Cr Pr 2-4 (3-02)
Prospective
Plantings
National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA
Washington, D.C.
Released March 28, 2002, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.
For information on "Prospective Plantings" call (202) 720-2127, office
hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.
Corn Planted Acreage Up 4 Percent from 2001
Soybean Acreage Down 2 Percent
Corn growers intend to plant 79.0 million acres of corn for all purposes
in 2002, up 4 percent from 2001 but down 1 percent from 2000. Expected
acreage is up in many areas of the United States and in virtually all
areas of the Corn Belt. Compared to last year when producers had
problems getting their crops in due to persistent precipitation,
conditions so far this year have been cooperative and have increased
farmer's hopes of planting their corn crop on time. Farmers intend to
plant fewer corn acres than last year in Pennsylvania, Oklahoma, Kansas,
and Colorado because of concerns about dry conditions.
Soybean producers intend to plant 73.0 million acres, down 2 percent
from last year. Reduced soybean acreage was offset by an expected
increase in corn plantings in most areas. Crop rotations, farm bill
uncertainty, and price considerations were cited as primary reasons for
the reduced soybean acreage. Producers in Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana,
Mississippi, and Texas intend to shift from cotton to soybeans. Expected
acreage in North Dakota is up 450,000 acres from last year replacing
wheat acreage.
All wheat planted area is expected to total 59.0 million acres in 2002.
This is down 1 percent from 2001 and the lowest level since 1972. Area
planted to Durum wheat is intended to total 2.84 million acres, down 2
percent from 2001. The 2002 other spring wheat planted acreage is
estimated at 15.1 million acres, down 3 percent from last year. Of the
total, about 14.2 million acres are Hard Red Spring wheat. Winter wheat
planted area for the 2002 crop is 41.1 million acres, nearly identical
to the previous year's acreage. This is the lowest acres seeded to
winter wheat since 1971. Of the total, about 29.3 million acres are Hard
Red Winter, 8.4 million acres Soft Red Winter, and 3.4 million acres
White Winter.
All Cotton plantings for 2002 are expected to total 14.8 million acres,
6 percent below last year. Upland acreage is expected to total 14.5
million acres, down 7 percent from 2001. Producers from all upland
cotton producing States except for Kansas, Georgia, and Missouri intend
to decrease acreage from last year. American-Pima cotton growers intend
to increase their plantings to 274,500 acres, up 5 percent from 2001.
The increase is in California, where producers are intending to plant
15,000 acres more than last year.
This report was approved on March 28, 2002.
Acting Secretary of
Agriculture
Keith J. Collins
Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson
Frederic A. Vogel
Index
Page
Crop Comments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Reliability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
Weather Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
Barley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7
Beans, Dry Edible. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Canola . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Corn . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4
Biotechnology Varieties. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
Biotechnology Varieties. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Hay. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Oats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6
Peanuts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Sorghum. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5
Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Biotechnology Varieties. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Sunflowers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Sweet potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Tobacco. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Wheat, All . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8
Durum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Other Spring. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Winter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9
Corn: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :-------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent
:
AL : 230 180 195 108
AZ : 56 55 60 109
AR : 180 190 300 158
CA : 540 480 500 104
CO : 1,350 1,220 1,150 94
CT : 36 32 30 94
DE : 165 170 180 106
FL : 85 65 65 100
GA : 360 265 330 125
ID : 195 175 175 100
IL : 11,200 11,000 11,300 103
IN : 5,700 5,800 6,000 103
IA : 12,300 11,700 12,000 103
KS : 3,450 3,450 3,300 96
KY : 1,330 1,200 1,270 106
LA : 380 315 570 181
ME : 29 28 28 100
MD : 480 490 500 102
MA : 25 22 22 100
MI : 2,200 2,200 2,300 105
MN : 7,200 6,800 7,000 103
MS : 390 400 550 138
MO : 2,850 2,700 2,800 104
MT : 60 65 65 100
NE : 8,500 8,100 8,400 104
NV : 4 3 3 100
NH : 15 15 15 100
NJ : 90 80 86 108
NM : 150 130 140 108
NY : 980 1,030 1,070 104
NC : 730 700 770 110
ND : 1,080 880 1,200 136
OH : 3,550 3,400 3,550 104
OK : 270 250 210 84
OR : 55 45 46 102
PA : 1,550 1,500 1,450 97
RI : 2 2 2 100
SC : 310 260 290 112
SD : 4,300 3,800 4,000 105
TN : 650 680 690 101
TX : 2,100 1,600 1,900 119
UT : 64 60 60 100
VT : 90 90 95 106
VA : 470 470 510 109
WA : 155 115 125 109
WV : 55 50 55 110
WI : 3,500 3,400 3,600 106
WY : 90 90 90 100
:
US : 79,551 75,752 79,047 104
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Sorghum: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :-------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent
:
AL : 10 12 12 100
AZ : 16 12 13 108
AR : 150 175 250 143
CA : 12 10 12 120
CO : 280 310 250 81
DE : 3 2 2 100
GA : 55 50 55 110
IL : 90 80 70 88
KS : 3,500 4,000 3,800 95
KY : 11 11 12 109
LA : 220 230 220 96
MD : 10 9 7 78
MS : 90 90 80 89
MO : 280 230 210 91
NE : 600 550 400 73
NM : 165 170 150 88
NC : 18 15 15 100
OK : 450 500 450 90
PA : 13 11 15 136
SC : 9 8 10 125
SD : 180 240 240 100
TN : 25 30 35 117
TX : 3,000 3,500 2,700 77
VA : 8 7 7 100
:
US : 9,195 10,252 9,015 88
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Oats: Area Planted and Harvested by State
and United States, 2000-2002 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted : Area Harvested
State:--------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 :2002 2/ :2002/2001: 2000 : 2001 :2002 2/ :2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ----- 1,000 Acres ----- Percent -------- Acres -------- Percent
:
CA : 220 260 330 127 25 15 35 233
CO : 80 80 85 106 35 32 35 109
GA : 70 100 80 80 35 35 30 86
ID : 80 130 120 92 20 20 20 100
IL : 75 60 65 108 55 40 45 113
IN : 40 25 25 100 25 16 20 125
IA : 270 240 250 104 180 130 150 115
KS : 110 100 160 160 50 40 60 150
ME : 32 33 34 103 30 31 32 103
MI : 95 70 95 136 75 55 80 145
MN : 400 300 360 120 310 210 280 133
MO : 50 40 40 100 30 20 22 110
MT : 130 130 135 104 50 60 65 108
NE : 130 155 175 113 45 60 80 133
NY : 80 95 95 100 60 80 75 94
NC : 60 60 75 125 30 30 35 117
ND : 600 575 700 122 315 240 430 179
OH : 110 100 110 110 90 85 90 106
OK : 60 55 100 182 15 10 40 400
OR : 50 55 50 91 25 25 25 100
PA : 175 150 145 97 145 115 115 100
SC : 60 50 50 100 35 25 35 140
SD : 350 350 420 120 220 130 260 200
TX : 600 725 900 124 100 160 180 113
UT : 50 60 60 100 7 6 15 250
WA : 35 30 30 100 15 12 10 83
WI : 400 300 380 127 280 195 240 123
WY : 65 75 60 80 27 28 27 96
:
US : 4,477 4,403 5,129 116 2,329 1,905 2,531 133
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall.
2/ Intended area planted and to be planted and area to be harvested for
grain in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Barley: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :-------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 2/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent
:
AZ : 40 42 40 95
CA : 130 160 110 69
CO : 110 90 100 111
DE : 30 29 26 90
ID : 750 700 690 99
KS : 8 9 10 111
KY : 9 9 9 100
ME : 25 27 30 111
MD : 55 55 55 100
MI : 20 21 21 100
MN : 270 160 210 131
MT : 1,250 1,100 1,250 114
NE : 7 5 5 100
NV : 4 4 5 125
NJ : 5 5 5 100
NY : 12 15 19 127
NC : 30 28 31 111
ND : 1,900 1,500 1,500 100
OH : 14 6 7 117
OR : 150 110 100 91
PA : 80 70 65 93
SD : 115 90 90 100
UT : 95 85 75 88
VA : 85 70 75 107
WA : 500 430 400 93
WI : 65 47 50 106
WY : 105 100 100 100
:
US : 5,864 4,967 5,078 102
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall.
2/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
All Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 2/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent
:
AL : 140 170 150 88
AZ : 92 94 96 102
AR : 1,180 1,100 1,000 91
CA : 635 615 625 102
CO : 2,548 2,397 2,375 99
DE : 65 60 60 100
FL : 13 10 9 90
GA : 300 300 350 117
ID : 1,370 1,280 1,250 98
IL : 950 750 680 91
IN : 550 400 350 88
IA : 20 25 20 80
KS : 9,800 9,800 9,400 96
KY : 670 550 550 100
LA : 200 175 180 103
MD : 220 190 195 103
MI : 530 570 470 82
MN : 2,022 1,867 2,027 109
MS : 250 250 220 88
MO : 1,050 900 940 104
MT : 5,330 5,360 5,430 101
NE : 1,750 1,750 1,700 97
NV : 18 15 15 100
NJ : 40 31 41 132
NM : 470 500 490 98
NY : 150 125 140 112
NC : 720 680 650 96
ND : 10,170 9,450 8,580 91
OH : 1,120 950 870 92
OK : 6,100 5,600 5,800 104
OR : 935 930 980 105
PA : 200 170 190 112
SC : 200 220 200 91
SD : 3,020 3,025 2,975 98
TN : 550 500 430 86
TX : 6,000 5,600 6,400 114
UT : 173 160 158 99
VA : 240 200 230 115
WA : 2,475 2,490 2,420 97
WV : 13 12 12 100
WI : 149 178 187 105
WY : 201 168 159 95
:
US : 62,629 59,617 59,004 99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall.
2/ Intended planting for 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Winter Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent
:
AL : 140 170 150 88
AZ : 7 6 6 100
AR : 1,180 1,100 1,000 91
CA : 535 530 530 100
CO : 2,500 2,350 2,350 100
DE : 65 60 60 100
FL : 13 10 9 90
GA : 300 300 350 117
ID : 780 760 730 96
IL : 950 750 680 91
IN : 550 400 350 88
IA : 20 25 20 80
KS : 9,800 9,800 9,400 96
KY : 670 550 550 100
LA : 200 175 180 103
MD : 220 190 195 103
MI : 530 570 470 82
MN : 20 15 25 167
MS : 250 250 220 88
MO : 1,050 900 940 104
MT : 1,500 1,300 1,400 108
NE : 1,750 1,750 1,700 97
NV : 10 9 8 89
NJ : 40 31 41 132
NM : 470 500 490 98
NY : 150 125 140 112
NC : 720 680 650 96
ND : 120 150 80 53
OH : 1,120 950 870 92
OK : 6,100 5,600 5,800 104
OR : 750 750 800 107
PA : 200 170 190 112
SC : 200 220 200 91
SD : 1,350 1,300 1,150 88
TN : 550 500 430 86
TX : 6,000 5,600 6,400 114
UT : 150 140 140 100
VA : 240 200 230 115
WA : 1,850 1,850 1,800 97
WV : 13 12 12 100
WI : 140 170 180 106
WY : 190 160 150 94
:
US : 43,393 41,078 41,076 100
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall.
Durum Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 2/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent
:
AZ : 85 88 90 102
CA : 100 85 95 112
MN : 2 2 2 100
MT : 480 510 530 104
ND : 3,250 2,200 2,100 95
SD : 20 25 25 100
:
US : 3,937 2,910 2,842 98
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall in AZ and CA.
2/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Other Spring Wheat: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent
:
CO : 48 47 25 53
ID : 590 520 520 100
MN : 2,000 1,850 2,000 108
MT : 3,350 3,550 3,500 99
NV : 8 6 7 117
ND : 6,800 7,100 6,400 90
OR : 185 180 180 100
SD : 1,650 1,700 1,800 106
UT : 23 20 18 90
WA : 625 640 620 97
WI : 9 8 7 88
WY : 11 8 9 113
:
US : 15,299 15,629 15,086 97
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Rice: Area Planted by Class, State,
and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Class : Area Planted
and :-------------------------------------------------------------------
State : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent
:
Long Grain :
AR : 1,138 1,480 1,500 101
CA : 9 13 10 77
LA : 460 540 515 95
MS : 220 255 260 102
MO : 169 210 215 102
TX : 210 216 190 88
:
US : 2,206 2,714 2,690 99
:
Medium Grain:
AR : 280 150 150 100
CA : 507 435 455 105
LA : 25 8 5 63
MO : 1 1 1 100
TX : 5 1 1 100
:
US : 818 595 612 103
:
Short Grain :
AR : 2 1 1 100
CA : 34 25 20 80
:
US : 36 26 21 81
:
All :
AR : 1,420 1,631 1,651 101
CA : 550 473 485 103
LA : 485 548 520 95
MS : 220 255 260 102
MO : 170 211 216 102
TX : 215 217 191 88
:
US : 3,060 3,335 3,323 100
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
All Hay: Area Harvested by State and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Harvested
State :-------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: -------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent
:
AL : 720 920 830 90
AZ : 247 258 260 101
AR : 1,250 1,320 1,320 100
CA : 1,530 1,540 1,640 106
CO : 1,400 1,600 1,550 97
CT : 65 63 65 103
DE : 17 17 15 88
FL : 270 270 280 104
GA : 650 650 650 100
ID : 1,390 1,420 1,450 102
IL : 850 800 800 100
IN : 750 610 580 95
IA : 1,700 1,650 1,700 103
KS : 2,800 3,300 3,200 97
KY : 2,450 2,350 2,350 100
LA : 350 450 420 93
ME : 132 130 120 92
MD : 235 225 235 104
MA : 96 98 100 102
MI : 1,300 1,150 1,150 100
MN : 2,250 2,150 2,200 102
MS : 800 780 800 103
MO : 3,720 4,050 4,200 104
MT : 2,000 2,450 2,200 90
NE : 3,050 3,250 3,200 98
NV : 490 495 485 98
NH : 58 57 55 96
NJ : 130 120 110 92
NM : 380 380 400 105
NY : 1,520 1,660 1,700 102
NC : 710 710 730 103
ND : 2,450 2,700 2,600 96
OH : 1,400 1,520 1,450 95
OK : 2,430 2,540 2,500 98
OR : 1,080 1,025 1,160 113
PA : 1,800 1,650 1,700 103
RI : 9 8 8 100
SC : 300 320 310 97
SD : 4,050 4,700 4,700 100
TN : 2,035 2,135 2,100 98
TX : 4,120 5,230 5,600 107
UT : 700 710 720 101
VT : 230 240 240 100
VA : 1,320 1,310 1,290 98
WA : 780 790 830 105
WV : 600 580 590 102
WI : 2,100 2,000 2,000 100
WY : 1,140 1,130 1,150 102
:
US : 59,854 63,511 63,743 100
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended area harvested in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Soybeans: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :-------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: -------------- 1,000 Acres ------------- Percent
:
AL : 190 140 170 121
AR : 3,350 2,900 2,850 98
DE : 215 205 195 95
FL : 20 10 10 100
GA : 170 165 200 121
IL : 10,500 10,700 10,500 98
IN : 5,500 5,600 5,400 96
IA : 10,700 11,000 10,800 98
KS : 2,950 2,850 2,800 98
KY : 1,180 1,240 1,170 94
LA : 930 640 650 102
MD : 520 520 525 101
MI : 2,050 2,150 2,150 100
MN : 7,300 7,300 7,200 99
MS : 1,700 1,160 1,250 108
MO : 5,150 4,950 4,750 96
NE : 4,650 4,950 4,900 99
NJ : 100 103 98 95
NY : 135 160 155 97
NC : 1,400 1,380 1,350 98
ND : 1,900 2,150 2,600 121
OH : 4,450 4,600 4,450 97
OK : 440 415 300 72
PA : 390 410 415 101
SC : 450 450 460 102
SD : 4,400 4,500 4,150 92
TN : 1,180 1,080 1,080 100
TX : 290 260 320 123
VA : 490 500 500 100
WV : 16 17 18 106
WI : 1,550 1,600 1,550 97
:
US : 74,266 74,105 72,966 98
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Peanuts: Area Planted by State
and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 1/ : 2002 2/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: --------------- 1,000 Acres --------------- Percent
:
AL : 190.0 200.0 190.0 95
FL : 94.0 91.0 90.0 99
GA : 494.0 515.0 500.0 97
NM : 27.3 23.0 23.0 100
NC : 123.0 123.0 122.0 99
OK : 97.0 80.0 80.0 100
SC : 10.5 11.0 11.0 100
TX : 425.0 425.0 375.0 88
VA : 76.0 75.0 74.0 99
:
US : 1,536.8 1,543.0 1,465.0 95
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Any revisions for the 2001 crop will be released in "Crop Production"
published on April 10, 2002.
2/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Sunflowers: Area Planted by Type, State,
and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Varietal : Area Planted
Type and :---------------------------------------------------------------
State : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ Percent
:
Oil :
CO : 150 130 120 92
KS : 230 300 250 83
MN : 55 30 50 167
NE : 55 52 55 106
ND : 1,010 870 1,000 115
SD : 680 670 550 82
TX : 15 35 20 57
:
Oth Sts 2/3/ : 53 52 52 100
:
US : 2,248 2,139 2,097 98
:
Non-Oil :
CO : 70 65 50 77
KS : 20 35 25 71
MN : 40 30 35 117
NE : 35 30 25 83
ND : 320 220 160 73
SD : 40 45 50 111
TX : 45 73 35 48
:
Oth Sts 2/3/ : 22 16 16 100
:
US : 592 514 396 77
:
All :
CO : 220 195 170 87
KS : 250 335 275 82
MN : 95 60 85 142
NE : 90 82 80 98
ND : 1,330 1,090 1,160 106
SD : 720 715 600 84
TX : 60 108 55 51
:
Oth Sts 2/3/ : 75 68 68 100
:
US : 2,840 2,653 2,493 94
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
2/ 2002 estimates carried forward from 2001. First 2002 estimate will be
published in "Acreage" on June 28, 2002.
3/ Other States include CA, GA, IL, LA, MI, MO, MT, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC,
UT, WA, WI, and WY.
Canola: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :---------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ Percent
:
MN : 140 80 115 144
ND : 1,270 1,300 1,320 102
:
Oth Sts 2/3/ : 145 114 114 100
:
US : 1,555 1,494 1,549 104
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
2/ 2002 estimates carried forward from 2001. First 2002 estimate will be
published in "Acreage" on June 28, 2002.
3/ Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, ID, IN, KS, MI, MT, NY, OR, PA, SC,
SD, and WA.
Cotton: Area Planted by Type, State,
and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Type : Area Planted
and :-------------------------------------------------------------------
State : 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: --------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent
:
Upland :
AL : 590.0 610.0 600.0 98
AZ : 280.0 295.0 260.0 88
AR : 960.0 1,080.0 970.0 90
CA : 775.0 640.0 590.0 92
FL : 130.0 125.0 110.0 88
GA : 1,500.0 1,500.0 1,500.0 100
KS : 40.0 42.0 68.0 162
LA : 710.0 870.0 660.0 76
MS : 1,300.0 1,620.0 1,400.0 86
MO : 400.0 405.0 405.0 100
NM : 72.0 75.0 55.0 73
NC : 930.0 970.0 950.0 98
OK : 280.0 270.0 260.0 96
SC : 300.0 300.0 290.0 97
TN : 570.0 620.0 580.0 94
TX : 6,400.0 6,000.0 5,700.0 95
VA : 110.0 105.0 98.0 93
:
US : 15,347.0 15,527.0 14,496.0 93
:
Amer-Pima :
AZ : 5.0 7.8 7.5 96
CA : 145.0 230.0 245.0 107
NM : 4.2 6.0 6.0 100
TX : 16.0 17.0 16.0 94
:
US : 170.2 260.8 274.5 105
:
All :
AL : 590.0 610.0 600.0 98
AZ : 285.0 302.8 267.5 88
AR : 960.0 1,080.0 970.0 90
CA : 920.0 870.0 835.0 96
FL : 130.0 125.0 110.0 88
GA : 1,500.0 1,500.0 1,500.0 100
KS : 40.0 42.0 68.0 162
LA : 710.0 870.0 660.0 76
MS : 1,300.0 1,620.0 1,400.0 86
MO : 400.0 405.0 405.0 100
NM : 76.2 81.0 61.0 75
NC : 930.0 970.0 950.0 98
OK : 280.0 270.0 260.0 96
SC : 300.0 300.0 290.0 97
TN : 570.0 620.0 580.0 94
TX : 6,416.0 6,017.0 5,716.0 95
VA : 110.0 105.0 98.0 93
:
US : 15,517.2 15,787.8 14,770.5 94
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Sugarbeets: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :-------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 2/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent
:
CA : 98.0 46.8 51.0 109
CO : 71.5 41.5 47.7 115
ID : 212.0 198.0 212.0 107
MI : 189.0 180.0 180.0 100
MN : 490.0 468.0 480.0 103
MT : 60.7 57.4 59.5 104
NE : 78.2 48.6 56.0 115
ND : 258.0 261.0 267.0 102
OH : 1.2 0.8 1.7 213
OR : 16.2 13.3 11.8 89
WA : 28.4 7.2 4.2 58
WY : 61.0 48.5 47.5 98
:
US : 1,564.2 1,371.1 1,418.4 103
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted
beets in CA.
2/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Tobacco: Area Harvested by State and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Harvested
State :-------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ----------------- Acres ----------------- Percent
:
CT : 1,600 2,300 2,200 96
FL : 4,500 4,500 4,500 100
GA : 31,000 26,500 28,000 106
IN : 3,800 4,200 4,200 100
KY : 132,700 115,700 108,300 94
MD : 5,700 1,900 1,700 89
MA : 550 1,150 1,250 109
MO : 1,400 1,400 1,400 100
NC : 170,400 161,800 167,500 104
OH : 7,500 6,100 6,100 100
PA : 5,100 3,100 3,400 110
SC : 34,000 32,000 30,000 94
TN : 46,020 39,570 36,900 93
VA : 25,900 29,500 30,760 104
WV : 1,300 1,300 1,400 108
WI : 960 1,620 1,800 111
:
US : 472,430 432,640 429,410 99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended area harvested in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Tobacco: Area Harvested by Class, Type, State,
and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Harvested
Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: --------------- Acres --------------- Percent
:
Class 1, Flue-cured :
Type 11, Old Belts :
NC : 40,000 42,000 44,000 105
VA : 17,500 20,500 22,000 107
US : 57,500 62,500 66,000 106
Type 12, Eastern NC :
Belt :
NC : 102,000 93,000 95,000 102
Type 13, NC Border & :
SC Belt :
NC : 21,000 20,000 22,000 110
SC : 34,000 32,000 30,000 94
US : 55,000 52,000 52,000 100
Type 14, GA-FL Belt :
FL : 4,500 4,500 4,500 100
GA : 31,000 26,500 28,000 106
US : 35,500 31,000 32,500 105
Total 11-14 : 250,000 238,500 245,500 103
Class 2, Fire-cured :
Type 21, VA Belt :
VA : 1,300 1,200 700 58
Type 22, Eastern :
District :
KY : 4,100 3,300 2,500 76
TN : 7,700 6,400 5,000 78
US : 11,800 9,700 7,500 77
Type 23, Western :
District :
KY : 3,800 3,100 2,400 77
TN : 640 520 400 77
US : 4,440 3,620 2,800 77
Total 21-23 : 17,540 14,520 11,000 76
Class 3, Air-cured :
Class 3A, Light :
Air-cured :
Type 31, Burley :
IN : 3,800 4,200 4,200 100
KY : 120,000 105,000 100,000 95
MO : 1,400 1,400 1,400 100
NC : 7,400 6,800 6,500 96
OH : 7,500 6,100 6,100 100
TN : 37,000 32,000 31,000 97
VA : 7,000 7,700 8,000 104
WV : 1,300 1,300 1,400 108
US : 185,400 164,500 158,600 96
Type 32, Southern MD :
Belt :
MD : 5,700 1,900 1,700 89
PA : 2,700 1,100 1,400 127
US : 8,400 3,000 3,100 103
Total 31-32 : 193,800 167,500 161,700 97
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See footnote(s) at end of table.
--continued
Tobacco: Area Harvested by Class, Type, State,
and United States, 2000-2002 (continued)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Harvested
Class and Type :--------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: --------------- Acres --------------- Percent
:
Class 3, Air-cured :
Class 3B, Dark :
Air-cured :
Type 35, One Sucker :
Belt :
KY : 3,100 2,800 2,200 79
TN : 680 650 500 77
US : 3,780 3,450 2,700 78
Type 36, Green River :
Belt :
KY : 1,700 1,500 1,200 80
Type 37, VA Sun-cured :
Belt :
VA : 100 100 60 60
Total 35-37 : 5,580 5,050 3,960 78
Class 4, Cigar Filler :
Type 41, PA Seedleaf :
PA : 2,400 2,000 2,000 100
Class 5, Cigar Binder :
Class 5A, CT Valley :
Binder :
Type 51, CT Valley :
Broadleaf :
CT : 600 1,300 1,300 100
MA : 300 850 950 112
US : 900 2,150 2,250 105
Class 5B, WI Binder :
Type 54, Southern WI :
WI : 730 1,300 1,400 108
Type 55, Northern WI :
WI : 230 320 400 125
Total 54-55 : 960 1,620 1,800 111
Total 51-55 : 1,860 3,770 4,050 107
Class 6, Cigar Wrapper :
Type 61, CT Valley :
Shade-grown :
CT : 1,000 1,000 900 90
MA : 250 300 300 100
US : 1,250 1,300 1,200 92
All Cigar Types :
Total 41-61 : 5,510 7,070 7,250 103
:
All Tobacco : 472,430 432,640 429,410 99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended area harvested in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted by State
and United States, 2000-2002 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :-------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 2/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: -------------- 1,000 Acres -------------- Percent
:
CA : 115.0 92.0 110.0 120
CO : 120.0 115.0 135.0 117
ID : 90.0 75.0 70.0 93
KS : 18.0 15.0 18.0 120
MI : 285.0 215.0 300.0 140
MN : 165.0 115.0 165.0 143
MT : 40.5 38.5 30.0 78
NE : 165.0 160.0 175.0 109
NM 3/ : 13.0 7.0 54
NY : 25.0 23.0 26.0 113
ND : 610.0 440.0 600.0 136
OR : 12.0 10.0 9.0 90
SD : 11.0 18.0 18.0 100
TX : 20.0 30.0 24.0 80
UT : 5.4 6.1 4.0 66
WA : 32.0 34.0 34.0 100
WI : 8.3 6.3 6.5 103
WY : 36.0 24.0 35.0 146
:
US : 1,758.2 1,429.9 1,766.5 124
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed.
2/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
3/ Estimates discontinued in 2000, reinstated in 2001.
Sweet Potatoes: Area Planted by State and United States, 2000-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted
State :-------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2000 : 2001 : 2002 1/ : 2002/2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------------- 1,000 Acres ------------ Percent
:
AL : 3.3 3.0 2.8 93
CA : 10.5 10.2 11.0 108
GA 2/ : 0.6 0.5
LA : 25.0 24.0 23.0 96
MS : 12.7 16.7 16.0 96
NJ : 1.2 1.2 1.0 83
NC : 38.0 37.0 37.0 100
SC : 0.7 0.6 0.8 133
TX : 5.5 4.2 3.5 83
VA : 0.5 0.5 0.5 100
:
US : 98.0 97.9 95.6 98
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Intended plantings in 2002 as indicated by reports from farmers.
2/ Estimates discontinued in 2002.
Biotechnology Varieties
The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts the March Agricultural
Survey in all States each year. Randomly selected farmers across the United
States are asked what they intend to plant during the upcoming growing season.
Questions include whether or not farmers intend to plant corn, soybean, or
upland cotton seed that, through biotechnology, is resistant to herbicides,
insects, or both. The biotechnology (biotech) questions were asked for the
first time in March 2000. The States published individually in the following
tables represent 81 percent of all corn planted acres, 90 percent of all
soybean planted acres, and 81 percent of all upland cotton planted acres.
Conventionally bred herbicide resistant varieties were excluded. Insect
resistant varieties include only those containing bacillus thuringiensis (Bt).
Stacked gene varieties include those containing biotech traits for both
herbicide and insect resistance.
The acreage estimates are subject to sampling variability because all
operations planting biotech varieties are not included in the sample. The
variability for the 48 corn States, as measured by the relative standard error
at the U.S. level, is approximately 1.9 percent for all biotech varieties,
2.6 percent for insect resistant (Bt) only varieties, 3.9 percent for
herbicide resistant only varieties, and 8.0 percent for stacked gene
varieties. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of 100 that
survey estimates will be within plus or minus 3.8 percent for all biotech
varieties, 5.2 percent for insect resistant (Bt) only varieties, 7.8 percent
for herbicide resistant varieties, and 16.0 percent for stacked gene
varieties. Variability for the 31 soybeans States is approximately
1.0 percent for herbicide resistant varieties. Variability for the 17 upland
cotton States is approximately 2.3 percent for all biotech varieties, 6.9
percent for insect resistant (Bt) only varieties, 6.3 percent for herbicide
resistant only varieties, and 5.1 percent for stacked gene varieties.
Corn for Grain: Biotechnology Varieties by State and
United States, Percent of All Corn Planted, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Insect Resistant (Bt) : Herbicide Resistant
State :---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Percent
:
IL : 12 20 3 3
IN : 6 8 6 7
IA : 25 30 6 9
KS : 26 24 11 11
MI : 8 11 7 6
MN : 25 31 7 7
MO : 23 24 8 6
NE : 24 32 8 9
OH : 7 6 4 3
SD : 30 35 14 22
WI : 11 15 6 8
:
Oth Sts 1/: 11 14 8 12
:
US : 18 22 7 8
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Stacked Gene Varieties : All Biotech Varieties
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Percent
:
IL : 1 1 16 24
IN : * 1 12 16
IA : 1 4 32 43
KS : 1 3 38 38
MI : 2 2 17 19
MN : 4 3 36 41
MO : 1 1 32 31
NE : 2 2 34 43
OH : * * 11 9
SD : 3 8 47 65
WI : 1 2 18 25
:
Oth Sts 1/: 1 2 20 27
:
US : 1 2 26 32
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Data rounds to less than 0.5 percent.
1/ Other States includes all other States in the Corn estimating program.
Upland Cotton: Biotechnology Varieties by State and
United States, Percent of Upland Cotton Planted, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Insect Resistant (Bt) : Herbicide Resistant
State :---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Percent
:
AR : 21 21 29 35
CA : 11 12 27 41
GA : 13 11 43 52
LA : 30 27 14 5
MS : 10 20 15 18
NC : 9 8 37 27
TX : 8 5 35 43
:
Oth Sts 1/: 18 19 33 32
:
US : 13 12 32 36
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Stacked Gene Varieties : All Biotech Varieties
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Percent
:
AR : 28 28 78 84
CA : 2 5 40 58
GA : 29 27 85 90
LA : 47 57 91 89
MS : 61 49 86 87
NC : 38 47 84 82
TX : 6 4 49 52
:
Oth Sts 1/: 33 31 84 82
:
US : 24 23 69 71
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States includes all other States in the Upland Cotton estimating
program.
Soybeans: Biotechnology Varieties by State and
United States, Percent of All Soybeans Planted, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Herbicide Resistant Only : All Biotech Varieties
State :---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Percent
:
AR : 60 63 60 63
IL : 64 71 64 71
IN : 78 83 78 83
IA : 73 78 73 78
KS : 80 80 80 80
MI : 59 71 59 71
MN : 63 69 63 69
MS : 63 67 63 67
MO : 69 73 69 73
NE : 76 86 76 86
ND : 49 50 49 50
OH : 64 73 64 73
SD : 80 86 80 86
WI : 63 71 63 71
:
Oth Sts 1/: 64 68 64 68
:
US : 68 74 68 74
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States includes all other States in the Soybean estimating program.
Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2001-2002
(Domestic Units) 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted : Area Harvested
Crop :-----------------------------------------------
: 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Acres
:
Grains & Hay :
Barley : 4,967.0 5,078.0 4,289.0
Corn for Grain 2/ : 75,752.0 79,047.0 68,808.0
Corn for Silage : 6,148.0
Hay, All : 63,511.0 63,743.0
Alfalfa : 23,812.0
All Other : 39,699.0
Oats : 4,403.0 5,129.0 1,905.0 2,531.0
Proso Millet : 650.0 580.0
Rice : 3,335.0 3,323.0 3,314.0
Rye : 1,328.0 255.0
Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 10,252.0 9,015.0 8,584.0
Sorghum for Silage : 336.0
Wheat, All : 59,617.0 59,004.0 48,653.0
Winter : 41,078.0 41,076.0 31,295.0
Durum : 2,910.0 2,842.0 2,789.0
Other Spring : 15,629.0 15,086.0 14,569.0
:
Oilseeds :
Canola : 1,494.0 1,549.0 1,455.0
Cottonseed :
Flaxseed : 585.0 578.0
Mustard Seed : 45.8 44.2
Peanuts : 1,543.0 1,465.0 1,400.5
Rapeseed : 3.7 3.1
Safflower : 188.0 177.0
Soybeans for Beans : 74,105.0 72,966.0 73,000.0
Sunflowers : 2,653.0 2,493.0 2,580.0
:
Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops :
Cotton, All : 15,787.8 14,770.5 13,810.0
Upland : 15,527.0 14,496.0 13,551.0
Amer-Pima : 260.8 274.5 259.0
Sugarbeets : 1,371.1 1,418.4 1,243.7
Sugarcane : 1,029.2
Tobacco : 432.6 429.4
:
Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils :
Austrian Winter Peas : 15.9 7.1
Dry Edible Beans : 1,429.9 1,766.5 1,243.0
Dry Edible Peas : 211.8 196.8
Lentils : 201.0 197.0
Wrinkled Seed Peas :
:
Potatoes & Misc. :
Coffee (HI) : 6.3
Ginger Root (HI) : 0.4
Hops : 35.9
Peppermint Oil : 78.5
Potatoes, All : 1,267.1 1,241.3
Winter : 16.8 13.8 14.0 13.5
Spring : 78.3 76.2
Summer : 60.9 58.6
Fall : 1,111.1 1,092.5
Spearmint Oil : 19.5
Sweet Potatoes : 97.9 95.6 93.5
Taro (HI) 3/ : 0.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or
from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2002 crop year.
2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Area is total acres in crop, not
harvested acreage.
Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2001-2002
(Domestic Units) 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : Yield : Production
Crop :Unit :-------------------------------------------
: : 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : ------ 1,000 -----
: :
Grains & Hay : :
Barley : Bu : 58.2 249,590
Corn for Grain : " : 138.2 9,506,840
Corn for Silage : Ton : 16.6 102,352
Hay, All : " : 2.47 156,703
Alfalfa : " : 3.37 80,266
All Other : " : 1.93 76,437
Oats : Bu : 61.3 116,856
Proso Millet : " : 33.2 19,250
Rice 2/ : Cwt : 6,429 213,045
Rye : Bu : 27.3 6,971
Sorghum for Grain : " : 59.9 514,524
Sorghum for Silage : Ton : 11.1 3,728
Wheat, All : Bu : 40.2 1,957,643
Winter : " : 43.5 1,361,479
Durum : " : 30.0 83,556
Other Spring : " : 35.2 512,608
: :
Oilseeds : :
Canola : Lb : 1,374 1,998,515
Cottonseed 3/ : Ton : 7,533.0
Flaxseed : Bu : 19.8 11,455
Mustard Seed : Lb : 930 41,106
Peanuts : " : 3,027 4,239,450
Rapeseed : " : 1,306 4,050
Safflower : " : 1,365 241,665
Soybeans for Beans : Bu : 39.6 2,890,572
Sunflowers : Lb : 1,349 3,480,696
: :
Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops : :
Cotton, All 2/ : Bale: 698 20,084.0
Upland 2/ : " : 687 19,406.0
Amer-Pima 2/ : " : 1,257 678.0
Sugarbeets : Ton : 20.7 25,754
Sugarcane : " : 33.7 34,712
Tobacco : Lb : 2,314 1,000,936
: :
Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils : :
Austrian Winter Peas 2/ : Cwt : 1,366 97
Dry Edible Beans 2/ : " : 1,572 19,541
Dry Edible Peas 2/ : " : 1,920 3,779
Lentils 2/ : " : 1,471 2,898
Wrinkled Seed Peas : " : 640
: :
Potatoes & Misc. : :
Coffee (HI) : Lb : 1,210 7,600
Ginger Root (HI) : " : 45,000 16,200
Hops : " : 1,861 66,832.1
Peppermint Oil : " : 81 6,343
Potatoes, All : Cwt : 358 444,766
Winter : " : 294 288 4,115 3,888
Spring : " : 286 21,814
Summer : " : 309 18,110
Fall : " : 367 400,727
Spearmint Oil : Lb : 105 2,052
Sweet Potatoes : Cwt : 154 14,355
Taro (HI) 3/ : Lb : 6,400
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or
from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2002 crop year.
2/ Yield in pounds. 3/ Yield is not estimated.
Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2001-02
(Metric Units) 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area Planted : Area Harvested
Crop :-----------------------------------------------
: 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Hectares
:
Grains & Hay :
Barley : 2,010,100 2,055,020 1,735,720
Corn for Grain 2/ :30,656,080 31,989,530 27,845,910
Corn for Silage : 2,488,030
Hay, All 3/ : 25,702,270 25,796,150
Alfalfa : 9,636,480
All Other : 16,065,790
Oats : 1,781,850 2,075,660 770,930 1,024,270
Proso Millet : 263,050 234,720
Rice : 1,349,640 1,344,780 1,341,140
Rye : 537,430 103,200
Sorghum for Grain 2/ : 4,148,880 3,648,280 3,473,860
Sorghum for Silage : 135,980
Wheat, All 3/ :24,126,400 23,878,330 19,689,380
Winter :16,623,860 16,623,050 12,664,770
Durum : 1,177,650 1,150,130 1,128,680
Other Spring : 6,324,900 6,105,150 5,895,930
:
Oilseeds :
Canola : 604,610 626,860 588,820
Cottonseed :
Flaxseed : 236,740 233,910
Mustard Seed : 18,530 17,890
Peanuts : 624,440 592,870 566,770
Rapeseed : 1,500 1,250
Safflower : 76,080 71,630
Soybeans for Beans :29,989,550 29,528,610 29,542,370
Sunflowers : 1,073,640 1,008,890 1,044,100
:
Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops :
Cotton, All 3/ : 6,389,160 5,977,470 5,588,770
Upland : 6,283,620 5,866,390 5,483,950
Amer-Pima : 105,540 111,090 104,810
Sugarbeets : 554,870 574,010 503,310
Sugarcane : 416,510
Tobacco : 175,090 173,780
:
Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils :
Austrian Winter Peas : 6,430 2,870
Dry Edible Beans : 578,670 714,880 503,030
Dry Edible Peas : 85,710 79,640
Lentils : 81,340 79,720
Wrinkled Seed Peas :
:
Potatoes & Misc. :
Coffee (HI) : 2,550
Ginger Root (HI) : 150
Hops : 14,530
Peppermint Oil : 31,770
Potatoes, All 3/ : 512,780 502,340
Winter : 6,800 5,580 5,670 5,460
Spring : 31,690 30,840
Summer : 24,650 23,710
Fall : 449,650 442,120
Spearmint Oil : 7,890
Sweet Potatoes : 39,620 38,690 37,840
Taro (HI) 4/ : 180
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or
from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2002 crop year.
2/ Area planted for all purposes. 3/ Total may not add due to rounding.
4/ Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2001-2002
(Metric Units) 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Yield : Production
Crop :-----------------------------------------------
: 2001 : 2002 : 2001 : 2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Metric Tons
:
Grains & Hay :
Barley : 3.13 5,434,180
Corn for Grain : 8.67 241,484,860
Corn for Silage : 37.32 92,852,170
Hay, All 2/ : 5.53 142,158,570
Alfalfa : 7.56 72,816,090
All Other : 4.32 69,342,480
Oats : 2.20 1,696,160
Proso Millet : 1.86 436,580
Rice : 7.21 9,663,560
Rye : 1.72 177,070
Sorghum for Grain : 3.76 13,069,510
Sorghum for Silage : 24.87 3,381,980
Wheat, All 2/ : 2.71 53,278,310
Winter : 2.93 37,053,390
Durum : 2.01 2,274,020
Other Spring : 2.37 13,950,900
:
Oilseeds :
Canola : 1.54 906,510
Cottonseed 3/ : 6,833,820
Flaxseed : 1.24 290,970
Mustard Seed : 1.04 18,650
Peanuts : 3.39 1,922,980
Rapeseed : 1.46 1,840
Safflower : 1.53 109,620
Soybeans for Beans : 2.66 78,668,480
Sunflowers : 1.51 1,578,820
:
Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops :
Cotton, All 2/ : 0.78 4,372,780
Upland : 0.77 4,225,160
Amer-Pima : 1.41 147,620
Sugarbeets : 46.42 23,363,640
Sugarcane : 75.61 31,490,200
Tobacco : 2.59 454,020
:
Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils :
Austrian Winter Peas : 1.53 4,400
Dry Edible Beans : 1.76 886,360
Dry Edible Peas : 2.15 171,410
Lentils : 1.65 131,450
Wrinkled Seed Peas : 29,030
:
Potatoes & Misc. :
Coffee (HI) : 1.35 3,450
Ginger Root (HI) : 50.44 7,350
Hops : 2.09 30,310
Peppermint Oil : 0.09 2,880
Potatoes, All 2/ : 40.16 20,174,250
Winter : 32.94 32.28 186,650 176,360
Spring : 32.09 989,470
Summer : 34.64 821,460
Fall : 41.11 18,176,670
Spearmint Oil : 0.12 930
Sweet Potatoes : 17.21 651,130
Taro (HI) 3/ : 2,900
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or
from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full 2002 crop year.
2/ Production may not add due to rounding. 3/ Yield is not estimated.
Winter Weather Review
Highlights: Each winter month featured a long spell of mild weather nearly
nationwide, followed by colder, sometimes stormy weather toward month's end.
Despite brief stormy spells, the majority of the Nation experienced
drier-than-normal winter weather. Winter precipitation totaled less than
one-half of the normal in a broad swath from Arizona and southern California
to the northern Plains, and at several locations in the middle and southern
Atlantic States. Meanwhile, the largest areas of above-normal precipitation
included the Pacific Northwest and areas from northeastern Texas to the lower
Ohio Valley. Winter temperatures contrasted sharply across the Continental
Divide, ranging from as much as 7 degrees F below normal in the Intermountain
West to 6 to 14 degrees F above normal in the upper Midwest.
December: Near-record to record warmth carried over into the first 3 weeks of
December, followed by the first large-scale cold outbreak of the season.
Several precipitation anomalies from late November were repeated in early- to
mid-December, including unfavorably dry weather in the East, torrential
rainfall from the western Gulf Coast to the lower Ohio Valley, and
drought-easing precipitation in northern California and the Northwest.
The dry weather in the East was particularly severe in the southern Atlantic
Coast Plain. In sharp contrast, wet weather produced lowland flooding from
eastern Texas to the lower Ohio Valley. Portions of the Delta netted more
than 20 inches of rain in less than 4 weeks. The Great Plains received little
precipitation, leaving most of the region in need of moisture. In the
Southwest, an improvement in 2002 water supplies was noted in much of
California and the Northwest following a dry trend during the second half of
the year.
Despite colder weather during the last week of December, monthly temperatures
were above normal at nearly all locations east of the Rockies and averaged at
least 10 degrees F above normal in portions of Minnesota and Wisconsin.
Temperatures were near normal across most of the West, although readings in
some interior valley locations averaged as much as 6 degrees F below normal,
in part due to a substantial snow cover.
January: Precipitation slackened across the Northwest during January, leaving
the region's recovery from the 2000-01 drought incomplete, despite several
major storm systems during November and December. Farther south, a
late-January storm system delivered the month's only significant precipitation
in the Four Corners region. The same storm crossed the central and southern
Plains and parts of the Corn Belt on January 30-31, providing much-needed
moisture for the Plains' wheat crop and recharging soil moisture in parts of
the Midwest. The cold air that fueled the late-month storm also left much of
the northern High Plains' winter wheat crop exposed to temperatures as low as
-20 degrees F.
Cool air also spilled into California, bringing several freezes in mid- to
late January. On the coldest mornings, January 23 and 24, low temperatures
generally ranged from 24 to 30 degrees F in the San Joaquin Valley. As a
result, orange harvest accelerated and freeze-protection measures were
necessary in some groves. Also, winter grain development slowed, but fruit
and nut trees received beneficial chill hours. Cold air also briefly spread
into winter agricultural areas of the Southwest. Farther east, heavy
precipitation was confined to portions of the South, including areas from the
Delta to the southern Appalachians. While the rain and snow aided previously
drought-stressed pastures and winter grains in the southern Atlantic region,
lowland flooding returned to the lower Mississippi Valley and adjacent areas.
Following the early-month snowfall, nearly all of the South's heavy rain fell
from January 18-25.
February: February's weather was highlighted by an early-month cold snap and
a long spell of mild conditions thereafter. Like January, February featured a
major late-month storm system and cold outbreak. Meanwhile, high-elevation
snow packs remained significantly below normal across the central and southern
Rockies and the Southwest. Snow packs remained mostly above normal in the
Northwest, despite a lack of February storminess. Farther east, mostly dry,
breezy weather and wide temperature fluctuations stressed the High Plains'
winter wheat crop. Areas from Montana to western Nebraska remained especially
dry for most of February. At month's end, some of the coldest air of the
season swept across the Plains, accompanied and trailed by a widespread
snowfall that provided much-needed moisture and a short-lived layer of
insulation for winter wheat. However, the storm system passed north of the
southern High Plains' wheat crop, which was exposed to temperatures as low as
0 degrees F. The suddenly cold, snowy weather persisted into early March
across most of the Plains and Midwest, recharging soil moisture supplies but
stressing livestock and hampering rural travel. Meanwhile, dryness
intensified across southern Texas and much of the middle and southern Atlantic
regions, but rain and snow provided limited relief from long-term drought in
the Northeast.
Above-normal monthly precipitation was confined to scattered areas, including
the upper Mississippi Valley, southern Florida, extreme southeastern Arizona
to southwestern Texas, the interior Northwest, and from the Great Lakes States
into New England. In contrast, less than one-fourth of the normal February
precipitation was noted in a broad area from southern California and much of
Arizona to the Dakotas, across much of southern Texas, and at many locations
in the northern Mid-Atlantic region.
Continuing a winter-long trend, monthly temperatures were significantly above
normal in the upper Midwest, averaging 4 to 12 degrees F above normal. In
contrast, near- to below-normal temperatures prevailed across the South,
averaging as much as 6 degrees F below normal in eastern Texas. In the West,
readings averaged near normal along and near the Pacific Coast, but were as
much as 12 degrees F below normal at some interior valley locations, where
cold, dry air remained trapped for much of the month.
Winter Agricultural Summary
Warm, dry weather dominated most of the Nation during the 2001-2002 winter
season. Many areas from the northern Great Plains to the Great Lakes recorded
new record day time highs, and parts of the Corn Belt and Great Lakes region
experienced their warmest January ever. Precipitation was well below normal
across most of the Great Plains, Southwest, Gulf Coast, and Atlantic Coastal
Plain. Numerous storms struck the Pacific Northwest, producing heavy rainfall
in low-lying coastal areas as far south as central California. As the storms
tracked inland, they produced heavy snow accumulations in the coastal mountain
ranges, increasing irrigation water reserves for the 2002 summer crops. The
systems weakened as they crossed the Great Plains, but reorganized over the
southern Great Plains where they delivered several heavy rainfall events in
the interior Mississippi Delta and lower Missouri and Ohio Valleys.
On the central and northern Great Plains, snowfall was far below normal,
exposing winter wheat fields to wind-blown soil and extreme temperature
fluctuations, including several brief periods of bitter cold and many record
and near record highs. In addition, winter wheat root systems struggled to
access diminishing soil moisture reserves. In the southern Great Plains,
moisture shortages hindered winter wheat growth and limited winter foraging.
Although temperatures averaged above-normal in the Southeast, periods of
sub-freezing temperatures provided beneficial chill hours for fruit trees
approaching the upcoming bloom season. The cold weather briefly halted growth
of winter grains and forages but sub-freezing temperatures were not sustained
long enough to damage the Florida citrus crop. However, citrus trees
experienced minor foliage burn and some new leafy growth was lost. In
southern Florida, the sugarcane harvest and work in vegetable fields continued
with few delays.
In California, above-normal temperatures and ample moisture supplies
stimulated development of winter crops in early January, but below normal
temperatures hindered growth through most of the winter. Nighttime
temperatures occasionally dropped below freezing, but the sub-freezing
temperatures were not sustained long enough to seriously damage citrus trees
and unharvested fruit. Vegetable growers ran irrigation systems to protect
delicate leafy crops and citrus growers ran irrigation systems and wind
machines to protect fruit from frost damage. Nevertheless, ice marks and
slight freeze damage showed in some citrus varieties. Field and orchard work
progressed with few interruptions.
In the Corn Belt, temperatures averaged above normal and included several
record and near record highs. Parts of the northern and western Corn Belt
also experienced brief periods of sub-zero temperatures. Precipitation was
below normal across most of the Corn Belt, although parts of the upper
Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes region were near-normal, and the lower
Missouri and Ohio Valleys received above-normal precipitation.
Corn: Growers intend to plant 79.0 million acres of corn for all purposes in
2002, up 4 percent from 2001 but down 1 percent from 2000. Expected acreage
is up in many areas of the United States and in virtually all areas of the
Corn Belt. Compared to last year when producers had problems getting their
crops in due to persistent precipitation, conditions so far this year have
been cooperative and have increased farmer's hopes of planting their corn crop
on time. Farmers intend to plant fewer corn acres than last year in
Pennsylvania, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Colorado because of concerns about dry
conditions.
Farmers intend to plant 32 percent of their acreage with varieties developed
using biotechnology, up 6 percentage points from 2001. If these intentions
are realized, 22 percent of the acreage will be planted with varieties
containing bacillus thuringiensis (Bt), up 4 points from 2001. Eight percent
of the acreage will be planted with herbicide resistant varieties developed
using biotechnology, up 1 point from 2001. Stacked gene varieties, those
containing both insect and herbicide resistance from biotechnology, will be
planted on 2 percent of the acreage, up 1 point from 2001.
Sorghum: The 2002 intended sorghum acreage planted for all purposes is
estimated at 9.02 million acres, down 12 percent from last year and, if
realized, the lowest plantings since 1929. Most of the acreage declines are
expected by growers in the Central and Southern Plains States. Fewer acres
are also expected in Illinois, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Missouri. Growers
in 7 States intend to plant more acres this year. Planting intentions in
Arkansas show an increase of 75,000 acres from last year.
Oats: Acres seeded and to be seeded for the 2002 crop year is expected to
total 5.13 million acres, up 16 percent, or 726,000 acres, from last year's
final planted acres. Growers expect to harvest 2.53 million acres for grain,
33 percent more than the final 2001 harvested acreage of 1.91 million. If
intentions are realized, planted and harvested acres would be the highest
since 1995. Planting intentions for 2002 are higher than last year's final
planted acreage in 17 States. Intentions are unchanged in 6 States and down
in 5 States.
Barley: Growers intend to seed 5.08 million acres for 2002, up 2 percent from
the record low of 4.97 million acres seeded a year ago. Increases in 11
States were partially offset by declines in 8 States. The intended acreage in
Montana is up 150,000 acres from last year's drought reduced crop. Acreage in
Minnesota is rebounding 50,000 acres from last year when cool wet weather
limited planting. Fewer acres are expected in California as well as the
Pacific Northwest States where dry conditions and concerns over water
availability exist in some areas.
Winter Wheat: Planted area for the 2002 crop is 41.1 million acres, nearly
identical to the previous year's acreage. This is the lowest acres seeded to
winter wheat since 1971. Of the total, about 29.3 million acres are Hard Red
Winter, 8.4 million acres Soft Red Winter, and 3.4 million acres White Winter.
Dry fall conditions (especially in the central and western districts) hampered
emergence in Kansas. Wheat condition ratings declined during the winter as
dry conditions persisted. Acreage across most of the Plains has been stressed
by low soil moisture. High winds in Oklahoma have taken a toll on wheat in
lighter soils. Wheat has been slow growing in Texas. Growers planted record
low acreages in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Nebraska.
Durum Wheat: Area seeded to Durum wheat is expected to total 2.84 million
acres, down 2 percent from 2001. Disease problems and changes in government
programs in recent years have contributed to the decline in North Dakota. The
strong Durum price relative to other spring wheat in Montana, combined with
good Durum yield performance in drought type conditions has Montana growers
intending to plant more of the crop this year. Seeding in the San Joaquin and
Imperial Valleys of California progressed rapidly during January and February.
Most of the San Joaquin Valley acreage was planted prior to January.
Other Spring Wheat: Growers intend to plant 15.1 million acres this year,
down 3 percent from 2001. Of the total, about 14.2 million acres are Hard Red
Spring wheat. The largest acreage decline is in North Dakota, where current
government programs and weak prices are encouraging producers to grow
alternate crops. Minnesota growers intend to plant more acres than last year,
when cool and very wet spring conditions reduced their acreage. In South
Dakota, poor fall conditions resulted in low winter wheat acres, leading to
more spring wheat in the traditional wheat areas. Soil moisture conditions in
Washington are better than a year ago, although some areas still remain dry.
Rice: Area intended for rice in 2002 is estimated at 3.32 million acres, down
less than 1 percent from 2001, but 9 percent more than 2000's planted area.
Long grain planted acreage, representing 81 percent of the total, is down
1 percent from last year. Medium grain planted acreage, representing
18 percent of the total, increased 3 percent from 2001, while area planted to
short grain varieties decreased 19 percent and represents less than 1 percent
of the total rice acres intended in 2002.
Hay: Producers expect to harvest 63.7 million acres of hay in 2002, up less
than 1 percent from 2001. Increases in 21 States are expected to offset
declines in 18 States. Oregon, up 13 percent, has the largest increase where
producers are responding to strong prices and an increase in cattle inventory.
California expects to increase harvested acres by 6 percent in response to the
strong dairy market. Record high acreages are expected in Florida, Idaho,
Missouri, New Mexico, Texas, and Utah. Producers in Montana intend to harvest
10 percent fewer acres than last year, when they harvested large acreages of
CRP and grain hay. Growers in Illinois, Indiana, Maine, Michigan, New
Hampshire, and Wisconsin expect to harvest record low acreages of hay.
Soybeans: Soybean producers intend to plant 73.0 million acres,
down 2 percent from last year. Reduced soybean acreage was offset
by an expected increase in corn plantings in most areas.
Crop rotations, farm bill uncertainty, and price considerations were
cited as primary reasons for the reduced soybean acreage.
Of the seven major producing States, the largest intended decreases in planted
acres for 2002 are in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Missouri, all down 200,000
acres from 2001. Growers in Minnesota, Nebraska, and Ohio also intend to
plant fewer acres in 2002. Producers in Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana,
Mississippi, and Texas intend to shift from cotton to soybeans. Expected
acreage in North Dakota is up 450,000 acres from last year replacing wheat
acreage.
Producers intend to plant 74 percent of the soybean acreage to herbicide
resistant varieties in 2002.
Peanuts: Producers intend to plant 1.47 million acres of peanuts in 2002,
down 5 percent from one year ago. Of the nine producing States, 6 intend to
plant fewer acres in 2002, and 3 intend to show no change. Growers across all
regions expressed uncertainty about the 2002 peanut crop as Congress has not
completed work on a new farm bill. Financial institutions are awaiting
Congressional action on the farm bill before completing financing for peanut
producers.
Southeast growers (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina) intend to
plant 791,000 acres, down 3 percent from a year ago. In the Virginia - North
Carolina region, producers intend to plant 196,000 acres, down 1 percent from
2001. Growers in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) intend to
plant 478,000 acres, 9 percent below 2001.
Sunflowers: Growers are expected to plant a total of 2.49 million acres in
2002, down 6 percent from last year. Acres intended for oil type varieties,
at 2.10 million acres, are down 2 percent from 2001, and non-oil varieties
estimated at 396,000 acres are down 23 percent from last year.
North Dakota growers intend to plant 1.16 million acres in 2002, up 6 percent
from 2001. Growers in South Dakota intend to plant 600,000 acres, down
16 percent from the previous year. Acreage decreases are also expected in
Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, and Texas while acreage in Minnesota is expected
to increase from last year.
Canola: Producers intend to plant 1.55 million acres in 2002, an increase of
4 percent from 2001. Producers in North Dakota and Minnesota intend to plant
1.32 million and 115,000 acres, respectively.
Cotton: Area planted to all cotton for 2002 is expected to total 14.8 million
acres, 6 percent below last year. Upland acreage is expected to total
14.5 million acres, down 7 percent from 2001. Growers intend to increase
their plantings of American-Pima cotton to 274,500 acres, up 5 percent from a
year ago. Low prices and uncertainty with the farm bill led to the decrease
in planted acreage intentions.
Upland growers in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi,
Missouri, and Tennessee) intend to plant 4.02 million acres, a 13 percent
decrease from the previous year. Producers in Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and
New Mexico intend to plant 6.08 million acres, down 5 percent from last year.
Farmers in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina,
South Carolina, and Virginia) intend to plant 3.55 million acres of upland
cotton, a 2 percent decrease from 2001.
Upland planted acreage in California and Arizona is expected to total
850,000 acres, 9 percent below last year. California producers intend to
plant 590,000 acres, an 8 percent decrease from 2001. If realized, the
California planted acreage will represent the lowest planted acreage since
1950 and about half the acreage that was planted as recently as 1995.
American-Pima acreage intentions are reported at 274,500 acres, an increase of
5 percent from last year. The increase is in California, where producers are
intending to plant 15,000 acres more than last year. Growers are encouraged
by the better prices that American-Pima cotton commands. Arizona and Texas
producers are decreasing planted acreage by 4 percent and 6 percent,
respectively. New Mexico growers intend to plant 6,000 acres, the same level
as last year.
Sugarbeets: Area planted to sugarbeets for the 2002 crop year is expected to
total 1.42 million acres, 3 percent above the 2001 planted acres. If
intentions are realized, acreage will increase in 8 of the 12 sugarbeet
producing States, especially in Idaho and Minnesota, where acreage is expected
to be up 14,000 and 12,000 acres, respectively. Planting intentions for 2002
are down in Oregon, Washington, and Wyoming. In Michigan, planting intentions
are unchanged from 2001.
Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco area for harvest in 2002 is forecast at
429,410 acres, down 1 percent from the 2001 crop and 9 percent below two years
ago. If realized, this would be the lowest harvested acreage since 1874.
Expected harvested area for Light Air-cured, Fire-cured, Dark Air-cured, and
Cigar Wrapper are down from last year. However, planned harvested acres of
Flue-cured and Cigar Binder are up from a year ago. Cigar filler is unchanged
from 2001.
Flue-cured tobacco, at 245,500 acres, is 3 percent above a year ago.
Flue-cured acreage accounts for 57 percent of this year's total tobacco
acreage. Acreage in North Carolina, the leading flue-cured State, is up
4 percent from last year. Other increases in flue-cured acreage were Virginia
at 7 percent, and Georgia at 6 percent. Florida forecasts no change from last
season, while South Carolina expects a 6 percent decrease in harvested acres.
Light Air-cured tobacco types are down 3 percent from last year and 17 percent
below 2000. Burley tobacco, at 158,600 acres, is down 4 percent from a year
ago and 14 percent below two years ago. Three burley producing States expect
a decline in acres from last year. These States are Kentucky, North Carolina,
and Tennessee which are down 5 percent, 4 percent, and 3 percent,
respectively. Two States are forecasting increased acres. Virginia is up
4 percent from 2001 and West Virginia is up 8 percent. Indiana, Missouri, and
Ohio are expecting no change in acreage from 2001. Southern Maryland type
tobacco acres are estimated at 3,100 acres, up 3 percent from last year.
Maryland's acreage dropped from last year by 11 percent but Pennsylvania
expects an increase of 27 percent from 2001.
Fire-cured tobacco types, at 11,000 acres, are down 24 percent from 2001. The
leading States of Tennessee and Kentucky are expected to be down in harvested
acres from last year by 22 percent and 23 percent, respectively.
Dark Air-cured tobacco types, at 3,960 acres, are 22 percent below last year's
harvested acres, and 29 percent below 2000. One Sucker type tobacco is
22 percent below last year and Green River type tobacco is 20 percent lower.
Sun-cured is down 40 percent from both last year and 2000.
All Cigar types, at 7,250 acres, are up 3 percent from last year and
32 percent above 2000. Acreage of Pennsylvania Seedleaf, at 2,000 acres, is
unchanged from last year. However, Connecticut and Massachusetts Broadleaf
acreage, at 2,250, is up 5 percent from the 2001 crop. Expected harvested
acres of Connecticut and Massachusetts Shade-grown tobacco are estimated to be
1,200, down 8 percent from a year ago. Wisconsin Binder tobacco, at
1,800 acres, is up 11 percent from last year.
Dry Beans: Area planted to dry beans for the 2002 crop year is expected to
total 1.77 million acres, up 24 percent from last year and less than 1 percent
above 2000. Ten of the eighteen dry bean producing States expect acreage
increases, two are unchanged, and six plan for fewer acres than last season.
Improved prices have encouraged many growers but dry weather in the mountain
States is of concern.
Most mid-west and plains States will return to acreage levels they had two
years ago after cutting acreage sharply last year. North Dakota growers
intend to plant 600,000 acres, up 36 percent from last year. Michigan has
rebounded 40 percent to 300,000 acres and Minnesota's acreage jumped
43 percent to 165,000 acres. Nebraska growers look to plant 175,000 acres, a
gain of 9 percent. Wyoming producers expect 46 percent more dry bean acres
and Colorado, at 135,000 acres, should be up 17 percent. Kansas farmers
intend to plant 20 percent more dry beans, Wisconsin is up 3 percent, but
South Dakota expects to remain the same as last year.
Mountain States are generally down on dry bean acreage this year due to dry
weather. Idaho is down 7 percent and at their lowest level since 1924,
Montana is off 22 percent, New Mexico fell 46 percent, and Utah is down
34 percent from last year. Oregon intends to plant 10 percent fewer dry bean
acres, Texas is off 20 percent, while Washington bean acreage will be the same
as last year. California will plant 20 percent more dry beans and New York
looks for an increase of 13 percent over 2001.
Sweet Potatoes: Growers intend to plant 95,600 acres of sweet potatoes in
2002, down 2 percent from the last two years for comparable States. Two
States expect higher acreage than last year, five States look for declines,
and two are unchanged. Georgia sweet potato estimates are discontinued this
year.
California farmers plan to increase sweet potato acreage by 8 percent and
South Carolina growers look for an increase of 33 percent from a year ago.
With soils on the dry side, both Texas and New Jersey expect 17 percent drops
from last year. Plans for sweet potatoes in Alabama are down 7 percent from a
year ago. Louisiana and Mississippi growers look for declines of 4 percent
each from 2001. Acreage in North Carolina and Virginia should remain the same
as a year ago.
Transplant preparations are active in North Carolina as most growers have
planted their beds or have lined up sources for plants. Favorable weather in
South Carolina and Alabama should help get sweet potato planting off to a good
start. Availability of labor worries some growers in Louisiana, where acreage
is expected to be down 1,000 acres. With acreage on the increase, California
farmers report no unusual growing situations.
Reliability of Acreage Data in this Report
Survey Procedures: The acreage estimates in this report are based primarily on
surveys conducted the first 2 weeks of March. The March Agricultural Survey is
a probability survey that includes a sample of more than 67,000 farm operators
selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the U.S. have
a chance to be selected. These operators were contacted by mail, telephone, or
personal interviews to obtain information on crop acreage planned for the 2002
crop year.
Estimating Procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were
reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. Each
State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the
Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National
level and are reviewed at this level independently of each State's review.
Acreage estimates were based on survey estimates and the historical relationship
of official estimates to survey estimates.
Revision Policy: Acreage estimates in the "Prospective Plantings" report will
not be revised. These estimates are intended to reflect grower intentions as of
the survey period. New acreage estimates will be made based on surveys
conducted
in June when crop acreage have been established or planting intentions are
firm.
These new estimates will be published in the "Acreage" release scheduled for
June
28, 2002. Winter wheat is an exception. Since winter wheat acreage were seeded
prior to the March survey, any changes in estimates in this report are
considered
revisions. The estimate of the harvested acreage of winter wheat will be
published on May 10, 2002, along with the first production forecast of the crop
year. The winter wheat planted and harvested acreage is subject to revisions in
the "Acreage" report.
Reliability: The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling
and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. Both types of
errors
for major crops generally are between 1.0 and 3.0 percent. Sampling errors
represent the variability between estimates that would result if many different
samples were surveyed at the same time. Sampling errors cannot be applied
directly to the acreage published in this report to determine confidence
intervals since the official estimates represent a composite of information from
more than a single source.
Non-sampling errors cannot be measured directly. They may occur due to
incorrect
reporting and/or recording, data omissions or duplications, and errors in
processing. To minimize non-sampling errors, vigorous quality controls are used
in the data collection process and all data are carefully reviewed for
consistency and reasonableness.
A method of evaluating the reliability of acreage estimates in this report is
the
"Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performances shown
below for selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between
the planted acreage estimates and the final estimates as a percent of the final
estimates and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the 1982-2001
twenty-year period; the square root of this average becomes statistically the
"Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made concerning
expected
differences in the current estimates relative to the final estimates assuming
that factors affecting this year's estimate are not different than those
influencing the past 20 years.
For example, the "Root Mean Square Error" for the corn planted estimate is
2.2 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current corn
acreage will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.2 percent.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that difference will not
exceed 3.8 percent.
Also, shown in the table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the
difference between the "Prospective Plantings" planted acres estimates and the
final estimates. Using corn again as an example, changes between the
intentions estimates and the final estimates during the past 20 years have
averaged 1.33 million acres ranging from 167,000 acres to 3.84 million acres.
The prospective plantings estimates have been below the final estimate 6 times
and above 14 times. This does not imply that the planted estimate this year
is likely to understate or overstate the final estimate.
Reliability of Prospective Plantings Planted Acreage Estimates
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : : 20-Year Record of
: : : Differences Between Forecast
: : : and Final Estimate
: : :------------------------------------
: Root Mean : : Thousand Acres : Number of
Crop :Square Error: 90 : Quantity : Years
: Percent : Percent :------------------------------------
: :Confidence : : : :Below:Above
: : Interval :Average:Smallest:Largest:Final:Final
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------- Million ------ Number
:
Corn : 2.2 3.8 1,329 167 3,844 6 14
Sorghum : 8.0 13.8 775 76 2,471 11 9
Oats : 7.8 13.5 672 22 2,429 4 16
Barley : 5.3 9.2 392 80 1,369 6 14
Winter Wheat : 1.2 2.1 482 8 1,630 7 13
Durum Wheat : 8.9 15.3 235 12 573 10 10
Other Spring Wheat: 7.6 13.2 963 12 2,543 12 8
Soybeans : 2.8 4.8 1,386 0 5,046 13 6
Upland Cotton : 5.6 9.8 472 6 1,354 10 10
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.
Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127
Field Crops Section
Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127
Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526
Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369
Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye, Hay (202) 720-8068
Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings, Sorghum (202) 720-5944
Mark E. Miller - Oats, Sugar Crops,
Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-7621
Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice, Barley (202) 720-7688
Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section
Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127
Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285
Jim Smith - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-2127
Debbie Flippin - Fresh Vegetables, Mushrooms(202) 720-3250
Steve Gunn - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries,
Prunes, Plums (202) 720-4288
Jim Smith - Noncitrus Fruits, Mint, Dry Peas (202) 720-2127
Jim Smith - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup,
Tobacco (202) 720-2127
Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940
Betty Johnston - Nuts, Floriculture, Nursery(202) 720-4215
Biz Wallingsford - Processing Vegetables, Onions,
Strawberries (202) 720-2157
The next "Prospective Plantings" report will be released in March 2003.
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in
all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender,
religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital
or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons
with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program
information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's
TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD).
To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil
Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW,
Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD). USDA is an
equal opportunity provider and employer.
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