TOBACCO YEARBOOK -- SUMMARY December 14, 2006 December 2006, ERS-TBS-2006 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- This SUMMARY is published by the Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20036-5831. The text of the yearbook will be available electronically about 1 week following this summary release. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco Acreage in 2006 Up 12 Percent As of October 2006, total tobacco acreage for the 2006 marketing year was estimated to have advanced 12 percent from 2005 to 334,300 acres, about 36,000 acres over last season. Yields for all types of tobacco averaged 2,194 pounds per acre, exceeding last year's yields by 23 pounds per acre. Production of all types is estimated at 733.6 million pounds, about 86 million pounds above last season. In 2005, production dropped over 230 million pounds from the previous season. Based on January 2006 estimates, 92 percent of U.S. leaf was of types used for cigarettes, 1 percent more than last season. Cigar leaf, also used for other products such as chewing and smoking tobacco, accounted for 1 percent of production. Other types, mostly dark air- and fire- cured leaf, accounted for 7 percent of production, slightly less than last season. Unmanufactured tobacco exports advanced 15 percent during January-September 2006. Shipments were 260.3 million pounds (declared weight), compared with 226.8 million pounds during the same period in 2005. Value advanced 10 percent, ending at $739.8 million. Flue- cured volume surged 64 percent and burley slipped 3 percent. Shipments of fire-cured, Maryland (type 32) leaf, cigar binder, and stems advanced. Exports of other types declined. Shipments to China were responsible for the strong flue-cured shipments. Unmanufactured tobacco imports (consumption) for January-September 2006 increased 19 percent, reaching 437.2 million pounds (declared weight). Last year, January--September import volume reached 367.2 million pounds. General imports slipped 13 percent after gaining the previous year. Stocks of imported cigarette leaf were 1 percent higher on October 1, 2006, than a year earlier at 745.7 million pounds (farm-sales weight). U.S. cigarette output in 2005 was 489.0 billion cigarettes, down 1 percent from 2004, the same decline as last year. For 2006, expected output is about 496.4 billion pieces, also a 1-percent drop. Domestic consumption in 2005 slid 3 percent to 376 billion cigarettes. Consumption in 2006 is expected to shrink 1 percent, to 371 billion pieces. During the first 9 months of 2006, 82.5 billion cigarettes were shipped overseas, compared with 84.0 billion during the 9-month period in 2005. Year-end shipments are expected to be about 115 billion cigarettes. During January-September 2006, cigarette imports slipped to 10.8 billion pieces, compared with 13.9 billion pieces during the same 9-month period last year. The 2006 Tobacco Situation and Outlook Yearbook includes the article Changing Economic Forces in Tobacco Markets Altered Tobacco Returns, 1996-2004 by Linda F. Foreman