United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service Cr Pr 2-3 (04) Small Grains 2004 Summary September 2004 All wheat production totaled 2.16 billion bushels in 2004, up 2 percent from the last forecast but 8 percent below 2003. Grain area is 50.2 million acres, down 5 percent from last year. The U.S. yield is 43.1 bushels per acre, down 1.1 bushels from a year ago. Levels of production and change from last year by type are: winter wheat, 1.50 billion bushels, down 13 percent; other spring wheat, 574 million bushels, up 8 percent; and Durum wheat, 90.5 million bushels, down 6 percent. Oat production is estimated at 117 million bushels, 9 percent below the August 1 forecast and 19 percent below last year's 144 million bushels. The estimated yield is 64.5 bushels per acre, down 1.5 bushels from August and down 0.5 bushel from a year ago. Record high yields are estimated in South Dakota and Washington. Harvested area is 1.81 million acres, 7 percent below the August 1 forecast and 19 percent below last year. This is the smallest acreage harvested for grain on record, continuing a steady downward trend. Barley production is estimated at 280 million bushels, up 3 percent from the August 1 forecast and up 1 percent from last year. Average yield per acre, at a record high 69.5 bushels, is up 3.8 bushels from the last forecast and 10.6 bushels above 2003. The area harvested for grain is estimated at 4.03 million acres, down 3 percent from August and 15 percent below a year ago. The increase from the previous production forecast is mostly due to Montana, where harvested area is up 50,000 acres and the yield increased by 8 bushels per acre. For Idaho, North Dakota, and Washington, yields increased from August but are more than offset by decreases in the harvested acreage, resulting in lower production. This report was approved on September 30, 2004. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Floyd D. Gaibler Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Rich Allen Contents Page Grains & Hay Barley. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 Oats. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4 Rye . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Wheat, All. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 Wheat, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Wheat, Class Percentage Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Wheat, Durum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Head Population. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Wheat, Other Spring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Head Population. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Wheat, Winter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Head Population. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 (This page intentionally left blank) Oats: Area Planted and Harvested, by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted 1/ : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CA : 260 260 240 32 35 25 CO : 65 100 75 8 15 20 GA : 90 100 90 25 30 25 ID : 125 120 90 25 25 20 IL : 65 60 55 45 50 35 IN : 20 25 25 14 15 12 IA : 290 220 220 175 130 140 KS : 140 140 120 60 70 40 ME : 28 27 34 27 26 32 MI : 80 90 80 65 75 65 MN : 420 350 310 265 265 200 MO : 65 30 26 35 18 13 MT : 135 120 105 50 45 40 NE : 175 220 140 55 90 55 NY : 75 85 65 65 70 50 NC : 65 55 55 25 22 25 ND : 670 620 490 300 360 225 OH : 70 80 65 55 60 50 OK : 85 70 50 20 25 15 OR : 70 60 50 30 20 20 PA : 140 140 130 115 110 110 SC : 50 40 40 25 20 20 SD : 470 420 380 120 230 170 TX : 750 625 680 140 140 160 UT : 60 65 60 4 6 8 WA : 32 35 20 13 15 7 WI : 430 380 340 250 230 210 WY : 70 60 50 15 23 15 : US : 4,995 4,597 4,085 2,058 2,220 1,807 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. Oats: Yield and Production, by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Bushels ---------- -------- 1,000 Bushels -------- : CA : 82.0 80.0 85.0 2,624 2,800 2,125 CO : 50.0 65.0 55.0 400 975 1,100 GA : 60.0 56.0 50.0 1,500 1,680 1,250 ID : 70.0 65.0 72.0 1,750 1,625 1,440 IL : 73.0 89.0 70.0 3,285 4,450 2,450 IN : 62.0 70.0 75.0 868 1,050 900 IA : 76.0 83.0 72.0 13,300 10,790 10,080 KS : 52.0 65.0 43.0 3,120 4,550 1,720 ME : 85.0 78.0 75.0 2,295 2,028 2,400 MI : 64.0 70.0 68.0 4,160 5,250 4,420 MN : 56.0 71.0 70.0 14,840 18,815 14,000 MO : 51.0 67.0 50.0 1,785 1,206 650 MT : 46.0 44.0 60.0 2,300 1,980 2,400 NE : 43.0 73.0 68.0 2,365 6,570 3,740 NY : 64.0 63.0 65.0 4,160 4,410 3,250 NC : 55.0 59.0 70.0 1,375 1,298 1,750 ND : 42.0 59.0 62.0 12,600 21,240 13,950 OH : 61.0 66.0 63.0 3,355 3,960 3,150 OK : 37.0 36.0 37.0 740 900 555 OR : 84.0 75.0 100.0 2,520 1,500 2,000 PA : 61.0 59.0 55.0 7,015 6,490 6,050 SC : 46.0 56.0 55.0 1,150 1,120 1,100 SD : 45.0 68.0 82.0 5,400 15,640 13,940 TX : 44.0 45.0 40.0 6,160 6,300 6,400 UT : 85.0 82.0 78.0 340 492 624 WA : 65.0 50.0 88.0 845 750 616 WI : 60.0 67.0 65.0 15,000 15,410 13,650 WY : 50.0 48.0 53.0 750 1,104 795 : US : 56.4 65.0 64.5 116,002 144,383 116,505 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Barley: Area Planted and Harvested, by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted 1/ : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AZ : 46 32 40 40 30 38 CA : 130 100 110 75 58 75 CO : 85 85 80 72 82 77 DE : 25 25 29 23 21 26 ID : 730 750 680 710 720 650 KS : 8 9 15 7 8 12 KY : 9 9 9 7 8 8 ME : 28 28 23 27 27 22 MD : 43 43 42 39 36 39 MI : 14 15 14 13 14 12 MN : 190 190 130 150 170 115 MT : 1,180 1,150 1,000 930 850 830 NE : 6 6 6 4 4 3 NV : 4 5 4 2 3 2 NJ : 4 4 3 3 3 2 NY : 11 15 14 10 13 10 NC : 25 20 23 17 14 15 ND : 1,600 2,050 1,600 1,300 1,980 1,490 OH : 7 7 5 6 6 4 OR : 78 70 75 68 60 66 PA : 70 75 65 60 65 55 SD : 80 75 70 45 55 50 UT : 70 45 50 34 35 40 VA : 75 75 55 41 45 40 WA : 350 320 250 340 310 245 WI : 55 55 45 35 35 30 WY : 85 90 90 65 75 75 : US : 5,008 5,348 4,527 4,123 4,727 4,031 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. Barley: Yield and Production, by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Bushels ---------- -------- 1,000 Bushels -------- : AZ : 110.0 118.0 110.0 4,400 3,540 4,180 CA : 71.0 64.0 54.0 5,325 3,712 4,050 CO : 104.0 109.0 118.0 7,488 8,938 9,086 DE : 83.0 59.0 80.0 1,909 1,239 2,080 ID : 77.0 66.0 92.0 54,670 47,520 59,800 KS : 37.0 57.0 28.0 259 456 336 KY : 65.0 75.0 77.0 455 600 616 ME : 80.0 65.0 65.0 2,160 1,755 1,430 MD : 82.0 57.0 73.0 3,198 2,052 2,847 MI : 51.0 56.0 51.0 663 784 612 MN : 41.0 75.0 70.0 6,150 12,750 8,050 MT : 42.0 40.0 59.0 39,060 34,000 48,970 NE : 32.0 50.0 54.0 128 200 162 NV : 97.0 80.0 105.0 194 240 210 NJ : 70.0 45.0 63.0 210 135 126 NY : 47.0 50.0 53.0 470 650 530 NC : 60.0 56.0 64.0 1,020 784 960 ND : 45.0 60.0 62.0 58,500 118,800 92,380 OH : 55.0 58.0 50.0 330 348 200 OR : 53.0 64.0 73.0 3,604 3,840 4,818 PA : 74.0 61.0 62.0 4,440 3,965 3,410 SD : 35.0 53.0 63.0 1,575 2,915 3,150 UT : 64.0 80.0 86.0 2,176 2,800 3,440 VA : 77.0 62.0 74.0 3,157 2,790 2,960 WA : 56.0 47.0 70.0 19,040 14,570 17,150 WI : 47.0 55.0 55.0 1,645 1,925 1,650 WY : 72.0 93.0 92.0 4,680 6,975 6,900 : US : 55.0 58.9 69.5 226,906 278,283 280,103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- All Wheat: Area Planted and Harvested, by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted 1/ : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 150 150 120 60 75 60 AZ : 99 119 105 99 119 103 AR : 950 700 670 830 570 620 CA : 625 870 680 390 525 420 CO : 2,375 2,630 2,315 1,670 2,229 1,714 DE : 55 50 50 53 47 47 FL : 19 20 18 7 12 15 GA : 330 380 330 190 230 190 ID : 1,150 1,190 1,250 1,090 1,130 1,190 IL : 660 850 920 630 810 900 IN : 340 460 450 310 430 440 IA : 20 25 28 16 21 24 KS : 9,700 10,500 10,000 8,200 10,000 8,500 KY : 530 500 530 330 350 380 LA : 230 155 180 220 140 165 MD : 185 165 160 170 145 145 MI : 450 680 660 440 660 640 MN : 2,040 1,877 1,728 1,834 1,825 1,656 MS : 230 150 160 180 125 135 MO : 900 960 1,050 760 870 930 MT : 5,790 5,440 5,470 4,795 5,200 5,080 NE : 1,650 1,900 1,850 1,520 1,820 1,650 NV : 13 12 14 5 7 9 NJ : 38 31 28 32 26 24 NM : 480 500 490 150 140 300 NY : 120 130 105 118 120 100 NC : 600 530 600 430 410 460 ND : 9,080 8,630 8,195 7,915 8,500 7,905 OH : 860 1,060 920 810 1,000 890 OK : 6,200 6,700 6,200 3,700 4,600 4,700 OR : 945 1,115 1,000 840 1,080 955 PA : 190 175 140 185 165 135 SC : 200 200 190 170 185 180 SD : 3,030 3,078 3,270 1,677 2,797 2,798 TN : 470 430 400 300 270 280 TX : 6,400 6,600 6,300 2,700 3,450 3,500 UT : 155 177 143 110 137 132 VA : 230 210 210 170 160 180 WA : 2,450 2,400 2,330 2,390 2,345 2,275 WV : 12 12 8 7 7 5 WI : 208 212 247 192 180 231 WY : 159 168 160 129 151 141 : US : 60,318 62,141 59,674 45,824 53,063 50,204 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. All Wheat: Yield and Production, by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Bushels ---------- --------- 1,000 Bushels --------- : AL : 40.0 42.0 48.0 2,400 3,150 2,880 AZ : 95.4 100.1 96.7 9,444 11,912 9,963 AR : 46.0 50.0 53.0 38,180 28,500 32,860 CA : 81.5 69.5 86.2 31,800 36,510 36,200 CO : 22.8 35.1 27.4 38,100 78,160 46,880 DE : 70.0 41.0 58.0 3,710 1,927 2,726 FL : 35.0 41.0 45.0 245 492 675 GA : 42.0 46.0 45.0 7,980 10,580 8,550 ID : 71.9 74.9 85.5 78,410 84,660 101,710 IL : 49.0 65.0 59.0 30,870 52,650 53,100 IN : 53.0 69.0 62.0 16,430 29,670 27,280 IA : 53.0 61.0 55.0 848 1,281 1,320 KS : 33.0 48.0 37.0 270,600 480,000 314,500 KY : 52.0 62.0 54.0 17,160 21,700 20,520 LA : 40.0 41.0 50.0 8,800 5,740 8,250 MD : 66.0 37.0 59.0 11,220 5,365 8,555 MI : 67.0 68.0 64.0 29,480 44,880 40,960 MN : 34.0 57.8 54.8 62,420 105,482 90,705 MS : 40.0 49.0 53.0 7,200 6,125 7,155 MO : 44.0 61.0 52.0 33,440 53,070 48,360 MT : 23.1 27.4 34.3 110,735 142,330 174,330 NE : 33.0 46.0 37.0 50,160 83,720 61,050 NV : 81.6 78.4 106.7 408 549 960 NJ : 57.0 42.0 47.0 1,824 1,092 1,128 NM : 26.0 30.0 26.0 3,900 4,200 7,800 NY : 58.0 53.0 53.0 6,844 6,360 5,300 NC : 42.0 36.0 50.0 18,060 14,760 23,000 ND : 27.3 37.3 39.2 216,095 317,090 309,660 OH : 62.0 68.0 62.0 50,220 68,000 55,180 OK : 28.0 39.0 35.0 103,600 179,400 164,500 OR : 41.1 49.6 58.6 34,500 53,540 55,980 PA : 53.0 43.0 49.0 9,805 7,095 6,615 SC : 37.0 39.0 44.0 6,290 7,215 7,920 SD : 26.4 42.3 46.0 44,247 118,391 128,610 TN : 47.0 50.0 49.0 14,100 13,500 13,720 TX : 29.0 28.0 31.0 78,300 96,600 108,500 UT : 32.6 41.4 44.4 3,590 5,677 5,856 VA : 61.0 46.0 55.0 10,370 7,360 9,900 WA : 54.3 59.4 63.1 129,770 139,345 143,500 WV : 48.0 41.0 52.0 336 287 260 WI : 60.0 68.3 55.6 11,516 12,300 12,852 WY : 19.2 27.1 26.6 2,471 4,095 3,750 : US : 35.0 44.2 43.1 1,605,878 2,344,760 2,163,520 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter Wheat: Area Planted and Harvested, by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted 1/ : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AL : 150 150 120 60 75 60 AZ : 6 4 5 6 4 4 AR : 950 700 670 830 570 620 CA : 530 740 560 300 410 320 CO : 2,350 2,600 2,300 1,650 2,200 1,700 DE : 55 50 50 53 47 47 FL : 19 20 18 7 12 15 GA : 330 380 330 190 230 190 ID : 670 760 750 630 720 700 IL : 660 850 920 630 810 900 IN : 340 460 450 310 430 440 IA : 20 25 28 16 21 24 KS : 9,700 10,500 10,000 8,200 10,000 8,500 KY : 530 500 530 330 350 380 LA : 230 155 180 220 140 165 MD : 185 165 160 170 145 145 MI : 450 680 660 440 660 640 MN : 35 25 27 30 23 25 MS : 230 150 160 180 125 135 MO : 900 960 1,050 760 870 930 MT : 1,450 1,900 1,900 780 1,820 1,630 NE : 1,650 1,900 1,850 1,520 1,820 1,650 NV : 6 7 6 3 3 3 NJ : 38 31 28 32 26 24 NM : 480 500 490 150 140 300 NY : 120 130 105 118 120 100 NC : 600 530 600 430 410 460 ND : 80 130 245 65 120 225 OH : 860 1,060 920 810 1,000 890 OK : 6,200 6,700 6,200 3,700 4,600 4,700 OR : 800 970 820 710 940 780 PA : 190 175 140 185 165 135 SC : 200 200 190 170 185 180 SD : 1,300 1,650 1,650 670 1,430 1,250 TN : 470 430 400 300 270 280 TX : 6,400 6,600 6,300 2,700 3,450 3,500 UT : 140 160 130 100 125 120 VA : 230 210 210 170 160 180 WA : 1,850 1,850 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,750 WV : 12 12 8 7 7 5 WI : 200 205 240 185 175 225 WY : 150 160 150 125 145 135 : US : 41,766 45,384 43,350 29,742 36,753 34,462 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. Winter Wheat: Yield and Production, by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Bushels ---------- --------- 1,000 Bushels --------- : AL : 40.0 42.0 48.0 2,400 3,150 2,880 AZ : 86.0 103.0 90.0 516 412 360 AR : 46.0 50.0 53.0 38,180 28,500 32,860 CA : 76.0 61.0 85.0 22,800 25,010 27,200 CO : 22.0 35.0 27.0 36,300 77,000 45,900 DE : 70.0 41.0 58.0 3,710 1,927 2,726 FL : 35.0 41.0 45.0 245 492 675 GA : 42.0 46.0 45.0 7,980 10,580 8,550 ID : 77.0 80.0 90.0 48,510 57,600 63,000 IL : 49.0 65.0 59.0 30,870 52,650 53,100 IN : 53.0 69.0 62.0 16,430 29,670 27,280 IA : 53.0 61.0 55.0 848 1,281 1,320 KS : 33.0 48.0 37.0 270,600 480,000 314,500 KY : 52.0 62.0 54.0 17,160 21,700 20,520 LA : 40.0 41.0 50.0 8,800 5,740 8,250 MD : 66.0 37.0 59.0 11,220 5,365 8,555 MI : 67.0 68.0 64.0 29,480 44,880 40,960 MN : 36.0 42.0 40.0 1,080 966 1,000 MS : 40.0 49.0 53.0 7,200 6,125 7,155 MO : 44.0 61.0 52.0 33,440 53,070 48,360 MT : 28.0 37.0 41.0 21,840 67,340 66,830 NE : 33.0 46.0 37.0 50,160 83,720 61,050 NV : 86.0 83.0 110.0 258 249 330 NJ : 57.0 42.0 47.0 1,824 1,092 1,128 NM : 26.0 30.0 26.0 3,900 4,200 7,800 NY : 58.0 53.0 53.0 6,844 6,360 5,300 NC : 42.0 36.0 50.0 18,060 14,760 23,000 ND : 33.0 49.0 44.0 2,145 5,880 9,900 OH : 62.0 68.0 62.0 50,220 68,000 55,180 OK : 28.0 39.0 35.0 103,600 179,400 164,500 OR : 42.0 51.0 61.0 29,820 47,940 47,580 PA : 53.0 43.0 49.0 9,805 7,095 6,615 SC : 37.0 39.0 44.0 6,290 7,215 7,920 SD : 30.0 43.0 45.0 20,100 61,490 56,250 TN : 47.0 50.0 49.0 14,100 13,500 13,720 TX : 29.0 28.0 31.0 78,300 96,600 108,500 UT : 32.0 41.0 43.0 3,200 5,125 5,160 VA : 61.0 46.0 55.0 10,370 7,360 9,900 WA : 58.0 65.0 67.0 104,400 117,000 117,250 WV : 48.0 41.0 52.0 336 287 260 WI : 61.0 69.0 56.0 11,285 12,075 12,600 WY : 19.0 27.0 26.0 2,375 3,915 3,510 : US : 38.2 46.7 43.5 1,137,001 1,716,721 1,499,434 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Other Spring Wheat: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : CO : 25 30 15 20 29 14 ID : 480 430 500 460 410 490 MN : 2,000 1,850 1,700 1,800 1,800 1,630 MT : 3,750 2,900 3,000 3,450 2,750 2,900 NV : 7 5 8 2 4 6 ND : 6,900 6,500 6,200 5,900 6,400 6,000 OR : 145 145 180 130 140 175 SD : 1,700 1,400 1,600 1,000 1,340 1,530 UT : 15 17 13 10 12 12 WA : 600 550 530 590 545 525 WI : 8 7 7 7 5 6 WY : 9 8 10 4 6 6 : US : 15,639 13,842 13,763 13,373 13,441 13,294 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Bushels --------- -------- 1,000 Bushels -------- : CO : 90.0 40.0 70.0 1,800 1,160 980 ID : 65.0 66.0 79.0 29,900 27,060 38,710 MN : 34.0 58.0 55.0 61,200 104,400 89,650 MT : 22.0 22.0 31.0 75,900 60,500 89,900 NV : 75.0 75.0 105.0 150 300 630 ND : 28.0 39.5 41.0 165,200 252,800 246,000 OR : 36.0 40.0 48.0 4,680 5,600 8,400 SD : 24.0 42.0 47.0 24,000 56,280 71,910 UT : 39.0 46.0 58.0 390 552 696 WA : 43.0 41.0 50.0 25,370 22,345 26,250 WI : 33.0 45.0 42.0 231 225 252 WY : 24.0 30.0 40.0 96 180 240 : US : 29.1 39.5 43.1 388,917 531,402 573,618 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Durum Wheat: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : AZ : 93 115 100 93 115 99 CA : 95 130 120 90 115 100 MN : 5 2 1 4 2 1 MT : 590 640 570 565 630 550 ND : 2,100 2,000 1,750 1,950 1,980 1,680 SD : 30 28 20 7 27 18 : US : 2,913 2,915 2,561 2,709 2,869 2,448 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- Bushels ---------- -------- 1,000 Bushels ------- : AZ : 96.0 100.0 97.0 8,928 11,500 9,603 CA : 100.0 100.0 90.0 9,000 11,500 9,000 MN : 35.0 58.0 55.0 140 116 55 MT : 23.0 23.0 32.0 12,995 14,490 17,600 ND : 25.0 29.5 32.0 48,750 58,410 53,760 SD : 21.0 23.0 25.0 147 621 450 : US : 29.5 33.7 37.0 79,960 96,637 90,468 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2002-2004 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Spring : :-------------------------------------------------------------: Year : Hard : Soft : : Hard : : : Total : Red : Red : White : Red : White : Durum : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : 2002 : 620,328 320,968 195,705 351,439 37,478 79,960 1,605,878 2003 :1,070,996 380,435 265,290 499,674 31,728 96,637 2,344,760 2004 : 856,211 380,305 262,918 530,152 43,466 90,468 2,163,520 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data available. Wheat: Class Percentage Estimates The following percentages are the basis for the U.S. wheat production by class estimates each year. These estimates are based on the latest varietal or class survey data available. These end-of-season percentages will be used during the 2005 forecast season. However, if an unusual situation significantly distorts a State's usual distribution, then updated percentages will be used to forecast the production by class. (Note: the Idaho, Oregon, and Washington percentages are based on their estimates of production by class). Wheat: Production Distribution by Class and State, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Winter : Oth Spr (excl Durum) :----------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Hard Red : Soft Red : White : Hard Red : White :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 100 100 AZ : 100 100 AR : 100 100 CA : 92 90 8 10 CO : 95 93 5 7 84 80 16 20 DE : 100 100 FL : 100 100 GA : 100 100 ID : 17 16 83 84 54 55 46 45 IL : 2 1 98 99 IN : 100 100 IA : 60 60 40 40 KS : 95 95 5 5 KY : 4 4 96 96 LA : 4 4 96 96 MD : 100 100 MI : 3 3 53 53 44 44 MN : 100 100 100 100 MS : 100 100 MO : 4 5 96 95 MT : 97 97 3 3 99 99 1 1 NE : 98 98 2 2 NV : 100 100 10 10 90 90 NJ : 100 100 NM : 100 100 NY : 2 1 16 21 82 78 NC : 100 100 ND : 100 100 100 100 OH : 100 100 OK : 99 98 1 1 1 OR : 2 2 98 98 30 19 70 81 PA : 100 100 SC : 100 100 SD : 100 100 100 100 TN : 100 100 TX : 92 92 8 8 UT : 75 75 25 25 60 65 40 35 VA : 100 100 WA : 6 4 94 96 37 34 63 66 WV : 100 100 WI : 96 96 4 4 100 100 WY : 100 100 99 95 1 5 : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 10 winter wheat estimating States during 2004. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields were visited monthly from May through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 2000-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Month : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : CO : July : 48.0 34.2 35.9 38.9 32.8 : August: 47.7 33.7 35.6 38.4 32.1 : Final : 47.7 33.9 35.6 38.4 32.1 : : IL : July : 55.0 53.1 59.4 56.5 51.0 : August: 55.0 52.0 59.5 56.6 51.0 : Final : 55.0 52.0 59.5 56.6 51.0 : : KS : July : 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.4 41.2 : August: 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.6 41.4 : Final : 46.5 39.7 41.7 50.6 41.4 : : MO : July : 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 51.8 : August: 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 51.8 : Final : 49.9 47.7 54.8 51.3 51.8 : : MT : July : 41.3 25.6 36.3 44.5 40.2 : August: 40.3 25.2 34.3 42.9 40.4 : Final : 40.3 25.2 34.3 42.9 40.4 : : NE : July : 57.5 46.6 52.4 59.5 43.0 : August: 58.3 46.8 52.8 59.6 43.2 : Final : 58.3 46.8 52.8 59.6 43.2 : : OH : July : 59.5 52.0 58.5 53.1 52.1 : August: 59.5 51.7 57.8 53.3 52.1 : Final : 59.5 51.7 57.8 53.3 52.1 : : OK : July : 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 40.5 : August: 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 40.5 : Final : 40.2 32.5 40.2 46.8 40.5 : : TX : July : 31.4 33.4 34.2 36.3 31.7 : August: 31.5 33.4 34.2 35.9 31.7 : Final : 31.6 33.4 34.2 36.3 31.7 : : WA : July : 40.6 37.3 37.8 37.2 36.4 : August: 40.0 36.7 37.6 36.5 36.7 : Final : 40.1 36.8 37.8 36.6 36.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- All Spring Wheat: Head Population The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in three spring wheat producing States during 2004. Randomly selected plots in wheat fields were visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. All Spring Wheat: Heads per Square Foot, Selected States, 2000-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Crop : : : : : : and : : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 1/ State : : : : : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : Number : : Other Spring : : : : MN : Final: 52.5 49.1 50.6 55.9 55.0 : : MT : Final: 27.4 22.9 24.0 25.0 26.9 : : ND : Final: 46.6 41.2 40.0 43.0 46.7 : : Durum : : : : ND : Final: 24.2 23.3 23.7 24.3 27.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Preliminary. Final counts will be published in the "Crop Production 2004 Summary". Rye: Area Planted and Harvested by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted 1/ : Area Harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : GA : 240 270 250 35 50 25 ND : 10 18 25 7 15 20 OK : 280 260 300 65 70 110 SD : 15 20 20 10 14 11 : Oth : Sts 2/ : 810 780 785 146 170 154 : US : 1,355 1,348 1,380 263 319 320 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall. 2/ Other States include IL, KS, MI, MN, NE, NY, NC, PA, SC, TX, and WI. Rye: Yield and Production by State and United States, 2002-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- Bushels -------- ------ 1,000 Bushels ------ : GA : 16.0 16.0 24.0 560 800 600 ND : 30.0 50.0 39.0 210 750 780 OK : 20.0 22.0 18.0 1,300 1,540 1,980 SD : 27.0 48.0 59.0 270 672 649 : Oth : Sts 1/ : 28.4 28.7 29.9 4,148 4,872 4,606 : US : 24.7 27.1 26.9 6,488 8,634 8,615 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include IL, KS, MI, MN, NE, NY, NC, PA, SC, TX, and WI. Small Grains - Annual Summary: Area Planted, United States, 2002-2004 (Domestic Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Oats : 4,995 4,597 4,085 Barley : 5,008 5,348 4,527 All Wheat : 60,318 62,141 59,674 Winter : 41,766 45,384 43,350 Durum : 2,913 2,915 2,561 Other Spring : 15,639 13,842 13,763 Rye : 1,355 1,348 1,380 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Small Grains - Annual Summary: Area Harvested, United States, 2002-2004 (Domestic Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Acres : Oats : 2,058 2,220 1,807 Barley : 4,123 4,727 4,031 All Wheat : 45,824 53,063 50,204 Winter : 29,742 36,753 34,462 Durum : 2,709 2,869 2,448 Other Spring : 13,373 13,441 13,294 Rye : 263 319 320 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Small Grains - Annual Summary: Yield, United States, 2002-2004 (Domestic Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Bushels : Oats : 56.4 65.0 64.5 Barley : 55.0 58.9 69.5 All Wheat : 35.0 44.2 43.1 Winter : 38.2 46.7 43.5 Durum : 29.5 33.7 37.0 Other Spring : 29.1 39.5 43.1 Rye : 24.7 27.1 26.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Small Grains - Annual Summary: Production, United States, 2002-2004 (Domestic Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Bushels : Oats : 116,002 144,383 116,505 Barley : 226,906 278,283 280,103 All Wheat : 1,605,878 2,344,760 2,163,520 Winter : 1,137,001 1,716,721 1,499,434 Durum : 79,960 96,637 90,468 Other Spring : 388,917 531,402 573,618 Rye : 6,488 8,634 8,615 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Small Grains - Annual Summary: Area Planted, United States, 2002-2004 (Metric Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Planted Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Oats : 2,021,430 1,860,360 1,653,160 Barley : 2,026,690 2,164,280 1,832,030 All Wheat : 24,410,090 25,147,840 24,149,470 Winter : 16,902,280 18,366,450 17,543,310 Durum : 1,178,860 1,179,670 1,036,410 Other Spring : 6,328,950 5,601,720 5,569,750 Rye : 548,350 545,520 558,470 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Small Grains - Annual Summary: Area Harvested, United States, 2002-2004 (Metric Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Hectares : Oats : 832,850 898,410 731,270 Barley : 1,668,540 1,912,970 1,631,310 All Wheat : 18,544,510 21,474,070 20,317,060 Winter : 12,036,290 14,873,570 13,946,430 Durum : 1,096,310 1,161,060 990,680 Other Spring : 5,411,920 5,439,440 5,379,950 Rye : 106,430 129,100 129,500 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Small Grains - Annual Summary: Yield, United States, 2002-2004 (Metric Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Oats : 2.02 2.33 2.31 Barley : 2.96 3.17 3.74 All Wheat : 2.36 2.97 2.90 Winter : 2.57 3.14 2.93 Durum : 1.98 2.27 2.49 Other Spring : 1.96 2.66 2.90 Rye : 1.55 1.70 1.69 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Small Grains - Annual Summary: Production, United States, 2002-2004 (Metric Units) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Metric Tons : Oats : 1,683,760 2,095,710 1,691,070 Barley : 4,940,300 6,058,900 6,098,520 All Wheat : 43,704,840 63,813,910 58,881,370 Winter : 30,944,100 46,721,490 40,807,910 Durum : 2,176,150 2,630,030 2,462,140 Other Spring : 10,584,590 14,462,390 15,611,320 Rye : 164,800 219,310 218,830 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Oats: Production is estimated at 117 million bushels, 9 percent below the August 1 forecast and 19 percent below last year's 144 million bushels. The estimated yield is 64.5 bushels per acre, down 1.5 bushels from August and down 0.5 bushel from a year ago. Record high yields are estimated in South Dakota and Washington. Harvested area is 1.81 million acres, 7 percent below the August 1 forecast and 19 percent below last year. This is the smallest acreage harvested for grain on record, continuing a steady downward trend. Compared with last year, area harvested for grain declined 65,000 acres in Minnesota, 135,000 acres in North Dakota, and 60,000 acres in South Dakota. During April, much of the Corn Belt and Great Plains regions experienced favorable weather conditions and adequate soil moisture, allowing planting to progress ahead of normal. In the Ohio and upper Mississippi Valleys, planting continued at a rapid pace through month's end. By April 25, the major oat-producing States had 61 percent of the acreage planted compared with 40 percent for the five year average. The northern Great Plains received frequent showers around mid-May which provided much-needed moisture for the emerging crop. However, below normal temperatures slowed crop development slightly. In the Corn Belt, beneficial rains allowed for adequate growth and development. By the end of May, 92 percent had emerged compared with 87 percent for the five year average. During June, cooler weather in the northern Great Plains began to slow crop development, while in the Corn Belt, lower temperatures did not have much of an adverse effect on the crop. During July, fields entered the heading stage and matured at a near normal pace in all States except Minnesota, where cool weather caused progress to lag. By August 1, harvest had begun in all States, but was behind normal due to continued cool weather and areas of thunderstorms. By the end of the month favorably drier conditions allowed harvest to advance to near normal levels, except in Minnesota and North Dakota. On September 5, harvest was 90 percent complete in Minnesota and 79 percent complete in North Dakota, compared with 97 percent and 87 percent for their respective five year averages. Elsewhere, harvest was virtually complete. Barley: Production is estimated at 280 million bushels, up 3 percent from the August 1 forecast and up 1 percent from last year's estimate. Average yield per acre, at 69.5 bushels, is up 3.8 bushels from the last forecast and 10.6 bushels above 2003. The area harvested for grain is estimated at 4.03 million acres, 15 percent below a year ago. Nationally, harvested area is the smallest since 1894 but yield is a new record high, 7.0 bushels above the previous record of 62.5 bushels set in 1992. Record State yields were set in Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nebraska, and South Dakota. This year's barley crop got an early start in the five major-producing States, with planting and emergence advancing well ahead of the 5-year average. However, as below-normal temperatures prevailed across the northern Great Plains and northern Corn Belt throughout the summer, development lagged behind the normal pace. On August 29, harvest was 61 percent complete, 29 points behind last year and 14 points behind normal. With maturity delayed by the cool summer conditions, Minnesota growers had harvested just 50 percent of their acreage, 37 points behind normal, while North Dakota producers, with 57 percent of their acreage harvested, trailed the normal pace by 21 points. Winter Wheat: The 2004 winter wheat production is estimated at 1.50 billion bushels. This is up nearly 1 percent from the August forecast but 13 percent below last year's crop. The U.S. yield is 43.5 bushels per acre, up 0.7 bushel from August but 3.2 bushels below last year's final yield. Acreage for grain is estimated at 34.5 million acres, 6 percent below 2003. Planted area is 43.4 million acres, down 4 percent from the previous year. Hard Red Winter (HRW) harvested acreage was down significantly from last year in the central Great Plains and Montana due to fewer planted acres and higher than normal abandonment. Dry spring conditions led to lower yields in all Plains States, except Texas and South Dakota. Timely rains in South Dakota and Montana resulted in better yields than in 2003. Yields in Texas rebounded from below average levels last year. Overall, HRW production totals 856 million bushels, down 20 percent from last year. Soft Red Winter (SRW) producing States' yields improved significantly from poor yields last year in the South and along the Atlantic coast. Yields declined from very good levels last year in most other States. Overall, SRW production is down fractionally from 2003 and totals 380 million bushels. White Winter production, at 263 million bushels, is down 1 percent from last year. Improved yields more than offset lower acreage in the Pacific Northwest (Idaho, Oregon, and Washington). Excellent irrigated and non-irrigated yields in Idaho resulted in a State level yield equal to the record high set in 2000. Other Spring Wheat: Production in 2004 is estimated at 574 million bushels, up 5 percent from the last forecast and up 8 percent from 2003. Harvested area is 13.3 million acres, 1 percent lower than last year. The U.S. yield is a record high 43.1 bushels per acre, 3.6 bushels better than last year and 1.3 bushels higher than the previous record set in 1992. Dry spring conditions resulted in timely seeding of the crop. Early planting combined with timely rains resulted in rapid emergence. Crop development slowed throughout the summer due to cool temperatures and frequent precipitation, especially in Minnesota, North Dakota, and Montana. Cool, damp weather continued into August and September, delaying harvest progress. As of September 26, only 88 percent of the crop was harvested, 10 points behind the 5-year average. Yields are better than last year in all States except Minnesota and Wisconsin, with large increases in most States. Objective yield survey data showed very high plant populations and weight per head in Minnesota, North Dakota, and Montana. Timely rains in eastern Idaho resulted in very good dryland yields. Durum Wheat: Production for 2004 totaled 90.5 million bushels, up 2 percent from August 1, but 6 percent less than last year. Grain area harvested totaled 2.45 million acres, 15 percent below a year ago. The U.S. yield is estimated at 37.0 bushels per acre, up 1.7 bushels from the last forecast and 3.3 bushels per acre above 2003. North Dakota's Durum harvest was only 42 percent complete as of September 12, more than 2 weeks behind the 5-year average and 3 weeks behind last year. Rye: Production for 2004 is estimated at 8.62 million bushels, down fractionally from last year. Harvested area totaled 320,000 acres, up 1,000 from 2003. The U.S. yield, at 26.9 bushels per acre, is down 0.2 bushel from last year. Oklahoma leads the Nation in production and recorded their largest crop on record. South Dakota set a new record high yield, breaking last year's record by 11 bushels per acre. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127 Field Crops Section Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127 Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068 Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (202) 720-9526 Troy Joshua - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944 Dennis Koong - Hay, Oats, Sorghum (202) 690-3234 Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369 Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688 Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops(202) 720-7621 Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127 Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235 Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas(202) 720-3250 Jorge Garcia-Pratts - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412 Rich Holcomb - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts(202) 720-4215 Terry O'Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries, Plums, Prunes(202) 720-4288 Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940 Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285 Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries (202) 720-2157 ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home Page at www.usda.gov/nass/, click on Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing e-mail delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6900 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. USDA Data Users' Meeting October 18, 2004 Hampton Inn & Suites Chicago, Illinois (312) 832-0330 The USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be included in the meeting. For registration details or additional information for the Data Users' Meeting, see the NASS homepage at www.usda.gov/nass/ or contact Karlyn McCutcheon (NASS) at (202) 690-8141 or at karlyn_mccutcheon@nass.usda.gov. This Data Users' Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on October 19, 2004. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register contact Jim Robb (Livestock and Marketing Information Center) at (720) 544-2941 or at robb@lmic.info.