Rice StocksNational Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released March 31, 1998, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call Barbara Rater at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Rough Rice Stocks Up Rough rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 1998 totaled 88.1 million hundredweight (cwt), up 10 percent from the total on March 1, 1997. Stocks held on farms totaled 21.2 million cwt and off-farm stocks totaled 66.8 million cwt. Rough rice stocks by type were 53.3 million cwt of long grain varieties, 33.6 million cwt of medium grain, 1.13 million cwt of short grain. Milled rice stocks on March 1 totaled 5.88 million cwt, 27 percent above the comparable figure for a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 4.99 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 893,000 cwt of second heads, screenings and brewers rice. Gr Lg 11-3 (3-98) Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 1997-98 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : To Mills 1/: Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1998 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt : Mar 1 : 21,205 11,736 54,449 661 88,051 Aug 1 : Oct 1 2/: Dec 1 : : : Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt : Mar 1 : 4,453 344 1,082 5,879 Aug 1 : Oct 1 2/: Dec 1 : : : Rough Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 961,840 532,340 2,469,770 29,980 3,993,930 Aug 1 : Oct 1 2/: Dec 1 : : : Milled Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 201,980 15,600 49,080 266,660 Aug 1 : Oct 1 2/: Dec 1 : :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt : Mar 1 : 16,003 13,112 49,519 1,510 80,144 Aug 1 : 428 7,256 13,647 462 21,793 Oct 1 2/: 221 4,294 4,515 Dec 1 3/: 33,470 13,505 76,302 1,066 124,343 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt : Mar 1 : 3,590 381 640 4,611 Aug 1 : 3,269 474 76 3,819 Oct 1 2/: 776 776 Dec 1 : 4,144 101 1,437 5,682 : : Rough Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 725,880 594,750 2,246,140 68,490 3,635,260 Aug 1 : 19,410 329,130 619,020 20,960 988,520 Oct 1 2/: 10,020 194,770 204,790 Dec 1 3/: 1,518,170 612,580 3,461,000 48,350 5,640,100 : : Milled Rice - Metric Tons : Mar 1 : 162,840 17,280 29,030 209,150 Aug 1 : 148,280 21,500 3,450 173,230 Oct 1 2/: 35,200 35,200 Dec 1 : 187,970 4,580 65,180 257,730 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ October includes small amount stored on farms. 2/ CA only. 3/ Revised. Rice Stocks: By Position, by State, and United States, March 1, 1997-98 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : To Mills : Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : March 1, 1998 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 11,500 6,494 21,802 15 39,811 CA : 2,115 1,467 22,203 0 25,785 LA : 1,800 1,506 3,212 43 6,561 MS : * * * * 6,293 MO : * * * * 2,031 TX : 1,500 1,483 3,984 603 7,570 Unall* : 4,290 786 3,248 0 : US : 21,205 11,736 54,449 661 88,051 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,523 149 190 1,862 CA : 1,073 0 0 1,073 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 1,356 194 91 1,641 Unall* : 501 1 801 1,303 : US : 4,453 344 1,082 5,879 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : March 1, 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 9,000 7,382 19,362 15 35,759 CA : 1,423 1,297 19,080 0 21,800 LA : 1,100 2,295 3,095 312 6,802 MS : * * * * 5,475 MO : * * * * 1,753 TX : 1,280 1,484 4,608 1,183 8,555 Unall* : 3,200 654 3,374 0 : US : 16,003 13,112 49,519 1,510 80,144 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 756 258 14 1,028 CA : 1,280 0 0 1,280 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 1,048 123 196 1,367 Unall* : 506 0 430 936 : US : 3,590 381 640 4,611 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1997-98 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 21,026 24,382 * * 21,800 25,785 : Oth Sts 1/: * * 10,639 9,214 * * 58,344 62,266 : US : 47,871 53,329 31,665 33,596 608 1,126 80,144 88,051 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ * Not published to avoid disclosing individual reports in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1997-98 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 32 36 859 725 79 29 970 790 : Oth Sts 1/: 2,590 3,835 220 355 6 6 2,816 4,196 : US : 2,622 3,871 1,079 1,080 85 35 3,786 4,986 : :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 : 1997 : 1998 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 278 256 32 27 310 283 : Oth Sts 1/: 345 455 20 27 150 128 515 610 : US : 623 711 20 27 182 155 825 893 : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Rice Stocks: By Position, by State, and United States, December 1, 1996-97 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : : : or : and : Not : In Ports : Total State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or in : All : Whses : Whses : To Mills : Transit : Positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR 1/ : 17,800 7,658 29,952 10 55,420 CA : * * 29,498 0 34,664 LA : 4,000 1,862 6,909 4 12,775 MS : * * * * 8,637 MO : * * * * 2,949 TX : 1,830 1,388 5,628 1,052 9,898 Unall* : 9,840 2,597 4,315 0 0 : US : 33,470 13,505 76,302 1,066 124,343 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,470 92 108 1,670 CA : 1,356 0 0 1,356 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 818 9 0 827 Unall* : 500 0 1,329 1,829 : US : 4,144 101 1,437 5,682 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : December 1, 1996 :------------------------------------------------------------------- : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 17,500 7,529 26,393 61 51,483 CA : * * 30,073 0 35,031 LA : 4,000 1,816 5,234 13 11,063 MS : * * * * 7,979 MO : * * * * 2,761 TX : 2,341 1,194 6,490 727 10,752 Unall* : 8,878 2,689 4,131 0 : US : 32,719 13,228 72,321 801 119,069 : : Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt : AR : 1,238 103 28 1,369 CA : 1,522 0 0 1,522 LA : * * * * MS : * * * * MO : * * * * TX : 828 177 42 1,047 Unall* : 468 0 1,245 1,713 : US : 4,056 280 1,315 5,651 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Revised. * Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1996-97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : * * 33,350 32,779 * * 35,031 34,664 : Oth Sts 1/: * * 15,665 11,698 * * 84,038 89,679 2/: US : 68,687 78,329 49,015 44,477 1,367 1,537 119,069 124,343 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1997 revised. 2/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. * Not published to avoid disclosing individual reports in CA. Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions, California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1996-97 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole Kernels (Head Rice) :------------------------------------------------------------------ State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 6 17 1,154 981 56 46 1,216 1,044 : Oth Sts 1/: 3,352 3,426 294 267 0 0 3,646 3,693 : US : 3,358 3,443 1,448 1,248 56 46 4,862 4,737 : :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Broken Kernels :------------------------------------------------------------------ : Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 : 1996 : 1997 :------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Cwt : CA : 276 275 30 37 306 312 : Oth Sts 1/: 277 367 49 27 157 239 483 633 : US : 553 642 49 27 187 276 789 945 : ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA. Reliability of March 1, 1998, Rice Stocks Estimates Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of March. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures that all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected. Data can then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate of rice on all farms. The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an enumeration of all known commercial rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production and utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the report following the initial publication and again in the December 1, "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks estimates must be treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey estimates are also subject to non sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types or errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on August 28, 1998. 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