Potato Stocks

ISSN: 1949-1565

Released February 15, 2018, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service 
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of 
Agriculture (USDA).

Potato Stocks Down Slightly From February 2017

The 13 major potato States held 203 million cwt of potatoes in storage 
February 1, 2018, down slightly from February 1, 2017. Potatoes in storage 
accounted for 51 percent of the fall storage States' 2017 production, 
1 percentage point more than last year. Potato disappearance, at 197 million 
cwt, was down 3 percent from February 1, 2017. Season-to-date shrink and 
loss, at 15.4 million cwt, was 5 percent lower than the same time last year. 
Processors in the 8 major States used 106 million cwt of potatoes for the 
season, down 1 percent from February 2017.

Fall Potato Production and Stocks - 13 Major States: February 1, 2017-2018
[Stocks include processor holdings and most of the seed to plant following year's crop. Seed usage for all seasons in 2017 totaled 29.9
million cwt]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                   Crop of 2016                   :                           Crop of 2017                            
                 :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :                :     Stocks     :February stocks :                :     Stocks     :     Stocks     :February stocks 
                 :   Production   :  February 1,   :  as a percent  :   Production   :  December 1,   :  February 1,   :  as a percent  
                 :                :      2017      :       of       :                :      2017      :      2018      :       of       
                 :                :                :   production   :                :                :                :   production   
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :    ------- 1,000 cwt ------          percent          --------------- 1,000 cwt ---------------          percent     
                 :                                                                                                                      
California ......:      3,516            1,900              54             3,690            2,700            2,100              57      
Colorado ........:     22,236           11,900              54            21,527           15,400           11,800              55      
Idaho ...........:    139,320           76,000              55           131,325           94,000           73,000              56      
Maine ...........:     15,113            8,000              53            15,035           10,900            8,100              54      
Michigan ........:     17,020            6,000              35            18,000           11,000            6,300              35      
Minnesota .......:     16,800            7,800              46            18,428           10,900            8,200              44      
Montana .........:      3,685            3,400              92             3,740            3,550            3,450              92      
Nebraska ........:      7,380            3,300              45             9,072            5,000            3,800              42      
New York ........:      3,552            1,200              34             4,321            2,000            1,300              30      
North Dakota ....:     21,600           11,800              55            25,160           18,200           13,400              53      
                 :                                                                                                                      
Oregon ..........:     22,951           12,600              55            21,395           16,800           11,300              53      
Washington ......:    105,625           45,000              43            99,000           57,000           45,000              45      
Wisconsin .......:     27,840           14,200              51            29,145           19,300           14,800              51      
                 :                                                                                                                      
Total ...........:    406,638          203,100              50           399,838          266,750          202,550              51      
                 :                                                                                                                      
Klamath Basin 1/ :       (NA)            3,100            (NA)              (NA)            4,700            3,400            (NA)      
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(NA) Not available.                                                                                                                     
1/   Includes potato stocks in California and Klamath County, Oregon. Already included in the 13 States total.                          

Fall Potato Production and Stocks - 13 Major States: 2008-2017
[Blank cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun.]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   Crop  :             :             :             :             :             :             :             :             
   year  : Production  : December 1  :  January 1  : February 1  :   March 1   :   April 1   :    May 1    :   June 1    
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         :                                                   1,000 cwt                                                   
         :                                                                                                               
2008 ....:   369,866       243,700       213,200       183,900       152,700       115,800       78,100        45,300    
2009 ....:   383,962       265,800       234,300       203,500       169,700       128,700       89,610        55,120    
2010 ....:   357,467       240,200       209,400       180,300       148,500       111,000       72,000        41,320    
2011 ....:   382,318       253,000          (NA)       187,500          (NA)       115,650         (NA)        43,340    
2012 ....:   410,367       271,500          (NA)       204,600          (NA)          (NA)         (NA)          (NA)    
2013 ....:   386,824          (NA)          (NA)          (NA)          (NA)       119,050         (NA)        46,885    
2014 ....:   396,798       265,700          (NA)       200,800          (NA)       128,700         (NA)        56,335    
2015 ....:   398,482       262,700          (NA)       198,100          (NA)       125,700         (NA)        51,280    
2016 ....:   406,638       272,900          (NA)       203,100          (NA)       131,400         (NA)        54,070    
2017 ....:   399,838       266,750          (NA)       202,550                                                           
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.                                                                                                      

Fall Potato Stocks by Type as Percent of Total Stocks - 13 Selected States:
February 1, 2017 and 2018
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :                               Potato Types                               
                    :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :     Reds     : Round whites : Long whites  :   Yellows    :   Russets    
        State       :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :Feb :Dec :Feb :Feb :Dec :Feb :Feb :Dec :Feb :Feb :Dec :Feb :Feb :Dec :Feb 
                    :2017:2017:2018:2017:2017:2018:2017:2017:2018:2017:2017:2018:2017:2017:2018
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :                                    %                                     
                    :                                                                          
California 1/ ......:  -    -    -   83   83   76   -    -    -    -    -    1    17   17   23 
Colorado ...........:  5    5    6   14   14    8   -    -    -    8    8    5    73   73   81 
Idaho ..............:  2    2    2    2    2    3   1    1    1    2    2    2    93   93   92 
Maine ..............:  4    4    4   35   35   37   1    1    1    2    2    4    58   58   54 
Michigan ...........:  -    -    -   85   85   81   -    -    -    2    2    1    13   13   18 
Minnesota ..........:  9    9    8    4    4    5   3    3    1    1    1    1    83   83   85 
Montana 1/ .........:  3    3    5    3    3    2   -    -    -    1    1    1    93   93   92 
Nebraska 1/ ........:  3    3    2   60   60   68   1    1    -    1    1    1    35   35   29 
New York ...........:  1    1    -   98   98   99   -    -    -    1    1    1     -    -    - 
North Dakota .......: 13   13   24   18   18   23   6    6    6    2    2    3    61   61   44 
                    :                                                                          
Oregon .............:  1    1    2    5    5    4   2    2    4    1    1    4    91   91   86 
Washington .........:  3    3    3    4    4    5   1    1    1    3    3    2    89   89   89 
Wisconsin ..........:  2    2    3   18   18   24   -    -    -    1    1    3    79   79   70 
                    :                                                                          
13 State average 2/ :  3    3    4   11   11   14   1    1    1    3    3    2    82   82   79 
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-  Represents zero.                                                                            
1/ Estimates began in 2016.                                                                    
2/ February 2016 represents 10 State Average.                                                  

Quantity of Potatoes Used for Processing - 8 States: 2016-2018
[Total quantity received and used for processing regardless of the State in which the potatoes were produced. Blank cells indicate
estimation period has not yet begun]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      :   Current   :                                  Following year                                   
                 State                :    year     :           :           :           :           :           :           :           
                                      :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      : December 1, :January 1, :February 1,: March 1,  : April 1,  :  May 1,   :  June 1,  :  Season   
                                      :    2016     :   2017    :   2017    :   2017    :   2017    :   2017    :   2017    :           
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      :                                            1,000 cwt                                            
                                      :                                                                                                 
Idaho and Malheur County, Oregon .....:   25,720       32,650       39,475      46,880      54,625      61,950      70,110      92,760  
Maine ................................:    1,260        1,665        2,175       2,660       3,080       3,470       3,825       5,059  
Washington and Oregon ................:   36,700       42,180       47,835      55,365      62,125      68,705      76,635      90,785  
                                      :                                                                                                 
Other States 1/ ......................:   10,035       13,570       17,140      21,005      25,085      28,505      32,385      38,631  
                                      :                                                                                                 
United States ........................:   73,715       90,065      106,625     125,910     144,915     162,630     182,955     227,235  
                                      :                                                                                                 
Dehydrated 2/ ........................:   11,560       15,305       19,085      22,675      26,565      30,545      34,890      46,317  

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      :   Current   :                                  Following year                                   
                 State                :    year     :           :           :           :           :           :           :           
                                      :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      : December 1, :January 1, :February 1,: March 1,  : April 1,  :  May 1,   :  June 1,  :  Season   
                                      :    2017     :   2018    :   2018    :   2018    :   2018    :   2018    :   2018    :           
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      :                                            1,000 cwt                                            
                                      :                                                                                                 
Idaho and Malheur County, Oregon .....:   24,840       31,915       38,945                                                              
Maine ................................:    1,510        1,880        2,370                                                              
Washington and Oregon ................:   32,885       39,925       46,515                                                              
                                      :                                                                                                 
Other States 1/ ......................:    9,995       14,146       17,965                                                              
                                      :                                                                                                 
United States ........................:   69,230       87,866      105,795                                                              
                                      :                                                                                                 
Dehydrated 2/ ........................:   10,595       14,304       18,085                                                              
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Colorado, Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin.                                                               
2/ Dehydrated products except starch and flour. Includes Colorado, Idaho, Minnesota, Oregon, and Washington.                            

Accumulated Potato Shrinkage and Loss - 13 Fall Storage States: 2016-2018
[Blank cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :     Current     :                 :                 :              :              :              :              
  Crop  :      year       :                                        Following year                                         
  year  :-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :December 1, 2016 : January 1, 2017 :February 1, 2017 :March 1, 2017 :April 1, 2017 : May 1, 2017  : June 1, 2017 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :                                                   million cwt                                                   
        :                                                                                                                 
2016 ...:      12.0              14.3              16.2             18.8           20.9           23.1           25.4     

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :     Current     :                 :                 :              :              :              :              
  Crop  :      year       :                                        Following year                                         
  year  :-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :December 1, 2017 : January 1, 2018 :February 1, 2018 :March 1, 2018 :April 1, 2018 : May 1, 2018  : June 1, 2018 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        :                                                   million cwt                                                   
        :                                                                                                                 
2017 ...:      12.2              13.8              15.4                                                                   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Statistical Methodology

Survey Procedures: The potato stock estimates in this report are based on a 
survey conducted in the first week of February in the 13 major fall potato 
producing States, which account for 91 percent of all potato production. The 
potato stocks survey includes a sample of approximately 975 growers, 
processors, and storage facilities that are contacted to obtain the quantity 
of potatoes stored as of the first of the month, as well as shrinkage and 
loss information. 

Monthly processing data is collected from all known potato processing 
facilities in eight States (Colorado, Idaho, Maine, Minnesota, North Dakota, 
Oregon, Washington, and Wisconsin).  An effort is made to obtain a report 
from all facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to make the 
survey complete.

Estimating Procedures: Information obtained from the potato stocks survey, 
processing survey, and federal administrative data, is used to establish 
estimates of stocks, shrinkage and loss, and processing usage. These 
estimates are reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with 
historical estimates.

Revision Policy: Stocks, shrink and loss, and processing estimates for the 
previous estimating period are subject to revision based on late and/or 
updated information. At the end of the marketing season, all information 
available, including disposition data, are thoroughly reviewed and any 
necessary revisions for the entire crop year are published in the Potatoes 
Annual Summary.

Reliability: Reliability of the stocks and processing data must be treated 
separately because the survey designs for the two surveys are very different. 
The stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all 
operations holding stocks are not included in the sample. This variability, 
as measured by the relative standard error at the United States level, is 
approximately 2.1 percent. This means that chances are approximately 95 out 
of 100 that survey estimates for stocks will be within plus or minus 3.7 
percent of the value that could be developed by averaging the estimates 
produced from all possible samples selected from the same population and 
surveyed using the same procedures.
 
Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, 
duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, 
recording, and processing the data. Processing, as well as stocks, are 
subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, 
but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection 
process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and 
reasonableness.

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural 
Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to 
nass@nass.usda.gov

Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch.................................................... (202) 720-2127

Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section............. (202) 720-2127
     Vincent Davis - Apricots, Bananas, Cherries, Garlic, Lettuce, Mint, Papaya, 
Pears, Strawberries, Tomatoes....................................................... (202) 720-2157
     Fleming Gibson - Avocados, Cauliflower, Celery, Citrus, Coffee, Dates,
Figs, Kiwifruit, Nectarines, Olives, Green Peas, Taro, Watermelons.................. (202) 720-5412
     Greg Lemmons - Blackberries, Blueberries, Boysenberries, Cranberries,
Cucumbers, Potatoes, Pumpkins, Raspberries, Squash, Sugarbeets,
Sugarcane, Sweet Potatoes........................................................... (202) 720-4285
     Dan Norris - Artichokes, Austrian Winter Peas, Cantaloupes, Dry Beans,
          Dry Edible Peas, Honeydews, Lentils, Mushrooms, Peaches, Snap Beans ...... (202) 720-3250
     Daphne Schauber - Bell Peppers, Broccoli, Cabbage, Chile Peppers,
Floriculture, Grapes, Hops, Maple Syrup, Tree Nuts, Spinach......................... (202) 720-4215
     Chris Singh - Apples, Asparagus, Carrots, Lima Beans, Onions,
Plums, Prunes, Sweet Corn, Tobacco.................................................. (202) 720-4288

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