59 Sep : 6.67 26.00 0.50 20.50 5.00 0.00 7.67 Major importers 8/ : August : 26.95 46.92 33.62 83.33 2.09 -1.89 23.96 September : 26.86 46.19 33.17 82.69 2.11 -1.89 23.31 Mexico Aug : 0.56 0.64 1.40 1.90 0.15 0.03 0.53 Sep : 0.56 0.61 1.40 1.90 0.15 0.03 0.50 China Aug : 19.28 33.00 12.50 50.00 0.03 -2.00 16.76 Sep : 18.78 32.50 12.75 50.00 0.03 -2.00 16.01 EU-27 9/ Aug : 0.46 1.38 0.82 0.91 1.26 0.05 0.44 Sep : 0.47 1.38 0.84 0.93 1.28 0.05 0.43 Turkey Aug : 1.83 2.30 3.40 6.00 0.15 -0.08 1.46 Sep : 1.83 2.30 3.40 6.00 0.15 -0.08 1.46 Pakistan Aug : 2.30 9.50 2.30 11.50 0.30 0.03 2.27 Sep : 2.70 9.30 1.80 11.00 0.30 0.03 2.47 Indonesia Aug : 0.36 0.03 2.20 2.10 0.02 0.05 0.42 Sep : 0.36 0.03 2.13 2.10 0.02 0.05 0.35 Thailand Aug : 0.29 3/ 1.80 1.78 0.01 0.03 0.28 Sep : 0.30 3/ 1.75 1.70 0.01 0.03 0.32 Bangladesh Aug : 0.74 0.05 4.25 4.25 0.00 0.01 0.78 Sep : 0.74 0.05 4.15 4.20 0.00 0.01 0.73 Vietnam Aug : 0.38 0.02 1.75 1.80 0.00 0.00 0.35 Sep : 0.38 0.02 1.70 1.75 0.00 0.00 0.35 ================================================================================ 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Taiwan. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-486-28 September 2010 World Soybean Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Domestic : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Crush : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 World 2/ : 52.89 211.96 77.17 192.71 220.79 77.25 43.97 United States : 5.58 80.75 0.36 45.23 48.11 34.82 3.76 Total foreign : 47.31 131.22 76.81 147.48 172.68 42.44 40.21 Major exporters 3/ : 40.85 93.80 1.30 64.61 69.09 38.21 28.65 Argentina : 21.76 32.00 1.24 31.24 32.82 5.59 16.59 Brazil : 18.90 57.80 0.04 31.87 34.72 29.99 12.04 Major importers 4/ : 5.61 17.58 64.50 61.66 77.19 0.45 10.05 China : 4.25 15.54 41.10 41.04 51.44 0.40 9.05 EU-27 : 0.81 0.64 13.21 12.86 14.09 0.02 0.56 Japan : 0.27 0.26 3.40 2.50 3.75 0.00 0.18 Mexico : 0.06 0.15 3.33 3.47 3.50 0.00 0.04 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) World 2/ : 43.97 259.89 87.13 207.92 237.31 90.84 62.85 United States : 3.76 91.42 0.41 47.63 50.83 40.69 4.07 Total foreign : 40.21 168.48 86.72 160.29 186.48 50.15 58.78 Major exporters 3/ : 28.65 130.70 0.20 68.28 72.89 45.35 41.30 Argentina : 16.59 54.50 0.00 33.45 35.04 11.50 24.55 Brazil : 12.04 69.00 0.19 33.28 36.18 28.45 16.60 Major importers 4/ : 10.05 16.86 73.67 69.09 85.09 0.27 15.21 China : 9.05 14.70 50.00 48.68 59.28 0.20 14.27 EU-27 : 0.56 0.86 12.90 12.50 13.77 0.04 0.51 Japan : 0.18 0.23 3.60 2.53 3.83 0.00 0.18 Mexico : 0.04 0.11 3.45 3.51 3.55 0.00 0.05 : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 2/ : August : 63.52 253.69 89.54 219.75 250.92 91.11 64.73 September : 62.85 254.89 92.94 221.19 252.55 94.52 63.61 United States : August : 4.34 93.44 0.27 44.91 49.21 39.05 9.80 September : 4.07 94.79 0.27 44.91 49.21 40.42 9.51 Total foreign : August : 59.18 160.25 89.27 174.85 201.71 52.05 54.93 September : 58.78 160.10 92.67 176.29 203.35 54.10 54.09 Major exporters 3/ : August : 41.82 121.50 0.19 73.81 78.59 46.74 38.19 September : 41.30 121.50 0.19 74.05 78.83 48.74 35.43 Argentina Aug : 24.97 50.00 0.00 39.26 40.91 12.50 21.56 Sep : 24.55 50.00 0.00 39.50 41.15 13.50 19.90 Brazil Aug : 16.70 65.00 0.18 33.00 36.00 29.40 16.47 Sep : 16.60 65.00 0.18 33.00 36.00 30.40 15.37 Major importers 4/ : August : 14.97 16.91 75.95 76.49 92.82 0.52 14.50 September : 15.21 16.71 79.35 77.60 94.12 0.52 16.64 China Aug : 13.92 14.60 52.00 55.80 66.62 0.45 13.45 Sep : 14.27 14.40 55.00 56.70 67.72 0.45 15.50 EU-27 Aug : 0.61 1.00 12.60 12.40 13.62 0.03 0.56 Sep : 0.51 1.00 13.00 12.60 13.82 0.03 0.66 Japan Aug : 0.18 0.23 3.66 2.59 3.89 0.00 0.17 Sep : 0.18 0.23 3.66 2.59 3.89 0.00 0.17 Mexico Aug : 0.05 0.11 3.60 3.67 3.71 0.00 0.05 Sep : 0.05 0.11 3.60 3.67 3.71 0.00 0.05 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay. 4/ Japan, China, and EU, Mexico, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-486-29 September 2010 World Soybean Meal Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 World 2/ : 6.36 151.43 51.18 151.94 52.82 4.23 United States : 0.27 35.47 0.08 27.90 7.71 0.21 Total foreign : 6.10 115.96 51.10 124.04 45.11 4.01 Major exporters 3/ : 3.83 54.81 0.10 15.00 40.94 2.79 Argentina : 1.14 24.36 0.00 0.63 24.03 0.85 Brazil : 2.59 24.70 0.08 12.42 13.11 1.84 India : 0.11 5.75 0.01 1.95 3.81 0.10 Major importers 4/ : 1.27 44.10 28.19 71.70 1.53 0.33 EU-27 : 1.07 10.13 20.98 31.58 0.47 0.13 China : 0.00 32.48 0.22 31.67 1.02 0.00 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) World 2/ : 4.23 163.76 53.21 161.04 55.28 4.87 United States : 0.21 37.67 0.13 27.40 10.34 0.27 Total foreign : 4.01 126.09 53.08 133.64 44.94 4.60 Major exporters 3/ : 2.79 57.33 0.11 16.32 40.63 3.28 Argentina : 0.85 26.08 0.00 0.67 25.38 0.87 Brazil : 1.84 25.79 0.10 13.00 12.50 2.23 India : 0.10 5.46 0.01 2.65 2.75 0.17 Major importers 4/ : 0.33 49.91 29.38 77.37 1.75 0.50 EU-27 : 0.13 9.85 21.80 31.09 0.45 0.23 China : 0.00 38.53 0.07 37.34 1.25 0.00 : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 2/ : August : 4.88 173.12 55.38 170.55 57.74 5.09 September : 4.87 174.29 55.63 171.94 57.66 5.19 United States : August : 0.27 35.59 0.15 27.67 8.07 0.27 September : 0.27 35.59 0.15 27.49 8.26 0.27 Total foreign : August : 4.61 137.53 55.23 142.89 49.67 4.82 September : 4.60 138.69 55.48 144.45 49.41 4.92 Major exporters 3/ : August : 3.30 62.16 0.13 17.04 45.16 3.39 September : 3.28 62.34 0.13 17.06 45.20 3.49 Argentina Aug : 0.94 30.43 0.00 0.70 29.55 1.13 Sep : 0.87 30.61 0.00 0.70 29.55 1.24 Brazil Aug : 2.18 25.58 0.12 13.38 12.41 2.09 Sep : 2.23 25.58 0.12 13.40 12.45 2.08 India Aug : 0.17 6.15 0.01 2.96 3.20 0.17 Sep : 0.17 6.15 0.01 2.96 3.20 0.17 Major importers 4/ : August : 0.50 55.60 30.80 84.31 2.00 0.59 September : 0.50 56.50 31.05 85.77 1.70 0.59 EU-27 Aug : 0.23 9.77 23.05 32.30 0.45 0.30 Sep : 0.23 9.93 23.05 32.46 0.45 0.30 China Aug : 0.00 44.16 0.05 42.71 1.50 0.00 Sep : 0.00 44.91 0.15 43.86 1.20 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil, and India. 4/ Eastern Europe, China, EU, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-486-30 September 2010 World Soybean Oil Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2008/09 World 2/ : 3.11 35.70 8.96 35.91 9.12 2.73 United States : 1.13 8.50 0.04 7.38 1.00 1.30 Total foreign : 1.99 27.19 8.92 28.53 8.13 1.43 Major exporters 3/ : 0.94 14.35 0.80 8.48 7.01 0.59 Argentina : 0.30 5.91 0.00 1.43 4.70 0.08 Brazil : 0.43 6.12 0.01 4.27 1.91 0.37 EU-27 : 0.21 2.31 0.79 2.78 0.40 0.14 Major importers 4/ : 0.29 8.60 3.60 11.83 0.09 0.57 China : 0.23 7.31 2.49 9.49 0.08 0.47 India : 0.06 1.29 1.06 2.30 0.00 0.10 Pakistan : 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.05 0.00 0.00 : : 2009/10 (Estimated) World 2/ : 2.73 38.44 8.70 38.09 8.99 2.79 United States : 1.30 8.86 0.05 7.24 1.52 1.45 Total foreign : 1.43 29.58 8.65 30.86 7.47 1.34 Major exporters 3/ : 0.59 15.01 0.60 9.34 6.24 0.63 Argentina : 0.08 6.37 0.00 1.91 4.40 0.14 Brazil : 0.37 6.39 0.05 5.05 1.44 0.33 EU-27 : 0.14 2.25 0.55 2.38 0.40 0.16 Major importers 4/ : 0.57 9.90 3.14 13.13 0.08 0.40 China : 0.47 8.68 1.60 10.42 0.08 0.24 India : 0.10 1.23 1.50 2.67 0.00 0.16 Pakistan : 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 : : 2010/11 (Projected) World 2/ : August : 2.75 40.82 8.84 40.97 8.99 2.45 September : 2.79 41.10 8.86 41.31 9.06 2.38 United States : August : 1.44 8.53 0.05 7.89 0.95 1.18 September : 1.45 8.53 0.05 7.89 0.95 1.19 Total foreign : August : 1.31 32.29 8.79 33.08 8.03 1.27 September : 1.34 32.56 8.81 33.42 8.10 1.18 Major exporters 3/ : August : 0.67 16.08 0.45 9.84 6.72 0.64 September : 0.63 16.16 0.60 10.04 6.77 0.59 Argentina Aug : 0.16 7.52 0.00 2.23 5.20 0.25 Sep : 0.14 7.57 0.00 2.28 5.25 0.17 Brazil Aug : 0.35 6.33 0.05 5.25 1.22 0.26 Sep : 0.33 6.33 0.05 5.21 1.22 0.28 EU-27 Aug : 0.16 2.23 0.40 2.36 0.30 0.13 Sep : 0.16 2.27 0.55 2.54 0.30 0.14 Major importers 4/ : August : 0.33 11.33 3.37 14.65 0.07 0.31 September : 0.40 11.51 3.24 14.80 0.07 0.27 China Aug : 0.20 9.95 2.15 12.01 0.07 0.22 Sep : 0.24 10.12 2.00 12.07 0.07 0.22 India Aug : 0.12 1.39 1.18 2.60 0.00 0.08 Sep : 0.16 1.39 1.20 2.69 0.00 0.05 Pakistan Aug : 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 Sep : 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and EU. 4/ India, China and Pakistan. WASDE-486-31 September 2010 U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production 1/ =============================================================================== Year : : : Red : : : Total: Red : : : and : : : meat : : :poultry: meat & : : : quarter : Beef : Pork : 2/ :Broiler:Turkey: 3/ : poultry: Egg : Milk : =============================================================================== : Million pounds Mil doz Bil lbs 2009 : III : 6690 5700 12464 9172 1417 10725 23189 1880 46.8 IV : 6426 5996 12504 8827 1441 10385 22889 1924 46.3 Annual : 25965 22999 49274 35511 5663 41674 90947 7534 189.3 : 2010 : I : 6251 5607 11936 8732 1340 10188 22124 1867 47.4 II : 6549 5301 11922 9198 1383 10706 22628 1891 49.7 III* : 6685 5420 12177 9375 1400 10900 23077 1905 47.9 IV* : 6220 5875 12171 9075 1425 10625 22796 1940 47.6 Annual : Aug Proj : 25645 22238 48183 36491 5548 42530 90713 7602 192.0 Sep Proj : 25705 22203 48206 36380 5548 42419 90625 7603 192.7 : 2011 : I* : 6050 5610 11735 8975 1375 10465 22200 1890 48.7 II* : 6300 5410 11781 9350 1375 10850 22631 1900 50.5 Annual : Aug Proj : 25135 22655 48082 37575 5645 43720 91802 7660 194.6 Sep Proj : 25115 22640 48047 37325 5600 43425 91472 7660 196.2 =============================================================================== * Projection. 1/ Commercial production for red meats; federally inspected for poultry meats. 2/ Beef, pork, veal and lamb & mutton. 3/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products 1/ =============================================================================== Year : Barrows : : : : : and : Steers :and gilts : Broilers : Turkeys : Eggs : Milk : quarter : 2/ : 3/ : 4/ : 5/ : 6/ : 7/ : =============================================================================== : Dol./cwt Dol./cwt Cents/lb. Cents/lb. Cents/doz. Dol./cwt 2009 : III : 83.05 38.90 76.8 78.1 94.8 12.13 IV : 83.29 41.20 72.1 81.4 117.7 15.40 Annual : 83.25 41.24 77.6 76.5 103.0 12.84 : 2010 : I : 89.44 50.41 82.2 75.6 126.0 15.60 II : 96.33 59.60 85.0 84.4 82.8 15.07 III* : 95-96 59-60 85-86 96-97 95-96 16.60-16.80 IV* : 93-97 51-53 81-85 97-103 102-108 17.85-18.35 Annual : Aug Proj : 93-95 54-55 82-84 88-89 99-101 15.90-16.10 Sep Proj : 93-95 55-56 83-85 88-90 101-103 16.25-16.45 : 2011 : I* : 93-101 54-58 82-88 77-83 107-115 16.30-17.10 II* : 96-104 54-58 83-89 81-87 101-109 15.55-16.55 Annual : Aug Proj : 95-102 53-57 81-88 83-89 103-112 15.55-16.55 Sep Proj : 95-102 53-57 82-89 83-90 103-112 15.85-16.85 =============================================================================== *Projection. 1/ Simple average of months. 2/ 5-Area, Direct, Total all grades 3/ National Base, Live equiv 51-52% lean. 4/ Wholesale, 12-city average. 5/ 8-16 lbs, hens National. 6/ Grade A large, New York, volume buyers. 7/ Prices received by farmers for all milk. WASDE-486-32 September 2010 U.S. Meats Supply and Use =============================================================================== : Supply : Use :----------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : Disappearance : : Pro- : : : : :-------------- : Beg- : duc- : : : : End- : : Per Item :inning: tion : Im- : Total : Ex- : ing : :capita :stocks: 1/ :ports: supply: ports:stocks:Total : 2/ 3/ =============================================================================== : Million pounds 4/ BEEF : 2009 : 642 26068 2626 29336 1935 565 26836 61.1 2010 Proj. Aug : 565 25747 2603 28915 2193 535 26187 59.1 Sep : 565 25807 2553 28925 2263 535 26127 59.0 2011 Proj. Aug : 535 25237 2785 28557 2070 515 25972 58.1 Sep : 535 25217 2745 28497 2150 515 25832 57.8 : PORK : 2009 : 635 23020 834 24489 4095 525 19870 50.1 2010 Proj. Aug : 525 22260 848 23633 4468 500 18665 46.7 Sep : 525 22225 848 23598 4468 500 18630 46.6 2011 Proj. Aug : 500 22676 875 24051 4675 500 18876 46.8 Sep : 500 22661 875 24036 4675 500 18861 46.8 : TOTAL RED MEAT 5/ : 2009 : 1307 49412 3631 54350 6046 1114 47191 112.6 2010 Proj. Aug : 1114 48322 3628 53064 6682 1062 45320 107.1 Sep : 1114 48345 3578 53037 6752 1062 45223 106.9 2011 Proj. Aug : 1062 48221 3846 53129 6765 1042 45322 106.3 Sep : 1062 48186 3806 53054 6845 1042 45167 106.0 : BROILERS : 2009 : 745 35131 86 35961 6818 616 28527 79.7 2010 Proj. Aug : 616 36101 83 36800 6471 670 29659 82.2 Sep : 616 35991 83 36690 6471 670 29549 81.9 2011 Proj. Aug : 670 37173 96 37939 6650 660 30629 84.1 Sep : 670 36926 96 37692 6650 660 30382 83.5 : TURKEYS : 2009 : 396 5588 13 5997 534 262 5201 16.9 2010 Proj. Aug : 262 5475 12 5749 540 250 4959 16.0 Sep : 262 5475 12 5749 540 230 4979 16.1 2011 Proj. Aug : 250 5571 12 5833 550 275 5008 16.0 Sep : 230 5527 12 5769 550 265 4954 15.8 : TOTAL POULTRY 6/ : 2009 : 1144 41219 104 42467 7452 880 34135 97.9 2010 Proj. Aug : 880 42066 99 43045 7109 923 35013 99.4 Sep : 880 41957 99 42936 7109 903 34924 99.2 2011 Proj. Aug : 923 43243 112 44278 7310 938 36030 101.4 Sep : 903 42952 112 43967 7310 928 35729 100.6 : RED MEAT & POULTRY : 2009 : 2451 90631 3735 96818 13498 1994 81326 210.6 2010 Proj. Aug : 1994 90388 3727 96109 13791 1985 80333 206.6 Sep : 1994 90301 3677 95972 13861 1965 80146 206.1 2011 Proj. Aug : 1985 91464 3958 97407 14075 1980 81352 207.7 Sep : 1965 91138 3918 97021 14155 1970 80896 206.5 =============================================================================== 1/ Total including farm production for red meats and, for poultry, federally inspected plus non-federally inspected, less condemnations. 2/ Pounds, retail-weight basis. 3/ Population source: Dept. of Commerce, Census Bureau. 4/ Carcass weight for red meats and certified ready-to-cook weight for poultry. 5/ Beef, pork, veal, lamb and mutton. 6/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. WASDE-486-33 September 2010 U.S. Egg Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2010 Projected : 2011 Projected : : :-----------------:----------------- Commodity : 2008 : 2009 : Aug : Sep : Aug : Sep =============================================================================== EGGS : Million dozen Supply : Beginning stocks : 11.1 17.2 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 Production : 7501.0 7534.0 7602.0 7603.0 7660.0 7660.0 Imports : 14.6 11.0 12.4 12.4 12.0 12.0 Total supply : 7526.7 7562.2 7632.4 7633.4 7690.0 7690.0 : Use : Exports : 206.3 242.2 249.3 249.3 237.0 237.0 Hatching use : 996.3 955.1 985.4 985.4 1010.0 1010.0 Ending stocks : 17.2 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 Disappearance : Total : 6306.9 6346.9 6379.7 6380.7 6425.0 6425.0 Per capita (number) : 248.3 247.7 246.9 246.9 246.6 246.6 =============================================================================== U.S. Milk Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2010 Projected : 2011 Projected Commodity : : :-----------------:----------------- : 2008 : 2009 : Aug : Sep : Aug : Sep =============================================================================== : Billion pounds Milk : Production : 190.0 189.3 192.0 192.7 194.6 196.2 Farm use : 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 : Fat Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 10.4 10.1 11.3 11.3 10.5 10.4 Marketings : 188.9 188.3 191.0 191.7 193.6 195.3 Imports : 5.3 5.6 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.0 Total cml. supply : 204.6 204.0 206.6 207.1 208.4 209.6 : Fat Basis Use : Commercial Exports : 8.7 4.1 6.3 6.6 5.6 5.4 Ending commercial stks : 10.1 11.3 10.5 10.4 9.9 10.2 CCC net removals 1/ : 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 Commercial use 2/ : 185.7 187.7 189.5 189.9 192.9 194.0 : Skim-solids Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 10.0 10.9 11.3 11.3 11.4 11.5 Marketings : 188.9 188.3 191.0 191.7 193.6 195.3 Imports : 7.0 5.5 4.6 4.5 4.7 4.3 Total cml. supply : 205.9 204.7 207.0 207.5 209.6 211.0 : Skim-solids Basis Use : Commercial Exports : 26.6 22.5 28.8 29.3 28.0 28.3 Ending commercial stks : 10.9 11.3 11.4 11.5 11.0 11.2 CCC net removals 1/ : 1.3 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Commercial use 2/ : 167.1 168.6 167.1 166.9 170.6 171.5 : : Million pounds CCC product net removals 1/: Butter : 0 30 8 8 0 0 Cheese : 0 2 2 2 0 0 Nonfat dry milk : 111 247 2 2 0 0 Dry whole milk : 0 0 0 0 0 0 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Includes products exported under the Dairy Export Incentive Program. 2/ Domestic commercial use only. 2009 and 2010 adjusted for the Barter Program WASDE-486-34 September 2010 U.S. Dairy Prices =========================================================================== : : : 2010 Projected : 2011 Projected : : :-----------------:----------------- Commodity : 2008 : 2009 : Aug : Sep : Aug : Sep =========================================================================== : Dollars per pound : Product Prices 1/ : Cheese : 1.8958 1.2963 1.500- 1.530- 1.505- 1.530- : 1.520 1.550 1.605 1.630 : Butter : 1.4352 1.2094 1.610- 1.690- 1.435- 1.485- : 1.650 1.730 1.565 1.615 : Nonfat dry milk : 1.2257 0.9222 1.145- 1.150- 1.175- 1.175- : 1.165 1.170 1.245 1.245 : Dry whey : 0.2500 0.2584 0.360- 0.360- 0.355- 0.355- : 0.380 0.380 0.385 0.385 : : Dollars per cwt Milk Prices 2/ : Class III : 17.44 11.36 14.15- 14.50- 14.15- 14.40- : 14.35 14.70 15.15 15.40 : Class IV : 14.65 10.89 14.50- 14.90- 14.00- 14.25- : 14.80 15.20 15.10 15.35 : All milk 3/ : 18.34 12.84 15.90- 16.25- 15.55- 15.85- : 16.10 16.45 16.55 16.85 : =========================================================================== 1/ Simple average of monthly prices calculated by AMS from NASS weekly average dairy product prices for class price computations. 2/ Annual Class III and Class IV prices are the simple averages of monthly minimum Federal order milk prices paid by regulated plants for milk used in the respective classes. All milk price is the simple average of monthly prices received by farmers for milk at average test. 3/ Does not reflect any deductions from producers as authorized by legislation. WASDE-486-35 September 2010 Note: Tables on pages 35-37 present a 29-year record of the differences between the September projection and the final estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, changes between the September projection and the final estimate have averaged 9.5 million tons (1.7%) ranging from -30.7 to 13.1 million tons. The September projection has been below the estimate 18 times and above 11 times. Reliability of September Projections =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2009/10 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== WHEAT :Percent Million metric tons Number of years Production : World : 1.7 9.5 -30.7 13.1 18 11 U.S. : 1.4 0.9 -1.4 2.5 12 17 Foreign : 1.9 9.3 -30.9 12.0 19 10 Exports : World : 4.7 5.5 -14.5 6.2 21 8 U.S. : 8.4 2.7 -10.0 7.2 13 16 Foreign : 5.6 4.8 -14.1 4.0 20 9 Domestic use : World : 1.4 7.5 -23.4 20.2 18 11 U.S. : 5.8 1.8 -3.7 3.6 11 18 Foreign : 1.4 7.3 -21.0 19.0 21 8 Ending stocks : World : 7.3 9.9 -29.6 14.3 22 7 U.S. : 13.9 3.0 -9.1 12.4 15 14 Foreign : 7.9 8.7 -27.1 7.4 21 8 : COARSE GRAINS 2/ : Production : World : 1.8 15.7 -50.6 24.9 23 6 U.S. : 3.4 8.3 -21.5 26.0 20 9 Foreign : 2.0 12.3 -29.6 13.9 21 8 Exports : World : 5.3 5.6 -11.5 16.5 20 9 U.S. : 13.2 7.1 -19.0 14.5 12 17 Foreign : 11.9 6.2 -15.3 12.7 18 11 Domestic use : World : 1.2 10.5 -29.1 20.8 15 14 U.S. : 3.4 6.8 -15.8 13.2 19 10 Foreign : 1.3 8.8 -20.2 22.0 18 11 Ending stocks : World : 11.5 16.9 -43.2 24.6 23 6 U.S. : 18.2 9.1 -32.2 13.5 13 16 Foreign : 13.5 12.0 -25.8 15.2 25 4 : RICE, milled : Production : World : 1.9 7.0 -24.1 3.4 24 5 U.S. : 3.8 0.2 -0.5 0.5 16 12 Foreign : 2.0 7.0 -24.4 3.6 24 5 Exports : World : 7.5 1.5 -6.7 0.8 20 9 U.S. : 8.2 0.2 -0.9 0.9 15 12 Foreign : 8.3 1.4 -6.7 0.8 20 9 Domestic use : World : 1.3 4.4 -22.7 3.0 23 6 U.S. : 5.3 0.2 -0.4 0.4 13 15 Foreign : 1.3 4.5 -23.1 3.2 23 6 Ending stocks : World : 10.8 5.2 -14.9 5.2 24 5 U.S. : 18.3 0.2 -0.9 0.7 16 13 Foreign : 11.5 5.2 -14.6 6.1 24 5 =============================================================================== 1/ Footnotes at end of table. CONTINUED WASDE-486-36 September 2010 Reliability of September Projections (Continued) =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2009/10 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== SOYBEANS :Percent Million metric tons Number of years Production : World : 3.8 6.0 -16.0 27.4 18 11 U.S. : 4.5 3.0 -8.3 5.1 17 12 Foreign : 6.6 6.0 -12.9 29.1 15 14 Exports : World : 6.3 2.8 -12.5 9.5 19 10 U.S. : 10.3 2.5 -7.2 5.5 17 12 Foreign : 15.7 2.6 -9.4 10.5 12 17 Domestic use : World : 3.1 4.7 -9.3 15.1 18 11 U.S. : 3.8 1.6 -3.8 4.0 19 10 Foreign : 4.1 4.3 -8.6 11.2 19 10 Ending stocks : World : 15.1 4.2 -13.0 10.2 18 11 U.S. : 28.9 2.1 -6.6 4.8 9 20 Foreign : 18.6 3.9 -14.6 9.6 19 9 : COTTON : Million 480-pound bales Production : World : 3.4 3.1 -12.6 9.5 18 11 U.S. : 5.4 0.9 -2.3 2.4 16 12 Foreign : 3.6 2.7 -11.2 9.8 18 11 Exports : World : 6.5 1.9 -6.7 9.1 16 13 U.S. : 15.0 1.2 -2.7 3.2 16 13 Foreign : 8.0 1.5 -3.9 7.8 14 15 Mill use : World : 2.9 2.7 -7.2 13.1 13 16 U.S. : 6.1 0.4 -1.1 1.3 14 13 Foreign : 3.0 2.6 -7.1 12.3 14 14 Ending stocks : World : 12.8 5.1 -12.7 12.5 20 9 U.S. : 30.3 1.5 -5.1 2.5 13 16 Foreign : 12.6 4.4 -13.2 10.9 20 9 =============================================================================== 1/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2008/09 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2009/10 last month's estimate. 2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain. WASDE-486-37 September 2010 Reliability of United States September Projections 1/ =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2009/10 2/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== CORN :Percent Million bushels Number of years Production : 3.7 312 -846 885 20 9 Exports : 13.8 255 -725 521 11 18 Domestic use : 3.8 268 -565 475 19 10 Ending stocks : 21.0 336 -1321 490 13 16 : SORGHUM : Production : 4.6 27 -69 81 13 15 Exports : 15.6 36 -115 97 17 12 Domestic use : 9.2 35 -114 78 14 14 Ending stocks : 36.8 40 -155 112 9 20 : BARLEY : Production : 3.8 12 -29 36 12 17 Exports : 34.7 16 -82 38 13 13 Domestic use : 8.0 26 -47 72 12 15 Ending stocks : 14.1 21 -61 70 14 15 : OATS : Production : 6.9 13 -19 44 5 23 Exports : 61.2 1 -5 8 9 11 Domestic use : 4.4 14 -39 30 9 20 Ending stocks : 14.2 15 -40 47 15 14 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL : Production : 3.6 1183 -2846 2869 18 11 Exports : 11.7 820 -2350 1900 15 14 Domestic use : 3.2 803 -1550 3200 17 12 Ending stocks : 26.5 63 -179 368 11 13 : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL : Production : 3.5 550 -1473 1395 16 13 Exports : 24.5 402 -1675 1219 14 14 Domestic use : 3.1 446 -985 2150 18 11 Ending stocks : 26.7 469 -1357 1143 15 14 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ANIMAL PROD. 3/ : Million pounds Beef : 3.6 895 -728 2486 18 9 Pork : 2.2 390 -1315 1272 16 11 Broilers : 2.0 517 -1337 1063 17 10 Turkeys : 2.6 125 -444 372 18 9 : : Million dozen Eggs : 1.4 86 -144 188 17 10 : : Billion pounds Milk : 1.3 2.0 -7.2 6.8 16 11 =============================================================================== 1/ See pages 35 and 36 for record of reliability for U.S. wheat, rice, soybeans, and cotton. 2/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2008/09 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year, and for 2009/10 last month's estimate. 3/ Calendar years 1983 thru 2009 for meats, eggs, and milk. Final for animal products is defined as latest annual production estimate published by NASS. ----- End of File -----