Rice Stocks ISSN: 1949-1603 Released March 29, 2018, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Rough Rice Stocks Down 22 Percent from March 2017 Rough rice stocks in all positions on March 1, 2018 totaled 83.4 million hundredweight (cwt), down 22 percent from the total on March 1, 2017. Stocks held on farms totaled 12.6 million cwt and off-farm stocks totaled 70.8 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted for 70 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for 28 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 2 percent. Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 5.46 million cwt, down 12 percent from a year ago. Milled rice stocks were comprised of 3.10 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 2.36 million cwt of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice. Rice Stocks by Position and Month in Domestic Units - United States: 2017 and 2018 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Rough rice . : March 1 .......: 21,600 85,969 107,569 12,550 70,831 83,381 June 1 ........: 10,525 55,819 66,344 August 1 ......: 4,693 34,077 38,770 October 1 2/ ..: 35 3,820 3,855 December 1 ....: 31,570 88,104 119,674 : Milled rice : March 1 .......: (X) 6,220 6,220 (X) 5,460 5,460 June 1 ........: (X) 5,397 5,397 August 1 ......: (X) 5,093 5,093 October 1 2/ ..: (X) 811 811 December 1 ....: (X) 6,702 6,702 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ California only. Rice Stocks by Position and Month in Metric Units - United States: 2017 and 2018 [Data may not add to totals due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Rough rice : March 1 .......: 979,760 3,899,490 4,879,250 569,260 3,212,840 3,782,100 June 1 ........: 477,410 2,531,910 3,009,310 August 1 ......: 212,870 1,545,710 1,758,580 October 1 2/ ..: 1,590 173,270 174,860 December 1 ....: 1,431,990 3,996,330 5,428,320 : Milled rice : March 1 .......: (X) 282,130 282,130 (X) 247,660 247,660 June 1 ........: (X) 244,800 244,800 August 1 ......: (X) 231,010 231,010 October 1 2/ ..: (X) 36,790 36,790 December 1 ....: (X) 304,000 304,000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ California only. Rice Stocks by Position - States and United States: March 1, 2017 and 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 Cwt : Rough rice : Arkansas ......: 11,500 43,397 54,897 8,100 38,828 46,928 California ....: 2,020 26,495 28,515 1,300 18,613 19,913 Louisiana .....: 2,300 5,902 8,202 1,100 5,071 6,171 Mississippi ...: 2,800 1,371 4,171 900 1,160 2,060 Missouri ......: (D) (D) 5,052 (D) (D) 3,324 Texas .........: (D) (D) 6,732 (D) (D) 4,985 : Unallocated 2/ : 2,980 8,804 - 1,150 7,159 - : United States .: 21,600 85,969 107,569 12,550 70,831 83,381 : Milled rice : Arkansas ......: (X) 2,364 2,364 (X) 2,379 2,379 California ....: (X) 1,937 1,937 (X) 1,738 1,738 Louisiana .....: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Mississippi ...: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Missouri ......: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Texas .........: (X) 648 648 (X) 294 294 : Unallocated 2/ : (X) 1,271 1,271 (X) 1,049 1,049 : United States .: (X) 6,220 6,220 (X) 5,460 5,460 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ Unallocated includes State data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: March 1, 2017 and 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 25,748 17,506 (D) (D) 28,515 19,913 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 7,896 5,991 (D) (D) 79,054 63,468 : United States ..: 71,636 57,863 33,644 23,497 2,289 2,021 107,569 83,381 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. Milled Rice Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: March 1, 2017 and 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole kernels (head rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 847 883 (D) (D) 924 950 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 124 434 (D) (D) 2,781 2,146 : United States ..: 2,659 1,717 971 1,317 75 62 3,705 3,096 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Second heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) - - (D) (D) 1,013 788 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 81 118 (D) (D) 1,502 1,576 : United States ..: 1,924 1,559 81 118 510 687 2,515 2,364 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in California. Rice Stocks by Position - States and United States: December 1, 2016 and 2017 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2016 : 2017 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Rough rice . : Arkansas ......: 23,300 52,702 76,002 17,000 42,887 59,887 California ....: 3,625 38,125 41,750 3,120 28,159 31,279 Louisiana .....: 10,700 8,236 18,936 6,200 5,965 12,165 Mississippi ...: 5,000 1,790 6,790 1,700 1,484 3,184 Missouri ......: (D) (D) 7,244 (D) (D) 5,061 Texas .........: (D) (D) 9,607 (D) (D) 8,098 : Unallocated 2/ : 5,970 10,881 - 3,550 9,609 - : United States .: 48,595 111,734 160,329 31,570 88,104 119,674 : Milled rice : Arkansas ......: (X) 1,919 1,919 (X) 3,192 3,192 California ....: (X) 2,239 2,239 (X) 1,926 1,926 Louisiana .....: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Mississippi ...: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Missouri ......: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Texas .........: (X) 503 503 (X) 524 524 : Unallocated 2/ : (X) 1,134 1,134 (X) 1,060 1,060 : United States .: (X) 5,795 5,795 (X) 6,702 6,702 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ Unallocated includes State data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: December 1, 2016 and 2017 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2016 : 2017 : 2016 : 2017 : 2016 : 2017 : 2016 : 2017 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 38,088 27,732 (D) (D) 41,750 31,279 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 12,459 7,644 (D) (D) 118,579 88,395 : United States ..:106,700 81,250 50,547 35,376 3,082 3,048 160,329 119,674 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. Milled Rice Stocks By Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: December 1, 2016 and 2017 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole kernels (head rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2016 : 2017 : 2016 : 2017 : 2016 : 2017 : 2016 : 2017 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 886 1,063 (D) (D) 985 1,128 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 131 157 (D) (D) 2,550 2,461 : United States ..: 2,453 2,307 1,017 1,220 65 62 3,535 3,589 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Second heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2016 : 2017 : 2016 : 2017 : 2016 : 2017 : 2016 : 2017 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) - - (D) (D) 1,254 798 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 82 107 (D) (D) 1,006 2,315 : United States ..: 1,777 1,968 82 107 401 1,038 2,260 3,113 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in California. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first two weeks of March. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all operations storing rice in the United States have a chance to be selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their operations as of March 1, 2018 regardless of ownership. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimating Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and National levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 Rice Stocks report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey designs for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch.................... (202) 720-2127 Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section........ (202) 720-2127 Chris Hawthorn - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet.. (202) 720-9526 James Johanson - County Estimates, Hay......... (202) 690-8533 Jeff Lemmons - Oats, Soybeans.................. (202) 690-3234 Sammy Neal - Peanuts, Rice..................... (202) 720-7688 Joshua O'Rear - Crop Weather, Barley........... (202) 720-7621 Jean Porter - Rye, Wheat....................... (202) 720-8068 Bianca Pruneda - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum... (202) 720-5944 Travis Thorson - Sunflower, Other Oilseeds..... 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