HDR1012000110010208961500CROP PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS & SUMMARY HDR2012000110010208961500CROP HIGHLIGHTS Released February 8, 1996, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production - Cotton/Citrus" call at (202) 720-2127, office hours 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET. For assistance with general agricultural statistics, information about NASS, its products or services, contact the NASS Information Hotline at 1-800-727-9540 or E-mail: NASS@NASS.USDA.GOV. Forecast refer to February 1, 1996. These data will be included in the "Crop Production" report released February 9, 1996. Record Large Orange Crop All orange production, expected to be the largest crop on record, is forecast at 11.9 million tons, equal to the previous forecast but 3 percent above last season. Although this forecast reflects the effects of the cold temperatures on January 8 and 9, it does not reflect effects of freezing weather in Florida after February 1. Florida's forecast is 206 million boxes (9.27 million tons), unchanged from January's forecast but slightly above last season. Early and mid-season varieties are expected to produce a record high 126 million boxes (5.67 million tons), the same as the previous forecast but 5 percent above last year. The Valencia forecast remains at 80.0 million boxes (3.60 million tons), down 7 percent from a year ago. Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 1995-96 season is forecast at 1.47 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, the same as January's forecast. Projections for the early and mid-season varieties are 1.44 gallons per box, up from last month's 1.42 gallons per box but equal to last year's yield. The Valencia crop is expected to yield 1.55 gallons per box, unchanged from last month but down from 1.58 gallons per box a year ago. The final 1994-95 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was 1.50 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The forecast projects the final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. HDR2012000110010208961500CROP SUMMARY: DOMSTC&MTRC UNITS Crop Summary: Production, United States, 1995 and Forecasted February 1, 1996 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Production - Domestic :-------------------------------------------------------- Crop and Unit : : Jan 1, : Feb 1, : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1995-96 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 : Citrus Fruits 1/ : : Oranges Ton : 11,616 11,918 11,918 Grapefruit " : 2,912 2,763 2,763 :-------------------------------------------------------- : Production - Metric :-------------------------------------------------------- Oranges " : 10,537,860 10,811,830 10,811,830 Grapefruit " : 2,641,720 2,506,550 2,506,550 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. This report was approved on February 8, 1996, by the Acting Secretary of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Statistics Service's Agricultural Statistics Board. Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board Agriculture Chairperson Eugene Moos Rich Allen HDR2012000110110208961500CITRUS FRUIT: UTLZD PROD. BY CRP,ST&US 94-95 Citrus Fruit: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States, 1994-95 and Forecasted February 1, 1996 1/ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Utilized Production : Utilized Production : Boxes : Ton Equivalent Crop and State :----------------------------------------------------------- : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 : 1993-94 : 1994-95 : 1995-96 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ ----- ------- 1,000 Tons ------- Oranges : Early Mid & : Navel 3/ : AZ 4/ : 700 400 650 26 15 24 CA 4/ : 36,600 35,000 40,000 1,372 1,313 1,500 FL : 107,300 119,700 126,000 4,829 5,387 5,670 TX : 480 950 900 21 40 38 US : 145,080 156,050 167,550 6,248 6,755 7,232 Valencia : AZ 4/ : 1,200 650 800 45 24 30 CA 4/ : 27,000 26,000 28,000 1,013 976 1,050 FL : 67,100 85,700 80,000 3,020 3,857 3,600 TX : 70 105 150 3 4 6 US : 95,370 112,455 108,950 4,081 4,861 4,686 All : AZ 4/ : 1,900 1,050 1,450 71 39 54 CA 4/ : 63,600 61,000 68,000 2,385 2,289 2,550 FL : 174,400 205,400 206,000 7,849 9,244 9,270 TX : 550 1,055 1,050 24 44 44 US : 240,450 268,505 276,500 10,329 11,616 11,918 Temples : FL : 2,250 2,550 2,200 101 114 99 Grapefruit : White Seedless : FL : 24,500 25,700 24,000 1,042 1,092 1,020 Colored Seedless : FL : 25,500 28,700 29,000 1,084 1,220 1,233 Other : FL : 1,050 1,300 1,000 45 55 43 All : AZ 4/ : 1,750 1,400 1,200 59 47 40 CA 4/ 5/ : Desert : 3,400 3,300 114 111 Other Areas : 5,900 6,000 197 201 Total : 9,300 9,300 7,500 311 312 251 FL : 51,050 55,700 54,000 2,171 2,367 2,296 TX : 3,000 4,650 4,400 120 186 176 US : 65,100 71,050 67,100 2,661 2,912 2,763 Tangerines : AZ 4/ : 1,000 650 750 37 25 28 CA 4/ : 2,300 2,200 2,400 86 82 90 FL : 4,100 3,550 4,450 195 168 211 US : 7,400 6,400 7,600 318 275 329 Lemons 4/ : AZ : 5,200 3,600 5,000 197 137 190 CA : 20,700 20,500 22,000 787 779 836 US : 25,900 24,100 27,000 984 916 1,026 Tangelos : FL : 3,350 3,150 2,600 150 142 117 K-Early Citrus : FL : 210 120 160 9 5 7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citrus Fruit Footnotes 1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with year harvest is completed. 2/ Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76, tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early and mid-season varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX. 4/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5/ California Desert and Other Areas Grapefruit forecasts combined to All Grapefruit beginning in 1995-96. HDR2012000110010208961500CITRUS NARRATIVES Temples: The February 1 forecast for the 1995-96 Florida temple production was unchanged from January at 2.20 million boxes (99,000 tons), down 14 percent from last season. Harvest of temples increased with about 800 thousand boxes moved by the end of the month. Grapefruit: The February 1 forecast of the 1995-96 U.S. grapefruit crop is 2.76 million tons, unchanged from last month but down 5 percent from last season. The forecasts of all three types of Florida grapefruit remained unchanged from January at 54.0 million boxes (2.30 million tons), down 3 percent from last season. Average fruit size was at near record levels and fruit quality remained good. The Florida white seedless grapefruit forecast is 24.0 million boxes (1.02 million tons), a decrease of 7 percent from the 1994-95 crop. The colored seedless forecast is 29.0 million boxes (1.23 million tons), an increase of 1 percent from a year ago. The seedy grapefruit crop is expected to be 1.00 million boxes (43,000 tons), 23 percent fewer than last year. Nearly 20 million boxes of all seedless grapefruit were picked through the end of January. The Texas grapefruit forecast, at 4.40 million boxes (176,000 tons) , is unchanged from last month but down 5 percent from last year. The forecast of California's crop is carried forward from January at 7.50 million boxes (251,000 tons), 19 percent below last season. Arizona's forecast is also carried forward from last month and is expected to be 1.20 million boxes (40,000 tons), 14 percent below the 1994-95 crop. Tangerines: The 1995-96 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 329,000 tons, 2 percent more than last month and 20 percent more than last year. The Florida tangerine forecast is 4.45 million boxes (211,000 tons), up 3 percent from January and 25 percent from last year. Over 3.4 million boxes of tangerines were picked. California's tangerine forecast was carried forward from January at 2.40 million boxes (90,000 tons), 9 percent more than last season. The Arizona forecast was also carried forward from last month at 750,000 boxes (28,000 tons), 15 percent more than last season. Tangelos: The 1995-96 Florida tangelo crop is forecast at 2.60 million boxes (117,000 tons), down 4 percent from last month and down 17 percent from last year's production. There were nearly 2.4 million boxes of tangelos utilized by month's end. Florida Citrus: The first two days of January were very wet in contrast to the rest of the month which was very dry. Field reports following the freezing temperatures of January 8 and 9 indicated no significant damage due to icing. Many caretakers used irrigation during the month to maintain good tree condition. Harvesting crews had near ideal weather for picking. Movement of early and mid oranges during January was very active with most of these going to the processors. Harvest of all seedless grapefruit for both fresh and processing continued strong with most of the fresh packing coming from the lower east coast. Early tangerine and tangelo harvest was nearly completed by the end of the month. Movement of Temples was increasing at the end of the month. Utilization of Navels through the end of January totaled 5.1 million boxes. Harvest of early and midseason oranges without Navels was 102.6 million boxes. Texas Citrus: Harvest continued without delays during January. More grapefruit went to the processors because of irregular shape, mostly sheepnose. Grove care companies remained busy with normal operations. Weather conditions were good during the month, however high irrigation demands will lower availability of water going into spring. California Citrus: Grapefruit picking in the desert area was active during January with smooth texture and good quality reported. Defects included sheepnose and wind scar. Lemons were harvested throughout the growing area. Wind scar was a concern to growers but overall quality was good. Navel orange picking gained momentum with approximately one third of the crop picked by February 1. Rind breakdown, scar, puff, crease, and decay were problems. Valencia oranges were maturing well with picking expected to begin in the desert area by late February. Minneola harvest continued with good to excellent quality.