Pot 1-2 (4-01)
Potato
Stocks
National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA
Washington, D.C.
Released April 12, 2001, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.
For information on "Potato Stocks" call Arvin Budge at (202) 720-4285,
office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.
April Potato Stocks Record High, Up 20 Percent
The 15 major potato States held a record high 154 million cwt of potatoes
on April 1, 2001, up 20 percent from last year and 4 percent above the
previous record set April 1, 1997. Potatoes in storage accounted for
33 percent of the 2000 fall storage States' production, up 2 percentage
points from a year ago. Disappearance, at a record high 308 million cwt,
was up 5 percent from the last two years and 4 percent above the previous
record set during the 1996 season. Potatoes used for processing to April 1
totaled 151 million cwt, up 1 percent from last year in comparable
States. March processing of 19.9 million cwt fell 5 percent short of
last year in comparable States.
Fall Potatoes: Production and Stocks, 15 Major States, 1991-2000
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Crop : : : : : : : :
Year :Production: Dec 1 : Jan 1 : Feb 1 : Mar 1 : Apr 1 : May 1 :Jun 1 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
1991 : 363,541 242,070 211,005 178,515 145,820 108,865 69,110
1992 : 368,516 246,820 215,990 184,560 152,795 115,785 75,040
1993 : 376,954 249,410 217,300 185,490 153,435 115,170 72,860
1994 : 410,839 273,290 238,560 202,470 169,570 129,825 87,600
1995 : 394,785 256,710 223,550 189,360 156,020 115,855 75,870
1996 : 443,704 295,100 261,320 226,080 189,210 147,635 103,210
1997 : 413,513 278,830 246,550 212,562 175,870 134,190 92,840
1998 : 423,170 280,910 246,230 209,640 173,650 131,220 87,895 50,270
1999 : 420,567 275,100 239,910 207,150 169,620 128,410 86,915 47,220
2000 : 461,827 309,520 272,960 235,050 198,320 154,030
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Data not available prior to 1998.
Potatoes: Quantity Used for Processing, 9 States, 1997-2000 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
State and : : : : : : : :
Crop Year : Dec 1 : Jan 1 : Feb 1 : Mar 1 : Apr 1 : May 1 :Jun 1 2/: Season
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
ID & OR-Mal:
1997 : 26,880 33,950 41,050 49,470 57,620 65,750 91,450
1998 : 27,510 34,700 42,670 51,210 60,040 68,550 76,410 92,860
1999 : 27,970 34,490 40,790 49,220 57,820 66,080 74,110 88,210
2000 : 29,290 35,720 43,470 50,580 58,910
:
ME 3/ :
1997 : 1,250 1,720 2,265 2,735 3,355 3,900 5,870
1998 : 1,430 1,935 2,530 2,985 3,595 4,180 4,705 5,945
1999 : 1,270 1,700 2,385 3,070 3,765 4,560 5,150 6,670
2000 : 1,845 2,475 3,105 3,695 4,225
:
WA & OR-Oth:
1997 : 28,580 33,990 38,690 46,400 53,720 59,780 76,930
1998 : 33,630 38,890 45,650 53,290 60,930 67,180 74,190 83,730
1999 : 33,320 39,620 45,500 53,350 61,080 67,230 74,840 83,210
2000 : 34,770 40,970 47,720 55,250 62,860
:
Oth Sts 4/ :
1997 : 11,645 13,960 17,115 19,905 23,515 26,365 37,842
1998 : 11,570 14,465 18,030 20,850 24,850 28,190 31,365 39,865
1999 : 12,455 15,035 17,950 20,855 24,305 27,220 30,410 36,435
2000 : 12,650 16,235 18,625 22,030 25,420
:
Total :
1997 : 68,355 83,620 99,120 118,510 138,210 155,795 212,092
1998 : 74,140 89,990 108,880 128,335 149,415 168,100 186,670 222,400
1999 : 75,015 90,845 106,625 126,495 146,970 165,090 184,510 214,525
2000 : 78,555 95,400 112,920 131,555 151,415
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Total quantity received and used for processing regardless of the State in
which the potatoes were produced. Amount excludes quantities used for
potato chips in ME, MI, and WI.
2/ Data not available prior to 1998.
3/ Includes Maine grown potatoes only.
4/ MN, ND, NV, SD, and WI in 2000. MI, MN, ND, and WI in 1997-1999.
Fall Potatoes: Production and Stocks on April 1, 2000-2001 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Crop of 1999 : Crop of 2000
:----------------------------------------------------------------
State : : Stocks : % : : Stocks : %
: Prod : Apr 1, : of : Prod : Apr 1, : of
: : 2000 : Prod : : 2001 : Prod
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ---- 1,000 Cwt --- Percent ---- 1,000 Cwt --- Percent
:
CA : 4,005 1,400 35 3,741 1,000 27
CO : 25,762 10,100 39 27,972 10,300 37
ID : 133,330 50,000 38 152,320 59,500 39
ME : 17,813 7,200 40 17,920 6,600 37
MI : 14,963 2,700 18 14,963 1,500 10
MN : 18,020 4,700 26 21,240 8,100 38
MT : 3,325 1,650 50 3,503 2,100 60
NE 2/ : 8,904 10,127
NY : 6,758 700 10 5,964 300 5
ND : 26,400 6,900 26 26,950 9,100 34
OH 2/ : 987 1,134
OR : 28,020 13,000 46 30,683 13,600 44
PA : 3,080 500 16 3,510 300 9
WA : 95,200 20,500 22 108,000 33,000 31
WI : 34,000 7,700 23 33,800 6,700 20
:
Other States : 1,360 1,930
:
15 States : 420,567 128,410 31 461,827 154,030 33
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Stocks include processor holdings and seed to plant 2001 potatoes; 2000
crop seed usage totaled 29.7 million cwt.
2/ Nebraska and Ohio combined into "Other States".
Potatoes: Shrinkage and Loss, 15 Fall Storage States, 1997-2000
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Crop : To : To : To : To : To : To : Total :
Year : Dec 1 : Jan 1 : Feb 1 : Mar 1 : Apr 1 : May 1 :Jun 1 1/: Season
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Million Cwt
:
1997 : 15.3 17.3 19.3 21.3 23.5 25.6 29.9
1998 : 18.4 20.6 22.7 24.7 26.9 29.0 30.9 33.3
1999 : 18.2 21.0 23.0 25.0 27.1 29.2 31.1 33.4
2000 : 19.5 22.5 27.9 31.5 35.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Data not available prior to 1998.
Fall Potatoes: Production, April 1 Stocks, and Farm Disposition,
15 Storage States and 23 Fall Season States, 1997-2000 Crop Years
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : : : : Farm Disposition
: : : : Total :--------------------------------
State :Crop : : Stocks : Used : Where Grown :
:Year :Production: Apr 1 : For :----------------------:
: : : : Fall :Seed, Feed,:Shrinkage : Sold
: : : : Seed : Home Use : and Loss :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : 1,000 Cwt
: :
CA : :
: 1997: 4,200 1,500 206 20 340 3,840
: 1998: 3,708 1,200 157 29 720 2,959
: 1999: 4,005 1,400 179 17 383 3,605
: 2000: 3,741 1,000
CO : :
: 1997: 24,993 10,500 1,895 1,340 2,773 20,880
: 1998: 25,360 9,300 1,930 1,615 2,615 21,130
: 1999: 25,762 10,100 1,971 1,705 2,967 21,090
: 2000: 27,972 10,300
ID : :
: 1997: 140,314 56,000 8,700 1,130 9,258 129,926
: 1998: 138,000 52,000 8,300 1,280 9,756 126,964
: 1999: 133,330 50,000 8,700 1,150 9,300 122,880
: 2000: 152,320 59,500
ME : :
: 1997: 19,080 7,400 1,430 275 1,760 17,045
: 1998: 18,060 6,000 1,430 360 1,740 15,960
: 1999: 17,813 7,200 1,408 330 1,850 15,633
: 2000: 17,920 6,600
MI : :
: 1997: 14,250 2,300 864 200 1,300 12,750
: 1998: 14,648 2,200 888 200 1,348 13,100
: 1999: 14,963 2,700 1,005 213 1,300 13,450
: 2000: 14,963 1,500
MN : :
: 1997: 20,440 6,800 1,640 450 1,717 18,273
: 1998: 21,170 6,700 1,400 254 1,440 19,476
: 1999: 18,020 4,700 1,254 170 1,980 15,870
: 2000: 21,240 8,100
MT : :
: 1997: 3,328 700 244 152 208 2,968
: 1998: 3,180 1,740 253 145 265 2,770
: 1999: 3,325 1,650 288 151 213 2,961
: 2000: 3,503 2,100
NE 1/ : :
: 1997: 7,761 462 203 380 7,178
: 1998: 8,175 469 166 881 7,128
: 1999: 8,904 598 209 742 7,953
: 2000: 10,127
NY : :
: 1997: 7,150 400 607 139 315 6,696
: 1998: 7,290 350 572 110 330 6,850
: 1999: 6,758 700 484 95 323 6,340
: 2000: 5,964 300
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--continued
Fall Potatoes: Production, April 1 Stocks, and Farm Disposition,
15 Storage States and 23 Fall Season States, 1997-2000 Crop Years
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : : : : Farm Disposition
: : : : Total :--------------------------------
State :Crop : : Stocks : Used : Where Grown :
:Year :Production: Apr 1 : For :----------------------:
: : : : Fall :Seed, Feed,:Shrinkage : Sold
: : : : Seed : Home Use : and Loss :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : 1,000 Cwt
: :
ND : :
: 1997: 22,000 7,000 2,142 355 2,266 19,379
: 1998: 28,670 10,500 2,178 395 2,840 25,435
: 1999: 26,400 6,900 2,232 340 4,600 21,460
: 2000: 26,950 9,100
OH 1/ : :
: 1997: 1,170 105 8 37 1,125
: 1998: 1,200 100 8 37 1,155
: 1999: 987 84 6 60 921
: 2000: 1,134
OR : :
: 1997: 27,319 9,800 1,405 195 1,555 25,569
: 1998: 26,229 10,500 1,334 195 2,206 23,828
: 1999: 28,020 13,000 1,368 239 1,607 26,174
: 2000: 30,683 13,600
PA : :
: 1997: 3,173 480 276 78 176 2,919
: 1998: 3,360 420 261 50 252 3,058
: 1999: 3,080 500 270 31 172 2,877
: 2000: 3,510 300
WA : :
: 1997: 88,160 22,500 3,840 300 6,400 81,460
: 1998: 93,225 21,500 4,080 300 6,500 86,425
: 1999: 95,200 20,500 4,200 300 6,500 88,400
: 2000: 108,000 33,000
WI : :
: 1997: 30,175 7,600 1,764 275 1,448 28,452
: 1998: 30,895 7,800 1,720 265 2,360 28,270
: 1999: 34,000 7,700 1,720 310 1,420 32,270
: 2000: 33,800 6,700
Other S: :
: 1997: 1,210
: 1998: 1,010
: 1999: 1,360
: 2000: 1,930
15 Sts : :
: 1997: 413,513 134,190 25,580 5,120 29,933 378,460
: 1998: 423,170 131,220 25,072 5,372 33,290 384,508
: 1999: 420,567 128,410 25,761 5,266 33,417 381,884
: 2000: 461,827 154,030
: :
Fall St: 1997: 423,190 26,224 5,260 30,841 387,089
: 1998: 432,737 25,657 5,584 34,231 392,922
: 1999: 429,847 26,355 5,377 34,260 390,210
: 2000: 470,504
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Nebraska and Ohio combined into "Other States".
Fall Potatoes: Farm Marketings, Selected States,
1997-1999 Marketing Years
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Crop :Jul :Aug :Sep :Oct :Nov :Dec :Jan :Feb :Mar :Apr :May :Jun :Jul
: Year : : : : : : : : : : : : :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : Percent
: :
CA : :
: 1997 :
: 1998 : 13 12 13 11 10 12 10 8 7 4
: 1999 : 5 12 14 10 12 9 10 10 11 7
CO : :
: 1997 : 1 4 8 9 11 10 8 11 11 10 10 7
: 1998 : 5 8 9 12 10 10 12 11 10 9 4
: 1999 : 4 7 10 10 10 10 12 11 10 10 6
ID : :
: 1997 : 6 15 12 8 8 8 6 7 7 9 7 7
: 1998 : 6 11 20 6 6 7 6 8 9 9 6 6
: 1999 : 3 15 18 6 6 5 7 9 10 9 6 6
ME : :
: 1997 : 1 6 7 8 8 10 9 15 17 10 9
: 1998 : 1 7 9 9 9 10 11 14 12 9 9
: 1999 : 3 6 7 7 9 10 10 12 16 11 9
MI : :
: 1997 : 3 9 10 8 11 11 11 12 11 8 6
: 1998 : 3 8 9 9 9 12 14 9 12 10 5
: 1999 : 3 7 8 9 15 12 9 9 9 11 6 2
MN : :
: 1997 : 5 22 25 11 7 5 6 7 7 5
: 1998 : 11 16 14 10 5 7 6 8 9 6 8
: 1999 : 8 12 13 11 8 8 7 9 8 6 5 5
NY : :
: 1997 : 8 15 15 16 15 13 9 5 3 1
: 1998 : 7 16 16 16 15 11 8 6 4 1
: 1999 : 4 21 18 11 9 10 8 9 10
ND : :
: 1997 : 1 12 16 13 8 12 9 9 8 6 5 1
: 1998 : 3 13 14 10 10 8 7 7 9 10 6 3
: 1999 : 2 13 20 7 10 12 7 7 8 7 6 1
OR : :
: 1997 : 1 9 14 30 8 6 5 6 6 5 6 3 1
: 1998 : 2 12 15 27 8 5 4 5 6 6 4 4 2
: 1999 : 2 13 10 21 7 6 7 8 7 7 7 3 2
PA : :
: 1997 : 1 13 13 12 12 12 10 8 7 8 3 1
: 1998 : 14 12 11 12 15 11 9 7 6 2 1
: 1999 : 14 13 12 12 13 11 9 7 6 2 1
WA : :
: 1997 : 12 14 31 7 4 4 4 6 6 6 5 1
: 1998 : 16 13 25 7 3 5 6 7 5 6 6 1
: 1999 : 17 14 24 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 1
WI : :
: 1997 : 1 7 17 14 10 9 8 11 10 7 4 2
: 1998 : 1 6 18 13 10 10 10 9 9 8 4 2
: 1999 : 2 7 16 12 11 9 8 10 9 9 5 2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Potato Stocks Record High, Up 20 Percent
April 1, 2001 potato stocks totaled a record high 154 million cwt, up
20 percent from last year and 17 percent above two years ago. Potatoes
in storage accounted for 33 percent of the fall storage States'
production, up 2 percentage points from a year ago. This year's record
high stocks exceeded the previous record set April 1, 1997 by 4 percent.
Disappearance from the start of harvest to April 1 was a record high
308 million cwt. This disappearance was up 5 percent from the last two
years and 4 percent above the previous record set during the 1996 season.
The disappearance during March was 44.3 million cwt, up 7 percent from
last year. Shrink and loss, to this point in the season, was
35.4 million cwt, up 31 percent from last year and 32 percent above two
years ago. This disappearance and loss total includes potatoes diverted
and destroyed by growers under a cooperative program to reduce surpluses.
Processing of 2000 crop potatoes totaled 151 million cwt to April 1, up
1 percent from last year in comparable States. In March, processors used
19.9 million cwt of potatoes, down 5 percent from last year in comparable
States.
Eastern States stored 7.20 million cwt of potatoes on April 1, 2001, down
14 percent from a year ago but 6 percent above two years ago. Maine's
holdings were down 8 percent and New York's stocks were off 57 percent
from last year. Pennsylvania's storage was down 40 percent from last
year.
Central States accounted for 27.3 million cwt of potato stocks this April
1, 17 percent above April 2000 but 3 percent below 1999. Minnesota's
stocks were up 72 percent and the Nebraska-Ohio combination was up
42 percent. Stocks in North Dakota were up 32 percent from last year.
Wisconsin's stocks were down 13 percent and Michigan's potato stocks were
44 percent below a year ago.
Western States held 120 million cwt of potatoes in storage on
April 1, 2001, up 24 percent from the last two years. Washington's
potato stocks were up 61 percent from a year ago, while Idaho's stocks
increased 19 percent, and Oregon's were up 5 percent. Colorado's stocks
increased 2 percent from last year and Montana's were up 27 percent.
California's potato stocks were down 29 percent from a year ago.
Reliability of April 1 Stocks Estimates
The "Root Mean Square Error" for the April 1 stocks estimate is
4.9 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current
estimate of 154 million cwt will not be above or below the final estimate
by more than 4.9 percent or approximately 7.5 million cwt. Chances are
9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not
exceed 8.5 percent or approximately 13.1 million cwt.
The 10-year (1991-2000) record of differences between the April 1 stocks
estimates and the final estimates averaged 4.9 million cwt, ranging from
0.74 million cwt above the final to 12.8 million cwt below the final.
During the 10-year period, the April 1 estimate has been below the final
estimate 9 years and above 1 year.
Fall Potato Stocks: Preliminary and Final April 1 Stocks,
United States, 1990-2000
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Crop : Preliminary : % of : Final
Year : Stocks : Final : Stocks
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt Percent 1,000 Cwt
:
1990 : 91,910 90.9 101,150
1991 : 109,600 100.7 108,865
1992 : 103,010 89.0 115,785
1993 : 108,455 94.2 115,170
1994 : 123,285 95.0 129,825
1995 : 112,925 97.5 115,855
1996 : 143,235 97.1 147,585
1997 : 129,340 96.4 134,190
1998 : 130,890 99.7 131,220
1999 : 127,570 99.3 128,410
2000 : 154,030
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: Stocks are defined as the quantity (whether sold or not) remaining
in storage for all purposes and uses, including seed potatoes not yet
moved, and shrinkage, waste, and other losses that occur after the date
of each report. Sales of fall potatoes for all purposes for the past
5 years averaged 90.9 percent of the total fall production. Shrinkage
and loss and home use accounted for the remaining 9.1 percent. Most seed
for use the following crop year is on hand and remains part of stocks
until moved or planted.
Potatoes: Production, Sold, Not Sold, and Kept for Seed,
United States, 1995-2000
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Fall Potatoes : Amount Used
:-------------------------------------------------------: for Seed
Crop : : : Sold : : Not Sold : All Seasons
Year : Production : Sold : as % of :Not Sold : as % of : Following
: : : Prod : : Prod : year
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ---- 1,000 Cwt ---- Percent 1,000 Cwt Percent 1,000 Cwt
:
1995 : 404,852 370,679 91.6 34,173 8.4 30,561
1996 : 454,388 408,247 89.8 46,141 10.2 29,138
1997 : 423,190 387,089 91.5 36,101 8.5 29,975
1998 : 432,737 392,922 90.8 39,815 9.2 29,217
1999 : 429,847 390,210 90.8 39,637 9.2 29,726
2000 : 470,504
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The next "Potato Stocks" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on May 14, 2001.
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