Gr Lg 11-3 (3-04) Rice Stocks National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 31, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Mark R. Miller at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks down 14 Percent from March 2003 Rough rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 2004, totaled 87.8 million hundredweight (cwt), down 14 percent from the total on March 1, 2003. Stocks held on farms totaled 18.3 million cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled 69.5 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 68 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 30 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 2 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 6.33 million cwt, 4 percent below a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 5.00 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.34 million cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit :Positions 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2004 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt Mar 1 : 18,325 13,755 55,150 610 87,840 Aug 1 : Oct 1 2/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 4,530 146 1,657 6,333 Aug 1 : Oct 1 2/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 831,210 623,920 2,501,560 27,670 3,984,360 Aug 1 : Oct 1 2/ : Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 205,480 6,620 75,160 287,260 Aug 1 : Oct 1 2/ : Dec 1 : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 27,505 11,869 61,514 1,690 102,578 Aug 1 : 1,225 5,749 13,080 17 20,071 Oct 1 2/ : * 314 2,714 * 3,154 Dec 1 : 43,165 13,295 77,989 870 135,319 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 4,494 110 2,023 6,627 Aug 1 : 3,783 54 737 4,574 Oct 1 2/ : 913 0 2 915 Dec 1 : 4,859 118 1,639 6,616 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 1,247,610 538,370 2,790,230 76,660 4,652,860 Aug 1 : 55,570 260,770 593,300 770 910,410 Oct 1 2/ : * 14,240 123,100 * 143,060 Dec 1 : 1,957,930 603,050 3,537,520 39,460 6,137,970 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - Metric Tons :------------------------------------------------------------------- Mar 1 : 203,840 4,990 91,760 300,600 Aug 1 : 171,590 2,450 33,430 207,470 Oct 1 2/ : 41,410 0 90 41,500 Dec1 : 220,400 5,350 74,340 300,100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ Total may not add due to rounding. 2/ CA only. Rice Stocks: By Position, State and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All State : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2004 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 10,200 7,585 27,000 0 44,785 CA : 1,525 * 18,323 * 22,014 LA : 2,300 * 3,197 * 8,307 MS : 2,500 * * * 5,243 MO : * * * 0 * TX : * * 2,215 0 * Unall* : 1,800 6,170 4,415 610 7,491 : US : 18,325 13,755 55,150 610 87,840 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,253 146 159 1,558 CA : 2,238 0 903 3,141 LA : 288 0 509 797 MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 * * TX : 608 0 0 608 Unall* : 143 0 86 229 : US : 4,530 146 1,657 6,333 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 2003 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 15,600 8,036 29,783 4 53,423 CA : * 1,532 18,640 * 22,241 LA : 2,400 * * * 8,608 MS : 4,800 * 3,215 * 8,566 MO : * * * 0 4,430 TX : 1,600 620 3,090 0 5,310 Unall* : 3,105 1,681 6,786 1,686 0 : US : 27,505 11,869 61,514 1,690 102,578 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,619 110 290 2,019 CA : 1,654 0 430 2,084 LA : 135 0 1,293 1,428 MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 * * TX : 952 0 0 952 Unall* : 134 0 10 144 : US : 4,494 110 2,023 6,627 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 20,564 20,111 * * 22,241 22,014 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 4,965 6,451 * * 80,337 65,826 : US : 75,733 59,671 25,529 26,562 1,316 1,607 102,578 87,840 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2003-2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 15 26 1,134 1,997 58 121 1,207 2,144 : Oth Sts 1/: 3,641 2,656 217 197 1 1 3,859 2,854 : US : 3,656 2,682 1,351 2,194 59 122 5,066 4,998 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 : 2003 : 2004 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 800 965 * * 77 32 877 997 : Oth Sts 1/: 390 234 146 22 148 82 684 338 : US : 1,190 1,199 146 22 225 114 1,561 1,335 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Screenings included with second heads in CA. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions :------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 23,500 8,307 34,416 0 66,223 CA : * 2,502 28,182 * 33,380 LA : 5,400 1,106 5,257 753 12,516 MS : 6,000 * * * 9,833 MO : * * * 0 5,941 TX : 2,750 * 4,293 * 7,426 Unall* : 5,515 1,380 5,841 117 0 : US : 43,165 13,295 77,989 870 135,319 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,647 118 138 1,903 CA : * 0 * 2,691 LA : 262 0 454 716 MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 * * TX : 1,040 0 0 1,040 Unall* : 1,910 0 1,047 266 : US : 4,859 118 1,639 6,616 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, 2002 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt AR : 28,700 * 39,692 * 76,087 CA : * 3,285 30,386 * 36,759 LA : 8,500 1,523 5,826 882 16,731 MS : 7,100 * 3,641 * 11,202 MO : * * * * 5,577 TX : 3,500 * * 0 10,714 Unall* : 5,420 9,443 8,876 296 0 : US : 53,220 14,251 88,421 1,178 157,070 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt :------------------------------------------------------------------- : AR : 1,784 117 234 2,135 CA : 1,534 0 632 2,166 LA : 376 0 1,524 1,900 MS : * 0 * * MO : * 0 * * TX : 870 0 153 1,023 Unall* : 250 0 7 257 : US : 4,814 117 2,550 7,481 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 33,937 30,533 * * 36,759 33,380 : Oth Sts 1/ : * * 6,981 8,203 * * 120,311 101,939 : US :113,897 93,881 40,918 38,736 2,255 2,702 157,070 135,319 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 2002-2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 23 17 1,467 1,809 57 111 1,547 1,937 : Oth Sts 1/: 4,367 3,321 207 191 1 3 4,575 3,515 : US : 4,390 3,338 1,674 2,000 58 114 6,122 5,452 : :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 513 732 * * 106 22 619 754 : Oth Sts 1/: 513 236 91 71 136 103 740 410 : US : 1,026 968 91 71 242 125 1,359 1,164 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Screenings included with second heads in CA. 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. Reliability of March 1, 2004 Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of March. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of March 1, 2004. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on August 27, 2004. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.usda.gov/nass/. Select "Today's Reports" or Publications and then Reports Calendar or Publications and then Search, by Title or Subject. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home Page at www.usda.gov/nass/, click on Publications, then click on the Subscribe by E-mail button which takes you to the page describing e-mail delivery of reports. Finally, click on Go to the Subscription Page and follow the instructions. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6900 (Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ASSISTANCE For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov.