Gr Lg 11-3 (8-99)
Rice
Stocks
National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA
Washington, D.C.
Released August 27, 1999, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For
information on "Rice Stocks" call Herman Ellison at (202) 720-7688, office hours
7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.
Rough Rice Stocks Down
Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 1999 totaled 16.6 million
hundredweight (cwt), down 21 percent from the total on August 1, 1998. Stocks
held on farms totaled 1.56 million cwt, accounted for 9 percent of the total,
with
mills and warehouses holding 91 percent of the stocks. Stocks of long grain
totaled 10.9 million cwt, medium grain 5.02 million cwt, and short grain 644,000
cwt. August 1 rice stocks represent carryover from one marketing year to the
next
in all States except California, where the marketing year begins October 1.
Milled rice stocks on August 1 totaled 3.88 million cwt, 19 percent below the
comparable figure for a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.05
million cwt of whole kernel rice and 831,000 cwt of second heads, screenings and
brewers rice.
Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 1998-99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : :
: or : and : not : In Ports : Total
Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All
: Whses : Whses : to Mills 1/ : Transit : Positions
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
1999 :
Mar 1 2/ : 22,290 9,745 47,409 806 80,250
Aug 1 : 1,560 5,470 9,432 118 16,580
Oct 1 3/ :
Dec 1 :
: Milled Rice -1,000 Cwt
Mar 1 : 3,700 172 472 4,344
Aug 1 : 3,332 103 444 3,879
Oct 1 3/ :
Dec 1 :
: Rough Rice - Metric Tons
Mar 1 2/ : 1,011,060 442,030 2,150,440 36,560 3,640,080
Aug 1 : 70,760 248,120 427,830 5,350 752,060
Oct 1 3/ :
Dec 1 :
: Milled Rice - Metric Tons
Mar 1 : 167,830 7,800 21,410 197,040
Aug 1 : 151,140 4,670 20,140 175,950
Oct 1 3/ :
Dec 1 :
: Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:
1998 :
Mar 1 : 21,205 11,736 54,449 661 88,051
Aug 1 : 1,136 6,401 13,287 167 20,991
Oct 1 3/ : 402 4,345 4,747
Dec 1 : 35,584 10,631 74,532 231 120,978
:
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
Mar 1 : 4,453 344 1,082 5,879
Aug 1 : 3,598 329 868 4,795
Oct 1 3/ : 662 662
Dec 1 : 3,861 128 1,427 5,416
:
: Rough Rice - Metric Tons
Mar 1 : 961,840 532,340 2,469,770 29,980 3,993,930
Aug 1 : 51,530 290,340 602,690 7,570 952,130
Oct 1 3/ : 18,230 197,090 215,320
Dec 1 : 1,614,060 482,210 3,380,710 10,480 5,487,460
:
: Milled Rice - Metric Tons
Mar 1 : 201,980 15,600 49,080 266,660
Aug 1 : 163,200 14,920 39,370 217,490
Oct 1 3/ : 30,030 30,030
Dec 1 : 175,130 5,810 64,730 245,670
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ October includes small amount stored on farms.
2/ Revised
3/ CA only.
Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, August 1, 1998-99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : :
: or : and : not : In Ports : Total
State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All
: Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
1999 :
AR : 1,000 3,887 3,838 65 8,790
CA : 75 289 3,748 4,112
LA : * * * * 1,153
MS : * * * * 1,390
MO : * * * * 444
TX : 250 267 162 12 691
:
Unall* : 235 1,027 1,684 41
:
US : 1,560 5,470 9,432 118 16,580
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:
AR : 1,175 103 164 1,442
CA : 782 782
LA : * * * *
MS : * * * *
MO : * * * *
TX : 825 5 830
:
Unall* : 550 275 825
:
US : 3,332 103 444 3,879
:
: Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
1998 :
AR : 800 3,962 2,841 6 7,609
CA : 103 734 8,565 9,402
LA : * * * * 968
MS : * * * * 1,438
MO : * * * * 325
TX : 40 746 463 1,249
:
Unall* : 193 959 1,418 161
:
US : 1,136 6,401 13,287 167 20,991
:
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:
AR : 1,235 162 207 1,604
CA : 756 756
LA : * * * *
MS : * * * *
MO : * * * *
TX : 825 167 149 1,141
:
Unall* : 782 512 1,294
:
US : 3,598 329 868 4,795
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.
Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions,
California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1998-99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Long : Medium : Short : Total
State :--------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : * * 8,755 3,203 * * 9,402 4,112
:
Oth Sts 1/ : * * 1,885 1,818 * * 11,589 12,468
:
US : 9,863 10,915 10,640 5,021 488 644 20,991 16,580
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA.
Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions,
California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 1998-99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Long : Medium : Short : Total
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : 34 48 461 576 45 29 540 653
:
Oth Sts 1/: 3,194 2,111 267 182 55 102 3,516 2,395
:
US : 3,228 2,159 728 758 100 131 4,056 3,048
:
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Broken Kernels
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Second Heads 2/ : Screenings : Brewers : Total
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : 201 110 15 19 216 129
:
Oth Sts 1/: 323 476 33 102 167 124 523 702
:
US : 524 586 33 102 182 143 739 831
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
2/ Includes screenings in CA.
Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 1998-99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : :
: or : and : not : In Ports : Total
: Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All
State : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: March 1, 1999
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
1999 :
AR : 12,500 5,812 21,983 45 40,340
CA : 990 697 13,909 15,596
LA : 2,400 1,428 4,931 149 8,908
MS : * * * 6,280
MO 1/ : * * * 2,918
TX : 1,700 1,069 2,827 612 6,208
:
Unall* : 4,700 739 3,759
:
US : 22,290 9,745 47,409 806 80,250
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:
AR : 1,528 * * 1,933
CA : 1,028 1,028
LA : * * * *
MS : * * * *
MO : * * * *
TX : 618 13 12 643
:
Unall* : 526 159 460 740
:
US : 3,700 172 472 4,344
:
: Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
1998 :
AR : 11,500 6,494 21,802 15 39,811
CA : 2,115 1,467 22,203 25,785
LA : 1,800 1,506 3,212 43 6,561
MS : * * * 6,293
MO : * * * 2,031
TX : 1,500 1,483 3,984 603 7,570
:
Unall* : 4,290 786 3,248
:
US : 21,205 11,736 54,449 661 88,051
:
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:
AR : 1,523 149 190 1,862
CA : 1,073 1,073
LA : * * * *
MS : * * * *
MO : * * * *
TX : 1,356 194 91 1,641
:
Unall* : 501 1 801 1,303
:
US : 4,453 344 1,082 5,879
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Revised
* Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.
Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions,
California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1998-99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Long : Medium : Short : Total
State :--------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : * * 24,382 13,872 * * 25,785 15,596
:
Oth Sts 1/ : * * 9,214 7,457 * * 62,266 64,654
:
US : 53,329 57,636 33,596 21,329 1,126 1,285 88,051 80,250
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ 1999 Revised
2/ AR, LA,MS,MO, and TX.
* Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA.
Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in all Positions,
California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1998-99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Long : Medium : Short : Total
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : 36 16 725 879 29 31 790 926
:
Oth Sts 1/: 3,835 2,345 355 235 6 31 4,196 2,611
:
US : 3,871 2,361 1,080 1,114 35 62 4,986 3,537
:
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Broken Kernels
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Second Heads 2/ : Screenings : Brewers : Total
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999 : 1998 : 1999
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : 256 88 27 14 283 102
:
Oth Sts 1/: 455 524 27 92 128 89 610 705
:
US : 711 612 27 92 155 103 893 807
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
2/ Includes screenings in CA.
Reliability of August 1, 1999, Rice Stocks Estimates
Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on
surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were
conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks
survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures that
all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. Data can
then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of rice on all farms.
The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of all known commercial
rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all
facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete
coverage.
Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the
State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical
estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and
off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using
the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to
check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production,
exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production
and utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present
the best possible estimate of stocks.
Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the
report following the initial publication and again in the December 1,
"Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made
when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and
calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be
reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No
revisions will be made after that date.
Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates
must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are
drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling
variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in
the sample.
Survey estimates are also subject to non sampling errors such as omission,
duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording,
and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to
these types or errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are
minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a
careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.The next
"Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 29, 1999.
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Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 14th and Independence Avenue, SW,
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