AGRICULTURAL TRADE UPDATE February 22, 1995 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board ----------------------------------------------------------------------- U.S. AGRICULTURAL TRADE UPDATE is published monthly by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20005- 4788. FAU-0295. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Trade Surplus Highest in 10 Years - Record exports in December pushed the agricultural trade balance up 7 percent to $2.6 billion. The year-end surplus was $18.9 billion, the highest since 1983 (table 3). Record Monthly Exports - Advancing 8 percent over November, December exports were $5 billion. Broad gains boosted export value 16 percent over December 1993. At $45.7 billion, 1994 exports set a second consecutive record by a margin of $2.7 billion. Cotton, vegetables, meats, and other animal products showed strong gains in 1994. Grains and feeds, and oilseeds, the two largest components of U.S. agricultural exports, fell in 1994 because low 1993 production reduced shipments early in the year. But, beef and poultry meat, vegetable oils, horticultural commodities, and cotton more than made up for the deficit. Meat shipments to Latin America and Asia advanced, and global vegetable oil shortages bolstered U.S. exports to China. Canada, Asia, and Latin America imported more U.S. horticultural commodities. Cotton shipments continued at record levels due to large imports by China and low exportable supplies in other major producing countries. December wheat shipments of 2.8 million tons were slightly below the previous month and 16 percent below December 1993. Egypt continued its large purchases, importing 654,000 tons. Japan and the Philippines were also major buyers. Reduced exportable supplies in Australia and lower stocks in other producing countries have helped minimize the effects of lower U.S. production in 1993/94 on exports. Calendar 1994 exports reached 30.5 million tons, 14 percent below 1993. Low corn production in 1993 resulted in reduced exports in early 1994. But exports increased after the record 1994 harvest and December shipments were 5.2 million tons, 300,000 tons greater than November and 1.7 million over December 1993. Low global coarse grain production, especially of barley, has increased demand for U.S. corn. Japan purchased 1.4 million tons in December, and shipments to Korea, Mexico, and Taiwan each exceeded 500,000 tons. Total 1994 exports were 35.6 million tons. Soybean shipments gained 700,000 tons from November and were 800,000 tons ahead of December 1993, reflecting increased U.S. supplies, low world stocks, strong demand from crushers in Brazil, and low production in India. The Netherlands doubled imports to 740,000 tons in December, and Japan imported 390,000 tons. Soybean shipments of 18.1 million tons in 1994 were 7 percent below 1993. Record Imports - December import value was unchanged from November and just below December 1993. Seasonal increases in fresh vegetables, fruits, and other horticultural products held monthly value up. Calendar year imports were up 7 percent from 1993, reaching a record $26.8 billion. Competitive product import value rose 4 percent to $20.1 billion. In 1994, grain and feed imports gained over $500 million due to low U.S. corn production; Canadian barley alone increased by $130 million and volume gained 1.4 million tons. Overall, fruit import value rose 8 percent, with mangos and melons from Mexico, and grapes from Chile advancing the most. Oilseed imports gained 31 percent in value due to imports of Canadian rapeseed and soybeans. Tobacco import value plummeted 55 percent after the first full year of restrictions on foreign leaf use in U.S. cigarettes. Noncompetitive products rose 20 percent to $6.7 billion driven by sharp increases in coffee unit values. (Tom Capehart, 202-219-1262) END-END-END