Rice
StocksNational
Agricultural
Statistics
Service

USDA Washington, D.C.  Released March 31, 1998, by the National
Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board,
U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Rice Stocks" call
Barbara Rater at (202) 720-7688, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.


                        Rough Rice Stocks Up

Rough rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 1998 totaled 88.1 million
hundredweight (cwt), up 10 percent from the total on March 1, 1997.
Stocks held on farms totaled 21.2 million cwt and off-farm stocks
totaled 66.8 million cwt. Rough rice stocks by type were 53.3 million
cwt of long grain varieties, 33.6 million cwt of medium grain, 1.13
million cwt of short grain.

Milled rice stocks on March 1 totaled 5.88 million cwt, 27 percent above
the comparable figure for a year ago.  Milled rice stocks were comprised of
4.99 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 893,000 cwt of second heads,
screenings and brewers rice.


Gr Lg 11-3 (3-98)

                 Rice Stocks:  By Position, United States, 1997-98
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :
          :     or      :    and      :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total
   Date   :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All
          :    Whses    :   Whses     : To Mills 1/:   Transit  :  Positions
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                               1998        
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt
          :
  Mar 1   :    21,205        11,736       54,449          661        88,051
  Aug 1   :                                                                
  Oct 1 2/:                                                                
  Dec 1   :                                                                
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt
          :
  Mar 1   :                   4,453          344        1,082         5,879
  Aug 1   :                                                                
  Oct 1 2/:                                                                
  Dec 1   :                                                                
          :
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
          :
  Mar 1   :   961,840       532,340    2,469,770       29,980     3,993,930
  Aug 1   :                                                                
  Oct 1 2/:                                                                
  Dec 1   :                                                                
          :
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
          :
  Mar 1   :                 201,980       15,600       49,080       266,660
  Aug 1   :                                                                
  Oct 1 2/:                                                                
  Dec 1   :                                                                
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                               1997
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 cwt
          :
  Mar 1   :    16,003        13,112       49,519        1,510        80,144
  Aug 1   :       428         7,256       13,647          462        21,793
  Oct 1 2/:                     221        4,294                      4,515
  Dec 1 3/:    33,470        13,505       76,302        1,066       124,343
          :
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 cwt
          :
  Mar 1   :                   3,590          381          640         4,611
  Aug 1   :                   3,269          474           76         3,819
  Oct 1 2/:                     776                                     776
  Dec 1   :                   4,144          101        1,437         5,682
          :
          :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
          :
  Mar 1   :   725,880       594,750    2,246,140       68,490     3,635,260
  Aug 1   :    19,410       329,130      619,020       20,960       988,520
  Oct 1 2/:                  10,020      194,770                    204,790
  Dec 1 3/: 1,518,170       612,580    3,461,000       48,350     5,640,100
          :
          :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
          :
  Mar 1   :                 162,840       17,280       29,030       209,150
  Aug 1   :                 148,280       21,500        3,450       173,230
  Oct 1 2/:                  35,200                                  35,200
  Dec 1   :                 187,970        4,580       65,180       257,730
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ October includes small amount stored on farms.
2/ CA only.
3/ Revised.

   Rice Stocks:  By Position, by State, and United States, March 1, 1997-98
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  On Farms   :  In Mills   :  In Whses  :            :
          :     or      :     and     :    Not     :  In Ports  :    Total
  State   :    Farm     :  Attached   :  Attached  :    or in   :     All
          :    Whses    :   Whses     :  To Mills  :   Transit  :  Positions
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                         March 1, 1998
          :------------------------------------------------------------------  
          :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
          :
  AR      :    11,500         6,494       21,802           15        39,811
  CA      :     2,115         1,467       22,203            0        25,785
  LA      :     1,800         1,506        3,212           43         6,561
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         6,293
  MO      :         *             *            *            *         2,031
  TX      :     1,500         1,483        3,984          603         7,570
  Unall*  :     4,290           786        3,248            0
          :
  US      :    21,205        11,736       54,449          661        88,051
          :                                                       
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
          :
  AR      :                   1,523          149          190         1,862
  CA      :                   1,073            0            0         1,073
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *
  TX      :                   1,356          194           91         1,641
  Unall*  :                     501            1          801         1,303
          :
  US      :                   4,453          344        1,082         5,879
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                         March 1, 1997
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                       Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt      
          :  
  AR      :     9,000         7,382       19,362           15        35,759
  CA      :     1,423         1,297       19,080            0        21,800
  LA      :     1,100         2,295        3,095          312         6,802
  MS      :         *             *            *            *         5,475
  MO      :         *             *            *            *         1,753
  TX      :     1,280         1,484        4,608        1,183         8,555
  Unall*  :     3,200           654        3,374            0
          :
  US      :    16,003        13,112       49,519        1,510        80,144
          :                                                       
          :                       Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
          :
  AR      :                     756          258           14         1,028
  CA      :                   1,280            0            0         1,280
  LA      :                       *            *            *             *
  MS      :                       *            *            *             *
  MO      :                       *            *            *             *
  TX      :                   1,048          123          196         1,367
  Unall*  :                     506            0          430           936
          :
  US      :                   3,590          381          640         4,611
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.
                                                                  

               Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
           California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1997-98
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1997  :  1998  : 1997  : 1998  : 1997  : 1998  :  1997  :  1998
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :                                                          
CA        :      *       *   21,026  24,382       *       *   21,800   25,785
          :                                                          
Oth Sts 1/:      *       *   10,639   9,214       *       *   58,344   62,266
          :                                                          
US        : 47,871  53,329   31,665  33,596     608   1,126   80,144   88,051
          :
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Not published to avoid disclosing individual reports in CA.         




               Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
           California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 1997-98
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1997  :  1998  : 1997  : 1998  : 1997  : 1998  :  1997  :  1998
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :                                                          
CA        :     32      36     859     725      79      29      970      790
          :                                                          
Oth Sts 1/:  2,590   3,835     220     355       6       6    2,816    4,196
          :                                                          
US        :  2,622   3,871   1,079   1,080      85      35    3,786    4,986
          :                                                          
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                          Broken Kernels
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  Second Heads   : Screenings 2/ :    Brewers    :      Total
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1997  :  1998  : 1997  : 1998  : 1997  : 1998  :  1997  :  1998
          :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :                                                          
CA        :    278     256                      32      27      310      283
          :                                                          
Oth Sts 1/:    345     455      20      27     150     128      515      610
          :                                                          
US        :    623     711      20      27     182     155      825      893
          :                                                          
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ AR, LA, MS, MO and TX.
2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA.


 Rice Stocks:  By Position, by State, and United States, December 1, 1996-97
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
         :  On Farms  :   In Mills  :  In Whses   :              :
         :     or     :      and    :    Not      :   In Ports   :   Total
 State   :    Farm    :   Attached  :  Attached   :     or in    :    All
         :    Whses   :     Whses   :  To Mills   :    Transit   : Positions
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
         :                          December 1, 1997
         :-------------------------------------------------------------------
         :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt         
         :
  AR 1/  :   17,800         7,658        29,952             10       55,420
  CA     :        *             *        29,498              0       34,664
  LA     :    4,000         1,862         6,909              4       12,775
  MS     :        *             *             *              *        8,637
  MO     :        *             *             *              *        2,949
  TX     :    1,830         1,388         5,628          1,052        9,898
  Unall* :    9,840         2,597         4,315              0            0
         :                                                       
  US     :   33,470        13,505        76,302          1,066      124,343
         :
         :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
         :
  AR     :                  1,470            92            108        1,670
  CA     :                  1,356             0              0        1,356
  LA     :                      *             *              *            *
  MS     :                      *             *              *            *
  MO     :                      *             *              *            *
  TX     :                    818             9              0          827
  Unall* :                    500             0          1,329        1,829
         :                                                       
  US     :                  4,144           101          1,437        5,682
         :-------------------------------------------------------------------
         :                          December 1, 1996 
         :-------------------------------------------------------------------    
                                                
         :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
         :
  AR     :   17,500         7,529        26,393             61       51,483
  CA     :        *             *        30,073              0       35,031
  LA     :    4,000         1,816         5,234             13       11,063
  MS     :        *             *             *              *        7,979
  MO     :        *             *             *              *        2,761
  TX     :    2,341         1,194         6,490            727       10,752
  Unall* :    8,878         2,689         4,131              0            
         :                                                       
  US     :   32,719        13,228        72,321            801      119,069
         :
         :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
         :
  AR     :                  1,238           103             28        1,369
  CA     :                  1,522             0              0        1,522
  LA     :                      *             *              *            *
  MS     :                      *             *              *            *
  MO     :                      *             *              *            *
  TX     :                    828           177             42        1,047
  Unall* :                    468             0          1,245        1,713
         :                                                       
  US     :                  4,056           280          1,315        5,651
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Revised.
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.
                                                                 
               Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
           California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1996-97 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
  State   :-------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1996  :  1997  : 1996  : 1997  : 1996  : 1997  :  1996  :  1997
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :      *       *   33,350  32,779       *       *   35,031   34,664
          :                                                         
Oth Sts 1/:      *       *   15,665  11,698       *       *   84,038   89,679
        2/:                                                         
US        : 68,687  78,329   49,015  44,477   1,367   1,537  119,069  124,343
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ 1997 revised.
2/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
*  Not published to avoid disclosing individual reports in CA.


               Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
           California, Other States, and United States, December 1, 1996-97
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                     Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
  State   :      Long       :    Medium     :     Short     :      Total
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1996  :  1997  : 1996  : 1997  : 1996  : 1997  :  1996  :  1997
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :      6      17   1,154     981      56      46    1,216    1,044
          :                                                         
Oth Sts 1/:  3,352   3,426     294     267       0       0    3,646    3,693
          :                                                         
US        :  3,358   3,443   1,448   1,248      56      46    4,862    4,737
          :
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                          Broken Kernels
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  Second Heads   : Screenings 2/ :    Brewers    :      Total
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  1996  :  1997  : 1996  : 1997  : 1996  : 1997  :  1996  :  1997
          :------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                             1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    276     275                      30      37      306      312
          :                                                         
Oth Sts 1/:    277     367      49      27     157     239      483      633
          :                                                         
US        :    553     642      49      27     187     276      789      945
          :
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
2/  Screenings included with second heads in CA.


        Reliability of March 1, 1998, Rice Stocks Estimates

Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on
                   surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of March.
Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm
stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that
ensures that all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be
selected. Data can then be statistically adjusted to provide an estimate
of rice on all farms. The off-farm stocks estimate is based on an
enumeration of all known commercial rice storage facilities. An effort
is made to obtain reports from all facilities. Estimates are made for
missing facilities to assure complete coverage.


Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at
                       the State and national levels for reasonableness,
consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After
estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these
two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method
utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks
estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed
to make sure beginning stocks, production and utilization, and ending
stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible
estimate of stocks.


Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in
                 the report following the initial publication and again
in the December 1, "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year.
Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected
in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised.
Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of
Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date.


Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm rice stocks
             estimates must be treated separately because the survey design
for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates
are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm
stocks are not included in the sample.

Survey estimates are also subject to non sampling errors such as
omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in
reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as
on-farm stocks, are subject to these types or errors. These errors
cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid
quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of
all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.

 The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on
August 28, 1998.


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