Gr Lg 11-3  (3-03)
 
 
 
 
Rice
Stocks
 
National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA
Washington, D.C.
 
 
Released March 31, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.
For information on "Rice Stocks" call Mark R. Miller at (202) 720-7688,
office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.
 
 
 
Rough Rice Stocks Down 10 Percent From March 2002
 
Rough rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 2003, totaled 103 million
hundredweight (cwt), down 10 percent from the total on March 1, 2002.
Stocks held on farms totaled 27.5 million cwt, and off-farm stocks
totaled 75.1 million cwt.  Long grain varieties accounted for 74 percent
of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 25 percent, and short
grain varieties accounted for 1 percent.
 
Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 6.63 million cwt, 38 percent
above the comparable figure a year ago.  Milled rice stocks were
comprised of 5.07 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.56 million cwt
of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice.
 
 
 
 
               Rice Stocks:  By Position, United States, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :  On Farms  :  In Mills  :  In Whses   :             :
            :     or     :    and     :     not     :  In Ports   :    Total
    Date    :    Farm    :  Attached  :  Attached   :    or In    :     All
            :   Whses    :   Whses    :  to Mills   :   Transit   :Positions 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2003    :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
Mar 1       :    27,505      11,869         61,514        1,690        102,578
Aug 1       :
Oct 1 2/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :                 4,494            110        2,023          6,627
Aug 1       :
Oct 1 2/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       : 1,247,610     538,370      2,790,230       76,660      4,652,860
Aug 1       :
Oct 1 2/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :               203,840          4,990       91,760        300,600
Aug 1       :
Oct 1 2/    :
Dec 1       :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2002    :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :    31,725      15,325         66,279          179        113,508
Aug 1       :     5,180       6,599         19,728          302         31,809
Oct 1 2/    :         *         539          2,899            *          3,488
Dec 1       :    53,220      14,251         88,421        1,178        157,070
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :                 3,689            155          969          4,813
Aug 1       :                 3,581             88        1,261          4,930
Oct 1 2/    :                   726              0            0            726
Dec 1       :                 4,814            117        2,550          7,481
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       : 1,439,020     695,130      3,006,370        8,120      5,148,640
Aug 1       :   234,960     299,330        894,850       13,700      1,442,830
Oct 1 2/    :         *      24,450        131,500            *        158,210
Dec 1       : 2,414,020     646,410      4,010,710       53,430      7,124,580
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :               167,330          7,030       43,950        218,310
Aug 1       :               162,430          3,990       57,200        223,620
Oct 1 2/    :                32,930              0            0         32,930
Dec1        :               218,360          5,310      115,670        339,330
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*   Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.
1/  Total may not add due to rounding.
2/  CA only.
 
 
 
 
     Rice Stocks:  By Position, State and United States, March 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :  On Farms  :  In Mills  :  In Whses   :             :
            :     or     :    and     :     not     :  In Ports   :    Total
            :    Farm    :  Attached  :  Attached   :    or In    :     All
    State   :   Whses    :   Whses    :  to Mills   :   Transit   :  Positions
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                           March 1, 2003
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
AR          :   15,600        8,036       29,783             4         53,423
CA          :        *        1,532       18,640             *         22,241
LA          :    2,400            *            *             *          8,608
MS          :    4,800            *        3,215             *          8,566
MO          :        *            *            *             0          4,430
TX          :    1,600          620        3,090             0          5,310
Unall*      :    3,105        1,681        6,786         1,686              0
            :
US          :   27,505       11,869       61,514         1,690        102,578
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                 1,619          110           290          2,019
CA          :                 1,654            0           430          2,084
LA          :                   135            0         1,293          1,428
MS          :                     *            0             *              *
MO          :                     *            0             *              *
TX          :                   952            0             0            952
Unall*      :                   134            0            10            144
            :
US          :                 4,494          110         2,023          6,627
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                           March 1, 2002
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
AR          :   18,300        7,590       31,592            62         57,544
CA          :    1,125        1,689       21,277             0         24,091
LA          :    3,400            *            *             *          9,931
MS          :    4,200          491        2,967             0          7,658
MO          :        *            *            *             0          6,502
TX          :        *            *        3,703             *          7,782
Unall*      :    4,700        5,555        6,740           117              0
            :
US          :   31,725       15,325       66,279           179        113,508
            :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                 1,591          155           441          2,187
CA          :                   925            0             0            925
LA          :                   445            0           462            907
MS          :                     *            0             *              *
MO          :                     *            0             *              *
TX          :                   606            0             0            606
Unall*      :                   122            0            66            188
            :
US          :                 3,689          155           969          4,813
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.
 
 
 
 
            Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
         California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :      Long      :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
   State   :--------------------------------------------------------------------
           :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  :  2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :                             1,000 Cwt
           :
CA         :      *       *   22,212  20,564       *        *   24,091   22,241
           :
Oth Sts 1/ :      *       *    6,303   4,965       *        *   89,417   80,337
           :
US         : 83,723  75,733   28,515  25,529   1,270    1,316  113,508  102,578
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*   Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
 
 
            Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
         California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
   State  :      Long       :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2002  :  2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  :  2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    18       15     424     1,134    110       58      552    1,207
          :
Oth Sts 1/: 3,204    3,641     198       217      0        1    3,402    3,859
          :
US        : 3,222    3,656     622     1,351    110       59    3,954    5,066
          :
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                           Broken Kernels
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  Second Heads   :   Screenings   :    Brewers     :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2002  :  2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  :  2003
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :   352      800       *         *     21       77      373      877
          :
Oth Sts 1/:   296      390     139       146     51      148      486      684
          :
US        :   648    1,190     139       146     72      225      859    1,561
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*   Screenings included with second heads in CA.
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
 
 
 
 
   Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, December 1, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :  On Farms  :  In Mills  :  In Whses   :             :
            :     or     :    and     :     not     :  In Ports   :    Total
    State   :    Farm    :  Attached  :  Attached   :    or In    :     All
            :   Whses    :   Whses    :  to Mills   :   Transit   :  Positions
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                         December 1, 2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
AR          :   28,700            *       39,692             *         76,087
CA          :        *        3,285       30,386             *         36,759
LA          :    8,500        1,523        5,826           882         16,731
MS          :    7,100            *        3,641             *         11,202
MO          :        *            *            *             *          5,577
TX          :    3,500            *            *             0         10,714
Unall*      :    5,420        9,443        8,876           296              0
            :
US          :   53,220       14,251       88,421         1,178        157,070
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                 1,784          117           234          2,135
CA          :                 1,534            0           632          2,166
LA          :                   376            0         1,524          1,900
MS          :                     *            0             *              *
MO          :                     *            0             *              *
TX          :                   870            0           153          1,023
Unall*      :                   250            0             7            257
            :
US          :                 4,814          117         2,550          7,481
            :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                         December 1, 2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
AR          :   27,500        7,671       40,100           209         75,480
CA          :    2,730        2,232       30,675           414         36,051
LA          :    8,750            *        5,714             *         16,172
MS          :    6,300            *            *             *              *
MO          :        *            *            *             *              *
TX          :        *          696        5,561             *          8,458
Unall*      :    7,400        2,434        6,077            98         18,400
            :
US          :   52,680       13,033       88,127           721        154,561
            :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                 1,688          122           171          1,981
CA          :                 1,231            0            31          1,262
LA          :                     *            *             *              *
MS          :                     *            *             *              *
MO          :                     *            *             *              *
TX          :                   855            0             0            855
Unall*      :                   866           65           878          1,809
            :
US          :                 4,640          187         1,080          5,907
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*   Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.
 
 
 
 
            Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
       California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :      Long      :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
   State   :--------------------------------------------------------------------
           :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  :  2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :                             1,000 Cwt
           :
CA         :      *        *  33,405  33,937       *        *   36,051   36,759
           :
Oth Sts 1/ :      *        *   9,120   6,981       *        *  118,510  120,311
           :
US         :109,953  113,897  42,525  40,918   2,083    2,255  154,561  157,070
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*   Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
 
 
            Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
       California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
   State  :      Long       :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2001  :  2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  :  2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    19       23     734     1,467     62       57      815    1,547
          :
Oth Sts 1/: 3,777    4,367     252       207      0        1    4,029    4,575
          :
US        : 3,796    4,390     986     1,674     62       58    4,844    6,122
          :
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                           Broken Kernels
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  Second Heads   :   Screenings   :    Brewers     :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2001  :  2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  :  2002
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :   428      513       *         *     19      106      447      619
          :
Oth Sts 1/:   397      513     123        91     96      136      616      740
          :
US        :   825    1,026     123        91    115      242    1,063    1,359
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*   Screenings included with second heads in CA.
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
 
 
 
 
     Reliability of March 1, 2003 Rice Stocks Estimates
 
Survey Procedures:  The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on
surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of March. Separate surveys
were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates.  The on-farm
stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that
ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be
selected.  These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of
grain stored on their operations as of March 1, 2003. Off-farm stocks are
a census of all known rice storage facilities.  An effort is made to
obtain reports from all off-farm facilities.  Estimates are made for
missing facilities to assure complete coverage.
 
Estimation Procedures:  On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at
the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with
historical estimates, and current crop size.  After estimates are made
for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined
and evaluated using the balance sheet approach.  This method utilizes
other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks
estimates.  Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed
to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks
are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of
stocks.
 
Revision Policy:  On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in
the quarter following initial publication and again in the following
December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year.
Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected
in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised.
Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of
Agriculture are available.  No revisions to these years will be made
after that date.
 
Reliability:  Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be
treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are
drastically different.  The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to
sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are
not included in the sample.
 
Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as
omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in
reporting, recording, and processing the data.  Off-farm, as well as
on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors.  These errors
cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality
controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all
reported data for consistency and reasonableness.
 
 
The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on August
28, 2003.
 
 
 
 
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