Cattle ISSN: 1948-9099 Released January 31, 2014, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). January 1 Cattle Inventory Down 2 Percent All cattle and calves in the United States as of January 1, 2014 totaled 87.7 million head, 2 percent below the 89.3 million on January 1, 2013. This is the lowest January 1 inventory of all cattle and calves since the 82.1 million on hand in 1951. All cows and heifers that have calved, at 38.3 million, were down 1 percent from the 38.5 million on January 1, 2013. This is the lowest January 1 inventory of all cows and heifers that have calved since the 36.8 million head in 1941. • Beef cows, at 29.0 million, were down 1 percent from January 1, 2013. • Milk cows, at 9.2 million, unchanged from January 1, 2013. Other class estimates on January 1, 2014 and the change from January 1, 2013, are as follows: • All heifers 500 pounds and over, 18.8 million, down 2 percent. • Beef replacement heifers, 5.5 million, up 2 percent. • Milk replacement heifers, 4.5 million, unchanged. • Other heifers, 8.7 million, down 5 percent. • Steers weighing 500 pounds and over, 15.4 million, down 3 percent. • Bulls weighing 500 pounds and over, 2.0 million, down 1 percent. • Calves under 500 pounds, 13.3 million, down 4 percent. • Cattle and calves on feed for slaughter in all feedlots, 12.7 million, down 5 percent. • The combined total of calves under 500 pounds, and other heifers and steers over 500 pounds outside of feedlots was 24.7 million, down 3 percent. Calf Crop Down 1 Percent The 2013 calf crop was estimated at 33.9 million head, down 1 percent from 2012. This is the smallest calf crop since the 33.7 million born during 1949. Calves born during the first half of 2013 are estimated at 24.7 million, down 1 percent from 2012. Revisions All inventory and calf crop estimates for January 1, 2013 were reviewed using calf crop, official slaughter, import and export data, and the relationship of new survey information to the prior surveys. Based on the findings of this review, small adjustments of less than one-half percent were made to previously released inventory estimates by class. State level estimates were reviewed and changes were made to reallocate inventory estimates to the United States total. This report was approved on January 31, 2014. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Joseph W. Glauber Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Hubert Hamer Contents Cattle Inventory by Class and Calf Crop - United States: January 1, 2013 and 2014.......... 4 Cattle Inventory - United States: January 1................................................ 4 Cattle Inventory by Class - States and United States: January 1, 2013 and 2014............. 5 Calf Crop - States and United States: 2012 and 2013........................................ 9 Total Number of Cattle on Feed - States and United States: January 1, 2013 and 2014........ 10 Number of Cattle Grazing on Small Grain Pasture - 3-State Total: January 1, 2013 and 2014.. 11 Calf Crop and Percent of Total by Six Month Period - United States: 2012 and 2013.......... 11 Statistical Methodology.................................................................... 12 Reliability of January 1 Cattle Estimates.................................................. 13 Information Contacts....................................................................... 13 Cattle Inventory by Class and Calf Crop - United States: January 1, 2013 and 2014 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Percent of Class : 2013 : 2014 :previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 head ----- percent : Cattle and calves ...................: 89,299.6 87,730.0 98 : Cows and heifers that have calved ...: 38,515.2 38,251.0 99 Beef cows .........................: 29,297.3 29,042.4 99 Milk cows .........................: 9,217.9 9,208.6 100 : Heifers 500 pounds and over .........: 19,133.9 18,751.4 98 For beef cow replacement ..........: 5,380.6 5,470.8 102 Expected to calve 1/ ............: 3,280.3 3,319.1 101 For milk cow replacement ..........: 4,550.7 4,539.2 100 Expected to calve 1/ ............: 2,928.4 2,980.7 102 Other heifers .....................: 9,202.6 8,741.4 95 : Steers 500 pounds and over ..........: 15,812.7 15,414.9 97 Bulls 500 pounds and over ...........: 2,055.8 2,034.8 99 Calves under 500 pounds .............: 13,782.0 13,277.9 96 : Cattle on feed ......................: 13,363.7 12,695.3 95 : :-------------------------------------------- : : : Percent of : 2012 : 2013 :previous year :-------------------------------------------- Calf crop ...........................: 34,279.0 33,930.0 99 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Replacement heifers expected to calve during the year. Cattle Inventory by Class - States and United States: January 1, 2013 and 2014 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : All cattle and calves : All cows that have calved :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : Percent of : : : Percent of : 2013 : 2014 :previous year : 2013 : 2014 :previous year --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 head ----- percent ------ 1,000 head ----- percent : Alabama .......: 1,220.0 1,240.0 102 660.0 680.0 103 Alaska ........: 12.0 10.0 83 5.3 4.6 87 Arizona .......: 900.0 920.0 102 365.0 370.0 101 Arkansas ......: 1,600.0 1,660.0 104 860.0 890.0 103 California ....: 5,300.0 5,250.0 99 2,390.0 2,380.0 100 Colorado ......: 2,600.0 2,480.0 95 850.0 840.0 99 Connecticut ...: 48.0 47.0 98 24.0 23.0 96 Delaware ......: 18.0 16.0 89 8.5 7.5 88 Florida .......: 1,660.0 1,620.0 98 1,030.0 1,000.0 97 Georgia .......: 1,020.0 1,000.0 98 570.0 560.0 98 : Hawaii ........: 132.0 130.0 98 72.0 71.0 99 Idaho .........: 2,370.0 2,190.0 92 1,090.0 1,010.0 93 Illinois ......: 1,120.0 1,130.0 101 460.0 455.0 99 Indiana .......: 810.0 870.0 107 365.0 370.0 101 Iowa ..........: 3,850.0 3,700.0 96 1,130.0 1,090.0 96 Kansas ........: 5,850.0 5,800.0 99 1,460.0 1,550.0 106 Kentucky ......: 2,240.0 2,090.0 93 1,100.0 1,080.0 98 Louisiana .....: 780.0 790.0 101 470.0 465.0 99 Maine .........: 85.0 85.0 100 43.0 41.0 95 Maryland ......: 192.0 182.0 95 92.0 88.0 96 : Massachusetts .: 39.0 39.0 100 19.0 18.0 95 Michigan ......: 1,120.0 1,120.0 100 490.0 495.0 101 Minnesota .....: 2,390.0 2,280.0 95 840.0 810.0 96 Mississippi ...: 910.0 930.0 102 500.0 490.0 98 Missouri ......: 3,650.0 3,800.0 104 1,850.0 1,910.0 103 Montana .......: 2,600.0 2,550.0 98 1,520.0 1,490.0 98 Nebraska ......: 6,300.0 6,150.0 98 1,860.0 1,850.0 99 Nevada ........: 460.0 455.0 99 260.0 255.0 98 New Hampshire .: 33.0 32.0 97 17.0 16.5 97 New Jersey ....: 31.0 29.0 94 16.0 15.0 94 : New Mexico ....: 1,340.0 1,290.0 96 710.0 710.0 100 New York ......: 1,400.0 1,450.0 104 700.0 720.0 103 North Carolina : 820.0 810.0 99 410.0 405.0 99 North Dakota ..: 1,790.0 1,770.0 99 940.0 960.0 102 Ohio ..........: 1,230.0 1,250.0 102 560.0 560.0 100 Oklahoma ......: 4,200.0 4,300.0 102 1,800.0 1,850.0 103 Oregon ........: 1,280.0 1,280.0 100 650.0 640.0 98 Pennsylvania ..: 1,610.0 1,620.0 101 690.0 700.0 101 Rhode Island ..: 4.6 5.0 109 2.4 2.4 100 South Carolina : 355.0 360.0 101 190.0 190.0 100 : South Dakota ..: 3,850.0 3,650.0 95 1,780.0 1,730.0 97 Tennessee .....: 1,830.0 1,760.0 96 960.0 910.0 95 Texas .........: 11,300.0 10,900.0 96 4,450.0 4,350.0 98 Utah ..........: 770.0 800.0 104 405.0 420.0 104 Vermont .......: 270.0 260.0 96 146.0 144.0 99 Virginia ......: 1,610.0 1,530.0 95 780.0 750.0 96 Washington ....: 1,150.0 1,100.0 96 485.0 475.0 98 West Virginia .: 410.0 380.0 93 210.0 200.0 95 Wisconsin .....: 3,450.0 3,350.0 97 1,530.0 1,510.0 99 Wyoming .......: 1,290.0 1,270.0 98 700.0 700.0 100 : United States .: 89,299.6 87,730.0 98 38,515.2 38,251.0 99 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Cattle Inventory by Class - States and United States: January 1, 2013 and 2014 (continued) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Beef cows that have calved : Milk cows that have calved :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : Percent of : : : Percent of : 2013 : 2014 :previous year : 2013 : 2014 :previous year --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 head ----- percent ----- 1,000 head ----- percent : Alabama .......: 651.0 671.0 103 9.0 9.0 100 Alaska ........: 4.9 4.3 88 0.4 0.3 75 Arizona .......: 175.0 178.0 102 190.0 192.0 101 Arkansas ......: 851.0 882.0 104 9.0 8.0 89 California ....: 610.0 600.0 98 1,780.0 1,780.0 100 Colorado ......: 715.0 700.0 98 135.0 140.0 104 Connecticut ...: 6.0 4.0 67 18.0 19.0 106 Delaware ......: 4.0 2.8 70 4.5 4.7 104 Florida .......: 908.0 877.0 97 122.0 123.0 101 Georgia .......: 490.0 480.0 98 80.0 80.0 100 : Hawaii ........: 69.9 68.8 98 2.1 2.2 105 Idaho .........: 510.0 445.0 87 580.0 565.0 97 Illinois ......: 362.0 359.0 99 98.0 96.0 98 Indiana .......: 191.0 192.0 101 174.0 178.0 102 Iowa ..........: 925.0 885.0 96 205.0 205.0 100 Kansas ........: 1,328.0 1,414.0 106 132.0 136.0 103 Kentucky ......: 1,028.0 1,012.0 98 72.0 68.0 94 Louisiana .....: 454.0 450.0 99 16.0 15.0 94 Maine .........: 11.0 11.0 100 32.0 30.0 94 Maryland ......: 41.0 38.0 93 51.0 50.0 98 : Massachusetts .: 6.5 6.0 92 12.5 12.0 96 Michigan ......: 113.0 114.0 101 377.0 381.0 101 Minnesota .....: 375.0 350.0 93 465.0 460.0 99 Mississippi ...: 486.0 477.0 98 14.0 13.0 93 Missouri ......: 1,757.0 1,820.0 104 93.0 90.0 97 Montana .......: 1,506.0 1,476.0 98 14.0 14.0 100 Nebraska ......: 1,805.0 1,797.0 100 55.0 53.0 96 Nevada ........: 231.0 226.0 98 29.0 29.0 100 New Hampshire .: 3.5 3.0 86 13.5 13.5 100 New Jersey ....: 9.0 8.0 89 7.0 7.0 100 : New Mexico ....: 390.0 387.0 99 320.0 323.0 101 New York ......: 90.0 105.0 117 610.0 615.0 101 North Carolina : 364.0 360.0 99 46.0 45.0 98 North Dakota ..: 922.0 943.0 102 18.0 17.0 94 Ohio ..........: 290.0 293.0 101 270.0 267.0 99 Oklahoma ......: 1,754.0 1,805.0 103 46.0 45.0 98 Oregon ........: 527.0 516.0 98 123.0 124.0 101 Pennsylvania ..: 155.0 170.0 110 535.0 530.0 99 Rhode Island ..: 1.5 1.5 100 0.9 0.9 100 South Carolina : 174.0 174.0 100 16.0 16.0 100 : South Dakota ..: 1,688.0 1,635.0 97 92.0 95.0 103 Tennessee .....: 912.0 864.0 95 48.0 46.0 96 Texas .........: 4,015.0 3,910.0 97 435.0 440.0 101 Utah ..........: 315.0 325.0 103 90.0 95.0 106 Vermont .......: 12.0 12.0 100 134.0 132.0 99 Virginia ......: 686.0 657.0 96 94.0 93.0 99 Washington ....: 221.0 209.0 95 264.0 266.0 101 West Virginia .: 200.0 191.0 96 10.0 9.0 90 Wisconsin .....: 260.0 240.0 92 1,270.0 1,270.0 100 Wyoming .......: 694.0 694.0 100 6.0 6.0 100 : United States .: 29,297.3 29,042.4 99 9,217.9 9,208.6 100 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Cattle Inventory by Class - States and United States: January 1, 2013 and 2014 (continued) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Heifers 500 pounds and over :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : Beef cow replacement : Milk cow replacement : Other :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Alabama .......: 105.0 105.0 4.0 4.0 31.0 31.0 Alaska ........: 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 Arizona .......: 22.0 28.0 73.0 77.0 25.0 20.0 Arkansas ......: 129.0 137.0 7.0 5.0 54.0 78.0 California ....: 110.0 110.0 780.0 750.0 220.0 230.0 Colorado ......: 130.0 140.0 85.0 100.0 520.0 470.0 Connecticut ...: 2.0 1.5 9.0 9.0 0.5 0.5 Delaware ......: 0.7 0.5 3.0 2.6 0.6 0.6 Florida .......: 115.0 110.0 35.0 35.0 25.0 25.0 Georgia .......: 74.0 76.0 28.0 25.0 28.0 29.0 : Hawaii ........: 10.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 Idaho .........: 120.0 110.0 310.0 260.0 210.0 190.0 Illinois ......: 60.0 63.0 48.0 45.0 82.0 102.0 Indiana .......: 41.0 39.0 56.0 70.0 48.0 56.0 Iowa ..........: 150.0 150.0 120.0 120.0 680.0 620.0 Kansas ........: 230.0 240.0 100.0 100.0 1,370.0 1,400.0 Kentucky ......: 150.0 145.0 50.0 45.0 160.0 115.0 Louisiana .....: 77.0 84.0 5.0 5.0 21.0 22.0 Maine .........: 2.5 3.0 15.5 17.0 2.0 2.0 Maryland ......: 9.0 9.5 29.0 25.0 9.0 7.5 : Massachusetts .: 2.0 2.0 6.0 7.5 1.0 0.5 Michigan ......: 28.0 29.0 157.0 159.0 47.0 49.0 Minnesota .....: 100.0 80.0 280.0 280.0 180.0 170.0 Mississippi ...: 78.0 91.0 7.0 6.0 35.0 43.0 Missouri ......: 290.0 305.0 40.0 50.0 200.0 215.0 Montana .......: 435.0 430.0 8.0 9.0 187.0 211.0 Nebraska ......: 350.0 387.0 20.0 23.0 1,380.0 1,260.0 Nevada ........: 36.0 36.0 9.0 9.0 30.0 32.0 New Hampshire .: 1.2 1.0 6.5 7.0 0.8 0.5 New Jersey ....: 2.0 1.5 4.0 3.5 1.0 1.0 : New Mexico ....: 75.0 70.0 125.0 120.0 100.0 70.0 New York ......: 41.0 45.0 320.0 355.0 44.0 40.0 North Carolina : 72.0 72.0 23.0 20.0 25.0 24.0 North Dakota ..: 207.0 170.0 13.0 10.0 205.0 210.0 Ohio ..........: 55.0 55.0 125.0 130.0 65.0 60.0 Oklahoma ......: 280.0 325.0 20.0 20.0 400.0 340.0 Oregon ........: 122.0 105.0 68.0 60.0 85.0 120.0 Pennsylvania ..: 55.0 50.0 310.0 315.0 65.0 70.0 Rhode Island ..: 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 South Carolina : 35.0 37.0 7.0 6.0 12.0 13.0 : South Dakota ..: 315.0 330.0 55.0 50.0 545.0 480.0 Tennessee .....: 145.0 130.0 25.0 30.0 70.0 85.0 Texas .........: 600.0 640.0 200.0 220.0 1,550.0 1,380.0 Utah ..........: 61.0 70.0 50.0 46.0 62.0 69.0 Vermont .......: 4.5 4.5 59.0 56.0 6.5 5.5 Virginia ......: 124.0 115.0 35.0 40.0 81.0 70.0 Washington ....: 46.0 48.0 109.0 122.0 135.0 130.0 West Virginia .: 36.0 35.0 5.0 5.0 25.0 24.0 Wisconsin .....: 75.0 70.0 700.0 680.0 55.0 60.0 Wyoming .......: 171.0 175.0 4.0 4.0 120.0 106.0 : United States .: 5,380.6 5,470.8 4,550.7 4,539.2 9,202.6 8,741.4 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Cattle Inventory by Class - States and United States: January 1, 2013 and 2014 (continued) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Steers : Bulls : Calves : 500 pounds and over : 500 pounds and over : under 500 pounds State :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 : 2013 : 2014 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head : Alabama .......: 50.0 55.0 50.0 50.0 320.0 315.0 Alaska ........: 0.5 0.4 2.9 1.9 1.7 2.1 Arizona .......: 290.0 305.0 20.0 20.0 105.0 100.0 Arkansas ......: 125.0 135.0 55.0 55.0 370.0 360.0 California ....: 620.0 640.0 70.0 70.0 1,110.0 1,070.0 Colorado ......: 840.0 760.0 45.0 45.0 130.0 125.0 Connecticut ...: 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 10.0 10.5 Delaware ......: 1.9 2.0 0.3 0.3 3.0 2.5 Florida .......: 20.0 25.0 55.0 60.0 380.0 365.0 Georgia .......: 39.0 34.0 26.0 26.0 255.0 250.0 : Hawaii ........: 7.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 33.0 34.0 Idaho .........: 275.0 250.0 40.0 40.0 325.0 330.0 Illinois ......: 240.0 245.0 25.0 25.0 205.0 195.0 Indiana .......: 91.0 108.0 19.0 17.0 190.0 210.0 Iowa ..........: 1,250.0 1,240.0 60.0 60.0 460.0 420.0 Kansas ........: 1,970.0 1,770.0 85.0 90.0 635.0 650.0 Kentucky ......: 225.0 185.0 75.0 70.0 480.0 450.0 Louisiana .....: 18.0 23.0 30.0 30.0 159.0 161.0 Maine .........: 5.0 5.0 1.5 1.5 15.5 15.5 Maryland ......: 15.0 15.0 4.0 4.0 34.0 33.0 : Massachusetts .: 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 Michigan ......: 174.0 172.0 14.0 13.0 210.0 203.0 Minnesota .....: 470.0 460.0 35.0 35.0 485.0 445.0 Mississippi ...: 41.0 62.0 39.0 38.0 210.0 200.0 Missouri ......: 350.0 350.0 100.0 100.0 820.0 870.0 Montana .......: 230.0 220.0 100.0 100.0 120.0 90.0 Nebraska ......: 2,250.0 2,270.0 100.0 95.0 340.0 265.0 Nevada ........: 46.0 43.0 13.0 13.0 66.0 67.0 New Hampshire .: 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 6.0 5.5 New Jersey ....: 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 : New Mexico ....: 80.0 90.0 35.0 35.0 215.0 195.0 New York ......: 36.0 32.0 19.0 18.0 240.0 240.0 North Carolina : 32.0 39.0 33.0 30.0 225.0 220.0 North Dakota ..: 255.0 270.0 60.0 55.0 110.0 95.0 Ohio ..........: 185.0 195.0 20.0 25.0 220.0 225.0 Oklahoma ......: 870.0 900.0 120.0 125.0 710.0 740.0 Oregon ........: 157.0 160.0 36.0 36.0 162.0 159.0 Pennsylvania ..: 170.0 185.0 25.0 25.0 295.0 275.0 Rhode Island ..: 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.8 South Carolina : 10.0 11.0 15.0 15.0 86.0 88.0 : South Dakota ..: 720.0 670.0 90.0 95.0 345.0 295.0 Tennessee .....: 125.0 135.0 65.0 60.0 440.0 410.0 Texas .........: 2,500.0 2,370.0 300.0 280.0 1,700.0 1,660.0 Utah ..........: 75.0 85.0 22.0 23.0 95.0 87.0 Vermont .......: 4.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 47.0 43.0 Virginia ......: 195.0 170.0 40.0 40.0 355.0 345.0 Washington ....: 190.0 160.0 17.0 19.0 168.0 146.0 West Virginia .: 48.0 40.0 14.0 14.0 72.0 62.0 Wisconsin .....: 350.0 360.0 30.0 30.0 710.0 640.0 Wyoming .......: 160.0 150.0 40.0 40.0 95.0 95.0 : United States .: 15,812.7 15,414.9 2,055.8 2,034.8 13,782.0 13,277.9 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Calf Crop - States and United States: 2012 and 2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Percent of State : 2012 : 2013 : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 head -------- percent : Alabama ................................: 610.0 600.0 98 Alaska .................................: 3.8 3.3 87 Arizona ................................: 260.0 280.0 108 Arkansas ...............................: 760.0 760.0 100 California .............................: 2,100.0 2,010.0 96 Colorado ...............................: 760.0 740.0 97 Connecticut ............................: 18.0 18.5 103 Delaware ...............................: 6.0 5.0 83 Florida ................................: 860.0 830.0 97 Georgia ................................: 480.0 480.0 100 : Hawaii .................................: 61.0 60.0 98 Idaho ..................................: 960.0 940.0 98 Illinois ...............................: 390.0 385.0 99 Indiana ................................: 330.0 330.0 100 Iowa ...................................: 1,050.0 1,020.0 97 Kansas .................................: 1,250.0 1,280.0 102 Kentucky ...............................: 980.0 970.0 99 Louisiana ..............................: 370.0 370.0 100 Maine ..................................: 32.0 32.0 100 Maryland ...............................: 76.0 67.0 88 : Massachusetts ..........................: 18.0 18.0 100 Michigan ...............................: 385.0 395.0 103 Minnesota ..............................: 790.0 780.0 99 Mississippi ............................: 400.0 400.0 100 Missouri ...............................: 1,740.0 1,730.0 99 Montana ................................: 1,500.0 1,470.0 98 Nebraska ...............................: 1,720.0 1,680.0 98 Nevada .................................: 205.0 210.0 102 New Hampshire ..........................: 15.0 13.5 90 New Jersey .............................: 10.0 9.5 95 : New Mexico .............................: 580.0 560.0 97 New York ...............................: 530.0 550.0 104 North Carolina .........................: 370.0 360.0 97 North Dakota ...........................: 870.0 920.0 106 Ohio ...................................: 480.0 490.0 102 Oklahoma ...............................: 1,670.0 1,670.0 100 Oregon .................................: 610.0 630.0 103 Pennsylvania ...........................: 590.0 580.0 98 Rhode Island ...........................: 2.2 2.2 100 South Carolina .........................: 150.0 160.0 107 : South Dakota ...........................: 1,710.0 1,690.0 99 Tennessee ..............................: 880.0 830.0 94 Texas ..................................: 3,900.0 3,850.0 99 Utah ...................................: 365.0 380.0 104 Vermont ................................: 117.0 116.0 99 Virginia ...............................: 670.0 640.0 96 Washington .............................: 420.0 430.0 102 West Virginia ..........................: 195.0 185.0 95 Wisconsin ..............................: 1,370.0 1,360.0 99 Wyoming ................................: 660.0 640.0 97 : United States ..........................: 34,279.0 33,930.0 99 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total Number of Cattle on Feed - States and United States: January 1, 2013 and 2014 [Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. Cattle and calves on feed are included in the cattle inventory estimates by classes] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Percent of State : 2013 : 2014 : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------- 1,000 head -------- percent : Arizona ................................: 272.0 274.0 101 California .............................: 475.0 510.0 107 Colorado ...............................: 1,030.0 990.0 96 Idaho ..................................: 235.0 225.0 96 Illinois ...............................: 160.0 165.0 103 Indiana ................................: 100.0 110.0 110 Iowa ...................................: 1,270.0 1,230.0 97 Kansas .................................: 2,240.0 2,130.0 95 Kentucky ...............................: 15.0 15.0 100 Maryland ...............................: 10.0 10.0 100 : Michigan ...............................: 155.0 150.0 97 Minnesota ..............................: 310.0 300.0 97 Missouri ...............................: 50.0 55.0 110 Montana ................................: 38.0 45.0 118 Nebraska ...............................: 2,550.0 2,450.0 96 Nevada .................................: 9.0 8.0 89 New York ...............................: 25.0 23.0 92 North Dakota ...........................: 45.0 35.0 78 Ohio ...................................: 160.0 160.0 100 Oklahoma ...............................: 345.0 265.0 77 : Oregon .................................: 65.0 75.0 115 Pennsylvania ...........................: 75.0 75.0 100 South Dakota ...........................: 320.0 310.0 97 Tennessee ..............................: 3.0 3.0 100 Texas ..................................: 2,730.0 2,450.0 90 Utah ...................................: 28.0 27.0 96 Virginia ...............................: 23.0 20.0 87 Washington .............................: 247.0 201.0 81 West Virginia ..........................: 4.0 5.0 125 Wisconsin ..............................: 240.0 240.0 100 : Wyoming ................................: 70.0 75.0 107 : Other States 1/ ........................: 64.7 64.3 99 : United States ..........................: 13,363.7 12,695.3 95 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Individual state estimates not available for states not shown, but are included in Other States. Number of Cattle Grazing on Small Grain Pasture - 3-State Total: January 1, 2013 and 2014 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Percent of States : 2013 : 2014 : previous year ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --- million head -- percent : Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas .......: 1.34 1.61 120 : ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Calf Crop and Percent of Total by Six Month Period - United States: 2012 and 2013 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 :----------------------------------------------------------- Period : : Percent of : : Percent of : Number : total : Number : total --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 head percent 1,000 head percent : January 1 - June 30 .: 25,000.0 72.9 24,700.0 72.8 July 1 - December 31 : 9,279.0 27.1 9,230.0 27.2 : Total ...............: 34,279.0 100.0 33,930.0 100.0 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: A random sample of United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all cattle producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. Data were collected from about 40,200 operators during the first half of January by mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews and 74 percent of the reports were usable. Regardless of when operators responded, they were asked to report inventories as of January 1. Estimating Procedures: These cattle estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each State office. National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from the previous year using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds to it estimates of births and imports, and subtracts estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve year to year and item to item relationships. Estimates for the previous year are subject to revision when current estimates are made. The reviews are primarily based on livestock slaughter and additional foreign trade and survey data. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all cattle operators are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table on the following page. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for cattle inventory estimates over the past 10 years is 0.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 87.7 million head by more than 0.5 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 0.9 percent. The table on the following page shows a 10 year record of the range of differences between first and latest estimates for selected items. Using estimates of all cattle and calves as an example, changes between the first inventory estimate and the latest estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 344,000 head, ranging from 0 to 830,000 head. During this period the initial inventory estimate has been above the latest estimate 5 times and below the latest estimate 3 times. This does not imply that the January 1 estimate is likely to understate or overstate final inventory. Reliability of January 1 Cattle Estimates [Based on data for the past ten years] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate : square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :------------------------------------------------------------- Item : : : : : : Years : : : : : :------------------------------- : : : Average :Smallest : Largest : Above latest : Below latest -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent ------ 1,000 head ----- ----- number ---- : All cattle & calves ..........: 0.5 0.9 344 0 830 5 3 : All cows .....................: 0.6 1.1 187 0 505 6 2 : Calf crop ....................: 1.0 1.8 267 0 674 5 3 : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch ............ (202) 720-3570 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ............ (202) 690-2424 Travis Averill - Cattle, Cattle on Feed ....... (202) 720-3040 Doug Bounds - Hogs and Pigs ................... (202) 720-3106 Alissa Cowell-Mytar - Sheep and Goats, Honey .. (202) 720-4751 Donnie Fike - Dairy Products .................. (202) 690-3236 Tiffany Hora - Livestock Slaughter ............ (515) 284-4340 Mike Miller - Milk Production and Milk Cows ... (202) 720-3278 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. 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