Crop Production 

ISSN: 1936-3737

Released October 10, 2014, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service 
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of 
Agriculture (USDA).

Corn Production Up Less Than 1 Percent from September Forecast
Soybean Production Up Slightly
Cotton Production Down 2 Percent
Orange Production Up 3 Percent from Last Season

Corn production is forecast at 14.5 billion bushels, up less than 1 percent 
from the previous forecast and up 4 percent from 2013. Based on conditions as 
of October 1, yields are expected to average 174.2 bushels per acre, up 
2.5 bushels from the September forecast and 15.4 bushels above the 2013 
average. If realized, this will be the highest yield and production on record 
for the United States. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 83.1 million 
acres, down 1 percent from the September forecast and down 5 percent from 
2013. Acreage updates were made in several States following a thorough review 
of all available data.

Soybean production is forecast at a record 3.93 billion bushels, up slightly 
from September and up 17 percent from last year. Based on October 1 
conditions, yields are expected to average a record high 47.1 bushels per 
acre, up 0.5 bushel from last month and up 3.1 bushels from last year. Area 
for harvest in the United States is forecast at a record 83.4 million acres, 
down less than 1 percent from September but up 9 percent from last year. 
Acreage updates were made in several States based on a thorough review of all 
available data.

All cotton production is forecast at 16.3 million 480-pound bales, down 
2 percent from last month but up 26 percent from last year. Yield is expected 
to average 790 pounds per harvested acre, down 31 pounds from last year. 
Upland cotton production is forecast at 15.7 million 480-pound bales, up 
28 percent from 2013. Pima cotton production, forecast at 578,000 bales, was 
carried forward from last month.

The United States all orange forecast for the 2014-2015 season is 
6.96 million tons, up 3 percent from the
2013 - 2014 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 
108 million boxes (4.86 million tons), is up 3 percent from last season's 
final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are 
forecast at 52.0 million boxes (2.34 million tons), down 2 percent from last 
season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 
56.0 million boxes (2.52 million tons), is up 9 percent from last season's 
final utilization. In Florida, citrus growing conditions were ideal from the 
beginning of the citrus bloom to the start of the 2014-2015 season harvest. 
The California Navel orange harvest is getting underway. 

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 
2014-2015 season is 1.60 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, up 2 percent 
from last season's final yield of 1.57 gallons per box. Projected yield from 
the 2014-2015 Early-Midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the 
January Crop Production report. All projections of yield assume the 
processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past 
several seasons. 

This report was approved on October 10, 2014.

Secretary of Agriculture
Designate
Robert Johansson

Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson
James M. Harris

Contents

Selected Crops Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2014.....................................  6

Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................  8

Corn Production - United States Chart..........................................................................  9

Sorghum for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................  9

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014..... 10

Rice Production by Class - United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014.................................. 10

Soybean Production - United States Chart....................................................................... 10

Soybeans for Beans Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................ 11

Sunflower Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................ 12

Peanut Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................ 13

Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................ 13

Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................ 14

Cottonseed Production - United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014..................................... 15

Cotton Production - United States Chart........................................................................ 15

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 
and Forecasted October 1, 2014................................................................................. 16

All Other Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................ 17

Sugarbeet Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................ 18

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and 
Forecasted October 1, 2014..................................................................................... 18

Dry Edible Bean Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and 
Forecasted October 1, 2014..................................................................................... 19

Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................ 20

Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type - States and United States: 2013 and 
Forecasted October 1, 2014..................................................................................... 21

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2013-2014 and Forecasted 
October 1, 2014................................................................................................ 22

Pecan Production by Variety - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014.................... 23

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2013 and 2014........ 24

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units - United States: 2013 and 2014.......... 26

Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2014 and 2015.................................... 28

Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units - United States: 2014 and 2015...................................... 29

Corn for Grain Plant Population per Acre - Selected States: 2010-2014.......................................... 30

Corn for Grain Number of Ears per Acre - Selected States: 2010-2014............................................ 31

Corn Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab - United States: 2010-2014........................ 31

Soybean Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet - Selected States: 2010-2014........................................ 32

Soybean Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab - United States: 2010-2014..................... 32

Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts - Selected States: 2010-2014..................................................... 33

Percent of Normal Precipitation Map............................................................................ 34

Departure from Normal Temperature Map.......................................................................... 34

September Weather Summary...................................................................................... 35

September Agricultural Summary................................................................................. 35

Crop Comments.................................................................................................. 37

Statistical Methodology........................................................................................ 42

Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecast.............................................................. 43

Information Contacts........................................................................................... 44

This page intentionally left blank.

Selected Crops Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2014
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :       Corn        :      Sorghum      :     Soybeans      : Dry edible beans  
      State     :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                : Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                                  1,000 acres                                  
                :                                                                               
Alabama ........:    320       295                           500       490                      
Arizona ........:     75       >42        25        >7                           10.0      10.0 
Arkansas .......:    560       550       170       165     3,350     3,300                      
California .....:    520       110                                               48.0      47.5 
Colorado .......:  1,170       960       330       250                           46.0      43.0 
Connecticut ....:     26                                                                        
Delaware .......:    175       170                           185       183                      
Florida ........:    >80       >47                           >37       >34                      
Georgia ........:    370       325        35       >25       300       290                      
Idaho ..........:   >340      >110                                              130.0     129.0 
                :                                                                               
Illinois .......: 11,900    11,700        23        21     9,900     9,850                      
Indiana ........:  5,900     5,750                         5,500     5,490                      
Iowa ...........: 13,600    13,200                         9,950     9,890                      
Kansas .........:  4,050     3,700     2,850     2,650     4,050     3,990        7.5       7.0 
Kentucky .......:  1,550     1,450                         1,760     1,750                      
Louisiana ......:    420       410       100        95     1,420     1,400                      
Maine ..........:     30                                                                        
Maryland .......:    500       440                           510       505                      
Massachusetts ..:     18                                                                        
Michigan .......:  2,500     2,190                         2,200     2,190      210.0     207.0 
                :                                                                               
Minnesota ......:  8,300     7,800                         7,350     7,270      150.0     143.0 
Mississippi ....:    540       520       115       110     2,220     2,190                      
Missouri .......:  3,500     3,330        85        75     5,650     5,600                      
Montana ........:    120       >66                                               40.0      39.0 
Nebraska .......:  9,300     8,750       170       120     5,400     5,350      165.0     152.0 
Nevada .........:      4                                                                        
New Hampshire ..:     15                                                                        
New Jersey .....:     85        75                           105       103                      
New Mexico .....:   >120       >48       110        76                            9.8       9.7 
New York .......:  1,160       660                           380       377        8.0       7.8 
                :                                                                               
North Carolina .:    840       780                         1,750     1,720                      
North Dakota ...:  2,950     2,750                         5,950     5,900      650.0     620.0 
Ohio ...........:  3,700     3,480                         4,900     4,890                      
Oklahoma .......:    320       270       370       330       360       330                      
Oregon .........:    >70       >40                                                9.5       9.5 
Pennsylvania ...:  1,460     1,000                           610       600                      
Rhode Island ...:      2                                                                        
South Carolina .:    295       280                           450       440                      
South Dakota ...:  5,800     5,400       230       150     5,150     5,110       14.0      13.2 
Tennessee ......:    880       820                         1,620     1,580                      
                :                                                                               
Texas ..........:  2,250     1,930     2,600     2,100       150       135       22.0      20.0 
Utah ...........:     75       >24                                                              
Vermont ........:     85                                                                        
Virginia .......:    470       350                           650       640                      
Washington .....:    205       115                                              120.0     120.0 
West Virginia ..:    >50       >35                           >27       >26                      
Wisconsin ......:  4,100     3,070                         1,800     1,780        7.6       7.6 
Wyoming ........:     85       >55                                               42.0      40.0 
                :                                                                               
United States ..: 90,885    83,097     7,213     6,174    84,184    83,403    1,689.4   1,625.3 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See footnote(s) at end of table.                                                     --continued

Selected Crops Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2014 (continued)
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :      Canola       :                         Sunflower                         
                :         :         :-----------------------------------------------------------
                :         :         :        Oil        :      Non-oil      :        All        
                :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State     : Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested: Planted :Harvested
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                                  1,000 acres                                  
                :                                                                               
California .....:                        40.0      39.5      2.9       2.9       42.9      42.4 
Colorado .......:     (D)       (D)      35.0      31.0      9.5       8.5       44.5      39.5 
Idaho ..........:    35.0      34.0                                                             
Kansas .........:     (D)       (D)      45.0      42.0     18.0      17.0       63.0      59.0 
Minnesota ......:    15.0      14.5      48.0      47.0     15.0      14.0       63.0      61.0 
Montana ........:    63.0      62.0                                                             
Nebraska .......:                        25.0      23.0     10.0       9.0       35.0      32.0 
North Dakota ...: 1,190.0   1,180.0     530.0     515.0    145.0     140.0      675.0     655.0 
Oklahoma .......:   280.0     165.0       5.0       4.8      1.3       1.1        6.3       5.9 
Oregon .........:    10.5       9.5                                                             
                :                                                                               
South Dakota ...:                       415.0     405.0    125.0     120.0      540.0     525.0 
Texas ..........:                        43.0      37.0     61.0      52.0      104.0      89.0 
Washington .....:    49.0      45.0                                                             
                :                                                                               
Other States 1/ :    69.0      44.2       (X)       (X)      (X)       (X)        (X)       (X) 
                :                                                                               
United States ..: 1,711.5   1,554.2   1,186.0   1,144.3    387.7     364.5    1,573.7   1,508.8 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.                                
(X) Not applicable.                                                                             
1/  Other States for Canola include Colorado and Kansas.                                        

Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and
Forecasted October 1, 2014
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :          Yield per acre          :     Production      
                 :----------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :         :         :          :         2014          :          :          
                 :  2013   :  2014   :   2013   :-----------------------:   2013   :   2014   
                 :         :         :          :September 1: October 1 :          :          
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :    1,000 acres       ---------- bushels ----------    --- 1,000 bushels ---
                 :                                                                            
Alabama .........:    295       295     148.0       149.0       155.0        43,660     45,725
Arkansas ........:    870       550     187.0       184.0       188.0       162,690    103,400
California ......:    180       110     195.0       175.0       160.0        35,100     17,600
Colorado ........:    990       960     131.0       144.0       144.0       129,690    138,240
Delaware ........:    174       170     166.0       170.0       175.0        28,884     29,750
Georgia .........:    465       325     175.0       167.0       169.0        81,375     54,925
Illinois ........: 11,800    11,700     178.0       194.0       200.0     2,100,400  2,340,000
Indiana .........:  5,850     5,750     177.0       184.0       186.0     1,035,450  1,069,500
Iowa ............: 13,100    13,200     165.0       185.0       185.0     2,161,500  2,442,000
Kansas ..........:  4,000     3,700     127.0       154.0       160.0       508,000    592,000
                 :                                                                            
Kentucky ........:  1,430     1,450     170.0       148.0       153.0       243,100    221,850
Louisiana .......:    670       410     173.0       180.0       180.0       115,910     73,800
Maryland ........:    420       440     158.0       166.0       170.0        66,360     74,800
Michigan ........:  2,250     2,190     155.0       162.0       167.0       348,750    365,730
Minnesota .......:  8,150     7,800     160.0       170.0       170.0     1,304,000  1,326,000
Mississippi .....:    830       520     176.0       180.0       184.0       146,080     95,680
Missouri ........:  3,200     3,330     136.0       169.0       180.0       435,200    599,400
Nebraska ........:  9,550     8,750     170.0       179.0       181.0     1,623,500  1,583,750
New Jersey ......:     80        75     139.0       146.0       148.0        11,120     11,100
New York ........:    690       660     138.0       150.0       154.0        95,220    101,640
                 :                                                                            
North Carolina ..:    870       780     142.0       138.0       136.0       123,540    106,080
North Dakota ....:  3,600     2,750     110.0       132.0       128.0       396,000    352,000
Ohio ............:  3,740     3,480     177.0       179.0       178.0       661,980    619,440
Oklahoma ........:    310       270     145.0       150.0       165.0        44,950     44,550
Pennsylvania ....:  1,090     1,000     147.0       148.0       152.0       160,230    152,000
South Carolina ..:    335       280     130.0       117.0       118.0        43,550     33,040
South Dakota ....:  5,860     5,400     138.0       148.0       151.0       808,680    815,400
Tennessee .......:    820       820     156.0       152.0       160.0       127,920    131,200
Texas ...........:  2,000     1,930     138.0       147.0       148.0       276,000    285,640
Virginia ........:    360       350     154.0       143.0       142.0        55,440     49,700
Washington ......:    105       115     215.0       210.0       215.0        22,575     24,725
Wisconsin .......:  3,050     3,070     146.0       162.0       162.0       445,300    497,340
                 :                                                                            
Other States 1/ .:    534       467     155.4       165.9       164.7        82,993     76,915
                 :                                                                            
United States ...: 87,668    83,097     158.8       171.7       174.2    13,925,147 14,474,920
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Arizona, Florida, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, West      
   Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop     
   Production 2014 Summary."                                                                  

Sorghum for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and
Forecasted October 1, 2014
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :   Area harvested    :          Yield per acre          :     Production      
                 :------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :          :          :          :         2014          :          :          
                 :   2013   :   2014   :   2013   :-----------------------:   2013   :   2014   
                 :          :          :          :September 1: October 1 :          :          
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :     1,000 acres        ---------- bushels ----------        1,000 bushels    
                 :                                                                              
Arkansas ........:    125        165      102.0       83.0         85.0      12,750     14,025  
Colorado ........:    240        250       24.0       30.0         25.0       5,760      6,250  
Illinois ........:     20         21       94.0       96.0         95.0       1,880      1,995  
Kansas ..........:  2,800      2,650       59.0       70.0         71.0     165,200    188,150  
Louisiana .......:    113         95      107.0       95.0        100.0      12,091      9,500  
Mississippi .....:     62        110       94.0       92.0         90.0       5,828      9,900  
Missouri ........:     60         75       82.0       80.0         95.0       4,920      7,125  
Nebraska ........:    140        120       67.0       73.0         77.0       9,380      9,240  
New Mexico ......:     68         76       34.0       57.0         44.0       2,312      3,344  
Oklahoma ........:    270        330       55.0       66.0         58.0      14,850     19,140  
South Dakota ....:    275        150       80.0       81.0         76.0      22,000     11,400  
Texas ...........:  2,300      2,100       56.0       63.0         58.0     128,800    121,800  
                 :                                                                              
Other States 1/ .:     57         32       57.5       59.0         51.4       3,275      1,645  
                 :                                                                              
United States ...:  6,530      6,174       59.6       67.2         65.4     389,046    403,514  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Arizona and Georgia. Individual State level estimates will be published 
   in the "Crop Production 2014 Summary."                                                       

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and Forecasted
October 1, 2014
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   Area harvested    :            Yield per acre            :    Production 1/    
              :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :          :          :            :          2014           :          :          
              :   2013   :   2014   :    2013    :-------------------------:   2013   :   2014   
              :          :          :            :September 1 : October 1  :          :          
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :     1,000 acres         ------------ pounds -----------      ---- 1,000 cwt ---  
              :                                                                                  
Arkansas .....:  1,070      1,470       7,560        7,500        7,530       80,888    110,691  
California ...:    561        428       8,480        8,600        8,500       47,574     36,380  
Louisiana ....:    413        460       7,300        7,100        7,100       30,135     32,660  
Mississippi ..:    124        190       7,400        7,000        7,000        9,176     13,300  
Missouri .....:    156        213       7,030        6,400        6,900       10,968     14,697  
Texas ........:    144        149       7,740        7,800        8,700       11,145     12,963  
              :                                                                                  
United States :  2,468      2,910       7,694        7,501        7,584      189,886    220,691  
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes sweet rice production.                                                               

Rice Production by Class - United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                :                :                :                
    Year    :   Long grain   :  Medium grain  : Short grain 1/ :      All       
            :                :                :                :                
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                             1,000 cwt                             
            :                                                                   
2013 .......:    131,896           54,915           3,075           189,886     
2014 2/ ....:    160,020           58,243           2,428           220,691     
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain.                             
2/ The 2014 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested     
   acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice
   yield.                                                                       

Soybeans for Beans Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013
and Forecasted October 1, 2014
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre          :    Production     
                 :-------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :         :         :         :         2014          :         :         
                 :  2013   :  2014   :  2013   :-----------------------:  2013   :  2014   
                 :         :         :         :September 1: October 1 :         :         
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :    1,000 acres      ---------- bushels ---------     -- 1,000 bushels --
                 :                                                                         
Alabama .........:    430       490      43.5      41.0        42.0        18,705    20,580
Arkansas ........:  3,240     3,300      43.5      46.0        47.0       140,940   155,100
Delaware ........:    163       183      40.5      44.0        46.0         6,602     8,418
Georgia .........:    230       290      40.5      39.0        40.0         9,315    11,600
Illinois ........:  9,480     9,850      50.0      56.0        56.0       474,000   551,600
Indiana .........:  5,190     5,490      51.5      52.0        54.0       267,285   296,460
Iowa ............:  9,250     9,890      45.5      51.0        51.0       420,875   504,390
Kansas ..........:  3,540     3,990      37.0      35.0        37.0       130,980   147,630
Kentucky ........:  1,660     1,750      50.0      46.0        47.0        83,000    82,250
Louisiana .......:  1,120     1,400      48.5      51.0        53.0        54,320    74,200
                 :                                                                         
Maryland ........:    480       505      39.5      44.0        46.0        18,960    23,230
Michigan ........:  1,920     2,190      44.5      45.0        46.0        85,440   100,740
Minnesota .......:  6,620     7,270      42.0      42.0        42.0       278,040   305,340
Mississippi .....:  1,990     2,190      46.0      49.0        51.0        91,540   111,690
Missouri ........:  5,610     5,600      36.0      46.0        46.0       201,960   257,600
Nebraska ........:  4,770     5,350      53.5      53.0        53.0       255,195   283,550
New Jersey ......:     88       103      39.5      42.0        41.0         3,476     4,223
New York ........:    278       377      48.0      49.0        47.0        13,344    17,719
North Carolina ..:  1,450     1,720      33.5      37.0        39.0        48,575    67,080
North Dakota ....:  4,630     5,900      30.5      33.0        33.0       141,215   194,700
                 :                                                                         
Ohio ............:  4,490     4,890      49.5      50.0        50.0       222,255   244,500
Oklahoma ........:    335       330      30.5      31.0        31.0        10,218    10,230
Pennsylvania ....:    555       600      49.0      50.0        50.0        27,195    30,000
South Carolina ..:    310       440      28.5      28.0        30.0         8,835    13,200
South Dakota ....:  4,580     5,110      40.5      42.0        43.0       185,490   219,730
Tennessee .......:  1,550     1,580      46.5      47.0        49.0        72,075    77,420
Texas ...........:     92       135      25.5      32.0        34.0         2,346     4,590
Virginia ........:    600       640      38.5      41.0        41.0        23,100    26,240
Wisconsin .......:  1,550     1,780      39.0      46.0        45.0        60,450    80,100
                 :                                                                         
Other States 1/ .:     52        60      43.3      42.2        45.0         2,253     2,702
                 :                                                                         
United States ...: 76,253    83,403      44.0      46.6        47.1     3,357,984 3,926,812
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Florida and West Virginia. Individual State level estimates will   
   be published in the "Crop Production 2014 Summary."                                     

Sunflower Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and
United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Varietal type : Area harvested  :  Yield per acre   :    Production     
                :---------------------------------------------------------
    and State   :  2013  :  2014  :  2013   : 2014 1/ :  2013   : 2014 1/ 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :   1,000 acres      ---- pounds ---   --- 1,000 pounds --
                :                                                         
Oil             :                                                         
California .....:   55.5     39.5    1,300                72,150          
Colorado .......:   39.0     31.0      800                31,200          
Kansas .........:   50.0     42.0    1,160                58,000          
Minnesota ......:   32.0     47.0    1,600                51,200          
Nebraska .......:   25.5     23.0      850                21,675          
North Dakota ...:  405.0    515.0    1,260               510,300          
Oklahoma .......:    2.9      4.8    1,200                 3,480          
South Dakota ...:  540.0    405.0    1,520               820,800          
Texas ..........:   60.0     37.0    1,300                78,000          
                :                                                         
United States ..:1,209.9  1,144.3    1,361             1,646,805          
                :                                                         
Non-oil         :                                                         
California .....:    2.5      2.9    1,200                 3,000          
Colorado .......:   16.0      8.5    1,000                16,000          
Kansas .........:   15.0     17.0    1,600                24,000          
Minnesota ......:    9.5     14.0    1,900                18,050          
Nebraska .......:   13.0      9.0    1,000                13,000          
North Dakota ...:   72.0    140.0    1,360                97,920          
Oklahoma .......:    1.7      1.1    1,000                 1,700          
South Dakota ...:  110.0    120.0    1,600               176,000          
Texas ..........:   25.0     52.0    1,450                36,250          
                :                                                         
United States ..:  264.7    364.5    1,458               385,920          
                :                                                         
All             :                                                         
California .....:   58.0     42.4    1,296     1,107      75,150    46,930
Colorado .......:   55.0     39.5      858     1,341      47,200    52,980
Kansas .........:   65.0     59.0    1,262     1,315      82,000    77,600
Minnesota ......:   41.5     61.0    1,669     1,546      69,250    94,300
Nebraska .......:   38.5     32.0      901     1,100      34,675    35,200
North Dakota ...:  477.0    655.0    1,275     1,679     608,220 1,099,500
Oklahoma .......:    4.6      5.9    1,126     1,569       5,180     9,260
South Dakota ...:  650.0    525.0    1,534     1,723     996,800   904,500
Texas ..........:   85.0     89.0    1,344     1,500     114,250   133,500
                :                                                         
United States ..:1,474.6  1,508.8    1,378     1,626   2,032,725 2,453,770
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ 2014 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will 
   be published in the "Crop Production 2014 Summary."                    

Peanut Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and
United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :         Area planted          :        Area harvested         
      State     :---------------------------------------------------------------
                :    2013 1/    :     2014      :    2013 1/    :     2014      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                          1,000 acres                          
                :                                                               
Alabama ........:      140.0           175.0           138.0           172.0    
Florida ........:      140.0           170.0           131.0           160.0    
Georgia ........:      430.0           595.0           426.0           585.0    
Mississippi ....:       34.0            31.0            33.0            29.0    
New Mexico .....:        7.0             5.0             7.0             5.0    
North Carolina .:       82.0            94.0            81.0            93.0    
Oklahoma .......:       17.0            17.0            16.0            16.0    
South Carolina .:       81.0           111.0            78.0           106.0    
Texas ..........:      120.0           125.0           117.0           122.0    
Virginia .......:       16.0            19.0            16.0            19.0    
                :                                                               
United States ..:    1,067.0         1,342.0         1,043.0         1,307.0    

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :           Yield per acre            :       Production        
      State     :---------------------------------------------------------------
                :           :          2014           :            :            
                :  2013 1/  :-------------------------:  2013 1/   :    2014    
                :           :September 1 : October 1  :            :            
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :   ----------- pounds -----------      ---- 1,000 pounds ----  
                :                                                               
Alabama ........:   3,550       3,000        3,000        489,900      516,000  
Florida ........:   3,950       3,900        3,900        517,450      624,000  
Georgia ........:   4,430       4,000        4,000      1,887,180    2,340,000  
Mississippi ....:   3,700       3,500        3,500        122,100      101,500  
New Mexico .....:   3,100       3,100        3,100         21,700       15,500  
North Carolina .:   3,900       4,000        4,000        315,900      372,000  
Oklahoma .......:   3,700       3,400        3,800         59,200       60,800  
South Carolina .:   3,500       3,700        3,800        273,000      402,800  
Texas ..........:   3,620       3,850        3,850        423,540      469,700  
Virginia .......:   3,950       4,300        4,200         63,200       79,800  
                :                                                               
United States ..:   4,001       3,800        3,812      4,173,170    4,982,100  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Updated from previous estimate.                                              

Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States:
2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State     :  Area harvested   :  Yield per acre   :    Production     
                :-----------------------------------------------------------
                :  2013   :  2014   :  2013   :  2014   :  2013   :  2014   
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                : -- 1,000 acres --    ---- pounds ---   --- 1,000 pounds --
                :                                                           
Idaho ..........:    43.0      34.0    1,850     1,600      79,550    54,400
Minnesota ......:    16.5      14.5    1,950     1,750      32,175    25,375
Montana ........:    69.0      62.0    1,540     1,000     106,260    62,000
North Dakota ...:   915.0   1,180.0    1,820     1,800   1,665,300 2,124,000
Oklahoma .......:   149.0     165.0    1,400       800     208,600   132,000
Oregon .........:    12.1       9.5    1,600     1,500      19,360    14,250
Washington .....:    36.0      45.0    1,700     1,700      61,200    76,500
                :                                                           
Other States 1/ :    23.9      44.2    1,592       733      38,060    32,400
                :                                                           
United States ..: 1,264.5   1,554.2    1,748     1,622   2,210,505 2,520,925
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Colorado and Kansas.                                

Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2013 and
Forecasted October 1, 2014
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :    Production 1/    
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :         :         :        :         2014          :          :          
                 :  2013   :  2014   :  2013  :-----------------------:   2013   :   2014   
                 :         :         :        :September 1: October 1 :          :          
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 : --- 1,000 acres --  ---------- pounds ----------        1,000 bales 2/   
                 :                                                                          
Upland           :                                                                          
Alabama .........:   359.0      353.0    789        850         857        590.0      630.0 
Arizona .........:   159.0      139.0  1,449      1,588       1,588        480.0      460.0 
Arkansas ........:   305.0      325.0  1,133      1,108       1,122        720.0      760.0 
California ......:    92.0       59.0  1,737      1,749       1,790        333.0      220.0 
Florida .........:   127.0      103.0    661        839         862        175.0      185.0 
Georgia .........: 1,340.0    1,370.0    831        911         911      2,320.0    2,600.0 
Kansas ..........:    26.0       29.0    757        794         910         41.0       55.0 
Louisiana .......:   128.0      165.0  1,223      1,164       1,222        326.0      420.0 
Mississippi .....:   287.0      420.0  1,203      1,120       1,154        719.0    1,010.0 
Missouri ........:   246.0      245.0    968      1,087       1,087        496.0      555.0 
                 :                                                                          
New Mexico ......:    31.0       35.0    929      1,193         987         60.0       72.0 
North Carolina ..:   460.0      460.0    799        950         950        766.0      910.0 
Oklahoma ........:   125.0      210.0    591        731         709        154.0      310.0 
South Carolina ..:   250.0      278.0    691        906         924        360.0      535.0 
Tennessee .......:   233.0      265.0    853        933         915        414.0      505.0 
Texas ...........: 3,100.0    5,150.0    646        615         583      4,170.0    6,250.0 
Virginia ........:    77.0       86.0    941      1,060       1,116        151.0      200.0 
                 :                                                                          
United States ...: 7,345.0    9,692.0    802        790         776     12,275.0   15,677.0 
                 :                                                                          
American Pima 3/ :                                                                          
Arizona .........:     1.5       14.5  1,024      1,159       1,159          3.2       35.0 
California ......:   186.0      154.0  1,574      1,590       1,590        610.0      510.0 
New Mexico ......:     3.4        4.9    847        784         784          6.0        8.0 
Texas ...........:     8.5       16.0    847        750         750         15.0       25.0 
                 :                                                                          
United States ...:   199.4      189.4  1,527      1,465       1,465        634.2      578.0 
                 :                                                                          
All              :                                                                          
Alabama .........:   359.0      353.0    789        850         857        590.0      630.0 
Arizona .........:   160.5      153.5  1,445      1,548       1,548        483.2      495.0 
Arkansas ........:   305.0      325.0  1,133      1,108       1,122        720.0      760.0 
California ......:   278.0      213.0  1,628      1,634       1,645        943.0      730.0 
Florida .........:   127.0      103.0    661        839         862        175.0      185.0 
Georgia .........: 1,340.0    1,370.0    831        911         911      2,320.0    2,600.0 
Kansas ..........:    26.0       29.0    757        794         910         41.0       55.0 
Louisiana .......:   128.0      165.0  1,223      1,164       1,222        326.0      420.0 
Mississippi .....:   287.0      420.0  1,203      1,120       1,154        719.0    1,010.0 
Missouri ........:   246.0      245.0    968      1,087       1,087        496.0      555.0 
                 :                                                                          
New Mexico ......:    34.4       39.9    921      1,143         962         66.0       80.0 
North Carolina ..:   460.0      460.0    799        950         950        766.0      910.0 
Oklahoma ........:   125.0      210.0    591        731         709        154.0      310.0 
South Carolina ..:   250.0      278.0    691        906         924        360.0      535.0 
Tennessee .......:   233.0      265.0    853        933         915        414.0      505.0 
Texas ...........: 3,108.5    5,166.0    646        616         583      4,185.0    6,275.0 
Virginia ........:    77.0       86.0    941      1,060       1,116        151.0      200.0 
                 :                                                                          
United States ...: 7,544.4    9,881.4    821        803         790     12,909.2   16,255.0 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.                                                      
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.                                                               
3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.                     

Cottonseed Production - United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production                         
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2013             :           2014 1/           
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons                         
                 :                                                           
United States ...:           4,203.0                       5,369.0           
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.                                

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and
United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :     Area harvested      :     Yield per acre      :       Production        
      State     :-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :    2013    :    2014    :    2013    :    2014    :    2013    :    2014    
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :   --- 1,000 acres ---        ------ tons -----        ---- 1,000 tons ---   
                :                                                                             
Arizona ........:      250          270        8.10         9.00         2,025        2,430   
California .....:      900          930        6.80         7.10         6,120        6,603   
Colorado .......:      650          750        2.90         3.90         1,885        2,925   
Idaho ..........:    1,120        1,080        3.80         4.30         4,256        4,644   
Illinois .......:      340          320        3.60         4.10         1,224        1,312   
Indiana ........:      280          240        3.70         4.10         1,036          984   
Iowa ...........:      730          730        3.30         3.40         2,409        2,482   
Kansas .........:      550          550        3.50         3.60         1,925        1,980   
Kentucky .......:      200          180        3.30         3.30           660          594   
Michigan .......:      610          640        3.10         3.30         1,891        2,112   
                :                                                                             
Minnesota ......:      950        1,000        2.60         3.20         2,470        3,200   
Missouri .......:      350          320        2.70         3.20           945        1,024   
Montana ........:    1,800        1,850        2.20         2.10         3,960        3,885   
Nebraska .......:      700          720        3.45         4.20         2,415        3,024   
Nevada .........:      210          250        4.50         3.80           945          950   
New Mexico .....:      145          220        5.40         5.20           783        1,144   
New York .......:      350          320        2.20         2.50           770          800   
North Dakota ...:    1,620        1,540        2.00         2.10         3,240        3,234   
Ohio ...........:      330          330        3.50         3.40         1,155        1,122   
Oklahoma .......:      230          310        2.70         3.10           621          961   
                :                                                                             
Oregon .........:      400          390        4.60         4.50         1,840        1,755   
Pennsylvania ...:      340          340        2.90         2.90           986          986   
South Dakota ...:    1,800        1,820        2.10         2.50         3,780        4,550   
Texas ..........:      140          140        4.50         4.80           630          672   
Utah ...........:      550          550        4.20         4.70         2,310        2,585   
Virginia .......:       90           75        3.60         3.70           324          278   
Washington .....:      410          470        5.30         5.00         2,173        2,350   
Wisconsin ......:    1,100        1,150        2.60         3.30         2,860        3,795   
Wyoming ........:      450          540        3.20         3.10         1,440        1,674   
                :                                                                             
Other States 1/ :      168          165        2.99         2.84           503          469   
                :                                                                             
United States ..:   17,763       18,190        3.24         3.55        57,581       64,524   
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New  
   Hampshire, New Jersey, North Carolina, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Vermont, and West Virginia.
   Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop Production 2014 Summary."  

All Other Hay Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013
and Forecasted October 1, 2014
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :    Area harvested     :    Yield per acre     :      Production       
      State     :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                :   2013    :   2014    :   2013    :   2014    :   2013    :   2014    
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :  --- 1,000 acres --       ----- tons -----       --- 1,000 tons ---   
                :                                                                       
Alabama 2/ .....:     790         750       2.70        2.90        2,133       2,175   
Arkansas .......:   1,330       1,220       2.10        2.30        2,793       2,806   
California .....:     540         440       3.40        3.40        1,836       1,496   
Colorado .......:     660         580       1.60        2.10        1,056       1,218   
Georgia 2/ .....:     580         580       2.70        2.90        1,566       1,682   
Idaho ..........:     360         390       2.00        2.20          720         858   
Illinois .......:     320         330       2.50        2.50          800         825   
Indiana ........:     360         360       2.10        2.50          756         900   
Iowa ...........:     440         350       2.20        2.20          968         770   
Kansas .........:   2,200       2,000       2.10        1.80        4,620       3,600   
                :                                                                       
Kentucky .......:   2,400       2,450       2.20        2.10        5,280       5,145   
Louisiana 2/ ...:     400         410       2.20        3.10          880       1,271   
Michigan .......:     330         330       1.90        2.20          627         726   
Minnesota ......:     950         800       1.50        1.80        1,425       1,440   
Mississippi 2/ .:     720         600       2.50        2.60        1,800       1,560   
Missouri .......:   3,700       3,600       1.90        1.80        7,030       6,480   
Montana ........:   1,000         900       1.50        1.70        1,500       1,530   
Nebraska .......:   1,800       1,650       1.40        1.30        2,520       2,145   
New York .......:   1,080       1,070       2.00        2.00        2,160       2,140   
North Carolina .:     850         770       2.40        2.50        2,040       1,925   
                :                                                                       
North Dakota ...:   1,000         840       1.85        1.90        1,850       1,596   
Ohio ...........:     740         720       2.00        2.40        1,480       1,728   
Oklahoma .......:   2,900       3,200       1.50        1.90        4,350       6,080   
Oregon .........:     620         660       2.20        2.40        1,364       1,584   
Pennsylvania ...:     920         950       2.10        2.20        1,932       2,090   
South Dakota ...:   1,250       1,400       1.70        1.70        2,125       2,380   
Tennessee ......:   1,900       1,850       2.30        2.30        4,370       4,255   
Texas ..........:   5,500       5,300       1.50        2.50        8,250      13,250   
Virginia .......:   1,150       1,200       2.40        2.40        2,760       2,880   
Washington .....:     350         450       3.00        2.70        1,050       1,215   
                :                                                                       
West Virginia ..:     570         550       1.90        1.50        1,083         825   
Wisconsin ......:     500         450       1.80        1.70          900         765   
Wyoming ........:     540         560       1.20        1.90          648       1,064   
                :                                                                       
Other States 1/ :   1,744       1,746       2.12        2.14        3,693       3,743   
                :                                                                       
United States ..:  40,494      39,456       1.94        2.13       78,365      84,147   
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Maine, Maryland,       
   Massachusetts, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, Rhode Island, South    
   Carolina, Utah, and Vermont. Individual State level estimates will be published in   
   the "Crop Production 2014 Summary."                                                  
2/ Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures included in all other hay.                              

Sugarbeet Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and
Forecasted October 1, 2014
[Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except California]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :  Area harvested   :          Yield per acre           :    Production     
              :---------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :         :         :         :          2014           :         :         
              :  2013   :  2014   :  2013   :-------------------------:  2013   :  2014   
              :         :         :         :September 1 : October 1  :         :         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              : -- 1,000 acres --    ------------ tons -----------      -- 1,000 tons --  
              :                                                                           
California 1/ :    24.3      24.5    44.4        44.6         44.6       1,079     1,093  
Colorado .....:    25.7      29.1    33.5        32.5         32.5         861       946  
Idaho ........:   174.0     169.0    36.2        36.0         36.0       6,299     6,084  
Michigan .....:   153.0     150.0    26.2        28.0         29.5       4,009     4,425  
Minnesota ....:   426.0     435.0    26.0        23.3         24.1      11,076    10,484  
Montana ......:    42.8      44.5    29.2        34.2         34.2       1,250     1,522  
Nebraska .....:    44.2      46.0    29.7        29.6         29.6       1,313     1,362  
North Dakota .:   225.0     211.0    25.3        24.0         24.0       5,693     5,064  
Oregon .......:     9.3       6.5    38.4        35.0         35.1         357       228  
Wyoming ......:    29.7      30.1    29.5        28.6         28.6         876       861  
              :                                                                           
United States : 1,154.0   1,145.7    28.4        27.5         28.0      32,813    32,069  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central California and   
   to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern California.         

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and
United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre 1/         :   Production 1/   
              :---------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :         :         :         :          2014           :         :         
              :  2013   :  2014   :  2013   :-------------------------:  2013   :  2014   
              :         :         :         :September 1 : October 1  :         :         
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :    1,000 acres       ------------ tons -----------      -- 1,000 tons --  
              :                                                                           
Florida ......:  416.0     409.0     34.6        35.5         35.4      14,400    14,479  
Hawaii .......:   17.7      19.0     78.9        75.0         75.0       1,397     1,425  
Louisiana ....:  442.0     420.0     30.5        29.0         29.0      13,481    12,180  
Texas ........:   35.1      34.5     42.3        36.4         36.4       1,483     1,256  
              :                                                                           
United States :  910.8     882.5     33.8        33.3         33.2      30,761    29,340  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Net tons.                                                                              

Dry Edible Bean Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and
United States: 2013 and Forecasted October 1, 2014
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :         Area planted          :        Area harvested         
      State     :---------------------------------------------------------------
                :     2013      :     2014      :     2013      :     2014      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :                          1,000 acres                          
                :                                                               
Arizona 1/ .....:       10.0            10.0            10.0            10.0    
California .....:       50.0            48.0            49.5            47.5    
Colorado .......:       39.0            46.0            36.0            43.0    
Idaho ..........:      125.0           130.0           124.0           129.0    
Kansas .........:        5.0             7.5             4.8             7.0    
Michigan .......:      175.0           210.0           172.0           207.0    
Minnesota ......:      125.0           150.0           120.0           143.0    
Montana 1/ .....:       24.0            40.0            23.6            39.0    
Nebraska .......:      130.0           165.0           117.0           152.0    
New Mexico 1/ ..:       10.0             9.8             9.5             9.7    
                :                                                               
New York .......:        9.0             8.0             8.8             7.8    
North Dakota ...:      440.0           650.0           430.0           620.0    
Oregon 1/ ......:        8.3             9.5             8.2             9.5    
South Dakota ...:       12.0            14.0            11.5            13.2    
Texas ..........:       33.0            22.0            30.0            20.0    
Washington .....:      115.0           120.0           114.0           120.0    
Wisconsin 1/ ...:        5.4             7.6             5.4             7.6    
Wyoming ........:       39.0            42.0            37.0            40.0    
                :                                                               
United States ..:    1,354.7         1,689.4         1,311.3         1,625.3    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :       Yield per acre 2/       :         Production 2/         
      State     :---------------------------------------------------------------
                :     2013      :     2014      :     2013      :     2014      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :      ------- pounds ------          ------ 1,000 cwt -----    
                :                                                               
Arizona 1/ .....:      1,680           1,700             168             170    
California .....:      2,320           2,400           1,150           1,140    
Colorado .......:      1,500           1,800             540             774    
Idaho ..........:      1,900           2,000           2,356           2,580    
Kansas .........:      1,790           2,000              86             140    
Michigan .......:      1,900           2,100           3,270           4,347    
Minnesota ......:      1,950           1,400           2,340           2,002    
Montana 1/ .....:      1,920           2,200             453             858    
Nebraska .......:      2,350           2,550           2,750           3,876    
New Mexico 1/ ..:      2,040           2,200             194             213    
                :                                                               
New York .......:      1,820           1,700             160             133    
North Dakota ...:      1,650           1,450           7,095           8,990    
Oregon 1/ ......:      2,260           2,400             185             228    
South Dakota ...:      2,000           1,900             230             251    
Texas ..........:      1,220           1,100             366             220    
Washington .....:      1,820           1,600           2,075           1,920    
Wisconsin 1/ ...:      1,810           2,020              98             154    
Wyoming ........:      2,620           2,600             970           1,040    
                :                                                               
United States ..:      1,867           1,787          24,486          29,036    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.         
2/ Clean basis.                                                                 

Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2013 and
Forecasted October 1, 2014
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :     Production      
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :         :         :        :         2014          :          :          
                 :  2013   :  2014   :  2013  :-----------------------:   2013   :   2014   
                 :         :         :        :September 1: October 1 :          :          
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 : ----- acres -----   ---------- pounds ----------     -- 1,000 pounds --  
                 :                                                                          
Connecticut .....:     (D)       (D)     (D)        (D)         (D)         (D)        (D)  
Georgia .........:  12,800    14,000   1,750      2,500       2,500      22,400     35,000  
Kentucky ........:  87,200    86,300   2,147      2,345       2,345     187,240    202,340  
Massachusetts ...:     (D)       (D)     (D)        (D)         (D)         (D)        (D)  
North Carolina ..: 181,900   182,800   1,994      2,296       2,395     362,660    437,820  
Ohio 1/ .........:   2,100     2,000   2,200      2,200       2,200       4,620      4,400  
Pennsylvania ....:   8,900     9,100   2,389      2,434       2,417      21,260     21,995  
South Carolina ..:  14,500    15,000   1,700      2,100       2,200      24,650     33,000  
Tennessee .......:  21,400    21,800   2,083      2,209       2,209      44,570     48,160  
Virginia ........:  24,250    24,830   2,170      2,461       2,461      52,613     61,118  
                 :                                                                          
Other States 2/ .:   2,625     3,050   1,358      1,556       1,611       3,566      4,915  
                 :                                                                          
United States ...: 355,675   358,880   2,034      2,310       2,365     723,579    848,748  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.                            
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.                    
2/  Includes data withheld above.                                                           

Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type - States and United States: 2013 and
Forecasted October 1, 2014
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        :  Area harvested   :  Yield per acre   :     Production      
         Class, type, and State         :-------------------------------------------------------------
                                        :  2013   :  2014   :  2013   :  2014   :   2013   :   2014   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        : ----- acres -----   ---- pounds ----    -- 1,000 pounds --  
                                        :                                                             
Class 1, Flue-cured (11-14)             :                                                             
Georgia ................................:  12,800    14,000    1,750     2,500     22,400     35,000  
North Carolina .........................: 180,000   181,000    2,000     2,400    360,000    434,400  
South Carolina .........................:  14,500    15,000    1,700     2,200     24,650     33,000  
Virginia ...............................:  21,500    22,000    2,200     2,500     47,300     55,000  
                                        :                                                             
United States ..........................: 228,800   232,000    1,986     2,403    454,350    557,400  
                                        :                                                             
Class 2, Fire-cured (21-23)             :                                                             
Kentucky ...............................:   9,000     9,000    3,100     3,300     27,900     29,700  
Tennessee ..............................:   6,900     6,700    3,150     3,000     21,735     20,100  
Virginia ...............................:     350       330    2,150     2,250        753        743  
                                        :                                                             
United States ..........................:  16,250    16,030    3,101     3,153     50,388     50,543  
                                        :                                                             
Class 3A, Light air-cured               :                                                             
Type 31, Burley                         :                                                             
  Kentucky .............................:  74,000    73,000    2,000     2,200    148,000    160,600  
  North Carolina .......................:   1,900     1,800    1,400     1,900      2,660      3,420  
  Ohio 1/ ..............................:   2,100     2,000    2,200     2,200      4,620      4,400  
  Pennsylvania .........................:   5,100     5,100    2,400     2,450     12,240     12,495  
  Tennessee ............................:  13,500    14,000    1,510     1,800     20,385     25,200  
  Virginia .............................:   2,400     2,500    1,900     2,150      4,560      5,375  
                                        :                                                             
  United States ........................:  99,000    98,400    1,944     2,149    192,465    211,490  
                                        :                                                             
Type 32, Southern Maryland Belt         :                                                             
  Pennsylvania .........................:   2,000     2,000    2,350     2,350      4,700      4,700  
                                        :                                                             
Total light air-cured (31-32) .......   : 101,000   100,400    1,952     2,153    197,165    216,190  
                                        :                                                             
Class 3B, Dark air-cured (35-37)        :                                                             
Kentucky ...............................:   4,200     4,300    2,700     2,800     11,340     12,040  
Tennessee ..............................:   1,000     1,100    2,450     2,600      2,450      2,860  
                                        :                                                             
United States ..........................:   5,200     5,400    2,652     2,759     13,790     14,900  
                                        :                                                             
Class 4, Cigar filler                   :                                                             
Type 41, Pennsylvania Seedleaf          :                                                             
  Pennsylvania .........................:   1,800     2,000    2,400     2,400      4,320      4,800  
                                        :                                                             
Class 5, Cigar binder                   :                                                             
Type 51 Connecticut Valley Broadleaf    :                                                             
  Connecticut ..........................:     (D)       (D)      (D)       (D)        (D)        (D)  
  Massachusetts ........................:     (D)       (D)      (D)       (D)        (D)        (D)  
                                        :                                                             
  United States ........................:     (D)       (D)      (D)       (D)        (D)        (D)  
                                        :                                                             
Class 6, Cigar wrapper                  :                                                             
Type 61, Connecticut Valley Shade-grown :                                                             
  Connecticut ..........................:     (D)       (D)      (D)       (D)        (D)        (D)  
  Massachusetts ........................:     (D)       (D)      (D)       (D)        (D)        (D)  
                                        :                                                             
  United States ........................:     (D)       (D)      (D)       (D)        (D)        (D)  
                                        :                                                             
Other cigar types (51-61) ...........   :   2,625     3,050    1,358     1,611      3,566      4,915  
                                        :                                                             
Total cigar types (41-61) ...........   :   4,425     5,050    1,782     1,924      7,886      9,715  
                                        :                                                             
All tobacco                             :                                                             
United States ..........................: 355,675   358,880    2,034     2,365    723,579    848,748  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.                                      
1/  Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.                              

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2013-2014 and
Forecasted October 1, 2014
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the
following year]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     Utilized production boxes 1/      :  Utilized production ton equivalent   
        Crop and State        :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     2013-2014     :     2014-2015     :     2013-2014     :     2014-2015     
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :      ------- 1,000 boxes -------              ------- 1,000 tons ------       
Oranges                       :                                                                               
Early, mid, and Navel 2/      :                                                                               
  California .................:       39,000              40,500              1,560               1,620       
  Florida ....................:       53,300              52,000              2,398               2,340       
  Texas ......................:        1,400               1,627                 60                  69       
                              :                                                                               
  United States ..............:       93,700              94,127              4,018               4,029       
                              :                                                                               
Valencia                      :                                                                               
  California .................:       11,000              10,000                440                 400       
  Florida ....................:       51,300              56,000              2,309               2,520       
  Texas ......................:          376                 345                 16                  15       
                              :                                                                               
  United States ..............:       62,676              66,345              2,765               2,935       
                              :                                                                               
All                           :                                                                               
  California .................:       50,000              50,500              2,000               2,020       
  Florida ....................:      104,600             108,000              4,707               4,860       
  Texas ......................:        1,776               1,972                 76                  84       
                              :                                                                               
  United States ..............:      156,376             160,472              6,783               6,964       
                              :                                                                               
Grapefruit                    :                                                                               
White                         :                                                                               
  Florida ....................:        4,150               4,000                176                 170       
                              :                                                                               
Colored                       :                                                                               
  Florida ....................:       11,500              11,000                489                 468       
                              :                                                                               
All                           :                                                                               
  California .................:        4,000               4,000                160                 160       
  Florida ....................:       15,650              15,000                665                 638       
  Texas ......................:        5,700               5,750                228                 230       
                              :                                                                               
  United States ..............:       25,350              24,750              1,053               1,028       
                              :                                                                               
Tangerines and mandarins      :                                                                               
Arizona 3/ ...................:          200                 220                  8                   9       
California 3/ ................:       14,500              16,000                580                 640       
Florida ......................:        2,900               2,800                138                 133       
                              :                                                                               
United States ................:       17,600              19,020                726                 782       
                              :                                                                               
Lemons                        :                                                                               
Arizona ......................:        1,800               2,000                 72                  80       
California ...................:       19,000              19,000                760                 760       
                              :                                                                               
United States ................:       20,800              21,000                832                 840       
                              :                                                                               
Tangelos                      :                                                                               
Florida ......................:          880                 900                 40                  41       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,           
   Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in Arizona and California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80;        
   tangelos-90.                                                                                               
2/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in Florida
   and Texas. Small quantities of tangerines in Texas and Temples in Florida.                                 
3/ Includes tangelos and tangors.                                                                             

Pecan Production by Variety - States and United States: 2013 and
Forecasted October 1, 2014
----------------------------------------------------------------------
                              : Utilized production (in-shell basis)  
       Variety and State      :---------------------------------------
                              :       2013        :       2014        
----------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :             1,000 pounds              
Improved varieties 1/         :                                       
Alabama ......................:        2,500               3,500      
Arizona ......................:       22,500              20,000      
Arkansas .....................:        2,000               2,200      
California ...................:        5,000               4,200      
Florida ......................:          700                 690      
Georgia ......................:       83,000              81,000      
Louisiana ....................:        1,500               2,500      
Mississippi ..................:        3,800                 700      
Missouri .....................:          500                 270      
New Mexico ...................:       72,000              65,000      
Oklahoma .....................:        3,000               4,000      
South Carolina ...............:        1,500                 960      
Texas ........................:       22,000              48,000      
                              :                                       
United States ................:      220,000             233,020      
                              :                                       
Native and seedling           :                                       
Alabama ......................:          770                 500      
Arkansas .....................:          700               1,300      
Florida ......................:          (D)                  60      
Georgia ......................:        6,000               4,000      
Kansas .......................:          (D)               1,200      
Louisiana ....................:        9,500              11,500      
Mississippi ..................:        1,700                 300      
Missouri .....................:        2,240               1,600      
Oklahoma .....................:       17,000              10,000      
South Carolina ...............:           60                 140      
Texas ........................:        6,000              12,000      
                              :                                       
Other States .................:        2,360                   -      
                              :                                       
United States ................:       46,330              42,600      
                              :                                       
All                           :                                       
Alabama ......................:        3,270               4,000      
Arizona ......................:       22,500              20,000      
Arkansas .....................:        2,700               3,500      
California ...................:        5,000               4,200      
Florida ......................:          (D)                 750      
Georgia ......................:       89,000              85,000      
Kansas .......................:          (D)               1,200      
Louisiana ....................:       11,000              14,000      
Mississippi ..................:        5,500               1,000      
Missouri .....................:        2,740               1,870      
New Mexico ...................:       72,000              65,000      
Oklahoma .....................:       20,000              14,000      
South Carolina ...............:        1,560               1,100      
Texas ........................:       28,000              60,000      
                              :                                       
Other States .................:        3,060                   -      
                              :                                       
United States ................:      266,330             275,620      
----------------------------------------------------------------------
-   Represents zero.                                                  
(D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations.      
1/  Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties.                          

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units -
United States: 2013 and 2014
[Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or
from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2014 crop year.
Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                :     Area planted      :    Area harvested     
              Crop              :-----------------------------------------------
                                :   2013    :   2014    :   2013    :   2014    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                :                  1,000 acres                  
                                :                                               
Grains and hay                  :                                               
Barley .........................:    3,528       2,975       3,040       2,458  
Corn for grain 1/ ..............:   95,365      90,885      87,668      83,097  
Corn for silage ................:     (NA)                   6,256              
Hay, all .......................:     (NA)        (NA)      58,257      57,646  
  Alfalfa ......................:     (NA)        (NA)      17,763      18,190  
  All other ....................:     (NA)        (NA)      40,494      39,456  
Oats ...........................:    2,980       2,723       1,009       1,039  
Proso millet ...................:      720         470         638              
Rice ...........................:    2,489       2,931       2,468       2,910  
Rye ............................:    1,451       1,434         278         258  
Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........:    8,061       7,213       6,530       6,174  
Sorghum for silage .............:     (NA)                     380              
Wheat, all .....................:   56,236      56,822      45,332      46,476  
  Winter .......................:   43,230      42,399      32,650      32,304  
  Durum ........................:    1,400       1,398       1,338       1,372  
  Other spring .................:   11,606      13,025      11,344      12,800  
                                :                                               
Oilseeds                        :                                               
Canola .........................:  1,348.0     1,711.5     1,264.5     1,554.2  
Cottonseed .....................:      (X)         (X)         (X)         (X)  
Flaxseed .......................:      181         332         172         324  
Mustard seed ...................:     45.0        36.0        43.4        34.5  
Peanuts ........................:  1,067.0     1,342.0     1,043.0     1,307.0  
Rapeseed .......................:      1.7         2.6         1.7         2.5  
Safflower ......................:    175.5       183.5       170.0       176.2  
Soybeans for beans .............:   76,840      84,184      76,253      83,403  
Sunflower ......................:  1,575.5     1,573.7     1,474.6     1,508.8  
                                :                                               
Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops:                                               
Cotton, all ....................: 10,407.0    11,010.0     7,544.4     9,881.4  
  Upland .......................: 10,206.0    10,818.0     7,345.0     9,692.0  
  American Pima ................:    201.0       192.0       199.4       189.4  
Sugarbeets .....................:  1,198.1     1,162.7     1,154.0     1,145.7  
Sugarcane ......................:     (NA)        (NA)       910.8       882.5  
Tobacco ........................:     (NA)        (NA)       355.7       358.9  
                                :                                               
Dry beans, peas, and lentils    :                                               
Austrian winter peas ...........:     18.0        28.5        14.1              
Dry edible beans ...............:  1,354.7     1,689.4     1,311.3     1,625.3  
Dry edible peas ................:    860.0       921.0       797.0              
Lentils ........................:    362.0       320.0       347.0              
Wrinkled seed peas .............:     (NA)                    (NA)              
                                :                                               
Potatoes and miscellaneous      :                                               
Coffee (Hawaii) ................:     (NA)                     8.2              
Hops ...........................:     (NA)        (NA)        35.2        38.4  
Peppermint oil .................:     (NA)                    68.8              
Potatoes, all ..................:  1,063.9     1,080.5     1,050.9     1,065.7  
  Spring .......................:     75.9        73.8        72.9        72.3  
  Summer .......................:     48.7        51.3        47.5        50.2  
  Fall .........................:    939.3       955.4       930.5       943.2  
Spearmint oil ..................:     (NA)                    24.5              
Sweet potatoes .................:    115.7       133.0       113.2       130.0  
Taro (Hawaii) 2/ ...............:     (NA)                     0.4              
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See footnote(s) at end of table.                                     --continued

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units -
United States: 2013 and 2014 (continued)
[Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from
previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2014 crop year. Blank data
cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        :   Yield per acre    :       Production       
                  Crop                  :----------------------------------------------
                                        :   2013   :   2014   :    2013     :   2014   
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        :                       -------- 1,000 --------
                                        :                                              
Grains and hay                          :                                              
Barley ..........................bushels:   71.3       73.4        216,745      180,427
Corn for grain ..................bushels:  158.8      174.2     13,925,147   14,474,920
Corn for silage ....................tons:   18.8                   117,851             
Hay, all ...........................tons:   2.33       2.58        135,946      148,671
  Alfalfa ..........................tons:   3.24       3.55         57,581       64,524
  All other ........................tons:   1.94       2.13         78,365       84,147
Oats ............................bushels:   64.1       67.8         64,642       70,460
Proso millet ....................bushels:   28.9                    18,436             
Rice 3/ .............................cwt:  7,694      7,584        189,886      220,691
Rye .............................bushels:   27.4       27.9          7,626        7,189
Sorghum for grain ...............bushels:   59.6       65.4        389,046      403,514
Sorghum for silage .................tons:   14.3                     5,420             
Wheat, all ......................bushels:   47.1       43.8      2,134,979    2,035,373
  Winter ........................bushels:   47.3       42.6      1,542,902    1,377,526
  Durum .........................bushels:   43.3       41.6         57,976       57,094
  Other spring ..................bushels:   47.1       46.9        534,101      600,753
                                        :                                              
Oilseeds                                :                                              
Canola ...........................pounds:  1,748      1,622      2,210,505    2,520,925
Cottonseed .........................tons:    (X)        (X)        4,203.0      5,369.0
Flaxseed ........................bushels:   19.5                     3,356             
Mustard seed .....................pounds:    846                    36,727             
Peanuts ..........................pounds:  4,001      3,812      4,173,170    4,982,100
Rapeseed .........................pounds:  1,141                     1,940             
Safflower ........................pounds:  1,232                   209,461             
Soybeans for beans ..............bushels:   44.0       47.1      3,357,984    3,926,812
Sunflower ........................pounds:  1,378      1,626      2,032,725    2,453,770
                                        :                                              
Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops        :                                              
Cotton, all 3/ ....................bales:    821        790       12,909.2     16,255.0
  Upland 3/ .......................bales:    802        776       12,275.0     15,677.0
  American Pima 3/ ................bales:  1,527      1,465          634.2        578.0
Sugarbeets .........................tons:   28.4       28.0         32,813       32,069
Sugarcane ..........................tons:   33.8       33.2         30,761       29,340
Tobacco ..........................pounds:  2,034      2,365        723,579      848,748
                                        :                                              
Dry beans, peas, and lentils            :                                              
Austrian winter peas 3/ .............cwt:  1,617                       228             
Dry edible beans 3/ .................cwt:  1,867      1,787         24,486       29,036
Dry edible peas 3/ ..................cwt:  1,960                    15,620             
Lentils 3/ ..........................cwt:  1,446                     5,019             
Wrinkled seed peas ..................cwt:   (NA)                       275             
                                        :                                              
Potatoes and miscellaneous              :                                              
Coffee (Hawaii) ..................pounds:    940                     7,700             
Hops .............................pounds:  1,969      1,882       69,343.9     72,265.6
Peppermint oil ...................pounds:     89                     6,132             
Potatoes, all .......................cwt:    414                   434,652             
  Spring ............................cwt:    304        290         22,137       20,991
  Summer ............................cwt:    363        310         17,240       15,580
  Fall ..............................cwt:    425                   395,275             
Spearmint oil ....................pounds:    119                     2,926             
Sweet potatoes ......................cwt:    219                    24,785             
Taro (Hawaii) ....................pounds:   (NA)                     3,100             
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.                                                                    
(X)  Not applicable.                                                                   
1/   Area planted for all purposes.                                                    
2/   Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acres.                                 
3/   Yield in pounds.                                                                  

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units -
United States: 2013 and 2014
[Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or
from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2014 crop year.
Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                :     Area planted      :    Area harvested     
              Crop              :-----------------------------------------------
                                :   2013    :   2014    :   2013    :   2014    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                :                   hectares                    
                                :                                               
Grains and hay                  :                                               
Barley .........................: 1,427,750   1,203,950   1,230,260     994,730 
Corn for grain 1/ ..............:38,593,260  36,780,250  35,478,360  33,628,520 
Corn for silage ................:      (NA)               2,531,740             
Hay, all 2/ ....................:      (NA)        (NA)  23,576,030  23,328,760 
  Alfalfa ......................:      (NA)        (NA)   7,188,510   7,361,310 
  All other ....................:      (NA)        (NA)  16,387,520  15,967,450 
Oats ...........................: 1,205,980   1,101,970     408,330     420,470 
Proso millet ...................:   291,380     190,200     258,190             
Rice ...........................: 1,007,270   1,186,150     998,770   1,177,650 
Rye ............................:   587,210     580,330     112,500     104,410 
Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........: 3,262,210   2,919,030   2,642,630   2,498,560 
Sorghum for silage .............:      (NA)                 153,780             
Wheat, all 2/ ..................:22,758,150  22,995,300  18,345,410  18,808,370 
  Winter .......................:17,494,750  17,158,450  13,213,130  13,073,110 
  Durum ........................:   566,570     565,760     541,480     555,230 
  Other spring .................: 4,696,830   5,271,090   4,590,800   5,180,030 
                                :                                               
Oilseeds                        :                                               
Canola .........................:   545,520     692,630     511,730     628,970 
Cottonseed .....................:       (X)         (X)         (X)         (X) 
Flaxseed .......................:    73,250     134,360      69,610     131,120 
Mustard seed ...................:    18,210      14,570      17,560      13,960 
Peanuts ........................:   431,800     543,090     421,690     528,930 
Rapeseed .......................:       690       1,050         690       1,010 
Safflower ......................:    71,020      74,260      68,800      71,310 
Soybeans for beans .............:31,096,380  34,068,420  30,858,830  33,752,360 
Sunflower ......................:   637,590     636,860     596,760     610,600 
                                :                                               
Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops:                                               
Cotton, all 2/ .................: 4,211,610   4,455,640   3,053,140   3,998,900 
  Upland .......................: 4,130,270   4,377,940   2,972,450   3,922,260 
  American Pima ................:    81,340      77,700      80,700      76,650 
Sugarbeets .....................:   484,860     470,530     467,010     463,650 
Sugarcane ......................:      (NA)        (NA)     368,590     357,140 
Tobacco ........................:      (NA)        (NA)     143,940     145,240 
                                :                                               
Dry beans, peas, and lentils    :                                               
Austrian winter peas ...........:     7,280      11,530       5,710             
Dry edible beans ...............:   548,230     683,680     530,670     657,740 
Dry edible peas ................:   348,030     372,720     322,540             
Lentils ........................:   146,500     129,500     140,430             
Wrinkled seed peas .............:      (NA)                    (NA)             
                                :                                               
Potatoes and miscellaneous      :                                               
Coffee (Hawaii) ................:      (NA)                   3,320             
Hops ...........................:      (NA)        (NA)      14,250      15,540 
Peppermint oil .................:      (NA)                  27,840             
Potatoes, all 2/ ...............:   430,550     437,270     425,290     431,280 
  Spring .......................:    30,720      29,870      29,500      29,260 
  Summer .......................:    19,710      20,760      19,220      20,320 
  Fall .........................:   380,130     386,640     376,560     381,700 
Spearmint oil ..................:      (NA)                   9,910             
Sweet potatoes .................:    46,820      53,820      45,810      52,610 
Taro (Hawaii) 3/ ...............:      (NA)                     160             
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See footnote(s) at end of table.                                     --continued

Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units -
United States: 2013 and 2014 (continued)
[Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or
from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2014 crop year.
Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                :   Yield per hectare   :      Production       
              Crop              :-----------------------------------------------
                                :   2013    :   2014    :   2013    :   2014    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                :                  metric tons                  
                                :                                               
Grains and hay                  :                                               
Barley .........................:    3.89        3.95      4,719,070   3,928,330
Corn for grain .................:    9.97       10.93    353,715,030 367,679,900
Corn for silage ................:   42.23                106,912,630            
Hay, all 2/ ....................:    5.23        5.78    123,328,140 134,872,060
  Alfalfa ......................:    7.27        7.95     52,236,600  58,535,190
  All other ....................:    4.34        4.78     71,091,530  76,336,870
Oats ...........................:    2.25        2.43        938,280   1,022,720
Proso millet ...................:    1.62                    418,120            
Rice ...........................:    8.62        8.50      8,613,080  10,010,380
Rye ............................:    1.72        1.75        193,710     182,610
Sorghum for grain ..............:    3.74        4.10      9,882,220  10,249,730
Sorghum for silage .............:   31.97                  4,916,940            
Wheat, all 2/ ..................:    3.18        2.95     58,104,610  55,393,780
  Winter .......................:    3.20        2.87     41,990,910  37,490,110
  Durum ........................:    2.74        2.80      1,577,850   1,553,840
  Other spring .................:    3.17        3.16     14,535,850  16,349,820
                                :                                               
Oilseeds                        :                                               
Canola .........................:    1.96        1.82      1,002,670   1,143,470
Cottonseed .....................:     (X)         (X)      3,812,900   4,870,670
Flaxseed .......................:    1.22                     85,250            
Mustard seed ...................:    0.95                     16,660            
Peanuts ........................:    4.49        4.27      1,893,380   2,259,840
Rapeseed .......................:    1.28                        880            
Safflower ......................:    1.38                     95,010            
Soybeans for beans .............:    2.96        3.17     91,389,350 106,870,310
Sunflower ......................:    1.55        1.82        922,030   1,113,010
                                :                                               
Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops:                                               
Cotton, all 2/ .................:    0.92        0.89      2,810,650   3,539,110
  Upland .......................:    0.90        0.87      2,672,570   3,413,260
  American Pima ................:    1.71        1.64        138,080     125,840
Sugarbeets .....................:   63.74       62.75     29,767,450  29,092,510
Sugarcane ......................:   75.71       74.53     27,905,910  26,616,800
Tobacco ........................:    2.28        2.65        328,210     384,990
                                :                                               
Dry beans, peas, and lentils    :                                               
Austrian winter peas ...........:    1.81                     10,340            
Dry edible beans ...............:    2.09        2.00      1,110,670   1,317,050
Dry edible peas ................:    2.20                    708,510            
Lentils ........................:    1.62                    227,660            
Wrinkled seed peas .............:    (NA)                     12,470            
                                :                                               
Potatoes and miscellaneous      :                                               
Coffee (Hawaii) ................:    1.05                      3,490            
Hops ...........................:    2.21        2.11         31,450      32,780
Peppermint oil .................:    0.10                      2,780            
Potatoes, all 2/ ...............:   46.36                 19,715,480            
  Spring .......................:   34.04       32.54      1,004,120     952,140
  Summer .......................:   40.68       34.79        781,990     706,700
  Fall .........................:   47.61                 17,929,370            
Spearmint oil ..................:    0.13                      1,330            
Sweet potatoes .................:   24.54                  1,124,230            
Taro (Hawaii) ..................:  400.00                      1,410            
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.                                                             
(X)  Not applicable.                                                            
1/   Area planted for all purposes.                                             
2/   Total may not add due to rounding.                                         
3/   Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.                    

Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units - United States: 2014 and 2015
[Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or
from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2014 crop year,
except citrus which is for the 2013-2014 season. Blank data cells indicate
estimation period has not yet begun]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                           :            Production             
                    Crop                   :-----------------------------------
                                           :      2014       :      2015       
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                           :               1,000               
                                           :                                   
Citrus 1/                                  :                                   
Grapefruit ............................tons:        1,053           1,028      
Lemons ................................tons:          832             840      
Oranges ...............................tons:        6,783           6,964      
Tangelos (Florida) ....................tons:           40              41      
Tangerines and mandarins ..............tons:          726             782      
                                           :                                   
Noncitrus                                  :                                   
Apples ....................... 1,000 pounds:     10,888.4                      
Apricots ..............................tons:         61.5                      
Bananas (Hawaii) ....................pounds:                                   
Grapes ................................tons:      7,937.5                      
Olives (California) ...................tons:                                   
Papayas (Hawaii) ....................pounds:                                   
Peaches ...............................tons:        863.9                      
Pears .................................tons:        799.1                      
Prunes, dried (California) ............tons:         95.0                      
Prunes and plums (excludes California) tons:                                   
                                           :                                   
Nuts and miscellaneous                     :                                   
Almonds, shelled (California) .......pounds:    2,100,000                      
Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..........tons:         36.0                      
Pecans, in-shell ....................pounds:      275,620                      
Walnuts, in-shell (California) ........tons:        545.0                      
Maple syrup ........................gallons:        3,167                      
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production years are 2013-2014 and 2014-2015.                               

Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units - United States: 2014 and 2015
[Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or
from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2014 crop year,
except citrus which is for the 2013-2014 season. Blank data cells indicate
estimation period has not yet begun]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                           :            Production             
                    Crop                   :-----------------------------------
                                           :      2014       :      2015       
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                           :            metric tons            
                                           :                                   
Citrus 1/                                  :                                   
Grapefruit ................................:      955,270           932,590    
Lemons ....................................:      754,780           762,040    
Oranges ...................................:    6,153,430         6,317,630    
Tangelos (Florida) ........................:       36,290            37,190    
Tangerines and mandarins ..................:      658,620           709,420    
                                           :                                   
Noncitrus                                  :                                   
Apples ....................................:    4,938,900                      
Apricots ..................................:       55,780                      
Bananas (Hawaii) ..........................:                                   
Grapes ....................................:    7,200,780                      
Olives (California) .......................:                                   
Papayas (Hawaii) ..........................:                                   
Peaches ...................................:      783,680                      
Pears .....................................:      724,930                      
Prunes, dried (California) ................:       86,180                      
Prunes and plums (excludes California) ....:                                   
                                           :                                   
Nuts and miscellaneous                     :                                   
Almonds, shelled (California) .............:      952,540                      
Hazelnuts, in-shell (Oregon) ..............:       32,660                      
Pecans, in-shell ..........................:      125,020                      
Walnuts, in-shell (California) ............:      494,420                      
Maple syrup ...............................:       15,830                      
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production years are 2013-2014 and 2014-2015.                               

Corn for Grain Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield 
surveys in 10 corn-producing States during 2014. Randomly selected plots in 
corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to 
obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded 
actual field counts from this survey.

Corn for Grain Plant Population per Acre - Selected States: 2010-2014
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State     :         :         :         :         :         ::      State     :         :         :         :         :         
   and month   :  2010   :  2011   :  2012   :  2013   :  2014   ::    and month   :  2010   :  2011   :  2012   :  2013   :  2014   
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                     number                      ::                :                     number                      
               :                                                 ::                :                                                 
Illinois       :                                                 :: Nebraska       :                                                 
September .....: 29,750    30,450    29,700    30,700    30,900  :: All corn       :                                                 
October .......: 29,600    30,450    29,750      (NA)    30,800  ::  September ....: 25,700    25,400    26,150    26,000    26,450  
November ......: 29,650    30,400    29,750    30,850            ::  October ......: 25,600    25,400    26,150      (NA)    26,450  
Final .........: 29,650    30,450    29,800    30,850            ::  November .....: 25,550    25,450    26,150    26,100            
               :                                                 ::  Final ........: 25,550    25,450    26,150    26,100            
Indiana        :                                                 ::                :                                                 
September .....: 28,300    29,200    29,250    30,250    31,200  :: Irrigated      :                                                 
October .......: 28,350    29,200    29,200      (NA)    31,000  ::  September ....: 27,750    28,150    29,100    29,150    28,850  
November ......: 28,350    29,150    29,200    30,400            ::  October ......: 27,600    28,200    29,000      (NA)    28,850  
Final .........: 28,350    29,150    29,200    30,450            ::  November .....: 27,600    28,250    29,000    29,300            
               :                                                 ::  Final ........: 27,600    28,250    29,000    29,250            
Iowa           :                                                 ::                :                                                 
September .....: 30,050    30,850    30,150    30,250    30,850  :: Non-irrigated  :                                                 
October .......: 30,000    30,750    30,100      (NA)    30,800  ::  September ....: 22,350    21,250    21,600    21,000    22,650  
November ......: 29,950    30,750    30,100    30,000            ::  October ......: 22,350    21,200    21,850      (NA)    22,550  
Final .........: 29,950    30,750    30,100    30,050            ::  November .....: 22,300    21,200    21,850    21,050            
               :                                                 ::  Final ........: 22,300    21,200    21,850    21,050            
Kansas         :                                                 ::                :                                                 
September .....: 21,850    21,500    23,050    22,900    23,750  :: Ohio           :                                                 
October .......: 21,950    21,550    23,200      (NA)    23,550  :: September .....: 28,400    29,550    29,200    28,800    29,600  
November ......: 21,950    21,500    23,200    22,850            :: October .......: 28,200    29,350    29,100      (NA)    29,700  
Final .........: 21,950    21,500    23,200    22,850            :: November ......: 28,200    29,350    29,100    28,700            
               :                                                 :: Final .........: 28,200    29,350    29,100    28,650            
Minnesota      :                                                 ::                :                                                 
September .....: 29,850    30,250    30,000    31,350    31,400  :: South Dakota   :                                                 
October .......: 29,750    30,200    30,000      (NA)    31,350  :: September .....: 24,550    25,300    24,200    25,300    24,550  
November ......: 29,900    30,250    30,000    30,950            :: October .......: 24,450    25,250    23,900      (NA)    24,250  
Final .........: 29,900    30,250    30,000    30,950            :: November ......: 24,350    25,500    24,000    25,100            
               :                                                 :: Final .........: 24,350    25,500    24,000    25,100            
Missouri       :                                                 ::                :                                                 
September .....: 25,700    25,850    26,650    27,700    27,650  :: Wisconsin      :                                                 
October .......: 25,500    25,800    26,550      (NA)    27,400  :: September .....: 28,600    29,000    29,000    29,050    30,000  
November ......: 25,500    25,800    26,550    27,800            :: October .......: 28,300    28,900    28,550      (NA)    29,900  
Final .........: 25,500    25,800    26,550    27,850            :: November ......: 28,300    28,950    28,600    29,150            
               :                                                 :: Final .........: 28,300    28,950    28,600    29,150            
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.                                                                                                                  

Corn for Grain Number of Ears per Acre - Selected States: 2010-2014
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State     :         :         :         :         :         ::      State     :         :         :         :         :         
   and month   :  2010   :  2011   :  2012   :  2013   :  2014   ::    and month   :  2010   :  2011   :  2012   :  2013   :  2014   
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                     number                      ::                :                     number                      
               :                                                 ::                :                                                 
Illinois       :                                                 :: Nebraska       :                                                 
September .....: 28,650    29,650    24,000    29,900    30,300  :: All corn       :                                                 
October .......: 28,500    29,550    24,250      (NA)    30,300  ::  September ....: 25,250    24,500    24,500    26,050    26,500  
November ......: 28,550    29,550    24,250    30,150            ::  October ......: 25,250    24,350    24,050      (NA)    26,450  
Final .........: 28,550    29,600    24,300    30,150            ::  November .....: 25,100    24,350    24,050    25,700            
               :                                                 ::  Final ........: 25,100    24,350    24,050    25,700            
Indiana        :                                                 ::                :                                                 
September .....: 27,900    27,950    26,500    29,850    30,850  :: Irrigated      :                                                 
October .......: 27,750    27,800    26,150      (NA)    30,650  ::  September ....: 27,100    26,950    28,600    29,150    28,750  
November ......: 27,750    27,750    26,150    29,750            ::  October ......: 27,100    26,800    28,300      (NA)    28,900  
Final .........: 27,750    27,750    26,150    29,850            ::  November .....: 26,950    26,800    28,300    28,700            
               :                                                 ::  Final ........: 26,950    26,800    28,300    28,700            
Iowa           :                                                 ::                :                                                 
September .....: 29,450    30,100    28,250    29,700    30,350  :: Non-irrigated  :                                                 
October .......: 29,450    30,050    28,150      (NA)    30,150  ::  September ....: 22,350    20,800    18,250    21,200    22,900  
November ......: 29,300    30,050    28,150    29,500            ::  October ......: 22,250    20,650    17,600      (NA)    22,550  
Final .........: 29,300    30,050    28,150    29,550            ::  November .....: 22,200    20,650    17,550    20,950            
               :                                                 ::  Final ........: 22,200    20,650    17,550    20,950            
Kansas         :                                                 ::                :                                                 
September .....: 21,250    20,900    20,350    22,500    24,450  :: Ohio           :                                                 
October .......: 21,250    20,650    20,550      (NA)    24,000  :: September .....: 27,700    28,700    27,700    28,350    29,200  
November ......: 21,250    20,650    20,550    22,200            :: October .......: 27,650    28,950    27,150      (NA)    29,700  
Final .........: 21,250    20,650    20,550    22,200            :: November ......: 27,650    29,150    27,100    28,200            
               :                                                 :: Final .........: 27,650    29,150    27,100    28,300            
Minnesota      :                                                 ::                :                                                 
September .....: 29,750    29,750    29,450    30,750    31,050  :: South Dakota   :                                                 
October .......: 29,600    29,300    29,400      (NA)    31,050  :: September .....: 24,850    25,800    22,150    25,600    24,850  
November ......: 29,700    29,350    29,400    30,850            :: October .......: 24,800    25,150    21,550      (NA)    24,400  
Final .........: 29,700    29,350    29,400    30,850            :: November ......: 24,450    25,250    21,550    25,300            
               :                                                 :: Final .........: 24,450    25,250    21,550    25,300            
Missouri       :                                                 ::                :                                                 
September .....: 25,100    24,600    23,050    26,950    27,800  :: Wisconsin      :                                                 
October .......: 24,750    24,650    22,900      (NA)    27,950  :: September .....: 28,700    28,650    27,650    28,900    30,000  
November ......: 24,700    24,550    22,900    27,050            :: October .......: 28,500    28,650    27,300      (NA)    29,750  
Final .........: 24,700    24,550    22,900    27,100            :: November ......: 28,550    28,650    27,100    28,900            
               :                                                 :: Final .........: 28,550    28,650    27,150    28,850            
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.                                                                                                                  

Corn Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab -
United States: 2010-2014
[Blank data cells indicated estimation period has not yet begun]
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :           October           :          November           
      Year     :-----------------------------------------------------------
               :Dent stage 1/ :  Mature 2/   :Dent stage 1/ :  Mature 2/   
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                          percent                          
               :                                                           
2010 ..........:        7             82           (Z)             96      
2011 ..........:       24             57           (Z)             94      
2012 ..........:        3             90           (Z)             95      
2013 ..........:     (NA)           (NA)           (Z)             86      
2014 ..........:       39             53                                   
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.                                                        
(Z)  Less than half of the unit shown.                                     
1/   Includes corn in the dent stage of development. Ears are firm and     
     solid. Kernels fully dented with no milk present in most kernels.     
2/   Includes that portion of the crop that is mature and ready for        
     harvest. No green foliage is present.                                 

Soybean Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield 
surveys in 11 soybean-producing States during 2014. Randomly selected plots 
in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain 
specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are actual field 
counts from this survey.

Soybean Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet - Selected States: 2010-2014
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State     :         :         :         :         :         ::      State     :         :         :         :         :         
   and month   :  2010   :  2011   :  2012   :  2013   :  2014   ::    and month   :  2010   :  2011   :  2012   :  2013   :  2014   
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                     number                      ::                :                     number                      
               :                                                 ::                :                                                 
Arkansas 1/    :                                                 :: Minnesota      :                                                 
September .....:   (NA)      (NA)      (NA)      (NA)      (NA)  :: September .....:  1,679     1,670     1,587     1,433     1,414  
October .......:  1,591     1,434     1,574      (NA)     1,960  :: October .......:  1,741     1,705     1,606      (NA)     1,431  
November ......:  1,805     1,607     1,570     1,864            :: November ......:  1,783     1,678     1,605     1,400            
Final .........:  1,833     1,597     1,590     1,734            :: Final .........:  1,783     1,678     1,614     1,418            
               :                                                 ::                :                                                 
Illinois       :                                                 :: Missouri       :                                                 
September .....:  1,970     1,983     1,466     1,682     1,922  :: September .....:  1,924     1,957     1,347     1,528     2,050  
October .......:  2,090     1,933     1,359      (NA)     1,913  :: October .......:  1,899     1,781     1,205      (NA)     1,969  
November ......:  2,096     1,931     1,382     1,713            :: November ......:  1,986     1,836     1,274     1,522            
Final .........:  2,096     1,931     1,377     1,697            :: Final .........:  1,993     1,797     1,271     1,500            
               :                                                 ::                :                                                 
Indiana        :                                                 :: Nebraska       :                                                 
September .....:  1,878     1,607     1,388     1,638     1,518  :: September .....:  1,906     2,032     1,406     1,671     1,634  
October .......:  1,852     1,606     1,390      (NA)     1,634  :: October .......:  2,109     2,075     1,509      (NA)     1,707  
November ......:  1,879     1,635     1,396     1,696            :: November ......:  2,121     2,141     1,516     1,801            
Final .........:  1,879     1,635     1,396     1,705            :: Final .........:  2,121     2,141     1,516     1,801            
               :                                                 ::                :                                                 
Iowa           :                                                 :: North Dakota   :                                                 
September .....:  2,009     1,944     1,512     1,414     1,621  :: September .....:  1,375     1,337     1,308     1,275     1,281  
October .......:  2,046     1,941     1,636      (NA)     1,690  :: October .......:  1,416     1,382     1,326      (NA)     1,266  
November ......:  2,054     1,996     1,630     1,538            :: November ......:  1,510     1,381     1,326     1,336            
Final .........:  2,054     2,002     1,630     1,531            :: Final .........:  1,510     1,381     1,326     1,336            
               :                                                 ::                :                                                 
Kansas         :                                                 :: Ohio           :                                                 
September .....:  1,402     1,488     1,038     1,295     1,303  :: September .....:  1,991     1,882     1,674     1,889     1,882  
October .......:  1,392     1,466     1,039      (NA)     1,384  :: October .......:  2,012     1,850     1,708      (NA)     1,835  
November ......:  1,427     1,375     1,092     1,319            :: November ......:  2,022     1,893     1,747     1,780            
Final .........:  1,429     1,375     1,092     1,360            :: Final .........:  2,022     1,892     1,746     1,799            
               :                                                 ::                :                                                 
               :                                                 :: South Dakota   :                                                 
               :                                                 :: September .....:  1,527     1,652     1,171     1,508     1,553  
               :                                                 :: October .......:  1,622     1,492     1,142      (NA)     1,485  
               :                                                 :: November ......:  1,605     1,530     1,127     1,543            
               :                                                 :: Final .........:  1,605     1,530     1,127     1,489            
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.                                                                                                                  
1/   September data not available due to plant immaturity.                                                                           

Soybean Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab -
United States: 2010-2014
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :           October           :          November           
      Year     :-----------------------------------------------------------
               :          Mature 1/          :          Mature 1/          
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                          percent                          
               :                                                           
2010 ..........:              59                           94              
2011 ..........:              32                           95              
2012 ..........:              64                           94              
2013 ..........:            (NA)                           73              
2014 ..........:              35                                           
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.                                                        
1/   Includes soybeans with brown pods and are considered mature or almost 
     mature.                                                               

Cotton Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield 
surveys in six cotton-producing States during 2014. Randomly selected plots 
in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain 
specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts 
from this survey.

Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts - Selected States: 2010-2014
[Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls
(at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs
per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls. Blank
data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :           :           :           :           :           
   State and month  :   2010    :   2011    :   2012    :   2013    :   2014    
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    :                          number                           
                    :                                                           
Arkansas            :                                                           
September ..........:    911         901         841        1,025        910    
October ............:    893         845         852         (NA)        763    
November ...........:    897         867         856          855               
December ...........:    894         868         856          862               
Final ..............:    894         868         856          862               
                    :                                                           
Georgia             :                                                           
September ..........:    609         531         656          481        660    
October ............:    606         577         646         (NA)        690    
November ...........:    686         659         756          663               
December ...........:    683         665         768          669               
Final ..............:    683         666         768          670               
                    :                                                           
Louisiana           :                                                           
September ..........:    699         938         855          806        745    
October ............:    755         948         880         (NA)        877    
November ...........:    789         949         900          857               
December ...........:    781         949         900          857               
Final ..............:    781         949         900          857               
                    :                                                           
Mississippi         :                                                           
September ..........:    864         898         883          925        843    
October ............:    773         848         855         (NA)        859    
November ...........:    776         874         896          906               
December ...........:    776         875         896          907               
Final ..............:    776         875         892          907               
                    :                                                           
North Carolina      :                                                           
September ..........:    681         553         727          532        604    
October ............:    675         610         739         (NA)        680    
November ...........:    689         646         865          636               
December ...........:    689         646         872          668               
Final ..............:    689         646         872          668               
                    :                                                           
Texas               :                                                           
September ..........:    658         540         535          547        485    
October ............:    534         478         443         (NA)        460    
November ...........:    589         515         522          517               
December ...........:    589         520         549          526               
Final ..............:    589         520         552          525               
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.                                                             

September Weather Summary

September featured highly variable precipitation and rapidly fluctuating 
temperatures. In the Corn Belt alone, a cold snap led to widespread frost 
across the upper Midwest from September 11-13, but largely spared 
late-developing corn and soybeans. Following the cool spell, an extended 
period of late-season Midwestern warmth promoted summer crop maturation. Most 
of the upper Midwest experienced beneficial dryness, but heavy rain in the 
southern Corn Belt slowed early-season harvest efforts. Regardless of the 
weather extremes, Midwestern crop conditions remained near historic highs, 
with nearly three-quarters of the corn (74 percent) and soybeans (73 percent) 
rated in good to excellent condition by October 5. Those numbers represented 
the highest United States corn and soybean ratings in October since 2004 and 
1994, respectively.

Meanwhile, a band of September dryness stretched from the southeastern Plains 
and Mid-South into the Northeast. The mostly dry weather favored summer crop 
maturation and harvesting, but increased stress on pastures and reduced 
topsoil moisture for the establishment of newly planted winter grains. Across 
the Deep South, however, heavy rain hampered fieldwork in several areas, 
including southern Texas and the southern Atlantic coastal plain.

Heavy September rain also soaked portions of the southern High Plains and the 
Southwest, in part due to moisture associated with the remnants of eastern 
Pacific Hurricanes Norbert and Odile. Substantial precipitation fell in other 
parts of the West, including the Great Basin and Intermountain region, 
providing some drought relief. However, warm, mostly dry weather persisted in 
central and southern California and portions of the interior Northwest. By 
October 5, at least one-third of the rangeland and pastures were rated in 
very poor to poor condition in California (70 percent), Oregon (48 percent), 
Nevada (40 percent), and Washington (34 percent).

September Agricultural Summary

Most of the Nation saw above-average temperatures for the month of September, 
with scattered locations across the West recording temperatures more than 4°F 
above normal for the month. However, locations across the Corn Belt generally 
recorded below-average temperatures for the month, slowing down the maturity 
of row crops before harvest began. The eastern United States saw generally 
below-normal precipitation for the month with the exception of a band 
stretching from Iowa to Indiana and another along the Atlantic coast from 
North Carolina to Florida. Rainfall levels varied across the western 
United States from no precipitation in central and southern California to 
over 10 inches in southeast New Mexico.

Ninety percent of this year's corn crop was at or beyond the dough stage by 
August 31, eight percentage points ahead of last year and slightly ahead of 
the 5-year average. By August 31, eight percent of the corn crop was mature, 
4 percentage points ahead of last year but 8 percentage points behind the 
5-year average. At the beginning of the month, the percentage of corn mature 
was behind the 5-year averages in all of the estimating States except 
Nebraska and Texas. Below-average temperatures throughout the Corn Belt 
continued to slow down progress in major corn producing regions. Nationwide, 
82 percent of the corn crop was at or beyond the dent stage by September 14, 
three percentage points ahead of last year but 3 percentage points behind the 
5-year average. The corn harvest began in most southern Corn Belt locations 
by the middle of the month with 4 percent of the Nation's corn harvested by 
September 14, equal to the same time last year but 5 percentage points behind 
the 5-year average. Ninety-six percent of the corn crop was at or beyond the 
dent stage by September 28, slightly ahead of last year but slightly behind 
the 5-year average. By September 28, sixty percent of the corn crop was 
mature, equal to last year but 10 percentage points behind the 5-year 
average. Nationally, 12 percent of the corn crop was harvested by 
September 28, slightly ahead of last year but 11 percentage points behind the 
5-year average. Overall, 74 percent of the corn crop was reported in good to 
excellent condition on September 28, unchanged from the beginning of the 
month but 19 percentage points better than the same time last year. Corn 
condition ratings in the good and excellent categories are as high as they 
have been this late in the season since 2004.

Sixty-one percent of the sorghum crop was coloring by August 31, 
nine percentage points ahead of last year and 7 percentage points ahead of 
the 5-year average. With progress limited to Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas, 
25 percent of the Nation's sorghum crop was harvested by August 31, 
two percentage points behind last year but slightly ahead of the 5-year 
average. By September 14, forty-five percent of the crop had reached 
maturity, 9 percentage points ahead of last year and 8 percentage points 
ahead of the 5-year average. Nationally, 28 percent of the sorghum crop had 
been harvested by September 14, four percentage points behind last year but 
slightly ahead of the 5-year average. Ninety-three percent of the sorghum 
crop was coloring by September 28, equal to last year but 4 percentage points 
ahead of the 5-year average. By September 28, fifty-nine percent of the crop 
had reached maturity, 7 percentage points ahead of last year and 5 percentage 
points ahead of the 5-year average. Nationally, 32 percent of the sorghum 
crop had been harvested by week's end, 4 percentage points behind last year 
and slightly behind the 5-year average. Overall, 57 percent of the sorghum 
crop was reported in good to excellent condition, unchanged from August 31 
but 3 percentage points better than the same time last year.

By August 31, fifty-eight percent of the barley crop was harvested, 
15 percentage points behind last year and 10 percentage points behind the 
5-year average. Eighty-one percent of the barley crop was harvested by 
September 7, six percentage points behind last year and slightly behind the 
5-year average. Crop damage was reported in Idaho with sprouting and sooty 
mold due to increased precipitation during August. By September 21, 
ninety-five percent of this year's barley crop was harvested, 
4 percentage points behind last year but equal to the 5-year average.

The seeding of the 2015 winter wheat crop was underway by the beginning of 
September with 3 percent planted by September 7, two percentage points behind 
last year and slightly behind the 5-year average. By September 21, producers 
had sown 25 percent of the winter wheat acreage, 4 percentage points ahead of 
last year's pace and 3 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. 
Producers had sown 43 percent of the Nation's winter wheat acreage by 
September 28, six percentage points ahead of last year's pace and 
7 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Dry conditions near the end 
of the month allowed for rapid planting progress in Oklahoma, with 57 percent 
complete by September 28, twenty-six percentage points ahead of the 5-year 
average. Nationally, 14 percent of the winter wheat had emerged on 
September 28, three percentage points ahead of the same time last year and 
2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.

Thirty-eight percent of the spring wheat crop was harvested by August 31, 
twenty-three percentage points behind last year and 27 percentage points 
behind the 5-year average. Due to delayed spring planting the spring wheat 
harvest in Minnesota was nearly 3 weeks behind the 5-year average at the 
beginning of the month. Seventy-four percent of the spring wheat crop was 
harvested by September 14, fifteen percentage points behind last year and 
12 percentage behind the 5-year average. Ninety-four percent of the spring 
wheat crop was harvested by September 28, slightly behind last year and 
2 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By the end of the month, 
harvest was complete or nearly complete in Idaho, Minnesota, South Dakota, 
and Washington. On September 7, sixty percent of the spring wheat crop was 
reported in good to excellent condition, compared with 63 percent on 
August 31 and 70 percent at the end of August 2013.

By August 31, ninety-seven percent of the rice crop was at or beyond the 
heading stage, 3 percentage points ahead of both last year and the 5-year 
average. Producers had harvested 17 percent of the Nation's rice crop by 
August 31, equal to last year but 9 percentage points behind the 5-year 
average. Forty-six percent of the Nation's rice crop was harvested by 
September 21, two percentage points ahead of last year but 7 percentage 
points behind the 5-year average. Fifty-nine percent of the Nation's rice 
crop was harvested by September 28, three percentage points ahead of last 
year but 3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. The rice harvest was 
nearly complete in Louisiana and Texas by the end of the month, and over a 
majority of the crop had been harvested in Arkansas and Mississippi. Overall, 
74 percent of the rice crop was reported in good to excellent condition on 
September 21, unchanged from August 31 but 3 percentage points better than 
the same time last year.

Five percent of the Nation's soybean crop was dropping leaves by August 31, 
two percentage points ahead of last year but 2 percentage points behind the 
5-year average. Nationwide, 12 percent of the soybean crop was at or beyond 
the leaf-dropping stage by September 7, two percentage points ahead of last 
year but 5 percentage points behind the 5-year average. A few cases of Sudden 
Death Syndrome in soybeans were reported throughout the month in some parts 
of Illinois. Forty-five percent of the crop was at or beyond the leaf-
dropping stage by September 21, slightly ahead of last year but 8 percentage 
points behind the 5-year average. Significant harvest progress was limited to 
the Mississippi Delta and soybean harvest had just begun in several States in 
the Midwest. Nationally, 3 percent of the soybean crop was harvested by 
September 21, equal to last year but 5 percentage points behind the 5-year 
average. Nationally, 10 percent of the soybean crop was harvested by 
September 28, equal to last year but 7 percentage points behind the 5-year 
average. Overall, 72 percent of the soybean crop was reported in good to 
excellent condition on September 28, equal to the beginning of the month but 
19 percentage points better than the same time last year. Soybean condition 
ratings in the good to excellent categories are as high as they have been 
this late in the season since 1994.

Producers had begun to harvest early peanut varieties in Florida and Georgia 
at the beginning of the month. Producers had harvested 3 percent of the 
Nation's peanut crop by September 14, slightly behind last year but equal to 
the 5-year average. Producers had harvested 12 percent of the Nation's peanut 
crop by September 28, slightly ahead of last year but 3 percentage points 
behind the 5-year average. Overall, 56 percent of the peanut crop was 
reported in good to excellent condition, down 4 percentage points from 
August 31 but 3 percentage points below the same time last year.

Nationally, 31 percent of the cotton crop had open bolls by August 31, 
sixteen percentage points ahead of last year and 4 percentage points ahead of 
the 5-year average. Fifty-one percent of the cotton crop had open bolls by 
September 14, seventeen percentage points ahead of last year and 2 percentage 
points ahead of the 5-year average. By September 14, six percent of the 
United States cotton crop was harvested, 2 percentage points ahead of last 
year but slightly behind the 5-year average. Nationwide, 64 percent of the 
cotton crop had open bolls by September 28, seven percentage points ahead of 
last year but 6 percentage points behind the 5-year average. By September 28, 
ten percent of the cotton crop was harvested, 3 percentage points ahead of 
last year but 3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Overall, 
49 percent of the cotton crop was reported in good to excellent condition on 
September 28, down slightly from the beginning of the month but 7 percentage 
points better than the same time last year.

By September 21, ten percent of the Nation's sugarbeet acreage had been 
harvested, 5 percentage points ahead of the same time last year and 
2 percentage points better than the 5-year average. Thirteen percent of the 
Nation's sugarbeet acreage had been harvested by September 28, 
four percentage points ahead of last year but equal to the 5-year average. 
Idaho sugarbeets were 23 percent harvested by the end of the month, 
approximately 10 days ahead of the 5-year average pace.

Crop Comments

Corn: Acreage updates were made in several States following a thorough review 
of all available data. Total planted area at 90.9 million acres is down 
1 percent from the previous estimate. Acreage harvested for grain is forecast 
at 83.1 million acres, down 1 percent from the September forecast and down 
5 percent from 2013.

The September 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest number of ears 
on record for the combined 10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, 
Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and 
Wisconsin).

At 14.5 billion bushels, 2014 corn production is forecast to be the highest 
production on record for the United States. The forecasted yield, at 
174.2 bushels per acre, is also expected to be a new record high. Twenty-two 
States expect a record high corn yield for 2014.

No major weather events were reported in the Corn Belt during September. 
However this year's late maturing crop delayed harvest in the top 18 corn 
producing States. By September 7, sixty-nine percent of the corn crop was at 
or beyond the dent stage, 8 percentage points ahead of last year but 
5 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Seventy-four percent of the 
corn was reported in good to excellent condition, 20 percentage points better 
than the same time last year.

By September 14, twenty-seven percent of the corn crop was mature, 
7 percentage points ahead of last year but 12 percentage points behind the 
5-year average. Corn was 19 percent mature in Iowa, 25 percentage points 
behind the 5-year average. Nationally, 90 percent of the corn crop was at or 
beyond the dent stage by September 21, two percentage points behind the 
5-year average. At the same time, 7 percent of the corn was harvested, 
8 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Corn harvest progress was 
behind the state 5-year averages in all estimating states except Texas.

The corn crop ended the month with 60 percent of the crop mature, equal to 
the same time last year but 10 percentage points behind the 5-year average. 
Twelve percent of the corn crop was harvested by week's end, slightly ahead 
of last year but 11 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Overall, 
74 percent of the crop was reported to be in good to excellent condition, 
19 percentage points better than the same time last year.

Sorghum: Production is forecast at 404 million bushels, down 6 percent from 
last month but up 4 percent from last year. Acreage updates were made in 
several States following a thorough review of all available data. Planted 
area, at 7.21 million acres, is down 3 percent from the previous estimate and 
down 11 percent from last year. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 
6.17 million acres, down 4 percent from September 1 and down 5 percent from 
2013. Based on October 1 conditions, yield is forecast at 65.4 bushels per 
acre, down 1.8 bushels from last month but up 5.8 bushels from last year. 

As of September 28, fifty-nine percent of the sorghum crop was mature, 
7 percentage points ahead of last year and 5 percentage points ahead of the 
five-year average. Harvest progress had reached 32 percent at this time, 
4 percentage points behind last year and slightly behind the 5-year average. 
Fifty-seven percent of the crop was rated in good to excellent condition, 
compared with 54 percent last year at this time.

Rice: Production is forecast at 221 million cwt, up 1 percent from September 
and up 16 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 
2.91 million acres, unchanged from September but up 18 percent from last 
year. Based on conditions as of October 1, the average United States yield is 
forecast at 7,584 pounds per acre, up 83 pounds from the September forecast 
but 110 pounds below the 2013 average yield of 7,694 pounds per acre. A 
record high yield is expected in Texas.

By September 28, fifty-nine percent of the United States acreage was 
harvested, 3 percentage points ahead of the same time last year but 
3 percentage points behind the five-year average.

Soybeans: Acreage updates were made in several States based on a thorough 
review of all available data. Planted area, at 84.1 million acres, is down 
less than 1 percent from the previous estimate. Area for harvest is forecast 
at a record 83.4 million acres, down less than 1 percent from September but 
up 9 percent from 2013. 

The October objective yield data for the combined 11 major soybean-producing 
States (Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, 
Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, and South Dakota) indicate a higher pod count 
compared with last year as conditions have generally been more favorable 
across the Midwest. Compared with final counts for 2013, pod counts are up in 
seven of the eleven published States. The largest increase from 2013's final 
pod count is expected in Missouri, up 469 pods per 18 square feet. An 
increase of more than 200 pods per 18 square feet is expected in Arkansas and 
Illinois.

As of September 28, sixty-nine percent of the soybean crop was dropping 
leaves or beyond, 5 percentage points ahead of last year but 2 percentage 
points behind the 5-year average. At that time, progress was behind normal in 
12 of the 18 major States, with Kentucky and Minnesota more than 
10 percentage points behind normal. Harvest progress, at 10 percent complete, 
was equal to last year's pace but 7 percentage points behind normal. Harvest 
progress was more than 10 percentage points behind normal in Iowa, Minnesota, 
Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota.

As of September 28, seventy -two percent of the United States soybean crop 
was rated in good to excellent condition, 19 percentage points better than 
the same week in 2013. 

If realized, the forecasted yield will be a record high in Arkansas, 
Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, 
Pennsylvania, South Dakota, and Tennessee.

Sunflower: The first production forecast for 2014 is 2.45 billion pounds, up 
21 percent from 2013. Area planted, at 1.57 million acres, is down 8 percent 
from the June estimate and is down fractionally from last year. Sunflower 
growers expect to harvest 1.51 million acres, down 7 percent from June but up 
2 percent from the 2013 acreage. Despite the increase from last year, 
harvested area for the Nation is expected to be the third lowest since 1976. 
The October yield forecast, at 1,626 pounds per acre, is 248 pounds higher 
than last year's yield.

As of October 1, higher yields are expected in 7 of the 9 published States 
compared with last year, with only California and Minnesota expecting a 
decline in average yields. The forecasted production in North Dakota, the 
leading sunflower-producting State, is 1.10 billion pounds, up 81 percent 
from 2013 due to a combination of improved yields and increased acreage this 
year compared with last year when poor conditions hampered planting.  

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 4.98 billion pounds, up slightly from the 
September forecast and up 19 percent from last year's revised production of 
4.17 billion pounds. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.31 million 
acres, unchanged from September but 25 percent higher than 2013. Based on 
conditions as of October 1, the average yield for the United States is 
forecast at 3,812 pounds per acre, up 12 pounds from the September forecast 
but 189 pounds below the revised 2013 average yield of 4,001 pounds per acre. 

As of September 28, 12 percent of the 2014 peanut crop had been harvested, 
slightly ahead of the same time last year but 3 percentage points behind the 
five-year average. Fifty-six percent of the crop was rated in good to 
excellent condition on September 28, compared with 59 percent at the same 
time last year.

Canola: The first production forecast for 2014 is 2.52 billion pounds, up 
14 percent from 2013 and will be the largest production on record, if 
realized. Area planted, at 1.71 million acres, is down 2 percent from the 
June estimate but up 27 percent from last year. Canola farmers expect to 
harvest 1.55 million acres, down 7 percent from June but up 23 percent from 
2013. Harvested area for the Nation will be the second largest on record, if 
realized. The October yield forecast, at 1,622 pounds per acre, is 126 pounds 
below last year's yield but will be the fourth highest on record, if 
realized.

The yield in North Dakota, the largest canola-producing State, is forecast at 
1,800 pounds per acre, down 20 pounds from last year's yield. Planted area in 
North Dakota is estimated at 1.18 million acres, an increase of 29 percent 
from 2013. Generally beneficial spring weather allowed planting of the crop 
to progress well ahead of last year and slightly ahead of normal. Maturation 
of the crop was near normal through the growing season but harvest began 
slightly behind normal in mid-August.

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area is expected to total 9.7 million acres, 
unchanged from last month but up 32 percent from 2013. Pima harvested area, 
at 189,400 acres, was carried forward from last month.
 
As of September 28, forty-nine percent of the cotton acreage was rated in 
good to excellent condition, compared with 42 percent at this time last year. 
Sixty-four percent of the crop had open bolls by September 28, seven 
percentage points ahead of last year but 6 percentage points behind the 5-
year average. Ten percent of the crop had been harvested by September 28, 
three percentage points ahead of last year but 3 percentage points behind the 
5-year average.

Scattered showers persisted throughout much of September; however dry weather 
by the end of the month allowed producers to begin harvest in many areas. 
Record high yields are forecast in Arizona and Kansas.

Ginnings totaled 1,154,450 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 
486,400 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year.

Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures: Production of alfalfa and alfalfa mixture dry 
hay for 2014 is forecast at 64.5 million tons, up 1 percent from the August 
forecast and up 12 percent from 2013. Based on October 1 conditions, yield is 
expected to average 3.55 tons per acre, up 0.05 ton from August and up 
0.31 ton from last year. If realized, yield would be the highest on record. 
Harvested area is forecast at 18.2 million acres, unchanged from August, but 
up 2 percent from 2013. Arizona, Nebraska and Utah are expecting record high 
yields in 2014.

With the exception of the continuing drought in the far western United 
States, much of the growing season has been characterized by good moisture 
and cooler than average temperatures. This resulted in favorable conditions 
for most of the Nation's alfalfa hay crop.

Other hay: Production of other hay is forecast at 84.1 million tons, up 
9 percent from the August forecast and up 7 percent from 2013. Based on 
October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 2.13 tons per acre, up 
0.17 ton from August and up 0.19 ton from last year. If realized, yield would 
be a record high. Harvested area is forecast at 39.5 million acres, unchanged 
from August but down 3 percent from 2013.

Good August moisture, excluding the far western States, has many producers 
expecting improved yield and production over last year. Producers in Alabama, 
Colorado, Louisiana, North Dakota, and Wyoming are expecting record high 
yields in 2014.

Dry beans: United States dry edible bean production is forecast at 
29.0 million cwt for 2014, up 19 percent from last year. Planted area is 
estimated at 1.69 million acres, up 25 percent from 2013. Harvested area is 
forecast at 1.63 million acres, 24 percent above the previous year. The 
average United States yield is forecast at 1,787 pounds per acre, a decrease 
of 80 pounds from 2013. If realized, this yield will be the third highest on 
record, behind only the previous two seasons.

In North Dakota, planting was virtually complete by June 22, well ahead of 
last year but equal to the 5-year average. By October 5, dry bean harvest was 
62 percent complete, behind the 5-year average at 71 percent. Crop condition 
was rated mostly fair to good. In Michigan, September weather was favorable 
for dry bean harvest, which reached 61 percent complete by October 5, 
slightly behind the 5-year average of 65 percent. Nebraska's harvest was 
77 percent complete by October 5 with the crop mostly rated good to 
excellent. Harvest was wrapping up in Washington and Idaho by October 5 with 
96 percent and 84 percent harvested, respectively.

Tobacco: United States all tobacco production for 2014 is forecast at 
849 million pounds, up 17 percent from 2013. Area harvested is forecast at 
358,880 acres, 1 percent above last year. Average yield for 2014 is forecast 
at 2,365 pounds per acre, 331 pounds above 2013. 

Flue-cured tobacco production is expected to total 557 million pounds, up 
23 percent from the 2013 crop. North Carolina growers reported excellent 
growing conditions for this crop year despite having an initial delay in 
transplanting due to sporadic periods of rain.

Burley production is expected to total 211 million pounds, up 10 percent from 
last year. Kentucky and Tennessee growers reported that crop conditions 
improved and fieldwork activities resumed following variable weather 
conditions with random periods of rain earlier in the season.

Sugarbeets: Production of sugarbeets for the 2014 crop year is forecast at 
32.1 million tons, down 2 percent from last year. Producers expect to harvest 
1.15 million acres, down slightly from the previous forecast and down 
1 percent from 2013. Expected yield is forecast at 28.0 tons per acre, a 
decrease of 0.4 ton from last year. 

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2014 is forecast at 
29.3 million tons, down 5 percent from last year. Producers intend to harvest 
882,500 acres for sugar and seed during the 2014 crop year, down 28,300 acres 
from last year. Expected yield for sugar and seed is forecast at 33.2 tons 
per acre, down 0.6 ton from 2013. 

Grapefruit: The 2014-2015 United States grapefruit crop is forecast at 
1.03 million tons, down 2 percent from last season's final utilization. In 
Florida, fruit per tree is forecast to be down from the previous season. 
Projected droppage is expected to be above average.  

Lemons: The forecast for the 2014-2015 United States lemon crop is 
840,000 tons, up 1 percent from last season's final utilization. Demand 
remains strong in both Arizona and California. 

Tangelos: Florida's tangelo forecast is 900,000 boxes (41,000 tons), up 
2 percent from last season's final utilization. Projected fruit size is below 
average and projected droppage is above average. 

Tangerines and mandarins: The United States tangerine and mandarin crop is 
forecast at 782,000 tons, up 8 percent from last season's final utilization. 

Florida citrus: In the citrus producing areas, high temperatures for the 
month ranged from the mid to upper 90s. Despite generally heavy and 
widespread rainfall, abnormally dry conditions covered the western and a 
portion of the central citrus producing regions during most of September. 
Growers and caretakers were spraying, performing irrigation repair, and 
pushing trees.

California citrus: The harvest of Valencia oranges continued. Citrus groves 
were skirted and pruned for insect control. Tangelo and grapefruit harvests 
remained active. Lemon harvest continued, but slowed toward the end of 
September.

California noncitrus fruits and nuts: In Sutter County, prune harvest 
continued. Stone fruit was exported. Olives were maturing normally. 
Pomegranates and persimmons were nearing harvest at the end of the first week 
of September. The Clingstone peach harvest was completed at the end of the 
first week of September in Yuba County. Prune orchard cleanup continued, with 
some prune and peach orchards removed. Golden kiwi harvest continued. Late 
varieties of nectarines and peaches were harvested. Table and wine grape 
harvests were active. Some growers were still laying raisins while some were 
picked up during the second and third weeks of September. Almond and walnut 
orchards were harvested. Husk fly treatments were applied to walnut orchards. 
The pistachio harvest started and continued throughout the month with good 
quality reported.

Pecans: Production is forecast at 276 million pounds (utilized, in-shell 
basis), up 3 percent from 2013. Improved varieties are expected to produce 
233 million pounds or 85 percent of the total. The native and seedling 
varieties are expected to produce 42.6 million pounds, making up the 
remaining 15 percent of production.

Statistical Methodology

Field crop survey procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were 
conducted between September 24 and October 6 to gather information on 
expected yield as of October 1. The objective yield surveys for corn, cotton, 
and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually 
account for about 75 percent of the United States production. Randomly 
selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The counts made within 
each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all 
cases, plant counts are recorded along with other measurements that provide 
information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or pods and their weight. 
The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a 
projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to 
obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity 
when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has 
harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year 
harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use 
of mail, internet, and personal interviewers. Approximately 13,300 producers 
were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about probable 
yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing 
season to provide indications of average yields.

Orange survey procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the October 1 
forecast was conducted in Florida, which produced about 69 percent of the 
United States production last season. In August and September 2014, the 
number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In 
August and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage 
surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. 
California and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis 
in October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective 
measurement survey in September for Navel oranges and in March for Valencia 
oranges.

Field crop estimating procedures: National and State level objective yield 
and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency 
with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering 
weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous 
years. Each State Field Office submits their analysis of the current 
situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey 
data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecasts. 

Orange estimating procedures: State level objective yield estimates for 
Florida oranges were reviewed for errors, reasonableness, and consistency 
with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in California and 
Texas were also used for setting estimates. These three States submit their 
analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). 
The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published 
October 1 forecast.

Revision policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised; 
instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout the growing 
season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the 
marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, 
production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then 
made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant 
changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to 
revision in the August Crop Production report if conditions altered the 
planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be 
revised for cotton, peanuts, and rice in the September Crop Production report 
each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and oats only in the Small 
Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted 
crops in the October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will 
only be made when special survey data, administrative data, such as Farm 
Service Agency program "sign up" data, or remote sensing data are available. 
Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if 
there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since 
the last forecast. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in 
September's Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based 
on all data available at the end of the marketing season, including 
information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. 
Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1 
production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure 
based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the October 1 
production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of 
the final estimate. The average of the squared percentage deviations for the 
latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes 
statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be 
made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the 
final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's 
forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, 
the "Root Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production 
forecast is 1.9 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the 
current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by 
more than 1.9 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) 
that the difference will not exceed 3.3 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of 
the differences between the October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using 
corn again as an example, changes between the October 1 forecast and the 
final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 160 million bushels, 
ranging from 3 million bushels to 448 million bushels. The October 1 forecast 
has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 10 times. This does not 
imply that the October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or 
overstate final production.

Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts
[Based on data for the past twenty years]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :            :           :      Difference between forecast       
                              :            :           :           and final estimate           
                              :            :           :----------------------------------------
                              :            :90 percent :       Production       :     Years     
             Crop             : Root mean  :confidence :----------------------------------------
                              :square error: interval  :       :        :       : Below : Above 
                              :            :           :Average:Smallest:Largest: final : final 
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :    ---- percent ---       ------ millions -----      number     
                              :                                                                 
Corn for grain ........bushels:    1.9          3.3       160       3       448     9      10   
Dry edible beans ..........cwt:    3.3          5.7         1     (Z)         3    15       4   
Oranges 1/ ...............tons:    7.2         12.5       525       2     1,676     5      14   
  Oranges 1/ 2/ ..........tons:    4.8          8.4       379       2     1,101     5      11   
Rice ......................cwt:    1.8          3.1         3     (Z)         7    10       9   
Sorghum for grain .....bushels:    5.1          8.8        14     (Z)        33     8      11   
Soybeans for beans ....bushels:    2.3          4.0        55       8       173    11       8   
Upland cotton 1/ ........bales:    5.0          8.7       771      95     1,675    11       8   
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Z) Less than half of the unit shown.                                                           
1/  Quantity is in thousands of units.                                                          
2/  Excluding freeze and hurricane seasons.                                                     

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics 
Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov

Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch...................................................... (202) 720-2127

Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section.......................................... (202) 720-2127
     Brent Chittenden - Oats, Rye, Wheat.............................................. (202) 720-8068
     Angie Considine - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum............................... (202) 720-5944
     Tony Dahlman - Crop Weather, Barley.............................................. (202) 720-7621
     Chris Hawthorn - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet.................................... (202) 720-9526
     James Johanson - County Estimates, Hay........................................... (202) 690-8533
     Anthony Prillaman - Peanuts, Rice................................................ (202) 720-2127
     Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds............................. (202) 720-7369

Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section............... (202) 720-2127
     Vincent Davis - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries, Cherries.. (202) 720-2157
     Fred Granja - Apples, Apricots, Plums, Prunes, Tobacco .......................... (202) 720-9085
     LaKeya Jones - Citrus, Coffee, Grapes, Sugar Crops, Tropical Fruits.............. (202) 720-5412
     Greg Lemmons - Berries, Cranberries, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes ................... (202) 720-4285
     Dave Losh - Hops................................................................. (360) 709-2400     
     Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint,
          Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas, Dry Beans ................... (202) 720-3250
     Daphne Schauber - Floriculture, Maple Syrup, Nursery, Tree Nuts ................. (202) 720-4215

Access to NASS Reports

For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following 
ways:

 	All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web 
site: http://www.nass.usda.gov

 	Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-
mail subscription. To set-up this free subscription, visit 
http://www.nass.usda.gov and in the "Follow NASS" box under "Receive 
reports by Email," click on "National" or "State" to select the reports 
you would like to receive. 

For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural 
Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: 
nass@nass.usda.gov. 
  
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