HDR1012000110201108951500Crop Production Cotton/Citrus Production HDR2012000110201108951500Cotton/Citrus Production Narrative Released November 8, 1995, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@AG.GOV. Cotton Production Down 2 Percent From Last Month All cotton production is forecast at 18.8 million bales, down 2 percent from last month, and 4 percent below 1994's output. Yield decreased 12 pounds from October as production decreases in Alabama, Missouri, Texas, and the far West, offset increases in Arkansas, Mississippi, and North Carolina. Alabama's crop showed a 119 pound decrease from last month's yield mainly from the effects of drought and insects during the season. HDR2012000110201108951500Crop Summary Tables Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 (Domestic and Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Area Planted : Area Harvested Crop :---------------------------------------------------- : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Acres : All Cotton 1/ : 13,720.1 16,834.0 13,322.3 15,948.5 Upland 1/ : 13,551.6 16,635.0 13,155.9 15,753.0 Amer-Pima 1/ : 168.5 199.0 166.4 195.5 :---------------------------------------------------- : Hectares :---------------------------------------------------- : All Cotton 1/ : 5,552,390 6,812,550 5,391,400 6,454,200 Upland 1/ : 5,484,200 6,732,020 5,324,060 6,375,080 Amer-Pima 1/ : 68,190 80,530 67,340 79,120 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 1995 planted revised from earlier forecasts. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- This report was approved on November 8, 1995, by the Acting Secretary of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board. Eugene Moos Rich Allen ---------------------------- --------------------------------- Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board Agriculture Chairperson Eugene Moos Rich Allen Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 (Domestic Units) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Yield per Acre: Production Crop and Unit :--------------------------------------------------- : : : : Oct 1, : Nov 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------------- 1,000 ------------ : All Cotton 1/ Bale: 708 567 19,662.0 19,143.7 18,837.7 Upland 1/ " : 705 563 19,324.3 18,770.7 18,480.7 Amer-Pima 1/ " : 974 877 337.7 373.0 357.0 Cottonseed Ton : 7,603.9 7,373.7 7,258.7 : : 1994-95 1995-96 1995-96 Citrus Fruits 2/ : Oranges Ton : 11,616 11,659 11,659 Grapefruit " : 2,912 2,821 2,809 Lemons " : 916 1,045 1,045 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Yield in pounds. 2/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 (Metric Units) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ :Yield per Hectare: Production Crop :------------------------------------------------------- : : : : Oct 1, : Nov 1, : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 : 1995 : 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Metric Tons : All Cotton : 0.79 0.64 4,280,900 4,168,050 4,101,430 Upland : 0.79 0.63 4,207,370 4,086,840 4,023,700 Amer-Pima : 1.09 0.98 73,530 81,210 77,730 Cottonseed : 6,898,140 6,689,310 6,584,980 : : 1994-95 1995-96 1995-96 Citrus Fruits 1/ : Oranges : 10,537,860 10,576,870 10,576,870 Grapefruit : 2,641,720 2,559,170 2,548,280 Lemons : 830,980 948,010 948,010 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. HDR2012000110201108951500Cotton Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Type, State, and United States, 1994 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area Harvested : Yield : Production 1/ Type :-------------------------------------------------------------------- and : : : : 1995 : : State : 1994 : 1995 : 1994 :-------------------: 1994 : 1995 : : : : Oct 1 : Nov 1 : : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- :-- 1,000 Acres -- --------- Pounds -------- 1,000 Bales 2/ : Upland : AL : 455.0 585.0 766 480 361 726.0 440.0 AZ : 312.0 364.0 1,203 1,081 1,055 782.0 800.0 AR : 970.0 1,100.0 877 648 624 1,772.0 1,430.0 CA : 1,095.0 1,175.0 1,191 1,083 1,042 2,717.0 2,550.0 FL 3/ : 68.0 109.0 735 691 691 104.1 157.0 GA : 875.0 1,490.0 843 644 644 1,537.0 2,000.0 KS 3/ : 1.2 2.0 480 408 408 1.2 1.7 LA : 890.0 1,065.0 815 608 608 1,512.0 1,350.0 MS : 1,270.0 1,460.0 806 602 605 2,132.0 1,840.0 MO : 345.0 445.0 856 647 577 615.0 535.0 NM : 50.0 51.0 720 762 762 75.0 81.0 NC : 485.0 780.0 820 535 554 829.0 900.0 OK : 340.0 325.0 349 295 295 247.0 200.0 SC : 223.0 335.0 846 645 645 393.0 450.0 TN : 585.0 660.0 726 570 575 885.0 790.0 TX : 5,150.0 5,700.0 458 408 404 4,915.0 4,800.0 VA 3/ : 41.7 107.0 944 700 700 82.0 156.0 : US :13,155.9 15,753.0 705 574 563 19,324.3 18,480.7 : Amer-Pima : AZ : 47.9 47.5 806 788 748 80.4 74.0 CA : 80.8 100.0 1,098 1,032 984 184.8 205.0 NM : 10.7 15.0 875 800 736 19.5 23.0 TX : 27.0 33.0 942 880 800 53.0 55.0 : US : 166.4 195.5 974 930 877 337.7 357.0 : All : AL : 455.0 585.0 766 480 361 726.0 440.0 AZ : 359.9 411.5 1,150 1,047 1,019 862.4 874.0 AR : 970.0 1,100.0 877 648 624 1,772.0 1,430.0 CA : 1,175.8 1,275.0 1,185 1,079 1,037 2,901.8 2,755.0 FL 3/ : 68.0 109.0 735 691 691 104.1 157.0 GA : 875.0 1,490.0 843 644 644 1,537.0 2,000.0 KS 3/ : 1.2 2.0 480 408 408 1.2 1.7 LA : 890.0 1,065.0 815 608 608 1,512.0 1,350.0 MS : 1,270.0 1,460.0 806 602 605 2,132.0 1,840.0 MO : 345.0 445.0 856 647 577 615.0 535.0 NM : 60.7 66.0 747 771 756 94.5 104.0 NC : 485.0 780.0 820 535 554 829.0 900.0 OK : 340.0 325.0 349 295 295 247.0 200.0 SC : 223.0 335.0 846 645 645 393.0 450.0 TN : 585.0 660.0 726 570 575 885.0 790.0 TX : 5,177.0 5,733.0 461 411 406 4,968.0 4,855.0 VA 3/ : 41.7 107.0 944 700 700 82.0 156.0 : US :13,322.3 15,948.5 708 579 567 19,662.0 18,837.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales. 3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. Cottonseed: Production, United States, 1993-94 and Forecasted November 1, 1995 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Production State :-------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1993 : 1994 : 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 Tons : US : 6,343.2 7,603.9 7,258.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts cotton objective yield surveys in 6 States which account for about 72 percent of the U.S. Upland cotton production. Plots are randomly selected from a scientific sample of cotton fields. Two sample plots per field are visited monthly from about August 1 through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. The boll counts shown below represent actual data collected from sampled fields and are not official estimates of NASS. Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, September and November 1991-1995, and Final, 1991-1994 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Arizona : Arkansas Year :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Sep. : Nov. : Final : Sep. : Nov. : Final ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Number : 1991 : 1,161 1,161 1,083 1,010 797 782 1992 : 1,112 1,062 1,013 1,076 822 817 1993 : 1,120 1,158 1,082 859 769 753 1994 : 1,239 1,227 1,221 1,019 813 812 1995 : 1,077 1,042 850 689 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : California : Louisiana :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1991 : 909 826 814 881 813 770 1992 : 839 841 819 882 858 875 1993 : 930 839 839 746 662 661 1994 : 828 805 806 808 747 748 1995 : 751 682 679 615 :---------------------------------------------------------------- : Mississippi : Texas :---------------------------------------------------------------- : 1991 : 890 734 726 466 449 430 1992 : 896 713 708 432 484 489 1993 : 697 619 608 505 480 489 1994 : 864 761 760 515 484 486 1995 : 682 607 423 409 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened bolls, and burrs, per 40 feet of row. In November, excludes small bolls. HDR2012000110201108951500Citrus Fruits Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted 1996 on November 1, 1995 1/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :---------------------------------------------------------- : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ 4/ : AZ : 700 400 500 26 15 19 CA : 36,600 35,000 38,000 1,372 1,313 1,425 FL : 107,300 119,700 122,000 4,829 5,387 5,490 TX : 480 950 1,000 21 40 43 US : 145,080 156,050 161,500 6,248 6,755 6,977 Valencia 4/ : AZ : 1,200 650 600 45 24 23 CA : 27,000 26,000 28,000 1,013 976 1,050 FL : 67,100 85,700 80,000 3,020 3,857 3,600 TX : 70 105 200 3 4 9 US : 95,370 112,455 108,800 4,081 4,861 4,682 All 4/ : AZ : 1,900 1,050 1,100 71 39 42 CA : 63,600 61,000 66,000 2,385 2,289 2,475 FL : 174,400 205,400 202,000 7,849 9,244 9,090 TX : 550 1,055 1,200 24 44 52 US : 240,450 268,505 270,300 10,329 11,616 11,659 Temples 4/ : FL : 2,250 2,550 2,200 101 114 99 Grapefruit : White Seedless : FL 4/ : 24,500 25,700 24,000 1,042 1,092 1,020 Colored Seedless : FL 4/ : 25,500 28,700 29,000 1,084 1,220 1,233 Other : FL 4/ : 1,050 1,300 1,000 45 55 43 All : AZ 4/ : 1,750 1,400 1,200 59 47 40 CA 4/ 5/ : Desert : 3,400 3,300 114 111 Other Areas : 5,900 6,000 197 201 Total : 9,300 9,300 8,500 311 312 285 FL 4/ : 51,050 55,700 54,000 2,171 2,367 2,296 TX : 3,000 4,650 4,700 120 186 188 US : 65,100 71,050 68,400 2,661 2,912 2,809 Tangerines 4/ : AZ : 1,000 650 950 37 25 36 CA : 2,300 2,200 2,300 86 82 86 FL : 4,100 3,550 4,100 195 168 195 US : 7,400 6,400 7,350 318 275 317 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 5,200 3,600 5,500 197 137 209 CA : 20,700 20,500 22,000 787 779 836 US : 25,900 24,100 27,500 984 916 1,045 Tangelos 4/ : FL : 3,350 3,150 2,500 150 142 113 K-Early Citrus 4/ : FL : 210 120 100 9 5 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruit Footnotes 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the year harvest is completed. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67 FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76, tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early and mid-season varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5/ California Desert and Other Areas Grapefruit forecasts combined to All Grapefruit beginning in 1995-96. HDR2012000110201108951500Cotton Narrative Cotton: Minor acreage adjustments led to a slight upward revision of upland cotton planted to 16.6 million acres. This level is 23 percent above 1994. Harvested acreage also rose slightly to 15.8 million acres, up 20 percent from last year. American-Pima planted totaled 199,000 acres and harvested amounted to 195,500 acres. Compared with 1994, the area planted increased 18 percent while harvested acres climbed 17 percent. Defoliation and harvest began during the month in West Texas. Harvest neared completion in the Blacklands and Central Texas. Heavy rainfall and below normal temperatures in early October diminished prospects in the Plains and Cross Timbers. Crop condition towards the end of October showed 80 percent of the cotton in fair to good condition. The amount harvested, at 44 percent, was only 3 points ahead of the 5-year average. Objective yield data continue to record the lowest large boll counts and boll weights since 1985. The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee) rated cotton mostly in fair to good condition in late October. Louisiana cotton is the exception with 54 percent rated as very poor to poor. One-third of the Mississippi acreage and 23 percent in Arkansas was rated very poor to poor. Harvest in all States exceeded the 5-year average. In Louisiana, 98 percent of the crop was harvested at the end of October and Mississippi producers were 94 percent complete. Large boll counts rank ninth in Arkansas, but are the lowest in Louisiana and Mississippi since 1985. Boll weights in all three States rank ninth among the past 10 years. Thirty percent of Arizona's cotton was in good to excellent condition in late October, but harvest was nearly one-fourth behind normal, at 43 percent. In early October, hail, high winds, and heavy rain reduced potential on some Arizona acreage. In California, 65 percent of the crop rated good to excellent, with 20 percent harvested, 40 percent behind normal. Defoliants were applied in the San Joaquin Valley while the Desert harvest approached completion. Objective yield survey data place Arizona large boll counts ninth in the past 10 years and boll weights lowest during the same period. California large boll counts are the lowest since 1985 and boll weights are the ninth lowest since then. In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina), the crop was mostly in good condition in late October. Alabama reported 48 percent of the crop in very poor to poor condition at the end of the month, a decline of about 15 percent from mid-month. Heavy rain and high winds from Hurricane Opal damaged some Georgia cotton, but the effects were less than expected. Harvest was interrupted due to the storm, but by the end of the month Alabama and Georgia were ahead of their 5-year average pace, at 81 percent and 65 percent harvested, respectively. The Carolina's were about 5 percent behind their harvest average rate, with North Carolina at 50 percent and South Carolina at 49 percent. American-Pima production is forecast at 357,000 bales, down 4 percent from October, but up 6 from 1994 output. Yield averaging about 877 pounds are expected, down 97 pounds from last year. All States except Texas show a decrease in production from the previous month. The largest production decrease is in California, 10,000 bales below October. Yield potential continued to decline. Harvest remained behind normal in California as producers waited for late bolls to open. Some fields will receive a second picking due to slow maturing plants and current price levels. In Texas, harvest is complete in the Winter Garden area and is beginning in the Trans-Pecos area. All cotton ginnings totaled 8,453,900 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 8,877,850 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 7,974,650 running bales in 1993. HDR2012000110201108951500Florida Citrus Narrative Florida Citrus: Many parts of the citrus belt were inundated by several very hard rains in October. Hardest hit were the lower east coast, lower interior, and the lower west coast. Trees stood in water for up to a week in many groves before excess moisture could be pumped away. Caretakers also disced and plowed groves to remove excessive moisture. Only isolated cases of increased fruit drop were reported. At this time, fruit drop, splitting, and brown rot are not a widespread problem. Very little spraying and fertilizing could be done due to wet conditions. Packing houses became very active with increased movement of white and colored grapefruit; Navels, Ambersweet, and Hamlin oranges; K-Early fruit; early tangerines; and tangelos. Processing plants received packing house eliminations and some field run Hamlin oranges. Over 1.2 million boxes of early and mid-season oranges were harvested through October. Navel movement stands at about 200 thousand boxes. About 1.9 million boxes of colored grapefruit and almost 850 thousand boxes of white grapefruit were harvested. Nearly 450 thousand boxes of early tangerines were picked to date. Just under 75 thousand boxes of K-Early Citrus were moved by the end of October and tangelo harvest just began as 15 thousand boxes were moved. HDR2012000110201108951500Texas Grapefruit Narrative Texas Grapefruit: The 1995-96 Texas grapefruit forecast is 4.70 million boxes (188,000 tons), down 6 percent from last month but up 1 percent from last year. The forecast declined from last month because cool temperatures caused larger than anticipated bloom loss especially on mature trees. New trees most likely will not produce enough fruit to offset the loss from older trees. HDR2012000110201108951500Texas Citrus Narrative Texas Citrus: Rain slowed harvest during October but was beneficial to trees. Groves remained in good condition. Early interior quality was good despite irregular shaped fruit in some groves. Grapefruit harvest just began, and about 15 percent of early oranges were picked. HDR2012000110201108951500California Citrus Narrative California Citrus: Desert grapefruit picking continued with good quality. Lemon harvest in the Desert remained active with excellent grades. Navel orange picking began in Southern San Joaquin Valley. Old crop Valencia orange harvest slowed down by the end of the month.