HDR1012000110080113951500POTATO STOCKS
HDR2012000110080113951500PSTKS HIGHLIGHTS
Released January 13, 1995, by the Agricultural Statistics Board.
Potato Stocks Up 5 Percent
January 1, 1995, potato stocks totalled 229 million cwt in the 15 storage
States, up 5 percent from a year earlier and 6 percent above two years ago.
Disappearance so far this season was up 9 percent, helped by a 9 percent gain in
processing. Shrink and loss of 21.4 million cwt was 6 percent above last year
and 5 percent above two years ago.
For information call Arvin Budge at (202) 720-4285. Office hours are 8:00 a.m.
to 4:30 p.m. ET.
Pot 1-2 (1-95)
HDR2012000110080113951500FALL POTATOES: PROD&STKS, 15 MAJ STS '85-94
Fall Potatoes: Production and Stocks, 15 Major States, 1985-94
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Crop : : : : : : :
Year :Production: Dec 1 : Jan 1 : Feb 1 : Mar 1 : Apr 1 : May 1
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: 1,000 Cwt
:
1985 : 343,984 235,475 202,800 171,510 138,720 104,540 65,380
1986 : 307,928 209,435 180,915 154,545 128,720 95,090 59,790
1987 : 335,607 225,890 196,760 167,325 138,800 105,905 70,030
1988 : 305,623 206,420 177,750 151,050 124,485 92,585 59,355
1989 : 316,097 202,050 173,550 144,290 116,600 84,320 50,675
1990 : 344,200 225,500 194,460 162,850 134,470 101,150 63,040
1991 : 363,541 242,070 211,005 178,515 145,820 108,865 69,110
1992 : 368,516 246,820 215,990 184,560 152,795 115,785 75,040
1993 : 375,004 249,710 217,800 186,090 154,135 115,970 73,860
1994 : 400,385 263,630 229,350
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HDR2012000110080113951500POTATOES: QUANTITY USED PRCSNG, 8 STS '92-94
Potatoes: Quantity Used for Processing, Eight States, 1992-94 1/
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State and : : : : : : :
Crop Year : Dec 1 : Jan 1 : Feb 1 : Mar 1 : Apr 1 : May 1 : Season
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: 1,000 Cwt
ID & OR-Malheur Co:
1992 : 22,180 29,080 35,710 42,800 50,090 57,090 80,570
1993 : 24,090 30,540 37,150 44,720 53,070 61,440 85,780
1994 : 26,620 34,230
:
ME 2/ :
1992 : 1,195 1,630 2,205 2,720 3,390 4,020 5,055
1993 : 1,350 1,720 2,210 2,505 2,890 3,275 4,555
1994 : 1,510 1,840
:
WA & OR-Other :
1992 : 26,840 31,550 35,950 41,670 46,530 51,630 63,510
1993 : 28,260 33,350 39,010 45,020 51,290 57,180 70,690
1994 : 28,690 33,500
:
Oth Sts 3/ :
1992 : 7,140 9,220 11,265 13,305 15,550 17,555 25,070
1993 : 7,605 9,515 11,605 13,720 16,080 18,705 25,690
1994 : 8,790 12,045
:
Total :
1992 : 57,355 71,480 85,130 100,495 115,560 130,295 174,205
1993 : 61,305 75,125 89,975 105,965 123,330 140,600 186,715
1994 : 65,610 81,615
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1/ Total quantity received and used for processing regardless of the state in
which the potatoes were produced. Amount excludes quantities used for
potato chips in ME, MI, MN, ND, and WI.
2/ Includes Maine grown potatoes only.
3/ MI, MN, ND, and WI.
HDR2012000110080113951500FALL POTATOES: PROD&STKS ON JAN 1,'94-95
Fall Potatoes: Production and Stocks on January 1, 1994-95
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: Crop of 1993 : Crop of 1994
:---------------------------------------------------------------
State : : Stocks : % : : Stocks : Stocks : Jan %
: : Jan 1, : of : : Dec 1, : Jan 1, : of
: Prod : 1994 : Prod : Prod : 1994 1/: 1995 : Prod
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: -- 1,000 Cwt -- Percent ----- 1,000 Cwt ----- Percent
:
CA : 4,800 3,200 67 4,400 3,300 3,000 68
CO : 25,270 15,800 63 25,795 18,900 16,300 63
ID : 126,192 85,000 67 134,340 95,500 84,500 63
ME : 19,890 12,700 64 17,250 13,400 11,400 66
MI : 11,780 5,800 49 12,180 7,600 6,100 50
MN : 12,650 7,300 58 17,755 12,500 11,100 63
MT : 2,700 2,500 93 3,200 3,040 3,000 94
NE : 3,008 1,650 55 3,888 1,990 1,860 48
NY :
Long Island : 1,643 400 24 1,617 700 500 31
Upstate : 6,050 1,600 26 6,188 3,500 2,800 45
ND : 21,090 12,600 60 28,200 18,500 15,500 55
OH : 1,140 150 13 1,348 300 190 14
OR : 23,103 16,800 73 25,784 20,200 17,500 68
PA : 4,600 1,800 39 3,780 2,200 1,600 42
WA : 88,500 38,000 43 88,920 47,500 42,000 47
WI : 22,588 12,500 55 25,740 14,500 12,000 47
:
Total 15 States: 375,004 217,800 58 400,385 263,630 229,350 57
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1/ Revised.
HDR2012000110080113951500FALL POTS: STKS TYP AS PCT OF TL STKS,'94-95
Fall Potatoes: Stocks by Type as Percent of Total Stocks,
11 Major States, January 1, 1994-95
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: Potato Types
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Reds : Whites : Russets
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Jan : Dec : Jan : Jan : Dec : Jan : Jan : Dec : Jan
: 1994 : 1994 1/: 1995 : 1994 : 1994 1/: 1995 : 1994 : 1994 1/: 1995
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: Percent
:
CO : 7 4 4 93 96 96
ID : 7 5 5 93 95 95
ME : 1 1 78 78 82 22 21 17
MI : 75 70 75 25 30 25
MN : 10 16 14 25 16 17 65 68 69
NY : 7 5 5 91 93 93 2 2 2
ND : 18 12 13 51 45 43 31 43 44
OR : 2 1 1 98 99 99
PA : 3 3 3 97 97 97
WA : 2 1 1 5 3 99 93 96
WI : 5 2 3 15 20 20 80 78 77
:
11 St Avg.: 2 3 2 17 17 16 81 80 82
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1/ Revised.
HDR2012000110080113951500POTATO STOCKS NARRATIVES
Potato Stocks Up 5 Percent
The 15 major potato States held 229 million cwt of potatoes on January 1, 1995,
up 5 percent from a year earlier and 6 percent above 1993. Storage accounted
for 57 percent of 1994 fall production, down 1 point from last year. Stocks by
type were 2 percent red, 16 percent white, and 82 percent russet. December 1
stocks were revised down slightly with Washington coming off down 500,000 cwt.
Disappearance from the start of harvest to January 1, was a record high
171 million cwt of potatoes, up 9 percent from the same period in 1993.
Disappearance in December 1994 was 34.3 million cwt, up 7 percent from last year
and 11 percent above two years ago. Shrink and loss to date was estimated at
21.4 million cwt, up 6 percent from last year.
Processors continue to buy larger amounts of potatoes, using 81.6 million cwt so
far this season, a gain of 9 percent from a year ago and 14 percent above two
years ago. During December, processing claimed 16.0 cwt of potatoes, up 16
percent from a year ago.
Eastern States stored 16.3 million cwt of potatoes on January 1, 1995, down 1
percent from a year ago and 22 percent below 1993. Pennsylvania's stocks were
down 11 percent, Maine's holdings were off 10 percent but New York was up
sharply.
Central States accounted for 46.8 million cwt of potato stocks this January, a
gain of 17 percent from 1994, but 1 percent below two years ago. Minnesota's
stocks jumped 52 percent from a poor crop a year earlier and North Dakota was
up 23 percent. Ohio gained 27 percent and Nebraska stored 13 percent more
potatoes on January 1 than a year ago. Michigan's stocks were up 5 percent but
Wisconsin's stocks were down 4 percent.
Western States held 166 million cwt of potatoes in storage on January 1, 1995, a
gain of 3 percent from 1994 and 12 percent more than two years ago. Most of the
Western stocks are held in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington. Idaho cellars held 1
percent fewer potatoes this year than last, with very heavy movement.
Washington's stocks were up 11 percent and Oregon gained 4 percent. Colorado's
stocks were 3 percent above a year ago and Montana was up 20 percent.
California stored 6 percent fewer potatoes than a year earlier.
HDR2012000110080113951500RELIABILITY OF JAN 1 STKS ESTIMATES
Reliability of January 1 Stocks Estimates
The "Root Mean Square Error" for the January 1 stocks estimate is 2.7 percent.
This means that the chances are 2 out of 3 that the current estimate of
230 million cwt will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.7
percent or approximately 6.2 million cwt. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent
confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 4.7 percent or
approximately 10.8 million cwt.
The 10-year (1985-94) record of the differences between the January 1 stocks
estimates and the final estimates averaged 4.5 million cwt, ranging from
0.1 million to 14.3 million cwt. During the 10-year period, the January 1
estimate has been below the final estimate each year.
HDR2012000110080113951500FALL POTATO STKS: PREL&FNL JAN STKS US '84-94
Fall Potato Stocks: Preliminary and Final January Stocks,
United States, 1984-94 Crop Year
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Crop : Preliminary : % of : Final
Year : Stocks : Final : Stocks 1/
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: 1,000 Cwt Percent 1,000 Cwt
:
1984 : 172,860 99.7 173,380
1985 : 201,300 99.3 202,800
1986 : 176,600 97.6 180,915
1987 : 195,880 99.6 196,760
1988 : 171,560 96.5 177,750
1989 : 173,400 99.9 173,550
1990 : 186,160 95.7 194,460
1991 : 210,935 100.0 211,005
1992 : 201,690 93.4 215,990
1993 : 209,270 96.1 217,800
1994 : 229,350
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1/ As reported in the September "Potatoes" Annual report.
Note: Stocks are defined as the quantity (whether sold or not) remaining
in storage for all purposes and uses, including seed potatoes not yet
moved and shrinkage, waste, and other losses that occur after the
date of each report. Sales of fall potatoes for all purposes for
the past 5 years averaged 90.6 percent of the total fall production.
Shrinkage, loss and home use account for the remaininq 9.4 percent.
Most seed for use the following year is on hand, but remains as
part of stocks until planted.
HDR2012000110080113951500NXT RLSE DATE & EEO STATEMENT
The next "Potato Stocks" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on
February 14, 1995.
***********************
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in
its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age,
disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. Persons with
disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program
information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the
USDA Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TDD).
To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C.,
20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD). USDA is an equal
employment opportunity employer.