Rice Stocks ISSN: 1949-1603 Released October 26, 2018, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). California Rough Rice Stocks down 72 percent From October 2017 California rough rice stocks in all positions on October 1, 2018, totaled 1.06 million hundredweight (cwt), down 72 percent from the total on October 1, 2017 of 3.86 million cwt. California rough rice stocks were down 76 percent from the August 1, 2018 level. Medium grain varieties accounted for 51 percent of the total rough rice, while long and short varieties combined to account for 49 percent of the total rough rice stocks. California milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 782,000 cwt, down 34 percent from the August 1, 2018 level and down 4 percent a year ago. Rice Stocks by Position and Month in Domestic Units - United States: 2017 and 2018 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Rough rice . : March 1 .......: 21,600 85,969 107,569 12,565 70,831 83,396 June 1 ........: 10,525 55,819 66,344 4,410 40,640 45,050 August 1 ......: 4,693 34,077 38,770 1,902 21,962 23,864 October 1 2/ ..: 35 3,820 3,855 20 1,042 1,062 December 1 ....: 31,570 88,104 119,674 : Milled rice : March 1 .......: (X) 6,220 6,220 (X) 5,460 5,460 June 1 ........: (X) 5,397 5,397 (X) 5,054 5,054 August 1 ......: (X) 5,093 5,093 (X) 3,862 3,862 October 1 2/ ..: (X) 811 811 (X) 782 782 December 1 ....: (X) 6,702 6,702 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ California only. Rice Stocks by Position and Month in Metric Units - United States: 2017 and 2018 [Data may not add to totals due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 :------------------------------------------------------------------- Date : On : Off :Total all : On : Off :Total all : farms : farms 1/ :positions : farms : farms 1/ :positions ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Rough rice . : March 1 .......: 979,760 3,899,490 4,879,250 569,940 3,212,840 3,782,780 June 1 ........: 477,410 2,531,910 3,009,310 200,030 1,843,400 2,043,430 August 1 ......: 212,870 1,545,710 1,758,580 86,270 996,180 1,082,450 October 1 2/ ..: 1,590 173,270 174,860 910 47,260 48,170 December 1 ....: 1,431,990 3,996,330 5,428,320 : Milled rice : March 1 .......: (X) 282,130 282,130 (X) 247,660 247,660 June 1 ........: (X) 244,800 244,800 (X) 229,250 229,250 August 1 ......: (X) 231,010 231,010 (X) 175,180 175,180 October 1 2/ ..: (X) 36,790 36,790 (X) 35,470 35,470 December 1 ....: (X) 304,000 304,000 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ California only. Rough Rice Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions - California: October 1, 2017 and 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California : (D) (D) 3,180 546 (D) (D) 3,855 1,062 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Milled Rice Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions - California: October 1, 2017 and 2018 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole kernels (head rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California : (D) - 388 (D) (D) (D) 428 582 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Second heads : Screenings 1/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California : (D) (D) - - (D) (D) 383 200 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Screenings included with second heads. Rice Stocks by Position - States and United States: August 1, 2017 and 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : On : Off : Total all : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : Rough rice : Arkansas ......: 2,450 20,520 22,970 1,350 11,043 12,393 California ....: 388 7,133 7,521 176 4,286 4,462 Louisiana .....: 210 2,188 2,398 (D) (D) 1,821 Mississippi ...: (D) (D) 1,336 (D) (D) 538 Missouri ......: (D) (D) 1,755 (D) (D) 968 Texas .........: (D) (D) 2,790 (D) (D) 3,682 : Unallocated 2/ : 1,645 4,236 - 376 6,633 - : United States .: 4,693 34,077 38,770 1,902 21,962 23,864 : Milled rice : Arkansas ......: (X) 2,860 2,860 (X) 1,385 1,385 California ....: (X) 1,063 1,063 (X) 1,178 1,178 Louisiana .....: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Mississippi ...: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Missouri ......: (X) (D) (D) (X) (D) (D) Texas .........: (X) 775 775 (X) 876 876 : Unallocated 2/ : (X) 395 395 (X) 423 423 : United States .: (X) 5,093 5,093 (X) 3,862 3,862 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, ports, and in transit. 2/ Unallocated includes State data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Rough Rice Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: August 1, 2017 and 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Long : Medium : Short : Total State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 6,602 3,407 (D) (D) 7,521 4,462 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 3,276 2,154 (D) (D) 31,249 19,402 : United States ..: 28,198 17,431 9,878 5,561 694 872 38,770 23,864 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. Milled Rice Stocks by Length of Grain in All Positions - States and United States: August 1, 2017 and 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Whole kernels (head rice) :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Long : Medium : Short : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) 449 697 (D) (D) 497 743 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 160 107 (D) (D) 2,126 2,130 : United States ..: 1,969 2,026 609 804 45 43 2,623 2,873 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Broken kernels :--------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Second heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 : 2017 : 2018 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 cwt : California .....: (D) (D) - - (D) (D) 566 435 : Other States 1/ : (D) (D) 84 138 (D) (D) 1,904 554 : United States ..: 1,588 566 84 138 798 285 2,470 989 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 1/ Other States include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Texas. 2/ Screenings included with second heads in California. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on surveys conducted during the first two weeks of October. Separate surveys were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. Unlike other rice stocks estimation periods, only an off farm survey was conducted. Off- farm stocks are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure complete coverage. Estimating Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the State and National levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of stocks. Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1 Rice Stocks report published in January each year. Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made after that date. Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated separately because the survey designs for the two surveys are drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch.......................... (202) 720-2127 Chris Hawthorn, Head, Field Crops Section................. (202) 720-2127 Natasha Bruton - Current Agricultural Industrial Reports.. (202) 401-0034 David Colwell - Current Agricultural Industrial Reports... (202) 720-3338 Chris Hawthorn - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet........ (202) 720-9526 James Johanson - County Estimates, Hay............... (202) 690-8533 Jeff Lemmons - Oats, Soybeans........................ (202) 690-3234 Jannety Mosley - Crop Weather, Barley................ (202) 720-7621 Sammy Neal - Peanuts, Rice........................... (202) 720-7688 Jean Porter - Rye, Wheat............................. (202) 720-8068 Chris Singh - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum............ (202) 720-5944 Travis Thorson - Sunflower, Other Oilseeds........... 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