Turkey Hatchery ISSN: 1949-1964 Released September 15, 2021, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Eggs in Incubators on September 1 Down 5 Percent from Last Year Turkey eggs in incubators on September 1, 2021 in the United States totaled 24.7 million, down 5 percent from September 1, 2020. Eggs in incubators were down 8 percent from the August 1, 2021 total of 27.0 million eggs. Poults Hatched During August Down Slightly from Last Year Turkey poults hatched during August 2021 in the United States totaled 22.5 million, down slightly from August 2020. Poults hatched were down slightly from the July 2021 total of 22.6 million poults. Net Poults Placed During August Up 2 Percent from Last Year The 21.4 million net poults placed during August 2021 in the United States were up 2 percent from the number placed during the same month a year earlier. Net poult placements were down 3 percent from the July 2021 total of 22.1 million. Eggs in Incubators and Poults Hatched by Month - United States: 2019-2022 [Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Eggs in incubators first of month: Percent of :Poults hatched entire month: Percent of Month :---------------------------------: :---------------------------: : 2020-2021 : 2021-2022 :previous year: 2019-2020 : 2020-2021 :previous year ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ------ 1,000 eggs ----- percent --- 1,000 poults --- percent : September ........: 25,989 24,696 95 22,464 21,840 97 October ..........: 27,293 24,905 23,290 94 November .........: 26,764 22,325 22,230 100 December .........: 26,982 22,655 23,090 102 January ..........: 24,635 23,879 21,502 90 February .........: 26,153 22,566 20,705 92 March ............: 26,150 23,729 23,269 98 April ............: 27,547 23,461 22,599 96 May ..............: 25,403 21,562 20,903 97 June .............: 25,958 23,940 21,714 91 July .............: 26,396 23,759 22,561 95 August ...........: 26,973 22,509 22,468 100 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Net Poult Placements by Month - United States: 2019-2021 [Includes imports and excludes exports] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Total all breeds : Percent of : Cumulative total : Percent of Month :---------------------------------: :---------------------------: : 2019-2020 : 2020-2021 :previous year: 2019-2020 : 2020-2021 :previous year ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : ----- 1,000 poults ---- percent ---- 1,000 poults --- percent : September ........: 20,125 19,141 95 20,125 19,141 95 October ..........: 21,857 20,114 92 41,982 39,255 94 November .........: 20,199 20,070 99 62,181 59,325 95 December .........: 20,216 20,569 102 82,397 79,894 97 January ..........: 21,414 19,751 92 103,811 99,645 96 February .........: 20,663 18,995 92 124,474 118,640 95 March ............: 21,741 21,982 101 146,215 140,622 96 April ............: 22,053 21,620 98 168,268 162,242 96 May ..............: 19,559 19,584 100 187,827 181,826 97 June .............: 22,764 20,926 92 210,591 202,752 96 July .............: 23,013 22,127 96 233,604 224,879 96 August ...........: 20,945 21,407 102 254,549 246,286 97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: Data for turkey hatchery estimates are collected from all known turkey hatcheries. Individual NASS regional field offices maintain a list of all known turkey hatcheries and use known sources of hatcheries to update their lists. Approximately 45 hatcheries in 20 states are contacted each month. All known turkey hatcheries hatching 15,000 or more poults annually are mailed a questionnaire as close to the first of the month as possible. Adequate time is given to respond via mail, fax, or electronic data reporting. Those that do not respond are contacted by phone. Care is exercised to ensure that all hatcheries are accounted for in the estimate. Estimating Procedures: Sound statistical methodology is employed to derive the estimates from reported data. All data are analyzed for unusual values. Data from each operation are compared to their own past operating profile and to trends from similar operations. Data for missing operations were estimated based on similar operations or historical data. NASS regional field offices prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications and historic trends. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural Statistics Board for reasonableness. Individual hatchery data are summed to State, regional, and United States totals. Only United States level estimates are published due to the limited number of hatcheries involved. The Net Poult Placement data include imported poults and exclude exported poults. Cumulative net poult placements beginning on September 1 and ending on August 31 are shown in the monthly Turkey Hatchery report. This time period corresponds with the placements of poults which will reach maturity and be available for slaughter during the calendar year. Revision Policy: Revisions are generally the result of late or corrected data. Revisions to the previous month are published in the monthly Turkey Hatchery report, while annual revisions are published in the Hatchery Production - Annual Summary report in April. Reliability: Turkey hatchery estimates are based on a census of all known operating hatcheries and therefore, have no sampling error. However, estimates are subject to errors such as omission, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. While these errors cannot be measured directly, they are minimized through strict quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for turkey eggs in incubators on the first day of the month over the past 24 months is 2.9 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 24.7 million eggs by more than 2.9 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 5.0 percent. Reliability of September Turkey Hatchery Estimates [Based on data for the past 24 months] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate :square error : confidence : : : : : : : level :------------------------------------------------------ Item : : : : : : Months : : : : : :--------------------------- : : :Average :Smallest:Largest :Below latest :Above latest ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : percent percent -------- 1,000 ------- ---- number ---- : Eggs in incubators ................: 2.9 5.0 557 1 2,201 15 9 : Poults hatched ....................: 1.8 3.1 258 0 1,319 13 10 : Net poult placements ..............: 2.1 3.6 308 0 1,329 17 6 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@usda.gov Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ..................................... (202) 692-0069 Jean Porter, Head, Poultry and Specialty Commodities Section ................ (202) 690-3223 Holly Brenize - Poultry Slaughter......................................... (202) 720-0585 Alissa Cowell-Mytar - Cold Storage, Capacity of Refrigerated Warehouses .. (202) 720-4751 Liana Cuffman - Catfish and Trout, Mink, Census of Aquaculture ........... (202) 720-8784 Fatema Haque - Turkey Hatchery, Turkeys Raised ........................... (202) 720-3244 Derron Martin - Chicken Hatchery, Egg Products............................ (202) 690-3237 Seth Riggins - Honey, Honey Bee Colonies ................................. (202) 690-4870 Autumn Stone - Layers, Eggs .............................................. (202) 690-3676 Takiyah Walker - Broiler Hatchery......................................... (202) 720-6147 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on "National" or "State" in upper right corner above "search" box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. Cornell's Mann Library has launched a new website housing NASS's and other agency's archived reports. The new website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. All email subscriptions containing reports will be sent from the new website, https://usda.library.cornell.edu. To continue receiving the reports via e-mail, you will have to go to the new website, create a new account and re-subscribe to the reports. If you need instructions to set up an account or subscribe, they are located at: https://usda.library.cornell.edu/help. You should whitelist notifications@usda-esmis.library.cornell.edu in your email client to avoid the emails going into spam/junk folders. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or employment activities.) If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online at www.ascr.usda.gov/filing-program-discrimination-complaint-usda-customer, or at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax (202) 690-7442 or email at program.intake@usda.gov.