Potato Stocks ISSN: 1949-1565 Released June 16, 2017, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Potato Stocks Up 8 Percent From June 2016 The 13 major potato States held 55.5 million cwt of potatoes in storage June 1, 2017, up 8 percent from June 1, 2016. Potatoes in storage accounted for 14 percent of the fall storage States' 2016 production, 1 percent more than last year. Potato disappearance, at 350 million cwt, was up 1 percent from June 1, 2016. Season-to-date shrink and loss, at 25.4 million cwt, was 9 percent higher than the same time last year. Processors in the 8 major States used 183 million cwt of potatoes for the season, up 2 percent from June 2016. Fall Potato Production and Stocks - 13 Major States: June 1, 2016-2017 [Stocks include processor holdings and most of the seed to plant following year's crop. Seed usage for all seasons in 2016 totaled 29.4 million cwt] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop of 2015 : Crop of 2016 :---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : Stocks : June stocks : : Stocks : Stocks : June stocks : Production : June 1, : as a percent : Production : April 1, : June 1, : as a percent : : 2016 : of : : 2017 : 2017 : of : : : production : : : : production ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 cwt ------ percent --------------- 1,000 cwt --------------- percent : California ......: 3,528 290 8 3,516 (D) (D) (D) Colorado ........: 22,575 3,600 16 22,198 8,100 3,400 15 Idaho ...........: 130,400 21,500 16 139,320 52,000 21,000 15 Maine ...........: 16,160 2,300 14 14,880 4,900 1,900 13 Michigan ........: 17,550 (D) (D) 17,020 2,500 (D) (D) Minnesota .......: 16,200 1,400 9 16,770 6,600 3,200 19 Montana .........: 3,543 (D) (D) 3,808 2,800 (D) (D) Nebraska ........: 6,885 (D) (D) 7,380 1,400 (D) (D) New York ........: 4,144 (D) (D) 3,626 (D) (D) (D) North Dakota ....: 27,600 3,600 13 20,800 7,200 2,600 13 : Oregon ..........: 21,784 3,000 14 22,951 7,500 3,700 16 Washington ......: 100,300 11,500 11 105,625 29,000 13,000 12 Wisconsin .......: 27,813 2,500 9 28,058 10,000 5,400 19 : Other States ....: (NA) 1,590 (NA) (NA) 1,420 1,290 (NA) : Total ...........: 398,482 51,280 13 405,952 133,420 55,490 14 : Klamath Basin 1/ : (NA) (D) (NA) (NA) 1,320 (D) (NA) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (NA) Not available. 1/ Includes potato stocks in California and Klamath County, Oregon. Already included in the 13 States total. Fall Potato Production and Stocks - 13 Major States: 2007-2016 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop : Stocks :--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- year :Production:December 1:January 1 :February 1: March 1 : April 1 : May 1 : June 1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : 2007 ....: 397,753 265,500 232,300 199,300 163,400 125,500 83,960 50,420 2008 ....: 369,866 243,700 213,200 183,900 152,700 115,800 78,100 45,300 2009 ....: 383,962 265,800 234,300 203,500 169,700 128,700 89,610 55,120 2010 ....: 357,467 240,200 209,400 180,300 148,500 111,000 72,000 41,320 2011 ....: 382,318 253,000 (NA) 187,500 (NA) 115,650 (NA) 43,340 2012 ....: 410,367 271,500 (NA) 204,600 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 2013 ....: 386,824 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 119,050 (NA) 46,885 2014 ....: 396,798 265,700 (NA) 200,800 (NA) 128,700 (NA) 56,335 2015 ....: 398,482 262,700 (NA) 198,100 (NA) 125,700 (NA) 51,280 2016 ....: 405,952 273,700 (NA) 204,700 (NA) 133,420 (NA) 55,490 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. Quantity of Potatoes Used for Processing - 8 States: 2015-2017 [Total quantity received and used for processing regardless of the State in which the potatoes were produced. Blank cells indicate estimation period had not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Current : Following year State : year : : : : : : : :------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, :January 1, :February 1,: March 1, : April 1, : May 1, : June 1, : Season : 2015 : 2016 : 2016 : 2016 : 2016 : 2016 : 2016 : ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Idaho and Malheur County, Oregon .....: 26,850 33,115 39,655 46,455 53,710 61,050 68,435 86,250 Maine ................................: 1,170 1,590 2,050 2,490 2,980 3,495 4,065 5,724 Washington and Oregon ................: 33,955 39,970 46,320 54,455 60,985 67,560 74,285 91,720 : Other States 1/ ......................: 8,995 12,515 16,380 20,720 24,550 28,665 33,020 38,742 : United States ........................: 70,970 87,190 104,405 124,120 142,225 160,770 179,805 222,436 : Dehydrated 2/ ........................: 12,155 15,885 19,620 23,560 27,605 31,585 35,645 45,735 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Current : Following year State : year : : : : : : : :------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, :January 1, :February 1,: March 1, : April 1, : May 1, : June 1, : Season : 2016 : 2017 : 2017 : 2017 : 2017 : 2017 : 2017 : ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Idaho and Malheur County, Oregon .....: 25,720 32,650 39,475 46,885 54,640 62,000 69,965 Maine ................................: 1,340 1,770 2,310 2,820 3,270 3,780 4,240 Washington and Oregon ................: 36,700 42,175 47,835 55,365 62,125 68,730 76,655 : Other States 1/ ......................: 10,035 13,570 17,140 21,000 25,085 28,505 32,385 : United States ........................: 73,795 90,165 106,760 126,070 145,120 163,015 183,245 : Dehydrated 2/ ........................: 11,560 15,305 19,085 22,675 26,580 30,620 34,760 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Colorado, Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin. 2/ Dehydrated products except starch and flour. Includes Colorado, Idaho, Minnesota, Oregon, and Washington. Accumulated Potato Shrinkage and Loss - 13 Fall Storage States: 2015-2017 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Current : : : : : : Crop : year : Following year year :------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : December 1, 2015 : January 1, 2016 : February 1, 2016 :March 1, 2016:April 1, 2016: May 1, 2016 :June 1, 2016 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : million cwt : 2015 ...: 12.4 14.5 16.3 17.9 19.7 21.5 23.4 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Current : : : : : : Crop : year : Following year year :------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : December 1, 2016 : January 1, 2017 : February 1, 2017 :March 1, 2017:April 1, 2017: May 1, 2017 :June 1, 2017 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : million cwt : 2016 ...: 12.0 14.3 16.2 18.8 20.9 23.1 25.4 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: The potato stock estimates in this report are based on a survey conducted in the first week of June in the 13 major fall potato producing States, which account for 92 percent of all potato production. The potato stocks survey includes a sample of approximately 975 growers, processors, and storage facilities that are contacted to obtain the quantity of potatoes stored as of the first of the month, as well as shrinkage and loss information. Monthly processing data is collected from all known potato processing facilities in eight States (Colorado, Idaho, Maine, Minnesota, North Dakota, Oregon, Washington, and Wisconsin). An effort is made to obtain a report from all facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to make the survey complete. Estimating Procedures: Information obtained from the potato stocks survey, processing survey, and federal administrative data, is used to establish estimates of stocks, shrinkage and loss, and processing usage. These estimates are reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Revision Policy: Stocks, shrink and loss, and processing estimates for the previous estimating period are subject to revision based on late and/or updated information. At the end of the marketing season, all information available, including disposition data, are thoroughly reviewed and any necessary revisions for the entire crop year are published in the Potatoes Annual Summary. Reliability: Reliability of the stocks and processing data must be treated separately because the survey designs for the two surveys are very different. The stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding stocks are not included in the sample. This variability, as measured by the relative standard error at the United States level, is approximately 8.0 percent. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of 100 that survey estimates for stocks will be within plus or minus 13.9 percent of the value that could be developed by averaging the estimates produced from all possible samples selected from the same population and surveyed using the same procedures. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Processing, as well as stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch..................................................... (202) 720-2127 Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section.............. (202) 720-2127 Vincent Davis - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries, Sugarbeets, Sugarcane, Cherries...................................................... (202) 720-2157 Fleming Gibson - Citrus, Coffee, Tropical Fruits................................ (202) 720-5412 Greg Lemmons - Berries, Cranberries, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes .................. (202) 720-4285 Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas, Dry Beans .................. (202) 720-3250 Daphne Schauber - Floriculture, Grapes, Hops, Maple Syrup, Nursery, Tree Nuts .. (202) 720-4215 Chris Singh - Apples, Apricots, Plums, Prunes, Tobacco ......................... 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