Prospective Plantings ISSN: 1949-159X Released March 28, 2013, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Update Alert - March 28, 2013 Wyoming and United States sugarbeet area planted estimates for 2013 on pages 18, 24, and 26 were corrected. Corn Planted Acreage Up Slightly from 2012 Soybean Acreage Down Slightly All Wheat Acreage Up 1 Percent All Cotton Acreage Down 19 Percent Corn growers intend to plant 97.3 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2013, up slightly from last year and 6 percent higher than in 2011. If realized, this will represent the highest planted acreage in the United States since 1936 when an estimated 102 million acres were planted. Soybean planted area for 2013 is estimated at 77.1 million acres, down slightly from last year but the fourth highest on record, if realized. Compared with 2012, planted area is down across the Great Plains with the exception of North Dakota. Nebraska and Minnesota are expecting the largest declines compared with last year, while Illinois and North Dakota are expecting the largest increases. All wheat planted area for 2013 is estimated at 56.4 million acres, up 1 percent from 2012. The 2013 winter wheat planted area, at 42.0 million acres, is 2 percent above last year and up slightly from the previous estimate. Of this total, about 28.9 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 9.67 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 3.39 million acres are White Winter. Area planted to other spring wheat for 2013 is expected to total 12.7 million acres, up 3 percent from 2012. Of this total, about 12.1 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. The intended Durum planted area for 2013 is estimated at 1.75 million acres, down 18 percent from the previous year. All cotton planted area for 2013 is expected to total 10.0 million acres, 19 percent below last year. Upland area is expected to total 9.82 million acres, down 19 percent from 2012. American Pima area is expected to total 206,000 acres, down 14 percent from 2012. This report was approved on March 28, 2013. Acting Secretary of Agriculture Michael T. Scuse Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Hubert Hamer Contents Corn Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013.......................... 6 Corn and Soybean Planted Acreage - United States Chart........................... 7 Sorghum Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013....................... 7 Oat Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013........................... 8 Barley Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013........................ 9 All Wheat Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013..................... 10 Winter Wheat Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013.................. 11 Durum Wheat Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013................... 12 Other Spring Wheat Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013............ 12 All Hay Area Harvested - States and United States: 2011-2013..................... 13 Rice Area Planted by Class - States and United States: 2011-2013................. 14 Canola Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013........................ 14 Soybean Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013....................... 15 Peanut Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013........................ 15 Sunflower Area Planted by Type - States and United States: 2011-2013............. 16 Flaxseed Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013...................... 16 Cotton Area Planted by Type - States and United States: 2011-2013................ 17 Sugarbeet Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013..................... 18 Tobacco Area Harvested - States and United States: 2011-2013..................... 18 Tobacco Area Harvested by Class and Type - States and United States: 2011-2013... 19 Dry Edible Bean Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013............... 20 Chickpea (Garbanzo Bean) Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013...... 21 Lentil Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013........................ 22 Dry Edible Pea Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013................ 22 Austrian Winter Pea Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013........... 22 Spring Potato Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013................. 23 Sweet Potato Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013.................. 23 Crop Area Planted and Harvested - United States: 2012 and 2013 (Domestic Units).. 24 Crop Yield and Production - United States: 2012 and 2013 (Domestic Units)........ 25 Crop Area Planted and Harvested - United States: 2012 and 2013 (Metric Units).... 26 Crop Yield and Production - United States: 2012 and 2013 (Metric Units).......... 27 Winter Weather Summary .......................................................... 28 Crop Comments.................................................................... 29 Statistical Methodology.......................................................... 33 Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates................... 34 Information Contacts............................................................. 35 This page intentionally left blank. Corn Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Alabama ............: 270 310 330 106 Arizona ............: 60 75 85 113 Arkansas ...........: 560 710 1,000 141 California .........: 630 610 560 92 Colorado ...........: 1,500 1,420 1,250 88 Connecticut ........: 27 27 27 100 Delaware ...........: 190 185 180 97 Florida ............: 70 75 80 107 Georgia ............: 345 345 495 143 Idaho ..............: 350 360 380 106 : Illinois ...........: 12,600 12,800 12,200 95 Indiana ............: 5,900 6,250 6,100 98 Iowa ...............: 14,100 14,200 14,200 100 Kansas .............: 4,900 4,700 4,600 98 Kentucky ...........: 1,380 1,650 1,600 97 Louisiana ..........: 580 540 600 111 Maine ..............: 29 30 30 100 Maryland ...........: 500 495 470 95 Massachusetts ......: 17 16 16 100 Michigan ...........: 2,500 2,650 2,600 98 : Minnesota ..........: 8,100 8,750 9,000 103 Mississippi ........: 810 820 1,050 128 Missouri ...........: 3,300 3,600 3,400 94 Montana ............: 77 105 115 110 Nebraska ...........: 9,850 10,000 9,900 99 Nevada .............: 8 8 8 100 New Hampshire ......: 15 14 14 100 New Jersey .........: 90 95 100 105 New Mexico .........: 130 125 130 104 New York ...........: 1,100 1,170 1,200 103 : North Carolina .....: 870 860 890 103 North Dakota .......: 2,230 3,600 4,100 114 Ohio ...............: 3,400 3,900 3,950 101 Oklahoma ...........: 380 360 340 94 Oregon .............: 83 85 85 100 Pennsylvania .......: 1,420 1,460 1,480 101 Rhode Island .......: 2 1 1 100 South Carolina .....: 360 330 345 105 South Dakota .......: 5,200 6,150 5,900 96 Tennessee ..........: 790 1,040 970 93 : Texas ..............: 2,050 1,850 2,100 114 Utah ...............: 85 92 95 103 Vermont ............: 90 91 92 101 Virginia ...........: 490 510 520 102 Washington .........: 195 185 190 103 West Virginia ......: 48 51 49 96 Wisconsin ..........: 4,150 4,350 4,350 100 Wyoming ............: 105 105 105 100 : United States ......: 91,936 97,155 97,282 100 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Sorghum Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Arizona ............: 22 31 25 81 Arkansas ...........: 100 140 170 121 Colorado ...........: 220 245 330 135 Georgia ............: 50 55 65 118 Illinois ...........: 22 30 30 100 Kansas .............: 2,600 2,500 2,900 116 Louisiana ..........: 130 125 125 100 Mississippi ........: 52 48 45 94 Missouri ...........: 40 65 110 169 Nebraska ...........: 150 145 220 152 : New Mexico .........: 95 90 90 100 Oklahoma ...........: 300 270 280 104 South Dakota .......: 150 200 230 115 Texas ..............: 1,550 2,300 3,000 130 : United States ......: 5,481 6,244 7,620 122 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Oat Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 [Includes area planted in preceding fall] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Alabama ............: 45 60 50 83 Arkansas ...........: 15 12 11 92 California .........: 200 230 200 87 Colorado ...........: 45 55 65 118 Georgia ............: 60 60 60 100 Idaho ..............: 70 70 55 79 Illinois ...........: 30 30 40 133 Indiana ............: 15 15 15 100 Iowa ...............: 120 130 120 92 Kansas .............: 60 105 90 86 : Maine ..............: 28 29 32 110 Michigan ...........: 40 50 60 120 Minnesota ..........: 180 190 170 89 Missouri ...........: 15 20 25 125 Montana ............: 45 45 53 118 Nebraska ...........: 60 75 135 180 New York ...........: 55 70 85 121 North Carolina .....: 45 40 35 88 North Dakota .......: 170 200 260 130 Ohio ...............: 50 70 50 71 : Oklahoma ...........: 35 75 40 53 Oregon .............: 35 35 40 114 Pennsylvania .......: 90 100 80 80 South Carolina .....: 22 28 21 75 South Dakota .......: 120 160 190 119 Texas ..............: 550 500 600 120 Utah ...............: 35 30 35 117 Virginia ...........: 11 11 9 82 Washington .........: 10 15 20 133 Wisconsin ..........: 210 220 225 102 Wyoming ............: 30 30 30 100 : United States ......: 2,496 2,760 2,901 105 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Barley Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 [Includes area planted in preceding fall] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Arizona ............: 65 48 70 146 California .........: 100 120 90 75 Colorado ...........: 66 58 60 103 Delaware ...........: 35 38 33 87 Idaho ..............: 520 610 620 102 Kansas .............: 9 10 16 160 Maine ..............: 16 17 17 100 Maryland ...........: 50 60 65 108 Michigan ...........: 10 11 10 91 Minnesota ..........: 70 115 90 78 : Montana ............: 700 900 1,000 111 New York ...........: 10 10 15 150 North Carolina .....: 22 23 21 91 North Dakota .......: 400 1,060 950 90 Oregon .............: 38 56 60 107 Pennsylvania .......: 65 65 75 115 South Dakota .......: 25 34 30 88 Utah ...............: 35 44 40 91 Virginia ...........: 90 65 67 103 Washington .........: 125 185 185 100 Wisconsin ..........: 33 33 45 136 Wyoming ............: 75 75 75 100 : United States ......: 2,559 3,637 3,634 100 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. All Wheat Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 [Includes area planted in preceding fall] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Alabama ............: 220 220 260 118 Arizona ............: 87 115 76 66 Arkansas ...........: 620 550 710 129 California .........: 790 750 700 93 Colorado ...........: 2,345 2,363 2,217 94 Delaware ...........: 80 85 80 94 Florida ............: 12 20 23 115 Georgia ............: 250 290 400 138 Idaho ..............: 1,471 1,313 1,318 100 Illinois ...........: 800 660 830 126 : Indiana ............: 430 350 470 134 Iowa ...............: 22 18 40 222 Kansas .............: 8,800 9,500 9,300 98 Kentucky ...........: 540 580 680 117 Louisiana ..........: 240 285 240 84 Maryland ...........: 260 310 330 106 Michigan ...........: 700 570 590 104 Minnesota ..........: 1,580 1,390 1,400 101 Mississippi ........: 360 370 400 108 Missouri ...........: 790 790 1,100 139 : Montana ............: 5,100 5,770 5,480 95 Nebraska ...........: 1,520 1,380 1,450 105 Nevada .............: 23 26 28 108 New Jersey .........: 35 33 38 115 New Mexico .........: 435 450 420 93 New York ...........: 120 100 125 125 North Carolina .....: 700 830 960 116 North Dakota .......: 6,800 7,840 7,650 98 Ohio ...............: 880 500 630 126 Oklahoma ...........: 5,100 5,400 5,400 100 : Oregon .............: 990 885 890 101 Pennsylvania .......: 185 165 200 121 South Carolina .....: 190 235 240 102 South Dakota .......: 2,908 2,405 2,358 98 Tennessee ..........: 420 420 550 131 Texas ..............: 5,300 5,700 5,700 100 Utah ...............: 151 155 161 104 Virginia ...........: 270 280 290 104 Washington .........: 2,380 2,210 2,230 101 West Virginia ......: 10 8 11 138 Wisconsin ..........: 345 265 320 121 Wyoming ............: 150 150 145 97 : United States ......: 54,409 55,736 56,440 101 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings for 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Winter Wheat Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 [Includes area planted in preceding fall] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Alabama ............: 220 220 260 118 Arizona ............: 7 10 11 110 Arkansas ...........: 620 550 710 129 California .........: 670 610 610 100 Colorado ...........: 2,300 2,350 2,200 94 Delaware ...........: 80 85 80 94 Florida ............: 12 20 23 115 Georgia ............: 250 290 400 138 Idaho ..............: 820 780 780 100 Illinois ...........: 800 660 830 126 : Indiana ............: 430 350 470 134 Iowa ...............: 22 18 40 222 Kansas .............: 8,800 9,500 9,300 98 Kentucky ...........: 540 580 680 117 Louisiana ..........: 240 285 240 84 Maryland ...........: 260 310 330 106 Michigan ...........: 700 570 590 104 Minnesota ..........: 30 40 50 125 Mississippi ........: 360 370 400 108 Missouri ...........: 790 790 1,100 139 : Montana ............: 2,250 2,300 2,100 91 Nebraska ...........: 1,520 1,380 1,450 105 Nevada .............: 15 20 20 100 New Jersey .........: 35 33 38 115 New Mexico .........: 435 450 420 93 New York ...........: 120 100 125 125 North Carolina .....: 700 830 960 116 North Dakota .......: 400 750 350 47 Ohio ...............: 880 500 630 126 Oklahoma ...........: 5,100 5,400 5,400 100 : Oregon .............: 830 790 800 101 Pennsylvania .......: 185 165 200 121 South Carolina .....: 190 235 240 102 South Dakota .......: 1,650 1,320 1,250 95 Tennessee ..........: 420 420 550 131 Texas ..............: 5,300 5,700 5,700 100 Utah ...............: 130 140 145 104 Virginia ...........: 270 280 290 104 Washington .........: 1,760 1,700 1,740 102 West Virginia ......: 10 8 11 138 Wisconsin ..........: 345 265 320 121 Wyoming ............: 150 150 145 97 : United States ......: 40,646 41,324 41,988 102 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Durum Wheat Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 [Includes area planted in preceding fall in Arizona and California] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Arizona ............: 80 105 65 62 California .........: 120 140 90 64 Idaho ..............: 11 13 8 62 Montana ............: 400 520 480 92 North Dakota .......: 750 1,340 1,100 82 South Dakota .......: 8 5 8 160 : United States ......: 1,369 2,123 1,751 82 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Other Spring Wheat Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Colorado ...........: 45 13 17 131 Idaho ..............: 640 520 530 102 Minnesota ..........: 1,550 1,350 1,350 100 Montana ............: 2,450 2,950 2,900 98 Nevada .............: 8 6 8 133 North Dakota .......: 5,650 5,750 6,200 108 Oregon .............: 160 95 90 95 South Dakota .......: 1,250 1,080 1,100 102 Utah ...............: 21 15 16 107 Washington .........: 620 510 490 96 : United States ......: 12,394 12,289 12,701 103 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. All Hay Area Harvested - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Alabama ............: 800 860 850 99 Arizona ............: 285 295 290 98 Arkansas ...........: 1,400 1,450 1,490 103 California .........: 1,410 1,550 1,450 94 Colorado ...........: 1,620 1,460 1,410 97 Connecticut ........: 60 58 58 100 Delaware ...........: 15 16 18 113 Florida ............: 260 320 290 91 Georgia ............: 590 580 560 97 Idaho ..............: 1,350 1,340 1,330 99 : Illinois ...........: 540 580 600 103 Indiana ............: 670 630 630 100 Iowa ...............: 1,140 1,140 1,100 96 Kansas .............: 2,400 2,750 2,750 100 Kentucky ...........: 2,310 2,380 2,250 95 Louisiana ..........: 430 460 450 98 Maine ..............: 132 130 130 100 Maryland ...........: 220 205 200 98 Massachusetts ......: 74 69 69 100 Michigan ...........: 1,000 970 960 99 : Minnesota ..........: 1,830 1,750 1,720 98 Mississippi ........: 720 750 710 95 Missouri ...........: 3,750 3,660 3,800 104 Montana ............: 2,700 2,200 2,700 123 Nebraska ...........: 2,480 2,570 2,700 105 Nevada .............: 450 415 415 100 New Hampshire ......: 53 52 51 98 New Jersey .........: 105 105 105 100 New Mexico .........: 280 285 305 107 New York ...........: 1,340 1,560 1,550 99 : North Carolina .....: 775 662 640 97 North Dakota .......: 2,480 2,190 2,400 110 Ohio ...............: 1,120 1,100 1,000 91 Oklahoma ...........: 2,500 3,190 3,000 94 Oregon .............: 1,030 1,000 1,000 100 Pennsylvania .......: 1,450 1,420 1,420 100 Rhode Island .......: 9 8 8 100 South Carolina .....: 300 250 220 88 South Dakota .......: 3,550 3,100 3,100 100 Tennessee ..........: 1,880 1,765 1,625 92 : Texas ..............: 3,700 5,100 5,200 102 Utah ...............: 760 660 650 98 Vermont ............: 175 185 175 95 Virginia ...........: 1,370 1,305 1,200 92 Washington .........: 780 780 840 108 West Virginia ......: 640 630 620 98 Wisconsin ..........: 1,600 1,450 1,380 95 Wyoming ............: 1,120 875 1,000 114 : United States ......: 55,653 56,260 56,419 100 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended area harvested in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Rice Area Planted by Class - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted Class and State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Long grain : Arkansas ...........: 940 1,175 1,120 95 California .........: 7 6 5 83 Louisiana ..........: 375 375 400 107 Mississippi ........: 160 130 120 92 Missouri ...........: 137 176 158 90 Texas ..............: 175 132 130 98 : United States ......: 1,794 1,994 1,933 97 : Medium grain : Arkansas ...........: 255 115 105 91 California .........: 535 500 490 98 Louisiana ..........: 48 27 20 74 Missouri ...........: 6 4 2 50 Texas ..............: 7 3 5 167 : United States ......: 851 649 622 96 : Short grain : Arkansas ...........: 1 1 1 100 California 2/ ......: 43 55 55 100 : United States ......: 44 56 56 100 : All : Arkansas ...........: 1,196 1,291 1,226 95 California .........: 585 561 550 98 Louisiana ..........: 423 402 420 104 Mississippi ........: 160 130 120 92 Missouri ...........: 143 180 160 89 Texas ..............: 182 135 135 100 : United States ......: 2,689 2,699 2,611 97 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Includes sweet rice. Canola Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ----------------- percent : Idaho ..............: 19.0 38.0 45.0 118 Minnesota ..........: 29.0 31.0 21.0 68 Montana ............: 31.0 51.0 57.0 112 North Dakota .......: 860.0 1,460.0 1,230.0 84 Oklahoma ...........: 100.0 140.0 240.0 171 Oregon .............: 5.3 7.3 13.0 178 Washington .........: 10.5 15.0 25.0 167 : Other States 2/ ....: 16.7 22.7 22.7 100 : United States ......: 1,071.5 1,765.0 1,653.7 94 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Other States include Colorado and Kansas. The 2013 estimate is carried forward from 2012. First 2013 estimate for Other States will be published in "Acreage" released June 2013. Soybean Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Alabama ............: 300 340 410 121 Arkansas ...........: 3,330 3,200 3,250 102 Delaware ...........: 170 170 170 100 Florida ............: 18 21 25 119 Georgia ............: 155 220 280 127 Illinois ...........: 8,950 9,050 9,400 104 Indiana ............: 5,300 5,150 5,100 99 Iowa ...............: 9,350 9,350 9,400 101 Kansas .............: 4,000 4,000 3,900 98 Kentucky ...........: 1,490 1,480 1,500 101 : Louisiana ..........: 1,020 1,130 1,110 98 Maryland ...........: 470 480 480 100 Michigan ...........: 1,950 2,000 2,100 105 Minnesota ..........: 7,100 7,050 6,800 96 Mississippi ........: 1,830 1,970 1,950 99 Missouri ...........: 5,350 5,400 5,300 98 Nebraska ...........: 4,900 5,050 4,700 93 New Jersey .........: 88 96 90 94 New York ...........: 280 315 320 102 North Carolina .....: 1,380 1,590 1,580 99 : North Dakota .......: 4,000 4,750 4,900 103 Ohio ...............: 4,550 4,600 4,650 101 Oklahoma ...........: 440 420 410 98 Pennsylvania .......: 500 530 560 106 South Carolina .....: 370 380 370 97 South Dakota .......: 4,100 4,750 4,600 97 Tennessee ..........: 1,290 1,260 1,360 108 Texas ..............: 165 125 120 96 Virginia ...........: 560 590 570 97 West Virginia ......: 20 21 21 100 Wisconsin ..........: 1,620 1,710 1,700 99 : United States ......: 75,046 77,198 77,126 100 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Peanut Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ----------------- percent : Alabama ............: 170.0 220.0 150.0 68 Florida ............: 170.0 210.0 190.0 90 Georgia ............: 475.0 735.0 475.0 65 Mississippi ........: 15.0 52.0 22.0 42 New Mexico .........: 6.6 10.0 6.0 60 North Carolina .....: 82.0 107.0 80.0 75 Oklahoma ...........: 24.0 24.0 24.0 100 South Carolina .....: 77.0 110.0 90.0 82 Texas ..............: 105.0 150.0 140.0 93 Virginia ...........: 16.0 20.0 14.0 70 : United States ......: 1,140.6 1,638.0 1,191.0 73 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Sunflower Area Planted by Type - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Varietal type : Area planted and State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ----------------- percent : Oil : California .........: 40.0 48.0 50.0 104 Colorado ...........: 110.0 75.0 55.0 73 Kansas .............: 115.0 70.0 65.0 93 Minnesota ..........: 28.0 38.0 32.0 84 Nebraska ...........: 38.0 33.0 30.0 91 North Dakota .......: 510.0 770.0 540.0 70 Oklahoma ...........: 4.5 4.0 4.0 100 South Dakota .......: 415.0 580.0 580.0 100 Texas ..............: 29.0 40.0 43.0 108 : United States ......: 1,289.5 1,658.0 1,399.0 84 : Non-oil : California .........: 4.0 2.8 3.0 107 Colorado ...........: 18.0 11.0 12.0 109 Kansas .............: 19.0 17.0 27.0 159 Minnesota ..........: 12.0 11.0 13.0 118 Nebraska ...........: 21.0 8.5 13.0 153 North Dakota .......: 70.0 90.0 96.0 107 Oklahoma ...........: 0.5 0.7 1.0 143 South Dakota .......: 70.0 65.0 70.0 108 Texas ..............: 39.0 55.0 50.0 91 : United States ......: 253.5 261.0 285.0 109 : All : California .........: 44.0 50.8 53.0 104 Colorado ...........: 128.0 86.0 67.0 78 Kansas .............: 134.0 87.0 92.0 106 Minnesota ..........: 40.0 49.0 45.0 92 Nebraska ...........: 59.0 41.5 43.0 104 North Dakota .......: 580.0 860.0 636.0 74 Oklahoma ...........: 5.0 4.7 5.0 106 South Dakota .......: 485.0 645.0 650.0 101 Texas ..............: 68.0 95.0 93.0 98 : United States ......: 1,543.0 1,919.0 1,684.0 88 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Flaxseed Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- 1,000 acres --------------- percent : Minnesota ..........: 3 3 4 133 Montana ............: 17 18 11 61 North Dakota .......: 150 315 250 79 South Dakota .......: 8 8 7 88 : United States ......: 178 344 272 79 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Cotton Area Planted by Type - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted Type and State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------------ 1,000 acres ----------------- percent : Upland : Alabama ............: 460.0 380.0 360.0 95 Arizona ............: 250.0 200.0 160.0 80 Arkansas ...........: 680.0 595.0 270.0 45 California .........: 182.0 142.0 90.0 63 Florida ............: 122.0 108.0 115.0 106 Georgia ............: 1,600.0 1,290.0 1,300.0 101 Kansas .............: 80.0 56.0 40.0 71 Louisiana ..........: 295.0 230.0 170.0 74 Mississippi ........: 630.0 475.0 270.0 57 Missouri ...........: 375.0 350.0 270.0 77 : New Mexico .........: 70.0 46.0 30.0 65 North Carolina .....: 805.0 585.0 450.0 77 Oklahoma ...........: 415.0 305.0 160.0 52 South Carolina .....: 303.0 299.0 290.0 97 Tennessee ..........: 495.0 380.0 280.0 74 Texas ..............: 7,550.0 6,550.0 5,500.0 84 Virginia ...........: 116.0 86.0 65.0 76 : United States ......: 14,428.0 12,077.0 9,820.0 81 : American Pima : Arizona ............: 10.0 3.0 1.0 33 California .........: 274.0 225.0 190.0 84 New Mexico .........: 3.4 2.4 4.0 167 Texas ..............: 20.0 8.0 11.0 138 : United States ......: 307.4 238.4 206.0 86 : All : Alabama ............: 460.0 380.0 360.0 95 Arizona ............: 260.0 203.0 161.0 79 Arkansas ...........: 680.0 595.0 270.0 45 California .........: 456.0 367.0 280.0 76 Florida ............: 122.0 108.0 115.0 106 Georgia ............: 1,600.0 1,290.0 1,300.0 101 Kansas .............: 80.0 56.0 40.0 71 Louisiana ..........: 295.0 230.0 170.0 74 Mississippi ........: 630.0 475.0 270.0 57 Missouri ...........: 375.0 350.0 270.0 77 : New Mexico .........: 73.4 48.4 34.0 70 North Carolina .....: 805.0 585.0 450.0 77 Oklahoma ...........: 415.0 305.0 160.0 52 South Carolina .....: 303.0 299.0 290.0 97 Tennessee ..........: 495.0 380.0 280.0 74 Texas ..............: 7,570.0 6,558.0 5,511.0 84 Virginia ...........: 116.0 86.0 65.0 76 : United States ......: 14,735.4 12,315.4 10,026.0 81 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Sugarbeet Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 [Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except California] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ----------------- percent : California 2/ ......: 25.2 24.5 24.5 100 Colorado ...........: 29.4 31.2 29.1 93 Idaho ..............: 176.0 183.0 176.0 96 Michigan ...........: 153.0 154.0 154.0 100 Minnesota ..........: 479.0 475.0 460.0 97 Montana ............: 45.0 46.6 44.2 95 Nebraska ...........: 52.3 51.0 43.8 86 North Dakota .......: 231.0 222.0 230.0 104 Oregon .............: 10.9 11.0 10.5 95 Wyoming ............: 31.0 31.8 29.0 91 : United States ......: 1,232.8 1,230.1 1,201.1 98 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from processors. 2/ Relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central California and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern California. Tobacco Area Harvested - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : -------------------- acres -------------------- percent : Connecticut ........: 2,070 (D) (D) (X) Georgia ............: 11,900 10,000 11,000 110 Kentucky ...........: 77,500 87,200 91,500 105 Massachusetts ......: 570 (D) (D) (X) North Carolina .....: 162,300 166,100 172,100 104 Ohio ...............: 1,600 1,900 2,000 105 Pennsylvania .......: 9,700 9,600 8,900 93 South Carolina .....: 15,500 12,000 15,000 125 Tennessee ..........: 22,000 23,900 21,900 92 Virginia ...........: 21,900 23,080 24,180 105 : Other States 2/ ....: (X) 2,450 3,050 124 : United States ......: 325,040 336,230 349,630 104 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Intended area harvested in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Includes data withheld above. Tobacco Area Harvested by Class and Type - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : :previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : --------------- acres --------------- percent : Class 1, Flue-cured (11-14) : Georgia ................................: 11,900 10,000 11,000 110 North Carolina .........................: 160,000 164,000 170,000 104 South Carolina .........................: 15,500 12,000 15,000 125 Virginia ...............................: 19,500 20,000 22,000 110 : United States ..........................: 206,900 206,000 218,000 106 : Class 2, Fire-cured (21-23) : Kentucky ...............................: 9,100 9,000 9,500 106 Tennessee ..............................: 6,900 6,900 6,900 100 Virginia ...............................: 400 380 280 74 : United States ..........................: 16,400 16,280 16,680 102 : Class 3A, Light air-cured : Type 31, Burley : Kentucky .............................: 64,000 74,000 78,000 105 North Carolina .......................: 2,300 2,100 2,100 100 Ohio .................................: 1,600 1,900 2,000 105 Pennsylvania .........................: 5,000 4,700 5,100 109 Tennessee ............................: 14,000 16,000 14,000 88 Virginia .............................: 2,000 2,700 1,900 70 : United States ........................: 88,900 101,400 103,100 102 : Type 32, Southern Maryland : Pennsylvania .........................: 3,000 2,900 2,000 69 : Total light air-cured (31-32) ....... : 91,900 104,300 105,100 101 : Class 3B, Dark air-cured (35-37) : Kentucky ...............................: 4,400 4,200 4,000 95 Tennessee ..............................: 1,100 1,000 1,000 100 : United States ..........................: 5,500 5,200 5,000 96 : Class 4, Cigar filler : Pennsylvania .........................: 1,700 2,000 1,800 90 : Class 5, Cigar binder : Type 51, Connecticut Valley Broadleaf : Connecticut ..........................: 1,350 1,600 (D) (X) Massachusetts ........................: 440 300 (D) (X) : United States ........................: 1,790 1,900 (D) (X) : Class 6, Cigar wrapper : Type 61, Connecticut Valley Shade-grown : Connecticut ..........................: 720 (D) (D) (X) Massachusetts ........................: 130 (D) (D) (X) : United States ........................: 850 550 (D) (X) : Other cigar types (51-61) ........... : (X) (X) 3,050 (NA) : Total cigar types (41-61) ........... : 4,340 4,450 4,850 109 : All tobacco : United States ..........................: 325,040 336,230 349,630 104 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Intended area harvested in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Dry Edible Bean Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 [Excludes beans grown for garden seed] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ----------------- 1,000 acres ----------------- percent : Arizona ............: 8.5 13.5 12.0 89 California .........: 57.5 58.5 49.0 84 Colorado ...........: 38.0 50.0 40.0 80 Idaho ..............: 95.0 145.0 130.0 90 Kansas .............: 6.5 8.0 6.0 75 Michigan ...........: 170.0 200.0 190.0 95 Minnesota ..........: 140.0 160.0 150.0 94 Montana ............: 15.0 32.0 25.0 78 Nebraska ...........: 110.0 145.0 130.0 90 New Mexico .........: 12.5 9.8 10.0 102 : New York ...........: 12.0 10.0 8.0 80 North Dakota .......: 410.0 700.0 550.0 79 Oregon .............: 6.4 10.5 9.0 86 South Dakota .......: 10.2 13.0 13.0 100 Texas ..............: 9.0 22.0 19.0 86 Washington .........: 77.0 115.0 115.0 100 Wisconsin ..........: 5.3 5.2 5.0 96 Wyoming ............: 35.0 45.0 39.0 87 : United States ......: 1,217.9 1,742.5 1,500.0 86 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Chickpea (Garbanzo Bean) Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 [Chickpea acres included with dry bean acres] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted Size and State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Small chickpeas 2/ : Idaho ..................: 17.5 32.5 24.0 74 Montana ................: (D) (D) (D) (X) North Dakota ...........: 3.0 5.4 7.0 130 Oregon .................: - (D) (D) (X) South Dakota ...........: (D) (D) (D) (X) Washington .............: 8.0 15.0 20.0 133 : Other States 3/ ........: 8.4 16.6 16.0 96 : United States ..........: 36.9 69.5 67.0 96 : Large chickpeas 4/ : California .............: 10.5 11.1 10.8 97 Idaho ..................: 33.5 43.5 49.0 113 Montana ................: (D) (D) (D) (X) North Dakota ...........: 1.7 6.6 5.0 76 Oregon .................: 0.7 (D) (D) (X) South Dakota ...........: (D) (D) (D) (X) Washington .............: 48.0 64.5 70.0 109 : Other States 3/ ........: 4.5 12.7 12.5 98 : United States ..........: 98.9 138.4 147.3 106 : All chickpeas (Garbanzo): California .............: 10.5 11.1 10.8 97 Idaho ..................: 51.0 76.0 73.0 96 Montana ................: 9.0 23.0 21.0 91 North Dakota ...........: 4.7 12.0 12.0 100 Oregon .................: 0.7 1.8 2.5 139 South Dakota ...........: 3.9 4.5 5.0 111 Washington .............: 56.0 79.5 90.0 113 : United States ..........: 135.8 207.9 214.3 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Represents zero. (D) Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Chickpeas (or Garbanzo beans) smaller than 20/64 inches. 3/ Includes data withheld above. 4/ Chickpeas (or Garbanzo beans) larger than 20/64 inches. Lentil Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Idaho ..............: 28.0 33.0 20.0 61 Montana ............: 260.0 205.0 120.0 59 North Dakota .......: 80.0 160.0 140.0 88 Washington .........: 60.0 65.0 55.0 85 : United States ......: 428.0 463.0 335.0 72 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Dry Edible Pea Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Idaho ..............: 16.0 27.0 35.0 130 Montana ............: 190.0 315.0 425.0 135 North Dakota .......: 85.0 235.0 320.0 136 Oregon .............: 5.0 7.0 5.0 71 Washington .........: 66.0 65.0 65.0 100 : United States ......: 362.0 649.0 850.0 131 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Austrian Winter Pea Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres --------------- percent : Idaho ..............: 6.0 5.5 6.0 109 Montana ............: 10.0 11.0 10.0 91 Oregon .............: 2.0 2.5 3.0 120 : United States ......: 18.0 19.0 19.0 100 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Spring Potato Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Spring : Arizona ............: 3.8 4.0 4.0 100 California .........: 28.1 29.5 25.0 85 Florida ............: 36.4 37.0 30.9 84 Hastings area 2/ .: 23.4 23.5 (NA) (X) Other areas 2/ ...: 13.0 13.5 (NA) (X) North Carolina .....: 17.0 16.5 15.0 91 Texas 3/ ...........: 8.0 9.8 (NA) (X) : United States ......: 93.3 96.8 74.9 77 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. 2/ Estimates discontinued in 2013. 3/ Beginning in 2013, Spring estimates included in Summer total for Texas. Sweet Potato Area Planted - States and United States: 2011-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted State :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2011 : 2012 : 2013 1/ : Percent of : : : : previous year ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ---------------- 1,000 acres ---------------- percent : Alabama ............: 2.6 2.7 2.5 93 Arkansas ...........: 3.6 4.0 4.0 100 California .........: 18.5 18.0 18.0 100 Florida ............: 3.3 6.4 6.4 100 Louisiana ..........: 14.0 10.0 9.0 90 Mississippi ........: 24.0 24.0 22.0 92 New Jersey .........: 1.3 1.3 1.3 100 North Carolina .....: 65.0 63.0 58.0 92 Texas ..............: 1.3 1.1 1.1 100 : United States ......: 133.6 130.5 122.3 94 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Intended plantings in 2013 as indicated by reports from farmers. Crop Area Planted and Harvested - United States: 2012 and 2013 (Domestic Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2013 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 3,637 3,634 3,244 Corn for grain 1/ ..............: 97,155 97,282 87,375 Corn for silage ................: (NA) 7,379 Hay, all .......................: (NA) (NA) 56,260 56,419 Alfalfa ......................: (NA) 17,292 All other ....................: (NA) 38,968 Oats ...........................: 2,760 2,901 1,045 Proso millet ...................: 335 205 Rice ...........................: 2,699 2,611 2,678 Rye ............................: 1,300 248 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........: 6,244 7,620 4,955 Sorghum for silage .............: (NA) 363 Wheat, all .....................: 55,736 56,440 48,991 Winter .......................: 41,324 41,988 34,834 Durum ........................: 2,123 1,751 2,102 Other spring .................: 12,289 12,701 12,055 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 1,765.0 1,653.7 1,729.0 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) (X) Flaxseed .......................: 344 272 336 Mustard seed ...................: 51.1 49.7 Peanuts ........................: 1,638.0 1,191.0 1,608.0 Rapeseed .......................: 2.2 2.1 Safflower ......................: 169.8 160.1 Soybeans for beans .............: 77,198 77,126 76,104 Sunflower ......................: 1,919.0 1,684.0 1,841.0 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all ....................: 12,315.4 10,026.0 9,426.8 Upland .......................: 12,077.0 9,820.0 9,190.0 American Pima ................: 238.4 206.0 236.8 Sugarbeets .....................: 1,230.1 1,201.1 1,204.2 Sugarcane ......................: (NA) 896.0 Tobacco ........................: (NA) (NA) 336.2 349.6 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...........: 19.0 19.0 13.7 Dry edible beans ...............: 1,742.5 1,500.0 1,690.4 Dry edible peas ................: 649.0 850.0 621.0 Lentils ........................: 463.0 335.0 450.0 Wrinkled seed peas .............: (NA) (NA) : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ................: (NA) 6.1 Hops ...........................: (NA) 31.9 Peppermint oil .................: (NA) 76.0 Potatoes, all ..................: 1,148.3 1,132.7 Spring .......................: 96.8 74.9 94.6 Summer .......................: 49.8 48.5 Fall .........................: 1,001.7 989.6 Spearmint oil ..................: (NA) 20.0 Sweet potatoes .................: 130.5 122.3 126.6 Taro (Hawaii) 2/ ...............: (NA) 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acres. Crop Yield and Production - United States: 2012 and 2013 (Domestic Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2013 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per acre : Production Crop :---------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 ----- : Grains and hay : Barley ..........................bushels: 67.9 220,284 Corn for grain ..................bushels: 123.4 10,780,296 Corn for silage ....................tons: 15.4 113,450 Hay, all ...........................tons: 2.13 119,878 Alfalfa ..........................tons: 3.01 52,049 All other ........................tons: 1.74 67,829 Oats ............................bushels: 61.3 64,024 Proso millet ....................bushels: 15.1 3,090 Rice 1/ .............................cwt: 7,449 199,479 Rye .............................bushels: 28.0 6,944 Sorghum for grain ...............bushels: 49.8 246,932 Sorghum for silage .................tons: 11.4 4,135 Wheat, all ......................bushels: 46.3 2,269,117 Winter ........................bushels: 47.2 1,645,202 Durum .........................bushels: 39.0 81,956 Other spring ..................bushels: 45.0 541,959 : Oilseeds : Canola ...........................pounds: 1,416 2,447,410 Cottonseed .........................tons: (X) 5,759.0 Flaxseed ........................bushels: 17.1 5,762 Mustard seed .....................pounds: 602 29,930 Peanuts ..........................pounds: 4,192 6,741,400 Rapeseed .........................pounds: 2,205 4,630 Safflower ........................pounds: 1,121 179,424 Soybeans for beans ..............bushels: 39.6 3,014,998 Sunflower ........................pounds: 1,513 2,785,695 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all 1/ ....................bales: 866 17,009.9 Upland 1/ .......................bales: 849 16,250.0 American Pima 1/ ................bales: 1,540 759.9 Sugarbeets .........................tons: 29.3 35,236 Sugarcane ..........................tons: 35.9 32,179 Tobacco ..........................pounds: 2,268 762,441 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas 1/ .............cwt: 1,219 167 Dry edible beans 1/ .................cwt: 1,889 31,925 Dry edible peas 1/ ..................cwt: 1,751 10,872 Lentils 1/ ..........................cwt: 1,178 5,302 Wrinkled seed peas ..................cwt: (NA) 406 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ..................pounds: 1,180 7,200 Hops .............................pounds: 1,918 61,249.2 Peppermint oil ...................pounds: 87 6,605 Potatoes, all .......................cwt: 412 467,126 Spring ............................cwt: 283 26,736 Summer ............................cwt: 368 17,855 Fall ..............................cwt: 427 422,535 Spearmint oil ....................pounds: 120 2,390 Sweet potatoes ......................cwt: 209 26,482 Taro (Hawaii) ....................pounds: (NA) 3,400 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Yield in pounds. Crop Area Planted and Harvested - United States: 2012 and 2013 (Metric Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2013 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area planted : Area harvested Crop :----------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : hectares : Grains and hay : Barley .........................: 1,471,860 1,470,640 1,312,810 Corn for grain 1/ ..............:39,317,660 39,369,050 35,359,790 Corn for silage ................: (NA) 2,986,210 Hay, all 2/ ....................: (NA) (NA) 22,767,860 22,832,210 Alfalfa ......................: (NA) 6,997,900 All other ....................: (NA) 15,769,960 Oats ...........................: 1,116,940 1,174,010 422,900 Proso millet ...................: 135,570 82,960 Rice ...........................: 1,092,260 1,056,650 1,083,760 Rye ............................: 526,100 100,360 Sorghum for grain 1/ ...........: 2,526,880 3,083,740 2,005,240 Sorghum for silage .............: (NA) 146,900 Wheat, all 2/ ..................:22,555,800 22,840,700 19,826,170 Winter .......................:16,723,410 16,992,120 14,096,970 Durum ........................: 859,160 708,610 850,660 Other spring .................: 4,973,240 5,139,970 4,878,540 : Oilseeds : Canola .........................: 714,280 669,240 699,710 Cottonseed .....................: (X) (X) (X) Flaxseed .......................: 139,210 110,080 135,980 Mustard seed ...................: 20,680 20,110 Peanuts ........................: 662,880 481,990 650,740 Rapeseed .......................: 890 850 Safflower ......................: 68,720 64,790 Soybeans for beans .............:31,241,260 31,212,120 30,798,530 Sunflower ......................: 776,600 681,500 745,030 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops: Cotton, all 2/ .................: 4,983,920 4,057,420 3,814,930 Upland .......................: 4,887,440 3,974,060 3,719,100 American Pima ................: 96,480 83,370 95,830 Sugarbeets .....................: 497,810 486,070 487,330 Sugarcane ......................: (NA) 362,600 Tobacco ........................: (NA) (NA) 136,070 141,490 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...........: 7,690 7,690 5,540 Dry edible beans ...............: 705,170 607,040 684,090 Dry edible peas ................: 262,640 343,990 251,310 Lentils ........................: 187,370 135,570 182,110 Wrinkled seed peas .............: (NA) (NA) : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ................: (NA) 2,470 Hops ...........................: (NA) 12,920 Peppermint oil .................: (NA) 30,760 Potatoes, all 2/ ...............: 464,710 458,390 Spring .......................: 39,170 30,310 38,280 Summer .......................: 20,150 19,630 Fall .........................: 405,380 400,480 Spearmint oil ..................: (NA) 8,090 Sweet potatoes .................: 52,810 49,490 51,230 Taro (Hawaii) 3/ ...............: (NA) 160 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Area planted for all purposes. 2/ Total may not add due to rounding. 3/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. Crop Yield and Production - United States: 2012 and 2013 (Metric Units) [Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2013 crop year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Yield per hectare : Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 2012 : 2013 : 2012 : 2013 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : metric tons : Grains and hay : Barley .................................: 3.65 4,796,120 Corn for grain .........................: 7.74 273,832,130 Corn for silage ........................: 34.47 102,920,110 Hay, all 1/ ............................: 4.78 108,751,490 Alfalfa ..............................: 6.75 47,218,060 All other ............................: 3.90 61,533,430 Oats ...................................: 2.20 929,310 Proso millet ...........................: 0.84 70,080 Rice ...................................: 8.35 9,048,220 Rye ....................................: 1.76 176,390 Sorghum for grain ......................: 3.13 6,272,360 Sorghum for silage .....................: 25.54 3,751,210 Wheat, all 1/ ..........................: 3.11 61,755,240 Winter ...............................: 3.18 44,775,060 Durum ................................: 2.62 2,230,480 Other spring .........................: 3.02 14,749,710 : Oilseeds : Canola .................................: 1.59 1,110,130 Cottonseed .............................: (X) 5,224,480 Flaxseed ...............................: 1.08 146,360 Mustard seed ...........................: 0.67 13,580 Peanuts ................................: 4.70 3,057,850 Rapeseed ...............................: 2.47 2,100 Safflower ..............................: 1.26 81,390 Soybeans for beans .....................: 2.66 82,054,800 Sunflower ..............................: 1.70 1,263,570 : Cotton, tobacco, and sugar crops : Cotton, all 1/ .........................: 0.97 3,703,470 Upland ...............................: 0.95 3,538,020 American Pima ........................: 1.73 165,450 Sugarbeets .............................: 65.59 31,965,560 Sugarcane ..............................: 80.51 29,192,300 Tobacco ................................: 2.54 345,840 : Dry beans, peas, and lentils : Austrian winter peas ...................: 1.37 7,570 Dry edible beans .......................: 2.12 1,448,090 Dry edible peas ........................: 1.96 493,150 Lentils ................................: 1.32 240,490 Wrinkled seed peas .....................: (NA) 18,420 : Potatoes and miscellaneous : Coffee (Hawaii) ........................: 1.32 3,270 Hops ...................................: 2.15 27,780 Peppermint oil .........................: 0.10 3,000 Potatoes, all 1/ .......................: 46.22 21,188,480 Spring ...............................: 31.68 1,212,720 Summer ...............................: 41.26 809,890 Fall .................................: 47.86 19,165,870 Spearmint oil ..........................: 0.13 1,080 Sweet potatoes .........................: 23.45 1,201,200 Taro (Hawaii) ..........................: (NA) 1,540 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (NA) Not available. (X) Not applicable. 1/ Production may not add due to rounding. Winter Weather Summary Highlights: Generally mild weather from the Plains to the Atlantic Seaboard contrasted with colder-than-normal weather in the West. Relative to normal, February was the coldest month of the winter of 2012-13 for locations east of the Rocky Mountains. Frigid conditions in December and January eased somewhat across the Intermountain West toward the end of winter. Winter precipitation eradicated drought across much of the lower Southeast. Even as heavy rain triggered lowland flooding across the Deep South, including Florida's panhandle, showers largely bypassed Florida's citrus belt. As a result, producers across Florida's peninsula had to rely on irrigation as warm weather pushed citrus into an early bloom during February. Farther west, above-normal winter precipitation provided some limited relief to drought-stressed rangeland, pastures, and winter wheat on the Plains. Beneficial winter precipitation also fell across the upper Midwest; however, subsoil moisture shortages persisted across the Nation's midsection as producers prepared for spring planting. In contrast, drought was mostly eliminated before or during winter in the eastern Corn Belt. Elsewhere, the Western wet season got off to a good start, especially in December; however, unfavorably dry conditions developed as 2013 began and persisted through January and February. As a result, water-supply prospects - especially from California to the central and southern Rockies - dimmed by the end of winter. Historical Perspective: The winter of 2012-13 was overall warm and wet. The Nation's average temperature of 34.3 degrees Fahrenheit was 1.9 degrees above the long-term mean, while the average precipitation of 7.10 inches was 110 percent of normal. These numbers represented the 19th-warmest, 25th-wettest December to February during the 118-year period of record. Winter warmth was most prevalent east of the Rockies, while chilly conditions were the rule from California to the southern Rockies. State temperature rankings ranged from the 20th-coldest February in Utah to the fifth-warmest February in Delaware. Meanwhile, most of the eastern half of the United States experienced a wet winter, while pockets of dryness dotted the West. State rankings varied from the 21st-driest December to February period in California to the fourth-wettest winter in Alabama, Louisiana, and Michigan. Top-ten values for winter wetness were also noted in Georgia, Mississippi, Illinois, and Wisconsin. December: Despite occasional December precipitation across the Nation's midsection, hard red winter wheat conditions remained mostly steady or declined due to poor crop establishment and acute soil moisture shortages. In addition, drought intensified across southern portions of the Plains, especially from southern Texas into eastern Kansas. By December 30, the portion of the Plains' wheat rated in very poor to poor condition included 61 percent in Oklahoma, 49 percent in Nebraska, and 31 percent in Kansas. However, enough snow fell across the northern and central Plains to provide some degree of insulation from temperatures that locally and periodically fell to -10 degrees Fahrenheit or lower. In contrast, significant precipitation fell in much of the soft red winter wheat belt, particularly across the Ohio Valley. As a result, most of the wheat continued to thrive across the Mid-South and lower Midwest. By month's end, 70 percent of the Illinois wheat crop was rated good to excellent. In both the Ohio Valley and the upper Midwest, enough of December's precipitation fell in the frozen form to establish a substantial snow cover. Meanwhile, widespread precipitation also fell in much of the East, although rain was spotty across Florida. Some of the heaviest precipitation, relative to normal, fell across the Northeast and from the central Gulf Coast into the southern Appalachians. Elsewhere, much of the West experienced unsettled weather during December. Precipitation was especially heavy from northern California into the Intermountain West. For example, the average water content of the high-elevation Sierra Nevada snow pack increased by 10 inches during the month, reaching 14 inches (approximately 140 percent of normal) by the end of December. The Nation's winter agricultural regions escaped significant freezes during December, although there were several chilly mornings - particularly from December 19-21 - in California and the Desert Southwest. Florida's coldest morning, for the most part, occurred on December 23. Overall, December temperatures were highly variable in the West but mostly above normal across the eastern half of the Nation. Western temperatures were influenced by snow cover, mainly in parts of the Intermountain region. January: Despite sporadic January precipitation on the Plains, drought remained entrenched across the Nation's midsection. By month's end, at least half of the winter wheat was rated very poor to poor in Oklahoma (69 percent), South Dakota (66 percent), and Nebraska (50 percent). In Kansas, 39 percent of the winter wheat and 85 percent of the rangeland and pastures were rated very poor to poor on January 27. Precipitation was a little heavier on the northern Plains, where snow provided wheat with some protection from weather extremes. The southern Plains also received moisture from time to time, helping to offset the effects of mostly above-normal temperatures. In fact, above-normal monthly temperatures prevailed in nearly all areas from the Plains to the East Coast, despite a late-month cold outbreak that resulted in the coldest weather in 2 years in parts of the Midwest and Northeast. January readings averaged more than 5 degrees Fahrenheit above normal in much of the Southeast. In contrast, frigid weather blanketed the Intermountain region, while near- to below-normal temperatures covered the remainder of the West. Chilly weather that struck winter agricultural regions in California and Arizona at mid-month represented the area's most severe cold wave since a similarly timed event in mid-January 2007. Meanwhile, abundant January precipitation fell from the Mississippi Valley to the Appalachians, as well as in the Mid-Atlantic States. Lowland flooding affected several areas, primarily from the central Gulf Coast northeastward into the Ohio Valley. In contrast, very little moisture spilled across the mountains into New England or the southern Atlantic States. In the latter region, the combination of warm, dry conditions led to heavy irrigation demands in Florida's winter agricultural belt. Elsewhere, disappointingly dry weather accompanied generally cool conditions in the West. For example, the average water content of the high-elevation Sierra Nevada snow pack stood at 16 inches (about 90 percent of average) at month's end, compared to 14 inches (140 percent) on January 1. However, late-month storms provided some drought relief in the Southwest. February: For many areas east of the Rockies, particularly across the Midwestern and Mid-Atlantic States, February was the coldest month during the winter of 2012-13. Conversely, warmth continued across the Deep South, from southern Texas to Florida's peninsula, where some early planting activities and blooming were noted by the end of February. February precipitation highlights included heavy rain in the lower Southeast and several late-winter storms across the Plains and Midwest. Southeastern storms led to some record-high February precipitation totals and lowland flooding; however, rainfall largely bypassed Florida's peninsula, where producers continued to irrigate citrus and other crops. Across the Plains and Midwest, the highest-impact storms struck during the second half of the month, from February 20-22 and 25-27. Both late-month storms produced heavy, wind-driven snow in various parts of the central and southern Plains and Midwest, stressing livestock and disrupting travel, but providing beneficial topsoil moisture and insulation for drought-stressed rangeland, pastures, and winter wheat. Still, by late February, roughly one-third to two-thirds of the hard red winter wheat was rated very poor to poor - a list headed by South Dakota (66 percent very poor to poor), Oklahoma (54 percent), Nebraska (50 percent), Texas (45 percent), and Kansas (36 percent). Elsewhere, drier-than-normal weather dominated during February across southern Texas and nearly all areas west of the Rockies. In fact, disappointing amounts of precipitation fell across much of the West in January-February 2013, diminishing the prospects for spring and summer runoff and increasing water-supply concerns from California to the central and southern Rockies. By winter's end, the water content of the high-elevation Sierra Nevada snow pack stood at 16 inches, about two-thirds of normal for the end of February. Crop Comments Corn: Growers intend to plant 97.3 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2013, up slightly from last year and 6 percent higher than in 2011. Expected returns for corn are again historically high going into 2013. If realized, this will represent the highest planted acreage in the United States since 1936 when an estimated 102 million acres were planted. Record high corn acreage is expected in Arizona, Idaho, Minnesota, Nevada, North Dakota, and Oregon. Conversely, most States in the Corn Belt, which experienced severe drought in 2012, expect slightly less planted acreage. Sorghum: Growers intend to plant 7.62 million acres of sorghum for all purposes in 2013, up 22 percent from last year. Kansas and Texas are the leading sorghum States and account for 77 percent of the expected United States acreage. As of March 24, Texas growers had planted 33 percent of their crop, 3 percentage points ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. Oats: Area seeded to oats for the 2013 crop year is expected to total 2.90 million acres, up 5 percent from 2012. If realized, this will be the third lowest United States total on record. Record low acreage is expected in California, Idaho, Indiana, Minnesota, Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Wyoming. Barley: Producers intend to seed 3.63 million acres of barley for the 2013 crop year, down slightly from the previous year. If realized, this will be the fifth smallest seeded area on record. Record low acreage is expected in Michigan. Winter wheat: The 2013 winter wheat planted area is estimated at 42.0 million acres, up slightly from the Winter Wheat Seedings report. Acreage increases from the previous report were mainly in the Soft Red Winter growing States. Of the total acreage, about 28.9 million acres are Hard Red Winter, 9.67 million acres are Soft Red Winter, and 3.39 million acres are White Winter. Winter wheat conditions improved over the winter in much of the Hard Red Winter growing area. Increases from last year are estimated in most Soft Red Winter growing States with North Carolina producers planting a record high acreage. Durum wheat: Area seeded to Durum wheat for 2013 is expected to total 1.75 million acres, down 18 percent from 2012. Planted acreage is expected to be down in all States except South Dakota. If realized, planted acres will be a record low in Idaho. Other spring wheat: Growers intend to plant 12.7 million acres in 2013, up 3 percent from 2012. Of the total, about 12.1 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. The largest expected acreage increase from the previous year is in North Dakota. Rice: Area planted to rice in 2013 is expected to total 2.61 million acres, down 3 percent from 2012. Higher prices for competing commodities contributed to the expected decline in rice acres compared with last year. While short grain acres are expected to remain unchanged, long and medium grain acres are expected to be down 3 and 4 percent, respectively. Area planted to rice in Arkansas, the largest rice-producing State, is 5 percent below the previous year. In Mississippi, growers intend to plant 8 percent fewer acres to rice than in 2012. In Texas where drought conditions persist, a record low acreage is expected to be planted. Hay: Producers intend to harvest 56.4 million acres of all hay in 2013, up slightly from 2012. Hay acreage is expected to decline from last year across most of the eastern States, Southwest, and Great Lakes region. Record low acreage is expected across several New England States, as well as Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. In contrast, Arkansas is expecting record high acreage in 2013. Soybeans: Growers intend to plant an estimated 77.1 million acres in 2013, down slightly from last year but up 3 percent from 2011. Compared with last year, planted acreage intentions are down across all of the Great Plains, with the exception of North Dakota, as drought conditions have persisted in many of these areas. However, the net intended change from last year for the United States is only a loss of 72,000 acres as expected increases in planted area across most of the eastern Corn Belt and parts of the Southeast nearly balance out the declines in the Great Plains. If realized, the planted area in New York, North Dakota, and Pennsylvania will be the largest on record. Peanuts: Growers intend to plant 1.19 million acres in 2013, down 27 percent from the previous year. The expected decrease in planted area is largely driven by lower peanut prices and high supply. Last year growers increased peanut acres in many States due to higher prices. In Georgia, the largest peanut-producing State, expected planted area is down 35 percent from 2012. Sunflower: Growers intend to plant a total of 1.68 million acres in 2013, down 12 percent from last year. Planted area for the Nation will be the second lowest since 1976, if realized. Area intended for oil type varieties, at 1.40 million acres, is down 16 percent from 2012 and will be the second lowest planted area since 1990, if realized. The area intended for non-oil varieties, estimated at 285,000 acres, is up 9 percent from last year but will still be the third lowest planted area since 1987, if realized. If intentions are realized, planted area of sunflower in South Dakota will exceed the total in North Dakota for the first time since records began in both States. Canola: Producers intend to plant 1.65 million acres in 2013, down 6 percent from 2012. If realized, planted area in the United States will be the second largest on record. Compared with last year, planted area is expected to increase in five of the seven major canola-producing States, with acreage in Oklahoma, Oregon, and Washington expected to increase more than 50 percent from the previous year. However, producers in North Dakota, the leading canola State, intend to plant 1.23 million acres, down 230,000 acres from last year. Flaxseed: Producers intend to plant 272,000 acres of flaxseed in 2013, down 21 percent from 2012 but 53 percent more than was planted in 2011. Acreage in North Dakota, the largest flaxseed-producing State, is expected to decrease 21 percent from 2012. Cotton: Growers intend to plant 10.0 million acres in 2013, down 19 percent from last year. Upland area is expected to total 9.82 million acres, down 19 percent from 2012. American Pima area is expected to total 206,000 acres, down 14 percent from 2012. If realized, planted area in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, and Oklahoma will all be record lows. As of March 24, cotton planting in Texas was 3 percent complete, 5 percentage points behind last year and 2 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Sugarbeets: Area planted to sugarbeets for the 2013 crop year is expected to total 1.20 million acres, down 2 percent from the 1.23 million acres planted in 2012. Planted area is expected to decrease from the previous year in seven of the ten estimating States. Tobacco: United States all tobacco area for harvest in 2013 is estimated at 349,630 acres, up 4 percent from 2012. Increases in flue-cured, fire-cured, light air-cured, and cigar-types offset a decrease in dark-air cured. Flue-cured tobacco, at 218,000 acres, is 6 percent above 2012. Flue-cured tobacco accounts for 62 percent of this year's total tobacco acreage. Total light air-cured tobacco type area, at 105,100 acres, is up 1 percent from a year ago. Burley tobacco, at 103,100 acres, is 2 percent above last year. Fire-cured tobacco, at 16,680 acres, is up 2 percent from 2012. Dark air-cured tobacco, at 5,000 acres, is down 4 percent from last year. All cigar type tobacco harvested area, at 4,850 acres, is 9 percent above last year. Cigar filler is down 10 percent from last year. Spring potatoes: Planted area for spring potatoes is estimated at 74,900 acres for the 2013 season, down 23 percent from 2012. Beginning in 2013, Texas estimates for spring potatoes will be included in summer potatoes. Water availability is a concern for growers in California. In Florida, growers have been impacted by freezing temperatures that delayed plantings and damaged potatoes already in the ground. Growers reported having to replant acreage in some areas. Sweet potatoes: Planted area of sweet potatoes is estimated at 122,300 acres for the 2013 season, down 6 percent from last year. Water availability is a concern for growers in California. In Florida, acreage in some areas sustained minor damage due to freezing conditions. Planted acreage in Louisiana is expected to be the lowest on record. Dry beans: Growers intend to plant 1.50 million acres in 2013, down 14 percent from last year. Expected area planted for all chickpeas is 214,300 acres, up 3 percent from last season. Small chickpea area, at 67,000 acres, is 4 percent lower than 2012. Large chickpea area, at 147,300 acres, is expected to be 6 percent above last year. Planted area is expected to be lower than last year in 15 of the 18 States in the dry bean estimating program. In North Dakota, the largest producing State, planted area is expected to decrease by 150,000 acres, or 21 percent from a year ago. Lentils: Area planted for the 2013 crop year is expected to total 335,000 acres, down 28 percent from 2012. Prospective plantings are down in all four estimating program States. Montana's anticipated area is down 41 percent from 2012, while North Dakota growers expect to plant 12 percent fewer acres than a year ago. Dry edible peas: Area planted for the 2013 crop year is expected to total 850,000 acres, up 31 percent from 2012. Prospective plantings are up in Idaho, Montana, and North Dakota. Montana and North Dakota anticipated planted area is up 35 percent and 36 percent, respectively, from 2012. Austrian winter peas: Planted area is estimated at 19,000 acres, the same as last year. Growers in Idaho and Oregon intend to plant more acres this season, while Montana farmers anticipate lower plantings from a year ago. Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: The acreage estimates in this report are based primarily on surveys conducted during the first two weeks of March. The March Agricultural Survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of over 83,500 farm operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the United States have a chance to be selected. These operators were contacted by mail, internet, telephone, or personal interview to obtain information on crop acreage planned for the 2013 crop year. Estimating Procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. Each State Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National level and are reviewed at this level independently of each State's review. Acreage estimates were based on survey data and the historical relationship of official estimates to the survey data. Revision Policy: Acreage estimates in the Prospective Plantings report will not be revised. These estimates are intended to reflect grower intentions as of the survey period. New acreage estimates will be made based on surveys conducted in June when crop acreages have been established or planting intentions are firm. These new estimates will be published in the Acreage report scheduled for June 28, 2013. Winter wheat is an exception. Since winter wheat was seeded prior to the March survey, any changes in estimates in this report are considered revisions. The estimate of the harvested acreage of winter wheat will be published on May 10, 2013, along with the first production forecast of the crop year. Reliability: The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling and non sampling errors that are common to all surveys. Sampling errors represent the variability between estimates that would result if many different samples were surveyed at the same time. Sampling errors for major crops are generally between 1.0 and 3.0 percent, but they cannot be applied directly to the acreage published in this report to determine confidence intervals because the official estimates represent a composite of information from more than a single source. Non sampling errors cannot be measured directly. They may occur due to incorrect reporting and/or recording, data omissions or duplications, and errors in processing. To minimize non sampling errors, vigorous quality controls are used in the data collection process and all data are carefully reviewed for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of acreage estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviations between the acreage estimates in this report and the final estimates are expressed as a percentage of the final estimates. The average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20 year period is computed. The square root of the average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current estimates relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's estimates are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the corn planted estimate is 2.1 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current corn acreage estimate will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.1 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 3.6 percent. Also, shown in the following table is a 20 year record for selected crops of the difference between the Prospective Plantings planted acreage estimates and the final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the intentions estimates and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged 1.19 million acres, ranging from 32,000 acres to 3.84 million acres. The prospective plantings estimates have been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. This does not imply that the planted estimate this year is likely to understate or overstate the final estimate. Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates [Based on data for the past twenty years] --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Difference between forecast : : : and final estimate : : :---------------------------------------------------------------- : : 90 percent : Thousand acres : Years Crop : Root mean : confidence :---------------------------------------------------------------- : square error : interval : : : : Below : Above : : : Average : Smallest : Largest : final : final --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ percent ------ --------- 1,000 acres --------- ---- number --- : Barley .......................: 7.0 12.1 250 31 455 5 15 Corn for grain ...............: 2.1 3.6 1,194 32 3,844 8 12 Oats .........................: 6.2 10.7 211 4 660 2 18 Sorghum for grain ............: 9.4 16.3 660 31 2,471 11 9 Soybeans for beans ...........: 2.0 3.5 1,204 25 3,296 12 8 Upland cotton ................: 5.8 10.0 586 6 2,115 12 8 Wheat : Winter wheat ................: 1.5 2.6 538 52 1,415 6 14 Durum wheat .................: 17.8 30.8 220 15 996 14 6 Other spring ................: 6.0 10.4 688 12 2,543 9 11 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch............................................. (202) 720-2127 Anthony Prillaman, Head, Field Crops Section................................. (202) 720-2127 Brent Chittenden - Oats, Rye, Wheat..................................... (202) 720-8068 Angie Considine - Peanuts, Rice......................................... (202) 720-7688 Steve Maliszewski - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum.................... (202) 720-5944 Anthony Prillaman - Corn, Flaxseed, Proso Millet........................ (202) 720-2127 Julie Schmidt - Crop Weather, Barley, Hay............................... (202) 720-7621 Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds.................... (202) 720-7369 Jorge Garcia-Pratts, Head, Fruits, Vegetables and Special Crops Section...... (202) 720-2127 Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions, Strawberries.. (202) 720-2157 Fred Granja - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Plums, Prunes, Tobacco ....... (202) 720-4288 Chris Hawthorn - Citrus, Coffee, Grapes, Sugar Crops, Tropical Fruits... (202) 720-5412 Dave Losh - Hops........................................................ (360) 709-2400 Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears, Wrinkled Seed Peas, Dry Beans .......... (202) 720-3250 Daphne Schauber - Berries, Cranberries, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes ....... (202) 720-4285 Erika White - Floriculture, Maple Syrup, Nursery, Tree Nuts ............ (202) 720-4215 Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways: All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: http://www.nass.usda.gov Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e- mail subscription. 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