Crop Production ISSN: 1936-3737 Released December 10, 2020, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Cotton Production Down 7 Percent from November Forecast Orange Production Down 1 Percent from October Forecast All cotton production is forecast at 15.9 million 480-pound bales, down 7 percent from the previous forecast and down 20 percent from 2019. Based on conditions as of December 1, yields are expected to average 850 pounds per harvested acre, down 61 pounds from the previous forecast but up 27 pounds from 2019. Upland cotton production is forecast at 15.4 million 480-pound bales, down 7 percent from the previous forecast and down 20 percent from 2019. Pima cotton production is forecast at 554,000 bales, down 1 percent from the previous forecast and down 19 percent from 2019. All cotton area harvested is forecast at 9.01 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 22 percent from 2019. The United States all orange forecast for the 2020-2021 season is 4.60 million tons, down 1 percent from the previous forecast and down 12 percent from the 2019-2020 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 56.0 million boxes (2.52 million tons), is down 2 percent from the previous forecast and down 17 percent from last season's final utilization. In Florida, early, midseason, and Navel varieties are forecast at 22.0 million boxes (990,000 tons), down 4 percent from the previous forecast and down 26 percent from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 34.0 million boxes (1.53 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 10 percent from last season's final utilization. This report was approved on December 10, 2020. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Bill Northey Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Joseph L. Parsons Contents Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2019 and Forecasted December 1, 2020........................................................................................... 4 Cottonseed Production - United States: 2019 and Forecasted December 1, 2020................................ 5 Cotton Production - United States Chart.................................................................... 5 Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2019-2020 and Forecasted December 1, 2020........................................................................................... 6 Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2019 and Forecasted December 1, 2020................................................................................ 7 Pecan Production by Variety - States and United States: 2019 and Forecasted December 1, 2020............... 8 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2019 and 2020.... 10 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2019 and 2020...... 12 Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2020 and 2021................................ 14 Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units - United States: 2020 and 2021.................................. 15 Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts - Selected States: 2016-2020................................................. 16 Percent of Normal Precipitation Map........................................................................ 17 Departure from Normal Temperature Map...................................................................... 17 November Weather Summary................................................................................... 18 November Agricultural Summary.............................................................................. 18 Crop Comments.............................................................................................. 19 Statistical Methodology.................................................................................... 21 Reliability of December 1 Crop Production Forecasts........................................................ 22 Information Contacts....................................................................................... 23 Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2019 and Forecasted December 1, 2020 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production 1/ :-------------------------------------------------------------------------- Type and State : : : : 2020 : : : 2019 : 2020 : 2019 :-----------------------: 2019 : 2020 : : : :November 1 :December 1 : : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :--- 1,000 acres -- ---------- pounds ---------- 1,000 bales 2/ : Upland : Alabama .........: 532.0 445.0 928 890 852 1,028.0 790.0 Arizona .........: 158.0 123.0 1,154 1,385 1,385 380.0 355.0 Arkansas ........: 610.0 520.0 1,185 1,200 1,200 1,506.0 1,300.0 California ......: 53.0 40.0 1,576 1,620 1,620 174.0 135.0 Florida .........: 110.0 98.0 895 759 686 205.0 140.0 Georgia .........: 1,380.0 1,190.0 953 968 928 2,740.0 2,300.0 Kansas ..........: 151.0 195.0 890 788 788 280.0 320.0 Louisiana .......: 270.0 165.0 1,035 1,164 1,018 582.0 350.0 Mississippi .....: 700.0 525.0 1,112 1,198 1,152 1,621.0 1,260.0 Missouri ........: 368.0 287.0 1,193 1,146 1,238 915.0 740.0 : New Mexico ......: 45.0 35.0 821 1,029 960 77.0 70.0 North Carolina ..: 500.0 340.0 998 819 805 1,040.0 570.0 Oklahoma ........: 460.0 460.0 688 803 751 659.0 720.0 South Carolina ..: 295.0 185.0 809 843 817 497.0 315.0 Tennessee .......: 405.0 275.0 1,138 1,117 1,187 960.0 680.0 Texas ...........: 5,250.0 3,850.0 578 761 648 6,320.0 5,200.0 Virginia ........: 102.0 79.0 1,144 972 911 243.0 150.0 : United States ...:11,389.0 8,812.0 810 901 839 19,227.0 15,395.0 : American Pima : Arizona .........: 7.5 6.5 800 1,108 1,108 12.5 15.0 California ......: 201.0 146.0 1,545 1,529 1,562 647.0 475.0 New Mexico ......: 5.0 10.8 864 889 756 9.0 17.0 Texas ...........: 10.0 30.0 816 912 752 17.0 47.0 : United States ...: 223.5 193.3 1,472 1,383 1,376 685.5 554.0 : All : Alabama .........: 532.0 445.0 928 890 852 1,028.0 790.0 Arizona .........: 165.5 129.5 1,138 1,371 1,371 392.5 370.0 Arkansas ........: 610.0 520.0 1,185 1,200 1,200 1,506.0 1,300.0 California ......: 254.0 186.0 1,551 1,548 1,574 821.0 610.0 Florida .........: 110.0 98.0 895 759 686 205.0 140.0 Georgia .........: 1,380.0 1,190.0 953 968 928 2,740.0 2,300.0 Kansas ..........: 151.0 195.0 890 788 788 280.0 320.0 Louisiana .......: 270.0 165.0 1,035 1,164 1,018 582.0 350.0 Mississippi .....: 700.0 525.0 1,112 1,198 1,152 1,621.0 1,260.0 Missouri ........: 368.0 287.0 1,193 1,146 1,238 915.0 740.0 : New Mexico ......: 50.0 45.8 826 996 912 86.0 87.0 North Carolina ..: 500.0 340.0 998 819 805 1,040.0 570.0 Oklahoma ........: 460.0 460.0 688 803 751 659.0 720.0 South Carolina ..: 295.0 185.0 809 843 817 497.0 315.0 Tennessee .......: 405.0 275.0 1,138 1,117 1,187 960.0 680.0 Texas ...........: 5,260.0 3,880.0 578 762 649 6,337.0 5,247.0 Virginia ........: 102.0 79.0 1,144 972 911 243.0 150.0 : United States ...:11,612.5 9,005.3 823 911 850 19,912.5 15,949.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-pound net weight bale. Cottonseed Production - United States: 2019 and Forecasted December 1, 2020 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2019 : 2020 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 tons : United States ...: 5,945.0 4,887.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2019-2020 and Forecasted December 1, 2020 [The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year.] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized production boxes 1/ :Utilized production ton equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2019-2020 : 2020-2021 : 2019-2020 : 2020-2021 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 boxes ------ ------ 1,000 tons ----- Oranges : California, all 2/ .........: 53,300 50,500 2,132 2,020 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ..: 44,300 42,000 1,772 1,680 Valencia ..................: 9,000 8,500 360 340 : Florida, all ...............: 67,300 56,000 3,028 2,520 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ..: 29,650 22,000 1,334 990 Valencia ..................: 37,650 34,000 1,694 1,530 : Texas, all 2/ ..............: 1,340 1,500 57 64 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ..: 1,150 1,300 49 55 Valencia ..................: 190 200 8 9 : United States, all .........: 121,940 108,000 5,217 4,604 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ..: 75,100 65,300 3,155 2,725 Valencia ..................: 46,840 42,700 2,062 1,879 : Grapefruit : California 2/ ..............: 3,800 3,800 152 152 Florida, all ...............: 4,850 4,400 207 187 Red 4/ ....................: 4,060 (NA) 173 (NA) White 4/ ..................: 790 (NA) 34 (NA) Texas 2/ ...................: 4,400 4,900 176 196 : United States ..............: 13,050 13,100 535 535 : Tangerines and mandarins 5/ : California 2/ ..............: 22,000 23,000 880 920 Florida ....................: 1,020 1,100 48 52 : United States ..............: 23,020 24,100 928 972 : Lemons 2/ : Arizona ....................: 1,800 1,300 72 52 California .................: 25,700 22,000 1,028 880 : United States ..............: 27,500 23,300 1,100 932 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. 1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80, Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in Florida and Texas. 4/ Estimates discontinued in 2020-2021. 5/ Includes tangelos and tangors. Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2019 and Forecasted December 1, 2020 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area harvested : Yield per acre 1/ : Production 1/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : : : : 2020 : : : 2019 : 2020 : 2019 :-------------------------: 2019 : 2020 : : : : November 1 : December 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres ------------ tons ----------- -- 1,000 tons -- : Florida ......: 410.7 414.0 43.0 43.9 44.1 17,644 18,257 Louisiana ....: 469.0 484.0 28.1 29.8 32.0 13,161 15,488 Texas ........: 33.5 36.1 33.8 34.5 33.2 1,132 1,199 : United States : 913.2 934.1 35.0 36.2 37.4 31,937 34,944 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Net tons. Pecan Production by Variety - States and United States: 2019 and Forecasted December 1, 2020 --------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized production (in-shell basis) State and variety :------------------------------------------- : 2019 : 2020 --------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 pounds : Arizona .................: 36,100 37,000 Improved ...............: 36,100 37,000 : Georgia .................: 73,000 135,000 Improved ...............: 73,000 135,000 : New Mexico ..............: 87,800 77,000 Improved ...............: 87,800 77,000 : Oklahoma ................: 21,200 7,500 Improved ...............: 4,240 2,400 Native and seedling ....: 16,960 5,100 : Texas ...................: 37,500 50,000 Improved ...............: 30,000 40,000 Native and seedling ....: 7,500 10,000 : United States ...........: 255,600 306,500 Improved ...............: 231,140 291,400 Native and seedling ....: 24,460 15,100 --------------------------------------------------------------------- This page intentionally left blank. Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2019 and 2020 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2020 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 2019 : 2020 : 2019 : 2020 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres : Grains and hay : Barley .................................: 2,772 2,621 2,221 2,133 Corn for grain 1/ ......................: 89,745 90,978 81,337 82,527 Corn for silage ........................: (NA) 6,615 Hay, all ...............................: (NA) (NA) 52,425 52,381 Alfalfa ..............................: (NA) (NA) 16,743 16,352 All other ............................: (NA) (NA) 35,682 36,029 Oats ...................................: 2,830 2,984 828 1,004 Proso millet ...........................: 506 511 465 Rice ...................................: 2,540 3,037 2,472 2,991 Rye ....................................: 1,855 1,955 310 330 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...................: 5,265 5,790 4,675 5,000 Sorghum for silage .....................: (NA) 339 Wheat, all .............................: 45,485 44,349 37,394 36,746 Winter ...............................: 31,474 30,415 24,592 23,024 Durum ................................: 1,341 1,684 1,177 1,662 Other spring .........................: 12,670 12,250 11,625 12,060 : Oilseeds : Canola .................................: 2,040.0 1,852.0 1,909.5 1,812.0 Cottonseed .............................: (X) (X) (X) (X) Flaxseed ...............................: 374 355 319 328 Mustard seed ...........................: 98.0 98.0 90.0 93.0 Peanuts ................................: 1,432.7 1,665.2 1,389.7 1,623.2 Rapeseed ...............................: 11.3 12.5 10.4 11.8 Safflower ..............................: 165.8 145.0 152.7 137.5 Soybeans for beans .....................: 76,100 83,105 74,939 82,289 Sunflower ..............................: 1,350.6 1,698.5 1,253.5 1,622.5 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all ............................: 13,735.7 12,115.5 11,612.5 9,005.3 Upland ...............................: 13,507.0 11,915.0 11,389.0 8,812.0 American Pima ........................: 228.7 200.5 223.5 193.3 Sugarbeets .............................: 1,132.0 1,165.2 979.3 1,148.5 Sugarcane ..............................: (NA) (NA) 913.2 934.1 Tobacco ................................: (NA) (NA) 227.1 195.5 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Chickpeas ..............................: 451.4 254.0 404.0 249.2 Dry edible beans .......................: 1,287.4 1,743.0 1,176.5 1,683.0 Dry edible peas ........................: 1,103.0 999.0 1,052.0 949.0 Lentils ................................: 486.0 518.0 431.0 486.0 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops ...................................: (NA) (NA) 56.5 59.2 Maple syrup ............................: (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) Mushrooms ..............................: (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) Peppermint oil .........................: (NA) 52.4 Potatoes ...............................: 963.3 923.0 937.3 915.7 Spearmint oil ..........................: (NA) 18.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2019 and 2020 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2020 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per acre : Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 2019 : 2020 : 2019 : 2020 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : --------- 1,000 -------- : Grains and hay : Barley ..........................bushels: 77.7 77.5 172,499 165,324 Corn for grain ..................bushels: 167.5 175.8 13,619,928 14,506,795 Corn for silage ....................tons: 20.2 133,522 Hay, all ...........................tons: 2.46 2.44 128,864 127,678 Alfalfa ..........................tons: 3.28 3.22 54,875 52,625 All other ........................tons: 2.07 2.08 73,989 75,053 Oats ............................bushels: 64.3 65.1 53,258 65,355 Proso millet ....................bushels: 35.7 16,608 Rice 2/ .............................cwt: 7,471 7,560 184,675 226,121 Rye .............................bushels: 34.3 34.9 10,622 11,532 Sorghum for grain ...............bushels: 73.0 74.2 341,460 370,770 Sorghum for silage .................tons: 11.9 4,019 Wheat, all ......................bushels: 51.7 49.7 1,932,017 1,825,820 Winter ........................bushels: 53.6 50.9 1,316,963 1,171,022 Durum .........................bushels: 45.8 41.4 53,959 68,808 Other spring ..................bushels: 48.3 48.6 561,095 585,990 : Oilseeds : Canola ...........................pounds: 1,781 1,759 3,400,865 3,186,670 Cottonseed .........................tons: (X) (X) 5,945.0 4,887.0 Flaxseed ........................bushels: 20.0 6,395 Mustard seed .....................pounds: 706 63,580 Peanuts ..........................pounds: 3,934 4,093 5,466,487 6,643,320 Rapeseed .........................pounds: 2,160 22,464 Safflower ........................pounds: 1,272 194,295 Soybeans for beans ..............bushels: 47.4 50.7 3,551,908 4,170,262 Sunflower ........................pounds: 1,560 1,730 1,956,035 2,807,115 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all 2/ ....................bales: 823 850 19,912.5 15,949.0 Upland 2/ .......................bales: 810 839 19,227.0 15,395.0 American Pima 2/ ................bales: 1,472 1,376 685.5 554.0 Sugarbeets .........................tons: 29.2 29.6 28,600 33,958 Sugarcane ..........................tons: 35.0 37.4 31,937 34,944 Tobacco ..........................pounds: 2,060 1,983 467,956 387,585 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Chickpeas 2/ ........................cwt: 1,544 1,561 6,237 3,889 Dry edible beans 2/ .................cwt: 1,769 2,079 20,811 34,984 Dry edible peas 2/ ..................cwt: 2,124 1,953 22,346 18,534 Lentils 2/ ..........................cwt: 1,250 1,338 5,388 6,504 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops .............................pounds: 1,981 1,982 112,041.2 117,229.0 Maple syrup .....................gallons: (NA) (NA) 4,180 4,372 Mushrooms ........................pounds: (NA) (NA) 831,724 816,367 Peppermint oil ...................pounds: 104 5,452 Potatoes ............................cwt: 453 454 424,419 415,481 Spearmint oil ....................pounds: 130 2,413 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Yield in pounds. Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2019 and 2020 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2020 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 2019 : 2020 : 2019 : 2020 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : hectares : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 1,121,800 1,060,690 898,820 863,200 Corn for grain 1/ ..............: 36,318,900 36,817,890 32,916,270 33,397,850 Corn for silage ................: (NA) 2,677,020 Hay, all 2/ ....................: (NA) (NA) 21,215,870 21,198,070 Alfalfa ......................: (NA) (NA) 6,775,720 6,617,490 All other ....................: (NA) (NA) 14,440,150 14,580,580 Oats ...........................: 1,145,270 1,207,590 335,080 406,310 Proso millet ...................: 204,770 206,800 188,180 Rice ...........................: 1,027,910 1,229,040 1,000,390 1,210,430 Rye ............................: 750,700 791,170 125,450 133,550 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........: 2,130,690 2,343,160 1,891,930 2,023,450 Sorghum for silage .............: (NA) 137,190 Wheat, all 2/ ..................: 18,407,320 17,947,600 15,132,980 14,870,740 Winter .......................: 12,737,210 12,308,650 9,952,140 9,317,580 Durum ........................: 542,690 681,500 476,320 672,590 Other spring .................: 5,127,420 4,957,450 4,704,520 4,880,560 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 825,570 749,490 772,760 733,300 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) (X) (X) Flaxseed .......................: 151,350 143,660 129,100 132,740 Mustard seed ...................: 39,660 39,660 36,420 37,640 Peanuts ........................: 579,800 673,890 562,400 656,890 Rapeseed .......................: 4,570 5,060 4,210 4,780 Safflower ......................: 67,100 58,680 61,800 55,640 Soybeans for beans .............: 30,796,910 33,631,760 30,327,060 33,301,540 Sunflower ......................: 546,570 687,370 507,280 656,610 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all 2/ .................: 5,558,700 4,903,020 4,699,460 3,644,350 Upland .......................: 5,466,150 4,821,880 4,609,010 3,566,130 American Pima ................: 92,550 81,140 90,450 78,230 Sugarbeets .....................: 458,110 471,540 396,310 464,790 Sugarcane ......................: (NA) (NA) 369,560 378,020 Tobacco ........................: (NA) (NA) 91,910 79,100 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Chickpeas ......................: 182,680 102,790 163,490 100,850 Dry edible beans ...............: 521,000 705,370 476,120 681,090 Dry edible peas ................: 446,370 404,290 425,730 384,050 Lentils ........................: 196,680 209,630 174,420 196,680 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops ...........................: (NA) (NA) 22,880 23,940 Maple syrup ....................: (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) Mushrooms ......................: (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) Peppermint oil .................: (NA) 21,210 Potatoes .......................: 389,840 373,530 379,320 370,570 Spearmint oil ..................: (NA) 7,490 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2019 and 2020 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2020 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per hectare : Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : 2019 : 2020 : 2019 : 2020 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : metric tons : Grains and hay : Barley .................................: 4.18 4.17 3,755,720 3,599,510 Corn for grain .........................: 10.51 11.03 345,962,110 368,489,570 Corn for silage ........................: 45.25 121,129,120 Hay, all 2/ ............................: 5.51 5.46 116,903,450 115,827,530 Alfalfa ..............................: 7.35 7.21 49,781,760 47,740,600 All other ............................: 4.65 4.67 67,121,690 68,086,940 Oats ...................................: 2.31 2.33 773,040 948,630 Proso millet ...........................: 2.00 376,660 Rice ...................................: 8.37 8.47 8,376,720 10,256,680 Rye ....................................: 2.15 2.19 269,810 292,930 Sorghum for grain ......................: 4.58 4.65 8,673,480 9,417,990 Sorghum for silage .....................: 26.58 3,645,980 Wheat, all 2/ ..........................: 3.47 3.34 52,580,890 49,690,680 Winter ...............................: 3.60 3.42 35,841,860 31,870,000 Durum ................................: 3.08 2.78 1,468,520 1,872,650 Other spring .........................: 3.25 3.27 15,270,500 15,948,030 : Oilseeds : Canola .................................: 2.00 1.97 1,542,610 1,445,450 Cottonseed .............................: (X) (X) 5,393,210 4,433,410 Flaxseed ...............................: 1.26 162,440 Mustard seed ...........................: 0.79 28,840 Peanuts ................................: 4.41 4.59 2,479,560 3,013,360 Rapeseed ...............................: 2.42 10,190 Safflower ..............................: 1.43 88,130 Soybeans for beans .....................: 3.19 3.41 96,667,090 113,495,930 Sunflower ..............................: 1.75 1.94 887,240 1,273,290 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all 2/ .........................: 0.92 0.95 4,335,440 3,472,490 Upland ...............................: 0.91 0.94 4,186,190 3,351,870 American Pima ........................: 1.65 1.54 149,250 120,620 Sugarbeets .............................: 65.47 66.28 25,945,480 30,806,180 Sugarcane ..............................: 78.40 83.86 28,972,760 31,700,660 Tobacco ................................: 2.31 2.22 212,260 175,810 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Chickpeas ..............................: 1.73 1.75 282,910 176,400 Dry edible beans .......................: 1.98 2.33 943,970 1,586,850 Dry edible peas ........................: 2.38 2.19 1,013,600 840,690 Lentils ................................: 1.40 1.50 244,400 295,020 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops ...................................: 2.22 2.22 50,820 53,170 Maple syrup ............................: (NA) (NA) 20,900 21,860 Mushrooms ..............................: (NA) (NA) 377,260 370,300 Peppermint oil .........................: 0.12 2,470 Potatoes ...............................: 50.75 50.86 19,251,320 18,845,900 Spearmint oil ..........................: 0.15 1,090 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Total may not add due to rounding. Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2020 and 2021 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2021 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2020-2021 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------- : 2020 : 2021 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus 1/ : Grapefruit ......................1,000 tons: 535 535 Lemons ..........................1,000 tons: 1,100 932 Oranges .........................1,000 tons: 5,217 4,604 Tangerines and mandarins ........1,000 tons: 928 972 : Noncitrus : Apples, commercial ..........million pounds: 10,650.0 Apricots ..............................tons: 34,800 Avocados ..............................tons: Blueberries, Cultivated .......1,000 pounds: Blueberries, Wild (Maine) .....1,000 pounds: Cherries, Sweet .......................tons: 334,000 Cherries, Tart ..............million pounds: 197.0 Coffee (Hawaii) ...............1,000 pounds: Cranberries .........................barrel: 8,970,000 : Dates .................................tons: Grapes ................................tons: 7,180,000 Kiwifruit (California) ................tons: Nectarines (California) ...............tons: Olives (California) ...................tons: Papayas (Hawaii) ..............1,000 pounds: Peaches ...............................tons: 645,500 Pears .................................tons: 800,000 Plums (California) ....................tons: Prunes (California) ...................tons: Raspberries, all .............1,000 pounds: Strawberries .....................1,000 cwt: : Nuts and miscellaneous : Almonds, shelled (California) .1,000 pounds: 3,000,000 Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..........tons: 71,000 Macadamias (Hawaii) ...........1,000 pounds: Pecans, in-shell ..............1,000 pounds: 306,500 Pistachios (California) .......1,000 pounds: Walnuts, in-shell (California) ........tons: 780,000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production years are 2019-2020 and 2020-2021. Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units - United States: 2020 and 2021 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2021 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2020-2021 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------- : 2020 : 2021 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Citrus 1/ : Grapefruit ................................: 485,340 485,340 Lemons ....................................: 997,900 845,500 Oranges ...................................: 4,732,780 4,176,680 Tangerines and mandarins ..................: 841,870 881,780 : Noncitrus : Apples, commercial ........................: 4,830,760 Apricots ..................................: 31,570 Avocados ..................................: Blueberries, Cultivated ...................: Blueberries, Wild (Maine) .................: Cherries, Sweet ...........................: 303,000 Cherries, Tart ............................: 89,360 Coffee (Hawaii) ...........................: Cranberries ...............................: 406,870 : Dates .....................................: Grapes ....................................: 6,513,590 Kiwifruit (California) ....................: Nectarines (California) ...................: Olives (California) .......................: Papayas (Hawaii) ..........................: Peaches ...................................: 585,590 Pears .....................................: 725,750 Plums (California) ........................: Prunes (California) .......................: Raspberries, all ..........................: Strawberries ..............................: : Nuts and miscellaneous : Almonds, shelled (California) .............: 1,360,780 Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..............: 64,410 Macadamias (Hawaii) .......................: Pecans, in-shell ..........................: 139,030 Pistachios (California) ...................: Walnuts, in-shell (California) ............: 707,600 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production years are 2019-2020 and 2020-2021. Cotton Objective Yield Data The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in four cotton-producing States during 2020. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from September through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey. Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts - Selected States: 2016-2020 [Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : State and month : 2016 : 2017 : 2018 : 2019 : 2020 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : number : Arkansas : September ..........: 800 911 891 900 994 October ............: 769 839 910 896 849 November ...........: 779 825 892 925 820 December ...........: 779 825 892 900 820 Final ..............: 779 825 892 900 : Georgia : September ..........: 562 593 605 598 606 October ............: 668 608 737 783 747 November ...........: 719 680 712 790 761 December ...........: 725 684 719 799 784 Final ..............: 725 684 713 803 : Louisiana 1/ : September ..........: 654 648 759 (NA) (NA) October ............: 760 667 734 (NA) (NA) November ...........: 784 665 739 (NA) (NA) December ...........: 784 665 739 (NA) (NA) Final ..............: 784 665 739 (NA) (NA) : Mississippi : September ..........: 953 904 871 944 900 October ............: 942 810 895 895 867 November ...........: 974 804 846 904 877 December ...........: 974 797 846 901 875 Final ..............: 974 797 846 901 : North Carolina 1/ : September ..........: 558 637 601 (NA) (NA) October ............: 599 705 641 (NA) (NA) November ...........: 660 769 714 (NA) (NA) December ...........: 660 769 719 (NA) (NA) Final ..............: 660 769 719 (NA) (NA) : Texas : September ..........: 467 592 570 458 576 October ............: 474 602 576 438 581 November ...........: 528 603 553 456 595 December ...........: 547 615 583 459 608 Final ..............: 546 614 582 461 : 4-State 2/ : September ..........: 532 633 627 551 645 October ............: 554 635 661 562 661 November ...........: 604 649 640 579 671 December ...........: 618 656 659 580 683 Final ..............: 618 656 657 593 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. 1/ Objective yield survey discontinued in 2019. 2/ 6-State total prior to 2019. November Weather Summary Fueled by record-setting warmth during the first half of the month, November temperatures averaged more than 5°F above normal in many locations from the Plains to the Atlantic Coast. In contrast, near-normal monthly temperatures prevailed in the West, where warm and cool periods were interspersed. Western wildfire activity waned in November, although year-to- date fires in the United States fires have charred about 9.5 million acres of vegetation (more than 140 percent of the 10-year average). Meanwhile, significantly drier-than-normal November weather prevailed in several areas, including portions of the Plains and large sections of California, the Southwest, and the northern Mississippi Delta. By November 29, dry conditions across the central and southern Plains left more than one-fifth of the winter wheat rated in very poor to poor condition in Colorado (38 percent), Texas (34 percent), Nebraska (26 percent), and Kansas (22 percent). However, the Plains' dryness also favored fieldwork, including harvest efforts. The Nation's sorghum harvest was 97 percent complete by November 22; the sunflower harvest was 97 percent complete a week later, on November 29. Despite occasional November precipitation, Midwestern corn and soybean harvests neared completion, especially in the western Corn Belt. By November 29, the corn harvest was 92 percent complete in Ohio and 95 percent complete in Michigan and Wisconsin. In the middle and southern Atlantic States, however, periods of heavy rain-including the interaction between Tropical Storm Eta and a cold front-hampered harvest activities for a variety of summer crops, including cotton and soybeans. By November 29, more than one-fifth of the cotton remained in the field in Virginia (62 percent harvested), North Carolina (74 percent), and South Carolina (77 percent). Tropical Storm Eta, the record-shattering twelfth Atlantic tropical cyclone to make a landfall in the United States this year, twice struck Florida. Eta's first landfall occurred on Lower Matecumbe Key on November 8 around 11 pm EST, followed by a strike on the Gulf Coast near Cedar Key on November 12 at 4 am. Sustained winds were 65 and 50 mph, respectively. Aside from gusty winds, locally above 50 mph across Florida's peninsula, Eta's primary impact was flash flooding from heavy rain. Eta produced 6 to 18 inches of rain in southeastern Florida. Elsewhere, an already expansive drought further intensified, especially from the Southwest to the High Plains. By November 24, drought covered 75.6 percent of the 11-state Western region and 48.6 percent of the Lower 48 States, according to the United States Drought Monitor. National drought coverage was the highest in more than 7 years, since September 2013. Despite the picture for the Nation as a whole, drought coverage decreased during November in several regions, including the Northwest and Northeast. November Agricultural Summary Most of the Nation was warmer than average during the month of November. Parts of the Great Lakes, Northern Plains, Rockies, Southeast, and Texas recorded temperatures 6°F or more above normal for the month. In contrast, parts of Idaho and the Pacific Northwest were moderately cooler than normal. While much of the Nation remained drier than normal for the month of November, above normal amounts of precipitation were recorded in parts of the Delta, Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, Pacific Northwest, Great Plains, Northern Rockies, Southeast, and South Texas. Parts of Southern Florida, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and pockets in the Northern Rockies recorded 7 inches or more of precipitation for the month. Eighty-two percent of the 2020 corn acreage had been harvested by November 1, thirty-three percentage points ahead of last year and 13 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace. Ninety-five percent of the 2020 corn acreage had been harvested by November 15, twenty-two percentage points ahead of last year and 8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average harvest pace. Soybean harvest across the Nation was 87 percent complete by November 1, sixteen percentage points ahead of last year and 4 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Soybean harvest across the Nation was 96 percent complete by November 15, seven percentage points ahead of last year and 3 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Nationwide, producers had sown 89 percent of the intended 2021 winter wheat acreage by November 1, one percentage point ahead of last year and 3 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Nationwide, 71 percent of the winter wheat acreage had emerged by November 1, two percentage points ahead of last year and 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average. Nationwide, producers had sown 96 percent of the intended 2021 winter wheat acreage by November 15, two percentage points ahead of both last year and the 5-year average. Nationwide, 85 percent of the winter wheat acreage had emerged by November 15, three percentage points ahead of last year and 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average. Nationwide, 92 percent of the winter wheat acreage had emerged by November 29, three percentage points ahead of last year and 1 percentage point ahead of the 5-year average. As of November 29, forty-six percent of the 2021 winter wheat acreage was reported in good to excellent condition, 6 percentage points below the same time last year. By November 1, fifty-two percent of the Nation's cotton acreage had been harvested, 1 percentage point ahead of last year and 3 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. As of November 1, thirty-seven percent of the 2020 cotton acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 3 percentage points below the same time last year. By November 15, sixty-nine percent of the Nation's cotton acreage had been harvested, 3 percentage points ahead of last year and 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. By November 29, eighty-four percent of the Nation's cotton acreage had been harvested, 2 percentage points ahead of last year and 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Eighty-two percent of the 2020 sorghum acreage had been harvested by November 1, eight percentage points ahead of last year and 11 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Ninety percent of the Nation's sorghum acreage had been harvested by November 8, five percentage points ahead of last year and 10 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Ninety-seven percent of the Nation's sorghum acreage had been harvested by November 22, one percentage point ahead of last year and 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Nationally, 96 percent of the rice acreage had been harvested by November 1, two percentage points behind last year and 3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Sixty-six percent of the Nation's peanut acreage had been harvested as of November 1, sixteen percentage points behind last year and 10 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Eighty-five percent of the Nation's peanut acreage had been harvested as of November 15, seven percentage points behind last year and 4 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Ninety-six percent of the Nation's peanut acreage had been harvested as of November 29, two percentage points behind last year but equal to the 5-year average. By November 1, sugarbeet producers had harvested 95 percent of the Nation's crop, 28 percentage points ahead of last year and 11 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. By November 1, sixty-one percent of this year's sunflower crop was harvested, 34 percentage points ahead of last year and 7 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. By November 15, eighty-eight percent of the Nation's sunflower crop had been harvested, 42 percentage points ahead of last year and 13 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. By November 29, ninety-seven percent of the Nation's sunflower crop had been harvested, 35 percentage points ahead of last year and 10 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Crop Comments Cotton: Upland harvested area for the Nation is expected to total 8.81 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 23 percent from last year. Expected Pima harvested area, at 193,300 acres, is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 14 percent from last year. Harvest progressed well throughout the cotton producing region during November. As of November 29, eighty-four percent of the cotton acreage was harvested, 2 percentage points ahead of last year and 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. At that time, harvest progress was near the five-year average in all of the estimating States except Texas, which was 14 percentage points ahead of the five-year average. If realized, the forecasted yield for all cotton in Arkansas and Tennessee will be a record high. Ginnings totaled 9,570,350 running bales prior to December 1, compared with 12,924,350 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year. Grapefruit: The United States 2020-2021 grapefruit crop is forecast at 535,000 tons, is down 1 percent from the previous forecast but unchanged from last season's final utilization. The Florida forecast, at 4.40 million boxes (187,000 tons), is down 2 percent from previous forecast and down 9 percent from the last season. California and Texas grapefruit production forecasts were carried forward from the previous forecast. Tangerines and mandarins: The United States tangerine and mandarin crop is forecast at 972,000 tons, unchanged from the previous forecast but up 5 percent from last season's final utilization. The Florida tangerine and mandarin forecast, at is unchanged from the previous forecast but up 8 percent from last year. The California tangerine and mandarin forecast was carried forward from the previous forecast. Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at 34.9 million tons, up 3 percent from last month and up 9 percent from last year. Producers intend to harvest 934,100 acres for sugar and seed during the 2020 crop year, up slightly from the previous forecast and up 2 percent from last year. Yields for sugar and seed are expected to average 37.4 tons per acre, up 1.2 tons from last month and up 2.4 tons from 2019. Pecans: Production is forecast at 307 million pounds (utilized, in-shell basis), up 5 from the previous forecast and up 20 percent from 2019. Improved varieties are expected to produce 291 million pounds or 95 percent of the total. The native and seedling varieties are expected to produce 15.1 million pounds, making up the remaining 5 percent of production. Statistical Methodology Cotton survey procedures: Objective yield surveys were conducted between November 24 and December 1 to gather information on expected yields as of December 1. The objective yield survey for cotton was conducted in producing States that usually account for approximately 67 percent of the United States production. At crop maturity, the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss. Orange survey procedures: In August and September, the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree is determined. In August and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted, which combined with the previous components are used to develop the current forecast of production. California and Texas conduct grower on a quarterly basis for the forecast, in October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for Navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Cotton estimating procedures: National and State level objective yield estimates for cotton were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. For cotton, reports from cotton ginners in each State were also considered. Each cotton Regional Field Office submits its analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published December 1 forecast. Orange estimating procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida Field Office submits its analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida objective yield survey data and their analyses to prepare the published December 1 forecast. The December 1 orange production forecasts for California and Texas were carried forward from October. Revision policy: The December 1 production forecasts will not be revised. For cotton, a new estimate will be made in January followed by end-of-season revisions in May. Administrative records are reviewed and revisions are made, if data relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made, if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last estimate. For oranges, the December 1 production forecasts will not be revised. A new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates will be published in the Citrus Fruits Summary released in September. The production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the December 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the December 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the December 1 cotton production forecast is 2.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current cotton production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 4.0 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the December 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using cotton again as an example, changes between the December 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 292,000 bales, ranging from 40,000 bales to 775,000 bales. The December 1 forecast for cotton has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. This does not imply that the December 1 cotton forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production. Reliability of December 1 Crop Production Forecasts [Based on data for the past twenty years] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference between forecast : : : and final estimate : : :-------------------------------------------- : :90 percent : Production : Years Crop : Root mean :confidence :-------------------------------------------- :square error: interval : : : : Below : Above : : :Average :Smallest:Largest : final : final ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---- percent --- ------ millions ------ number : Oranges 1/ ...............tons: 6.3 10.9 371 21 1,012 4 16 Sugarcane ................tons: 3.8 6.6 1 (Z) 2 6 14 Upland cotton 1/ ........bales: 2.3 4.0 292 40 775 8 12 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (Z) Less than half of the unit shown. 1/ Quantity is in thousands of units. USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch......................................................... (202) 720-2127 Chris Hawthorn, Head, Field Crops Section................................................ (202) 720-2127 Irwin Anolik - Crop Weather......................................................... (202) 720-7621 Joshua Bates - Oats, Soybeans....................................................... (202) 690-3234 David Colwell - Current Agricultural Industrial Reports............................. (202) 720-8800 Becky Sommer - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum..................................... (202) 720-5944 James Johanson - Barley, County Estimates, Hay...................................... (202) 690-8533 Greg Lemmons - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet......................................... (202) 720-9526 Jean Porter - Rye, Wheat............................................................ (202) 720-8068 John Stephens - Peanuts, Rice....................................................... (202) 720-7688 Travis Thorson - Sunflower, Other Oilseeds.......................................... (202) 720-7369 Fleming Gibson, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section....................... (202) 720-2127 ......................................................................................... Heidi Lanouette - Blueberries, Cranberries, Cucumbers, Pistachios, Potatoes, Pumpkins, Raspberries, Squash, Strawberries, Sugarbeets, Sugarcane, Sweet Potatoes................. (202) 720-4285 Robert Little - Apricots, Dry Beans, Lettuce, Macadamia, Maple Syrup, Nectarines, Pears, Snap Beans, Spinach, Tomatoes......................................... (202) 720-3250 Anastasiya Osborne - Almonds, Apples, Asparagus, Carrots, Coffee, Onions Plums, Prunes, Sweet Corn, Tobacco....................................................... (202) 720-4288 Krishna Rizal - Artichokes, Cauliflower, Celery, Grapefruit, Garlic, Hazelnuts, Kiwifruit, Lemons, Mandarins and tangerines, Mint, Mushrooms, Olives, Oranges............ (202) 720-5412 Dawn Smoker - Avocados, Bell Peppers, Broccoli, Cabbage, Chickpeas, Chile Peppers, Dates, Floriculture, Grapes, Hops, Pecans................................. (202) 720-4215 Fleming Gibson - Cantaloupes, Dry Edible Peas, Green Peas, Honeydews, Lentils, Papayas, Peaches, Sweet Cherries, Tart Cherries, Walnuts, Watermelons.................... 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