Crop Production ISSN: 1936-3737 Released March 9, 2016, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). South Carolina Update When South Carolina producers were surveyed in preparation for the Crop Production 2015 Summary, released January 12, 2016, there was significant unharvested acreage of cotton, peanuts, and soybeans due to excessively wet conditions. NASS re-contacted respondents in early February who previously had reported acreage for these crops to determine how many of those acres were actually harvested and record the actual production from those acres. Based on this updated information, several changes were made to the estimates published in the Crop Production 2015 Summary. Because unharvested soybean production is a component of on-farm stocks, changes were made to the December 1 on-farm stocks level comparable with the production adjustments. Orange Production Up 2 Percent from February Forecast The United States all orange forecast for the 2015-2016 season is 5.36 million tons, up 2 percent from the previous forecast but down 16 percent from the 2014-2015 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 71.0 million boxes (3.20 million tons), is up 3 percent from last month's forecast but down 27 percent from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 36.0 million boxes (1.62 million tons), unchanged from last month but down 24 percent from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 35.0 million boxes (1.58 million tons), is up 6 percent from last month but down 29 percent from last season's final utilization. The California Valencia orange forecast is 10.5 million boxes (420,000 tons), up 5 percent from previous forecast and up 11 percent from the previous season. This results in a California all orange forecast of 52.5 million boxes (2.10 million tons), up 1 percent from the previous forecast. Objective survey measurements taken during January and February indicated that fruit set per tree was higher than the previous year and the most since 2010, but the measured average fruit size was slightly below the previous year. The forecast for Texas is carried forward from the previous forecast. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2015-2016 season is 1.45 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, unchanged from the February forecast but down 3 percent from last season's final yield of 1.50 gallons per box. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.35 gallons per box, unchanged from last month but down 5 percent from last season's final yield of 1.42 gallons per box. The Valencia portion is projected at 1.60 gallons per box, unchanged from the February forecast but up 1 percent from last year's final yield of 1.58 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons. This report was approved on March 9, 2016. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Robert Johansson Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson James M. Harris Contents Sugarcane Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Use - States and United States: 2014 and 2015............ 4 Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2014-2015 and Forecasted March 1, 2016............................................................................................... 5 Soybeans for Beans Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013-2015.. 6 Cotton Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2013-2015...... 8 Cottonseed Production - States and United States: 2013-2015................................................. 10 Peanut Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013-2015.............. 10 Soybean Stocks by Position - States and United States: December 1, 2015..................................... 11 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2015 and 2016..... 12 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2015 and 2016....... 14 Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2015 and 2016................................. 16 Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units - United States: 2015 and 2016................................... 17 Percent of Normal Precipitation Map......................................................................... 18 Departure from Normal Temperature Map....................................................................... 18 February Weather Summary.................................................................................... 19 February Agricultural Summary............................................................................... 19 Crop Comments............................................................................................... 20 Statistical Methodology..................................................................................... 22 Information Contacts........................................................................................ 23 Sugarcane Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Use - States and United States: 2014 and 2015 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Use and State : Area harvested : Yield per acre 1/ : Production 1/ :--------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 : 2015 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ----- tons ----- --- 1,000 tons -- : For sugar : Florida ......................: 392.0 409.0 38.4 41.5 15,053 16,974 Hawaii 2/ ....................: 14.2 16.5 88.8 86.2 1,261 1,422 Louisiana 2/ .................: 386.0 385.0 29.5 31.0 11,387 11,935 Texas 2/ .....................: 31.5 37.0 37.9 36.0 1,194 1,332 : United States ................: 823.7 847.5 35.1 37.4 28,895 31,663 : For seed : Florida ......................: 16.0 15.0 42.8 46.0 685 690 Hawaii 2/ ....................: 2.2 2.2 20.4 20.0 45 44 Louisiana 2/ .................: 25.0 25.0 29.5 31.0 738 775 Texas 2/ .....................: 1.6 2.0 37.9 36.0 61 72 : United States ................: 44.8 44.2 34.1 35.8 1,529 1,581 : For sugar and seed : Florida ......................: 408.0 424.0 38.6 41.7 15,738 17,664 Hawaii 2/ ....................: 16.4 18.7 79.6 78.4 1,306 1,466 Louisiana 2/ .................: 411.0 410.0 29.5 31.0 12,125 12,710 Texas 2/ .....................: 33.1 39.0 37.9 36.0 1,255 1,404 : United States ................: 868.5 891.7 35.0 37.3 30,424 33,244 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Net tons. 2/ Estimates are carried forward from the "Crop Production 2015 Summary" released January 2016. Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2014-2015 and Forecasted March 1, 2016 [The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized production boxes 1/ : Utilized production ton equivalent Crop and State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2014-2015 : 2015-2016 : 2014-2015 : 2015-2016 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------- 1,000 boxes ------- ------- 1,000 tons ------ Oranges : California, all ..............: 49,000 52,500 1,960 2,100 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ 3/ .: 39,500 42,000 1,580 1,680 Valencia ....................: 9,500 10,500 380 420 : Florida, all .................: 96,800 71,000 4,356 3,195 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ....: 47,400 36,000 2,133 1,620 Valencia ....................: 49,400 35,000 2,223 1,575 : Texas, all 2/ ................: 1,452 1,410 62 60 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ 3/ .: 1,170 1,130 50 48 Valencia 2/ .................: 282 280 12 12 : United States, all ...........: 147,252 124,910 6,378 5,355 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ....: 88,070 79,130 3,763 3,348 Valencia ....................: 59,182 45,780 2,615 2,007 : Grapefruit : California 2/ ................: 3,800 3,700 152 148 Florida, all .................: 12,900 10,700 548 455 Red .........................: 9,650 8,200 410 349 White .......................: 3,250 2,500 138 106 Texas 2/ .....................: 4,250 5,100 170 204 : United States ................: 20,950 19,500 870 807 : Tangerines and mandarins : Arizona 4/ 5/ ................: 170 (NA) 7 (NA) California 2/ 4/ .............: 18,200 21,000 728 840 Florida ......................: 2,270 1,400 108 67 : United States ................: 20,640 22,400 843 907 : Lemons 2/ : Arizona ......................: 2,000 1,600 80 64 California ...................: 20,500 20,000 820 800 : United States ................: 22,500 21,600 900 864 : Tangelos : Florida ......................: 680 400 31 18 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. 1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80, Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in Arizona and California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80; tangelos-90. 2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in Florida and Texas. Small quantities of Temples in Florida. 4/ Includes tangelos and tangors. 5/ Estimates discontinued in 2015-2016. Soybeans for Beans Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013-2015 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Alabama .......: 440 480 500 430 470 490 Arkansas ......: 3,270 3,230 3,200 3,240 3,200 3,170 Delaware ......: 165 185 175 163 183 173 Florida .......: 32 39 33 30 37 31 Georgia .......: 235 300 325 230 290 315 Illinois ......: 9,500 9,800 9,800 9,480 9,770 9,720 Indiana .......: 5,200 5,450 5,550 5,190 5,440 5,500 Iowa ..........: 9,300 9,850 9,850 9,250 9,770 9,800 Kansas ........: 3,600 4,000 3,900 3,540 3,960 3,860 Kentucky ......: 1,670 1,760 1,840 1,660 1,750 1,810 : Louisiana .....: 1,130 1,410 1,430 1,120 1,395 1,395 Maryland ......: 485 510 520 480 505 515 Michigan ......: 1,930 2,050 2,030 1,920 2,040 2,020 Minnesota .....: 6,700 7,350 7,600 6,620 7,270 7,550 Mississippi ...: 2,010 2,210 2,300 1,990 2,190 2,270 Missouri ......: 5,650 5,650 4,550 5,610 5,590 4,480 Nebraska ......: 4,800 5,400 5,300 4,770 5,330 5,270 New Jersey ....: 90 105 105 88 103 103 New York ......: 280 330 305 278 327 301 North Carolina : 1,480 1,750 1,820 1,450 1,730 1,790 : North Dakota ..: 4,650 5,900 5,750 4,630 5,870 5,720 Ohio ..........: 4,500 4,700 4,750 4,490 4,690 4,740 Oklahoma ......: 345 375 395 335 365 375 Pennsylvania ..: 560 570 580 555 565 575 South Carolina : 320 450 475 310 440 370 South Dakota ..: 4,600 5,150 5,150 4,580 5,110 5,120 Tennessee .....: 1,580 1,640 1,750 1,550 1,610 1,720 Texas .........: 105 155 130 92 135 115 Virginia ......: 610 650 630 600 640 620 West Virginia .: 23 27 27 22 26 26 Wisconsin .....: 1,580 1,800 1,880 1,550 1,790 1,870 : United States .: 76,840 83,276 82,650 76,253 82,591 81,814 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --continued Soybeans for Beans Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013-2015 (continued) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per acre : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------- bushels --------- --------- 1,000 bushels --------- : Alabama .......: 43.5 40.0 41.0 18,705 18,800 20,090 Arkansas ......: 43.5 49.5 49.0 140,940 158,400 155,330 Delaware ......: 40.5 47.5 40.0 6,602 8,693 6,920 Florida .......: 41.0 43.0 38.0 1,230 1,591 1,178 Georgia .......: 40.5 40.0 43.0 9,315 11,600 13,545 Illinois ......: 50.0 56.0 56.0 474,000 547,120 544,320 Indiana .......: 51.5 55.5 50.0 267,285 301,920 275,000 Iowa ..........: 45.5 51.0 56.5 420,875 498,270 553,700 Kansas ........: 37.0 35.5 38.5 130,980 140,580 148,610 Kentucky ......: 50.0 47.5 49.0 83,000 83,125 88,690 : Louisiana .....: 48.5 56.5 41.0 54,320 78,818 57,195 Maryland ......: 39.5 46.0 40.0 18,960 23,230 20,600 Michigan ......: 44.5 42.5 49.0 85,440 86,700 98,980 Minnesota .....: 42.0 41.5 50.0 278,040 301,705 377,500 Mississippi ...: 46.0 52.0 46.0 91,540 113,880 104,420 Missouri ......: 36.0 46.5 40.5 201,960 259,935 181,440 Nebraska ......: 53.5 54.0 58.0 255,195 287,820 305,660 New Jersey ....: 39.5 44.0 32.0 3,476 4,532 3,296 New York ......: 48.0 44.5 43.0 13,344 14,552 12,943 North Carolina : 33.5 40.0 32.0 48,575 69,200 57,280 : North Dakota ..: 30.5 34.5 32.5 141,215 202,515 185,900 Ohio ..........: 49.5 52.5 50.0 222,255 246,225 237,000 Oklahoma ......: 30.5 28.0 31.0 10,218 10,220 11,625 Pennsylvania ..: 49.0 49.0 44.0 27,195 27,685 25,300 South Carolina : 28.5 35.0 26.5 8,835 15,400 9,805 South Dakota ..: 40.5 45.0 46.0 185,490 229,950 235,520 Tennessee .....: 46.5 46.0 46.0 72,075 74,060 79,120 Texas .........: 25.5 38.5 26.0 2,346 5,198 2,990 Virginia ......: 38.5 39.5 34.5 23,100 25,280 21,390 West Virginia .: 46.5 51.0 48.0 1,023 1,326 1,248 Wisconsin .....: 39.0 44.0 49.5 60,450 78,760 92,565 : United States .: 44.0 47.5 48.0 3,357,984 3,927,090 3,929,160 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2013-2015 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Type and State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Upland : Alabama .........: 365.0 350.0 315.0 359.0 348.0 313.0 Arizona .........: 160.0 150.0 89.0 159.0 149.0 88.0 Arkansas ........: 310.0 335.0 210.0 305.0 330.0 205.0 California ......: 93.0 57.0 47.0 92.0 56.0 46.0 Florida .........: 131.0 107.0 85.0 127.0 105.0 84.0 Georgia .........: 1,370.0 1,380.0 1,130.0 1,340.0 1,370.0 1,120.0 Kansas ..........: 27.0 31.0 16.0 26.0 29.0 15.0 Louisiana .......: 130.0 170.0 115.0 128.0 168.0 112.0 Mississippi .....: 290.0 425.0 320.0 287.0 420.0 315.0 Missouri ........: 255.0 250.0 185.0 246.0 245.0 175.0 : New Mexico ......: 39.0 43.0 35.0 31.0 33.0 31.0 North Carolina ..: 465.0 465.0 385.0 460.0 460.0 365.0 Oklahoma ........: 185.0 240.0 215.0 125.0 210.0 205.0 South Carolina ..: 258.0 280.0 235.0 250.0 278.0 105.0 Tennessee .......: 250.0 275.0 155.0 233.0 270.0 140.0 Texas ...........: 5,800.0 6,200.0 4,800.0 3,100.0 4,600.0 4,500.0 Virginia ........: 78.0 87.0 85.0 77.0 86.0 84.0 : United States ...: 10,206.0 10,845.0 8,422.0 7,345.0 9,157.0 7,903.0 : American Pima : Arizona .........: 1.5 15.0 17.5 1.5 14.5 17.0 California ......: 187.0 155.0 117.0 186.0 154.0 116.0 New Mexico ......: 3.5 5.4 7.0 3.4 5.3 6.9 Texas ...........: 9.0 17.0 17.0 8.5 16.0 15.0 : United States ...: 201.0 192.4 158.5 199.4 189.8 154.9 : All : Alabama .........: 365.0 350.0 315.0 359.0 348.0 313.0 Arizona .........: 161.5 165.0 106.5 160.5 163.5 105.0 Arkansas ........: 310.0 335.0 210.0 305.0 330.0 205.0 California ......: 280.0 212.0 164.0 278.0 210.0 162.0 Florida .........: 131.0 107.0 85.0 127.0 105.0 84.0 Georgia .........: 1,370.0 1,380.0 1,130.0 1,340.0 1,370.0 1,120.0 Kansas ..........: 27.0 31.0 16.0 26.0 29.0 15.0 Louisiana .......: 130.0 170.0 115.0 128.0 168.0 112.0 Mississippi .....: 290.0 425.0 320.0 287.0 420.0 315.0 Missouri ........: 255.0 250.0 185.0 246.0 245.0 175.0 : New Mexico ......: 42.5 48.4 42.0 34.4 38.3 37.9 North Carolina ..: 465.0 465.0 385.0 460.0 460.0 365.0 Oklahoma ........: 185.0 240.0 215.0 125.0 210.0 205.0 South Carolina ..: 258.0 280.0 235.0 250.0 278.0 105.0 Tennessee .......: 250.0 275.0 155.0 233.0 270.0 140.0 Texas ...........: 5,809.0 6,217.0 4,817.0 3,108.5 4,616.0 4,515.0 Virginia ........: 78.0 87.0 85.0 77.0 86.0 84.0 : United States ...: 10,407.0 11,037.4 8,580.5 7,544.4 9,346.8 8,057.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Cotton Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2013-2015 (continued) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per acre : Production 1/ Type and State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------- pounds -------- --------- 1,000 bales 2/ --------- : Upland : Alabama .........: 789 901 843 590.0 653.0 550.0 Arizona .........: 1,449 1,579 1,555 480.0 490.0 285.0 Arkansas ........: 1,133 1,145 1,112 720.0 787.0 475.0 California ......: 1,737 1,834 1,722 333.0 214.0 165.0 Florida .........: 661 878 857 175.0 192.0 150.0 Georgia .........: 831 900 986 2,320.0 2,570.0 2,300.0 Kansas ..........: 757 794 864 41.0 48.0 27.0 Louisiana .......: 1,223 1,154 814 326.0 404.0 190.0 Mississippi .....: 1,203 1,232 1,021 719.0 1,078.0 670.0 Missouri ........: 968 1,117 1,111 496.0 570.0 405.0 : New Mexico ......: 929 931 821 60.0 64.0 53.0 North Carolina ..: 799 1,038 686 766.0 995.0 522.0 Oklahoma ........: 591 615 866 154.0 269.0 370.0 South Carolina ..: 691 912 686 360.0 528.0 150.0 Tennessee .......: 853 878 1,035 414.0 494.0 302.0 Texas ...........: 646 644 613 4,170.0 6,175.0 5,750.0 Virginia ........: 941 1,239 823 151.0 222.0 144.0 : United States ...: 802 826 760 12,275.0 15,753.0 12,508.0 : American Pima : Arizona .........: 1,024 993 904 3.2 30.0 32.0 California ......: 1,574 1,558 1,490 610.0 500.0 360.0 New Mexico ......: 847 761 1,043 6.0 8.4 15.0 Texas ...........: 847 840 896 15.0 28.0 28.0 : United States ...: 1,527 1,432 1,348 634.2 566.4 435.0 : All : Alabama .........: 789 901 843 590.0 653.0 550.0 Arizona .........: 1,445 1,527 1,449 483.2 520.0 317.0 Arkansas ........: 1,133 1,145 1,112 720.0 787.0 475.0 California ......: 1,628 1,632 1,556 943.0 714.0 525.0 Florida .........: 661 878 857 175.0 192.0 150.0 Georgia .........: 831 900 986 2,320.0 2,570.0 2,300.0 Kansas ..........: 757 794 864 41.0 48.0 27.0 Louisiana .......: 1,223 1,154 814 326.0 404.0 190.0 Mississippi .....: 1,203 1,232 1,021 719.0 1,078.0 670.0 Missouri ........: 968 1,117 1,111 496.0 570.0 405.0 : New Mexico ......: 921 907 861 66.0 72.4 68.0 North Carolina ..: 799 1,038 686 766.0 995.0 522.0 Oklahoma ........: 591 615 866 154.0 269.0 370.0 South Carolina ..: 691 912 686 360.0 528.0 150.0 Tennessee .......: 853 878 1,035 414.0 494.0 302.0 Texas ...........: 646 645 614 4,185.0 6,203.0 5,778.0 Virginia ........: 941 1,239 823 151.0 222.0 144.0 : United States ...: 821 838 771 12,909.2 16,319.4 12,943.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-pound net weight bale. Cottonseed Production - States and United States: 2013-2015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Production State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 tons : Alabama .......: 165.0 195.0 161.0 Arizona .......: 163.0 172.0 109.0 Arkansas ......: 252.0 288.0 166.0 California ....: 355.0 276.0 195.0 Florida .......: 38.0 40.0 44.0 Georgia .......: 701.0 754.0 677.0 Kansas ........: 14.0 16.0 9.0 Louisiana .....: 118.0 139.0 65.0 Mississippi ...: 220.0 306.0 216.0 Missouri ......: 205.0 208.0 148.0 : New Mexico ....: 14.0 15.0 23.0 North Carolina : 255.0 318.0 162.0 Oklahoma ......: 45.0 80.0 124.0 South Carolina : 108.0 143.0 46.0 Tennessee .....: 139.0 156.0 96.0 Texas .........: 1,368.0 1,959.0 1,869.0 Virginia ......: 43.0 60.0 43.0 : United States .: 4,203.0 5,125.0 4,153.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Estimates based on 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Peanut Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013-2015 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Alabama .......: 140.0 175.0 200.0 138.0 173.0 197.0 Florida .......: 140.0 175.0 190.0 131.0 167.0 180.0 Georgia .......: 430.0 600.0 785.0 426.0 589.0 777.0 Mississippi ...: 34.0 32.0 44.0 33.0 31.0 42.0 New Mexico ....: 7.0 4.5 5.0 7.0 4.5 5.0 North Carolina : 82.0 94.0 90.0 81.0 93.0 88.0 Oklahoma ......: 17.0 12.0 10.0 16.0 11.0 9.0 South Carolina : 81.0 112.0 112.0 78.0 108.0 82.0 Texas .........: 120.0 130.0 170.0 117.0 127.0 168.0 Virginia ......: 16.0 19.0 19.0 16.0 19.0 19.0 : United States .: 1,067.0 1,353.5 1,625.0 1,043.0 1,322.5 1,567.0 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per acre : Production State :----------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 : 2013 : 2014 : 2015 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------- pounds ---------- ---------- 1,000 pounds --------- : Alabama .......: 3,550 3,150 3,350 489,900 544,950 659,950 Florida .......: 3,950 4,000 3,650 517,450 668,000 657,000 Georgia .......: 4,430 4,135 4,470 1,887,180 2,435,515 3,473,190 Mississippi ...: 3,700 4,000 3,600 122,100 124,000 151,200 New Mexico ....: 3,100 3,500 3,000 21,700 15,750 15,000 North Carolina : 3,900 4,320 3,400 315,900 401,760 299,200 Oklahoma ......: 3,700 4,000 3,500 59,200 44,000 31,500 South Carolina : 3,500 3,800 3,200 273,000 410,400 262,400 Texas .........: 3,620 3,620 3,500 423,540 459,740 588,000 Virginia ......: 3,950 4,450 3,850 63,200 84,550 73,150 : United States .: 4,001 3,923 3,963 4,173,170 5,188,665 6,210,590 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Soybean Stocks by Position - States and United States: December 1, 2015 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : On : Off : Total all : farms : farms 1/ : positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 bushels : Alabama .......: (D) (D) (D) Arizona .......: (NA) (D) (D) Arkansas ......: (D) 32,928 (D) California ....: (NA) (D) (D) Colorado ......: (NA) 250 250 Delaware ......: (D) 2,747 (D) Florida .......: (D) (D) (D) Georgia .......: (D) 10,739 (D) Idaho .........: (NA) (D) (D) Illinois ......: 215,000 238,216 453,216 : Indiana .......: 135,000 84,329 219,329 Iowa ..........: 195,000 261,572 456,572 Kansas ........: 25,000 81,321 106,321 Kentucky ......: (D) 11,997 (D) Louisiana .....: (D) 5,406 (D) Maryland ......: (D) 10,635 (D) Michigan ......: 28,000 36,224 64,224 Minnesota .....: 145,000 121,741 266,741 Mississippi ...: (D) 10,540 (D) Missouri ......: 81,000 48,510 129,510 : Montana .......: (NA) (D) (D) Nebraska ......: 70,000 144,371 214,371 Nevada ........: (NA) (D) (D) New England ...: (NA) (D) (D) New Jersey ....: (D) (D) (D) New Mexico ....: (NA) (D) (D) New York ......: (D) 982 (D) North Carolina : (D) 12,791 (D) North Dakota ..: 66,000 45,093 111,093 Ohio ..........: 105,000 74,002 179,002 : Oklahoma ......: (D) 4,693 (D) Oregon ........: (NA) (D) (D) Pennsylvania ..: (D) 5,984 (D) South Carolina : (D) 2,025 (D) South Dakota ..: 82,000 79,362 161,362 Tennessee .....: (D) 10,190 (D) Texas .........: (D) 2,170 (D) Utah ..........: (NA) (D) (D) Virginia ......: (D) 6,762 (D) Washington ....: (NA) 7,485 7,485 : West Virginia .: (D) (D) (D) Wisconsin .....: 22,500 41,468 63,968 Wyoming .......: (NA) (D) (D) : Unallocated 2/ : 139,000 10,784 280,373 : United States .: 1,308,500 1,405,317 2,713,817 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (NA) Not available. 1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, and processors. 2/ "Off farms unallocated" includes State data withheld to avoid disclosure of individual operations. "On farms unallocated" includes minor producing States' data not published separately. Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2015 and 2016 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2016 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Grains and hay : Barley .................................: 3,558 3,109 Corn for grain 1/ ......................: 87,999 80,749 Corn for silage ........................: (NA) 6,221 Hay, all ...............................: (NA) 54,437 Alfalfa ..............................: (NA) 17,778 All other ............................: (NA) 36,659 Oats ...................................: 3,088 1,276 Proso millet ...........................: 445 418 Rice ...................................: 2,614 2,575 Rye ....................................: 1,569 360 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...................: 8,459 7,851 Sorghum for silage .....................: (NA) 306 Wheat, all .............................: 54,644 47,094 Winter ...............................: 39,461 36,609 32,257 Durum ................................: 1,936 1,896 Other spring .........................: 13,247 12,941 : Oilseeds : Canola .................................: 1,777.0 1,714.5 Cottonseed .............................: (X) (X) Flaxseed ...............................: 463 456 Mustard seed ...........................: 44.0 40.1 Peanuts ................................: 1,625.0 1,567.0 Rapeseed ...............................: 1.2 1.1 Safflower ..............................: 168.2 159.1 Soybeans for beans .....................: 82,650 81,814 Sunflower ..............................: 1,859.1 1,799.4 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all ............................: 8,580.5 8,057.9 Upland ...............................: 8,422.0 7,903.0 American Pima ........................: 158.5 154.9 Sugarbeets .............................: 1,158.8 1,144.3 Sugarcane ..............................: (NA) 891.7 Tobacco ................................: (NA) 326.6 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...................: 34.0 21.0 Dry edible beans .......................: 1,764.4 1,711.4 Dry edible peas ........................: 1,143.0 1,083.5 Lentils ................................: 493.0 476.0 Wrinkled seed peas .....................: (NA) (NA) : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops ...................................: (NA) 43.6 Maple syrup ............................: (NA) (NA) Mushrooms ..............................: (NA) (NA) Peppermint oil .........................: (NA) 65.2 Potatoes, all ..........................: 1,065.2 1,053.3 Spring ...............................: 70.1 68.5 Summer ...............................: 50.5 47.1 Fall .................................: 944.6 937.7 Spearmint oil ..........................: (NA) 27.2 Sweet potatoes .........................: 156.9 153.1 Taro (Hawaii) ..........................: (NA) 0.3 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2015 and 2016 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2016 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per acre : Production Crop :---------------------------------------------- : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 ----- : Grains and hay : Barley ..........................bushels: 68.9 214,297 Corn for grain ..................bushels: 168.4 13,601,198 Corn for silage ....................tons: 20.4 126,894 Hay, all ...........................tons: 2.47 134,388 Alfalfa ..........................tons: 3.32 58,974 All other ........................tons: 2.06 75,414 Oats ............................bushels: 70.2 89,535 Proso millet ....................bushels: 33.9 14,159 Rice 2/ .............................cwt: 7,470 192,343 Rye .............................bushels: 31.9 11,496 Sorghum for grain ...............bushels: 76.0 596,751 Sorghum for silage .................tons: 14.6 4,475 Wheat, all ......................bushels: 43.6 2,051,752 Winter ........................bushels: 42.5 1,370,188 Durum .........................bushels: 43.5 82,484 Other spring ..................bushels: 46.3 599,080 : Oilseeds : Canola ...........................pounds: 1,677 2,875,010 Cottonseed .........................tons: (X) 4,153.0 Flaxseed ........................bushels: 22.1 10,095 Mustard seed .....................pounds: 671 26,927 Peanuts ..........................pounds: 3,963 6,210,590 Rapeseed .........................pounds: 1,382 1,520 Safflower ........................pounds: 1,347 214,251 Soybeans for beans ..............bushels: 48.0 3,929,160 Sunflower ........................pounds: 1,625 2,923,730 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all 2/ ....................bales: 771 12,943.0 Upland 2/ .......................bales: 760 12,508.0 American Pima 2/ ................bales: 1,348 435.0 Sugarbeets .........................tons: 30.8 35,278 Sugarcane ..........................tons: 37.3 33,244 Tobacco ..........................pounds: 2,178 711,236 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas 2/ .............cwt: 1,238 260 Dry edible beans 2/ .................cwt: 1,760 30,121 Dry edible peas 2/ ..................cwt: 1,687 18,283 Lentils 2/ ..........................cwt: 1,108 5,276 Wrinkled seed peas ..................cwt: (NA) 384 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops .............................pounds: 1,807 78,846.0 Maple syrup .....................gallons: (NA) 3,414 Mushrooms ........................pounds: (NA) 952,619 Peppermint oil ...................pounds: 90 5,882 Potatoes, all .......................cwt: 418 440,498 Spring ............................cwt: 296 20,251 Summer ............................cwt: 334 15,734 Fall ..............................cwt: 431 404,513 Spearmint oil ....................pounds: 113 3,070 Sweet potatoes ......................cwt: 203 31,016 Taro (Hawaii) ....................pounds: 10,300 3,502 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Yield in pounds. Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2015 and 2016 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2016 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : hectares : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 1,439,890 1,258,180 Corn for grain 1/ ..............:35,612,320 32,678,310 Corn for silage ................: (NA) 2,517,580 Hay, all 2/ ....................: (NA) 22,030,110 Alfalfa ......................: (NA) 7,194,580 All other ....................: (NA) 14,835,530 Oats ...........................: 1,249,680 516,380 Proso millet ...................: 180,090 169,160 Rice ...........................: 1,057,860 1,042,080 Rye ............................: 634,960 145,690 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........: 3,423,270 3,177,220 Sorghum for silage .............: (NA) 123,840 Wheat, all 2/ ..................:22,113,880 19,058,470 Winter .......................:15,969,470 14,815,300 13,054,090 Durum ........................: 783,480 767,290 Other spring .................: 5,360,930 5,237,090 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 719,130 693,840 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) Flaxseed .......................: 187,370 184,540 Mustard seed ...................: 17,810 16,230 Peanuts ........................: 657,620 634,150 Rapeseed .......................: 490 450 Safflower ......................: 68,070 64,390 Soybeans for beans .............:33,447,630 33,109,310 Sunflower ......................: 752,360 728,200 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all 2/ .................: 3,472,440 3,260,950 Upland .......................: 3,408,300 3,198,270 American Pima ................: 64,140 62,690 Sugarbeets .....................: 468,950 463,090 Sugarcane ......................: (NA) 360,860 Tobacco ........................: (NA) 132,150 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...........: 13,760 8,500 Dry edible beans ...............: 714,040 692,590 Dry edible peas ................: 462,560 438,480 Lentils ........................: 199,510 192,630 Wrinkled seed peas .............: (NA) (NA) : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops ...........................: (NA) 17,660 Maple syrup ....................: (NA) (NA) Mushrooms ......................: (NA) (NA) Peppermint oil .................: (NA) 26,390 Potatoes, all 2/ ...............: 431,080 426,260 Spring .......................: 28,370 27,720 Summer .......................: 20,440 19,060 Fall .........................: 382,270 379,480 Spearmint oil ..................: (NA) 11,010 Sweet potatoes .................: 63,500 61,960 Taro (Hawaii) ..................: (NA) 140 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2015 and 2016 (continued) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2016 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per hectare : Production Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Grains and hay : Barley .................................: 3.71 4,665,770 Corn for grain .........................: 10.57 345,486,340 Corn for silage ........................: 45.73 115,116,300 Hay, all 2/ ............................: 5.53 121,914,740 Alfalfa ..............................: 7.44 53,500,310 All other ............................: 4.61 68,414,430 Oats ...................................: 2.52 1,299,600 Proso millet ...........................: 1.90 321,120 Rice ...................................: 8.37 8,724,530 Rye ....................................: 2.00 292,010 Sorghum for grain ......................: 4.77 15,158,170 Sorghum for silage .....................: 32.78 4,059,650 Wheat, all 2/ ..........................: 2.93 55,839,540 Winter ...............................: 2.86 37,290,410 Durum ................................: 2.93 2,244,850 Other spring .........................: 3.11 16,304,290 : Oilseeds : Canola .................................: 1.88 1,304,080 Cottonseed .............................: (X) 3,767,540 Flaxseed ...............................: 1.39 256,420 Mustard seed ...........................: 0.75 12,210 Peanuts ................................: 4.44 2,817,080 Rapeseed ...............................: 1.55 690 Safflower ..............................: 1.51 97,180 Soybeans for beans .....................: 3.23 106,934,210 Sunflower ..............................: 1.82 1,326,180 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all 2/ .........................: 0.86 2,818,010 Upland ...............................: 0.85 2,723,300 American Pima ........................: 1.51 94,710 Sugarbeets .............................: 69.11 32,003,660 Sugarcane ..............................: 83.57 30,158,450 Tobacco ................................: 2.44 322,610 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...................: 1.39 11,790 Dry edible beans .......................: 1.97 1,366,270 Dry edible peas ........................: 1.89 829,300 Lentils ................................: 1.24 239,320 Wrinkled seed peas .....................: (NA) 17,420 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Hops ...................................: 2.03 35,760 Maple syrup ............................: (NA) 17,070 Mushrooms ..............................: (NA) 432,100 Peppermint oil .........................: 0.10 2,670 Potatoes, all 2/ .......................: 46.87 19,980,650 Spring ...............................: 33.14 918,570 Summer ...............................: 37.44 713,680 Fall .................................: 48.35 18,348,400 Spearmint oil ..........................: 0.13 1,390 Sweet potatoes .........................: 22.71 1,406,860 Taro (Hawaii) ..........................: 11.55 1,590 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Total may not add due to rounding. Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2015 and 2016 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2016 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2015-2016 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------- : 2015 : 2016 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus 1/ : Grapefruit ......................1,000 tons: 870 807 Lemons ..........................1,000 tons: 900 864 Oranges .........................1,000 tons: 6,378 5,355 Tangelos (Florida) ..............1,000 tons: 31 18 Tangerines and mandarins ........1,000 tons: 843 907 : Noncitrus : Apples ......................million pounds: 10,171.8 Apricots ..............................tons: 53,008 Avocados ..............................tons: Bananas (Hawaii) ..............1,000 pounds: Blackerries (Oregon) ..........1,000 pounds: Blueberries : Cultivated ..................1,000 pounds: Wild (Maine) ................1,000 pounds: Boysenberries (Oregon) ........1,000 pounds: : Raspberries, All ..............1,000 pounds: Cherries, Sweet .......................tons: 338,485 Cherries, Tart ..............million pounds: 222.6 Coffee ........................1,000 pounds: 33,189 Cranberries .........................barrel: 8,412,700 Dates (California) ....................tons: Figs (California) .....................tons: Grapes ................................tons: 8,046,400 Kiwifruit (California) ................tons: Nectarines ............................tons: : Olives (California) ...................tons: Papayas (Hawaii) ..............1,000 pounds: Peaches ...............................tons: 804,600 Pears .................................tons: 733,000 Plums (California) ....................tons: Prunes (California) ...................tons: 100,000 Prunes and Plums ......................tons: Strawberries .....................1,000 cwt: 30,867 : Nuts and miscellaneous : Almonds, shelled (California) .1,000 pounds: 1,800,000 Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..........tons: 39,000 Macadamias (Hawaii) ...........1,000 pounds: Pecans, in-shell ..............1,000 pounds: 272,340 Pistachios (California) .......1,000 pounds: Walnuts, in-shell (California) ........tons: 575,000 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production years are 2014-2015 and 2015-2016. Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units - United States: 2015 and 2016 [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2016 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2015-2016 season. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production Crop :----------------------------------- : 2015 : 2016 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : metric tons : Citrus 1/ : Grapefruit ................................: 789,250 732,100 Lemons ....................................: 816,470 783,810 Oranges ...................................: 5,786,020 4,857,970 Tangelos (Florida) ........................: 28,120 16,330 Tangerines and mandarins ..................: 764,760 822,820 : Noncitrus : Apples ....................................: 4,613,850 Apricots ..................................: 48,090 Avocados ..................................: Bananas (Hawaii) ..........................: Blackberries (Oregon) .....................: Blueberries : Cultivated ..............................: Wild (Maine) ............................: Boysenberries (Oregon) ....................: : Raspberries, All ..........................: Cherries, Sweet ...........................: 307,070 Cherries, Tart ............................: 100,970 Coffee ....................................: 15,050 Cranberries ...............................: 381,590 Dates (California) ........................: Figs (California) .........................: Grapes ....................................: 7,299,570 Kiwifruit (California) ....................: Nectarines ................................: : Olives (California) .......................: Papayas (Hawaii) ..........................: Peaches ...................................: 729,920 Pears .....................................: 664,970 Plums (California) ........................: Prunes (California) .......................: 90,720 Prunes and Plums ..........................: Strawberries ..............................: 1,400,100 : Nuts and miscellaneous : Almonds, shelled (California) .............: 816,470 Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..............: 35,380 Macadamias (Hawaii) .......................: Pecans, in-shell ..........................: 123,530 Pistachios (California) ...................: Walnuts, in-shell (California) ............: 521,630 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production years are 2014-2015 and 2015-2016. February Weather Summary For the second time in 3 months, warmth stretched nearly coast to coast, with only small sections of the southern Atlantic States experiencing cooler-than-normal weather. Unlike December, when unprecedented warmth covered areas from the Mississippi Valley to the East Coast, February's record-setting high temperatures were focused across the Plains. As a result, winter wheat prematurely broke dormancy across the central and southern Plains, leaving the crop vulnerable to potential spring freeze events. On the northern Plains, where February temperatures averaged more than 10°F above normal in some locations, wheat lost some winter hardiness and was often buffeted by mild, breezy conditions. The Plains' most impressive warm spells peaked on February 18 and 27, with numerous monthly record highs established on both dates. During February, the portion of the winter wheat crop rated in good to excellent condition declined in Texas, from 49 to 40 percent, in part due to short-term dryness. Pockets of dryness also developed elsewhere across the southern half of the Plains. In contrast, early-month snowfall provided wheat with beneficial moisture across much of Nebraska, eastern Colorado, and northwestern Kansas. Uncharacteristic of a strong, mature El Niņo, February was disappointingly dry across much of the West. During February, the average water content of the high-elevation Sierra Nevada snowpack was nearly steady at 20 to 22 inches, with only minor storms affecting key watersheds. Since February is typically an important month for Sierra Nevada snowpack accumulation, the percent of historic average dropped from about 115 percent of average on February 1 to just 85 percent by month's end. Farther north, ongoing precipitation from the Pacific Northwest to the northern Rockies benefited winter grains and helped to further build high-elevation snowpack. Meanwhile, mild, occasionally stormy conditions prevailed across the Midwest, although a mid-month cold snap briefly resulted in some of the coldest weather of the season. Overwintering conditions remained mostly favorable for Midwestern wheat, with more than two-thirds of the crop rated in good to excellent condition at the end of February in Ohio (72 percent) and Indiana (67 percent). Similarly, the mid-month cold spell interrupted an otherwise mild regime in the Northeast, while cool conditions were a little more persistent in the Southeast. An abundance of precipitation fell during February across most of the eastern one-third of the country, with some of the heaviest rain occurring in the coastal Carolinas. Severe weather outbreaks were noted across portions of the South and East on February 2-3, 15-16, and 23-24. From the Ohio Valley into the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic States, some of the precipitation-especially around mid-month-fell as snow, sleet, or freezing rain. By February 29, only one-eighth (12.5 percent) of the country was covered by snow, compared with 60.2 percent at the end of February 2015. At the same time, just 14.3 percent of the Nation was experiencing drought on March 1, according to the United States Drought Monitor, versus 34.8 percent on October 20, 2015. Drought coverage across the contiguous United States has not been lower in more than 5 years, since October 2010. February Agricultural Summary Above-normal temperatures blanketed much of the United States during February. Temperatures recorded in the northern Great Plains were much higher than normal with most of Montana and North Dakota recording temperatures over 9°F above normal. Conversely, portions of the Great Basin and virtually all of Florida recorded below average temperatures for the month. Precipitation levels for the month were generally within 2 inches of normal across the Nation. Areas with totals more than 2 inches above normal were reported along the Atlantic Coast, Tennessee Valley, and western Washington. Elsewhere, monthly precipitation in some areas near the United States-Mexican border totaled less than 2 percent of normal. Winter wheat conditions declined over the previous month in some northern locations due to lack of protective snow cover. In Montana, the percent of the crop in the good to excellent categories dropped 19 percentage points during February with 53 percent rated in these two categories on February 28. In North Dakota, winter wheat condition decreased 11 percentage points over the month to 54 percent good to excellent. Michigan winter wheat was rated 62 percent good to excellent at the end of the month, down 11 percentage points from January 31. Conversely, Kansas winter wheat condition was rated at 59 percent in the good to excellent categories as of February 28, up 4 percentage points from the end of January. Due to warmer weather, South Dakota winter wheat condition increased 2 percentage points in the good to excellent categories to 69 percent by the end of the month. Temperatures across Arizona started out mostly above normal for the month of February. During the last two weeks, the highest temperatures were in the low 90's. Alfalfa conditions were mostly good to excellent, depending on location. Alfalfa harvesting was active on about two-thirds of the fields. Durum wheat and barley plantings were completed in February. Vegetable and citrus harvesting activities continued throughout the month of February. Pasture conditions were mostly fair to good and durum wheat conditions were mostly good. Warm, sunny weather assisted in drying California row crop fields so groundwork and preparation could continue throughout the month. With dry conditions, some fields required spraying for weeds. Citrus packing houses continued to pick and pack a variety of citrus for domestic and export markets. Warm weather aided almond bloom progression and most almond orchards were in full bloom by the end of the month. The application of bloom sprays continued through February. Bees were active in almond orchards during the month. Some hives were moved into stone fruit orchards as the early varieties started to bloom. Certified producers continued to grow winter vegetables and sell produce such as cabbage, cauliflower, broccoli, carrots, and Brussel sprouts at the local farmer's markets. Valley and foothill non-irrigated pasture grasses and forbs capitalized on the February precipitation and the above normal monthly temperatures with a flourish of new growth. In Florida, fieldwork and soil preparation for spring plantings continued in the Panhandle. Sugarcane harvest continued through February in Glades and Hendry Counties. By end of month, potato planting was complete. During vegetable harvest, some damage to crops was noted in southwest counties due to cold wet weather conditions which reduced quality and volume. The lowest temperatures of the season were recorded across the citrus growing area during February. Citrus processing plants ran at full capacity during the month. Early and midseason oranges were harvested and processed. Harvesting of Hamlin, Navel, and Pineapple oranges, as well as early tangerines continued throughout the month. Valencia oranges, Honey tangerines, colored grapefruit, a small amount of white grapefruit, and midseason oranges were being harvested for fresh fruit. Some pastures were in poor condition due to standing water and frost. Ranchers were providing supplemental feed due to lack of forage crops. Texas experienced moderate weather conditions for the month of February. Precipitation throughout the State was scarce with the eastern part of the State receiving the highest levels ranging from trace amounts to upwards of 3 inches. Hail was experienced in areas of the Edwards Plateau, North East, and South Texas. Winter wheat conditions throughout Texas were rated fair to good during February. Cotton harvest concluded during the first half of the month. Pecan harvest was on its finishing stage. Pasture and range conditions were rated mostly fair to good. Cattle continued to be in good condition as supplemental feeding remained active across much of the State. Crop Comments Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2015 is forecast at 33.2 million tons, of which 31.7 million tons are expected to be utilized for sugar and 1.58 million tons for seed. Total production is up 1 percent from last month and up 9 percent from the previous year. Producers intend to harvest 891,700 acres for sugar and seed during the 2015 crop year, unchanged from the previous forecast. Expected yield for sugar and seed is forecast at 37.3 tons per acre, up 0.2 ton from the previous forecast and up 2.3 tons per acre from the previous season. Hawaii, Louisiana, and Texas sugarcane estimates were carried forward from the Crop Production 2015 Summary released in January 2016. Grapefruit: The United States 2015-2016 grapefruit crop is forecast at 807,000 tons, up 1 percent from last month's forecast but down 7 percent from last season's final utilization. In Florida, expected production, at 10.7 million boxes, is up 2 percent from last month but down 17 percent from last year. California and Texas grapefruit production forecasts were carried forward from the previous forecast. Tangelos: Florida's tangelo forecast is 400,000 boxes (18,000 tons), unchanged from last month but down 41 percent from last season's final utilization. The production is the lowest since the 1958-1959 season. The Row Count Survey conducted February 29 and March 1 showed 89 percent of the rows were harvested. Tangerines and mandarins: The United States tangerine and mandarin crop is forecast at 907,000 tons, down slightly from last month but up 8 percent last season's final utilization. If realized this will be the largest production ever recorded. The Florida forecast is down 7 percent from the previous month and down 38 percent from last year. The California tangerine and mandarin production forecast was carried forward from the previous forecast. Estimates for Arizona have been discontinued. Florida citrus: In the citrus growing region, reported daily high temperatures were cooler than average for this time of the year. Although a couple days early in the month reached 80 degrees or higher, most highs were in the mid to lower 70s, with a few days never getting above the mid-60s. Rainfall, for the first time in several months, was below historical averages. About half the monitored weather stations recorded less than two inches of rainfall for the month. In Desoto County both Arcadia and Joshua recorded above three inches of rainfall for the month. Canals and ditches remained full in all areas due to the excessive rainfall earlier in the season. According to the March 1, 2016 U.S. Drought Monitor, the entire citrus region was drought free. Trees in well cared for groves looked healthy. Growers were removing dead or dying trees in most areas. Bloom was in various stages across the citrus region. Some trees bloomed early and already had small fruit forming on the trees, while other groves showed only a few white pedals on healthy trees. All processing plants transitioned from early-midseason oranges to the later variety Valencia oranges. Only a few plants processed grapefruit, mostly eliminations from groves spot picked for fresh fruit. At the beginning of the month, packinghouses were accepting early and midseason oranges, Honey tangerines, tangelos, and grapefruit, but by the end of the month most were taking Valencia oranges. Red grapefruit groves that had been spot picked were being revisited a second or third time. Caretakers were hedging and topping trees after harvest. Some growers were fertilizing and spraying. Limited mowing, mostly before harvest, was done on an as needed basis. California citrus: Early rains in February slowed the harvesting of citrus. Citrus packing houses continued to pack Navel, Cara Cara and Blood oranges, lemons, Mandarins, and Minneola tangelos. Melo Gold and Oro Blanco hybrid grapefruit were packed for shipment to domestic and foreign markets. Citrus groves continued to be pruned and skirted, with pruned brush being shredded. In Ventura County, high winds and low humidity caused Valencia orange trees to lose excessive amounts of oranges. New citrus trees continued to be planted to replace old groves. Seedless tangerines were netted to prevent cross pollination during the upcoming citrus bloom season. California noncitrus fruits and nuts: Pruning of various fruit trees continued, where soil conditions allowed. Fair weather allowed for winter weed spraying to continue. A few varieties of stone fruit began to bloom early in the central portion of the State. Manual weed control was performed on berms along with pre-emergent herbicides. Kiwifruit were harvested and packed for shipment. In Sutter County, pitted and natural condition prunes were packed and shipped for domestic and foreign consumption. Pruning, tying of trellises, and application of herbicide in vineyards continued in many counties throughout the month. In Tulare County, numerous early varieties of stone fruit were in full bloom. Pomegranate orchards continued to be pruned. In Stanislaus County, herbicides were applied to the floors of cherry orchards. In San Joaquin County, pruning in cherry orchards and vineyards continued. In Madera County, plums were blooming and the pruning of grapevines continued. Beehives continued to arrive to be placed in almond orchards in several counties. In Madera County, bud swell in almonds were reported early in the month. In San Joaquin County, reports were received of almonds still pushing buds with some beginning to bloom. In Sutter County, almond began to bloom at mid-month. In Fresno, Madera, Stanislaus, San Joaquin, and Tulare Counties, early varieties of almonds orchards were reported to be in full bloom, while some late variety almond orchards were beginning to bloom. Throughout the month, nut packing houses continued to pack shelled and in-shell walnuts, shelled pecans, and pistachios for domestic and foreign markets. Statistical Methodology Survey procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the March 1 forecast was conducted in Florida, which accounts for nearly 60 percent of the United States production. Bearing tree numbers are determined at the start of the season based on a fruit tree inventory conducted every year, combined with ongoing review based on administrative data or special surveys. From mid-July to mid-September, the number of fruit per tree is determined. In August and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted, which are combined with the previous components to develop the current forecast of production. California and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis in October, January, April, and July. California also conducts objective measurement surveys in September for Navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges. Estimating procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida Field Office submits its analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida survey data and their analyses to prepare the published March 1 forecast. Reports from growers and packers in California and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These three States submit their analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published March 1 forecast. Revision policy: The March 1 production forecasts will not be revised. A new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates will be published in the Citrus Fruits Summary released in September. The production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use. Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the March 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the March 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. The "Root Mean Square Error" for the March 1 orange production forecast is 3.0 percent. However, if the three abnormal production seasons (one freeze season and two hurricane seasons) are excluded, the "Root Mean Square Error" is 3.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimates by more than 3.0 percent, or 3.2 percent excluding abnormal seasons. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 5.3 percent, or 5.5 percent excluding abnormal seasons. Changes between the March 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 210,000 tons (218,000 tons, excluding abnormal seasons), ranging from 18,000 tons to 600,000 tons regardless of exclusions. The March 1 forecast for oranges has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times (below 8 times and above 9 times, excluding abnormal seasons). The difference does not imply that the March 1 forecasts this year are likely to understate or overstate final production. USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch............................................... (202) 720-2127 Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section................................... (202) 720-2127 Angie Considine - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum........................ (202) 720-5944 Tony Dahlman - Oats, Soybeans............................................. (202) 690-3234 Chris Hawthorn - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet............................. (202) 720-9526 James Johanson - County Estimates, Hay.................................... (202) 690-8533 Scott Matthews - Crop Weather, Barley..................................... (202) 720-7621 Jean Porter - Rye, Wheat.................................................. (202) 720-8068 Bianca Pruneda - Peanuts, Rice............................................ (202) 720-7688 Travis Thorson - Sunflower, Other Oilseeds................................ (202) 720-7369 Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section........ (202) 720-2127 Vincent Davis - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries, Sugarbeets, Sugarcane, Cherries................................................ (202) 720-2157 Fleming Gibson - Citrus, Coffee, Tropical Fruits.......................... (202) 720-5412 Greg Lemmons - Berries, Cranberries, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes ............ (202) 720-4285 Dave Losh - Hops.......................................................... (360) 709-2400 Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas, Dry Beans ............ (202) 720-3250 Daphne Schauber - Floriculture, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Nursery, Tree Nuts .. (202) 720-4215 Chris Singh - Apples, Apricots, Plums, Prunes, Tobacco ................... (202) 720-4288 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov and click on "National" or "State" in upper right corner above "search" box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive. For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program or activity conducted or funded by the Department. (Not all prohibited bases will apply to all programs and/or employment activities.) If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination Complaint Form (PDF), found online at http://www.ascr.usda.gov/complaint_filing_cust.html, or at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax (202) 690-7442 or email at program.intake@usda.gov.