Potato Stocks ISSN: 1949-1565 Released June 14, 2018, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Potato Stocks Up 9 Percent From June 2017 The 13 major potato States held 59.0 million cwt of potatoes in storage June 1, 2018, up 9 percent from June 1, 2017. Potatoes in storage accounted for 15 percent of the fall storage States' 2017 production, 2 percentage points more than last year. Potato disappearance, at 341 million cwt, was down 3 percent from June 1, 2017. Season-to-date shrink and loss, at 23.4 million cwt, was 8 percent lower than the same time last year. Processors in the 8 major States used 185 million cwt of potatoes for the season, up 1 percent from June 2017. Fall Potato Production and Stocks - 13 Major States: June 1, 2017-2018 [Stocks include processor holdings and most of the seed to plant following year's crop. Seed usage for all seasons in 2017 totaled 29.9 million cwt] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop of 2016 : Crop of 2017 :---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : Stocks : June stocks : : Stocks : Stocks : June stocks : Production : June 1, : as a percent : Production : April 1, : June 1, : as a percent : : 2017 : of : : 2018 : 2018 : of : : : production : : : : production ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 cwt ------ percent --------------- 1,000 cwt --------------- percent : California ......: 3,516 (D) (D) 3,690 1,400 (D) (D) Colorado ........: 22,236 3,200 14 21,527 7,300 3,000 14 Idaho ...........: 139,320 21,000 15 131,325 49,000 23,000 18 Maine ...........: 15,113 1,900 13 15,035 5,300 2,800 19 Michigan ........: 17,020 (D) (D) 18,000 3,800 (D) (D) Minnesota .......: 16,800 3,200 19 18,428 5,200 2,800 15 Montana .........: 3,685 (D) (D) 3,740 2,650 90 2 Nebraska ........: 7,380 (D) (D) 9,072 1,700 (D) (D) New York ........: 3,552 (D) (D) 4,321 800 400 9 North Dakota ....: 21,600 2,700 13 25,160 8,900 4,000 16 : Oregon ..........: 22,951 3,700 16 21,395 7,000 3,000 14 Washington ......: 105,625 13,000 12 99,000 29,000 13,000 13 Wisconsin .......: 27,840 3,900 14 29,145 9,900 5,300 18 : Other States ....: (NA) 1,470 (NA) (NA) (NA) 1,560 (NA) : Total ...........: 406,638 54,070 13 399,838 131,950 58,950 15 : Klamath Basin 1/ : (NA) (D) (NA) (NA) 2,000 (D) (NA) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (NA) Not available. 1/ Includes potato stocks in California and Klamath County, Oregon. Already included in the 13 States total. Fall Potato Production and Stocks - 13 Major States: 2008-2017 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop : Stocks :--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- year :Production:December 1:January 1 :February 1: March 1 : April 1 : May 1 : June 1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : 2008 ....: 369,866 243,700 213,200 183,900 152,700 115,800 78,100 45,300 2009 ....: 383,962 265,800 234,300 203,500 169,700 128,700 89,610 55,120 2010 ....: 357,467 240,200 209,400 180,300 148,500 111,000 72,000 41,320 2011 ....: 382,318 253,000 (NA) 187,500 (NA) 115,650 (NA) 43,340 2012 ....: 410,367 271,500 (NA) 204,600 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 2013 ....: 386,824 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 119,050 (NA) 46,885 2014 ....: 396,798 265,700 (NA) 200,800 (NA) 128,700 (NA) 56,335 2015 ....: 398,482 262,700 (NA) 198,100 (NA) 125,700 (NA) 51,280 2016 ....: 406,638 272,900 (NA) 203,100 (NA) 131,400 (NA) 54,070 2017 ....: 399,838 266,750 (NA) 202,750 (NA) 131,950 (NA) 58,950 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. Quantity of Potatoes Used for Processing - 8 States: 2016-2018 [Total quantity received and used for processing regardless of the State in which the potatoes were produced. Blank cells indicate estimation period had not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Current : Following year State : year : : : : : : : :------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, :January 1, :February 1,: March 1, : April 1, : May 1, : June 1, : Season : 2016 : 2017 : 2017 : 2017 : 2017 : 2017 : 2017 : ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Idaho and Malheur County, Oregon .....: 25,720 32,650 39,475 46,880 54,625 61,950 70,110 92,760 Maine ................................: 1,260 1,665 2,175 2,660 3,080 3,470 3,825 5,059 Washington and Oregon ................: 36,700 42,180 47,835 55,365 62,125 68,705 76,635 90,785 : Other States 1/ ......................: 10,035 13,570 17,140 21,005 25,085 28,505 32,385 38,631 : United States ........................: 73,715 90,065 106,625 125,910 144,915 162,630 182,955 227,235 : Dehydrated 2/ ........................: 11,560 15,305 19,085 22,675 26,565 30,545 34,890 46,317 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Current : Following year State : year : : : : : : : :------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, :January 1, :February 1,: March 1, : April 1, : May 1, : June 1, : Season : 2017 : 2018 : 2018 : 2018 : 2018 : 2018 : 2018 : ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Idaho and Malheur County, Oregon .....: 24,840 31,915 38,950 46,615 54,075 61,335 69,690 Maine ................................: 1,510 1,880 2,370 2,880 3,460 4,010 4,560 Washington and Oregon ................: 32,885 39,925 46,515 54,355 61,780 68,420 76,360 : Other States 1/ ......................: 9,995 14,146 18,040 22,710 26,505 30,395 34,710 : United States ........................: 69,230 87,866 105,875 126,560 145,820 164,160 185,320 : Dehydrated 2/ ........................: 10,595 14,304 18,085 21,685 25,790 29,890 34,325 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Colorado, Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin. 2/ Dehydrated products except starch and flour. Includes Colorado, Idaho, Minnesota, Oregon, and Washington. Accumulated Potato Shrinkage and Loss - 13 Fall Storage States: 2016-2018 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Current : : : : : : Crop : year : Following year year :------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : December 1, 2016 : January 1, 2017 : February 1, 2017 :March 1, 2017:April 1, 2017: May 1, 2017 :June 1, 2017 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : million cwt : 2016 ...: 12.0 14.3 16.2 18.8 20.9 23.1 25.4 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Current : : : : : : Crop : year : Following year year :------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : December 1, 2017 : January 1, 2018 : February 1, 2018 :March 1, 2018:April 1, 2018: May 1, 2018 :June 1, 2018 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : million cwt : 2017 ...: 12.2 13.8 15.6 17.5 19.3 21.4 23.4 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: The potato stock estimates in this report are based primarily on a survey conducted in the first week of June in the thirteen major fall potato producing States, which account for 91 percent of all potato production last year. The potato stocks survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of approximately 975 growers, processors, and storage facilities that are contacted to obtain the quantity of potatoes stored as of the first of the month, as well as monthly shrinkage and loss information. Monthly processing data is collected from a census of all known potato processing facilities in eight States (Colorado, Idaho, Maine, Minnesota, North Dakota, Oregon, Washington, and Wisconsin). An effort is made to obtain a report from all facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to make the survey complete. Data was collected by mail, internet, telephone, or personal interview to obtain information on potato stocks, monthly potato processing, and monthly shrink and loss. Estimating Procedures: Information obtained from the potato stocks survey, processing survey, and federal administrative data, is used to establish estimates of stocks, shrinkage and loss, and processing usage. These estimates are reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Revision Policy: Stocks, shrink and loss, and processing estimates for the previous estimating period are subject to revision based on late and/or updated information. At the end of the marketing season, all information available, including disposition data, are thoroughly reviewed and any necessary revisions for the entire crop year are published in the Potatoes Annual Summary. Reliability: Reliability of the stocks and processing data must be treated separately because the survey designs for the two surveys are very different. The stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding stocks are not included in the sample. This variability, as measured by the relative standard error at the United States level, is approximately 3.3 percent which means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current potato stock estimate will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 7.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 13.5 percent. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Processing, as well as stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch.................................................... (202) 720-2127 Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section............. (202) 720-2127 Vincent Davis - Apricots, Bananas, Cherries, Garlic, Lettuce, Mint, Papaya, Pears, Strawberries, Tomatoes....................................................... (202) 720-2157 Fleming Gibson - Avocados, Cauliflower, Celery, Citrus, Coffee, Dates, Figs, Kiwifruit, Nectarines, Olives, Green Peas, Taro, Watermelons.................. (202) 720-5412 Greg Lemmons - Blackberries, Blueberries, Boysenberries, Cranberries, Cucumbers, Potatoes, Pumpkins, Raspberries, Squash, Sugarbeets, Sugarcane, Sweet Potatoes........................................................... (202) 720-4285 Dan Norris - Artichokes, Austrian Winter Peas, Cantaloupes, Dry Beans, Dry Edible Peas, Honeydews, Lentils, Mushrooms, Peaches, Snap Beans ...... (202) 720-3250 Daphne Schauber - Bell Peppers, Broccoli, Cabbage, Chile Peppers, Floriculture, Grapes, Hops, Maple Syrup, Tree Nuts, Spinach......................... (202) 720-4215 Chris Singh - Apples, Asparagus, Carrots, Lima Beans, Onions, Plums, Prunes, Sweet Corn, Tobacco.................................................. (202) 720-4288 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on "National" or "State" in upper right corner above "search" box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. 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