Winter Wheat and Canola Seedings ISSN: 2474-7440 Released January 12, 2021, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). Winter Wheat Planted Acres Up 5 Percent Winter wheat seeded area for 2021 is expected to total 32.0 million acres, up 5 percent from 2020. Approximate class acreage breakdowns are: Hard Red Winter, 22.3 million; Soft Red Winter, 6.23 million; and White Winter, 3.48 million. Winter Wheat Area Seeded - United States: 2019-2021 (Domestic Units) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop year : 2021 Crop :--------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2019 : 2020 : 2021 : of 2020 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Winter wheat ..: 31,474 30,415 31,991 105 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter Wheat Area Seeded - United States: 2019-2021 (Metric Units) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop year : 2021 Crop :--------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2019 : 2020 : 2021 : of 2020 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- : hectares hectares hectares percent : Winter wheat ..: 12,737,210 12,308,650 12,946,440 105 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter wheat: Planted area for harvest in 2021 is estimated at 32.0 million acres, up 5 percent from 2020 and up 2 percent from 2019. This represents the fourth lowest United States acreage on record. Seeding of the 2021 acreage was underway in early-September and was ahead of the 5-year average pace. Throughout the season, planting and emergence progress remained ahead of the 5-year average pace. Seeding was mostly complete by November 15, 2020. Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat seeded area is expected to total 22.3 million acres, up 4 percent from 2020. Planted acreage is up from last year across most of the growing region. The largest increases in planted acreage are estimated in Kansas, Montana, and North Dakota, while the largest decreases are estimated in Nebraska and Texas. Record low acreage was seeded in Nebraska and Utah. Soft Red Winter (SRW) wheat seeded area totals 6.23 million acres, up 12 percent from last year. Compared with last year, the largest acreage increases are expected in Indiana, Missouri, Tennessee, and Wisconsin, while the largest acreage decreases are expected in Georgia, Maryland, and Ohio. White Winter wheat seeded area totals 3.48 million acres, down less than 1 percent from 2020. Planting throughout the Pacific Northwest was ahead of the 5-year average throughout most of the planting process. Seeding was virtually complete in the region by early November. Durum wheat: Seedings in Arizona and California for 2021 harvest are estimated at a combined 70,000 acres, down 5 percent from 2020 and 41 percent below 2019. Canola: This report contains the first estimate of 2021 canola seedings for Kansas and Oklahoma. Acres seeded in Kansas and Oklahoma for 2021 harvest are estimated at a combined 22,000 acres, an increase of 29 percent, or 5,000 acres, from 2020. If realized, planted acreages in both States would represent the second lowest on record. This report was approved on January 12, 2021. Secretary of Agriculture Sonny Perdue Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Joseph L. Parsons Winter Wheat Area Seeded - States and United States: 2019-2021 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Crop year : 2021 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2019 : 2020 : 2021 : of 2020 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Alabama ...........: 130 135 170 126 Arkansas ..........: 110 145 180 124 California ........: 390 355 330 93 Colorado ..........: 2,150 1,900 1,950 103 Delaware ..........: 60 75 60 80 Georgia ...........: 150 190 170 89 Idaho .............: 730 720 740 103 Illinois ..........: 650 570 630 111 Indiana ...........: 330 300 400 133 Kansas ............: 7,100 6,600 7,300 111 : Kentucky ..........: 460 510 500 98 Maryland ..........: 345 355 330 93 Michigan ..........: 550 490 580 118 Mississippi .......: 45 40 80 200 Missouri ..........: 550 480 660 138 Montana ...........: 2,000 1,550 1,700 110 Nebraska ..........: 1,070 900 810 90 New Jersey ........: 19 25 26 104 New Mexico ........: 365 330 350 106 New York ..........: 90 150 165 110 : North Carolina ....: 290 450 460 102 North Dakota ......: 85 40 140 350 Ohio ..............: 500 530 500 94 Oklahoma ..........: 4,200 4,250 4,300 101 Oregon ............: 740 740 710 96 Pennsylvania ......: 180 235 240 102 South Carolina ....: 70 110 110 100 South Dakota ......: 860 630 710 113 Tennessee .........: 280 300 400 133 Texas .............: 4,600 4,900 4,800 98 : Utah ..............: 125 110 110 100 Virginia ..........: 180 220 240 109 Washington ........: 1,750 1,800 1,750 97 Wisconsin .........: 195 160 275 172 Wyoming ...........: 125 120 115 96 : United States .....: 31,474 30,415 31,991 105 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Durum Wheat Area Seeded - States and United States: 2019-2021 [Blank cells indicate estimation period has not begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Crop year : 2021 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2019 : 2020 : 2021 1/ : of 2020 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Arizona ........: 36 44 40 91 California .....: 30 30 30 100 Idaho ..........: 5 10 Montana ........: 550 690 North Dakota ...: 720 910 : United States ..: 1,341 1,684 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Indicated 2021 area seeded for all five States and the United States will be published in "Prospective Plantings" released March 2021. Canola Area Seeded - States and United States: 2019-2021 [Blank cells indicate estimation period has not begun] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : Crop year : 2021 State :--------------------------------------------------: as a percent : 2019 : 2020 : 2021 1/ : of 2020 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ : 1,000 acres 1,000 acres 1,000 acres percent : Kansas .........: 29.0 5.0 8.0 160 Minnesota ......: 51.0 50.0 Montana ........: 150.0 155.0 North Dakota ...: 1,700.0 1,510.0 Oklahoma .......: 35.0 12.0 14.0 117 Washington .....: 75.0 93.0 : United States ..: 2,040.0 1,825.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Indicated 2021 area seeded for all six States and the United States will be published in "Prospective Plantings" released March 2021. Statistical Methodology Survey procedures: The estimates in this report are based primarily on surveys conducted the first two weeks of December. The December Agricultural Survey is a probability survey that includes a sample of approximately 77,700 farm operators selected from a list of producers that ensures all operations in the United States have a chance to be selected. Data from farm operators was collected by mail, internet, telephone, or personal interview to obtain information on crop acreage, yield, and production for the 2020 crop year and winter wheat, Durum wheat, and canola seedings for the 2021 crop year. Estimating procedures: National, Regional, State, and grower reported data were reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. Each Regional Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). Survey data are compiled to the National level and are reviewed at this level independently of each State's review. Estimates were based on survey data and the historical relationship of official estimates to survey data. Revision policy: These estimates will not be revised; instead, new estimates will be made throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest and published in the Small Grains Annual Summary report at the end of September. End-of-season canola estimates are published in the Crop Production Annual Summary report in the middle of January. Reliability: The survey used to make acreage estimates is subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. The survey indications are subject to sampling variability because not all operations with winter wheat are included in the sample. This variability, as measured by the relative standard error at the National level, is approximately 1.8 percent for winter wheat. This means that chances are approximately 95 out of 100 that survey estimates for acres will be within plus or minus 3.6 percent for winter wheat. Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. These errors cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@usda.gov Lance Honig, Chief, Crops Branch.............................. (202) 720-2127 Chris Hawthorn, Head, Field Crops Section..................... (202) 720-2127 Irwin Anolik - Crop Weather.............................. 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