Rice Stocks ISSN: 1949-1603 Released March 29, 2019, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Rough Rice Stocks Up 24 Percent from March 2018 Rough rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 2019, totaled 104 million hundredweight (cwt), up 24 percent from the total on March 1, 2018. Stocks held on farms totaled 23.3 million cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled 80.5 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 69 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 29 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 2 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 4.17 million cwt, down 24 percent from a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 2.76 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.41 million cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks by Position and Month in Domestic Units - United States: 2018 and 2019 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2018 : 2019 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Rough rice . : March 1 .......: 12,565 70,831 83,396 23,305 80,515 103,820 June 1 ........: 4,410 40,640 45,050 August 1 ......: 1,902 21,962 23,864 October 1 2/ ..: 20 1,042 1,062 December 1 ....: 40,115 98,602 138,717 : Milled rice : March 1 .......: (X) 5,460 5,460 (X) 4,167 4,167 June 1 ........: (X) 5,054 5,054 August 1 ......: (X) 3,862 3,862 October 1 2/ ..: (X) 782 782 December 1 ....: (X) 3,961 3,961 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ California only. Rice Stocks by Position and Month in Metric Units - United States: 2018 and 2019 [Data may not add to totals due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2018 : 2019 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Rough rice : March 1 .......: 569,940 3,212,840 3,782,780 1,057,100 3,652,100 4,709,200 June 1 ........: 200,030 1,843,400 2,043,430 August 1 ......: 86,270 996,180 1,082,450 October 1 2/ ..: 910 47,260 48,170 December 1 ....: 1,819,590 4,472,510 6,292,100 : Milled rice : March 1 .......: (X) 247,660 247,660 (X) 189,010 189,010 June 1 ........: (X) 229,250 229,250 August 1 ......: (X) 175,180 175,180 October 1 2/ ..: (X) 35,470 35,470 December 1 ....: (X) 179,670 179,670 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ California only. Rice Stocks by Position - States and United States: March 1, 2018 and 2019 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2018 : 2019 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : Rough rice : Arkansas ......: 8,100 38,828 46,928 12,400 40,188 52,588 California ....: 1,300 18,613 19,913 1,835 24,824 26,659 Louisiana .....: 1,100 5,071 6,171 2,900 6,602 9,502 Mississippi ...: 900 1,160 2,060 2,000 1,047 3,047 Missouri ......: (D) (D) 3,324 (D) (D) 6,086 Texas .........: (D) (D) 5,000 (D) (D) 5,938 : Unallocated 2/ : 1,165 7,159 - 4,170 7,854 - : United States .: 12,565 70,831 83,396 23,305 80,515 103,820 : Milled rice : Arkansas ......: (X) 2,379 2,379 (X) 1,358 1,358 California ....: (X) 1,738 1,738 (X) 1,763 1,763 Louisiana .....: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Mississippi ...: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Missouri ......: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Texas .........: (X) 294 294 (X) 275 275 : Unallocated 2/ : (X) 1,049 1,049 (X) 771 771 : United States .: (X) 5,460 5,460 (X) 4,167 4,167 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ Unallocated includes State data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: March 1, 2018 and 2019 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2018 : 2019 : 2018 : 2019 : 2018 : 2019 : 2018 : 2019 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 17,506 24,012 (D) (D) 19,913 26,659 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 6,006 6,166 (D) (D) 63,483 77,161 : United States ..: 57,863 71,492 23,512 30,178 2,021 2,150 83,396 103,820 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. Milled Rice Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: March 1, 2018 and 2019 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole kernels (head rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2018 : 2019 : 2018 : 2019 : 2018 : 2019 : 2018 : 2019 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 883 957 (D) (D) 950 1,008 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 434 100 (D) (D) 2,146 1,754 : United States ..: 1,717 1,657 1,317 1,057 62 48 3,096 2,762 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Second heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2018 : 2019 : 2018 : 2019 : 2018 : 2019 : 2018 : 2019 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) - - (D) (D) 788 755 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 118 136 (D) (D) 1,576 650 : United States ..: 1,559 1,046 118 136 687 223 2,364 1,405 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in California. Rice Stocks by Position - States and United States: December 1, 2017 and 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Rough rice . : Arkansas ......: 17,000 42,887 59,887 20,800 45,499 66,299 California ....: 3,120 28,159 31,279 3,325 32,581 35,906 Louisiana .....: 6,200 5,965 12,165 6,300 9,061 15,361 Mississippi ...: 1,700 1,484 3,184 3,000 1,508 4,508 Missouri ......: (D) (D) 5,061 (D) (D) 8,070 Texas .........: (D) (D) 8,098 (D) (D) 8,573 : Unallocated 2/ : 3,550 9,609 - 6,690 9,953 - : United States .: 31,570 88,104 119,674 40,115 98,602 138,717 : Milled rice : Arkansas ......: (X) 3,192 3,192 (X) 1,244 1,244 California ....: (X) 1,926 1,926 (X) 1,231 1,231 Louisiana .....: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Mississippi ...: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Missouri ......: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Texas .........: (X) 524 524 (X) 406 406 : Unallocated 2/ : (X) 1,060 1,060 (X) 1,080 1,080 : United States .: (X) 6,702 6,702 (X) 3,961 3,961 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ Unallocated includes State data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: December 1, 2017 and 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 27,732 32,272 (D) (D) 31,279 35,906 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 7,644 7,728 (D) (D) 88,395 102,811 : United States ..: 81,250 95,679 35,376 40,000 3,048 3,038 119,674 138,717 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. Milled Rice Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: December 1, 2017 and 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole kernels (head rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 1,063 895 (D) (D) 1,128 974 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 157 93 (D) (D) 2,461 2,129 : United States ..: 2,307 2,037 1,220 988 62 78 3,589 3,103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Second heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) - - (D) (D) 798 257 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 107 12 (D) (D) 2,315 601 : United States ..: 1,968 676 107 12 1,038 170 3,113 858 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in California. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first two weeks of March. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the United States have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of March 1, 2019 regardless of ownership. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimating Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and National levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 Rice Stocks report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey designs for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch.............................. (202) 720-2127 Travis Thorson, Head, Field Crops Section..................... (202) 720-2127 David Colwell - Current Agricultural Industrial Reports.. (202) 720-3338 Chris Hawthorn- Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet............. (202) 720-9526 James Johanson - County Estimates, Hay................... (202) 690-8533 Jeff Lemmons - Oats, Soybeans............................ (202) 690-3234 Jannety Mosley - Crop Weather, Barley.................... (202) 720-7621 Sammy Neal - Peanuts, Rice............................... (202) 720-7688 Jean Porter - Rye, Wheat................................. (202) 720-8068 Chris Singh - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum................ (202) 720-5944 Travis Thorson - Sunflower, Other Oilseeds............... (202) 720-7369 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on "National" or "State" in upper right corner above "search" box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. Cornell's Mann Library has launched a new website housing NASS's and other agency's archived reports. The new website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. All email subscriptions containing reports will be sent from the new website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. To continue receiving the reports via e-mail, you will have to go to the new website, create a new account and re-subscribe to the reports. If you need instructions to set up an account or subscribe, they are located at: https://usda.library.cornell.edu/help. You should whitelist notifications@usda-esmis.library.cornell.edu in your email client to avoid the emails going into spam/junk folders. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or employment activities.) If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online at www.ascr.usda.gov/filing-program-discrimination-complaint-usda-customer, or at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax (202) 690-7442 or email at program.intake@usda.gov. USDA NASS Data Users' Meeting Tuesday, April 23, 2019 University of Chicago - Gleacher Center 450 North Cityfront Plaza Drive Chicago, IL 60611 312-464-8787 USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service will hold an open forum for users of U.S. domestic and international agriculture data. NASS is organizing the 2019 Data Users' Meeting in cooperation with five other USDA agencies - Agricultural Marketing Service, Economic Research Service, Farm Service Agency, Foreign Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board - and the Census Bureau's Foreign Trade Division. Agency representatives will provide updates on recent and pending changes in statistical and information programs important to agriculture, answer questions, and welcome comments and input from data users. For registration details or additional information about the Data Users' Meeting, see the meeting page on the NASS website (https://www.nass.usda.gov/Education_and_Outreach/Meeting/index.php). Contact Vernita Murray (NASS) at 202-690-8141 or vernita.murray@nass.usda.gov or Patricia Snipe (NASS) at 202-720-2248 or patricia.snipe@nass.usda.gov for information. The Data Users' Meeting precedes the Industry Outlook Conference at the same location on Wednesday, April 24, 2019. The outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss developments and trends. For registration details or additional information about the Industry Outlook Conference, see the conference page on the LMIC website (http://lmic.info/page/meetings). Or contact Laura Lahr at 303-716-9935 or laura.lahr@lmic.info.